Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 4–6 March 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 26.0% 24.8–27.3% 24.4–27.7% 24.1–28.0% 23.5–28.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 23.0% 21.8–24.2% 21.5–24.6% 21.2–24.9% 20.7–25.5%
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 21.0% 19.9–22.2% 19.5–22.6% 19.3–22.8% 18.7–23.4%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
Bierpartei 0.0% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs N/A 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 50 47–52 47–53 46–53 45–55
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 44 42–46 41–47 40–48 39–49
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 40 38–42 37–43 37–44 36–45
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 23 21–25 20–25 20–26 19–27
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 15 14–17 13–17 13–17 12–18
Bierpartei 0 11 10–12 10–13 9–13 9–14
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs N/A 0 0 0 0 0–7