Opinion Poll by IFDD for NÖN, 12–15 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.5–28.5% | 25.1–28.9% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.1–30.0% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.3–24.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.3–9.9% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 38–44 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |