Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 18–20 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 46–55 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 43 | 41–45 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 38–48 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 35 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |