Opinion Poll by Unique Research for Heute, 18–21 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.9% | 27.9–32.0% | 27.3–32.6% | 26.8–33.2% | 25.8–34.2% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–62 | 47–64 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 32–46 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–46 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 9 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |