Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 25–27 March 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 35–45 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 35–40 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |