Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 29 March–3 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 48–53 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 46–55 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 39–43 | 38–44 | 37–44 | 37–45 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 37 | 35–39 | 34–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 9 | 8–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |