Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 8–10 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 57 | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 50–65 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 39 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–45 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 16 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 16 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 9 | 7–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |