Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 15–17 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 53 | 50–56 | 49–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 43 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 36 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |