Opinion Poll by OGM for Servus TV, 1–30 April 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 24.6–29.6% | 23.9–30.3% | 23.3–31.0% | 22.2–32.2% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 19.8–24.4% | 19.1–25.1% | 18.6–25.7% | 17.6–26.9% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 19.8–24.4% | 19.1–25.1% | 18.6–25.7% | 17.6–26.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.9% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% | 5.0–9.5% | 4.5–10.3% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.7–6.1% | 2.3–6.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–58 | 41–60 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 37–45 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–50 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 41 | 36–45 | 35–47 | 34–48 | 33–50 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 | 11–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |