Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 6–8 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 49 | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–53 | 44–54 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 35–44 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 35–44 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 28 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 23–30 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |