Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 14–16 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 59 | 55–63 | 54–64 | 53–65 | 52–67 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–47 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 32–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |