Opinion Poll by IFDD, 15–17 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 21 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |