Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 17–21 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 48–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 41 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–34 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–22 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |