Opinion Poll by Market for Der Standard, 24–28 May 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.2% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–25.9% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% | 10.0–14.5% | 9.4–15.3% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.7% |
Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.6–7.9% | 4.2–8.5% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 53 | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 35–41 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–45 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 17–29 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |