Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 3–4 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.5% | 27.2–29.8% | 26.9–30.2% | 26.6–30.5% | 26.0–31.2% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.5% | 22.3–24.8% | 22.0–25.1% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.5% | 19.4–21.7% | 19.1–22.0% | 18.8–22.3% | 18.3–22.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 13.5% | 12.6–14.5% | 12.3–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.6–15.6% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 55 | 53–58 | 52–58 | 51–59 | 50–60 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 45 | 43–48 | 42–48 | 42–49 | 41–50 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 37–42 | 37–42 | 36–43 | 35–44 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 26 | 24–28 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |