Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 3–5 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.3–35.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 62 | 58–65 | 57–66 | 57–66 | 55–68 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 39–43 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 6% | 95% | |
| 59 | 10% | 89% | |
| 60 | 12% | 79% | |
| 61 | 17% | 67% | |
| 62 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 63 | 14% | 35% | |
| 64 | 9% | 21% | |
| 65 | 6% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 6% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 4% | 94% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 19% | 81% | Last Result |
| 41 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 42% | |
| 43 | 11% | 19% | |
| 44 | 6% | 8% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 6% | 96% | |
| 36 | 10% | 90% | |
| 37 | 14% | 81% | |
| 38 | 16% | 67% | |
| 39 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 40 | 14% | 35% | |
| 41 | 10% | 21% | |
| 42 | 6% | 11% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 10% | 96% | |
| 14 | 19% | 86% | |
| 15 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 22% | 43% | |
| 17 | 13% | 21% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 11% | 96% | |
| 14 | 22% | 85% | |
| 15 | 25% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 20% | 38% | |
| 17 | 10% | 18% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 21% | 91% | |
| 11 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 12 | 26% | 46% | |
| 13 | 12% | 20% | |
| 14 | 6% | 8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 103 | 99.9% | 99–106 | 97–108 | 96–108 | 94–110 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 100 | 99.9% | 97–103 | 96–104 | 96–105 | 94–107 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 111 | 80 | 0% | 76–83 | 75–84 | 73–85 | 71–86 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 81 | 71 | 0% | 68–74 | 67–75 | 66–76 | 64–77 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 112 | 69 | 0% | 65–73 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 61–76 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 56 | 0% | 54–59 | 52–59 | 51–60 | 49–61 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 49–59 | 47–61 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–61 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 0% | 39–43 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 0% | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 97 | 3% | 97% | |
| 98 | 4% | 95% | |
| 99 | 6% | 90% | |
| 100 | 9% | 84% | |
| 101 | 11% | 74% | |
| 102 | 12% | 63% | |
| 103 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 104 | 12% | 38% | |
| 105 | 11% | 26% | |
| 106 | 6% | 15% | |
| 107 | 4% | 9% | |
| 108 | 3% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 96 | 4% | 98% | |
| 97 | 7% | 94% | |
| 98 | 11% | 87% | |
| 99 | 16% | 76% | |
| 100 | 17% | 60% | |
| 101 | 16% | 43% | Median |
| 102 | 11% | 27% | Last Result |
| 103 | 8% | 16% | |
| 104 | 4% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 5% | 92% | |
| 77 | 8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 12% | 79% | |
| 79 | 15% | 66% | |
| 80 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 37% | |
| 82 | 10% | 23% | |
| 83 | 7% | 13% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 6% | 94% | |
| 69 | 10% | 87% | |
| 70 | 13% | 77% | |
| 71 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 72 | 15% | 47% | |
| 73 | 14% | 32% | |
| 74 | 9% | 18% | |
| 75 | 6% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 6% | 93% | |
| 66 | 8% | 88% | |
| 67 | 11% | 80% | |
| 68 | 14% | 69% | |
| 69 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 70 | 10% | 40% | |
| 71 | 10% | 30% | |
| 72 | 9% | 20% | |
| 73 | 5% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 4% | 95% | |
| 54 | 8% | 91% | |
| 55 | 17% | 82% | |
| 56 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 57 | 20% | 46% | |
| 58 | 15% | 26% | |
| 59 | 7% | 11% | |
| 60 | 3% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 10% | 89% | |
| 52 | 12% | 79% | |
| 53 | 15% | 67% | |
| 54 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 55 | 13% | 37% | |
| 56 | 11% | 24% | |
| 57 | 6% | 13% | |
| 58 | 4% | 8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 94% | |
| 51 | 9% | 89% | |
| 52 | 12% | 80% | |
| 53 | 15% | 68% | |
| 54 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 12% | 40% | |
| 56 | 11% | 28% | |
| 57 | 8% | 17% | |
| 58 | 4% | 9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 4% | 94% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 19% | 81% | Last Result |
| 41 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 42 | 23% | 42% | |
| 43 | 11% | 19% | |
| 44 | 6% | 8% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 6% | 96% | |
| 36 | 10% | 90% | |
| 37 | 14% | 81% | |
| 38 | 16% | 67% | |
| 39 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 40 | 14% | 35% | |
| 41 | 10% | 21% | |
| 42 | 6% | 11% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSA
- Commissioner(s): eXXpress
- Fieldwork period: 3–5 June 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.79%