Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 10–11 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 47–52 | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 44–48 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 37–47 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |