Opinion Poll by OGM for Servus TV, 10–11 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.0–29.1% | 24.6–29.5% | 23.9–30.3% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 21.0–27.3% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.0–26.2% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% |
Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.6–6.8% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
Bierpartei | 0 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 |