Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 12–19 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 48–54 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–22 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |