Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 24–25 June 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 49–54 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 46 | 44–48 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 38–42 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–22 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |