Opinion Poll by Market for Der Standard, 8–11 July 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.1–29.1% | 24.5–29.6% | 24.1–30.1% | 23.2–31.2% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–25.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–25.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.7–12.6% | 9.4–13.0% | 9.1–13.4% | 8.5–14.2% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.1% | 6.7–11.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.4–7.3% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–60 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 9 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 7% | 92% | |
| 49 | 9% | 85% | |
| 50 | 11% | 76% | |
| 51 | 15% | 65% | |
| 52 | 13% | 50% | Median |
| 53 | 11% | 37% | |
| 54 | 9% | 26% | |
| 55 | 7% | 18% | |
| 56 | 5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 5% | 95% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 13% | 81% | |
| 41 | 12% | 68% | |
| 42 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 43 | 11% | 41% | |
| 44 | 10% | 30% | |
| 45 | 8% | 20% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 94% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 16% | 81% | Last Result |
| 41 | 9% | 65% | |
| 42 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 43 | 16% | 45% | |
| 44 | 11% | 29% | |
| 45 | 6% | 18% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 4% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 16 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 18 | 8% | 95% | |
| 19 | 13% | 87% | |
| 20 | 17% | 74% | |
| 21 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 22 | 15% | 39% | |
| 23 | 12% | 24% | |
| 24 | 6% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 6% | 97% | |
| 15 | 13% | 91% | |
| 16 | 19% | 77% | |
| 17 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 38% | |
| 19 | 11% | 22% | |
| 20 | 7% | 10% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 3% | 94% | |
| 8 | 19% | 91% | |
| 9 | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 22% | 45% | |
| 11 | 14% | 22% | |
| 12 | 6% | 8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 6% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 93 | 72% | 89–98 | 88–100 | 87–101 | 85–103 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 94 | 73% | 89–98 | 88–100 | 87–101 | 84–104 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 111 | 84 | 2% | 80–89 | 78–90 | 77–91 | 75–94 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 81 | 80 | 0.1% | 75–85 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 112 | 80 | 0.1% | 76–84 | 74–86 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–69 | 56–70 | 54–72 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–67 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 54–64 | 53–65 | 51–68 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 0% | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 0% | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 92% | |
| 90 | 5% | 88% | |
| 91 | 10% | 82% | |
| 92 | 11% | 72% | Majority |
| 93 | 11% | 61% | |
| 94 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 95 | 8% | 39% | |
| 96 | 10% | 31% | |
| 97 | 7% | 21% | |
| 98 | 6% | 14% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 86 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 5% | 92% | |
| 90 | 6% | 87% | |
| 91 | 8% | 81% | |
| 92 | 11% | 73% | Majority |
| 93 | 12% | 62% | |
| 94 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 95 | 9% | 39% | |
| 96 | 8% | 29% | |
| 97 | 7% | 22% | |
| 98 | 5% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 9% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 4% | 94% | |
| 80 | 7% | 90% | |
| 81 | 9% | 83% | |
| 82 | 8% | 74% | |
| 83 | 12% | 66% | |
| 84 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 85 | 11% | 44% | |
| 86 | 9% | 34% | |
| 87 | 9% | 24% | |
| 88 | 5% | 16% | |
| 89 | 5% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 6% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 92 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 7% | 90% | |
| 77 | 9% | 83% | |
| 78 | 8% | 74% | |
| 79 | 12% | 66% | |
| 80 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 81 | 13% | 44% | Last Result |
| 82 | 9% | 31% | |
| 83 | 7% | 22% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 4% | 10% | |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 7% | 90% | |
| 77 | 9% | 84% | |
| 78 | 9% | 75% | |
| 79 | 11% | 66% | |
| 80 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 43% | |
| 82 | 9% | 32% | |
| 83 | 8% | 23% | |
| 84 | 5% | 15% | |
| 85 | 4% | 10% | |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 96% | |
| 59 | 5% | 91% | |
| 60 | 9% | 86% | |
| 61 | 11% | 77% | |
| 62 | 11% | 67% | |
| 63 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 40% | |
| 65 | 11% | 32% | |
| 66 | 7% | 21% | |
| 67 | 5% | 15% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 6% | 92% | |
| 56 | 8% | 86% | |
| 57 | 10% | 77% | |
| 58 | 12% | 67% | |
| 59 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 44% | |
| 61 | 11% | 32% | |
| 62 | 9% | 22% | |
| 63 | 5% | 13% | |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 5% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 6% | 92% | |
| 56 | 9% | 86% | |
| 57 | 11% | 77% | |
| 58 | 10% | 66% | |
| 59 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 60 | 13% | 44% | |
| 61 | 9% | 31% | |
| 62 | 9% | 22% | |
| 63 | 4% | 13% | |
| 64 | 5% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 94% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 16% | 81% | Last Result |
| 41 | 9% | 65% | |
| 42 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 43 | 16% | 45% | |
| 44 | 11% | 29% | |
| 45 | 6% | 18% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 4% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 5% | 95% | |
| 39 | 9% | 90% | |
| 40 | 13% | 81% | |
| 41 | 12% | 68% | |
| 42 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 43 | 11% | 41% | |
| 44 | 10% | 30% | |
| 45 | 8% | 20% | |
| 46 | 6% | 12% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Market
- Commissioner(s): Der Standard
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 July 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 815
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%