Opinion Poll by Spectra for Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten, 12–21 July 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–22 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–20 | 13–22 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 7 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 95% | |
| 48 | 8% | 89% | |
| 49 | 12% | 81% | |
| 50 | 12% | 69% | |
| 51 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 43% | |
| 53 | 10% | 30% | |
| 54 | 8% | 20% | |
| 55 | 6% | 12% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 94% | |
| 39 | 12% | 88% | |
| 40 | 14% | 76% | Last Result |
| 41 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 48% | |
| 43 | 13% | 34% | |
| 44 | 9% | 21% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 4% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 7% | 94% | |
| 39 | 10% | 87% | |
| 40 | 14% | 77% | |
| 41 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 48% | |
| 43 | 11% | 34% | |
| 44 | 9% | 23% | |
| 45 | 7% | 14% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 7% | 98% | |
| 15 | 14% | 91% | |
| 16 | 21% | 76% | |
| 17 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 34% | |
| 19 | 10% | 17% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 7% | 97% | |
| 15 | 14% | 90% | Last Result |
| 16 | 20% | 76% | |
| 17 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 34% | |
| 19 | 10% | 17% | |
| 20 | 5% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 9% | 97% | |
| 10 | 22% | 88% | |
| 11 | 28% | 66% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 38% | |
| 13 | 11% | 16% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 53% | |
| 2 | 0% | 53% | |
| 3 | 0% | 53% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 0% | 53% | |
| 7 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 37% | |
| 9 | 10% | 13% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 92 | 59% | 88–97 | 87–98 | 86–100 | 84–102 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 92 | 61% | 88–97 | 87–99 | 86–100 | 84–102 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 111 | 83 | 0.7% | 78–87 | 78–89 | 76–90 | 75–92 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 81 | 75 | 0% | 71–79 | 70–81 | 69–82 | 67–84 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 112 | 75 | 0% | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–82 | 67–84 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 53–65 | 51–66 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 51–66 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 51–66 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 4% | 96% | |
| 88 | 5% | 92% | |
| 89 | 8% | 87% | |
| 90 | 9% | 79% | |
| 91 | 10% | 70% | |
| 92 | 10% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 93 | 11% | 49% | |
| 94 | 9% | 38% | |
| 95 | 9% | 30% | |
| 96 | 6% | 20% | |
| 97 | 5% | 14% | |
| 98 | 4% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 7% | 93% | |
| 89 | 5% | 86% | |
| 90 | 11% | 80% | |
| 91 | 8% | 69% | |
| 92 | 11% | 61% | Median, Majority |
| 93 | 12% | 50% | |
| 94 | 9% | 38% | |
| 95 | 7% | 29% | |
| 96 | 8% | 22% | |
| 97 | 5% | 14% | |
| 98 | 4% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 5% | 95% | |
| 79 | 6% | 90% | |
| 80 | 7% | 84% | |
| 81 | 10% | 77% | |
| 82 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 83 | 12% | 54% | |
| 84 | 11% | 42% | |
| 85 | 9% | 32% | |
| 86 | 7% | 22% | |
| 87 | 5% | 15% | |
| 88 | 4% | 10% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 6% | 92% | |
| 72 | 8% | 85% | |
| 73 | 10% | 77% | |
| 74 | 12% | 67% | |
| 75 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 44% | |
| 77 | 10% | 33% | |
| 78 | 8% | 24% | |
| 79 | 6% | 15% | |
| 80 | 4% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 7% | 92% | |
| 72 | 7% | 85% | |
| 73 | 10% | 78% | |
| 74 | 11% | 67% | |
| 75 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 45% | |
| 77 | 8% | 32% | |
| 78 | 7% | 24% | |
| 79 | 7% | 17% | |
| 80 | 4% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 5% | 95% | |
| 55 | 8% | 90% | |
| 56 | 9% | 82% | |
| 57 | 14% | 73% | |
| 58 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 45% | |
| 60 | 10% | 34% | |
| 61 | 9% | 24% | |
| 62 | 6% | 16% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 6% | 95% | |
| 55 | 7% | 89% | |
| 56 | 11% | 82% | |
| 57 | 11% | 71% | |
| 58 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 13% | 47% | |
| 60 | 10% | 34% | |
| 61 | 8% | 24% | |
| 62 | 6% | 16% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 6% | 95% | |
| 55 | 8% | 89% | |
| 56 | 11% | 81% | |
| 57 | 12% | 70% | |
| 58 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 46% | |
| 60 | 12% | 34% | |
| 61 | 8% | 23% | |
| 62 | 6% | 15% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 5% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 94% | |
| 39 | 12% | 88% | |
| 40 | 14% | 76% | Last Result |
| 41 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 48% | |
| 43 | 13% | 34% | |
| 44 | 9% | 21% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 4% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 7% | 94% | |
| 39 | 10% | 87% | |
| 40 | 14% | 77% | |
| 41 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 48% | |
| 43 | 11% | 34% | |
| 44 | 9% | 23% | |
| 45 | 7% | 14% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Spectra
- Commissioner(s): Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten
- Fieldwork period: 12–21 July 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.56%