Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 5–7 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 60 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–65 | 53–67 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 37 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–43 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 5% | 94% | |
| 57 | 9% | 88% | |
| 58 | 11% | 80% | |
| 59 | 13% | 68% | |
| 60 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 61 | 13% | 41% | |
| 62 | 10% | 28% | |
| 63 | 8% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 95% | |
| 38 | 10% | 88% | |
| 39 | 14% | 78% | |
| 40 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 15% | 49% | |
| 42 | 14% | 34% | |
| 43 | 9% | 20% | |
| 44 | 6% | 11% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 96% | |
| 34 | 10% | 90% | |
| 35 | 13% | 80% | |
| 36 | 17% | 67% | |
| 37 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 38 | 14% | 35% | |
| 39 | 10% | 21% | |
| 40 | 5% | 11% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98% | |
| 15 | 12% | 94% | |
| 16 | 18% | 82% | |
| 17 | 22% | 64% | Median |
| 18 | 19% | 41% | |
| 19 | 12% | 22% | |
| 20 | 6% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 11% | 96% | |
| 14 | 19% | 85% | |
| 15 | 23% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 20% | 42% | |
| 17 | 13% | 22% | |
| 18 | 6% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 8% | 97% | |
| 12 | 21% | 89% | |
| 13 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 42% | |
| 15 | 15% | 23% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 100 | 99.6% | 96–104 | 95–105 | 94–106 | 92–108 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 96 | 94% | 92–100 | 91–101 | 90–103 | 88–104 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 111 | 77 | 0% | 73–81 | 72–82 | 71–83 | 69–85 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 81 | 73 | 0% | 69–77 | 68–78 | 67–79 | 65–81 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 112 | 69 | 0% | 65–73 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 61–77 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 58 | 0% | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 50–65 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–61 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 52 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 47–57 | 45–59 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 0% | 37–44 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 37 | 0% | 33–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–43 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 4% | 97% | |
| 96 | 6% | 93% | |
| 97 | 6% | 88% | |
| 98 | 7% | 82% | |
| 99 | 10% | 75% | |
| 100 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 101 | 15% | 47% | |
| 102 | 8% | 32% | |
| 103 | 7% | 24% | |
| 104 | 8% | 18% | |
| 105 | 5% | 10% | |
| 106 | 3% | 5% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 5% | 94% | Majority |
| 93 | 7% | 90% | |
| 94 | 10% | 83% | |
| 95 | 12% | 73% | |
| 96 | 12% | 62% | |
| 97 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 98 | 11% | 38% | |
| 99 | 11% | 27% | |
| 100 | 6% | 16% | |
| 101 | 5% | 10% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 103 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 6% | 93% | |
| 74 | 7% | 87% | |
| 75 | 11% | 80% | |
| 76 | 12% | 70% | |
| 77 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 78 | 13% | 44% | |
| 79 | 10% | 31% | |
| 80 | 8% | 21% | |
| 81 | 5% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 6% | 92% | |
| 70 | 8% | 86% | |
| 71 | 11% | 78% | |
| 72 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 73 | 12% | 54% | |
| 74 | 13% | 42% | |
| 75 | 9% | 29% | |
| 76 | 8% | 20% | |
| 77 | 6% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 93% | |
| 66 | 9% | 88% | |
| 67 | 9% | 79% | |
| 68 | 13% | 69% | |
| 69 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 70 | 13% | 43% | |
| 71 | 11% | 30% | |
| 72 | 7% | 19% | |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 96% | |
| 54 | 6% | 93% | |
| 55 | 10% | 87% | |
| 56 | 13% | 77% | |
| 57 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 58 | 13% | 51% | |
| 59 | 13% | 39% | |
| 60 | 9% | 25% | |
| 61 | 7% | 16% | |
| 62 | 4% | 9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 4% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 8% | 88% | |
| 52 | 13% | 79% | |
| 53 | 13% | 67% | |
| 54 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 13% | 38% | |
| 56 | 9% | 25% | |
| 57 | 8% | 16% | |
| 58 | 4% | 8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 6% | 94% | |
| 49 | 8% | 88% | |
| 50 | 12% | 80% | |
| 51 | 14% | 68% | |
| 52 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 53 | 13% | 40% | |
| 54 | 11% | 27% | |
| 55 | 8% | 16% | |
| 56 | 4% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 95% | |
| 38 | 10% | 88% | |
| 39 | 14% | 78% | |
| 40 | 15% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 15% | 49% | |
| 42 | 14% | 34% | |
| 43 | 9% | 20% | |
| 44 | 6% | 11% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 96% | |
| 34 | 10% | 90% | |
| 35 | 13% | 80% | |
| 36 | 17% | 67% | |
| 37 | 16% | 50% | Median |
| 38 | 14% | 35% | |
| 39 | 10% | 21% | |
| 40 | 5% | 11% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: INSA
- Commissioner(s): eXXpress
- Fieldwork period: 5–7 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.22%