Opinion Poll by IFDD for Radio Content Austria, 23–26 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 27.0% 25.2–28.8% 24.7–29.4% 24.2–29.8% 23.4–30.8%
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 25.0% 23.3–26.9% 22.8–27.4% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 21.0% 19.4–22.7% 18.9–23.2% 18.5–23.7% 17.8–24.5%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.8–11.6%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Bierpartei 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs 0.7% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Liste Madeleine Petrovic 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.4–2.2%
Wandel 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.4–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 53 49–56 48–57 47–58 45–60
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 49 45–52 44–53 43–54 42–56
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 40 37–44 36–45 35–46 34–48
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 15 13–18 12–18 12–19 11–20
Bierpartei 0 9 8–11 0–12 0–12 0–13
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liste Madeleine Petrovic 0 0 0 0 0 0
Wandel 0 0 0 0 0 0

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.6% 99.7%  
46 1.2% 99.1%  
47 3% 98%  
48 4% 95%  
49 5% 91%  
50 8% 86%  
51 11% 78%  
52 11% 67%  
53 24% 56% Median
54 10% 32%  
55 8% 22%  
56 8% 14%  
57 3% 6%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.4% 1.0%  
60 0.4% 0.6%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.5%  
43 3% 99.0%  
44 3% 96%  
45 8% 93%  
46 10% 85%  
47 10% 75%  
48 10% 65%  
49 21% 55% Median
50 9% 34%  
51 9% 24%  
52 6% 15%  
53 6% 9%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.5% 2%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 3% 97%  
37 5% 94%  
38 7% 89%  
39 17% 82%  
40 16% 65% Last Result, Median
41 16% 49%  
42 13% 33%  
43 7% 19%  
44 6% 12%  
45 3% 6%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.7% 1.4%  
48 0.4% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 5% 98%  
15 14% 93%  
16 18% 79%  
17 23% 60% Median
18 15% 38%  
19 11% 22%  
20 8% 11%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.6% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0% Last Result

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.2%  
13 11% 95%  
14 16% 84%  
15 23% 67% Last Result, Median
16 24% 44%  
17 10% 20%  
18 6% 10%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.6% 0.9%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Bierpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 0% 95%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 1.4% 95%  
8 18% 93%  
9 31% 76% Median
10 19% 45%  
11 18% 25%  
12 5% 8%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Kommunistische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liste Madeleine Petrovic

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Wandel

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei 102 102 99.9% 96–104 95–105 94–107 93–110
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 71 93 68% 89–97 88–98 87–99 85–102
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 89 23% 85–93 84–95 83–97 81–99
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 81 0.1% 77–85 76–87 75–87 73–90
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 72 0% 69–77 68–79 67–80 66–81
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 66 0% 62–70 61–71 60–72 58–74
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 64 0% 60–68 59–69 58–70 56–72
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 57 0% 54–62 53–63 52–64 51–66
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 49 0% 45–52 44–53 43–54 42–56
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 40 0% 37–44 36–45 35–46 34–48

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.4% 99.9% Majority
93 1.2% 99.5%  
94 3% 98%  
95 5% 96%  
96 3% 91%  
97 2% 88%  
98 1.4% 86%  
99 7% 84%  
100 8% 78%  
101 16% 70%  
102 27% 54% Last Result, Median
103 12% 27%  
104 7% 15%  
105 4% 9%  
106 2% 5%  
107 1.0% 3%  
108 0.9% 2%  
109 0.3% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.6%  
111 0.1% 0.4%  
112 0.2% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.5% 99.7%  
86 1.0% 99.2%  
87 2% 98%  
88 4% 96%  
89 6% 92%  
90 8% 86%  
91 10% 78%  
92 13% 68% Majority
93 12% 55% Median
94 10% 43%  
95 12% 33%  
96 8% 21%  
97 5% 13%  
98 3% 8%  
99 2% 4%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.4% 1.2%  
102 0.2% 0.7%  
103 0.3% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 1.3% 99.3%  
83 3% 98%  
84 4% 95%  
85 7% 91%  
86 7% 83%  
87 5% 76%  
88 14% 71%  
89 12% 57% Median
90 11% 45%  
91 10% 33%  
92 9% 23% Majority
93 6% 14%  
94 3% 8%  
95 2% 5%  
96 0.7% 3%  
97 1.4% 3%  
98 0.4% 1.2%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.3% 0.4%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.7%  
74 1.4% 99.2%  
75 2% 98%  
76 4% 96%  
77 3% 92%  
78 12% 89%  
79 9% 77%  
80 14% 68%  
81 18% 54% Median
82 6% 36%  
83 13% 30%  
84 4% 18%  
85 4% 13%  
86 3% 9%  
87 3% 6%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 1.0% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1% Majority
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.6%  
67 2% 99.2%  
68 3% 97%  
69 7% 94%  
70 12% 87%  
71 10% 76%  
72 18% 66% Median
73 14% 48%  
74 6% 34%  
75 11% 28%  
76 4% 17%  
77 4% 13%  
78 4% 10%  
79 2% 5%  
80 2% 3%  
81 1.0% 1.3% Last Result
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 1.5% 99.4%  
60 2% 98%  
61 4% 96%  
62 10% 92%  
63 7% 82%  
64 10% 75%  
65 15% 65%  
66 15% 50% Median
67 8% 35%  
68 10% 28%  
69 7% 18%  
70 4% 11%  
71 4% 7%  
72 2% 3%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.5% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 99.7%  
57 0.6% 99.1%  
58 2% 98.5%  
59 4% 97%  
60 6% 93%  
61 10% 87%  
62 8% 77%  
63 13% 68%  
64 14% 55% Median
65 17% 41%  
66 9% 25%  
67 5% 15%  
68 3% 11%  
69 5% 8%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.1% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.7%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 1.2% 99.7%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 96%  
54 5% 93%  
55 7% 88%  
56 20% 80%  
57 15% 61% Median
58 13% 45%  
59 8% 33%  
60 9% 25%  
61 6% 16%  
62 5% 10%  
63 3% 5%  
64 1.4% 3%  
65 0.7% 1.3%  
66 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 0.6% 99.5%  
43 3% 99.0%  
44 3% 96%  
45 8% 93%  
46 10% 85%  
47 10% 75%  
48 10% 65%  
49 21% 55% Median
50 9% 34%  
51 9% 24%  
52 6% 15%  
53 6% 9%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.5% 2%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.7% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.1%  
36 3% 97%  
37 5% 94%  
38 7% 89%  
39 17% 82%  
40 16% 65% Last Result, Median
41 16% 49%  
42 13% 33%  
43 7% 19%  
44 6% 12%  
45 3% 6%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.7% 1.4%  
48 0.4% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations