Opinion Poll by OGM for Servus TV, 1–31 August 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 24.6–29.6% | 23.9–30.3% | 23.3–31.0% | 22.2–32.2% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.9% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.1–26.1% | 19.5–26.7% | 18.5–28.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.7–24.7% | 16.7–25.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.4% | 6.9–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.2–8.4% | 3.7–9.2% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 3.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.9–5.0% | 1.6–5.6% |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.2% | 0.3–2.7% |
| Wandel | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.2% | 0.3–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 47–56 | 46–58 | 44–59 | 42–63 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 37–51 | 35–54 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 35–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 | 31–49 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 18 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 | 12–24 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 18 | 15–20 | 13–22 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 12 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 0–17 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Liste Madeleine Petrovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wandel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 46 | 4% | 96% | |
| 47 | 8% | 93% | |
| 48 | 5% | 85% | |
| 49 | 7% | 80% | |
| 50 | 4% | 73% | |
| 51 | 5% | 69% | |
| 52 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 53 | 18% | 43% | |
| 54 | 8% | 26% | |
| 55 | 5% | 17% | |
| 56 | 3% | 13% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 58 | 3% | 8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 96% | |
| 39 | 5% | 90% | |
| 40 | 4% | 86% | |
| 41 | 5% | 81% | |
| 42 | 18% | 76% | |
| 43 | 7% | 58% | |
| 44 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 37% | |
| 46 | 8% | 25% | |
| 47 | 6% | 17% | |
| 48 | 3% | 11% | |
| 49 | 2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 6% | 96% | |
| 36 | 4% | 89% | |
| 37 | 7% | 85% | |
| 38 | 6% | 78% | |
| 39 | 8% | 71% | |
| 40 | 20% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 12% | 43% | |
| 42 | 5% | 31% | |
| 43 | 6% | 26% | |
| 44 | 7% | 20% | |
| 45 | 8% | 13% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 3% | 97% | |
| 14 | 4% | 94% | |
| 15 | 16% | 90% | |
| 16 | 10% | 73% | |
| 17 | 9% | 63% | |
| 18 | 28% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 7% | 26% | |
| 20 | 6% | 19% | |
| 21 | 8% | 14% | |
| 22 | 2% | 6% | |
| 23 | 2% | 4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 94% | |
| 15 | 10% | 90% | Last Result |
| 16 | 7% | 81% | |
| 17 | 20% | 74% | |
| 18 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 38% | |
| 20 | 9% | 19% | |
| 21 | 5% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98% | |
| 9 | 10% | 95% | |
| 10 | 16% | 85% | |
| 11 | 15% | 69% | |
| 12 | 29% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 25% | |
| 14 | 7% | 13% | |
| 15 | 3% | 5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0% | 13% | |
| 7 | 5% | 13% | |
| 8 | 5% | 8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Liste Madeleine Petrovic
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liste Madeleine Petrovic page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Wandel
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Wandel page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 94 | 78% | 90–101 | 88–103 | 87–104 | 84–108 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 92 | 62% | 87–98 | 84–98 | 83–100 | 80–103 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 111 | 83 | 3% | 78–90 | 77–90 | 75–92 | 73–95 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 112 | 79 | 0.2% | 74–84 | 72–86 | 70–88 | 67–90 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 81 | 76 | 0% | 69–81 | 67–82 | 66–84 | 64–87 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 61 | 0% | 56–66 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 50–72 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 60 | 0% | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–69 | 50–71 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 58 | 0% | 53–63 | 50–65 | 50–66 | 48–68 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 0% | 39–48 | 38–50 | 37–51 | 35–54 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 0% | 35–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 | 31–49 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 86 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 95% | |
| 90 | 4% | 93% | |
| 91 | 12% | 89% | |
| 92 | 4% | 78% | Majority |
| 93 | 7% | 73% | |
| 94 | 17% | 67% | |
| 95 | 4% | 50% | |
| 96 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 97 | 7% | 39% | |
| 98 | 9% | 32% | |
| 99 | 5% | 23% | |
| 100 | 7% | 18% | |
| 101 | 4% | 11% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 2% | 94% | |
| 86 | 2% | 93% | |
| 87 | 3% | 90% | |
| 88 | 10% | 88% | |
| 89 | 3% | 78% | |
| 90 | 5% | 74% | |
| 91 | 8% | 69% | |
| 92 | 18% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 93 | 10% | 44% | |
| 94 | 12% | 34% | |
| 95 | 3% | 22% | |
| 96 | 3% | 19% | |
| 97 | 5% | 16% | |
| 98 | 6% | 10% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 7% | 93% | |
| 79 | 4% | 86% | |
| 80 | 2% | 82% | |
| 81 | 9% | 80% | |
| 82 | 17% | 71% | |
| 83 | 5% | 54% | |
| 84 | 5% | 49% | Median |
| 85 | 4% | 44% | |
| 86 | 15% | 40% | |
| 87 | 5% | 25% | |
| 88 | 3% | 20% | |
| 89 | 6% | 17% | |
| 90 | 5% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 3% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 88% | |
| 76 | 5% | 82% | |
| 77 | 19% | 77% | |
| 78 | 6% | 58% | |
| 79 | 18% | 52% | |
| 80 | 8% | 33% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 25% | |
| 82 | 8% | 21% | |
| 83 | 2% | 13% | |
| 84 | 3% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 8% | |
| 86 | 2% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 2% | 94% | |
| 69 | 4% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 88% | |
| 71 | 5% | 85% | |
| 72 | 6% | 80% | |
| 73 | 10% | 74% | |
| 74 | 7% | 64% | |
| 75 | 7% | 58% | |
| 76 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 77 | 17% | 47% | |
| 78 | 4% | 30% | |
| 79 | 9% | 26% | |
| 80 | 3% | 17% | |
| 81 | 6% | 14% | Last Result |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 6% | 94% | |
| 57 | 3% | 88% | |
| 58 | 7% | 85% | |
| 59 | 8% | 78% | |
| 60 | 7% | 70% | |
| 61 | 18% | 63% | |
| 62 | 18% | 45% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 27% | |
| 64 | 5% | 20% | |
| 65 | 3% | 15% | |
| 66 | 3% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 5% | 94% | |
| 57 | 7% | 90% | |
| 58 | 5% | 82% | |
| 59 | 8% | 77% | |
| 60 | 24% | 69% | |
| 61 | 6% | 45% | |
| 62 | 11% | 38% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 27% | |
| 64 | 6% | 24% | |
| 65 | 5% | 18% | |
| 66 | 3% | 14% | |
| 67 | 5% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 6% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 93% | |
| 53 | 6% | 91% | |
| 54 | 6% | 84% | |
| 55 | 7% | 78% | |
| 56 | 12% | 72% | |
| 57 | 7% | 60% | |
| 58 | 16% | 53% | Median |
| 59 | 5% | 36% | |
| 60 | 4% | 31% | |
| 61 | 8% | 27% | |
| 62 | 7% | 19% | |
| 63 | 5% | 11% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 5% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 6% | 96% | |
| 39 | 5% | 90% | |
| 40 | 4% | 86% | |
| 41 | 5% | 81% | |
| 42 | 18% | 76% | |
| 43 | 7% | 58% | |
| 44 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 37% | |
| 46 | 8% | 25% | |
| 47 | 6% | 17% | |
| 48 | 3% | 11% | |
| 49 | 2% | 9% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 6% | 96% | |
| 36 | 4% | 89% | |
| 37 | 7% | 85% | |
| 38 | 6% | 78% | |
| 39 | 8% | 71% | |
| 40 | 20% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 12% | 43% | |
| 42 | 5% | 31% | |
| 43 | 6% | 26% | |
| 44 | 7% | 20% | |
| 45 | 8% | 13% | |
| 46 | 2% | 5% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: OGM
- Commissioner(s): Servus TV
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 August 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 519
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.71%