Opinion Poll by Triple M for News, 26 August–3 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.5–31.8% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.8–11.5% | 7.3–12.1% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 47–62 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 9 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 6% | 94% | |
| 51 | 8% | 88% | |
| 52 | 11% | 80% | |
| 53 | 13% | 70% | |
| 54 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 55 | 12% | 42% | |
| 56 | 10% | 30% | |
| 57 | 7% | 20% | |
| 58 | 6% | 13% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 6% | 93% | |
| 42 | 11% | 86% | |
| 43 | 14% | 75% | |
| 44 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 46% | |
| 46 | 12% | 33% | |
| 47 | 9% | 21% | |
| 48 | 6% | 12% | |
| 49 | 3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 6% | 93% | |
| 38 | 8% | 87% | |
| 39 | 12% | 79% | |
| 40 | 16% | 67% | Last Result |
| 41 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 34% | |
| 43 | 9% | 21% | |
| 44 | 5% | 12% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 16 | 12% | 93% | |
| 17 | 19% | 81% | |
| 18 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 41% | |
| 20 | 12% | 22% | |
| 21 | 7% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 13 | 10% | 95% | |
| 14 | 23% | 85% | |
| 15 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 45% | |
| 17 | 15% | 23% | |
| 18 | 5% | 8% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 2% | 95% | |
| 8 | 17% | 92% | |
| 9 | 30% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 45% | |
| 11 | 12% | 19% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 22% | |
| 7 | 7% | 22% | |
| 8 | 12% | 15% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 98 | 97% | 94–103 | 92–104 | 91–106 | 89–108 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 95 | 81% | 90–99 | 89–100 | 87–102 | 85–104 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 111 | 85 | 2% | 80–89 | 79–90 | 78–91 | 76–94 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 112 | 78 | 0% | 73–82 | 72–83 | 71–84 | 69–87 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 81 | 74 | 0% | 70–78 | 68–79 | 67–80 | 65–83 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 62 | 0% | 59–66 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–71 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–66 | 52–68 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 48–64 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 0% | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 0% | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 93 | 4% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 91% | |
| 95 | 7% | 86% | |
| 96 | 8% | 79% | |
| 97 | 12% | 70% | |
| 98 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 99 | 12% | 49% | |
| 100 | 9% | 37% | |
| 101 | 8% | 28% | |
| 102 | 6% | 19% | Last Result |
| 103 | 5% | 13% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 86 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 5% | 92% | |
| 91 | 6% | 87% | |
| 92 | 9% | 81% | Majority |
| 93 | 11% | 72% | |
| 94 | 10% | 61% | |
| 95 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 39% | |
| 97 | 10% | 30% | |
| 98 | 7% | 20% | |
| 99 | 5% | 13% | |
| 100 | 3% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 3% | 97% | |
| 80 | 4% | 94% | |
| 81 | 6% | 90% | |
| 82 | 8% | 84% | |
| 83 | 11% | 76% | |
| 84 | 11% | 65% | |
| 85 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 86 | 12% | 43% | |
| 87 | 9% | 31% | |
| 88 | 8% | 22% | |
| 89 | 6% | 15% | |
| 90 | 4% | 8% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 93 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 5% | 94% | |
| 74 | 7% | 89% | |
| 75 | 7% | 82% | |
| 76 | 12% | 75% | |
| 77 | 11% | 63% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 52% | |
| 79 | 12% | 41% | |
| 80 | 9% | 29% | |
| 81 | 6% | 20% | |
| 82 | 5% | 13% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 3% | 94% | |
| 70 | 6% | 91% | |
| 71 | 9% | 85% | |
| 72 | 11% | 76% | |
| 73 | 11% | 65% | |
| 74 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 75 | 11% | 43% | |
| 76 | 10% | 32% | |
| 77 | 8% | 22% | |
| 78 | 6% | 14% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 8% | 90% | |
| 60 | 10% | 83% | |
| 61 | 12% | 73% | |
| 62 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 48% | |
| 64 | 10% | 37% | |
| 65 | 10% | 27% | |
| 66 | 7% | 17% | |
| 67 | 4% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 91% | |
| 57 | 10% | 85% | |
| 58 | 12% | 75% | |
| 59 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 60 | 14% | 51% | |
| 61 | 12% | 37% | |
| 62 | 9% | 25% | |
| 63 | 6% | 16% | |
| 64 | 5% | 10% | |
| 65 | 3% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 4% | 96% | |
| 52 | 5% | 92% | |
| 53 | 9% | 87% | |
| 54 | 13% | 77% | |
| 55 | 12% | 65% | |
| 56 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 41% | |
| 58 | 11% | 29% | |
| 59 | 7% | 18% | |
| 60 | 5% | 11% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 6% | 93% | |
| 42 | 11% | 86% | |
| 43 | 14% | 75% | |
| 44 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 46% | |
| 46 | 12% | 33% | |
| 47 | 9% | 21% | |
| 48 | 6% | 12% | |
| 49 | 3% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 4% | 97% | |
| 37 | 6% | 93% | |
| 38 | 8% | 87% | |
| 39 | 12% | 79% | |
| 40 | 16% | 67% | Last Result |
| 41 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 34% | |
| 43 | 9% | 21% | |
| 44 | 5% | 12% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Triple M
- Commissioner(s): News
- Fieldwork period: 26 August–3 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.43%