Opinion Poll by Spectra for Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten, 2–9 September 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0.7% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 48–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 6% | 96% | |
| 49 | 11% | 90% | |
| 50 | 15% | 79% | |
| 51 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 15% | 49% | |
| 53 | 11% | 34% | |
| 54 | 7% | 23% | |
| 55 | 5% | 16% | |
| 56 | 3% | 11% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 7% | 91% | |
| 44 | 11% | 84% | |
| 45 | 16% | 74% | |
| 46 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 47 | 16% | 45% | |
| 48 | 10% | 29% | |
| 49 | 8% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 11% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 5% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 90% | |
| 39 | 12% | 81% | |
| 40 | 14% | 70% | Last Result |
| 41 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 39% | |
| 43 | 11% | 25% | |
| 44 | 7% | 14% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 16 | 5% | 98% | |
| 17 | 10% | 94% | |
| 18 | 17% | 83% | |
| 19 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 20 | 19% | 45% | |
| 21 | 13% | 25% | |
| 22 | 7% | 12% | |
| 23 | 3% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 11% | 96% | |
| 14 | 19% | 85% | |
| 15 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 42% | |
| 17 | 12% | 22% | |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Bierpartei
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bierpartei page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 2% | 95% | |
| 8 | 15% | 94% | |
| 9 | 27% | 79% | |
| 10 | 26% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 18% | 26% | |
| 12 | 6% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistische Partei Österreichs page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 6% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei | 102 | 97 | 99.3% | 95–104 | 94–105 | 93–106 | 91–108 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 71 | 93 | 62% | 88–97 | 87–98 | 86–100 | 84–102 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 111 | 87 | 8% | 83–91 | 82–92 | 81–93 | 79–96 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 112 | 81 | 0.1% | 77–85 | 75–86 | 74–87 | 72–89 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 81 | 76 | 0% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 | 67–84 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 86 | 65 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 58–74 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 97 | 61 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–66 | 56–67 | 54–70 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 66 | 56 | 0% | 52–60 | 51–61 | 50–62 | 49–64 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 46 | 0% | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 0% | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 93 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 94 | 6% | 96% | |
| 95 | 11% | 91% | |
| 96 | 17% | 80% | |
| 97 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 98 | 15% | 45% | |
| 99 | 9% | 30% | |
| 100 | 4% | 21% | |
| 101 | 2% | 17% | |
| 102 | 2% | 15% | Last Result |
| 103 | 3% | 14% | |
| 104 | 3% | 10% | |
| 105 | 3% | 7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 87 | 3% | 97% | |
| 88 | 4% | 94% | |
| 89 | 7% | 90% | |
| 90 | 9% | 82% | |
| 91 | 11% | 73% | |
| 92 | 12% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 93 | 13% | 51% | |
| 94 | 12% | 37% | |
| 95 | 8% | 26% | |
| 96 | 6% | 18% | |
| 97 | 5% | 12% | |
| 98 | 3% | 7% | |
| 99 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 95% | |
| 83 | 6% | 91% | |
| 84 | 8% | 86% | |
| 85 | 10% | 78% | |
| 86 | 11% | 67% | |
| 87 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 88 | 11% | 43% | |
| 89 | 10% | 32% | |
| 90 | 8% | 22% | |
| 91 | 6% | 13% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 4% | 95% | |
| 77 | 5% | 90% | |
| 78 | 10% | 85% | |
| 79 | 11% | 75% | |
| 80 | 12% | 65% | Median |
| 81 | 15% | 53% | |
| 82 | 9% | 38% | |
| 83 | 10% | 29% | |
| 84 | 7% | 19% | |
| 85 | 5% | 11% | |
| 86 | 3% | 7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 92% | |
| 72 | 7% | 87% | |
| 73 | 8% | 81% | |
| 74 | 10% | 73% | |
| 75 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 51% | |
| 77 | 12% | 38% | |
| 78 | 12% | 26% | |
| 79 | 7% | 14% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 8% | 91% | |
| 63 | 9% | 83% | |
| 64 | 11% | 74% | |
| 65 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 66 | 13% | 49% | |
| 67 | 11% | 36% | |
| 68 | 10% | 25% | |
| 69 | 6% | 15% | |
| 70 | 4% | 9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 5% | 96% | |
| 58 | 7% | 90% | |
| 59 | 11% | 84% | |
| 60 | 12% | 73% | |
| 61 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 62 | 12% | 48% | |
| 63 | 12% | 36% | |
| 64 | 8% | 23% | |
| 65 | 6% | 15% | |
| 66 | 4% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 94% | |
| 53 | 7% | 88% | |
| 54 | 10% | 81% | |
| 55 | 14% | 71% | |
| 56 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 13% | 44% | |
| 58 | 11% | 31% | |
| 59 | 8% | 19% | |
| 60 | 6% | 12% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 42 | 6% | 97% | |
| 43 | 7% | 91% | |
| 44 | 11% | 84% | |
| 45 | 16% | 74% | |
| 46 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 47 | 16% | 45% | |
| 48 | 10% | 29% | |
| 49 | 8% | 19% | |
| 50 | 5% | 11% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 5% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 90% | |
| 39 | 12% | 81% | |
| 40 | 14% | 70% | Last Result |
| 41 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 39% | |
| 43 | 11% | 25% | |
| 44 | 7% | 14% | |
| 45 | 4% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Spectra
- Commissioner(s): Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten
- Fieldwork period: 2–9 September 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.98%