Opinion Poll by Savanta ComRes, 15–17 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.1% 42.6–45.6% 42.2–46.0% 41.9–46.3% 41.2–47.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 30.8% 29.4–32.2% 29.1–32.5% 28.7–32.9% 28.1–33.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.3% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 10.0–12.8% 9.5–13.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.1% 3.6–4.7% 3.4–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.0–5.4%
Green Party 2.8% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%
Brexit Party 2.0% 1.3% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 335 324–352 321–358 320–363 316–371
Conservative Party 365 214 196–225 188–228 185–230 176–235
Liberal Democrats 11 24 20–31 18–34 17–37 15–39
Scottish National Party 48 52 41–56 39–57 37–58 33–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 5–6 4–6 4–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.6%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.4%  
318 0.5% 99.3%  
319 1.2% 98.8%  
320 2% 98%  
321 1.4% 96%  
322 2% 94%  
323 2% 93%  
324 1.3% 91%  
325 4% 90%  
326 4% 86% Majority
327 5% 82%  
328 6% 77%  
329 2% 71%  
330 6% 69%  
331 4% 63%  
332 3% 59%  
333 3% 56%  
334 2% 53%  
335 3% 51% Median
336 4% 49%  
337 3% 45%  
338 4% 42%  
339 4% 38%  
340 2% 34%  
341 2% 32%  
342 2% 30%  
343 4% 27%  
344 1.5% 24%  
345 3% 22%  
346 1.4% 20%  
347 1.3% 18%  
348 2% 17%  
349 1.3% 15%  
350 2% 14%  
351 1.1% 12%  
352 1.3% 11%  
353 0.7% 10%  
354 0.6% 9%  
355 1.0% 8%  
356 0.7% 7%  
357 0.6% 7%  
358 1.3% 6%  
359 0.6% 5%  
360 0.4% 4%  
361 0.6% 4%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.7% 3%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.4%  
367 0.2% 1.2%  
368 0.2% 1.1%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0.1% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.8%  
173 0% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.7%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0.1% 99.6%  
177 0.1% 99.4%  
178 0.2% 99.3%  
179 0.1% 99.1%  
180 0.1% 99.1%  
181 0.2% 98.9%  
182 0.3% 98.7%  
183 0.2% 98%  
184 0.4% 98%  
185 0.6% 98%  
186 0.6% 97%  
187 1.2% 97%  
188 0.6% 95%  
189 0.4% 95%  
190 0.8% 94%  
191 0.4% 94%  
192 0.6% 93%  
193 0.6% 93%  
194 0.8% 92%  
195 0.6% 91%  
196 0.8% 91%  
197 1.3% 90%  
198 1.2% 89%  
199 1.2% 87%  
200 2% 86%  
201 2% 84%  
202 1.3% 82%  
203 2% 81%  
204 2% 79%  
205 3% 76%  
206 2% 74%  
207 3% 72%  
208 3% 69%  
209 4% 66%  
210 3% 63%  
211 3% 60%  
212 2% 58%  
213 3% 55%  
214 4% 52% Median
215 3% 48%  
216 1.5% 45%  
217 3% 44%  
218 3% 41%  
219 4% 38%  
220 4% 34%  
221 7% 29%  
222 7% 22%  
223 2% 16%  
224 3% 13%  
225 1.2% 10%  
226 2% 9%  
227 0.9% 7%  
228 2% 6%  
229 1.5% 4%  
230 0.8% 3%  
231 0.8% 2%  
232 0.3% 1.2%  
233 0.1% 0.9%  
234 0.2% 0.8%  
235 0.2% 0.6%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0.1% 0.3%  
238 0.1% 0.2%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0.2% 99.8%  
15 0.5% 99.6%  
16 0.8% 99.2%  
17 1.4% 98%  
18 2% 97%  
19 3% 95%  
20 6% 91%  
21 10% 85%  
22 7% 75%  
23 13% 68%  
24 11% 55% Median
25 7% 44%  
26 7% 37%  
27 5% 30%  
28 5% 25%  
29 4% 19%  
30 3% 16%  
31 3% 13%  
32 2% 10%  
33 2% 8%  
34 1.0% 6%  
35 1.0% 5%  
36 0.6% 4%  
37 1.2% 3%  
38 0.8% 2%  
39 0.7% 1.2%  
40 0.2% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.1% 99.8%  
32 0.1% 99.7%  
33 0.4% 99.6%  
34 0.1% 99.2%  
35 0.9% 99.0%  
36 0.4% 98%  
37 0.6% 98%  
38 1.5% 97%  
39 2% 96%  
40 0.8% 93%  
41 3% 93%  
42 0.6% 89%  
43 3% 89%  
44 1.0% 85%  
45 3% 84%  
46 2% 82%  
47 2% 80%  
48 4% 78% Last Result
49 3% 74%  
50 6% 71%  
51 10% 64%  
52 13% 54% Median
53 10% 41%  
54 8% 31%  
55 8% 23%  
56 7% 15%  
57 5% 8%  
58 3% 3%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 2% 99.7% Last Result
5 92% 97% Median
6 5% 5%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 416 100% 405–434 402–442 400–445 395–454
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 415 100% 404–433 401–441 399–444 394–453
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 410 100% 399–428 396–436 394–439 389–448
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 391 100% 381–406 379–412 377–415 373–422
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 385 100% 376–401 374–407 372–410 368–417
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 364 100% 352–385 348–392 345–398 341–406
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 359 100% 346–380 343–387 340–393 335–402
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 340 96% 329–357 326–363 325–368 321–375
Labour Party 202 335 86% 324–352 321–358 320–363 316–371
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 270 0% 249–283 242–286 236–289 227–294
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 265 0% 244–277 237–281 231–284 223–288
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 238 0% 223–248 217–250 214–252 207–256
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 219 0% 201–230 193–233 190–235 181–240
Conservative Party 365 214 0% 196–225 188–228 185–230 176–235

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0.1% 99.9%  
392 0.1% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.8%  
394 0.1% 99.7%  
395 0.2% 99.6%  
396 0.2% 99.4%  
397 0.1% 99.2%  
398 0.3% 99.1%  
399 0.8% 98.8%  
400 0.8% 98%  
401 1.5% 97%  
402 2% 96%  
403 0.9% 94%  
404 2% 93%  
405 1.2% 91%  
406 3% 90%  
407 2% 87%  
408 7% 84%  
409 7% 78%  
410 4% 71%  
411 4% 66%  
412 3% 62%  
413 3% 59%  
414 1.5% 56%  
415 3% 55%  
416 4% 52%  
417 3% 48% Median
418 2% 45%  
419 3% 42%  
420 3% 40%  
421 4% 37%  
422 3% 34%  
423 3% 31%  
424 2% 28%  
425 3% 26%  
426 2% 24%  
427 2% 21%  
428 1.3% 19%  
429 2% 18%  
430 2% 16%  
431 1.2% 14%  
432 1.2% 13%  
433 1.3% 11%  
434 0.8% 10%  
435 0.6% 9%  
436 0.8% 9%  
437 0.6% 8%  
438 0.6% 7%  
439 0.4% 7%  
440 0.8% 6%  
441 0.4% 6%  
442 0.6% 5%  
443 1.2% 5%  
444 0.6% 3%  
445 0.6% 3%  
446 0.4% 2%  
447 0.2% 2%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 0.2% 1.3%  
450 0.1% 1.1%  
451 0.1% 0.9%  
452 0.2% 0.9%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0.1% 0.4%  
456 0.1% 0.4%  
457 0% 0.3%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.9%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.7%  
394 0.2% 99.6%  
395 0.2% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.3% 99.1%  
398 0.8% 98.8%  
399 0.8% 98%  
400 1.5% 97%  
401 2% 96%  
402 0.9% 94%  
403 2% 93%  
404 1.2% 91%  
405 3% 90%  
406 2% 87%  
407 7% 84%  
408 7% 78%  
409 4% 71%  
410 4% 66%  
411 3% 62%  
412 3% 59%  
413 1.5% 56%  
414 3% 55%  
415 4% 52%  
416 3% 48% Median
417 2% 45%  
418 3% 42%  
419 3% 40%  
420 4% 37%  
421 3% 34%  
422 3% 31%  
423 2% 28%  
424 3% 26%  
425 2% 24%  
426 2% 21%  
427 1.3% 19%  
428 2% 18%  
429 2% 16%  
430 1.2% 14%  
431 1.2% 13%  
432 1.3% 11%  
433 0.8% 10%  
434 0.6% 9%  
435 0.8% 9%  
436 0.6% 8%  
437 0.6% 7%  
438 0.4% 7%  
439 0.8% 6%  
440 0.4% 6%  
441 0.6% 5%  
442 1.2% 5%  
443 0.6% 3%  
444 0.6% 3%  
445 0.4% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.2% 1.3%  
449 0.1% 1.1%  
450 0.1% 0.9%  
451 0.2% 0.9%  
452 0.1% 0.7%  
453 0.1% 0.6%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.4%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0.1% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.2% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.3% 99.1%  
393 0.8% 98.8%  
394 0.8% 98%  
395 1.5% 97%  
396 2% 96%  
397 1.0% 94%  
398 2% 93%  
399 1.4% 91%  
400 3% 89%  
401 2% 87%  
402 7% 84%  
403 7% 78%  
404 5% 71%  
405 4% 66%  
406 3% 62%  
407 2% 59%  
408 1.3% 56%  
409 3% 55%  
410 3% 52%  
411 3% 48% Median
412 2% 45%  
413 3% 43%  
414 3% 40%  
415 3% 37%  
416 3% 34%  
417 2% 31%  
418 2% 28%  
419 3% 26%  
420 2% 24%  
421 2% 21%  
422 1.4% 19%  
423 2% 18%  
424 2% 16%  
425 1.3% 14%  
426 1.2% 13%  
427 1.3% 11%  
428 0.9% 10%  
429 0.6% 9%  
430 0.7% 9%  
431 0.6% 8%  
432 0.6% 7%  
433 0.4% 7%  
434 0.7% 6%  
435 0.4% 6%  
436 0.6% 5%  
437 1.2% 5%  
438 0.6% 3%  
439 0.6% 3%  
440 0.4% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.3%  
444 0.1% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 0.9%  
446 0.2% 0.9%  
447 0.1% 0.7%  
448 0.1% 0.6%  
449 0.1% 0.4%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.2% 99.5%  
374 0.6% 99.4%  
375 0.2% 98.8%  
376 0.4% 98.5%  
377 0.9% 98%  
378 2% 97%  
379 2% 96%  
380 3% 94%  
381 3% 90%  
382 4% 88%  
383 3% 84%  
384 5% 81%  
385 4% 76%  
386 9% 71%  
387 5% 63%  
388 5% 58%  
389 2% 53%  
390 1.2% 51%  
391 4% 50%  
392 2% 46% Median
393 3% 44%  
394 2% 41%  
395 6% 38%  
396 3% 32%  
397 2% 29%  
398 1.3% 27%  
399 3% 26%  
400 3% 22%  
401 3% 19%  
402 2% 16%  
403 1.4% 14%  
404 2% 13%  
405 0.7% 11%  
406 0.9% 10%  
407 1.3% 9%  
408 1.2% 8%  
409 0.5% 7%  
410 0.2% 6%  
411 0.4% 6%  
412 0.7% 6%  
413 1.1% 5%  
414 1.1% 4%  
415 0.5% 3%  
416 0.3% 2%  
417 0.2% 2%  
418 0.3% 2%  
419 0.4% 1.5%  
420 0.4% 1.0%  
421 0.2% 0.7%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0.1% 0.4%  
424 0.1% 0.3%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.6% 99.3%  
370 0.2% 98.7%  
371 0.4% 98%  
372 1.0% 98%  
373 2% 97%  
374 2% 96%  
375 3% 93%  
376 3% 90%  
377 4% 87%  
378 3% 84%  
379 5% 81%  
380 4% 76%  
381 9% 71%  
382 5% 63%  
383 5% 58%  
384 2% 53%  
385 1.3% 51%  
386 4% 50%  
387 2% 46% Median
388 3% 44%  
389 2% 41%  
390 6% 38%  
391 3% 32%  
392 2% 29%  
393 1.3% 27%  
394 3% 26%  
395 3% 22%  
396 3% 19%  
397 2% 16%  
398 1.4% 14%  
399 2% 13%  
400 0.9% 11%  
401 1.0% 10%  
402 1.3% 9%  
403 1.2% 8%  
404 0.4% 7%  
405 0.3% 6%  
406 0.4% 6%  
407 0.8% 6%  
408 1.1% 5%  
409 1.1% 4%  
410 0.5% 3%  
411 0.3% 2%  
412 0.3% 2%  
413 0.2% 2%  
414 0.5% 2%  
415 0.4% 1.1%  
416 0.1% 0.7%  
417 0.1% 0.5%  
418 0.1% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.2% 99.7%  
341 0.2% 99.5%  
342 0.4% 99.3%  
343 0.4% 98.9%  
344 0.5% 98.5%  
345 0.7% 98%  
346 0.3% 97%  
347 0.9% 97%  
348 1.2% 96%  
349 2% 95%  
350 2% 93%  
351 1.4% 91%  
352 3% 90%  
353 3% 87%  
354 2% 84%  
355 4% 82%  
356 5% 78%  
357 3% 73%  
358 4% 70%  
359 2% 66%  
360 3% 64%  
361 3% 61%  
362 2% 57%  
363 2% 55%  
364 4% 53% Median
365 2% 49%  
366 3% 47%  
367 3% 44%  
368 3% 41%  
369 3% 39%  
370 3% 36%  
371 2% 33%  
372 3% 31%  
373 2% 28%  
374 2% 26%  
375 2% 25%  
376 2% 23%  
377 2% 21%  
378 2% 20%  
379 1.1% 18%  
380 1.4% 17%  
381 0.8% 15%  
382 0.8% 15%  
383 2% 14%  
384 0.7% 12%  
385 1.0% 11%  
386 0.7% 10%  
387 0.8% 9%  
388 0.7% 8%  
389 0.8% 8%  
390 0.6% 7%  
391 0.8% 6%  
392 0.8% 6%  
393 0.7% 5%  
394 0.5% 4%  
395 0.5% 4%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.2% 3%  
399 0.5% 2%  
400 0.2% 2%  
401 0.3% 2%  
402 0.1% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 1.2%  
404 0.2% 1.0%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.2% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.4%  
409 0% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.2%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0.1%  
419 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.7%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0.2% 99.5%  
337 0.4% 99.3%  
338 0.4% 98.9%  
339 0.5% 98.5%  
340 0.7% 98%  
341 0.4% 97%  
342 0.9% 97%  
343 1.3% 96%  
344 2% 95%  
345 2% 93%  
346 1.4% 91%  
347 3% 90%  
348 3% 87%  
349 2% 84%  
350 4% 82%  
351 5% 78%  
352 3% 73%  
353 4% 70%  
354 3% 66%  
355 3% 63%  
356 3% 61%  
357 2% 57%  
358 2% 55%  
359 4% 53% Median
360 2% 49%  
361 3% 47%  
362 3% 44%  
363 3% 41%  
364 3% 38%  
365 3% 36%  
366 2% 33%  
367 3% 31%  
368 2% 28%  
369 2% 26%  
370 2% 25%  
371 1.3% 23%  
372 2% 22%  
373 2% 20%  
374 1.2% 18%  
375 1.2% 17%  
376 0.9% 16%  
377 0.9% 15%  
378 2% 14%  
379 0.8% 12%  
380 0.9% 11%  
381 0.7% 10%  
382 0.8% 9%  
383 0.7% 8%  
384 0.8% 8%  
385 0.5% 7%  
386 0.7% 7%  
387 0.9% 6%  
388 0.7% 5%  
389 0.4% 4%  
390 0.5% 4%  
391 0.4% 3%  
392 0.3% 3%  
393 0.2% 3%  
394 0.5% 2%  
395 0.2% 2%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.1% 1.3%  
398 0.2% 1.2%  
399 0.2% 1.0%  
400 0.1% 0.8%  
401 0.2% 0.7%  
402 0.1% 0.5%  
403 0.1% 0.4%  
404 0% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0% 99.6%  
321 0.2% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.4%  
323 0.4% 99.3%  
324 1.0% 98.9%  
325 2% 98%  
326 2% 96% Majority
327 2% 94%  
328 2% 93%  
329 1.4% 91%  
330 3% 90%  
331 4% 86%  
332 5% 82%  
333 6% 77%  
334 2% 71%  
335 6% 69%  
336 4% 63%  
337 3% 59%  
338 3% 56%  
339 2% 53%  
340 3% 51% Median
341 4% 49%  
342 3% 45%  
343 4% 42%  
344 4% 38%  
345 2% 34%  
346 2% 32%  
347 2% 30%  
348 4% 27%  
349 1.4% 24%  
350 3% 22%  
351 1.4% 20%  
352 1.3% 18%  
353 2% 17%  
354 1.4% 15%  
355 2% 14%  
356 1.2% 12%  
357 1.3% 11%  
358 0.7% 10%  
359 0.6% 9%  
360 1.1% 8%  
361 0.6% 7%  
362 0.7% 7%  
363 1.2% 6%  
364 0.6% 5%  
365 0.4% 4%  
366 0.6% 4%  
367 0.4% 3%  
368 0.7% 3%  
369 0.4% 2%  
370 0.2% 2%  
371 0.2% 1.4%  
372 0.2% 1.2%  
373 0.2% 1.1%  
374 0.2% 0.8%  
375 0.1% 0.6%  
376 0.1% 0.5%  
377 0.1% 0.4%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0% 0.2%  
381 0.1% 0.2%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.9%  
312 0.1% 99.9%  
313 0.1% 99.8%  
314 0.1% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.6%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.1% 99.4%  
318 0.5% 99.3%  
319 1.2% 98.8%  
320 2% 98%  
321 1.4% 96%  
322 2% 94%  
323 2% 93%  
324 1.3% 91%  
325 4% 90%  
326 4% 86% Majority
327 5% 82%  
328 6% 77%  
329 2% 71%  
330 6% 69%  
331 4% 63%  
332 3% 59%  
333 3% 56%  
334 2% 53%  
335 3% 51% Median
336 4% 49%  
337 3% 45%  
338 4% 42%  
339 4% 38%  
340 2% 34%  
341 2% 32%  
342 2% 30%  
343 4% 27%  
344 1.5% 24%  
345 3% 22%  
346 1.4% 20%  
347 1.3% 18%  
348 2% 17%  
349 1.3% 15%  
350 2% 14%  
351 1.1% 12%  
352 1.3% 11%  
353 0.7% 10%  
354 0.6% 9%  
355 1.0% 8%  
356 0.7% 7%  
357 0.6% 7%  
358 1.3% 6%  
359 0.6% 5%  
360 0.4% 4%  
361 0.6% 4%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.7% 3%  
364 0.4% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.4%  
367 0.2% 1.2%  
368 0.2% 1.1%  
369 0.2% 0.8%  
370 0.1% 0.6%  
371 0.1% 0.5%  
372 0.1% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.3%  
374 0.1% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.2%  
376 0.1% 0.2%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.8%  
223 0% 99.8%  
224 0.1% 99.8%  
225 0% 99.7%  
226 0.1% 99.6%  
227 0.1% 99.6%  
228 0.2% 99.5%  
229 0.1% 99.3%  
230 0.2% 99.2%  
231 0.2% 99.0%  
232 0.1% 98.8%  
233 0.3% 98.7%  
234 0.2% 98%  
235 0.5% 98%  
236 0.2% 98%  
237 0.3% 97%  
238 0.4% 97%  
239 0.5% 97%  
240 0.4% 96%  
241 0.7% 96%  
242 0.9% 95%  
243 0.7% 94%  
244 0.5% 93%  
245 0.8% 93%  
246 0.7% 92%  
247 0.8% 92%  
248 0.7% 91%  
249 0.9% 90%  
250 0.8% 89%  
251 2% 88%  
252 0.9% 86%  
253 0.9% 85%  
254 1.2% 84%  
255 1.2% 83%  
256 2% 82%  
257 2% 80%  
258 1.3% 78%  
259 2% 77%  
260 2% 75%  
261 2% 74%  
262 3% 72%  
263 2% 69%  
264 3% 67%  
265 3% 64%  
266 3% 62%  
267 3% 59%  
268 3% 56%  
269 2% 53%  
270 4% 51%  
271 2% 47% Median
272 2% 45%  
273 3% 43%  
274 3% 39%  
275 3% 37%  
276 4% 34%  
277 3% 30%  
278 5% 27%  
279 4% 22%  
280 2% 18%  
281 3% 16%  
282 3% 13%  
283 1.4% 10%  
284 2% 9%  
285 2% 7%  
286 1.3% 5%  
287 0.9% 4%  
288 0.4% 3%  
289 0.7% 3%  
290 0.5% 2%  
291 0.4% 1.5%  
292 0.4% 1.1%  
293 0.2% 0.7%  
294 0.1% 0.5%  
295 0.1% 0.4%  
296 0% 0.3%  
297 0.1% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.2%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0.1%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.8%  
218 0% 99.8%  
219 0.1% 99.8%  
220 0% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.6%  
222 0.1% 99.6%  
223 0.2% 99.5%  
224 0.1% 99.3%  
225 0.2% 99.2%  
226 0.2% 99.0%  
227 0.1% 98.8%  
228 0.3% 98.7%  
229 0.2% 98%  
230 0.5% 98%  
231 0.2% 98%  
232 0.3% 97%  
233 0.4% 97%  
234 0.5% 97%  
235 0.5% 96%  
236 0.7% 96%  
237 0.8% 95%  
238 0.8% 94%  
239 0.6% 94%  
240 0.8% 93%  
241 0.7% 92%  
242 0.8% 92%  
243 0.7% 91%  
244 1.0% 90%  
245 0.7% 89%  
246 2% 88%  
247 0.8% 86%  
248 0.8% 85%  
249 1.4% 85%  
250 1.1% 83%  
251 2% 82%  
252 2% 80%  
253 2% 79%  
254 2% 77%  
255 2% 75%  
256 2% 74%  
257 3% 72%  
258 2% 69%  
259 3% 67%  
260 3% 64%  
261 3% 61%  
262 3% 59%  
263 3% 56%  
264 2% 53%  
265 4% 51%  
266 2% 47% Median
267 2% 45%  
268 3% 43%  
269 3% 39%  
270 2% 36%  
271 4% 34%  
272 3% 30%  
273 5% 27%  
274 4% 22%  
275 2% 18%  
276 3% 16%  
277 3% 13%  
278 1.4% 10%  
279 2% 9%  
280 2% 7%  
281 1.2% 5%  
282 0.9% 4%  
283 0.3% 3%  
284 0.7% 3%  
285 0.5% 2%  
286 0.4% 1.5%  
287 0.4% 1.1%  
288 0.2% 0.7%  
289 0.2% 0.5%  
290 0.1% 0.3%  
291 0% 0.3%  
292 0.1% 0.2%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
200 0% 100%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.9%  
204 0% 99.9%  
205 0.1% 99.8%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.6%  
208 0.2% 99.5%  
209 0.4% 99.3%  
210 0.4% 99.0%  
211 0.3% 98.5%  
212 0.2% 98%  
213 0.3% 98%  
214 0.5% 98%  
215 1.1% 97%  
216 1.1% 96%  
217 0.7% 95%  
218 0.4% 94%  
219 0.2% 94%  
220 0.5% 94%  
221 1.2% 93%  
222 1.3% 92%  
223 0.9% 91%  
224 0.7% 90%  
225 2% 89%  
226 1.4% 87%  
227 2% 86%  
228 3% 84%  
229 3% 81%  
230 3% 78%  
231 1.3% 74%  
232 2% 73%  
233 3% 71%  
234 6% 68%  
235 2% 62%  
236 3% 59%  
237 2% 56%  
238 4% 54% Median
239 1.2% 50%  
240 2% 49%  
241 5% 47%  
242 5% 42%  
243 9% 37%  
244 4% 29%  
245 5% 24%  
246 3% 19%  
247 4% 16%  
248 3% 12%  
249 3% 10%  
250 2% 6%  
251 2% 4%  
252 0.9% 3%  
253 0.4% 2%  
254 0.2% 1.5%  
255 0.6% 1.2%  
256 0.2% 0.6%  
257 0.1% 0.5%  
258 0.1% 0.4%  
259 0.1% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.8%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0.1% 99.7%  
180 0.1% 99.6%  
181 0.1% 99.6%  
182 0.1% 99.4%  
183 0.2% 99.3%  
184 0.1% 99.1%  
185 0.1% 99.1%  
186 0.2% 98.9%  
187 0.3% 98.7%  
188 0.2% 98%  
189 0.4% 98%  
190 0.6% 98%  
191 0.6% 97%  
192 1.2% 97%  
193 0.6% 95%  
194 0.4% 95%  
195 0.7% 94%  
196 0.4% 94%  
197 0.6% 93%  
198 0.6% 93%  
199 0.7% 92%  
200 0.6% 91%  
201 0.9% 91%  
202 1.3% 90%  
203 1.2% 89%  
204 1.3% 87%  
205 2% 86%  
206 2% 84%  
207 1.4% 82%  
208 2% 81%  
209 2% 79%  
210 3% 76%  
211 2% 74%  
212 2% 72%  
213 3% 69%  
214 3% 66%  
215 3% 63%  
216 3% 60%  
217 2% 57%  
218 3% 55%  
219 3% 52% Median
220 3% 48%  
221 1.3% 45%  
222 2% 44%  
223 3% 41%  
224 4% 38%  
225 5% 34%  
226 7% 29%  
227 7% 22%  
228 2% 16%  
229 3% 13%  
230 1.4% 11%  
231 2% 9%  
232 1.0% 7%  
233 2% 6%  
234 1.5% 4%  
235 0.8% 3%  
236 0.8% 2%  
237 0.3% 1.2%  
238 0.1% 0.9%  
239 0.2% 0.8%  
240 0.2% 0.6%  
241 0.1% 0.4%  
242 0.1% 0.3%  
243 0.1% 0.2%  
244 0.1% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.8%  
173 0% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.7%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0.1% 99.6%  
177 0.1% 99.4%  
178 0.2% 99.3%  
179 0.1% 99.1%  
180 0.1% 99.1%  
181 0.2% 98.9%  
182 0.3% 98.7%  
183 0.2% 98%  
184 0.4% 98%  
185 0.6% 98%  
186 0.6% 97%  
187 1.2% 97%  
188 0.6% 95%  
189 0.4% 95%  
190 0.8% 94%  
191 0.4% 94%  
192 0.6% 93%  
193 0.6% 93%  
194 0.8% 92%  
195 0.6% 91%  
196 0.8% 91%  
197 1.3% 90%  
198 1.2% 89%  
199 1.2% 87%  
200 2% 86%  
201 2% 84%  
202 1.3% 82%  
203 2% 81%  
204 2% 79%  
205 3% 76%  
206 2% 74%  
207 3% 72%  
208 3% 69%  
209 4% 66%  
210 3% 63%  
211 3% 60%  
212 2% 58%  
213 3% 55%  
214 4% 52% Median
215 3% 48%  
216 1.5% 45%  
217 3% 44%  
218 3% 41%  
219 4% 38%  
220 4% 34%  
221 7% 29%  
222 7% 22%  
223 2% 16%  
224 3% 13%  
225 1.2% 10%  
226 2% 9%  
227 0.9% 7%  
228 2% 6%  
229 1.5% 4%  
230 0.8% 3%  
231 0.8% 2%  
232 0.3% 1.2%  
233 0.1% 0.9%  
234 0.2% 0.8%  
235 0.2% 0.6%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0.1% 0.3%  
238 0.1% 0.2%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations