Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	CON	LAB	LIBDEM	SNP	GREEN	BREXIT	PC	SPKR	UKIP	ChUK	NI
12 December 2019	General Election	43.6% 365	32.1% 202	11.5% 11	3.9% 48	2.8% 1	2.0% 0	0.5% 4	0.1% 1	0.1% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 18
N/A	Poll Average	17–28% 41–192	39–48% 323–471	10–15% 33–72	2–7% 12–58	4–9% 1–5	6–11% 4–31	0–2% 0–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2–3 July 2024	We Think	23–28% 108–198	42–48% 353–434	10–14% 28–59	1–3% 4–39	5–8% 1–3	6–9% 4–21	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1–3 July 2024	Survation Good Morning Britain	20–25% 72–157	40–45% 345–423	12–15% 46–73	3–4% 30–52	5–8% 1–3	7–10% 14–26	1–2% 5–7	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2–3 July 2024	Savanta	21–24% 83–163	41–46% 377–447	10–13% 36–59	2–3% 12–38	4–5% 1–2	7–10% 14–25	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1–3 July 2024	Opinium	22–25% 85–160	44–48% 381–446	11–14% 39–61	2–3% 9–34	5–7% 1–3	7–10% 12–23	0–1% 0–4	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
3 July 2024	Number Cruncher Politics	23–27% 126–185	43–47% 372–422	11–14% 33–53	2–3% 8–34	5–7% 1–3	5–7% 3–14	1–2% 5–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1–3 July 2024	Norstat	25–28% 160–207	39–43% 307–349	11–14% 28–51	4–5% 48–58	4–6% 1–2	7–9% 14–23	1–2% 5–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2–3 July 2024	JL Partners The Rest Is Politics	23–27% 121–188	39–44% 322–383	13–16% 44–69	3–4% 29–52	3–5% 1	7–9% 14–27	0–1% 0–4	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1–3 July 2024	Ipsos MORI	19–23% 72–149	39–43% 348–416	11–14% 38–66	6–8% 57–58	7–9% 3–5	6–8% 7–21	1–2% 5–7	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
3 July 2024	Deltapoll	23–27% 120–194	41–46% 350–414	10–13% 27–52	2–3% 7–38	5–8% 1–3	7–10% 13–26	1–2% 5–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1–2 July 2024	Whitestone Insight Daily Express/Daily Mirror	22–26% 111–177	41–45% 339–402	10–13% 29–53	3–4% 32–55	5–7% 1–3	8–10% 18–28	1–2% 5–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2 July 2024	Techne UK	21–26% 81–167	42–47% 353–433	11–14% 36–63	3–4% 26–54	4–7% 1–3	6–9% 5–22	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2 July 2024	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	24–25% 136–152	45–46% 379–398	11–12% 37–41	3–4% 36–41	5–6% 1	7–8% 14–19	0% 0–3	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2 July 2024	People Polling GB News	16–21% 34–125	39–44% 358–444	10–14% 40–74	3–6% 43–58	7–10% 3–7	8–12% 20–41	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
2 July 2024	BMG Research The i	22–26% 112–180	41–45% 341–405	11–14% 34–59	3–4% 28–53	5–7% 1–3	7–9% 8–23	0–1% 0–5	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1 July 2024	Verian	22–25% 106–171	38–42% 326–385	13–16% 52–75	3–4% 33–52	5–7% 1–3	7–9% 14–26	1–2% 5–7	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
1 July 2024	Lord Ashcroft	20–23% 79–130	42–45% 372–422	12–13% 50–64	3–4% 36–49	6–8% 3	8–10% 20–26	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
28–30 June 2024	More in Common	24–29% 129–205	40–46% 317–394	12–15% 33–62	2–5% 23–54	3–6% 1	6–9% 4–21	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
25–27 June 2024	YouGov	21–24% 94–143	40–43% 348–393	13–16% 58–74	3–4% 36–50	5–7% 2–3	7–9% 19–25	1–2% 5–6	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
25–26 June 2024	PeoplePolling GB News	16–19% 19–71	44–49% 443–494	9–12% 43–67	2–3% 17–37	7–10% 3–6	9–12% 20–34	0–1% 0–4	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
14–17 June 2024	Focaldata	22–25% 82–154	46–50% 399–463	10–12% 31–52	2–3% 10–34	4–5% 1	7–9% 5–20	N/A N/A	N/A 1	N/A N/A	N/A N/A	N/A 18
12 December 2019	General Election	43.6% 365	32.1% 202	11.5% 11	3.9% 48	2.8% 1	2.0% 0	0.5% 4	0.1% 1	0.1% 0	0.0% 0	0.0% 18

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the House of Commons (95% confidence interval)
CON: Conservative Party
LAB: Labour Party
LIBDEM: Liberal Democrats
SNP: Scottish National Party
GREEN: Green Party
BREXIT: Brexit Party
PC: Plaid Cymru
SPKR: Speaker
UKIP: UK Independence Party
ChUK: Change UK
NI: Northern Irish Parties
N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party	Last Result	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party	43.6%	23.6%	19.9–26.3%	17.9–27.0%	17.2–27.5%	16.2–28.5%
Labour Party	32.1%	43.4%	40.6–46.6%	39.9–47.5%	39.4–48.2%	38.5–49.3%
Liberal Democrats	11.5%	12.2%	10.7–14.3%	10.3–14.9%	10.0–15.2%	9.4–15.9%
Scottish National Party	3.9%	3.2%	2.1–4.6%	1.9–5.7%	1.8–6.6%	1.6–7.4%
Green Party	2.8%	6.0%	4.4–7.8%	4.0–8.3%	3.8–8.8%	3.5–9.5%
Brexit Party	2.0%	8.0%	6.8–9.6%	6.4–10.4%	6.1–11.0%	5.5–11.9%
Plaid Cymru	0.5%	1.0%	0.3–1.4%	0.2–1.5%	0.2–1.6%	0.1–1.9%
Speaker	0.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
UK Independence Party	0.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Change UK	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Northern Irish Parties	0.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
13.5–14.5%	0%	100%
14.5–15.5%	0.1%	100%
15.5–16.5%	0.9%	99.9%
16.5–17.5%	3%	99.0%
17.5–18.5%	3%	96%
18.5–19.5%	2%	93%
19.5–20.5%	3%	91%
20.5–21.5%	7%	88%
21.5–22.5%	13%	81%
22.5–23.5%	16%	67%
23.5–24.5%	19%	51%	Median
24.5–25.5%	15%	32%
25.5–26.5%	9%	17%
26.5–27.5%	5%	8%
27.5–28.5%	2%	2%
28.5–29.5%	0.4%	0.4%
29.5–30.5%	0.1%	0.1%
30.5–31.5%	0%	0%
31.5–32.5%	0%	0%
32.5–33.5%	0%	0%
33.5–34.5%	0%	0%
34.5–35.5%	0%	0%
35.5–36.5%	0%	0%
36.5–37.5%	0%	0%
37.5–38.5%	0%	0%
38.5–39.5%	0%	0%
39.5–40.5%	0%	0%
40.5–41.5%	0%	0%
41.5–42.5%	0%	0%
42.5–43.5%	0%	0%
43.5–44.5%	0%	0%	Last Result

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
31.5–32.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
32.5–33.5%	0%	100%
33.5–34.5%	0%	100%
34.5–35.5%	0%	100%
35.5–36.5%	0%	100%
36.5–37.5%	0.1%	100%
37.5–38.5%	0.5%	99.9%
38.5–39.5%	2%	99.4%
39.5–40.5%	7%	97%
40.5–41.5%	13%	90%
41.5–42.5%	15%	77%
42.5–43.5%	16%	63%	Median
43.5–44.5%	14%	47%
44.5–45.5%	13%	33%
45.5–46.5%	10%	20%
46.5–47.5%	5%	10%
47.5–48.5%	3%	5%
48.5–49.5%	1.3%	2%
49.5–50.5%	0.3%	0.3%
50.5–51.5%	0%	0%

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
7.5–8.5%	0%	100%
8.5–9.5%	0.7%	100%
9.5–10.5%	7%	99.2%
10.5–11.5%	25%	93%
11.5–12.5%	29%	68%	Last Result, Median
12.5–13.5%	19%	39%
13.5–14.5%	12%	20%
14.5–15.5%	7%	8%
15.5–16.5%	1.1%	1.2%
16.5–17.5%	0.1%	0.1%
17.5–18.5%	0%	0%

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%
0.5–1.5%	0.4%	100%
1.5–2.5%	27%	99.6%
2.5–3.5%	42%	72%	Median
3.5–4.5%	20%	30%	Last Result
4.5–5.5%	5%	10%
5.5–6.5%	3%	5%
6.5–7.5%	2%	3%
7.5–8.5%	0.3%	0.3%
8.5–9.5%	0%	0%

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0.8%	100%	Last Result
3.5–4.5%	13%	99.2%
4.5–5.5%	24%	86%
5.5–6.5%	32%	62%	Median
6.5–7.5%	18%	30%
7.5–8.5%	9%	13%
8.5–9.5%	3%	4%
9.5–10.5%	0.4%	0.4%
10.5–11.5%	0%	0%

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0%	100%
4.5–5.5%	0.5%	100%
5.5–6.5%	6%	99.5%
6.5–7.5%	21%	93%
7.5–8.5%	41%	72%	Median
8.5–9.5%	20%	31%
9.5–10.5%	6%	11%
10.5–11.5%	4%	4%
11.5–12.5%	0.9%	0.9%
12.5–13.5%	0.1%	0.1%
13.5–14.5%	0%	0%

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	36%	100%
0.5–1.5%	60%	64%	Last Result, Median
1.5–2.5%	4%	4%
2.5–3.5%	0%	0%

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party	Last Result	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party	365	137	83–173	54–183	41–192	24–204
Labour Party	202	385	344–429	333–454	323–471	312–488
Liberal Democrats	11	50	38–65	36–68	33–72	28–74
Scottish National Party	48	39	17–55	15–58	12–58	6–58
Green Party	1	2	1–3	1–4	1–5	1–6
Brexit Party	0	20	12–25	5–28	4–31	4–37
Plaid Cymru	4	5	1–5	0–6	0–6	0–7
Speaker	1	1	1	1	1	1
UK Independence Party	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Change UK	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Northern Irish Parties	18	18	18	18	18	18

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
17	0%	100%
18	0%	99.9%
19	0.1%	99.9%
20	0%	99.8%
21	0.1%	99.8%
22	0.1%	99.7%
23	0.1%	99.6%
24	0.1%	99.5%
25	0.1%	99.4%
26	0.1%	99.4%
27	0.1%	99.3%
28	0.1%	99.2%
29	0.1%	99.1%
30	0.1%	99.0%
31	0.1%	98.9%
32	0.1%	98.8%
33	0.1%	98.7%
34	0.1%	98.6%
35	0.1%	98%
36	0.2%	98%
37	0.1%	98%
38	0.2%	98%
39	0.1%	98%
40	0.2%	98%
41	0.1%	98%
42	0.2%	97%
43	0.2%	97%
44	0.2%	97%
45	0.2%	97%
46	0.1%	97%
47	0.3%	96%
48	0.2%	96%
49	0.3%	96%
50	0.1%	96%
51	0.2%	96%
52	0.2%	95%
53	0.2%	95%
54	0.2%	95%
55	0.2%	95%
56	0.2%	95%
57	0.2%	94%
58	0.2%	94%
59	0.1%	94%
60	0.2%	94%
61	0.2%	94%
62	0.2%	94%
63	0.1%	93%
64	0.1%	93%
65	0.1%	93%
66	0.1%	93%
67	0.2%	93%
68	0.1%	93%
69	0.2%	93%
70	0.1%	92%
71	0.2%	92%
72	0.2%	92%
73	0.1%	92%
74	0.2%	92%
75	0.1%	92%
76	0.2%	91%
77	0.2%	91%
78	0.2%	91%
79	0.3%	91%
80	0.2%	91%
81	0.2%	90%
82	0.2%	90%
83	0.3%	90%
84	0.2%	90%
85	0.2%	90%
86	0.2%	89%
87	0.3%	89%
88	0.2%	89%
89	0.3%	89%
90	0.3%	88%
91	0.3%	88%
92	0.3%	88%
93	0.3%	87%
94	0.4%	87%
95	0.4%	87%
96	0.4%	86%
97	0.4%	86%
98	0.3%	85%
99	0.3%	85%
100	0.5%	85%
101	0.6%	84%
102	0.4%	84%
103	0.4%	83%
104	0.6%	83%
105	0.6%	82%
106	0.7%	82%
107	0.5%	81%
108	0.8%	80%
109	0.7%	79%
110	0.9%	79%
111	0.8%	78%
112	0.9%	77%
113	0.9%	76%
114	0.8%	75%
115	1.1%	74%
116	1.0%	73%
117	0.9%	72%
118	1.0%	71%
119	1.0%	70%
120	1.3%	69%
121	1.2%	68%
122	1.0%	67%
123	1.1%	66%
124	1.0%	65%
125	1.1%	64%
126	1.2%	63%
127	1.2%	62%
128	1.1%	60%
129	1.2%	59%
130	1.0%	58%
131	1.1%	57%
132	1.0%	56%
133	1.3%	55%
134	1.2%	54%
135	1.1%	52%
136	1.2%	51%
137	1.3%	50%	Median
138	1.2%	49%
139	1.4%	48%
140	2%	46%
141	2%	45%
142	2%	43%
143	2%	41%
144	2%	39%
145	1.3%	37%
146	1.4%	36%
147	2%	35%
148	1.3%	33%
149	1.4%	32%
150	1.1%	30%
151	1.1%	29%
152	1.1%	28%
153	0.9%	27%
154	1.0%	26%
155	0.8%	25%
156	1.0%	24%
157	1.0%	23%
158	0.9%	22%
159	0.8%	21%
160	0.9%	21%
161	0.9%	20%
162	1.0%	19%
163	0.8%	18%
164	0.9%	17%
165	0.7%	16%
166	0.7%	15%
167	0.7%	15%
168	0.8%	14%
169	0.6%	13%
170	0.7%	13%
171	0.7%	12%
172	0.7%	11%
173	0.7%	11%
174	0.7%	10%
175	0.5%	9%
176	0.5%	9%
177	0.4%	8%
178	0.6%	8%
179	0.4%	7%
180	0.4%	7%
181	0.4%	6%
182	0.6%	6%
183	0.5%	5%
184	0.4%	5%
185	0.4%	5%
186	0.2%	4%
187	0.2%	4%
188	0.2%	4%
189	0.3%	4%
190	0.2%	3%
191	0.3%	3%
192	0.3%	3%
193	0.3%	2%
194	0.3%	2%
195	0.2%	2%
196	0.2%	2%
197	0.2%	1.4%
198	0.1%	1.2%
199	0.1%	1.1%
200	0.1%	1.0%
201	0.1%	0.9%
202	0.1%	0.8%
203	0.1%	0.7%
204	0.1%	0.6%
205	0.1%	0.5%
206	0.1%	0.4%
207	0.1%	0.3%
208	0.1%	0.3%
209	0%	0.2%
210	0%	0.2%
211	0%	0.2%
212	0%	0.1%
213	0%	0.1%
214	0%	0.1%
215	0%	0.1%
216	0%	0.1%
217	0%	0%
218	0%	0%
219	0%	0%
220	0%	0%
221	0%	0%
222	0%	0%
223	0%	0%
224	0%	0%
225	0%	0%
226	0%	0%
227	0%	0%
228	0%	0%
229	0%	0%
230	0%	0%
231	0%	0%
232	0%	0%
233	0%	0%
234	0%	0%
235	0%	0%
236	0%	0%
237	0%	0%
238	0%	0%
239	0%	0%
240	0%	0%
241	0%	0%
242	0%	0%
243	0%	0%
244	0%	0%
245	0%	0%
246	0%	0%
247	0%	0%
248	0%	0%
249	0%	0%
250	0%	0%
251	0%	0%
252	0%	0%
253	0%	0%
254	0%	0%
255	0%	0%
256	0%	0%
257	0%	0%
258	0%	0%
259	0%	0%
260	0%	0%
261	0%	0%
262	0%	0%
263	0%	0%
264	0%	0%
265	0%	0%
266	0%	0%
267	0%	0%
268	0%	0%
269	0%	0%
270	0%	0%
271	0%	0%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%	Last Result

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
202	0%	100%	Last Result
203	0%	100%
204	0%	100%
205	0%	100%
206	0%	100%
207	0%	100%
208	0%	100%
209	0%	100%
210	0%	100%
211	0%	100%
212	0%	100%
213	0%	100%
214	0%	100%
215	0%	100%
216	0%	100%
217	0%	100%
218	0%	100%
219	0%	100%
220	0%	100%
221	0%	100%
222	0%	100%
223	0%	100%
224	0%	100%
225	0%	100%
226	0%	100%
227	0%	100%
228	0%	100%
229	0%	100%
230	0%	100%
231	0%	100%
232	0%	100%
233	0%	100%
234	0%	100%
235	0%	100%
236	0%	100%
237	0%	100%
238	0%	100%
239	0%	100%
240	0%	100%
241	0%	100%
242	0%	100%
243	0%	100%
244	0%	100%
245	0%	100%
246	0%	100%
247	0%	100%
248	0%	100%
249	0%	100%
250	0%	100%
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	99.9%
306	0%	99.9%
307	0.1%	99.9%
308	0%	99.8%
309	0.1%	99.8%
310	0.1%	99.7%
311	0.1%	99.6%
312	0.1%	99.5%
313	0.1%	99.5%
314	0.1%	99.4%
315	0.1%	99.3%
316	0.2%	99.2%
317	0.1%	99.0%
318	0.2%	98.8%
319	0.4%	98.7%
320	0.2%	98%
321	0.2%	98%
322	0.2%	98%
323	0.2%	98%
324	0.2%	97%
325	0.1%	97%
326	0.4%	97%	Majority
327	0.3%	97%
328	0.2%	96%
329	0.2%	96%
330	0.3%	96%
331	0.4%	96%
332	0.3%	95%
333	0.3%	95%
334	0.3%	95%
335	0.3%	94%
336	0.3%	94%
337	0.4%	94%
338	0.5%	93%
339	0.4%	93%
340	0.4%	92%
341	0.5%	92%
342	0.5%	92%
343	0.5%	91%
344	0.6%	91%
345	0.5%	90%
346	0.5%	89%
347	0.6%	89%
348	0.6%	88%
349	0.7%	88%
350	0.6%	87%
351	0.6%	86%
352	0.6%	86%
353	0.6%	85%
354	0.6%	85%
355	0.9%	84%
356	0.8%	83%
357	0.8%	82%
358	0.7%	82%
359	0.7%	81%
360	0.8%	80%
361	0.8%	79%
362	0.8%	78%
363	0.9%	78%
364	1.0%	77%
365	1.1%	76%
366	1.2%	75%
367	1.2%	73%
368	1.1%	72%
369	1.2%	71%
370	1.1%	70%
371	1.2%	69%
372	1.3%	68%
373	1.2%	66%
374	1.2%	65%
375	1.2%	64%
376	1.3%	63%
377	1.4%	61%
378	1.2%	60%
379	1.3%	59%
380	1.4%	58%
381	1.2%	56%
382	1.3%	55%
383	2%	54%
384	1.3%	52%
385	1.5%	51%	Median
386	1.5%	49%
387	2%	48%
388	2%	46%
389	2%	45%
390	2%	43%
391	1.4%	41%
392	1.3%	40%
393	1.3%	39%
394	1.5%	37%
395	1.2%	36%
396	1.2%	35%
397	1.2%	34%
398	1.2%	32%
399	1.1%	31%
400	1.2%	30%
401	1.2%	29%
402	1.0%	28%
403	1.1%	27%
404	1.1%	26%
405	0.9%	25%
406	1.0%	24%
407	0.9%	23%
408	0.7%	22%
409	0.8%	21%
410	0.8%	20%
411	0.7%	19%
412	0.6%	19%
413	0.7%	18%
414	0.8%	17%
415	0.6%	17%
416	0.7%	16%
417	0.6%	15%
418	0.6%	15%
419	0.5%	14%
420	0.5%	14%
421	0.5%	13%
422	0.4%	13%
423	0.4%	12%
424	0.3%	12%
425	0.3%	11%
426	0.3%	11%
427	0.3%	11%
428	0.3%	10%
429	0.3%	10%
430	0.3%	10%
431	0.2%	10%
432	0.3%	9%
433	0.3%	9%
434	0.3%	9%
435	0.2%	9%
436	0.2%	8%
437	0.2%	8%
438	0.2%	8%
439	0.3%	8%
440	0.2%	7%
441	0.2%	7%
442	0.2%	7%
443	0.2%	7%
444	0.2%	7%
445	0.2%	6%
446	0.1%	6%
447	0.2%	6%
448	0.1%	6%
449	0.2%	6%
450	0.2%	6%
451	0.1%	5%
452	0.1%	5%
453	0.1%	5%
454	0.1%	5%
455	0.1%	5%
456	0.1%	5%
457	0.1%	5%
458	0.2%	5%
459	0.2%	4%
460	0.1%	4%
461	0.1%	4%
462	0.1%	4%
463	0.2%	4%
464	0.2%	4%
465	0.1%	3%
466	0.1%	3%
467	0.2%	3%
468	0.3%	3%
469	0.2%	3%
470	0.1%	3%
471	0.2%	3%
472	0.1%	2%
473	0.1%	2%
474	0.2%	2%
475	0.1%	2%
476	0.1%	2%
477	0.2%	2%
478	0.1%	2%
479	0.2%	1.4%
480	0.1%	1.2%
481	0.1%	1.2%
482	0.1%	1.1%
483	0.1%	1.0%
484	0.1%	0.9%
485	0.1%	0.7%
486	0.1%	0.6%
487	0%	0.5%
488	0.1%	0.5%
489	0%	0.4%
490	0%	0.4%
491	0.1%	0.3%
492	0.1%	0.3%
493	0.1%	0.2%
494	0%	0.2%
495	0%	0.1%
496	0%	0.1%
497	0%	0.1%
498	0%	0%

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
11	0%	100%	Last Result
12	0%	100%
13	0%	100%
14	0%	100%
15	0%	100%
16	0%	100%
17	0%	100%
18	0%	100%
19	0%	100%
20	0%	100%
21	0%	100%
22	0%	100%
23	0%	100%
24	0%	100%
25	0.1%	99.9%
26	0.1%	99.9%
27	0.2%	99.7%
28	0.2%	99.5%
29	0.2%	99.3%
30	0.3%	99.1%
31	0.5%	98.8%
32	0.7%	98%
33	0.7%	98%
34	0.6%	97%
35	0.8%	96%
36	2%	96%
37	2%	94%
38	5%	92%
39	5%	87%
40	6%	82%
41	5%	77%
42	5%	72%
43	3%	67%
44	2%	64%
45	2%	62%
46	2%	60%
47	3%	58%
48	2%	55%
49	2%	53%
50	3%	51%	Median
51	5%	48%
52	6%	42%
53	3%	36%
54	3%	34%
55	3%	30%
56	2%	27%
57	3%	25%
58	1.2%	23%
59	2%	22%
60	2%	19%
61	2%	17%
62	2%	16%
63	2%	13%
64	1.5%	12%
65	2%	10%
66	0.8%	8%
67	1.2%	7%
68	1.0%	6%
69	0.5%	5%
70	1.0%	4%
71	0.3%	3%
72	1.4%	3%
73	0.9%	2%
74	0.3%	0.8%
75	0.2%	0.5%
76	0.1%	0.3%
77	0.1%	0.2%
78	0.1%	0.1%
79	0%	0.1%
80	0%	0%

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
2	0%	100%
3	0%	99.9%
4	0.1%	99.9%
5	0.2%	99.8%
6	0.2%	99.6%
7	0.3%	99.4%
8	0.3%	99.1%
9	0.4%	98.8%
10	0.5%	98%
11	0.1%	98%
12	0.4%	98%
13	0.4%	97%
14	1.2%	97%
15	2%	96%
16	2%	94%
17	2%	92%
18	2%	90%
19	2%	88%
20	2%	86%
21	3%	84%
22	3%	82%
23	2%	79%
24	2%	78%
25	2%	76%
26	1.2%	74%
27	1.2%	73%
28	0.5%	71%
29	2%	71%
30	0.8%	69%
31	0.8%	68%
32	2%	68%
33	0.4%	66%
34	4%	66%
35	0.3%	62%
36	3%	61%
37	0.4%	58%
38	7%	58%
39	1.3%	51%	Median
40	4%	50%
41	10%	45%
42	0.6%	35%
43	5%	35%
44	0.2%	30%
45	2%	30%
46	0.8%	27%
47	1.1%	26%
48	4%	25%	Last Result
49	2%	22%
50	2%	19%
51	1.4%	17%
52	2%	15%
53	0.9%	14%
54	0.9%	13%
55	2%	12%
56	2%	10%
57	1.5%	8%
58	6%	6%
59	0%	0%

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
1	43%	100%	Last Result
2	8%	57%	Median
3	41%	50%
4	6%	9%
5	2%	3%
6	0.6%	1.0%
7	0.3%	0.3%
8	0%	0%

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	0%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	100%
2	0%	100%
3	0.3%	100%
4	3%	99.7%
5	2%	96%
6	1.3%	95%
7	1.2%	94%
8	0.3%	92%
9	0.2%	92%
10	0.4%	92%
11	0.9%	92%
12	2%	91%
13	3%	88%
14	4%	85%
15	0.7%	82%
16	4%	81%
17	2%	77%
18	6%	75%
19	13%	68%
20	21%	55%	Median
21	15%	34%
22	2%	19%
23	5%	16%
24	1.3%	12%
25	2%	10%
26	3%	9%
27	0.6%	6%
28	1.4%	5%
29	0.2%	4%
30	0.4%	4%
31	2%	3%
32	0.1%	1.5%
33	0.2%	1.4%
34	0.3%	1.1%
35	0.3%	0.9%
36	0%	0.6%
37	0.1%	0.5%
38	0%	0.4%
39	0.1%	0.4%
40	0.1%	0.3%
41	0.1%	0.2%
42	0%	0.1%
43	0.1%	0.1%
44	0%	0.1%
45	0%	0.1%
46	0%	0%

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	9%	100%
1	7%	91%
2	9%	84%
3	10%	75%
4	4%	65%	Last Result
5	53%	62%	Median
6	7%	8%
7	1.0%	1.1%
8	0%	0%

Speaker

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Speaker page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
1	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Change UK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Northern Irish Parties

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Northern Irish Parties page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
18	100%	100%	Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition	Last Result	Median	Majority?	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru	266	474	100%	438–522	427–546	418–560	405–578
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru	265	472	100%	436–520	426–542	416–556	404–574
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party	261	470	100%	433–518	422–541	413–554	400–572
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru	217	437	100%	396–483	380–507	368–528	353–548
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats	213	434	100%	393–482	376–506	364–526	348–546
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru	254	424	100%	392–465	383–486	377–498	366–514
Labour Party – Scottish National Party	250	421	100%	388–464	380–485	373–497	363–513
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru	206	388	98%	348–430	336–455	327–472	316–489
Labour Party	202	385	97%	344–429	333–454	323–471	312–488
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru	417	174	0%	121–215	93–232	71–245	51–260
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party	413	171	0%	120–212	92–229	70–241	49–255
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats	376	184	0%	138–217	110–225	99–232	84–242
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru	369	139	0%	84–176	55–187	42–196	25–208
Conservative Party	365	137	0%	83–173	54–183	41–192	24–204

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
266	0%	100%	Last Result
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	100%
344	0%	100%
345	0%	100%
346	0%	100%
347	0%	100%
348	0%	100%
349	0%	100%
350	0%	100%
351	0%	100%
352	0%	100%
353	0%	100%
354	0%	100%
355	0%	100%
356	0%	100%
357	0%	100%
358	0%	100%
359	0%	100%
360	0%	100%
361	0%	100%
362	0%	100%
363	0%	100%
364	0%	100%
365	0%	100%
366	0%	100%
367	0%	100%
368	0%	100%
369	0%	100%
370	0%	100%
371	0%	100%
372	0%	100%
373	0%	100%
374	0%	100%
375	0%	100%
376	0%	100%
377	0%	100%
378	0%	100%
379	0%	100%
380	0%	100%
381	0%	100%
382	0%	100%
383	0%	100%
384	0%	100%
385	0%	100%
386	0%	100%
387	0%	100%
388	0%	100%
389	0%	100%
390	0%	100%
391	0%	100%
392	0%	100%
393	0%	100%
394	0%	100%
395	0%	99.9%
396	0%	99.9%
397	0%	99.9%
398	0%	99.9%
399	0%	99.9%
400	0%	99.8%
401	0%	99.8%
402	0%	99.7%
403	0.1%	99.7%
404	0.1%	99.6%
405	0.1%	99.5%
406	0.1%	99.5%
407	0.1%	99.4%
408	0.1%	99.3%
409	0.1%	99.2%
410	0.1%	99.1%
411	0.1%	99.0%
412	0.1%	98.9%
413	0.2%	98.7%
414	0.1%	98.6%
415	0.2%	98%
416	0.3%	98%
417	0.4%	98%
418	0.2%	98%
419	0.3%	97%
420	0.2%	97%
421	0.2%	97%
422	0.2%	97%
423	0.2%	96%
424	0.2%	96%
425	0.3%	96%
426	0.4%	96%
427	0.5%	95%
428	0.4%	95%
429	0.4%	94%
430	0.5%	94%
431	0.4%	93%
432	0.4%	93%
433	0.4%	93%
434	0.4%	92%
435	0.5%	92%
436	0.5%	91%
437	0.6%	91%
438	0.5%	90%
439	0.6%	90%
440	0.7%	89%
441	0.7%	88%
442	0.6%	88%
443	0.7%	87%
444	0.7%	86%
445	0.8%	86%
446	0.8%	85%
447	0.7%	84%
448	0.8%	83%
449	0.8%	83%
450	1.0%	82%
451	0.9%	81%
452	0.8%	80%
453	0.9%	79%
454	0.9%	78%
455	0.9%	77%
456	1.0%	76%
457	0.9%	75%
458	1.1%	74%
459	1.1%	73%
460	1.1%	72%
461	1.2%	71%
462	1.2%	70%
463	2%	69%
464	1.1%	67%
465	1.4%	66%
466	2%	65%
467	2%	63%
468	2%	61%
469	2%	60%
470	2%	58%
471	2%	56%
472	2%	54%
473	2%	53%
474	1.5%	51%
475	2%	50%
476	1.3%	48%
477	1.4%	47%
478	1.3%	45%
479	1.3%	44%
480	1.4%	43%
481	1.3%	41%	Median
482	1.3%	40%
483	1.3%	39%
484	1.3%	37%
485	1.1%	36%
486	1.2%	35%
487	1.3%	34%
488	1.3%	32%
489	1.2%	31%
490	1.2%	30%
491	1.0%	29%
492	1.0%	28%
493	1.2%	27%
494	0.9%	25%
495	0.9%	25%
496	0.8%	24%
497	0.8%	23%
498	0.9%	22%
499	0.7%	21%
500	0.7%	20%
501	0.8%	20%
502	0.6%	19%
503	0.6%	18%
504	0.6%	18%
505	0.5%	17%
506	0.4%	17%
507	0.5%	16%
508	0.4%	16%
509	0.4%	15%
510	0.4%	15%
511	0.4%	14%
512	0.4%	14%
513	0.5%	14%
514	0.5%	13%
515	0.4%	13%
516	0.4%	12%
517	0.3%	12%
518	0.4%	12%
519	0.3%	11%
520	0.3%	11%
521	0.3%	11%
522	0.3%	10%
523	0.2%	10%
524	0.2%	10%
525	0.3%	9%
526	0.3%	9%
527	0.2%	9%
528	0.2%	9%
529	0.2%	8%
530	0.2%	8%
531	0.2%	8%
532	0.2%	8%
533	0.3%	8%
534	0.1%	7%
535	0.2%	7%
536	0.2%	7%
537	0.2%	7%
538	0.2%	7%
539	0.2%	6%
540	0.2%	6%
541	0.2%	6%
542	0.2%	6%
543	0.2%	6%
544	0.2%	6%
545	0.2%	5%
546	0.2%	5%
547	0.2%	5%
548	0.2%	5%
549	0.2%	5%
550	0.2%	4%
551	0.2%	4%
552	0.2%	4%
553	0.2%	4%
554	0.2%	4%
555	0.1%	3%
556	0.2%	3%
557	0.2%	3%
558	0.2%	3%
559	0.1%	3%
560	0.1%	3%
561	0.2%	2%
562	0.1%	2%
563	0.1%	2%
564	0.2%	2%
565	0.1%	2%
566	0.1%	2%
567	0.2%	2%
568	0.1%	1.5%
569	0.1%	1.4%
570	0.1%	1.3%
571	0.1%	1.2%
572	0.1%	1.1%
573	0.1%	1.0%
574	0.1%	0.9%
575	0.1%	0.8%
576	0.1%	0.7%
577	0.1%	0.6%
578	0.1%	0.5%
579	0%	0.5%
580	0.1%	0.4%
581	0.1%	0.3%
582	0%	0.3%
583	0%	0.2%
584	0%	0.2%
585	0.1%	0.2%
586	0%	0.1%
587	0%	0.1%
588	0%	0.1%
589	0%	0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
265	0%	100%	Last Result
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	100%
344	0%	100%
345	0%	100%
346	0%	100%
347	0%	100%
348	0%	100%
349	0%	100%
350	0%	100%
351	0%	100%
352	0%	100%
353	0%	100%
354	0%	100%
355	0%	100%
356	0%	100%
357	0%	100%
358	0%	100%
359	0%	100%
360	0%	100%
361	0%	100%
362	0%	100%
363	0%	100%
364	0%	100%
365	0%	100%
366	0%	100%
367	0%	100%
368	0%	100%
369	0%	100%
370	0%	100%
371	0%	100%
372	0%	100%
373	0%	100%
374	0%	100%
375	0%	100%
376	0%	100%
377	0%	100%
378	0%	100%
379	0%	100%
380	0%	100%
381	0%	100%
382	0%	100%
383	0%	100%
384	0%	100%
385	0%	100%
386	0%	100%
387	0%	100%
388	0%	100%
389	0%	100%
390	0%	100%
391	0%	100%
392	0%	100%
393	0%	100%
394	0%	99.9%
395	0%	99.9%
396	0%	99.9%
397	0%	99.9%
398	0%	99.9%
399	0%	99.8%
400	0.1%	99.8%
401	0%	99.7%
402	0.1%	99.7%
403	0.1%	99.6%
404	0.1%	99.5%
405	0.1%	99.5%
406	0.1%	99.4%
407	0.1%	99.3%
408	0.1%	99.2%
409	0.1%	99.1%
410	0.1%	98.9%
411	0.1%	98.9%
412	0.2%	98.7%
413	0.1%	98.5%
414	0.3%	98%
415	0.3%	98%
416	0.4%	98%
417	0.2%	97%
418	0.3%	97%
419	0.2%	97%
420	0.3%	97%
421	0.2%	96%
422	0.2%	96%
423	0.2%	96%
424	0.4%	96%
425	0.4%	95%
426	0.4%	95%
427	0.5%	95%
428	0.4%	94%
429	0.4%	94%
430	0.5%	93%
431	0.5%	93%
432	0.4%	92%
433	0.5%	92%
434	0.5%	91%
435	0.5%	91%
436	0.6%	90%
437	0.6%	90%
438	0.7%	89%
439	0.7%	89%
440	0.7%	88%
441	0.7%	87%
442	0.8%	87%
443	0.7%	86%
444	0.9%	85%
445	0.8%	84%
446	0.7%	83%
447	0.8%	83%
448	0.9%	82%
449	1.0%	81%
450	0.9%	80%
451	0.9%	79%
452	0.9%	78%
453	0.9%	77%
454	0.9%	77%
455	1.2%	76%
456	1.0%	74%
457	1.0%	73%
458	1.1%	72%
459	1.3%	71%
460	1.5%	70%
461	1.1%	69%
462	1.3%	67%
463	1.3%	66%
464	2%	65%
465	2%	63%
466	2%	62%
467	2%	60%
468	2%	58%
469	2%	57%
470	2%	55%
471	2%	53%
472	2%	51%
473	2%	50%
474	1.5%	48%
475	2%	47%
476	1.3%	45%
477	1.5%	44%
478	1.5%	42%
479	1.4%	41%	Median
480	1.2%	39%
481	1.3%	38%
482	1.3%	37%
483	1.3%	36%
484	1.2%	34%
485	1.4%	33%
486	1.1%	32%
487	1.3%	31%
488	1.1%	29%
489	1.0%	28%
490	1.3%	27%
491	1.0%	26%
492	0.8%	25%
493	0.9%	24%
494	0.8%	23%
495	1.0%	22%
496	0.8%	21%
497	0.8%	21%
498	0.7%	20%
499	0.6%	19%
500	0.7%	19%
501	0.6%	18%
502	0.4%	17%
503	0.4%	17%
504	0.5%	16%
505	0.5%	16%
506	0.4%	15%
507	0.5%	15%
508	0.3%	15%
509	0.4%	14%
510	0.4%	14%
511	0.4%	13%
512	0.4%	13%
513	0.4%	12%
514	0.4%	12%
515	0.4%	12%
516	0.3%	11%
517	0.3%	11%
518	0.3%	11%
519	0.3%	10%
520	0.3%	10%
521	0.2%	10%
522	0.3%	10%
523	0.3%	9%
524	0.2%	9%
525	0.2%	9%
526	0.2%	8%
527	0.2%	8%
528	0.2%	8%
529	0.2%	8%
530	0.2%	8%
531	0.2%	7%
532	0.2%	7%
533	0.2%	7%
534	0.2%	7%
535	0.2%	7%
536	0.2%	6%
537	0.2%	6%
538	0.2%	6%
539	0.2%	6%
540	0.2%	6%
541	0.2%	5%
542	0.2%	5%
543	0.2%	5%
544	0.2%	5%
545	0.2%	5%
546	0.2%	4%
547	0.2%	4%
548	0.2%	4%
549	0.2%	4%
550	0.2%	4%
551	0.1%	3%
552	0.2%	3%
553	0.2%	3%
554	0.2%	3%
555	0.1%	3%
556	0.1%	3%
557	0.2%	2%
558	0.1%	2%
559	0.2%	2%
560	0.2%	2%
561	0.1%	2%
562	0.1%	2%
563	0.2%	2%
564	0.1%	1.4%
565	0.1%	1.3%
566	0.1%	1.2%
567	0.1%	1.1%
568	0.1%	1.1%
569	0.1%	0.9%
570	0.1%	0.8%
571	0.1%	0.7%
572	0.1%	0.7%
573	0%	0.6%
574	0.1%	0.5%
575	0.1%	0.4%
576	0%	0.4%
577	0.1%	0.3%
578	0%	0.2%
579	0.1%	0.2%
580	0%	0.2%
581	0%	0.1%
582	0%	0.1%
583	0%	0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
261	0%	100%	Last Result
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	100%
344	0%	100%
345	0%	100%
346	0%	100%
347	0%	100%
348	0%	100%
349	0%	100%
350	0%	100%
351	0%	100%
352	0%	100%
353	0%	100%
354	0%	100%
355	0%	100%
356	0%	100%
357	0%	100%
358	0%	100%
359	0%	100%
360	0%	100%
361	0%	100%
362	0%	100%
363	0%	100%
364	0%	100%
365	0%	100%
366	0%	100%
367	0%	100%
368	0%	100%
369	0%	100%
370	0%	100%
371	0%	100%
372	0%	100%
373	0%	100%
374	0%	100%
375	0%	100%
376	0%	100%
377	0%	100%
378	0%	100%
379	0%	100%
380	0%	100%
381	0%	100%
382	0%	100%
383	0%	100%
384	0%	100%
385	0%	100%
386	0%	100%
387	0%	100%
388	0%	100%
389	0%	100%
390	0%	99.9%
391	0%	99.9%
392	0%	99.9%
393	0%	99.9%
394	0%	99.9%
395	0%	99.8%
396	0%	99.8%
397	0.1%	99.8%
398	0.1%	99.7%
399	0.1%	99.6%
400	0.1%	99.6%
401	0.1%	99.5%
402	0.1%	99.4%
403	0.1%	99.3%
404	0.1%	99.2%
405	0.1%	99.1%
406	0.1%	99.0%
407	0.1%	98.9%
408	0.1%	98.8%
409	0.2%	98.7%
410	0.3%	98%
411	0.3%	98%
412	0.2%	98%
413	0.3%	98%
414	0.2%	97%
415	0.3%	97%
416	0.2%	97%
417	0.2%	97%
418	0.2%	96%
419	0.3%	96%
420	0.3%	96%
421	0.4%	96%
422	0.4%	95%
423	0.3%	95%
424	0.4%	94%
425	0.4%	94%
426	0.4%	94%
427	0.4%	93%
428	0.5%	93%
429	0.5%	92%
430	0.5%	92%
431	0.5%	91%
432	0.4%	91%
433	0.5%	90%
434	0.6%	90%
435	0.6%	89%
436	0.6%	89%
437	0.7%	88%
438	0.6%	87%
439	0.7%	87%
440	0.8%	86%
441	0.7%	85%
442	0.9%	84%
443	0.7%	84%
444	1.0%	83%
445	0.8%	82%
446	0.8%	81%
447	0.9%	80%
448	0.8%	79%
449	1.0%	79%
450	1.1%	78%
451	0.9%	76%
452	1.2%	76%
453	0.8%	74%
454	1.0%	74%
455	1.2%	73%
456	1.1%	71%
457	1.2%	70%
458	1.3%	69%
459	1.2%	68%
460	1.2%	66%
461	1.3%	65%
462	1.4%	64%
463	1.4%	63%
464	2%	61%
465	2%	59%
466	2%	58%
467	2%	56%
468	2%	54%
469	2%	52%
470	2%	51%
471	1.4%	49%
472	2%	48%
473	2%	46%
474	1.4%	44%	Median
475	1.4%	43%
476	1.4%	41%
477	1.3%	40%
478	1.4%	39%
479	1.4%	37%
480	1.4%	36%
481	1.1%	35%
482	1.3%	33%
483	1.2%	32%
484	1.0%	31%
485	1.2%	30%
486	1.1%	29%
487	1.1%	28%
488	0.9%	26%
489	1.0%	25%
490	1.1%	24%
491	0.9%	23%
492	0.8%	23%
493	0.7%	22%
494	0.7%	21%
495	0.8%	20%
496	0.7%	20%
497	0.6%	19%
498	0.5%	18%
499	0.5%	18%
500	0.6%	17%
501	0.5%	17%
502	0.4%	16%
503	0.4%	16%
504	0.4%	15%
505	0.4%	15%
506	0.4%	15%
507	0.4%	14%
508	0.4%	14%
509	0.4%	13%
510	0.4%	13%
511	0.3%	13%
512	0.4%	12%
513	0.4%	12%
514	0.3%	12%
515	0.4%	11%
516	0.3%	11%
517	0.3%	11%
518	0.3%	10%
519	0.2%	10%
520	0.3%	10%
521	0.2%	9%
522	0.3%	9%
523	0.3%	9%
524	0.2%	9%
525	0.2%	8%
526	0.2%	8%
527	0.2%	8%
528	0.2%	8%
529	0.3%	8%
530	0.2%	7%
531	0.2%	7%
532	0.2%	7%
533	0.2%	7%
534	0.1%	7%
535	0.2%	6%
536	0.2%	6%
537	0.2%	6%
538	0.2%	6%
539	0.2%	6%
540	0.2%	5%
541	0.2%	5%
542	0.2%	5%
543	0.2%	5%
544	0.2%	5%
545	0.3%	4%
546	0.2%	4%
547	0.2%	4%
548	0.2%	4%
549	0.2%	4%
550	0.1%	3%
551	0.2%	3%
552	0.2%	3%
553	0.2%	3%
554	0.2%	3%
555	0.1%	2%
556	0.2%	2%
557	0.2%	2%
558	0.1%	2%
559	0.1%	2%
560	0.1%	2%
561	0.1%	2%
562	0.1%	2%
563	0.2%	1.5%
564	0.1%	1.3%
565	0.1%	1.2%
566	0.1%	1.1%
567	0.1%	1.0%
568	0.1%	0.9%
569	0.1%	0.8%
570	0.1%	0.7%
571	0.1%	0.6%
572	0.1%	0.5%
573	0.1%	0.5%
574	0.1%	0.4%
575	0.1%	0.3%
576	0.1%	0.3%
577	0%	0.2%
578	0.1%	0.2%
579	0%	0.1%
580	0%	0.1%
581	0%	0.1%
582	0%	0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
217	0%	100%	Last Result
218	0%	100%
219	0%	100%
220	0%	100%
221	0%	100%
222	0%	100%
223	0%	100%
224	0%	100%
225	0%	100%
226	0%	100%
227	0%	100%
228	0%	100%
229	0%	100%
230	0%	100%
231	0%	100%
232	0%	100%
233	0%	100%
234	0%	100%
235	0%	100%
236	0%	100%
237	0%	100%
238	0%	100%
239	0%	100%
240	0%	100%
241	0%	100%
242	0%	100%
243	0%	100%
244	0%	100%
245	0%	100%
246	0%	100%
247	0%	100%
248	0%	100%
249	0%	100%
250	0%	100%
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	99.9%
344	0%	99.9%
345	0%	99.9%
346	0%	99.9%
347	0%	99.8%
348	0%	99.8%
349	0.1%	99.8%
350	0.1%	99.7%
351	0.1%	99.7%
352	0.1%	99.6%
353	0.1%	99.5%
354	0.1%	99.5%
355	0%	99.4%
356	0%	99.3%
357	0.1%	99.3%
358	0.1%	99.2%
359	0.1%	99.1%
360	0.3%	98.9%
361	0.1%	98.6%
362	0.3%	98%
363	0.1%	98%
364	0.2%	98%
365	0.2%	98%
366	0.1%	98%
367	0.1%	98%
368	0.2%	98%
369	0.2%	97%
370	0.1%	97%
371	0.4%	97%
372	0.1%	97%
373	0.3%	97%
374	0.3%	96%
375	0.2%	96%
376	0.2%	96%
377	0.3%	96%
378	0.2%	95%
379	0.2%	95%
380	0.3%	95%
381	0.2%	95%
382	0.2%	95%
383	0.3%	94%
384	0.2%	94%
385	0.2%	94%
386	0.2%	94%
387	0.4%	93%
388	0.3%	93%
389	0.3%	93%
390	0.3%	92%
391	0.4%	92%
392	0.3%	92%
393	0.4%	91%
394	0.4%	91%
395	0.4%	91%
396	0.5%	90%
397	0.4%	90%
398	0.5%	89%
399	0.5%	89%
400	0.6%	88%
401	0.5%	88%
402	0.5%	87%
403	0.5%	87%
404	0.6%	86%
405	0.7%	85%
406	0.6%	85%
407	0.7%	84%
408	0.7%	84%
409	0.7%	83%
410	0.7%	82%
411	0.8%	81%
412	0.7%	81%
413	0.9%	80%
414	0.9%	79%
415	0.8%	78%
416	0.9%	77%
417	1.0%	76%
418	0.9%	76%
419	0.9%	75%
420	1.0%	74%
421	1.1%	73%
422	1.1%	72%
423	1.2%	70%
424	1.1%	69%
425	1.2%	68%
426	1.2%	67%
427	1.4%	66%
428	2%	64%
429	2%	63%
430	2%	61%
431	1.4%	60%
432	2%	58%
433	1.5%	57%
434	2%	55%
435	1.5%	54%
436	2%	52%
437	1.4%	51%
438	1.3%	49%
439	1.4%	48%
440	1.5%	47%	Median
441	2%	45%
442	2%	43%
443	1.5%	42%
444	2%	40%
445	1.3%	39%
446	2%	38%
447	1.3%	36%
448	1.1%	35%
449	1.0%	34%
450	1.4%	33%
451	1.2%	31%
452	1.2%	30%
453	1.3%	29%
454	1.1%	27%
455	0.8%	26%
456	0.9%	26%
457	1.2%	25%
458	0.7%	24%
459	0.9%	23%
460	0.9%	22%
461	0.6%	21%
462	0.7%	20%
463	0.6%	20%
464	0.7%	19%
465	0.6%	18%
466	0.5%	18%
467	0.7%	17%
468	0.7%	17%
469	0.5%	16%
470	0.6%	15%
471	0.4%	15%
472	0.6%	14%
473	0.5%	14%
474	0.4%	13%
475	0.4%	13%
476	0.4%	13%
477	0.4%	12%
478	0.4%	12%
479	0.3%	11%
480	0.3%	11%
481	0.3%	11%
482	0.3%	11%
483	0.3%	10%
484	0.3%	10%
485	0.3%	10%
486	0.3%	9%
487	0.3%	9%
488	0.3%	9%
489	0.3%	8%
490	0.3%	8%
491	0.2%	8%
492	0.3%	8%
493	0.2%	7%
494	0.2%	7%
495	0.2%	7%
496	0.2%	7%
497	0.2%	7%
498	0.2%	6%
499	0.2%	6%
500	0.2%	6%
501	0.2%	6%
502	0.1%	6%
503	0.1%	6%
504	0.1%	5%
505	0.1%	5%
506	0.1%	5%
507	0.1%	5%
508	0.1%	5%
509	0.2%	5%
510	0.1%	5%
511	0.1%	5%
512	0.1%	4%
513	0.1%	4%
514	0.1%	4%
515	0.1%	4%
516	0.1%	4%
517	0.1%	4%
518	0.1%	4%
519	0.1%	4%
520	0.1%	4%
521	0.2%	3%
522	0.1%	3%
523	0.1%	3%
524	0.1%	3%
525	0.2%	3%
526	0.1%	3%
527	0.1%	3%
528	0.3%	3%
529	0.1%	2%
530	0.1%	2%
531	0.1%	2%
532	0.1%	2%
533	0.1%	2%
534	0.1%	2%
535	0.2%	2%
536	0%	2%
537	0.1%	2%
538	0.2%	1.4%
539	0.1%	1.2%
540	0.1%	1.1%
541	0.1%	1.1%
542	0.1%	1.0%
543	0.1%	0.9%
544	0.1%	0.8%
545	0.1%	0.7%
546	0.1%	0.6%
547	0%	0.6%
548	0.1%	0.5%
549	0%	0.5%
550	0%	0.4%
551	0%	0.4%
552	0.1%	0.3%
553	0%	0.2%
554	0%	0.2%
555	0%	0.2%
556	0%	0.2%
557	0%	0.1%
558	0%	0.1%
559	0%	0%

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
213	0%	100%	Last Result
214	0%	100%
215	0%	100%
216	0%	100%
217	0%	100%
218	0%	100%
219	0%	100%
220	0%	100%
221	0%	100%
222	0%	100%
223	0%	100%
224	0%	100%
225	0%	100%
226	0%	100%
227	0%	100%
228	0%	100%
229	0%	100%
230	0%	100%
231	0%	100%
232	0%	100%
233	0%	100%
234	0%	100%
235	0%	100%
236	0%	100%
237	0%	100%
238	0%	100%
239	0%	100%
240	0%	100%
241	0%	100%
242	0%	100%
243	0%	100%
244	0%	100%
245	0%	100%
246	0%	100%
247	0%	100%
248	0%	100%
249	0%	100%
250	0%	100%
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	99.9%
339	0%	99.9%
340	0%	99.9%
341	0%	99.9%
342	0%	99.9%
343	0%	99.8%
344	0.1%	99.8%
345	0%	99.7%
346	0.1%	99.7%
347	0.1%	99.6%
348	0.1%	99.6%
349	0.1%	99.5%
350	0.1%	99.4%
351	0.1%	99.4%
352	0.1%	99.3%
353	0.1%	99.2%
354	0.1%	99.1%
355	0.3%	99.0%
356	0.1%	98.7%
357	0.3%	98.6%
358	0.1%	98%
359	0.1%	98%
360	0.2%	98%
361	0.1%	98%
362	0.1%	98%
363	0.2%	98%
364	0.2%	98%
365	0.1%	97%
366	0.3%	97%
367	0.1%	97%
368	0.2%	97%
369	0.2%	97%
370	0.2%	96%
371	0.2%	96%
372	0.2%	96%
373	0.2%	96%
374	0.2%	96%
375	0.3%	95%
376	0.2%	95%
377	0.2%	95%
378	0.3%	95%
379	0.3%	94%
380	0.2%	94%
381	0.2%	94%
382	0.2%	94%
383	0.3%	94%
384	0.3%	93%
385	0.3%	93%
386	0.3%	93%
387	0.3%	92%
388	0.4%	92%
389	0.3%	92%
390	0.3%	91%
391	0.4%	91%
392	0.4%	91%
393	0.4%	90%
394	0.5%	90%
395	0.4%	89%
396	0.5%	89%
397	0.5%	88%
398	0.5%	88%
399	0.6%	87%
400	0.6%	87%
401	0.6%	86%
402	0.7%	85%
403	0.6%	85%
404	0.7%	84%
405	0.6%	83%
406	0.7%	83%
407	0.7%	82%
408	0.8%	81%
409	0.9%	81%
410	0.8%	80%
411	0.8%	79%
412	0.9%	78%
413	0.9%	77%
414	1.0%	76%
415	0.9%	75%
416	1.0%	74%
417	1.0%	73%
418	1.1%	72%
419	1.0%	71%
420	1.1%	70%
421	1.0%	69%
422	1.0%	68%
423	1.2%	67%
424	1.3%	66%
425	1.3%	65%
426	1.4%	63%
427	2%	62%
428	2%	60%
429	2%	58%
430	1.4%	57%
431	1.5%	56%
432	1.4%	54%
433	1.4%	53%
434	1.5%	51%
435	1.4%	50%	Median
436	1.4%	48%
437	1.3%	47%
438	1.3%	46%
439	1.5%	44%
440	1.4%	43%
441	1.5%	41%
442	2%	40%
443	1.4%	38%
444	1.3%	37%
445	1.4%	36%
446	1.3%	34%
447	1.2%	33%
448	1.3%	32%
449	1.2%	31%
450	1.1%	29%
451	1.0%	28%
452	1.1%	27%
453	0.9%	26%
454	0.8%	25%
455	1.0%	24%
456	0.7%	23%
457	0.9%	23%
458	0.6%	22%
459	0.9%	21%
460	0.6%	20%
461	0.5%	20%
462	0.7%	19%
463	0.6%	19%
464	0.6%	18%
465	0.6%	17%
466	0.5%	17%
467	0.7%	16%
468	0.5%	16%
469	0.5%	15%
470	0.5%	15%
471	0.4%	14%
472	0.4%	14%
473	0.5%	13%
474	0.3%	13%
475	0.4%	12%
476	0.4%	12%
477	0.3%	12%
478	0.3%	11%
479	0.3%	11%
480	0.3%	11%
481	0.3%	11%
482	0.3%	10%
483	0.3%	10%
484	0.3%	10%
485	0.3%	9%
486	0.3%	9%
487	0.3%	9%
488	0.3%	9%
489	0.2%	8%
490	0.3%	8%
491	0.3%	8%
492	0.2%	7%
493	0.2%	7%
494	0.2%	7%
495	0.2%	7%
496	0.2%	7%
497	0.2%	6%
498	0.2%	6%
499	0.2%	6%
500	0.2%	6%
501	0.2%	6%
502	0.1%	6%
503	0.1%	5%
504	0.1%	5%
505	0.1%	5%
506	0.1%	5%
507	0.1%	5%
508	0.1%	5%
509	0.1%	5%
510	0.1%	5%
511	0.1%	4%
512	0.1%	4%
513	0.1%	4%
514	0.1%	4%
515	0.1%	4%
516	0.1%	4%
517	0.1%	4%
518	0.2%	4%
519	0.2%	3%
520	0.1%	3%
521	0.2%	3%
522	0.1%	3%
523	0.1%	3%
524	0.1%	3%
525	0.2%	3%
526	0.1%	3%
527	0.1%	2%
528	0.2%	2%
529	0.1%	2%
530	0.1%	2%
531	0.1%	2%
532	0.1%	2%
533	0.1%	2%
534	0.1%	2%
535	0.1%	2%
536	0.1%	1.4%
537	0.1%	1.3%
538	0.1%	1.2%
539	0.1%	1.1%
540	0.1%	1.0%
541	0.1%	1.0%
542	0.1%	0.8%
543	0%	0.8%
544	0.1%	0.7%
545	0.1%	0.6%
546	0.1%	0.5%
547	0%	0.5%
548	0.1%	0.5%
549	0.1%	0.4%
550	0.1%	0.4%
551	0%	0.3%
552	0.1%	0.3%
553	0%	0.2%
554	0.1%	0.2%
555	0%	0.1%
556	0%	0.1%
557	0%	0%

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
254	0%	100%	Last Result
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	100%
344	0%	100%
345	0%	100%
346	0%	100%
347	0%	100%
348	0%	100%
349	0%	100%
350	0%	100%
351	0%	100%
352	0%	100%
353	0%	100%
354	0%	100%
355	0%	100%
356	0%	99.9%
357	0%	99.9%
358	0%	99.9%
359	0%	99.9%
360	0%	99.9%
361	0%	99.8%
362	0.1%	99.8%
363	0.1%	99.7%
364	0.1%	99.7%
365	0.1%	99.6%
366	0.1%	99.5%
367	0.1%	99.4%
368	0.1%	99.3%
369	0.1%	99.2%
370	0.1%	99.1%
371	0.2%	99.0%
372	0.2%	98.8%
373	0.3%	98.6%
374	0.2%	98%
375	0.3%	98%
376	0.3%	98%
377	0.3%	98%
378	0.3%	97%
379	0.4%	97%
380	0.4%	96%
381	0.2%	96%
382	0.4%	96%
383	0.5%	95%
384	0.4%	95%
385	0.5%	95%
386	0.6%	94%
387	0.6%	94%
388	0.6%	93%
389	0.7%	92%
390	0.9%	92%
391	0.7%	91%
392	0.8%	90%
393	1.0%	89%
394	0.8%	88%
395	0.9%	88%
396	1.1%	87%
397	0.9%	86%
398	1.3%	85%
399	0.9%	83%
400	1.1%	82%
401	1.0%	81%
402	1.1%	80%
403	1.0%	79%
404	1.1%	78%
405	1.1%	77%
406	0.9%	76%
407	0.9%	75%
408	1.0%	74%
409	0.9%	73%
410	0.9%	72%
411	0.9%	71%
412	1.2%	71%
413	1.2%	69%
414	1.5%	68%
415	1.4%	67%
416	2%	65%
417	2%	64%
418	2%	62%
419	2%	60%
420	2%	58%
421	2%	57%
422	2%	55%
423	2%	53%
424	2%	51%
425	2%	49%
426	2%	47%
427	2%	45%
428	2%	43%
429	2%	41%	Median
430	2%	38%
431	2%	36%
432	2%	34%
433	2%	32%
434	1.4%	31%
435	1.4%	29%
436	1.3%	28%
437	1.2%	27%
438	1.2%	26%
439	1.1%	24%
440	1.0%	23%
441	0.9%	22%
442	0.8%	21%
443	0.7%	21%
444	0.6%	20%
445	0.7%	19%
446	0.6%	18%
447	0.5%	18%
448	0.4%	17%
449	0.4%	17%
450	0.5%	17%
451	0.5%	16%
452	0.4%	16%
453	0.5%	15%
454	0.4%	15%
455	0.4%	14%
456	0.4%	14%
457	0.5%	13%
458	0.4%	13%
459	0.4%	13%
460	0.4%	12%
461	0.4%	12%
462	0.4%	11%
463	0.4%	11%
464	0.4%	11%
465	0.3%	10%
466	0.4%	10%
467	0.3%	9%
468	0.3%	9%
469	0.2%	9%
470	0.3%	9%
471	0.3%	8%
472	0.3%	8%
473	0.3%	8%
474	0.2%	7%
475	0.2%	7%
476	0.2%	7%
477	0.2%	7%
478	0.2%	7%
479	0.2%	6%
480	0.2%	6%
481	0.2%	6%
482	0.2%	6%
483	0.2%	6%
484	0.2%	6%
485	0.2%	5%
486	0.2%	5%
487	0.2%	5%
488	0.2%	5%
489	0.2%	4%
490	0.1%	4%
491	0.2%	4%
492	0.2%	4%
493	0.3%	4%
494	0.1%	3%
495	0.2%	3%
496	0.2%	3%
497	0.2%	3%
498	0.2%	3%
499	0.1%	2%
500	0.1%	2%
501	0.1%	2%
502	0.1%	2%
503	0.2%	2%
504	0.1%	2%
505	0.2%	2%
506	0.2%	1.5%
507	0.1%	1.3%
508	0.1%	1.2%
509	0.1%	1.1%
510	0.1%	1.0%
511	0.1%	0.9%
512	0.1%	0.7%
513	0.1%	0.7%
514	0.1%	0.6%
515	0.1%	0.5%
516	0.1%	0.4%
517	0.1%	0.3%
518	0.1%	0.3%
519	0%	0.2%
520	0.1%	0.2%
521	0%	0.1%
522	0%	0.1%
523	0%	0.1%
524	0%	0%

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
250	0%	100%	Last Result
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	100%
310	0%	100%
311	0%	100%
312	0%	100%
313	0%	100%
314	0%	100%
315	0%	100%
316	0%	100%
317	0%	100%
318	0%	100%
319	0%	100%
320	0%	100%
321	0%	100%
322	0%	100%
323	0%	100%
324	0%	100%
325	0%	100%
326	0%	100%	Majority
327	0%	100%
328	0%	100%
329	0%	100%
330	0%	100%
331	0%	100%
332	0%	100%
333	0%	100%
334	0%	100%
335	0%	100%
336	0%	100%
337	0%	100%
338	0%	100%
339	0%	100%
340	0%	100%
341	0%	100%
342	0%	100%
343	0%	100%
344	0%	100%
345	0%	100%
346	0%	100%
347	0%	100%
348	0%	100%
349	0%	100%
350	0%	100%
351	0%	100%
352	0%	100%
353	0%	100%
354	0%	100%
355	0%	99.9%
356	0%	99.9%
357	0%	99.9%
358	0%	99.9%
359	0%	99.8%
360	0%	99.8%
361	0.1%	99.7%
362	0.1%	99.6%
363	0.1%	99.5%
364	0.1%	99.4%
365	0.1%	99.3%
366	0.1%	99.2%
367	0.2%	99.1%
368	0.2%	98.9%
369	0.2%	98.7%
370	0.3%	98.5%
371	0.3%	98%
372	0.2%	98%
373	0.4%	98%
374	0.4%	97%
375	0.4%	97%
376	0.3%	97%
377	0.3%	96%
378	0.4%	96%
379	0.4%	96%
380	0.4%	95%
381	0.5%	95%
382	0.5%	94%
383	0.5%	94%
384	0.5%	93%
385	0.7%	93%
386	0.7%	92%
387	0.7%	92%
388	0.9%	91%
389	0.9%	90%
390	0.9%	89%
391	0.8%	88%
392	0.9%	87%
393	1.2%	86%
394	0.9%	85%
395	1.2%	84%
396	1.1%	83%
397	1.2%	82%
398	1.0%	81%
399	1.1%	80%
400	1.0%	79%
401	1.0%	78%
402	0.9%	77%
403	0.8%	76%
404	0.9%	75%
405	1.1%	74%
406	1.0%	73%
407	1.2%	72%
408	1.1%	71%
409	1.2%	70%
410	1.5%	69%
411	1.2%	67%
412	1.4%	66%
413	2%	65%
414	2%	63%
415	2%	62%
416	1.4%	60%
417	2%	59%
418	2%	57%
419	2%	55%
420	2%	53%
421	2%	51%
422	2%	49%
423	2%	48%
424	2%	46%	Median
425	2%	44%
426	2%	42%
427	2%	40%
428	2%	38%
429	2%	36%
430	2%	34%
431	1.5%	32%
432	2%	31%
433	1.4%	29%
434	1.1%	28%
435	1.2%	27%
436	1.2%	26%
437	1.0%	24%
438	1.0%	23%
439	0.9%	22%
440	0.7%	21%
441	0.8%	21%
442	0.8%	20%
443	0.6%	19%
444	0.5%	19%
445	0.6%	18%
446	0.5%	18%
447	0.4%	17%
448	0.4%	17%
449	0.4%	16%
450	0.5%	16%
451	0.4%	15%
452	0.4%	15%
453	0.4%	15%
454	0.4%	14%
455	0.4%	14%
456	0.5%	13%
457	0.4%	13%
458	0.4%	12%
459	0.4%	12%
460	0.4%	12%
461	0.4%	11%
462	0.4%	11%
463	0.4%	10%
464	0.3%	10%
465	0.3%	10%
466	0.3%	9%
467	0.3%	9%
468	0.3%	9%
469	0.3%	9%
470	0.3%	8%
471	0.2%	8%
472	0.2%	8%
473	0.2%	8%
474	0.2%	7%
475	0.2%	7%
476	0.2%	7%
477	0.2%	7%
478	0.2%	7%
479	0.2%	6%
480	0.2%	6%
481	0.2%	6%
482	0.2%	6%
483	0.2%	6%
484	0.2%	5%
485	0.2%	5%
486	0.2%	5%
487	0.2%	5%
488	0.3%	5%
489	0.2%	4%
490	0.2%	4%
491	0.2%	4%
492	0.2%	4%
493	0.3%	4%
494	0.2%	3%
495	0.2%	3%
496	0.2%	3%
497	0.2%	3%
498	0.2%	2%
499	0.2%	2%
500	0.1%	2%
501	0.1%	2%
502	0.2%	2%
503	0.1%	2%
504	0.1%	2%
505	0.2%	1.4%
506	0.1%	1.2%
507	0.1%	1.1%
508	0.1%	1.0%
509	0.1%	0.9%
510	0.1%	0.8%
511	0.1%	0.7%
512	0.1%	0.6%
513	0.1%	0.5%
514	0%	0.4%
515	0%	0.4%
516	0.1%	0.4%
517	0.1%	0.3%
518	0%	0.2%
519	0%	0.1%
520	0%	0.1%
521	0%	0.1%
522	0%	0%

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
206	0%	100%	Last Result
207	0%	100%
208	0%	100%
209	0%	100%
210	0%	100%
211	0%	100%
212	0%	100%
213	0%	100%
214	0%	100%
215	0%	100%
216	0%	100%
217	0%	100%
218	0%	100%
219	0%	100%
220	0%	100%
221	0%	100%
222	0%	100%
223	0%	100%
224	0%	100%
225	0%	100%
226	0%	100%
227	0%	100%
228	0%	100%
229	0%	100%
230	0%	100%
231	0%	100%
232	0%	100%
233	0%	100%
234	0%	100%
235	0%	100%
236	0%	100%
237	0%	100%
238	0%	100%
239	0%	100%
240	0%	100%
241	0%	100%
242	0%	100%
243	0%	100%
244	0%	100%
245	0%	100%
246	0%	100%
247	0%	100%
248	0%	100%
249	0%	100%
250	0%	100%
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	100%
306	0%	100%
307	0%	100%
308	0%	100%
309	0%	99.9%
310	0%	99.9%
311	0%	99.9%
312	0.1%	99.8%
313	0%	99.8%
314	0.1%	99.7%
315	0.1%	99.7%
316	0.1%	99.6%
317	0.1%	99.5%
318	0.1%	99.4%
319	0.1%	99.3%
320	0.1%	99.2%
321	0.2%	99.1%
322	0.2%	98.9%
323	0.2%	98.7%
324	0.4%	98%
325	0.3%	98%
326	0.3%	98%	Majority
327	0.2%	98%
328	0.2%	97%
329	0.2%	97%
330	0.1%	97%
331	0.4%	97%
332	0.3%	96%
333	0.2%	96%
334	0.3%	96%
335	0.3%	96%
336	0.3%	95%
337	0.3%	95%
338	0.3%	95%
339	0.3%	94%
340	0.4%	94%
341	0.4%	94%
342	0.4%	93%
343	0.6%	93%
344	0.6%	92%
345	0.4%	91%
346	0.5%	91%
347	0.5%	91%
348	0.5%	90%
349	0.5%	90%
350	0.5%	89%
351	0.7%	89%
352	0.6%	88%
353	0.6%	87%
354	0.6%	87%
355	0.7%	86%
356	0.7%	85%
357	0.8%	85%
358	0.7%	84%
359	0.7%	83%
360	1.0%	83%
361	0.7%	82%
362	0.7%	81%
363	0.7%	80%
364	0.8%	79%
365	0.8%	79%
366	0.8%	78%
367	1.0%	77%
368	0.9%	76%
369	1.0%	75%
370	1.0%	74%
371	1.2%	73%
372	1.1%	72%
373	1.1%	71%
374	1.3%	70%
375	1.2%	68%
376	1.5%	67%
377	1.4%	66%
378	1.3%	64%
379	1.3%	63%
380	1.4%	62%
381	1.3%	60%
382	1.5%	59%
383	1.3%	58%
384	1.5%	56%
385	2%	55%
386	1.2%	53%
387	1.4%	52%
388	2%	51%
389	2%	49%
390	2%	47%	Median
391	2%	45%
392	1.5%	43%
393	2%	42%
394	1.4%	40%
395	2%	39%
396	1.3%	37%
397	1.3%	36%
398	1.1%	35%
399	1.3%	33%
400	1.2%	32%
401	1.2%	31%
402	1.1%	30%
403	1.2%	29%
404	1.1%	28%
405	0.8%	26%
406	1.2%	26%
407	0.9%	24%
408	0.8%	23%
409	1.0%	23%
410	0.9%	22%
411	0.8%	21%
412	0.7%	20%
413	0.7%	19%
414	0.7%	19%
415	0.7%	18%
416	0.7%	17%
417	0.7%	16%
418	0.7%	16%
419	0.7%	15%
420	0.6%	14%
421	0.5%	14%
422	0.6%	13%
423	0.5%	13%
424	0.4%	12%
425	0.4%	12%
426	0.3%	11%
427	0.3%	11%
428	0.3%	11%
429	0.3%	10%
430	0.3%	10%
431	0.3%	10%
432	0.3%	10%
433	0.2%	9%
434	0.3%	9%
435	0.3%	9%
436	0.2%	8%
437	0.3%	8%
438	0.2%	8%
439	0.2%	8%
440	0.2%	8%
441	0.2%	7%
442	0.2%	7%
443	0.2%	7%
444	0.2%	7%
445	0.2%	7%
446	0.2%	6%
447	0.2%	6%
448	0.1%	6%
449	0.1%	6%
450	0.2%	6%
451	0.1%	6%
452	0.1%	5%
453	0.1%	5%
454	0.1%	5%
455	0.1%	5%
456	0.1%	5%
457	0.1%	5%
458	0.2%	5%
459	0.2%	5%
460	0.1%	4%
461	0.1%	4%
462	0.2%	4%
463	0.1%	4%
464	0.2%	4%
465	0.1%	4%
466	0.1%	4%
467	0.2%	3%
468	0.2%	3%
469	0.2%	3%
470	0.2%	3%
471	0.2%	3%
472	0.1%	3%
473	0.1%	2%
474	0.1%	2%
475	0.1%	2%
476	0.1%	2%
477	0.2%	2%
478	0.1%	2%
479	0.1%	2%
480	0.1%	2%
481	0.1%	1.4%
482	0.1%	1.2%
483	0.1%	1.1%
484	0.1%	1.0%
485	0.1%	0.9%
486	0.1%	0.8%
487	0.1%	0.7%
488	0.1%	0.6%
489	0.1%	0.5%
490	0%	0.5%
491	0.1%	0.4%
492	0.1%	0.4%
493	0%	0.3%
494	0%	0.3%
495	0%	0.2%
496	0%	0.2%
497	0%	0.1%
498	0%	0.1%
499	0%	0.1%
500	0%	0%

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
202	0%	100%	Last Result
203	0%	100%
204	0%	100%
205	0%	100%
206	0%	100%
207	0%	100%
208	0%	100%
209	0%	100%
210	0%	100%
211	0%	100%
212	0%	100%
213	0%	100%
214	0%	100%
215	0%	100%
216	0%	100%
217	0%	100%
218	0%	100%
219	0%	100%
220	0%	100%
221	0%	100%
222	0%	100%
223	0%	100%
224	0%	100%
225	0%	100%
226	0%	100%
227	0%	100%
228	0%	100%
229	0%	100%
230	0%	100%
231	0%	100%
232	0%	100%
233	0%	100%
234	0%	100%
235	0%	100%
236	0%	100%
237	0%	100%
238	0%	100%
239	0%	100%
240	0%	100%
241	0%	100%
242	0%	100%
243	0%	100%
244	0%	100%
245	0%	100%
246	0%	100%
247	0%	100%
248	0%	100%
249	0%	100%
250	0%	100%
251	0%	100%
252	0%	100%
253	0%	100%
254	0%	100%
255	0%	100%
256	0%	100%
257	0%	100%
258	0%	100%
259	0%	100%
260	0%	100%
261	0%	100%
262	0%	100%
263	0%	100%
264	0%	100%
265	0%	100%
266	0%	100%
267	0%	100%
268	0%	100%
269	0%	100%
270	0%	100%
271	0%	100%
272	0%	100%
273	0%	100%
274	0%	100%
275	0%	100%
276	0%	100%
277	0%	100%
278	0%	100%
279	0%	100%
280	0%	100%
281	0%	100%
282	0%	100%
283	0%	100%
284	0%	100%
285	0%	100%
286	0%	100%
287	0%	100%
288	0%	100%
289	0%	100%
290	0%	100%
291	0%	100%
292	0%	100%
293	0%	100%
294	0%	100%
295	0%	100%
296	0%	100%
297	0%	100%
298	0%	100%
299	0%	100%
300	0%	100%
301	0%	100%
302	0%	100%
303	0%	100%
304	0%	100%
305	0%	99.9%
306	0%	99.9%
307	0.1%	99.9%
308	0%	99.8%
309	0.1%	99.8%
310	0.1%	99.7%
311	0.1%	99.6%
312	0.1%	99.5%
313	0.1%	99.5%
314	0.1%	99.4%
315	0.1%	99.3%
316	0.2%	99.2%
317	0.1%	99.0%
318	0.2%	98.8%
319	0.4%	98.7%
320	0.2%	98%
321	0.2%	98%
322	0.2%	98%
323	0.2%	98%
324	0.2%	97%
325	0.1%	97%
326	0.4%	97%	Majority
327	0.3%	97%
328	0.2%	96%
329	0.2%	96%
330	0.3%	96%
331	0.4%	96%
332	0.3%	95%
333	0.3%	95%
334	0.3%	95%
335	0.3%	94%
336	0.3%	94%
337	0.4%	94%
338	0.5%	93%
339	0.4%	93%
340	0.4%	92%
341	0.5%	92%
342	0.5%	92%
343	0.5%	91%
344	0.6%	91%
345	0.5%	90%
346	0.5%	89%
347	0.6%	89%
348	0.6%	88%
349	0.7%	88%
350	0.6%	87%
351	0.6%	86%
352	0.6%	86%
353	0.6%	85%
354	0.6%	85%
355	0.9%	84%
356	0.8%	83%
357	0.8%	82%
358	0.7%	82%
359	0.7%	81%
360	0.8%	80%
361	0.8%	79%
362	0.8%	78%
363	0.9%	78%
364	1.0%	77%
365	1.1%	76%
366	1.2%	75%
367	1.2%	73%
368	1.1%	72%
369	1.2%	71%
370	1.1%	70%
371	1.2%	69%
372	1.3%	68%
373	1.2%	66%
374	1.2%	65%
375	1.2%	64%
376	1.3%	63%
377	1.4%	61%
378	1.2%	60%
379	1.3%	59%
380	1.4%	58%
381	1.2%	56%
382	1.3%	55%
383	2%	54%
384	1.3%	52%
385	1.5%	51%	Median
386	1.5%	49%
387	2%	48%
388	2%	46%
389	2%	45%
390	2%	43%
391	1.4%	41%
392	1.3%	40%
393	1.3%	39%
394	1.5%	37%
395	1.2%	36%
396	1.2%	35%
397	1.2%	34%
398	1.2%	32%
399	1.1%	31%
400	1.2%	30%
401	1.2%	29%
402	1.0%	28%
403	1.1%	27%
404	1.1%	26%
405	0.9%	25%
406	1.0%	24%
407	0.9%	23%
408	0.7%	22%
409	0.8%	21%
410	0.8%	20%
411	0.7%	19%
412	0.6%	19%
413	0.7%	18%
414	0.8%	17%
415	0.6%	17%
416	0.7%	16%
417	0.6%	15%
418	0.6%	15%
419	0.5%	14%
420	0.5%	14%
421	0.5%	13%
422	0.4%	13%
423	0.4%	12%
424	0.3%	12%
425	0.3%	11%
426	0.3%	11%
427	0.3%	11%
428	0.3%	10%
429	0.3%	10%
430	0.3%	10%
431	0.2%	10%
432	0.3%	9%
433	0.3%	9%
434	0.3%	9%
435	0.2%	9%
436	0.2%	8%
437	0.2%	8%
438	0.2%	8%
439	0.3%	8%
440	0.2%	7%
441	0.2%	7%
442	0.2%	7%
443	0.2%	7%
444	0.2%	7%
445	0.2%	6%
446	0.1%	6%
447	0.2%	6%
448	0.1%	6%
449	0.2%	6%
450	0.2%	6%
451	0.1%	5%
452	0.1%	5%
453	0.1%	5%
454	0.1%	5%
455	0.1%	5%
456	0.1%	5%
457	0.1%	5%
458	0.2%	5%
459	0.2%	4%
460	0.1%	4%
461	0.1%	4%
462	0.1%	4%
463	0.2%	4%
464	0.2%	4%
465	0.1%	3%
466	0.1%	3%
467	0.2%	3%
468	0.3%	3%
469	0.2%	3%
470	0.1%	3%
471	0.2%	3%
472	0.1%	2%
473	0.1%	2%
474	0.2%	2%
475	0.1%	2%
476	0.1%	2%
477	0.2%	2%
478	0.1%	2%
479	0.2%	1.4%
480	0.1%	1.2%
481	0.1%	1.2%
482	0.1%	1.1%
483	0.1%	1.0%
484	0.1%	0.9%
485	0.1%	0.7%
486	0.1%	0.6%
487	0%	0.5%
488	0.1%	0.5%
489	0%	0.4%
490	0%	0.4%
491	0.1%	0.3%
492	0.1%	0.3%
493	0.1%	0.2%
494	0%	0.2%
495	0%	0.1%
496	0%	0.1%
497	0%	0.1%
498	0%	0%

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
42	0%	100%
43	0%	99.9%
44	0%	99.9%
45	0.1%	99.9%
46	0%	99.8%
47	0%	99.8%
48	0.1%	99.7%
49	0.1%	99.6%
50	0%	99.6%
51	0%	99.5%
52	0.1%	99.5%
53	0.1%	99.4%
54	0.1%	99.4%
55	0.1%	99.3%
56	0.1%	99.2%
57	0.1%	99.1%
58	0.1%	99.0%
59	0.1%	98.9%
60	0.1%	98.8%
61	0.1%	98.8%
62	0.1%	98.6%
63	0.1%	98.6%
64	0.2%	98%
65	0.1%	98%
66	0.1%	98%
67	0.1%	98%
68	0.2%	98%
69	0.1%	98%
70	0.1%	98%
71	0.1%	98%
72	0.1%	97%
73	0.2%	97%
74	0.2%	97%
75	0.1%	97%
76	0.2%	97%
77	0.1%	97%
78	0.2%	97%
79	0.1%	97%
80	0.1%	96%
81	0.2%	96%
82	0.1%	96%
83	0.1%	96%
84	0.1%	96%
85	0.1%	96%
86	0.1%	96%
87	0.1%	96%
88	0.1%	95%
89	0.1%	95%
90	0.1%	95%
91	0.1%	95%
92	0.1%	95%
93	0.1%	95%
94	0.1%	95%
95	0.1%	95%
96	0.1%	95%
97	0.1%	95%
98	0.1%	95%
99	0.1%	95%
100	0.1%	94%
101	0.1%	94%
102	0.1%	94%
103	0.1%	94%
104	0.2%	94%
105	0.1%	94%
106	0.2%	94%
107	0.2%	93%
108	0.1%	93%
109	0.2%	93%
110	0.2%	93%
111	0.2%	93%
112	0.3%	93%
113	0.2%	92%
114	0.3%	92%
115	0.3%	92%
116	0.3%	92%
117	0.2%	91%
118	0.3%	91%
119	0.3%	91%
120	0.3%	90%
121	0.3%	90%
122	0.3%	90%
123	0.3%	90%
124	0.3%	89%
125	0.3%	89%
126	0.3%	89%
127	0.3%	88%
128	0.3%	88%
129	0.3%	88%
130	0.4%	87%
131	0.3%	87%
132	0.3%	87%
133	0.4%	86%
134	0.4%	86%
135	0.4%	86%
136	0.5%	85%
137	0.5%	85%
138	0.3%	84%
139	0.4%	84%
140	0.5%	84%
141	0.5%	83%
142	0.5%	83%
143	0.5%	82%
144	0.6%	82%
145	0.5%	81%
146	0.6%	80%
147	0.6%	80%
148	0.6%	79%
149	0.6%	79%
150	0.7%	78%
151	1.1%	77%
152	0.8%	76%
153	0.9%	75%
154	0.8%	75%
155	0.9%	74%
156	1.0%	73%
157	1.1%	72%
158	1.1%	71%
159	1.2%	70%
160	1.3%	68%
161	1.3%	67%
162	1.3%	66%
163	2%	64%
164	2%	63%
165	1.3%	61%
166	1.2%	60%
167	1.1%	59%
168	1.1%	58%
169	1.2%	57%
170	1.5%	55%
171	1.3%	54%
172	1.1%	53%
173	1.1%	52%
174	1.3%	51%
175	1.2%	49%
176	1.3%	48%
177	1.3%	47%
178	1.1%	45%
179	1.1%	44%
180	1.3%	43%
181	1.5%	42%	Median
182	2%	41%
183	1.5%	39%
184	2%	38%
185	1.4%	36%
186	1.2%	34%
187	1.4%	33%
188	1.2%	32%
189	1.1%	31%
190	1.0%	30%
191	1.3%	28%
192	1.1%	27%
193	1.1%	26%
194	0.9%	25%
195	1.1%	24%
196	0.9%	23%
197	0.9%	22%
198	0.8%	21%
199	0.9%	20%
200	0.7%	19%
201	0.7%	19%
202	0.7%	18%
203	0.7%	17%
204	0.8%	17%
205	0.7%	16%
206	0.7%	15%
207	0.6%	14%
208	0.6%	14%
209	0.6%	13%
210	0.6%	13%
211	0.6%	12%
212	0.4%	11%
213	0.5%	11%
214	0.5%	11%
215	0.5%	10%
216	0.4%	10%
217	0.4%	9%
218	0.3%	9%
219	0.3%	8%
220	0.2%	8%
221	0.3%	8%
222	0.3%	8%
223	0.3%	7%
224	0.3%	7%
225	0.3%	7%
226	0.3%	7%
227	0.2%	6%
228	0.3%	6%
229	0.2%	6%
230	0.2%	6%
231	0.2%	5%
232	0.2%	5%
233	0.2%	5%
234	0.2%	5%
235	0.3%	5%
236	0.2%	4%
237	0.2%	4%
238	0.3%	4%
239	0.2%	4%
240	0.1%	4%
241	0.2%	3%
242	0.1%	3%
243	0.3%	3%
244	0.1%	3%
245	0.2%	3%
246	0.2%	2%
247	0.1%	2%
248	0.1%	2%
249	0.2%	2%
250	0.1%	2%
251	0.1%	2%
252	0.2%	2%
253	0.1%	1.4%
254	0.3%	1.3%
255	0.1%	1.0%
256	0.1%	0.9%
257	0.1%	0.8%
258	0.1%	0.7%
259	0.1%	0.6%
260	0.1%	0.6%
261	0.1%	0.5%
262	0%	0.4%
263	0.1%	0.4%
264	0.1%	0.3%
265	0%	0.2%
266	0%	0.2%
267	0%	0.2%
268	0%	0.1%
269	0%	0.1%
270	0%	0.1%
271	0%	0.1%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%
366	0%	0%
367	0%	0%
368	0%	0%
369	0%	0%
370	0%	0%
371	0%	0%
372	0%	0%
373	0%	0%
374	0%	0%
375	0%	0%
376	0%	0%
377	0%	0%
378	0%	0%
379	0%	0%
380	0%	0%
381	0%	0%
382	0%	0%
383	0%	0%
384	0%	0%
385	0%	0%
386	0%	0%
387	0%	0%
388	0%	0%
389	0%	0%
390	0%	0%
391	0%	0%
392	0%	0%
393	0%	0%
394	0%	0%
395	0%	0%
396	0%	0%
397	0%	0%
398	0%	0%
399	0%	0%
400	0%	0%
401	0%	0%
402	0%	0%
403	0%	0%
404	0%	0%
405	0%	0%
406	0%	0%
407	0%	0%
408	0%	0%
409	0%	0%
410	0%	0%
411	0%	0%
412	0%	0%
413	0%	0%
414	0%	0%
415	0%	0%
416	0%	0%
417	0%	0%	Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
41	0%	100%
42	0%	99.9%
43	0%	99.9%
44	0.1%	99.9%
45	0.1%	99.8%
46	0.1%	99.7%
47	0%	99.7%
48	0.1%	99.6%
49	0.1%	99.6%
50	0%	99.5%
51	0.1%	99.5%
52	0.1%	99.4%
53	0.1%	99.3%
54	0.1%	99.2%
55	0.1%	99.2%
56	0.1%	99.0%
57	0.1%	99.0%
58	0.1%	98.9%
59	0%	98.8%
60	0.1%	98.8%
61	0.2%	98.6%
62	0.1%	98%
63	0.1%	98%
64	0.2%	98%
65	0.1%	98%
66	0.1%	98%
67	0.1%	98%
68	0.2%	98%
69	0.1%	98%
70	0.1%	98%
71	0.2%	97%
72	0.2%	97%
73	0.2%	97%
74	0.1%	97%
75	0.2%	97%
76	0.1%	97%
77	0.1%	97%
78	0.1%	96%
79	0.1%	96%
80	0.1%	96%
81	0.1%	96%
82	0.1%	96%
83	0.1%	96%
84	0.1%	96%
85	0.1%	96%
86	0.1%	96%
87	0.1%	95%
88	0.1%	95%
89	0.1%	95%
90	0.1%	95%
91	0.1%	95%
92	0.1%	95%
93	0.1%	95%
94	0.1%	95%
95	0.1%	95%
96	0.1%	95%
97	0.1%	95%
98	0.1%	95%
99	0.1%	94%
100	0.1%	94%
101	0.1%	94%
102	0.1%	94%
103	0.1%	94%
104	0.2%	94%
105	0.2%	94%
106	0.2%	94%
107	0.2%	93%
108	0.1%	93%
109	0.2%	93%
110	0.2%	93%
111	0.2%	93%
112	0.2%	92%
113	0.3%	92%
114	0.3%	92%
115	0.3%	92%
116	0.3%	91%
117	0.3%	91%
118	0.3%	91%
119	0.3%	91%
120	0.3%	90%
121	0.3%	90%
122	0.3%	90%
123	0.3%	89%
124	0.3%	89%
125	0.3%	89%
126	0.3%	88%
127	0.3%	88%
128	0.3%	88%
129	0.3%	88%
130	0.4%	87%
131	0.3%	87%
132	0.4%	86%
133	0.5%	86%
134	0.4%	86%
135	0.5%	85%
136	0.4%	85%
137	0.5%	84%
138	0.5%	84%
139	0.4%	83%
140	0.5%	83%
141	0.5%	82%
142	0.6%	82%
143	0.5%	81%
144	0.6%	81%
145	0.6%	80%
146	0.7%	79%
147	0.6%	79%
148	1.0%	78%
149	1.0%	77%
150	0.7%	76%
151	1.1%	76%
152	0.9%	74%
153	1.0%	74%
154	1.0%	73%
155	1.2%	72%
156	1.1%	70%
157	1.1%	69%
158	1.2%	68%
159	2%	67%
160	1.4%	65%
161	1.3%	64%
162	1.4%	63%
163	2%	61%
164	1.4%	60%
165	1.4%	58%
166	1.4%	57%
167	1.3%	55%
168	1.3%	54%
169	1.2%	53%
170	1.2%	52%
171	1.4%	50%
172	1.4%	49%
173	1.1%	47%
174	1.1%	46%
175	1.1%	45%
176	1.3%	44%	Median
177	1.1%	43%
178	1.1%	42%
179	1.3%	41%
180	1.3%	39%
181	2%	38%
182	2%	36%
183	2%	35%
184	1.4%	33%
185	1.3%	32%
186	1.2%	30%
187	1.2%	29%
188	1.3%	28%
189	0.9%	27%
190	1.1%	26%
191	0.9%	25%
192	1.0%	24%
193	0.7%	23%
194	0.9%	22%
195	0.9%	21%
196	0.8%	20%
197	0.7%	19%
198	0.9%	19%
199	0.6%	18%
200	0.7%	17%
201	0.6%	17%
202	0.7%	16%
203	0.7%	15%
204	0.6%	15%
205	0.7%	14%
206	0.6%	13%
207	0.6%	13%
208	0.4%	12%
209	0.5%	12%
210	0.5%	11%
211	0.5%	11%
212	0.5%	10%
213	0.4%	10%
214	0.4%	9%
215	0.3%	9%
216	0.3%	9%
217	0.3%	8%
218	0.3%	8%
219	0.3%	8%
220	0.3%	7%
221	0.3%	7%
222	0.2%	7%
223	0.3%	7%
224	0.3%	6%
225	0.2%	6%
226	0.2%	6%
227	0.2%	6%
228	0.2%	5%
229	0.2%	5%
230	0.3%	5%
231	0.2%	5%
232	0.3%	4%
233	0.3%	4%
234	0.2%	4%
235	0.1%	4%
236	0.2%	4%
237	0.1%	3%
238	0.3%	3%
239	0.1%	3%
240	0.2%	3%
241	0.2%	3%
242	0.1%	2%
243	0.1%	2%
244	0.2%	2%
245	0.1%	2%
246	0.1%	2%
247	0.3%	2%
248	0.1%	1.4%
249	0.3%	1.3%
250	0.1%	1.0%
251	0.1%	0.9%
252	0.1%	0.8%
253	0%	0.7%
254	0.1%	0.7%
255	0.1%	0.6%
256	0.1%	0.5%
257	0%	0.4%
258	0.1%	0.4%
259	0.1%	0.3%
260	0%	0.3%
261	0%	0.2%
262	0%	0.2%
263	0%	0.1%
264	0%	0.1%
265	0%	0.1%
266	0%	0.1%
267	0%	0%
268	0%	0%
269	0%	0%
270	0%	0%
271	0%	0%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%
366	0%	0%
367	0%	0%
368	0%	0%
369	0%	0%
370	0%	0%
371	0%	0%
372	0%	0%
373	0%	0%
374	0%	0%
375	0%	0%
376	0%	0%
377	0%	0%
378	0%	0%
379	0%	0%
380	0%	0%
381	0%	0%
382	0%	0%
383	0%	0%
384	0%	0%
385	0%	0%
386	0%	0%
387	0%	0%
388	0%	0%
389	0%	0%
390	0%	0%
391	0%	0%
392	0%	0%
393	0%	0%
394	0%	0%
395	0%	0%
396	0%	0%
397	0%	0%
398	0%	0%
399	0%	0%
400	0%	0%
401	0%	0%
402	0%	0%
403	0%	0%
404	0%	0%
405	0%	0%
406	0%	0%
407	0%	0%
408	0%	0%
409	0%	0%
410	0%	0%
411	0%	0%
412	0%	0%
413	0%	0%	Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
77	0%	100%
78	0%	99.9%
79	0%	99.9%
80	0.1%	99.9%
81	0.1%	99.8%
82	0.1%	99.7%
83	0.1%	99.6%
84	0.1%	99.5%
85	0.1%	99.4%
86	0.1%	99.3%
87	0.1%	99.2%
88	0.1%	99.2%
89	0.1%	99.0%
90	0.1%	98.9%
91	0.1%	98.8%
92	0.3%	98.7%
93	0.3%	98%
94	0.2%	98%
95	0.1%	98%
96	0.1%	98%
97	0.1%	98%
98	0.2%	98%
99	0.1%	98%
100	0.2%	97%
101	0.2%	97%
102	0.3%	97%
103	0.3%	97%
104	0.2%	96%
105	0.3%	96%
106	0.2%	96%
107	0.3%	96%
108	0.1%	95%
109	0.2%	95%
110	0.2%	95%
111	0.3%	95%
112	0.2%	95%
113	0.2%	94%
114	0.1%	94%
115	0.2%	94%
116	0.1%	94%
117	0.1%	94%
118	0.1%	94%
119	0.1%	94%
120	0.1%	93%
121	0.1%	93%
122	0.1%	93%
123	0.1%	93%
124	0.1%	93%
125	0.2%	93%
126	0.1%	93%
127	0.2%	93%
128	0.2%	92%
129	0.2%	92%
130	0.2%	92%
131	0.2%	92%
132	0.2%	92%
133	0.3%	92%
134	0.3%	91%
135	0.2%	91%
136	0.2%	91%
137	0.2%	90%
138	0.3%	90%
139	0.3%	90%
140	0.3%	90%
141	0.4%	89%
142	0.3%	89%
143	0.3%	89%
144	0.3%	88%
145	0.3%	88%
146	0.4%	88%
147	0.4%	87%
148	0.4%	87%
149	0.3%	86%
150	0.3%	86%
151	0.4%	86%
152	0.4%	85%
153	0.3%	85%
154	0.3%	85%
155	0.5%	84%
156	0.3%	84%
157	0.3%	83%
158	0.3%	83%
159	0.6%	83%
160	0.8%	82%
161	0.6%	81%
162	0.5%	81%
163	0.6%	80%
164	0.9%	80%
165	1.0%	79%
166	1.1%	78%
167	1.1%	77%
168	0.6%	76%
169	0.9%	75%
170	1.1%	74%
171	1.2%	73%
172	1.0%	72%
173	1.2%	71%
174	1.3%	70%
175	1.4%	68%
176	1.4%	67%
177	1.2%	65%
178	2%	64%
179	1.4%	62%
180	2%	61%
181	2%	59%
182	4%	57%
183	2%	53%
184	2%	51%
185	2%	49%
186	2%	47%
187	2%	45%	Median
188	2%	43%
189	2%	42%
190	2%	40%
191	1.3%	38%
192	1.2%	36%
193	1.3%	35%
194	1.1%	34%
195	0.9%	33%
196	1.0%	32%
197	1.0%	31%
198	0.9%	30%
199	0.9%	29%
200	0.9%	28%
201	0.8%	27%
202	1.0%	26%
203	1.1%	25%
204	1.3%	24%
205	1.0%	23%
206	1.3%	22%
207	0.9%	21%
208	1.0%	20%
209	0.9%	19%
210	1.3%	18%
211	1.1%	17%
212	1.2%	15%
213	0.9%	14%
214	1.0%	13%
215	1.1%	12%
216	0.9%	11%
217	0.9%	10%
218	0.9%	9%
219	0.7%	9%
220	0.5%	8%
221	0.5%	7%
222	0.5%	7%
223	0.7%	6%
224	0.5%	6%
225	0.4%	5%
226	0.5%	5%
227	0.4%	4%
228	0.3%	4%
229	0.3%	4%
230	0.5%	3%
231	0.3%	3%
232	0.3%	3%
233	0.3%	2%
234	0.3%	2%
235	0.3%	2%
236	0.2%	1.5%
237	0.3%	1.3%
238	0.2%	1.0%
239	0.1%	0.8%
240	0.1%	0.8%
241	0.1%	0.7%
242	0.1%	0.5%
243	0.1%	0.4%
244	0.1%	0.3%
245	0%	0.3%
246	0%	0.2%
247	0%	0.2%
248	0%	0.1%
249	0%	0.1%
250	0%	0.1%
251	0%	0.1%
252	0%	0%
253	0%	0%
254	0%	0%
255	0%	0%
256	0%	0%
257	0%	0%
258	0%	0%
259	0%	0%
260	0%	0%
261	0%	0%
262	0%	0%
263	0%	0%
264	0%	0%
265	0%	0%
266	0%	0%
267	0%	0%
268	0%	0%
269	0%	0%
270	0%	0%
271	0%	0%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%
366	0%	0%
367	0%	0%
368	0%	0%
369	0%	0%
370	0%	0%
371	0%	0%
372	0%	0%
373	0%	0%
374	0%	0%
375	0%	0%
376	0%	0%	Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
18	0%	100%
19	0%	99.9%
20	0%	99.9%
21	0.1%	99.9%
22	0.1%	99.8%
23	0.1%	99.7%
24	0.1%	99.7%
25	0.1%	99.6%
26	0.1%	99.5%
27	0.1%	99.4%
28	0.1%	99.3%
29	0.1%	99.2%
30	0.1%	99.2%
31	0.1%	99.1%
32	0.1%	99.0%
33	0.1%	98.8%
34	0.1%	98.7%
35	0.1%	98.6%
36	0.2%	98.5%
37	0.1%	98%
38	0.1%	98%
39	0.2%	98%
40	0.2%	98%
41	0.1%	98%
42	0.1%	98%
43	0.2%	97%
44	0.2%	97%
45	0.2%	97%
46	0.1%	97%
47	0.3%	97%
48	0.1%	96%
49	0.2%	96%
50	0.2%	96%
51	0.2%	96%
52	0.3%	96%
53	0.2%	95%
54	0.2%	95%
55	0.2%	95%
56	0.2%	95%
57	0.2%	95%
58	0.2%	94%
59	0.1%	94%
60	0.2%	94%
61	0.2%	94%
62	0.2%	94%
63	0.1%	93%
64	0.2%	93%
65	0.1%	93%
66	0.1%	93%
67	0.2%	93%
68	0.1%	93%
69	0.1%	93%
70	0.1%	93%
71	0.1%	92%
72	0.2%	92%
73	0.1%	92%
74	0.2%	92%
75	0.1%	92%
76	0.2%	92%
77	0.2%	92%
78	0.2%	91%
79	0.2%	91%
80	0.2%	91%
81	0.2%	91%
82	0.2%	91%
83	0.2%	90%
84	0.2%	90%
85	0.2%	90%
86	0.2%	90%
87	0.3%	89%
88	0.2%	89%
89	0.3%	89%
90	0.3%	89%
91	0.3%	88%
92	0.3%	88%
93	0.3%	88%
94	0.4%	87%
95	0.4%	87%
96	0.3%	87%
97	0.3%	86%
98	0.3%	86%
99	0.4%	86%
100	0.4%	85%
101	0.4%	85%
102	0.4%	85%
103	0.4%	84%
104	0.4%	84%
105	0.6%	83%
106	0.6%	83%
107	0.5%	82%
108	0.6%	82%
109	0.6%	81%
110	0.6%	80%
111	0.7%	80%
112	0.8%	79%
113	0.8%	78%
114	0.7%	78%
115	1.0%	77%
116	0.8%	76%
117	0.8%	75%
118	1.0%	74%
119	0.9%	73%
120	1.0%	72%
121	1.0%	71%
122	1.0%	70%
123	1.3%	69%
124	1.0%	68%
125	1.2%	67%
126	1.2%	66%
127	1.0%	65%
128	1.1%	64%
129	1.2%	62%
130	1.3%	61%
131	1.2%	60%
132	1.1%	59%
133	1.2%	58%
134	1.1%	56%
135	1.2%	55%
136	1.4%	54%
137	1.0%	53%
138	1.2%	52%
139	1.2%	51%
140	1.3%	49%
141	1.2%	48%
142	2%	47%	Median
143	2%	45%
144	2%	43%
145	2%	41%
146	2%	40%
147	1.5%	38%
148	1.4%	37%
149	1.2%	35%
150	1.2%	34%
151	1.1%	33%
152	1.4%	32%
153	1.1%	30%
154	1.2%	29%
155	0.9%	28%
156	1.2%	27%
157	0.9%	26%
158	0.9%	25%
159	0.9%	24%
160	0.9%	23%
161	1.0%	22%
162	1.0%	21%
163	1.0%	20%
164	0.8%	19%
165	0.9%	19%
166	0.8%	18%
167	0.7%	17%
168	0.9%	16%
169	0.7%	15%
170	0.7%	15%
171	0.6%	14%
172	0.7%	13%
173	0.7%	13%
174	0.8%	12%
175	0.6%	11%
176	0.6%	11%
177	0.6%	10%
178	0.6%	9%
179	0.5%	9%
180	0.6%	8%
181	0.4%	8%
182	0.4%	7%
183	0.5%	7%
184	0.4%	6%
185	0.4%	6%
186	0.4%	6%
187	0.5%	5%
188	0.4%	5%
189	0.3%	4%
190	0.3%	4%
191	0.3%	4%
192	0.2%	4%
193	0.2%	3%
194	0.3%	3%
195	0.2%	3%
196	0.3%	3%
197	0.3%	2%
198	0.4%	2%
199	0.3%	2%
200	0.2%	2%
201	0.1%	1.3%
202	0.1%	1.2%
203	0.1%	1.0%
204	0.1%	0.9%
205	0.1%	0.8%
206	0.1%	0.7%
207	0.1%	0.6%
208	0.1%	0.5%
209	0.1%	0.4%
210	0.1%	0.4%
211	0.1%	0.3%
212	0.1%	0.3%
213	0%	0.2%
214	0%	0.2%
215	0%	0.1%
216	0%	0.1%
217	0%	0.1%
218	0%	0.1%
219	0%	0%
220	0%	0%
221	0%	0%
222	0%	0%
223	0%	0%
224	0%	0%
225	0%	0%
226	0%	0%
227	0%	0%
228	0%	0%
229	0%	0%
230	0%	0%
231	0%	0%
232	0%	0%
233	0%	0%
234	0%	0%
235	0%	0%
236	0%	0%
237	0%	0%
238	0%	0%
239	0%	0%
240	0%	0%
241	0%	0%
242	0%	0%
243	0%	0%
244	0%	0%
245	0%	0%
246	0%	0%
247	0%	0%
248	0%	0%
249	0%	0%
250	0%	0%
251	0%	0%
252	0%	0%
253	0%	0%
254	0%	0%
255	0%	0%
256	0%	0%
257	0%	0%
258	0%	0%
259	0%	0%
260	0%	0%
261	0%	0%
262	0%	0%
263	0%	0%
264	0%	0%
265	0%	0%
266	0%	0%
267	0%	0%
268	0%	0%
269	0%	0%
270	0%	0%
271	0%	0%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%
366	0%	0%
367	0%	0%
368	0%	0%
369	0%	0%	Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
17	0%	100%
18	0%	99.9%
19	0.1%	99.9%
20	0%	99.8%
21	0.1%	99.8%
22	0.1%	99.7%
23	0.1%	99.6%
24	0.1%	99.5%
25	0.1%	99.4%
26	0.1%	99.4%
27	0.1%	99.3%
28	0.1%	99.2%
29	0.1%	99.1%
30	0.1%	99.0%
31	0.1%	98.9%
32	0.1%	98.8%
33	0.1%	98.7%
34	0.1%	98.6%
35	0.1%	98%
36	0.2%	98%
37	0.1%	98%
38	0.2%	98%
39	0.1%	98%
40	0.2%	98%
41	0.1%	98%
42	0.2%	97%
43	0.2%	97%
44	0.2%	97%
45	0.2%	97%
46	0.1%	97%
47	0.3%	96%
48	0.2%	96%
49	0.3%	96%
50	0.1%	96%
51	0.2%	96%
52	0.2%	95%
53	0.2%	95%
54	0.2%	95%
55	0.2%	95%
56	0.2%	95%
57	0.2%	94%
58	0.2%	94%
59	0.1%	94%
60	0.2%	94%
61	0.2%	94%
62	0.2%	94%
63	0.1%	93%
64	0.1%	93%
65	0.1%	93%
66	0.1%	93%
67	0.2%	93%
68	0.1%	93%
69	0.2%	93%
70	0.1%	92%
71	0.2%	92%
72	0.2%	92%
73	0.1%	92%
74	0.2%	92%
75	0.1%	92%
76	0.2%	91%
77	0.2%	91%
78	0.2%	91%
79	0.3%	91%
80	0.2%	91%
81	0.2%	90%
82	0.2%	90%
83	0.3%	90%
84	0.2%	90%
85	0.2%	90%
86	0.2%	89%
87	0.3%	89%
88	0.2%	89%
89	0.3%	89%
90	0.3%	88%
91	0.3%	88%
92	0.3%	88%
93	0.3%	87%
94	0.4%	87%
95	0.4%	87%
96	0.4%	86%
97	0.4%	86%
98	0.3%	85%
99	0.3%	85%
100	0.5%	85%
101	0.6%	84%
102	0.4%	84%
103	0.4%	83%
104	0.6%	83%
105	0.6%	82%
106	0.7%	82%
107	0.5%	81%
108	0.8%	80%
109	0.7%	79%
110	0.9%	79%
111	0.8%	78%
112	0.9%	77%
113	0.9%	76%
114	0.8%	75%
115	1.1%	74%
116	1.0%	73%
117	0.9%	72%
118	1.0%	71%
119	1.0%	70%
120	1.3%	69%
121	1.2%	68%
122	1.0%	67%
123	1.1%	66%
124	1.0%	65%
125	1.1%	64%
126	1.2%	63%
127	1.2%	62%
128	1.1%	60%
129	1.2%	59%
130	1.0%	58%
131	1.1%	57%
132	1.0%	56%
133	1.3%	55%
134	1.2%	54%
135	1.1%	52%
136	1.2%	51%
137	1.3%	50%	Median
138	1.2%	49%
139	1.4%	48%
140	2%	46%
141	2%	45%
142	2%	43%
143	2%	41%
144	2%	39%
145	1.3%	37%
146	1.4%	36%
147	2%	35%
148	1.3%	33%
149	1.4%	32%
150	1.1%	30%
151	1.1%	29%
152	1.1%	28%
153	0.9%	27%
154	1.0%	26%
155	0.8%	25%
156	1.0%	24%
157	1.0%	23%
158	0.9%	22%
159	0.8%	21%
160	0.9%	21%
161	0.9%	20%
162	1.0%	19%
163	0.8%	18%
164	0.9%	17%
165	0.7%	16%
166	0.7%	15%
167	0.7%	15%
168	0.8%	14%
169	0.6%	13%
170	0.7%	13%
171	0.7%	12%
172	0.7%	11%
173	0.7%	11%
174	0.7%	10%
175	0.5%	9%
176	0.5%	9%
177	0.4%	8%
178	0.6%	8%
179	0.4%	7%
180	0.4%	7%
181	0.4%	6%
182	0.6%	6%
183	0.5%	5%
184	0.4%	5%
185	0.4%	5%
186	0.2%	4%
187	0.2%	4%
188	0.2%	4%
189	0.3%	4%
190	0.2%	3%
191	0.3%	3%
192	0.3%	3%
193	0.3%	2%
194	0.3%	2%
195	0.2%	2%
196	0.2%	2%
197	0.2%	1.4%
198	0.1%	1.2%
199	0.1%	1.1%
200	0.1%	1.0%
201	0.1%	0.9%
202	0.1%	0.8%
203	0.1%	0.7%
204	0.1%	0.6%
205	0.1%	0.5%
206	0.1%	0.4%
207	0.1%	0.3%
208	0.1%	0.3%
209	0%	0.2%
210	0%	0.2%
211	0%	0.2%
212	0%	0.1%
213	0%	0.1%
214	0%	0.1%
215	0%	0.1%
216	0%	0.1%
217	0%	0%
218	0%	0%
219	0%	0%
220	0%	0%
221	0%	0%
222	0%	0%
223	0%	0%
224	0%	0%
225	0%	0%
226	0%	0%
227	0%	0%
228	0%	0%
229	0%	0%
230	0%	0%
231	0%	0%
232	0%	0%
233	0%	0%
234	0%	0%
235	0%	0%
236	0%	0%
237	0%	0%
238	0%	0%
239	0%	0%
240	0%	0%
241	0%	0%
242	0%	0%
243	0%	0%
244	0%	0%
245	0%	0%
246	0%	0%
247	0%	0%
248	0%	0%
249	0%	0%
250	0%	0%
251	0%	0%
252	0%	0%
253	0%	0%
254	0%	0%
255	0%	0%
256	0%	0%
257	0%	0%
258	0%	0%
259	0%	0%
260	0%	0%
261	0%	0%
262	0%	0%
263	0%	0%
264	0%	0%
265	0%	0%
266	0%	0%
267	0%	0%
268	0%	0%
269	0%	0%
270	0%	0%
271	0%	0%
272	0%	0%
273	0%	0%
274	0%	0%
275	0%	0%
276	0%	0%
277	0%	0%
278	0%	0%
279	0%	0%
280	0%	0%
281	0%	0%
282	0%	0%
283	0%	0%
284	0%	0%
285	0%	0%
286	0%	0%
287	0%	0%
288	0%	0%
289	0%	0%
290	0%	0%
291	0%	0%
292	0%	0%
293	0%	0%
294	0%	0%
295	0%	0%
296	0%	0%
297	0%	0%
298	0%	0%
299	0%	0%
300	0%	0%
301	0%	0%
302	0%	0%
303	0%	0%
304	0%	0%
305	0%	0%
306	0%	0%
307	0%	0%
308	0%	0%
309	0%	0%
310	0%	0%
311	0%	0%
312	0%	0%
313	0%	0%
314	0%	0%
315	0%	0%
316	0%	0%
317	0%	0%
318	0%	0%
319	0%	0%
320	0%	0%
321	0%	0%
322	0%	0%
323	0%	0%
324	0%	0%
325	0%	0%
326	0%	0%	Majority
327	0%	0%
328	0%	0%
329	0%	0%
330	0%	0%
331	0%	0%
332	0%	0%
333	0%	0%
334	0%	0%
335	0%	0%
336	0%	0%
337	0%	0%
338	0%	0%
339	0%	0%
340	0%	0%
341	0%	0%
342	0%	0%
343	0%	0%
344	0%	0%
345	0%	0%
346	0%	0%
347	0%	0%
348	0%	0%
349	0%	0%
350	0%	0%
351	0%	0%
352	0%	0%
353	0%	0%
354	0%	0%
355	0%	0%
356	0%	0%
357	0%	0%
358	0%	0%
359	0%	0%
360	0%	0%
361	0%	0%
362	0%	0%
363	0%	0%
364	0%	0%
365	0%	0%	Last Result

Technical Information

Number of polls included in this average: 20
Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 20,971,520
Error estimate: 1.20%

British Polls

Opinion Polls for the Next United Kingdom General Election

Poll Average

Summary

Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals

Conservative Party

Labour Party

Liberal Democrats

Scottish National Party

Green Party

Brexit Party

Plaid Cymru

Seats

Confidence Intervals

Conservative Party

Labour Party

Liberal Democrats

Scottish National Party

Green Party

Brexit Party

Plaid Cymru

Speaker

UK Independence Party

Change UK

Northern Irish Parties

Coalitions

Confidence Intervals

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Labour Party

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Conservative Party

Technical Information