Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | CON | LAB | LIBDEM | SNP | GREEN | BREXIT | PC | SPKR | UKIP | ChUK | NI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 December 2019 | General Election | 43.6% 365 |
32.1% 202 |
11.5% 11 |
3.9% 48 |
2.8% 1 |
2.0% 0 |
0.5% 4 |
0.1% 1 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 18 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 19–30% 46–209 |
43–52% 346–479 |
6–12% 7–53 |
2–4% 14–52 |
2–8% 1–3 |
4–8% 2–18 |
1–2% 4–6 |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 4–5 April 2024 | We Think | 24–29% 105–193 |
46–52% 382–457 |
9–13% 23–49 |
2–3% 4–36 |
3–6% 1 |
5–8% 3–13 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 3–5 April 2024 | Opinium The Observer |
25–29% 147–210 |
42–47% 340–400 |
9–12% 21–41 |
2–4% 23–53 |
6–8% 1–3 |
4–6% 3–6 |
1–2% 5–6 |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 3–4 April 2024 | Techne UK | 22–26% 81–162 |
47–52% 392–468 |
8–11% 19–43 |
2–4% 21–52 |
3–5% 1 |
5–8% 3–12 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 2–3 April 2024 | YouGov The Times |
21–24% 74–152 |
46–51% 390–468 |
8–10% 18–40 |
3–4% 25–53 |
6–8% 2–3 |
7–9% 4–20 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 31 March 2024 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 22–26% 72–150 |
47–52% 398–470 |
9–12% 25–51 |
3–4% 22–48 |
3–5% 1 |
6–8% 3–14 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 25–27 March 2024 | Savanta The Sun |
24–27% 124–173 |
46–50% 384–429 |
10–12% 24–41 |
3–4% 23–45 |
2–3% 1 |
5–6% 3–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 22–25 March 2024 | Deltapoll | 26–30% 152–207 |
45–49% 356–410 |
8–11% 15–32 |
3–4% 20–52 |
4–6% 1 |
4–6% 2–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 23–24 March 2024 | More in Common | 27–31% 164–224 |
43–48% 333–389 |
9–12% 19–38 |
3–4% 21–52 |
3–5% 1 |
4–6% 3–5 |
1–2% 4–6 |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 8–22 March 2024 | Survation Best for Britain |
27–28% 159–182 |
47–49% 379–402 |
10–11% 25–32 |
3–4% 29–39 |
3–4% 1 |
4–5% 0–3 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 7–11 March 2024 | Lord Ashcroft | 24–26% 132–173 |
47–50% 393–434 |
6–7% 6–14 |
N/A N/A |
6–8% 2–3 |
5–6% 3–4 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 7 March 2024 | PeoplePolling GB News |
17–22% 24–94 |
47–54% 436–498 |
9–13% 32–65 |
N/A N/A |
5–8% 1–3 |
5–8% 3–13 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 6–7 March 2024 | BMG Research The i |
25–30% 145–214 |
42–48% 334–404 |
9–13% 20–42 |
2–4% 20–54 |
4–6% 1–2 |
5–8% 3–18 |
N/A N/A |
N/A 1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A 18 |
| 12 December 2019 | General Election | 43.6% 365 |
32.1% 202 |
11.5% 11 |
3.9% 48 |
2.8% 1 |
2.0% 0 |
0.5% 4 |
0.1% 1 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 18 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the House of Commons (95% confidence interval)
- CON: Conservative Party
- LAB: Labour Party
- LIBDEM: Liberal Democrats
- SNP: Scottish National Party
- GREEN: Green Party
- BREXIT: Brexit Party
- PC: Plaid Cymru
- SPKR: Speaker
- UKIP: UK Independence Party
- ChUK: Change UK
- NI: Northern Irish Parties
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 43.6% | 25.8% | 21.7–28.6% | 20.1–29.3% | 19.2–29.9% | 17.9–30.9% |
| Labour Party | 32.1% | 48.0% | 44.6–50.4% | 43.8–51.1% | 43.3–51.7% | 42.3–53.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.3–11.6% | 6.6–12.0% | 6.3–12.3% | 6.0–13.0% |
| Scottish National Party | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.6–4.5% |
| Green Party | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.2–7.0% | 2.6–7.4% | 2.4–7.6% | 2.1–8.2% |
| Brexit Party | 2.0% | 5.7% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.2–7.8% | 4.1–8.2% | 3.9–8.9% |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| Speaker | 0.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| UK Independence Party | 0.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Change UK | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Northern Irish Parties | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 3% | 96% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 3% | 94% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 5% | 91% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 8% | 85% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 10% | 78% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 14% | 67% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 26.5–27.5% | 15% | 41% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 15% | 26% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 6% | 96% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 8% | 90% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 9% | 82% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 13% | 73% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 48.5–49.5% | 18% | 38% | |
| 49.5–50.5% | 11% | 19% | |
| 50.5–51.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 51.5–52.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 52.5–53.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 53.5–54.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54.5–55.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 4% | 96% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 92% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 13% | 89% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 30% | 76% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 35% | 46% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 10% | 12% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 69% | 91% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 21% | 22% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 14% | 96% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 82% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 14% | 35% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 18% | 21% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 11% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 32% | 89% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 33% | 57% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 16% | 23% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 93% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 365 | 157 | 86–192 | 58–201 | 46–209 | 28–221 |
| Labour Party | 202 | 403 | 363–456 | 353–471 | 346–479 | 333–494 |
| Liberal Democrats | 11 | 29 | 18–42 | 7–49 | 7–53 | 6–63 |
| Scottish National Party | 48 | 36 | 22–45 | 17–49 | 14–52 | 5–55 |
| Green Party | 1 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Brexit Party | 0 | 4 | 3–12 | 2–14 | 2–18 | 1–20 |
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Speaker | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| UK Independence Party | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Change UK | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Northern Irish Parties | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 74% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 63% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 148 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 59% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 51% | Median |
| 158 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 47% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 46% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 45% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 42% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 168 | 2% | 37% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 171 | 1.3% | 33% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 31% | |
| 174 | 1.2% | 29% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 183 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 324 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 325 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 326 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 328 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 329 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 330 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 331 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 332 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 333 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 334 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 335 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 336 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 339 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 340 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 341 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 342 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 343 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 344 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 345 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 347 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 348 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 349 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 350 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 351 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 352 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 353 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 354 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 355 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 356 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 357 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 358 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 359 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 360 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 361 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 362 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 363 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 364 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 365 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 366 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 367 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 368 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 369 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 370 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 371 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 372 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 373 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 374 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 375 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 376 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 377 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 378 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 379 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 380 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 381 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 382 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 383 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 384 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 385 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 386 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 387 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 388 | 1.2% | 68% | |
| 389 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 390 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 391 | 0.9% | 65% | |
| 392 | 1.3% | 64% | |
| 393 | 1.0% | 62% | |
| 394 | 1.2% | 61% | |
| 395 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 396 | 1.2% | 59% | |
| 397 | 0.9% | 58% | |
| 398 | 2% | 57% | |
| 399 | 2% | 56% | |
| 400 | 1.3% | 54% | |
| 401 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 402 | 1.4% | 52% | |
| 403 | 1.3% | 50% | Median |
| 404 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 405 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 406 | 1.2% | 46% | |
| 407 | 1.5% | 45% | |
| 408 | 1.4% | 44% | |
| 409 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 410 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 411 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 412 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 413 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 414 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 415 | 1.1% | 36% | |
| 416 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 417 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 418 | 0.9% | 32% | |
| 419 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 420 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 421 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 422 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 423 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 425 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 426 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 427 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 428 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 429 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 430 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 431 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 432 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 433 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 434 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 435 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 436 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 437 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 438 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 439 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 440 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 441 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 442 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 443 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 444 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 445 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 446 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 447 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 448 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 449 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 450 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 451 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 452 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 453 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 454 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 455 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 456 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 457 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 458 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 459 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 460 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 461 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 462 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 463 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 464 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 465 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 466 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 467 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 468 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 469 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 470 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 471 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 472 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 473 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 474 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 475 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 476 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 477 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 478 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 479 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 480 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 481 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 482 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 483 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 484 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 485 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 486 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 487 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 488 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 489 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 490 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 491 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 492 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 493 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 494 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 495 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 496 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 497 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 498 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 499 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 500 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 501 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 502 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 503 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 504 | 0% | 0% |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 9 | 0% | 93% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 92% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 13 | 0% | 92% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 20 | 2% | 88% | |
| 21 | 2% | 87% | |
| 22 | 3% | 85% | |
| 23 | 4% | 82% | |
| 24 | 3% | 78% | |
| 25 | 4% | 75% | |
| 26 | 6% | 71% | |
| 27 | 9% | 65% | |
| 28 | 4% | 56% | |
| 29 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 30 | 4% | 49% | |
| 31 | 5% | 45% | |
| 32 | 4% | 40% | |
| 33 | 3% | 36% | |
| 34 | 2% | 33% | |
| 35 | 2% | 31% | |
| 36 | 3% | 29% | |
| 37 | 4% | 26% | |
| 38 | 4% | 21% | |
| 39 | 3% | 18% | |
| 40 | 2% | 15% | |
| 41 | 2% | 12% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 10% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 87% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 85% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 29 | 3% | 83% | |
| 30 | 2% | 80% | |
| 31 | 3% | 78% | |
| 32 | 5% | 75% | |
| 33 | 2% | 70% | |
| 34 | 11% | 69% | |
| 35 | 2% | 57% | |
| 36 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 46% | |
| 38 | 9% | 43% | |
| 39 | 3% | 35% | |
| 40 | 4% | 32% | |
| 41 | 6% | 28% | |
| 42 | 2% | 21% | |
| 43 | 4% | 19% | |
| 44 | 4% | 15% | |
| 45 | 2% | 11% | |
| 46 | 2% | 9% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 7% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 9% | 30% | |
| 3 | 21% | 21% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 40% | 92% | |
| 4 | 30% | 52% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 22% | |
| 6 | 3% | 17% | |
| 7 | 2% | 14% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 10% | |
| 13 | 2% | 8% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 5 | 89% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Speaker
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Speaker page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.
Change UK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Change UK page.
Northern Irish Parties
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Northern Irish Parties page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru | 266 | 462 | 100% | 422–521 | 413–531 | 408–539 | 402–553 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 265 | 461 | 100% | 420–519 | 411–529 | 406–538 | 400–551 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party | 261 | 460 | 100% | 418–519 | 410–529 | 405–538 | 397–551 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru | 217 | 427 | 100% | 393–495 | 383–518 | 374–530 | 361–549 |
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats | 213 | 427 | 100% | 390–495 | 380–518 | 371–530 | 358–549 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 254 | 431 | 100% | 401–480 | 395–488 | 388–494 | 377–506 |
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party | 250 | 431 | 100% | 399–480 | 392–488 | 385–494 | 373–506 |
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru | 206 | 403 | 99.9% | 366–456 | 357–471 | 348–479 | 337–494 |
| Labour Party | 202 | 403 | 99.9% | 363–456 | 353–471 | 346–479 | 333–494 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 417 | 184 | 0% | 118–233 | 58–243 | 46–253 | 28–266 |
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party | 413 | 184 | 0% | 118–230 | 58–240 | 46–249 | 28–261 |
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats | 376 | 183 | 0% | 123–218 | 106–228 | 97–235 | 82–246 |
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru | 369 | 158 | 0% | 86–195 | 58–204 | 46–213 | 28–226 |
| Conservative Party | 365 | 157 | 0% | 86–192 | 58–201 | 46–209 | 28–221 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 100% | |
| 350 | 0% | 100% | |
| 351 | 0% | 100% | |
| 352 | 0% | 100% | |
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0% | 100% | |
| 366 | 0% | 100% | |
| 367 | 0% | 100% | |
| 368 | 0% | 100% | |
| 369 | 0% | 100% | |
| 370 | 0% | 100% | |
| 371 | 0% | 100% | |
| 372 | 0% | 100% | |
| 373 | 0% | 100% | |
| 374 | 0% | 100% | |
| 375 | 0% | 100% | |
| 376 | 0% | 100% | |
| 377 | 0% | 100% | |
| 378 | 0% | 100% | |
| 379 | 0% | 100% | |
| 380 | 0% | 100% | |
| 381 | 0% | 100% | |
| 382 | 0% | 100% | |
| 383 | 0% | 100% | |
| 384 | 0% | 100% | |
| 385 | 0% | 100% | |
| 386 | 0% | 100% | |
| 387 | 0% | 100% | |
| 388 | 0% | 100% | |
| 389 | 0% | 100% | |
| 390 | 0% | 100% | |
| 391 | 0% | 100% | |
| 392 | 0% | 100% | |
| 393 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 394 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 395 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 396 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 397 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 398 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 399 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 400 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 401 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 402 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 403 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 404 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 405 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 406 | 0.2% | 98.8% | |
| 407 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 408 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 409 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 410 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 411 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 412 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 413 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 414 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 415 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 416 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 417 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 418 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 419 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 420 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 421 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 422 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 423 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 425 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 426 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 427 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 428 | 0.6% | 86% | |
| 429 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 430 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 431 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 432 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 433 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 434 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 435 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 436 | 0.8% | 80% | |
| 437 | 1.1% | 79% | |
| 438 | 1.0% | 78% | |
| 439 | 1.1% | 77% | |
| 440 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 441 | 1.2% | 74% | |
| 442 | 1.3% | 73% | |
| 443 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 444 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 445 | 1.0% | 70% | |
| 446 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 447 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 448 | 1.2% | 67% | |
| 449 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 450 | 1.5% | 64% | |
| 451 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 452 | 1.3% | 62% | |
| 453 | 1.3% | 60% | |
| 454 | 1.2% | 59% | |
| 455 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 456 | 1.3% | 57% | |
| 457 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 458 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 459 | 0.9% | 53% | |
| 460 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 461 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 462 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 463 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 464 | 1.0% | 48% | |
| 465 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 466 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 467 | 1.0% | 46% | |
| 468 | 0.9% | 45% | |
| 469 | 0.9% | 44% | |
| 470 | 1.0% | 43% | |
| 471 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 472 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 473 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 474 | 0.8% | 39% | Median |
| 475 | 1.0% | 39% | |
| 476 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 477 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 478 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 479 | 0.9% | 35% | |
| 480 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 481 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 482 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 483 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 484 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 485 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 486 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 487 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 488 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 489 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 490 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 491 | 0.5% | 27% | |
| 492 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 493 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 494 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 495 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 496 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 497 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 498 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 499 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 500 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 501 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 502 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 503 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 504 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 505 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 506 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 507 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 508 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 509 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 510 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 511 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 512 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 513 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 514 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 515 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 516 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 517 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 518 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 519 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 520 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 521 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 522 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 523 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 524 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 525 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 526 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 527 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 528 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 529 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 530 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 531 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 532 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 533 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 534 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 535 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 536 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 537 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 538 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 539 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 540 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 541 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 542 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 543 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 544 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 545 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 546 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 547 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 548 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 549 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 550 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 551 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 552 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 553 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 554 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 555 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 556 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 557 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 558 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 559 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 560 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 561 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 562 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 563 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 100% | |
| 350 | 0% | 100% | |
| 351 | 0% | 100% | |
| 352 | 0% | 100% | |
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0% | 100% | |
| 366 | 0% | 100% | |
| 367 | 0% | 100% | |
| 368 | 0% | 100% | |
| 369 | 0% | 100% | |
| 370 | 0% | 100% | |
| 371 | 0% | 100% | |
| 372 | 0% | 100% | |
| 373 | 0% | 100% | |
| 374 | 0% | 100% | |
| 375 | 0% | 100% | |
| 376 | 0% | 100% | |
| 377 | 0% | 100% | |
| 378 | 0% | 100% | |
| 379 | 0% | 100% | |
| 380 | 0% | 100% | |
| 381 | 0% | 100% | |
| 382 | 0% | 100% | |
| 383 | 0% | 100% | |
| 384 | 0% | 100% | |
| 385 | 0% | 100% | |
| 386 | 0% | 100% | |
| 387 | 0% | 100% | |
| 388 | 0% | 100% | |
| 389 | 0% | 100% | |
| 390 | 0% | 100% | |
| 391 | 0% | 100% | |
| 392 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 393 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 394 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 395 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 396 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 397 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 398 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 399 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 400 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 401 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 402 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 403 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 404 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 405 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 406 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 407 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 408 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 409 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 410 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 411 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 412 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 413 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 414 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 415 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 416 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 417 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 418 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 419 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 420 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 421 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 422 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 423 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 425 | 0.5% | 87% | |
| 426 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 427 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 428 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 429 | 0.7% | 85% | |
| 430 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 431 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 432 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 433 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 434 | 1.0% | 80% | |
| 435 | 0.9% | 79% | |
| 436 | 1.2% | 79% | |
| 437 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 438 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 439 | 1.3% | 75% | |
| 440 | 1.1% | 74% | |
| 441 | 1.2% | 73% | |
| 442 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 443 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 444 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 445 | 1.1% | 69% | |
| 446 | 1.2% | 67% | |
| 447 | 1.4% | 66% | |
| 448 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 449 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 450 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 451 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 452 | 1.2% | 60% | |
| 453 | 1.1% | 59% | |
| 454 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 455 | 1.2% | 56% | |
| 456 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 457 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 458 | 1.0% | 53% | |
| 459 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 460 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 461 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 462 | 1.0% | 49% | |
| 463 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 464 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 465 | 0.9% | 46% | |
| 466 | 1.0% | 45% | |
| 467 | 0.9% | 44% | |
| 468 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 469 | 1.0% | 43% | |
| 470 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 471 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 472 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 473 | 0.8% | 39% | Median |
| 474 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 475 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 476 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 477 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 478 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 479 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 480 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 481 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 482 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 483 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 484 | 0.7% | 30% | |
| 485 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 486 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 487 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 488 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 489 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 490 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 491 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 492 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 493 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 494 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 495 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 496 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 497 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 498 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 499 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 500 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 501 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 502 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 503 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 504 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 505 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 506 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 507 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 508 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 509 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 510 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 511 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 512 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 513 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 514 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 515 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 516 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 517 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 518 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 519 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 520 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 521 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 522 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 523 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 524 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 525 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 526 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 527 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 528 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 529 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 530 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 531 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 532 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 533 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 534 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 535 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 536 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 537 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 538 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 539 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 540 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 541 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 542 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 543 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 544 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 545 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 546 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 547 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 548 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 549 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 550 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 551 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 552 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 553 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 554 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 555 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 556 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 557 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 558 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 559 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 560 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 561 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 261 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 100% | |
| 350 | 0% | 100% | |
| 351 | 0% | 100% | |
| 352 | 0% | 100% | |
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0% | 100% | |
| 366 | 0% | 100% | |
| 367 | 0% | 100% | |
| 368 | 0% | 100% | |
| 369 | 0% | 100% | |
| 370 | 0% | 100% | |
| 371 | 0% | 100% | |
| 372 | 0% | 100% | |
| 373 | 0% | 100% | |
| 374 | 0% | 100% | |
| 375 | 0% | 100% | |
| 376 | 0% | 100% | |
| 377 | 0% | 100% | |
| 378 | 0% | 100% | |
| 379 | 0% | 100% | |
| 380 | 0% | 100% | |
| 381 | 0% | 100% | |
| 382 | 0% | 100% | |
| 383 | 0% | 100% | |
| 384 | 0% | 100% | |
| 385 | 0% | 100% | |
| 386 | 0% | 100% | |
| 387 | 0% | 100% | |
| 388 | 0% | 100% | |
| 389 | 0% | 100% | |
| 390 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 391 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 392 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 393 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 394 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 395 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 396 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 397 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 398 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 399 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 400 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 401 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 402 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 403 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 404 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 405 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 406 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 407 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 408 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 409 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 410 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 411 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 412 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 413 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 414 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 415 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 416 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 417 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 418 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 419 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 420 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 421 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 422 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 423 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 425 | 0.7% | 86% | |
| 426 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 427 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 428 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 429 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 430 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 431 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 432 | 1.1% | 80% | |
| 433 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 434 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 435 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 436 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 437 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 438 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 439 | 0.9% | 73% | |
| 440 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 441 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 442 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 443 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 444 | 1.1% | 68% | |
| 445 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 446 | 1.3% | 66% | |
| 447 | 1.2% | 65% | |
| 448 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 449 | 1.3% | 62% | |
| 450 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 451 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 452 | 1.1% | 59% | |
| 453 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 454 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 455 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 456 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 457 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 458 | 0.9% | 52% | |
| 459 | 0.9% | 51% | |
| 460 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 461 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 462 | 1.0% | 49% | |
| 463 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 464 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 465 | 0.8% | 46% | |
| 466 | 0.9% | 45% | |
| 467 | 0.9% | 44% | |
| 468 | 0.9% | 43% | Median |
| 469 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 470 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 471 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 472 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 473 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 474 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 475 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 476 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 477 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 478 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 479 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 480 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 481 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 482 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 483 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 484 | 0.7% | 30% | |
| 485 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 486 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 487 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 488 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 489 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 490 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 491 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 492 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 493 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 494 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 495 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 496 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 497 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 498 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 499 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 500 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 501 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 502 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 503 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 504 | 0.5% | 19% | |
| 505 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 506 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 507 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 508 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 509 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 510 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 511 | 0.6% | 15% | |
| 512 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 513 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 514 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 515 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 516 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 517 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 518 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 519 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 520 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 521 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 522 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 523 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 524 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 525 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 526 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 527 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 528 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 529 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 530 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 531 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 532 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 533 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 534 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 535 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 536 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 537 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 538 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 539 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 540 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 541 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 542 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 543 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 544 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 545 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 546 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 547 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 548 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 549 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 550 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 551 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 552 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 553 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 554 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 555 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 556 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 557 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 558 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 559 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 560 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 561 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 217 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 350 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 351 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 352 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 353 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 354 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 355 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 356 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 357 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 358 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 359 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 360 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 361 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 362 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 363 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 364 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 365 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 366 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 367 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 368 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 369 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 370 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 371 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 372 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 373 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 374 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 375 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 376 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 377 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 378 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 379 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 380 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 381 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 382 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 383 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 384 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 385 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 386 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 387 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 388 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 389 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 390 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 391 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 392 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 393 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 394 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 395 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 396 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 397 | 1.0% | 87% | |
| 398 | 0.8% | 86% | |
| 399 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 400 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 401 | 0.8% | 84% | |
| 402 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 403 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 404 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 405 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 406 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 407 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 408 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 409 | 2% | 75% | |
| 410 | 1.3% | 73% | |
| 411 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 412 | 1.5% | 70% | |
| 413 | 1.4% | 69% | |
| 414 | 2% | 68% | |
| 415 | 2% | 66% | |
| 416 | 1.5% | 64% | |
| 417 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 418 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 419 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 420 | 1.1% | 59% | |
| 421 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 422 | 1.3% | 57% | |
| 423 | 1.3% | 55% | |
| 424 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 425 | 1.0% | 53% | |
| 426 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 427 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 428 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 429 | 0.9% | 49% | |
| 430 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 431 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 432 | 0.8% | 46% | |
| 433 | 0.8% | 45% | |
| 434 | 0.8% | 45% | |
| 435 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 436 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 437 | 0.8% | 42% | Median |
| 438 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 439 | 0.8% | 40% | |
| 440 | 0.8% | 40% | |
| 441 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 442 | 0.8% | 38% | |
| 443 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 444 | 1.0% | 36% | |
| 445 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 446 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 447 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 448 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 449 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 450 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 451 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 452 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 453 | 0.7% | 30% | |
| 454 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 455 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 456 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 457 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 458 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 459 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 460 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 461 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 462 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 463 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 464 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 465 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 466 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 467 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 468 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 469 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 470 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 471 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 472 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 473 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 474 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 475 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 476 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 477 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 478 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 479 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 480 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 481 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 482 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 483 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 484 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 485 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 486 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 487 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 488 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 489 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 490 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 491 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 492 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 493 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 494 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 495 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 496 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 497 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 498 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 499 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 500 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 501 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 502 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 503 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 504 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 505 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 506 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 507 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 508 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 509 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 510 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 511 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 512 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 513 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 514 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 515 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 516 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 517 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 518 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 519 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 520 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 521 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 522 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 523 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 524 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 525 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 526 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 527 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 528 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 529 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 530 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 531 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 532 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 533 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 534 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 535 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 536 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 537 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 538 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 539 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 540 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 541 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 542 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 543 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 544 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 545 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 546 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 547 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 548 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 549 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 550 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 551 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 552 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 553 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 554 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 555 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 556 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 557 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 558 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 559 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 560 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 348 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 349 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 350 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 351 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 352 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 353 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 354 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 355 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 356 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 357 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 358 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 359 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 360 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 361 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 362 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 363 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 364 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 365 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 366 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 367 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 368 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 369 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 370 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 371 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 372 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 373 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 374 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 375 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 376 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 377 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 378 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 379 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 380 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 381 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 382 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 383 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 384 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 385 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 386 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 387 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 388 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 389 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 390 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 391 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 392 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 393 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 394 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 395 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 396 | 0.8% | 86% | |
| 397 | 1.0% | 85% | |
| 398 | 0.9% | 84% | |
| 399 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 400 | 0.8% | 82% | |
| 401 | 0.9% | 82% | |
| 402 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 403 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 404 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 405 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 406 | 1.2% | 77% | |
| 407 | 1.1% | 75% | |
| 408 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 409 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 410 | 1.3% | 72% | |
| 411 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 412 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 413 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 414 | 1.4% | 67% | |
| 415 | 2% | 65% | |
| 416 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 417 | 1.2% | 62% | |
| 418 | 1.2% | 61% | |
| 419 | 1.3% | 60% | |
| 420 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 421 | 1.3% | 57% | |
| 422 | 1.2% | 56% | |
| 423 | 1.2% | 55% | |
| 424 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 425 | 1.0% | 53% | |
| 426 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 427 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 428 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 429 | 0.9% | 49% | |
| 430 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 431 | 0.8% | 47% | |
| 432 | 0.9% | 46% | Median |
| 433 | 0.8% | 45% | |
| 434 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 435 | 0.8% | 44% | |
| 436 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 437 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 438 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 439 | 0.8% | 40% | |
| 440 | 0.7% | 39% | |
| 441 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 442 | 0.8% | 38% | |
| 443 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 444 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 445 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 446 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 447 | 0.7% | 34% | |
| 448 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 449 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 450 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 451 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 452 | 0.6% | 30% | |
| 453 | 0.7% | 30% | |
| 454 | 0.7% | 29% | |
| 455 | 0.7% | 28% | |
| 456 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 457 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 458 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 459 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 460 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 461 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 462 | 0.5% | 24% | |
| 463 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 464 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 465 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 466 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 467 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 468 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 469 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 470 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 471 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 472 | 0.4% | 19% | |
| 473 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 474 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 475 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 476 | 0.4% | 17% | |
| 477 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 478 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 479 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 480 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 481 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 482 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 483 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 484 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 485 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 486 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 487 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 488 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 489 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 490 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 491 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 492 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 493 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 494 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 495 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 496 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 497 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 498 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 499 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 500 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 501 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 502 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 503 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 504 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 505 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 506 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 507 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 508 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 509 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 510 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 511 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 512 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 513 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 514 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 515 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 516 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 517 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 518 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 519 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 520 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 521 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 522 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 523 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 524 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 525 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 526 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 527 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 528 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 529 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 530 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 531 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 532 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 533 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 534 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 535 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 536 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 537 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 538 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 539 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 540 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 541 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 542 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 543 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 544 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 545 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 546 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 547 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 548 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 549 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 550 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 551 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 552 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 553 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 554 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 555 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 556 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 557 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 558 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 559 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 560 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 100% | |
| 350 | 0% | 100% | |
| 351 | 0% | 100% | |
| 352 | 0% | 100% | |
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0% | 100% | |
| 366 | 0% | 100% | |
| 367 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 368 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 369 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 370 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 371 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 372 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 373 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 374 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 375 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 376 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 377 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 378 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 379 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 380 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 381 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 382 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 383 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 384 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 385 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 386 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 387 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 388 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 389 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 390 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 391 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 392 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 393 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 394 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 395 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 396 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 397 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 398 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 399 | 1.0% | 92% | |
| 400 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 401 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 402 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 403 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 404 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 405 | 1.1% | 86% | |
| 406 | 1.2% | 85% | |
| 407 | 1.2% | 84% | |
| 408 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 409 | 1.4% | 82% | |
| 410 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 411 | 2% | 79% | |
| 412 | 1.5% | 77% | |
| 413 | 2% | 76% | |
| 414 | 1.4% | 74% | |
| 415 | 1.5% | 73% | |
| 416 | 2% | 71% | |
| 417 | 1.4% | 70% | |
| 418 | 1.4% | 68% | |
| 419 | 1.4% | 67% | |
| 420 | 2% | 66% | |
| 421 | 2% | 64% | |
| 422 | 2% | 62% | |
| 423 | 1.3% | 61% | |
| 424 | 1.5% | 60% | |
| 425 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 426 | 1.3% | 57% | |
| 427 | 1.0% | 56% | |
| 428 | 2% | 55% | |
| 429 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 430 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 431 | 1.0% | 51% | |
| 432 | 1.3% | 50% | |
| 433 | 1.2% | 49% | |
| 434 | 1.1% | 47% | |
| 435 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 436 | 1.2% | 45% | |
| 437 | 1.2% | 44% | |
| 438 | 1.0% | 43% | |
| 439 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 440 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 441 | 1.2% | 40% | |
| 442 | 1.3% | 38% | |
| 443 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 444 | 0.9% | 36% | Median |
| 445 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 446 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 447 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 448 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 449 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 450 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 451 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 452 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 453 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 454 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 455 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 456 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 457 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 458 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 459 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 460 | 0.7% | 24% | |
| 461 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 462 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 463 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 464 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 465 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 466 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 467 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 468 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 469 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 470 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 471 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 472 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 473 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 474 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 475 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 476 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 477 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 478 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 479 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 480 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 481 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 482 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 483 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 484 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 485 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 486 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 487 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 488 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 489 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 490 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 491 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 492 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 493 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 494 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 495 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 496 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 497 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 498 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 499 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 500 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 501 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 502 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 503 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 504 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 505 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 506 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 507 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 508 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 509 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 510 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 511 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 512 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 513 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 514 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 515 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 516 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 100% | |
| 326 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 100% | |
| 328 | 0% | 100% | |
| 329 | 0% | 100% | |
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0% | 100% | |
| 343 | 0% | 100% | |
| 344 | 0% | 100% | |
| 345 | 0% | 100% | |
| 346 | 0% | 100% | |
| 347 | 0% | 100% | |
| 348 | 0% | 100% | |
| 349 | 0% | 100% | |
| 350 | 0% | 100% | |
| 351 | 0% | 100% | |
| 352 | 0% | 100% | |
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0% | 100% | |
| 366 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 367 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 368 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 369 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 370 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 371 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 372 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 373 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 374 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 375 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 376 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 377 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 378 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 379 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 380 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 381 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 382 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 383 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 384 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 385 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 386 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 387 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 388 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 389 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 390 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 391 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 392 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 393 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 394 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 395 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 396 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 397 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 398 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 399 | 1.0% | 90% | |
| 400 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 401 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 402 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 403 | 1.1% | 87% | |
| 404 | 1.5% | 86% | |
| 405 | 1.4% | 84% | |
| 406 | 2% | 83% | |
| 407 | 1.5% | 81% | |
| 408 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 409 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 410 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 411 | 2% | 76% | |
| 412 | 1.2% | 75% | |
| 413 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 414 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 415 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 416 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 417 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 418 | 1.2% | 67% | |
| 419 | 1.3% | 66% | |
| 420 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 421 | 1.3% | 63% | |
| 422 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 423 | 1.3% | 60% | |
| 424 | 1.4% | 59% | |
| 425 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 426 | 1.3% | 56% | |
| 427 | 1.0% | 55% | |
| 428 | 1.4% | 54% | |
| 429 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 430 | 1.1% | 52% | |
| 431 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 432 | 1.3% | 49% | |
| 433 | 1.1% | 48% | |
| 434 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 435 | 1.3% | 46% | |
| 436 | 1.1% | 45% | |
| 437 | 1.1% | 44% | |
| 438 | 1.0% | 42% | |
| 439 | 1.1% | 41% | Median |
| 440 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 441 | 1.2% | 39% | |
| 442 | 1.3% | 38% | |
| 443 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 444 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 445 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 446 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 447 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 448 | 0.8% | 32% | |
| 449 | 0.7% | 31% | |
| 450 | 0.8% | 31% | |
| 451 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 452 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 453 | 0.6% | 29% | |
| 454 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 455 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 456 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 457 | 0.7% | 26% | |
| 458 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 459 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 460 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 461 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 462 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 463 | 0.5% | 22% | |
| 464 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 465 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 466 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 467 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 468 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 469 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 470 | 0.7% | 18% | |
| 471 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 472 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 473 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 474 | 0.8% | 15% | |
| 475 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 476 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 477 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 478 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 479 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 480 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 481 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 482 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 483 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 484 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 485 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 486 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 487 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 488 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 489 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 490 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 491 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 492 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 493 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 494 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 495 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 496 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 497 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 498 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 499 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 500 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 501 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 502 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 503 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 504 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 505 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 506 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 507 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 508 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 509 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 510 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 511 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 512 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 513 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 514 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 515 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 516 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 100% | |
| 324 | 0% | 100% | |
| 325 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 326 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 328 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 329 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 330 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 331 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 332 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 333 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 334 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 335 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 336 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 339 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 340 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 341 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 342 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 343 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 344 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 345 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 347 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 348 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 349 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 350 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 351 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 352 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 353 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 354 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 355 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 356 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 357 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 358 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 359 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 360 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 361 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 362 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 363 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 364 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 365 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 366 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 367 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 368 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 369 | 1.0% | 88% | |
| 370 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 371 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 372 | 0.8% | 85% | |
| 373 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 374 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 375 | 0.9% | 83% | |
| 376 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 377 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 378 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 379 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 380 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 381 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 382 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 383 | 1.2% | 75% | |
| 384 | 1.1% | 74% | |
| 385 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 386 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 387 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 388 | 1.3% | 69% | |
| 389 | 1.0% | 68% | |
| 390 | 1.3% | 67% | |
| 391 | 0.9% | 65% | |
| 392 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 393 | 1.0% | 63% | |
| 394 | 1.3% | 62% | |
| 395 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 396 | 1.2% | 60% | |
| 397 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 398 | 2% | 57% | |
| 399 | 2% | 56% | |
| 400 | 1.3% | 54% | |
| 401 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 402 | 1.4% | 52% | |
| 403 | 1.4% | 50% | |
| 404 | 1.5% | 49% | |
| 405 | 1.3% | 48% | |
| 406 | 1.2% | 46% | |
| 407 | 1.5% | 45% | |
| 408 | 1.4% | 44% | Median |
| 409 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 410 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 411 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 412 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 413 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 414 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 415 | 1.1% | 36% | |
| 416 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 417 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 418 | 0.9% | 32% | |
| 419 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 420 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 421 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 422 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 423 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 425 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 426 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 427 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 428 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 429 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 430 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 431 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 432 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 433 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 434 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 435 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 436 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 437 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 438 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 439 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 440 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 441 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 442 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 443 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 444 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 445 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 446 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 447 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 448 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 449 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 450 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 451 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 452 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 453 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 454 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 455 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 456 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 457 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 458 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 459 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 460 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 461 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 462 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 463 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 464 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 465 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 466 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 467 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 468 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 469 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 470 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 471 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 472 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 473 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 474 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 475 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 476 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 477 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 478 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 479 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 480 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 481 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 482 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 483 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 484 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 485 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 486 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 487 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 488 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 489 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 490 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 491 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 492 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 493 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 494 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 495 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 496 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 497 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 498 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 499 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 500 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 501 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 502 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 503 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 504 | 0% | 0% |
Labour Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 202 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 203 | 0% | 100% | |
| 204 | 0% | 100% | |
| 205 | 0% | 100% | |
| 206 | 0% | 100% | |
| 207 | 0% | 100% | |
| 208 | 0% | 100% | |
| 209 | 0% | 100% | |
| 210 | 0% | 100% | |
| 211 | 0% | 100% | |
| 212 | 0% | 100% | |
| 213 | 0% | 100% | |
| 214 | 0% | 100% | |
| 215 | 0% | 100% | |
| 216 | 0% | 100% | |
| 217 | 0% | 100% | |
| 218 | 0% | 100% | |
| 219 | 0% | 100% | |
| 220 | 0% | 100% | |
| 221 | 0% | 100% | |
| 222 | 0% | 100% | |
| 223 | 0% | 100% | |
| 224 | 0% | 100% | |
| 225 | 0% | 100% | |
| 226 | 0% | 100% | |
| 227 | 0% | 100% | |
| 228 | 0% | 100% | |
| 229 | 0% | 100% | |
| 230 | 0% | 100% | |
| 231 | 0% | 100% | |
| 232 | 0% | 100% | |
| 233 | 0% | 100% | |
| 234 | 0% | 100% | |
| 235 | 0% | 100% | |
| 236 | 0% | 100% | |
| 237 | 0% | 100% | |
| 238 | 0% | 100% | |
| 239 | 0% | 100% | |
| 240 | 0% | 100% | |
| 241 | 0% | 100% | |
| 242 | 0% | 100% | |
| 243 | 0% | 100% | |
| 244 | 0% | 100% | |
| 245 | 0% | 100% | |
| 246 | 0% | 100% | |
| 247 | 0% | 100% | |
| 248 | 0% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0% | 100% | |
| 250 | 0% | 100% | |
| 251 | 0% | 100% | |
| 252 | 0% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0% | 100% | |
| 254 | 0% | 100% | |
| 255 | 0% | 100% | |
| 256 | 0% | 100% | |
| 257 | 0% | 100% | |
| 258 | 0% | 100% | |
| 259 | 0% | 100% | |
| 260 | 0% | 100% | |
| 261 | 0% | 100% | |
| 262 | 0% | 100% | |
| 263 | 0% | 100% | |
| 264 | 0% | 100% | |
| 265 | 0% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0% | 100% | |
| 267 | 0% | 100% | |
| 268 | 0% | 100% | |
| 269 | 0% | 100% | |
| 270 | 0% | 100% | |
| 271 | 0% | 100% | |
| 272 | 0% | 100% | |
| 273 | 0% | 100% | |
| 274 | 0% | 100% | |
| 275 | 0% | 100% | |
| 276 | 0% | 100% | |
| 277 | 0% | 100% | |
| 278 | 0% | 100% | |
| 279 | 0% | 100% | |
| 280 | 0% | 100% | |
| 281 | 0% | 100% | |
| 282 | 0% | 100% | |
| 283 | 0% | 100% | |
| 284 | 0% | 100% | |
| 285 | 0% | 100% | |
| 286 | 0% | 100% | |
| 287 | 0% | 100% | |
| 288 | 0% | 100% | |
| 289 | 0% | 100% | |
| 290 | 0% | 100% | |
| 291 | 0% | 100% | |
| 292 | 0% | 100% | |
| 293 | 0% | 100% | |
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0% | 100% | |
| 296 | 0% | 100% | |
| 297 | 0% | 100% | |
| 298 | 0% | 100% | |
| 299 | 0% | 100% | |
| 300 | 0% | 100% | |
| 301 | 0% | 100% | |
| 302 | 0% | 100% | |
| 303 | 0% | 100% | |
| 304 | 0% | 100% | |
| 305 | 0% | 100% | |
| 306 | 0% | 100% | |
| 307 | 0% | 100% | |
| 308 | 0% | 100% | |
| 309 | 0% | 100% | |
| 310 | 0% | 100% | |
| 311 | 0% | 100% | |
| 312 | 0% | 100% | |
| 313 | 0% | 100% | |
| 314 | 0% | 100% | |
| 315 | 0% | 100% | |
| 316 | 0% | 100% | |
| 317 | 0% | 100% | |
| 318 | 0% | 100% | |
| 319 | 0% | 100% | |
| 320 | 0% | 100% | |
| 321 | 0% | 100% | |
| 322 | 0% | 100% | |
| 323 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 324 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 325 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 326 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 328 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 329 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 330 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 331 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 332 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 333 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 334 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 335 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 336 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 337 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 338 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 339 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 340 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 341 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 342 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 343 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 344 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 345 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 346 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 347 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 348 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 349 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 350 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 351 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 352 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 353 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 354 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 355 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 356 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 357 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 358 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 359 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 360 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 361 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 362 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 363 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 364 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 365 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 366 | 0.8% | 88% | |
| 367 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 368 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 369 | 0.9% | 86% | |
| 370 | 0.9% | 85% | |
| 371 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 372 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 373 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 374 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 375 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 376 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 377 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 378 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 379 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 380 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 381 | 0.9% | 75% | |
| 382 | 0.9% | 74% | |
| 383 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 384 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 385 | 1.1% | 71% | |
| 386 | 1.1% | 70% | |
| 387 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 388 | 1.2% | 68% | |
| 389 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 390 | 1.2% | 66% | |
| 391 | 0.9% | 65% | |
| 392 | 1.3% | 64% | |
| 393 | 1.0% | 62% | |
| 394 | 1.2% | 61% | |
| 395 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 396 | 1.2% | 59% | |
| 397 | 0.9% | 58% | |
| 398 | 2% | 57% | |
| 399 | 2% | 56% | |
| 400 | 1.3% | 54% | |
| 401 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 402 | 1.4% | 52% | |
| 403 | 1.3% | 50% | Median |
| 404 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 405 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 406 | 1.2% | 46% | |
| 407 | 1.5% | 45% | |
| 408 | 1.4% | 44% | |
| 409 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 410 | 1.0% | 41% | |
| 411 | 1.0% | 40% | |
| 412 | 1.1% | 39% | |
| 413 | 1.2% | 38% | |
| 414 | 1.1% | 37% | |
| 415 | 1.1% | 36% | |
| 416 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 417 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 418 | 0.9% | 32% | |
| 419 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 420 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 421 | 0.8% | 30% | |
| 422 | 0.8% | 29% | |
| 423 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 424 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 425 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 426 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 427 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 428 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 429 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 430 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 431 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 432 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 433 | 0.6% | 22% | |
| 434 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 435 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 436 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 437 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 438 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 439 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 440 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 441 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 442 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 443 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 444 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 445 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 446 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 447 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 448 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 449 | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 450 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 451 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 452 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 453 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 454 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 455 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 456 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 457 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 458 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 459 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 460 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 461 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 462 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 463 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 464 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 465 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 466 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 467 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 468 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 469 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 470 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 471 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 472 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 473 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 474 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 475 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 476 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 477 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 478 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 479 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 480 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 481 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 482 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 483 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 484 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 485 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 486 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 487 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 488 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 489 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 490 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 491 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 492 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 493 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 494 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 495 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 496 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 497 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 498 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 499 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 500 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 501 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 502 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 503 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 504 | 0% | 0% |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 75 | 0% | 93% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 77 | 0% | 93% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 81 | 0% | 92% | |
| 82 | 0% | 92% | |
| 83 | 0% | 92% | |
| 84 | 0% | 92% | |
| 85 | 0% | 92% | |
| 86 | 0% | 92% | |
| 87 | 0% | 92% | |
| 88 | 0% | 92% | |
| 89 | 0% | 92% | |
| 90 | 0% | 92% | |
| 91 | 0% | 92% | |
| 92 | 0% | 92% | |
| 93 | 0% | 92% | |
| 94 | 0% | 92% | |
| 95 | 0% | 92% | |
| 96 | 0% | 92% | |
| 97 | 0% | 92% | |
| 98 | 0% | 92% | |
| 99 | 0% | 92% | |
| 100 | 0% | 92% | |
| 101 | 0% | 92% | |
| 102 | 0% | 92% | |
| 103 | 0% | 91% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 79% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 73% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 68% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 64% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 61% | |
| 171 | 0.7% | 60% | |
| 172 | 0.8% | 60% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 58% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 57% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 56% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 55% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 54% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 53% | |
| 181 | 0.6% | 53% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 52% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 51% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 50% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 187 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 193 | 0.6% | 44% | |
| 194 | 0.7% | 44% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 198 | 0.8% | 41% | Median |
| 199 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 39% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 202 | 0.8% | 37% | |
| 203 | 1.0% | 36% | |
| 204 | 0.8% | 36% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 35% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 207 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 208 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 209 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 210 | 1.0% | 29% | |
| 211 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 212 | 0.9% | 27% | |
| 213 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 214 | 0.9% | 25% | |
| 215 | 0.9% | 24% | |
| 216 | 0.8% | 23% | |
| 217 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 218 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 219 | 0.7% | 21% | |
| 220 | 0.8% | 20% | |
| 221 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 222 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 223 | 0.6% | 18% | |
| 224 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 225 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 226 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 227 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 228 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 229 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 230 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 231 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 232 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 233 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 234 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 235 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 236 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 237 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 238 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 239 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 240 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 241 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 243 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 244 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 245 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 246 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 247 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 248 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 250 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 252 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 254 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 255 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 256 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 257 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 258 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 260 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 265 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 268 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 269 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0% | |
| 370 | 0% | 0% | |
| 371 | 0% | 0% | |
| 372 | 0% | 0% | |
| 373 | 0% | 0% | |
| 374 | 0% | 0% | |
| 375 | 0% | 0% | |
| 376 | 0% | 0% | |
| 377 | 0% | 0% | |
| 378 | 0% | 0% | |
| 379 | 0% | 0% | |
| 380 | 0% | 0% | |
| 381 | 0% | 0% | |
| 382 | 0% | 0% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0% | |
| 384 | 0% | 0% | |
| 385 | 0% | 0% | |
| 386 | 0% | 0% | |
| 387 | 0% | 0% | |
| 388 | 0% | 0% | |
| 389 | 0% | 0% | |
| 390 | 0% | 0% | |
| 391 | 0% | 0% | |
| 392 | 0% | 0% | |
| 393 | 0% | 0% | |
| 394 | 0% | 0% | |
| 395 | 0% | 0% | |
| 396 | 0% | 0% | |
| 397 | 0% | 0% | |
| 398 | 0% | 0% | |
| 399 | 0% | 0% | |
| 400 | 0% | 0% | |
| 401 | 0% | 0% | |
| 402 | 0% | 0% | |
| 403 | 0% | 0% | |
| 404 | 0% | 0% | |
| 405 | 0% | 0% | |
| 406 | 0% | 0% | |
| 407 | 0% | 0% | |
| 408 | 0% | 0% | |
| 409 | 0% | 0% | |
| 410 | 0% | 0% | |
| 411 | 0% | 0% | |
| 412 | 0% | 0% | |
| 413 | 0% | 0% | |
| 414 | 0% | 0% | |
| 415 | 0% | 0% | |
| 416 | 0% | 0% | |
| 417 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 75 | 0% | 93% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 77 | 0% | 93% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 81 | 0% | 92% | |
| 82 | 0% | 92% | |
| 83 | 0% | 92% | |
| 84 | 0% | 92% | |
| 85 | 0% | 92% | |
| 86 | 0% | 92% | |
| 87 | 0% | 92% | |
| 88 | 0% | 92% | |
| 89 | 0% | 92% | |
| 90 | 0% | 92% | |
| 91 | 0% | 92% | |
| 92 | 0% | 92% | |
| 93 | 0% | 92% | |
| 94 | 0% | 92% | |
| 95 | 0% | 92% | |
| 96 | 0% | 92% | |
| 97 | 0% | 92% | |
| 98 | 0% | 92% | |
| 99 | 0% | 92% | |
| 100 | 0% | 92% | |
| 101 | 0% | 92% | |
| 102 | 0% | 92% | |
| 103 | 0% | 91% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 120 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 89% | |
| 125 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 126 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 127 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 128 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 129 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 130 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 131 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 137 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 138 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 141 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 143 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 146 | 0.6% | 80% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 148 | 0.6% | 79% | |
| 149 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 150 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 151 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 152 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 153 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 154 | 0.7% | 75% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 156 | 0.6% | 74% | |
| 157 | 0.8% | 73% | |
| 158 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 159 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 161 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 162 | 0.9% | 69% | |
| 163 | 1.0% | 68% | |
| 164 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 165 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 166 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 167 | 1.0% | 64% | |
| 168 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 169 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 170 | 0.6% | 61% | |
| 171 | 0.8% | 60% | |
| 172 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 173 | 0.8% | 59% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 58% | |
| 175 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 176 | 0.7% | 57% | |
| 177 | 0.8% | 56% | |
| 178 | 0.8% | 55% | |
| 179 | 0.9% | 54% | |
| 180 | 0.7% | 53% | |
| 181 | 0.7% | 53% | |
| 182 | 0.7% | 52% | |
| 183 | 0.7% | 51% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 50% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 50% | |
| 186 | 0.7% | 49% | |
| 187 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 190 | 0.7% | 46% | |
| 191 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 192 | 0.6% | 45% | |
| 193 | 0.7% | 44% | Median |
| 194 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 195 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 199 | 0.9% | 39% | |
| 200 | 0.8% | 38% | |
| 201 | 0.9% | 38% | |
| 202 | 0.9% | 37% | |
| 203 | 1.1% | 36% | |
| 204 | 0.9% | 35% | |
| 205 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 206 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 207 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 208 | 1.2% | 31% | |
| 209 | 1.2% | 30% | |
| 210 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 211 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 212 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 213 | 1.0% | 25% | |
| 214 | 0.9% | 24% | |
| 215 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 216 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 217 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 218 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 219 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 220 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 221 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 222 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 223 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 224 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 225 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 226 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 227 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 228 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 229 | 0.6% | 11% | |
| 230 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 231 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 232 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 233 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 234 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 235 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 236 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 237 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 238 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 239 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 240 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 241 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 242 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 243 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 244 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 245 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 246 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 247 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 248 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 249 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 250 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 251 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 252 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 253 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 254 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 255 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 256 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 257 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 258 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 259 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 260 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 261 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 262 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 263 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 267 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0% | |
| 370 | 0% | 0% | |
| 371 | 0% | 0% | |
| 372 | 0% | 0% | |
| 373 | 0% | 0% | |
| 374 | 0% | 0% | |
| 375 | 0% | 0% | |
| 376 | 0% | 0% | |
| 377 | 0% | 0% | |
| 378 | 0% | 0% | |
| 379 | 0% | 0% | |
| 380 | 0% | 0% | |
| 381 | 0% | 0% | |
| 382 | 0% | 0% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0% | |
| 384 | 0% | 0% | |
| 385 | 0% | 0% | |
| 386 | 0% | 0% | |
| 387 | 0% | 0% | |
| 388 | 0% | 0% | |
| 389 | 0% | 0% | |
| 390 | 0% | 0% | |
| 391 | 0% | 0% | |
| 392 | 0% | 0% | |
| 393 | 0% | 0% | |
| 394 | 0% | 0% | |
| 395 | 0% | 0% | |
| 396 | 0% | 0% | |
| 397 | 0% | 0% | |
| 398 | 0% | 0% | |
| 399 | 0% | 0% | |
| 400 | 0% | 0% | |
| 401 | 0% | 0% | |
| 402 | 0% | 0% | |
| 403 | 0% | 0% | |
| 404 | 0% | 0% | |
| 405 | 0% | 0% | |
| 406 | 0% | 0% | |
| 407 | 0% | 0% | |
| 408 | 0% | 0% | |
| 409 | 0% | 0% | |
| 410 | 0% | 0% | |
| 411 | 0% | 0% | |
| 412 | 0% | 0% | |
| 413 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 118 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 119 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 120 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 121 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 123 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 124 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 126 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 129 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 130 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 131 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 132 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 133 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 134 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 135 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 136 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 84% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 139 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 82% | |
| 141 | 0.5% | 82% | |
| 142 | 0.6% | 81% | |
| 143 | 0.4% | 81% | |
| 144 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 145 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 146 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 147 | 0.5% | 79% | |
| 148 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 149 | 0.5% | 78% | |
| 150 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 151 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 152 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 153 | 0.5% | 76% | |
| 154 | 0.3% | 76% | |
| 155 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 157 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 158 | 0.7% | 74% | |
| 159 | 0.8% | 73% | |
| 160 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 161 | 0.8% | 72% | |
| 162 | 1.0% | 71% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 70% | |
| 164 | 0.7% | 69% | |
| 165 | 1.0% | 69% | |
| 166 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 167 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 168 | 0.9% | 66% | |
| 169 | 1.0% | 65% | |
| 170 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 171 | 1.2% | 63% | |
| 172 | 0.8% | 62% | |
| 173 | 1.0% | 61% | |
| 174 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 175 | 1.5% | 59% | |
| 176 | 0.8% | 57% | |
| 177 | 1.0% | 56% | |
| 178 | 0.9% | 55% | |
| 179 | 0.8% | 55% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 181 | 1.4% | 53% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 51% | |
| 183 | 0.9% | 50% | |
| 184 | 1.1% | 49% | |
| 185 | 0.9% | 48% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 48% | Median |
| 187 | 1.0% | 46% | |
| 188 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 189 | 1.4% | 45% | |
| 190 | 0.8% | 43% | |
| 191 | 1.1% | 43% | |
| 192 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 194 | 0.9% | 39% | |
| 195 | 0.9% | 39% | |
| 196 | 2% | 38% | |
| 197 | 0.9% | 36% | |
| 198 | 1.3% | 35% | |
| 199 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 200 | 2% | 33% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 202 | 2% | 30% | |
| 203 | 2% | 29% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 27% | |
| 205 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 206 | 1.2% | 24% | |
| 207 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 208 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 209 | 1.3% | 21% | |
| 210 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 211 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 212 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 213 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 214 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 215 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 216 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 217 | 0.9% | 11% | |
| 218 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 219 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 220 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 221 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 222 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 223 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 224 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 225 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 226 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 227 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 228 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 229 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 230 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 231 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 232 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 233 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 234 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 236 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 237 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 239 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 240 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 242 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 243 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 244 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 245 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 246 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 247 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 248 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 249 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0% | |
| 370 | 0% | 0% | |
| 371 | 0% | 0% | |
| 372 | 0% | 0% | |
| 373 | 0% | 0% | |
| 374 | 0% | 0% | |
| 375 | 0% | 0% | |
| 376 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 74% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 143 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 63% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 148 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 59% | |
| 150 | 1.0% | 58% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 152 | 1.0% | 57% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 154 | 1.0% | 54% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 157 | 0.9% | 51% | |
| 158 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 48% | |
| 161 | 1.0% | 47% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 46% | Median |
| 163 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 164 | 1.3% | 43% | |
| 165 | 1.1% | 42% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 41% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 40% | |
| 168 | 2% | 38% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 171 | 1.3% | 34% | |
| 172 | 1.0% | 33% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 174 | 1.0% | 30% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 30% | |
| 176 | 1.2% | 28% | |
| 177 | 1.4% | 27% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 25% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 22% | |
| 182 | 1.0% | 21% | |
| 183 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 185 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 186 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 187 | 0.9% | 17% | |
| 188 | 0.8% | 16% | |
| 189 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 190 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 191 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 192 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 193 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 194 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 197 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 198 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 200 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 206 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 207 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 212 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 219 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 220 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 221 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 223 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 225 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 226 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 227 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 228 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 229 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | |
| 366 | 0% | 0% | |
| 367 | 0% | 0% | |
| 368 | 0% | 0% | |
| 369 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Conservative Party
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 88% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 84% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 84% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 83% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 83% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 81% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 80% | |
| 113 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 79% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 121 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 122 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 123 | 0.4% | 76% | |
| 124 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 125 | 0.4% | 75% | |
| 126 | 0.5% | 75% | |
| 127 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 128 | 0.5% | 74% | |
| 129 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 130 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 131 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 132 | 0.5% | 72% | |
| 133 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 134 | 0.6% | 71% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 136 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 69% | |
| 138 | 0.6% | 68% | |
| 139 | 0.7% | 68% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 67% | |
| 141 | 0.7% | 66% | |
| 142 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 65% | |
| 144 | 0.9% | 64% | |
| 145 | 0.9% | 63% | |
| 146 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 147 | 0.8% | 61% | |
| 148 | 1.0% | 60% | |
| 149 | 1.0% | 59% | |
| 150 | 1.1% | 58% | |
| 151 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 152 | 1.1% | 56% | |
| 153 | 1.1% | 55% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 155 | 1.1% | 53% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 52% | |
| 157 | 1.0% | 51% | Median |
| 158 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 159 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 160 | 1.2% | 47% | |
| 161 | 1.1% | 46% | |
| 162 | 1.4% | 45% | |
| 163 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 164 | 1.4% | 42% | |
| 165 | 1.2% | 41% | |
| 166 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 167 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 168 | 2% | 37% | |
| 169 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 170 | 1.0% | 34% | |
| 171 | 1.3% | 33% | |
| 172 | 1.2% | 32% | |
| 173 | 1.4% | 31% | |
| 174 | 1.2% | 29% | |
| 175 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 176 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 177 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 178 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 23% | |
| 180 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 181 | 1.1% | 21% | |
| 182 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 183 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 184 | 0.8% | 18% | |
| 185 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 186 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 189 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 190 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 191 | 0.8% | 11% | |
| 192 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 193 | 0.8% | 9% | |
| 194 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 195 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 196 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 197 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 198 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 200 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 201 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 203 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 205 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 206 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 208 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 209 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 213 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 214 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 215 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 216 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 217 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 218 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 219 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 220 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 221 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 222 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 223 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 224 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 225 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 226 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 227 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 228 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 229 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 230 | 0% | 0% | |
| 231 | 0% | 0% | |
| 232 | 0% | 0% | |
| 233 | 0% | 0% | |
| 234 | 0% | 0% | |
| 235 | 0% | 0% | |
| 236 | 0% | 0% | |
| 237 | 0% | 0% | |
| 238 | 0% | 0% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | |
| 279 | 0% | 0% | |
| 280 | 0% | 0% | |
| 281 | 0% | 0% | |
| 282 | 0% | 0% | |
| 283 | 0% | 0% | |
| 284 | 0% | 0% | |
| 285 | 0% | 0% | |
| 286 | 0% | 0% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | |
| 302 | 0% | 0% | |
| 303 | 0% | 0% | |
| 304 | 0% | 0% | |
| 305 | 0% | 0% | |
| 306 | 0% | 0% | |
| 307 | 0% | 0% | |
| 308 | 0% | 0% | |
| 309 | 0% | 0% | |
| 310 | 0% | 0% | |
| 311 | 0% | 0% | |
| 312 | 0% | 0% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | |
| 314 | 0% | 0% | |
| 315 | 0% | 0% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | |
| 317 | 0% | 0% | |
| 318 | 0% | 0% | |
| 319 | 0% | 0% | |
| 320 | 0% | 0% | |
| 321 | 0% | 0% | |
| 322 | 0% | 0% | |
| 323 | 0% | 0% | |
| 324 | 0% | 0% | |
| 325 | 0% | 0% | |
| 326 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 327 | 0% | 0% | |
| 328 | 0% | 0% | |
| 329 | 0% | 0% | |
| 330 | 0% | 0% | |
| 331 | 0% | 0% | |
| 332 | 0% | 0% | |
| 333 | 0% | 0% | |
| 334 | 0% | 0% | |
| 335 | 0% | 0% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | |
| 338 | 0% | 0% | |
| 339 | 0% | 0% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | |
| 341 | 0% | 0% | |
| 342 | 0% | 0% | |
| 343 | 0% | 0% | |
| 344 | 0% | 0% | |
| 345 | 0% | 0% | |
| 346 | 0% | 0% | |
| 347 | 0% | 0% | |
| 348 | 0% | 0% | |
| 349 | 0% | 0% | |
| 350 | 0% | 0% | |
| 351 | 0% | 0% | |
| 352 | 0% | 0% | |
| 353 | 0% | 0% | |
| 354 | 0% | 0% | |
| 355 | 0% | 0% | |
| 356 | 0% | 0% | |
| 357 | 0% | 0% | |
| 358 | 0% | 0% | |
| 359 | 0% | 0% | |
| 360 | 0% | 0% | |
| 361 | 0% | 0% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | |
| 363 | 0% | 0% | |
| 364 | 0% | 0% | |
| 365 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 12
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 22,020,096
- Error estimate: 0.72%