Opinion Poll by BMG Research, 16–18 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Labour Party |
32.1% |
43.9% |
42.5–45.3% |
42.1–45.7% |
41.7–46.1% |
41.1–46.7% |
Conservative Party |
43.6% |
33.4% |
32.1–34.8% |
31.7–35.2% |
31.4–35.5% |
30.8–36.2% |
Liberal Democrats |
11.5% |
11.5% |
10.6–12.5% |
10.4–12.7% |
10.2–13.0% |
9.8–13.4% |
Scottish National Party |
3.9% |
5.2% |
4.6–5.9% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.3–6.3% |
4.1–6.6% |
Green Party |
2.8% |
3.3% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.4–4.5% |
Brexit Party |
2.0% |
1.4% |
1.1–1.8% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.0% |
0.8–2.2% |
Plaid Cymru |
0.5% |
0.2% |
0.2–0.5% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
202 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
203 |
0% |
100% |
|
204 |
0% |
100% |
|
205 |
0% |
100% |
|
206 |
0% |
100% |
|
207 |
0% |
100% |
|
208 |
0% |
100% |
|
209 |
0% |
100% |
|
210 |
0% |
100% |
|
211 |
0% |
100% |
|
212 |
0% |
100% |
|
213 |
0% |
100% |
|
214 |
0% |
100% |
|
215 |
0% |
100% |
|
216 |
0% |
100% |
|
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
100% |
|
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
100% |
|
221 |
0% |
100% |
|
222 |
0% |
100% |
|
223 |
0% |
100% |
|
224 |
0% |
100% |
|
225 |
0% |
100% |
|
226 |
0% |
100% |
|
227 |
0% |
100% |
|
228 |
0% |
100% |
|
229 |
0% |
100% |
|
230 |
0% |
100% |
|
231 |
0% |
100% |
|
232 |
0% |
100% |
|
233 |
0% |
100% |
|
234 |
0% |
100% |
|
235 |
0% |
100% |
|
236 |
0% |
100% |
|
237 |
0% |
100% |
|
238 |
0% |
100% |
|
239 |
0% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
100% |
|
241 |
0% |
100% |
|
242 |
0% |
100% |
|
243 |
0% |
100% |
|
244 |
0% |
100% |
|
245 |
0% |
100% |
|
246 |
0% |
100% |
|
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
100% |
|
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
296 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
298 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
300 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
301 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
302 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
303 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
304 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
305 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
306 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
307 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
308 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
309 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
310 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
311 |
2% |
96% |
|
312 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
313 |
2% |
93% |
|
314 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
315 |
3% |
91% |
|
316 |
2% |
88% |
|
317 |
3% |
86% |
|
318 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
319 |
3% |
82% |
|
320 |
5% |
79% |
|
321 |
8% |
74% |
|
322 |
8% |
66% |
|
323 |
13% |
58% |
Median |
324 |
7% |
46% |
|
325 |
5% |
39% |
|
326 |
5% |
34% |
Majority |
327 |
3% |
29% |
|
328 |
7% |
25% |
|
329 |
4% |
18% |
|
330 |
5% |
14% |
|
331 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
332 |
2% |
8% |
|
333 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
334 |
2% |
6% |
|
335 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
336 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
337 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
338 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
339 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
340 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
341 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
342 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
344 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
345 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
347 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
348 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
349 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
350 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
351 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
352 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
353 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
194 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
196 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
201 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
204 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
205 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
206 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
207 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
208 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
209 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
210 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
212 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
213 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
214 |
2% |
97% |
|
215 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
216 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
217 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
218 |
2% |
92% |
|
219 |
3% |
90% |
|
220 |
3% |
86% |
|
221 |
5% |
83% |
|
222 |
4% |
78% |
|
223 |
8% |
75% |
|
224 |
5% |
66% |
|
225 |
2% |
61% |
|
226 |
7% |
59% |
|
227 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
228 |
5% |
44% |
|
229 |
7% |
39% |
|
230 |
6% |
32% |
|
231 |
4% |
26% |
|
232 |
2% |
21% |
|
233 |
3% |
19% |
|
234 |
2% |
17% |
|
235 |
2% |
15% |
|
236 |
1.5% |
13% |
|
237 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
238 |
2% |
10% |
|
239 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
240 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
241 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
242 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
243 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
244 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
245 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
246 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
247 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
248 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
249 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
250 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
251 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
252 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
253 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
254 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
255 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
259 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
260 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
261 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
|
314 |
0% |
0% |
|
315 |
0% |
0% |
|
316 |
0% |
0% |
|
317 |
0% |
0% |
|
318 |
0% |
0% |
|
319 |
0% |
0% |
|
320 |
0% |
0% |
|
321 |
0% |
0% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
12 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
13 |
0% |
98.5% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
15 |
3% |
98% |
|
16 |
6% |
95% |
|
17 |
3% |
89% |
|
18 |
14% |
86% |
|
19 |
16% |
73% |
|
20 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
21 |
15% |
47% |
|
22 |
8% |
32% |
|
23 |
7% |
24% |
|
24 |
6% |
16% |
|
25 |
4% |
11% |
|
26 |
2% |
6% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
49 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
7% |
93% |
|
56 |
14% |
86% |
|
57 |
18% |
72% |
|
58 |
55% |
55% |
Median |
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Brexit Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
39% |
100% |
|
1 |
9% |
61% |
|
2 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
3 |
23% |
27% |
|
4 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru |
266 |
403 |
100% |
392–412 |
389–416 |
385–418 |
377–427 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
265 |
402 |
100% |
391–411 |
388–415 |
384–417 |
376–426 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party |
261 |
401 |
100% |
390–409 |
387–413 |
382–416 |
375–425 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
254 |
382 |
100% |
373–388 |
370–393 |
367–394 |
360–402 |
Labour Party – Scottish National Party |
250 |
380 |
100% |
372–387 |
368–391 |
364–393 |
358–400 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru |
217 |
345 |
98% |
334–354 |
331–357 |
327–361 |
318–371 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats |
213 |
344 |
97% |
332–353 |
329–356 |
325–359 |
317–369 |
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru |
206 |
324 |
42% |
317–332 |
313–335 |
309–338 |
302–345 |
Labour Party |
202 |
323 |
34% |
315–330 |
311–334 |
308–336 |
301–344 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru |
417 |
285 |
0% |
276–297 |
273–300 |
270–305 |
260–313 |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party |
413 |
284 |
0% |
275–295 |
272–298 |
268–303 |
258–312 |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats |
376 |
247 |
0% |
241–256 |
236–259 |
235–262 |
227–270 |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru |
369 |
228 |
0% |
220–239 |
216–242 |
213–247 |
204–255 |
Conservative Party |
365 |
227 |
0% |
218–238 |
214–241 |
212–245 |
203–254 |
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
266 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
100% |
|
312 |
0% |
100% |
|
313 |
0% |
100% |
|
314 |
0% |
100% |
|
315 |
0% |
100% |
|
316 |
0% |
100% |
|
317 |
0% |
100% |
|
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
100% |
|
370 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
371 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
372 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
373 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
374 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
375 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
376 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
377 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
378 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
379 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
380 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
381 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
382 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
383 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
384 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
385 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
386 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
387 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
388 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
389 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
390 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
391 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
392 |
2% |
92% |
|
393 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
394 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
395 |
2% |
87% |
|
396 |
2% |
85% |
|
397 |
3% |
83% |
|
398 |
2% |
81% |
|
399 |
4% |
79% |
|
400 |
6% |
74% |
|
401 |
7% |
68% |
|
402 |
5% |
61% |
|
403 |
8% |
56% |
|
404 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
405 |
2% |
41% |
|
406 |
5% |
39% |
|
407 |
8% |
34% |
|
408 |
4% |
25% |
|
409 |
5% |
22% |
|
410 |
3% |
17% |
|
411 |
3% |
14% |
|
412 |
2% |
10% |
|
413 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
414 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
415 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
416 |
2% |
5% |
|
417 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
418 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
419 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
420 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
421 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
422 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
423 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
424 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
425 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
426 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
427 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
428 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
429 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
436 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
437 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
438 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
439 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
265 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
100% |
|
312 |
0% |
100% |
|
313 |
0% |
100% |
|
314 |
0% |
100% |
|
315 |
0% |
100% |
|
316 |
0% |
100% |
|
317 |
0% |
100% |
|
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
100% |
|
368 |
0% |
100% |
|
369 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
370 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
371 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
372 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
373 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
374 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
375 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
376 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
377 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
378 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
379 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
380 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
381 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
382 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
383 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
384 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
385 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
386 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
387 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
388 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
389 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
390 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
391 |
2% |
92% |
|
392 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
393 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
394 |
2% |
87% |
|
395 |
2% |
85% |
|
396 |
3% |
83% |
|
397 |
2% |
81% |
|
398 |
4% |
79% |
|
399 |
6% |
74% |
|
400 |
7% |
68% |
|
401 |
5% |
61% |
|
402 |
8% |
56% |
|
403 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
404 |
2% |
41% |
|
405 |
5% |
39% |
|
406 |
8% |
34% |
|
407 |
4% |
25% |
|
408 |
5% |
22% |
|
409 |
3% |
17% |
|
410 |
3% |
14% |
|
411 |
2% |
10% |
|
412 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
413 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
414 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
415 |
2% |
5% |
|
416 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
417 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
418 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
419 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
420 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
421 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
422 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
423 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
424 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
425 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
426 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
427 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
428 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
436 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
437 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
438 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
261 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
100% |
|
312 |
0% |
100% |
|
313 |
0% |
100% |
|
314 |
0% |
100% |
|
315 |
0% |
100% |
|
316 |
0% |
100% |
|
317 |
0% |
100% |
|
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
100% |
|
354 |
0% |
100% |
|
355 |
0% |
100% |
|
356 |
0% |
100% |
|
357 |
0% |
100% |
|
358 |
0% |
100% |
|
359 |
0% |
100% |
|
360 |
0% |
100% |
|
361 |
0% |
100% |
|
362 |
0% |
100% |
|
363 |
0% |
100% |
|
364 |
0% |
100% |
|
365 |
0% |
100% |
|
366 |
0% |
100% |
|
367 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
368 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
369 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
370 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
371 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
372 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
373 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
374 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
375 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
376 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
377 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
378 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
379 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
380 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
381 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
382 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
383 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
384 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
385 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
386 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
387 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
388 |
2% |
94% |
|
389 |
2% |
92% |
|
390 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
391 |
1.2% |
89% |
|
392 |
1.0% |
88% |
|
393 |
2% |
87% |
|
394 |
2% |
85% |
|
395 |
2% |
83% |
|
396 |
6% |
81% |
|
397 |
4% |
75% |
|
398 |
6% |
71% |
|
399 |
6% |
65% |
|
400 |
6% |
58% |
|
401 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
402 |
7% |
47% |
|
403 |
5% |
40% |
|
404 |
5% |
35% |
|
405 |
5% |
30% |
|
406 |
5% |
24% |
|
407 |
4% |
19% |
|
408 |
4% |
15% |
|
409 |
2% |
12% |
|
410 |
2% |
10% |
|
411 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
412 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
413 |
2% |
6% |
|
414 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
415 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
416 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
417 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
418 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
419 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
420 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
421 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
422 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
423 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
424 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
425 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
426 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
427 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
428 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
429 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
430 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
431 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
432 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
433 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
434 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
435 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
436 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
437 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
254 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
100% |
|
312 |
0% |
100% |
|
313 |
0% |
100% |
|
314 |
0% |
100% |
|
315 |
0% |
100% |
|
316 |
0% |
100% |
|
317 |
0% |
100% |
|
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0% |
100% |
|
353 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
354 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
355 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
357 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
358 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
359 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
360 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
361 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
362 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
363 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
364 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
365 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
367 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
368 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
369 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
370 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
371 |
2% |
94% |
|
372 |
2% |
93% |
|
373 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
374 |
3% |
90% |
|
375 |
2% |
87% |
|
376 |
2% |
85% |
|
377 |
3% |
83% |
|
378 |
3% |
80% |
|
379 |
6% |
77% |
|
380 |
10% |
71% |
|
381 |
9% |
61% |
|
382 |
14% |
52% |
|
383 |
3% |
38% |
Median |
384 |
3% |
35% |
|
385 |
4% |
32% |
|
386 |
8% |
28% |
|
387 |
5% |
21% |
|
388 |
6% |
16% |
|
389 |
3% |
10% |
|
390 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
391 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
392 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
393 |
2% |
5% |
|
394 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
395 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
396 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
397 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
398 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
399 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
400 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
401 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
402 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
403 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
404 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
405 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
406 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
407 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
408 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
409 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
410 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
411 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
250 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
100% |
|
312 |
0% |
100% |
|
313 |
0% |
100% |
|
314 |
0% |
100% |
|
315 |
0% |
100% |
|
316 |
0% |
100% |
|
317 |
0% |
100% |
|
318 |
0% |
100% |
|
319 |
0% |
100% |
|
320 |
0% |
100% |
|
321 |
0% |
100% |
|
322 |
0% |
100% |
|
323 |
0% |
100% |
|
324 |
0% |
100% |
|
325 |
0% |
100% |
|
326 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
100% |
|
328 |
0% |
100% |
|
329 |
0% |
100% |
|
330 |
0% |
100% |
|
331 |
0% |
100% |
|
332 |
0% |
100% |
|
333 |
0% |
100% |
|
334 |
0% |
100% |
|
335 |
0% |
100% |
|
336 |
0% |
100% |
|
337 |
0% |
100% |
|
338 |
0% |
100% |
|
339 |
0% |
100% |
|
340 |
0% |
100% |
|
341 |
0% |
100% |
|
342 |
0% |
100% |
|
343 |
0% |
100% |
|
344 |
0% |
100% |
|
345 |
0% |
100% |
|
346 |
0% |
100% |
|
347 |
0% |
100% |
|
348 |
0% |
100% |
|
349 |
0% |
100% |
|
350 |
0% |
100% |
|
351 |
0% |
100% |
|
352 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
353 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
354 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
355 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
356 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
357 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
358 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
359 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
360 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
361 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
362 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
363 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
364 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
365 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
366 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
367 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
368 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
369 |
2% |
95% |
|
370 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
371 |
2% |
92% |
|
372 |
2% |
90% |
|
373 |
3% |
88% |
|
374 |
2% |
86% |
|
375 |
3% |
84% |
|
376 |
2% |
81% |
|
377 |
5% |
79% |
|
378 |
8% |
74% |
|
379 |
7% |
66% |
|
380 |
12% |
58% |
|
381 |
9% |
46% |
Median |
382 |
4% |
37% |
|
383 |
5% |
33% |
|
384 |
4% |
29% |
|
385 |
4% |
24% |
|
386 |
8% |
20% |
|
387 |
4% |
13% |
|
388 |
2% |
9% |
|
389 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
390 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
391 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
392 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
393 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
394 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
395 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
396 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
397 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
398 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
399 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
400 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
401 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
402 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
403 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
404 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
405 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
406 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
407 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
408 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
409 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
410 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
217 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
218 |
0% |
100% |
|
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
100% |
|
221 |
0% |
100% |
|
222 |
0% |
100% |
|
223 |
0% |
100% |
|
224 |
0% |
100% |
|
225 |
0% |
100% |
|
226 |
0% |
100% |
|
227 |
0% |
100% |
|
228 |
0% |
100% |
|
229 |
0% |
100% |
|
230 |
0% |
100% |
|
231 |
0% |
100% |
|
232 |
0% |
100% |
|
233 |
0% |
100% |
|
234 |
0% |
100% |
|
235 |
0% |
100% |
|
236 |
0% |
100% |
|
237 |
0% |
100% |
|
238 |
0% |
100% |
|
239 |
0% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
100% |
|
241 |
0% |
100% |
|
242 |
0% |
100% |
|
243 |
0% |
100% |
|
244 |
0% |
100% |
|
245 |
0% |
100% |
|
246 |
0% |
100% |
|
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
100% |
|
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
100% |
|
311 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
312 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
313 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
314 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
315 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
316 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
317 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
318 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
319 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
320 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
321 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
322 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
323 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
324 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
325 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
326 |
0.3% |
98% |
Majority |
327 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
328 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
329 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
330 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
331 |
2% |
95% |
|
332 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
333 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
334 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
335 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
336 |
2% |
88% |
|
337 |
2% |
87% |
|
338 |
2% |
85% |
|
339 |
2% |
83% |
|
340 |
3% |
81% |
|
341 |
6% |
77% |
|
342 |
5% |
71% |
|
343 |
3% |
66% |
|
344 |
7% |
63% |
|
345 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
346 |
5% |
48% |
|
347 |
4% |
43% |
|
348 |
7% |
40% |
|
349 |
4% |
33% |
|
350 |
7% |
29% |
|
351 |
4% |
21% |
|
352 |
2% |
18% |
|
353 |
4% |
15% |
|
354 |
2% |
11% |
|
355 |
2% |
9% |
|
356 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
357 |
2% |
6% |
|
358 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
359 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
360 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
361 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
362 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
363 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
364 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
365 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
366 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
367 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
368 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
369 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
370 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
371 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
372 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
373 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
374 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
375 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
376 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
377 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
378 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
379 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
380 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
381 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
382 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
383 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
213 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
214 |
0% |
100% |
|
215 |
0% |
100% |
|
216 |
0% |
100% |
|
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
100% |
|
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
100% |
|
221 |
0% |
100% |
|
222 |
0% |
100% |
|
223 |
0% |
100% |
|
224 |
0% |
100% |
|
225 |
0% |
100% |
|
226 |
0% |
100% |
|
227 |
0% |
100% |
|
228 |
0% |
100% |
|
229 |
0% |
100% |
|
230 |
0% |
100% |
|
231 |
0% |
100% |
|
232 |
0% |
100% |
|
233 |
0% |
100% |
|
234 |
0% |
100% |
|
235 |
0% |
100% |
|
236 |
0% |
100% |
|
237 |
0% |
100% |
|
238 |
0% |
100% |
|
239 |
0% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
100% |
|
241 |
0% |
100% |
|
242 |
0% |
100% |
|
243 |
0% |
100% |
|
244 |
0% |
100% |
|
245 |
0% |
100% |
|
246 |
0% |
100% |
|
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
100% |
|
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0% |
100% |
|
297 |
0% |
100% |
|
298 |
0% |
100% |
|
299 |
0% |
100% |
|
300 |
0% |
100% |
|
301 |
0% |
100% |
|
302 |
0% |
100% |
|
303 |
0% |
100% |
|
304 |
0% |
100% |
|
305 |
0% |
100% |
|
306 |
0% |
100% |
|
307 |
0% |
100% |
|
308 |
0% |
100% |
|
309 |
0% |
100% |
|
310 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
311 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
312 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
313 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
314 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
315 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
316 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
317 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
318 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
319 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
320 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
321 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
322 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
323 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
324 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
325 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
326 |
0.3% |
97% |
Majority |
327 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
328 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
329 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
330 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
331 |
2% |
94% |
|
332 |
2% |
92% |
|
333 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
334 |
0.9% |
89% |
|
335 |
1.3% |
88% |
|
336 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
337 |
3% |
85% |
|
338 |
5% |
82% |
|
339 |
3% |
77% |
|
340 |
5% |
74% |
|
341 |
6% |
70% |
|
342 |
5% |
64% |
|
343 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
344 |
6% |
53% |
|
345 |
5% |
46% |
|
346 |
6% |
42% |
|
347 |
6% |
36% |
|
348 |
4% |
30% |
|
349 |
5% |
26% |
|
350 |
6% |
21% |
|
351 |
3% |
15% |
|
352 |
2% |
13% |
|
353 |
1.3% |
11% |
|
354 |
2% |
9% |
|
355 |
2% |
7% |
|
356 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
357 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
358 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
359 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
360 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
361 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
362 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
363 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
364 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
365 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
366 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
367 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
368 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
369 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
370 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
371 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
372 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
373 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
374 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
375 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
376 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
377 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
378 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
379 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
380 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
381 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
382 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
206 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
207 |
0% |
100% |
|
208 |
0% |
100% |
|
209 |
0% |
100% |
|
210 |
0% |
100% |
|
211 |
0% |
100% |
|
212 |
0% |
100% |
|
213 |
0% |
100% |
|
214 |
0% |
100% |
|
215 |
0% |
100% |
|
216 |
0% |
100% |
|
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
100% |
|
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
100% |
|
221 |
0% |
100% |
|
222 |
0% |
100% |
|
223 |
0% |
100% |
|
224 |
0% |
100% |
|
225 |
0% |
100% |
|
226 |
0% |
100% |
|
227 |
0% |
100% |
|
228 |
0% |
100% |
|
229 |
0% |
100% |
|
230 |
0% |
100% |
|
231 |
0% |
100% |
|
232 |
0% |
100% |
|
233 |
0% |
100% |
|
234 |
0% |
100% |
|
235 |
0% |
100% |
|
236 |
0% |
100% |
|
237 |
0% |
100% |
|
238 |
0% |
100% |
|
239 |
0% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
100% |
|
241 |
0% |
100% |
|
242 |
0% |
100% |
|
243 |
0% |
100% |
|
244 |
0% |
100% |
|
245 |
0% |
100% |
|
246 |
0% |
100% |
|
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
100% |
|
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
100% |
|
296 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
298 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
300 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
301 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
302 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
303 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
304 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
305 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
306 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
307 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
308 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
309 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
310 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
311 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
312 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
313 |
2% |
96% |
|
314 |
2% |
94% |
|
315 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
316 |
1.1% |
91% |
|
317 |
3% |
90% |
|
318 |
4% |
87% |
|
319 |
0.4% |
84% |
|
320 |
2% |
83% |
|
321 |
4% |
81% |
|
322 |
5% |
77% |
|
323 |
10% |
72% |
|
324 |
14% |
62% |
|
325 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
326 |
6% |
42% |
Majority |
327 |
3% |
35% |
|
328 |
5% |
33% |
|
329 |
5% |
28% |
|
330 |
8% |
22% |
|
331 |
4% |
14% |
|
332 |
2% |
10% |
|
333 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
334 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
335 |
2% |
6% |
|
336 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
337 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
338 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
339 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
340 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
341 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
342 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
344 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
345 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
347 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
348 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
349 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
350 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
351 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
352 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
353 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
354 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
Labour Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
202 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
203 |
0% |
100% |
|
204 |
0% |
100% |
|
205 |
0% |
100% |
|
206 |
0% |
100% |
|
207 |
0% |
100% |
|
208 |
0% |
100% |
|
209 |
0% |
100% |
|
210 |
0% |
100% |
|
211 |
0% |
100% |
|
212 |
0% |
100% |
|
213 |
0% |
100% |
|
214 |
0% |
100% |
|
215 |
0% |
100% |
|
216 |
0% |
100% |
|
217 |
0% |
100% |
|
218 |
0% |
100% |
|
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
100% |
|
221 |
0% |
100% |
|
222 |
0% |
100% |
|
223 |
0% |
100% |
|
224 |
0% |
100% |
|
225 |
0% |
100% |
|
226 |
0% |
100% |
|
227 |
0% |
100% |
|
228 |
0% |
100% |
|
229 |
0% |
100% |
|
230 |
0% |
100% |
|
231 |
0% |
100% |
|
232 |
0% |
100% |
|
233 |
0% |
100% |
|
234 |
0% |
100% |
|
235 |
0% |
100% |
|
236 |
0% |
100% |
|
237 |
0% |
100% |
|
238 |
0% |
100% |
|
239 |
0% |
100% |
|
240 |
0% |
100% |
|
241 |
0% |
100% |
|
242 |
0% |
100% |
|
243 |
0% |
100% |
|
244 |
0% |
100% |
|
245 |
0% |
100% |
|
246 |
0% |
100% |
|
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
100% |
|
250 |
0% |
100% |
|
251 |
0% |
100% |
|
252 |
0% |
100% |
|
253 |
0% |
100% |
|
254 |
0% |
100% |
|
255 |
0% |
100% |
|
256 |
0% |
100% |
|
257 |
0% |
100% |
|
258 |
0% |
100% |
|
259 |
0% |
100% |
|
260 |
0% |
100% |
|
261 |
0% |
100% |
|
262 |
0% |
100% |
|
263 |
0% |
100% |
|
264 |
0% |
100% |
|
265 |
0% |
100% |
|
266 |
0% |
100% |
|
267 |
0% |
100% |
|
268 |
0% |
100% |
|
269 |
0% |
100% |
|
270 |
0% |
100% |
|
271 |
0% |
100% |
|
272 |
0% |
100% |
|
273 |
0% |
100% |
|
274 |
0% |
100% |
|
275 |
0% |
100% |
|
276 |
0% |
100% |
|
277 |
0% |
100% |
|
278 |
0% |
100% |
|
279 |
0% |
100% |
|
280 |
0% |
100% |
|
281 |
0% |
100% |
|
282 |
0% |
100% |
|
283 |
0% |
100% |
|
284 |
0% |
100% |
|
285 |
0% |
100% |
|
286 |
0% |
100% |
|
287 |
0% |
100% |
|
288 |
0% |
100% |
|
289 |
0% |
100% |
|
290 |
0% |
100% |
|
291 |
0% |
100% |
|
292 |
0% |
100% |
|
293 |
0% |
100% |
|
294 |
0% |
100% |
|
295 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
296 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
297 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
298 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
299 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
300 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
301 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
302 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
303 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
304 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
305 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
306 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
307 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
308 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
309 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
310 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
311 |
2% |
96% |
|
312 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
313 |
2% |
93% |
|
314 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
315 |
3% |
91% |
|
316 |
2% |
88% |
|
317 |
3% |
86% |
|
318 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
319 |
3% |
82% |
|
320 |
5% |
79% |
|
321 |
8% |
74% |
|
322 |
8% |
66% |
|
323 |
13% |
58% |
Median |
324 |
7% |
46% |
|
325 |
5% |
39% |
|
326 |
5% |
34% |
Majority |
327 |
3% |
29% |
|
328 |
7% |
25% |
|
329 |
4% |
18% |
|
330 |
5% |
14% |
|
331 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
332 |
2% |
8% |
|
333 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
334 |
2% |
6% |
|
335 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
336 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
337 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
338 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
339 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
340 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
341 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
342 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
343 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
344 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
345 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
346 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
347 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
348 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
349 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
350 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
351 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
352 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
353 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
248 |
0% |
100% |
|
249 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
250 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
251 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
252 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
253 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
254 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
255 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
256 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
257 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
259 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
260 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
262 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
263 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
264 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
265 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
266 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
267 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
268 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
269 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
270 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
271 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
272 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
273 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
274 |
2% |
94% |
|
275 |
2% |
93% |
|
276 |
1.3% |
91% |
|
277 |
2% |
89% |
|
278 |
3% |
87% |
|
279 |
6% |
85% |
|
280 |
5% |
79% |
|
281 |
4% |
74% |
|
282 |
6% |
70% |
|
283 |
6% |
64% |
|
284 |
5% |
58% |
|
285 |
6% |
54% |
|
286 |
7% |
47% |
|
287 |
5% |
41% |
Median |
288 |
6% |
36% |
|
289 |
5% |
30% |
|
290 |
3% |
26% |
|
291 |
5% |
23% |
|
292 |
3% |
18% |
|
293 |
1.3% |
15% |
|
294 |
1.3% |
14% |
|
295 |
0.9% |
12% |
|
296 |
1.3% |
11% |
|
297 |
2% |
10% |
|
298 |
2% |
8% |
|
299 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
300 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
301 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
302 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
303 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
304 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
305 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
306 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
307 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
308 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
309 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
310 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
311 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
312 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
313 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
314 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
315 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
316 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
317 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
318 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
319 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
320 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
321 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
|
366 |
0% |
0% |
|
367 |
0% |
0% |
|
368 |
0% |
0% |
|
369 |
0% |
0% |
|
370 |
0% |
0% |
|
371 |
0% |
0% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
373 |
0% |
0% |
|
374 |
0% |
0% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
376 |
0% |
0% |
|
377 |
0% |
0% |
|
378 |
0% |
0% |
|
379 |
0% |
0% |
|
380 |
0% |
0% |
|
381 |
0% |
0% |
|
382 |
0% |
0% |
|
383 |
0% |
0% |
|
384 |
0% |
0% |
|
385 |
0% |
0% |
|
386 |
0% |
0% |
|
387 |
0% |
0% |
|
388 |
0% |
0% |
|
389 |
0% |
0% |
|
390 |
0% |
0% |
|
391 |
0% |
0% |
|
392 |
0% |
0% |
|
393 |
0% |
0% |
|
394 |
0% |
0% |
|
395 |
0% |
0% |
|
396 |
0% |
0% |
|
397 |
0% |
0% |
|
398 |
0% |
0% |
|
399 |
0% |
0% |
|
400 |
0% |
0% |
|
401 |
0% |
0% |
|
402 |
0% |
0% |
|
403 |
0% |
0% |
|
404 |
0% |
0% |
|
405 |
0% |
0% |
|
406 |
0% |
0% |
|
407 |
0% |
0% |
|
408 |
0% |
0% |
|
409 |
0% |
0% |
|
410 |
0% |
0% |
|
411 |
0% |
0% |
|
412 |
0% |
0% |
|
413 |
0% |
0% |
|
414 |
0% |
0% |
|
415 |
0% |
0% |
|
416 |
0% |
0% |
|
417 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
247 |
0% |
100% |
|
248 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
249 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
250 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
251 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
252 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
253 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
254 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
255 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
257 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
259 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
260 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
262 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
263 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
264 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
265 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
266 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
267 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
268 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
269 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
270 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
271 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
272 |
2% |
95% |
|
273 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
274 |
2% |
93% |
|
275 |
2% |
91% |
|
276 |
4% |
89% |
|
277 |
2% |
85% |
|
278 |
4% |
82% |
|
279 |
7% |
79% |
|
280 |
4% |
71% |
|
281 |
7% |
67% |
|
282 |
4% |
60% |
|
283 |
5% |
57% |
|
284 |
8% |
52% |
|
285 |
7% |
44% |
Median |
286 |
3% |
37% |
|
287 |
5% |
34% |
|
288 |
6% |
29% |
|
289 |
3% |
23% |
|
290 |
2% |
19% |
|
291 |
2% |
17% |
|
292 |
2% |
15% |
|
293 |
2% |
13% |
|
294 |
1.5% |
12% |
|
295 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
296 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
297 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
298 |
2% |
6% |
|
299 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
300 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
301 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
302 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
303 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
304 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
305 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
306 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
307 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
308 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
309 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
310 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
311 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
312 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
313 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
314 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
315 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
316 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
317 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
318 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
319 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
320 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
321 |
0% |
0% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
|
366 |
0% |
0% |
|
367 |
0% |
0% |
|
368 |
0% |
0% |
|
369 |
0% |
0% |
|
370 |
0% |
0% |
|
371 |
0% |
0% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
373 |
0% |
0% |
|
374 |
0% |
0% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
376 |
0% |
0% |
|
377 |
0% |
0% |
|
378 |
0% |
0% |
|
379 |
0% |
0% |
|
380 |
0% |
0% |
|
381 |
0% |
0% |
|
382 |
0% |
0% |
|
383 |
0% |
0% |
|
384 |
0% |
0% |
|
385 |
0% |
0% |
|
386 |
0% |
0% |
|
387 |
0% |
0% |
|
388 |
0% |
0% |
|
389 |
0% |
0% |
|
390 |
0% |
0% |
|
391 |
0% |
0% |
|
392 |
0% |
0% |
|
393 |
0% |
0% |
|
394 |
0% |
0% |
|
395 |
0% |
0% |
|
396 |
0% |
0% |
|
397 |
0% |
0% |
|
398 |
0% |
0% |
|
399 |
0% |
0% |
|
400 |
0% |
0% |
|
401 |
0% |
0% |
|
402 |
0% |
0% |
|
403 |
0% |
0% |
|
404 |
0% |
0% |
|
405 |
0% |
0% |
|
406 |
0% |
0% |
|
407 |
0% |
0% |
|
408 |
0% |
0% |
|
409 |
0% |
0% |
|
410 |
0% |
0% |
|
411 |
0% |
0% |
|
412 |
0% |
0% |
|
413 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
219 |
0% |
100% |
|
220 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
221 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
222 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
223 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
224 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
225 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
226 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
227 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
228 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
229 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
230 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
231 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
232 |
0.3% |
98.5% |
|
233 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
234 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
235 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
236 |
2% |
97% |
|
237 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
238 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
239 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
240 |
3% |
93% |
|
241 |
6% |
90% |
|
242 |
5% |
84% |
|
243 |
8% |
79% |
|
244 |
4% |
72% |
|
245 |
3% |
68% |
|
246 |
3% |
65% |
|
247 |
14% |
62% |
Median |
248 |
9% |
48% |
|
249 |
10% |
39% |
|
250 |
6% |
29% |
|
251 |
3% |
23% |
|
252 |
3% |
20% |
|
253 |
2% |
17% |
|
254 |
2% |
15% |
|
255 |
3% |
13% |
|
256 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
257 |
2% |
9% |
|
258 |
2% |
7% |
|
259 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
260 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
261 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
262 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
263 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
264 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
265 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
266 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
267 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
268 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
269 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
270 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
271 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
272 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
273 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
274 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
275 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
276 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
277 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
278 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
|
314 |
0% |
0% |
|
315 |
0% |
0% |
|
316 |
0% |
0% |
|
317 |
0% |
0% |
|
318 |
0% |
0% |
|
319 |
0% |
0% |
|
320 |
0% |
0% |
|
321 |
0% |
0% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
|
366 |
0% |
0% |
|
367 |
0% |
0% |
|
368 |
0% |
0% |
|
369 |
0% |
0% |
|
370 |
0% |
0% |
|
371 |
0% |
0% |
|
372 |
0% |
0% |
|
373 |
0% |
0% |
|
374 |
0% |
0% |
|
375 |
0% |
0% |
|
376 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
193 |
0% |
100% |
|
194 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
196 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
201 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
204 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
205 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
206 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
207 |
0.1% |
99.1% |
|
208 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
209 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
210 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
212 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
213 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
214 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
215 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
216 |
2% |
96% |
|
217 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
218 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
219 |
2% |
92% |
|
220 |
2% |
90% |
|
221 |
4% |
88% |
|
222 |
4% |
85% |
|
223 |
5% |
81% |
|
224 |
5% |
76% |
|
225 |
5% |
70% |
|
226 |
5% |
65% |
|
227 |
7% |
60% |
|
228 |
5% |
53% |
|
229 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
230 |
6% |
42% |
|
231 |
6% |
35% |
|
232 |
4% |
29% |
|
233 |
6% |
25% |
|
234 |
2% |
19% |
|
235 |
2% |
17% |
|
236 |
2% |
15% |
|
237 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
238 |
1.2% |
12% |
|
239 |
1.3% |
11% |
|
240 |
2% |
10% |
|
241 |
2% |
8% |
|
242 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
243 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
244 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
245 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
246 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
247 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
248 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
249 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
250 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
251 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
252 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
253 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
254 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
255 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
259 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
260 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
261 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
263 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
264 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
|
314 |
0% |
0% |
|
315 |
0% |
0% |
|
316 |
0% |
0% |
|
317 |
0% |
0% |
|
318 |
0% |
0% |
|
319 |
0% |
0% |
|
320 |
0% |
0% |
|
321 |
0% |
0% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
|
366 |
0% |
0% |
|
367 |
0% |
0% |
|
368 |
0% |
0% |
|
369 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Conservative Party
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
192 |
0% |
100% |
|
193 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
194 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
195 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
196 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
197 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
198 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
199 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
200 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
201 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
202 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
203 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
204 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
205 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
206 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
207 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
208 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
209 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
210 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
211 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
212 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
213 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
214 |
2% |
97% |
|
215 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
216 |
1.3% |
94% |
|
217 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
218 |
2% |
92% |
|
219 |
3% |
90% |
|
220 |
3% |
86% |
|
221 |
5% |
83% |
|
222 |
4% |
78% |
|
223 |
8% |
75% |
|
224 |
5% |
66% |
|
225 |
2% |
61% |
|
226 |
7% |
59% |
|
227 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
228 |
5% |
44% |
|
229 |
7% |
39% |
|
230 |
6% |
32% |
|
231 |
4% |
26% |
|
232 |
2% |
21% |
|
233 |
3% |
19% |
|
234 |
2% |
17% |
|
235 |
2% |
15% |
|
236 |
1.5% |
13% |
|
237 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
238 |
2% |
10% |
|
239 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
240 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
241 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
242 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
243 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
244 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
245 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
246 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
247 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
248 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
249 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
250 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
251 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
252 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
253 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
254 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
255 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
256 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
257 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
258 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
259 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
260 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
261 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
262 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
263 |
0% |
0% |
|
264 |
0% |
0% |
|
265 |
0% |
0% |
|
266 |
0% |
0% |
|
267 |
0% |
0% |
|
268 |
0% |
0% |
|
269 |
0% |
0% |
|
270 |
0% |
0% |
|
271 |
0% |
0% |
|
272 |
0% |
0% |
|
273 |
0% |
0% |
|
274 |
0% |
0% |
|
275 |
0% |
0% |
|
276 |
0% |
0% |
|
277 |
0% |
0% |
|
278 |
0% |
0% |
|
279 |
0% |
0% |
|
280 |
0% |
0% |
|
281 |
0% |
0% |
|
282 |
0% |
0% |
|
283 |
0% |
0% |
|
284 |
0% |
0% |
|
285 |
0% |
0% |
|
286 |
0% |
0% |
|
287 |
0% |
0% |
|
288 |
0% |
0% |
|
289 |
0% |
0% |
|
290 |
0% |
0% |
|
291 |
0% |
0% |
|
292 |
0% |
0% |
|
293 |
0% |
0% |
|
294 |
0% |
0% |
|
295 |
0% |
0% |
|
296 |
0% |
0% |
|
297 |
0% |
0% |
|
298 |
0% |
0% |
|
299 |
0% |
0% |
|
300 |
0% |
0% |
|
301 |
0% |
0% |
|
302 |
0% |
0% |
|
303 |
0% |
0% |
|
304 |
0% |
0% |
|
305 |
0% |
0% |
|
306 |
0% |
0% |
|
307 |
0% |
0% |
|
308 |
0% |
0% |
|
309 |
0% |
0% |
|
310 |
0% |
0% |
|
311 |
0% |
0% |
|
312 |
0% |
0% |
|
313 |
0% |
0% |
|
314 |
0% |
0% |
|
315 |
0% |
0% |
|
316 |
0% |
0% |
|
317 |
0% |
0% |
|
318 |
0% |
0% |
|
319 |
0% |
0% |
|
320 |
0% |
0% |
|
321 |
0% |
0% |
|
322 |
0% |
0% |
|
323 |
0% |
0% |
|
324 |
0% |
0% |
|
325 |
0% |
0% |
|
326 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
327 |
0% |
0% |
|
328 |
0% |
0% |
|
329 |
0% |
0% |
|
330 |
0% |
0% |
|
331 |
0% |
0% |
|
332 |
0% |
0% |
|
333 |
0% |
0% |
|
334 |
0% |
0% |
|
335 |
0% |
0% |
|
336 |
0% |
0% |
|
337 |
0% |
0% |
|
338 |
0% |
0% |
|
339 |
0% |
0% |
|
340 |
0% |
0% |
|
341 |
0% |
0% |
|
342 |
0% |
0% |
|
343 |
0% |
0% |
|
344 |
0% |
0% |
|
345 |
0% |
0% |
|
346 |
0% |
0% |
|
347 |
0% |
0% |
|
348 |
0% |
0% |
|
349 |
0% |
0% |
|
350 |
0% |
0% |
|
351 |
0% |
0% |
|
352 |
0% |
0% |
|
353 |
0% |
0% |
|
354 |
0% |
0% |
|
355 |
0% |
0% |
|
356 |
0% |
0% |
|
357 |
0% |
0% |
|
358 |
0% |
0% |
|
359 |
0% |
0% |
|
360 |
0% |
0% |
|
361 |
0% |
0% |
|
362 |
0% |
0% |
|
363 |
0% |
0% |
|
364 |
0% |
0% |
|
365 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: BMG Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–18 August 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 2037
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.50%