Opinion Poll by PeoplePolling for GB News, 30 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 43.2% 41.3–45.1% 40.8–45.6% 40.3–46.1% 39.5–47.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 25.7% 24.1–27.4% 23.7–27.9% 23.3–28.3% 22.5–29.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.3% 9.2–11.5% 8.9–11.9% 8.7–12.2% 8.2–12.8%
Green Party 2.8% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 5.2% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.4% 4.0–6.6% 3.7–7.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4%
Brexit Party 2.0% 1.8% 1.4–2.4% 1.3–2.6% 1.2–2.8% 1.0–3.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 362 341–384 335–389 329–394 321–407
Conservative Party 365 174 149–197 142–206 135–212 119–220
Liberal Democrats 11 26 19–36 18–38 17–40 14–47
Green Party 1 1 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 58 55–58 54–58 52–58 46–58
Plaid Cymru 4 7 6–12 6–12 5–13 5–13
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.6%  
321 0.1% 99.5%  
322 0.1% 99.4%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.3% 99.1%  
325 0.1% 98.8%  
326 0.3% 98.6% Majority
327 0.3% 98%  
328 0.2% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.3% 97%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.5% 97%  
333 0.5% 96%  
334 0.3% 96%  
335 1.0% 95%  
336 0.6% 94%  
337 0.6% 94%  
338 0.5% 93%  
339 1.0% 93%  
340 1.0% 92%  
341 1.1% 91%  
342 0.4% 90%  
343 1.3% 89%  
344 1.1% 88%  
345 1.1% 87%  
346 0.6% 86%  
347 1.1% 85%  
348 0.6% 84%  
349 1.3% 84%  
350 1.0% 82%  
351 3% 81%  
352 1.3% 79%  
353 2% 77%  
354 2% 75%  
355 4% 73%  
356 4% 69%  
357 2% 66%  
358 3% 63%  
359 3% 60%  
360 3% 57%  
361 3% 54%  
362 2% 52% Median
363 3% 49%  
364 3% 47%  
365 2% 44%  
366 5% 42%  
367 2% 37%  
368 1.4% 35%  
369 2% 34%  
370 2% 32%  
371 2% 30%  
372 2% 28%  
373 1.3% 26%  
374 1.3% 25%  
375 1.1% 24%  
376 2% 23%  
377 2% 21%  
378 1.4% 19%  
379 1.2% 18%  
380 2% 17%  
381 1.4% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 2% 12%  
384 1.1% 10%  
385 0.9% 9%  
386 1.1% 8%  
387 0.8% 7%  
388 0.9% 6%  
389 1.1% 6%  
390 0.7% 4%  
391 0.3% 4%  
392 0.4% 3%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.4% 3%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 1.3%  
400 0.1% 1.2%  
401 0.1% 1.1%  
402 0.1% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.4%  
411 0% 0.4%  
412 0% 0.3%  
413 0% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.4%  
123 0.1% 99.2%  
124 0.1% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.0%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.9%  
128 0.1% 98.8%  
129 0.1% 98.7%  
130 0.1% 98.5%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.4% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.4% 96%  
140 0.5% 96%  
141 0.3% 95%  
142 0.3% 95%  
143 0.5% 95%  
144 0.8% 94%  
145 0.3% 94%  
146 0.7% 93%  
147 1.2% 93%  
148 0.8% 91%  
149 1.1% 91%  
150 0.8% 90%  
151 1.0% 89%  
152 1.1% 88%  
153 2% 87%  
154 1.3% 85%  
155 0.9% 84%  
156 0.6% 83%  
157 2% 82%  
158 1.0% 80%  
159 2% 79%  
160 1.3% 78%  
161 1.1% 76%  
162 1.5% 75%  
163 2% 74%  
164 0.9% 72%  
165 3% 71%  
166 1.0% 68%  
167 3% 67%  
168 2% 65%  
169 2% 63%  
170 2% 61%  
171 3% 59%  
172 1.0% 56%  
173 2% 55%  
174 3% 53% Median
175 2% 50%  
176 4% 48%  
177 3% 44%  
178 3% 41%  
179 2% 38%  
180 2% 36%  
181 2% 34%  
182 2% 31%  
183 3% 29%  
184 2% 26%  
185 2% 24%  
186 2% 22%  
187 1.5% 20%  
188 2% 19%  
189 0.9% 17%  
190 0.9% 16%  
191 0.9% 15%  
192 0.8% 14%  
193 0.8% 14%  
194 0.5% 13%  
195 0.7% 12%  
196 1.2% 12%  
197 0.7% 10%  
198 0.9% 10%  
199 0.3% 9%  
200 0.6% 8%  
201 0.7% 8%  
202 0.4% 7%  
203 0.6% 7%  
204 0.5% 6%  
205 0.3% 6%  
206 0.7% 5%  
207 0.5% 5%  
208 0.4% 4%  
209 0.4% 4%  
210 0.4% 3%  
211 0.2% 3%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.3% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.1% 1.3%  
217 0.3% 1.2%  
218 0.1% 1.0%  
219 0.2% 0.8%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.2% 0.4%  
223 0.1% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.8% Last Result
12 0% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0.4% 99.8%  
15 1.0% 99.4%  
16 0.4% 98%  
17 2% 98%  
18 4% 96%  
19 3% 92%  
20 5% 89%  
21 12% 85%  
22 7% 73%  
23 5% 65%  
24 3% 61%  
25 2% 57%  
26 8% 55% Median
27 4% 47%  
28 6% 44%  
29 5% 38%  
30 2% 32%  
31 3% 30%  
32 2% 27%  
33 6% 25%  
34 3% 19%  
35 4% 15%  
36 3% 11%  
37 2% 8%  
38 2% 6%  
39 1.0% 4%  
40 0.3% 3%  
41 0.2% 2%  
42 0.2% 2%  
43 0.2% 2%  
44 0.5% 2%  
45 0.3% 1.1%  
46 0.2% 0.8%  
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 67% 100% Last Result, Median
2 10% 33%  
3 23% 23%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.7%  
45 0.1% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
49 0.1% 99.2%  
50 0.3% 99.0%  
51 0.7% 98.7%  
52 1.0% 98%  
53 2% 97%  
54 2% 95%  
55 4% 93%  
56 5% 89%  
57 14% 83%  
58 70% 70% Median
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 4% 100%  
6 17% 96%  
7 37% 79% Median
8 1.1% 41%  
9 3% 40%  
10 18% 37%  
11 0.5% 18%  
12 14% 18%  
13 4% 4%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 456 100% 433–481 424–487 418–494 410–509
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 454 100% 432–479 423–486 417–493 409–507
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 446 100% 422–471 415–478 408–485 399–500
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 428 100% 408–448 401–453 397–457 388–470
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 419 100% 399–441 392–446 387–450 378–463
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 397 100% 374–422 365–429 359–437 351–451
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 389 100% 365–414 357–422 350–429 341–444
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 370 99.9% 351–391 344–396 339–401 330–414
Labour Party 202 362 98.6% 341–384 335–389 329–394 321–407
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 240 0% 214–263 207–272 199–278 182–288
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 232 0% 206–254 198–264 191–270 175–278
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 201 0% 180–221 175–228 170–232 156–241
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 183 0% 157–206 150–214 142–221 127–230
Conservative Party 365 174 0% 149–197 142–206 135–212 119–220

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0.1% 99.8%  
408 0.2% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.2% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.2%  
413 0.3% 99.0%  
414 0.1% 98.8%  
415 0.4% 98.7%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.2% 97%  
420 0.4% 97%  
421 0.4% 97%  
422 0.4% 96%  
423 0.5% 96%  
424 0.7% 95%  
425 0.3% 95%  
426 0.5% 94%  
427 0.6% 94%  
428 0.4% 93%  
429 0.7% 93%  
430 0.6% 92%  
431 0.3% 92%  
432 0.9% 91%  
433 0.7% 90%  
434 1.2% 90%  
435 0.7% 88%  
436 0.5% 88%  
437 0.8% 87%  
438 0.8% 86%  
439 0.9% 86%  
440 0.9% 85%  
441 0.9% 84%  
442 2% 83%  
443 1.5% 81%  
444 2% 80%  
445 2% 78%  
446 2% 76%  
447 3% 74%  
448 2% 71%  
449 2% 69%  
450 2% 66%  
451 2% 64%  
452 3% 62%  
453 3% 59%  
454 4% 56% Median
455 2% 52%  
456 3% 50%  
457 2% 47%  
458 1.0% 45%  
459 3% 44%  
460 2% 41%  
461 2% 39%  
462 2% 37%  
463 3% 35%  
464 1.0% 33%  
465 3% 32%  
466 0.9% 29%  
467 2% 28%  
468 1.5% 26%  
469 1.1% 25%  
470 1.3% 24%  
471 2% 22%  
472 1.0% 21%  
473 2% 20%  
474 0.6% 18%  
475 0.9% 17%  
476 1.3% 16%  
477 2% 15%  
478 1.1% 13%  
479 1.0% 12%  
480 0.8% 11%  
481 1.2% 10%  
482 0.8% 9%  
483 1.2% 8%  
484 0.7% 7%  
485 0.4% 7%  
486 0.7% 6%  
487 0.5% 6%  
488 0.4% 5%  
489 0.5% 5%  
490 0.4% 4%  
491 0.3% 4%  
492 0.4% 3%  
493 0.3% 3%  
494 0.4% 3%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.3% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 1.4%  
501 0.1% 1.3%  
502 0.1% 1.1%  
503 0.1% 1.1%  
504 0.1% 1.0%  
505 0.1% 0.9%  
506 0.1% 0.8%  
507 0.1% 0.7%  
508 0.1% 0.6%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0.1% 0.5%  
511 0% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0.2% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.2% 99.4%  
411 0.2% 99.2%  
412 0.3% 99.0%  
413 0.1% 98.7%  
414 0.3% 98.6%  
415 0.3% 98%  
416 0.4% 98%  
417 0.4% 98%  
418 0.1% 97%  
419 0.5% 97%  
420 0.5% 97%  
421 0.4% 96%  
422 0.6% 96%  
423 0.8% 95%  
424 0.3% 94%  
425 0.3% 94%  
426 0.6% 94%  
427 0.7% 93%  
428 0.5% 92%  
429 0.8% 92%  
430 0.4% 91%  
431 0.6% 91%  
432 0.7% 90%  
433 1.3% 89%  
434 0.7% 88%  
435 0.4% 87%  
436 0.8% 87%  
437 1.0% 86%  
438 0.8% 85%  
439 0.8% 84%  
440 0.8% 83%  
441 2% 83%  
442 2% 81%  
443 2% 79%  
444 1.5% 77%  
445 2% 76%  
446 3% 74%  
447 3% 71%  
448 3% 68%  
449 2% 66%  
450 2% 63%  
451 3% 61%  
452 3% 59%  
453 4% 55% Median
454 2% 51%  
455 3% 49%  
456 2% 46%  
457 1.3% 45%  
458 3% 43%  
459 2% 40%  
460 3% 39%  
461 1.4% 35%  
462 2% 34%  
463 2% 32%  
464 2% 30%  
465 1.2% 28%  
466 2% 27%  
467 2% 25%  
468 0.9% 23%  
469 2% 23%  
470 2% 21%  
471 0.6% 19%  
472 1.2% 18%  
473 1.1% 17%  
474 2% 16%  
475 0.8% 14%  
476 1.3% 13%  
477 1.1% 12%  
478 0.8% 11%  
479 1.2% 10%  
480 1.0% 9%  
481 0.6% 8%  
482 0.7% 7%  
483 0.5% 7%  
484 0.3% 6%  
485 0.7% 6%  
486 0.8% 5%  
487 0.3% 4%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0.4% 4%  
490 0.3% 4%  
491 0.3% 3%  
492 0.3% 3%  
493 0.4% 3%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 1.4%  
499 0.1% 1.3%  
500 0.1% 1.2%  
501 0.1% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 1.0%  
503 0.1% 0.9%  
504 0.1% 0.8%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0.1% 99.9%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.2% 99.4%  
401 0.1% 99.2%  
402 0.1% 99.1%  
403 0.3% 99.0%  
404 0.2% 98.7%  
405 0.2% 98%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.3% 98%  
408 0.4% 98%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.5% 97%  
411 0.3% 97%  
412 0.4% 96%  
413 0.5% 96%  
414 0.4% 95%  
415 0.5% 95%  
416 0.9% 94%  
417 0.4% 94%  
418 0.5% 93%  
419 0.4% 93%  
420 0.7% 92%  
421 0.5% 91%  
422 1.0% 91%  
423 0.8% 90%  
424 0.5% 89%  
425 0.6% 89%  
426 1.3% 88%  
427 1.3% 87%  
428 0.6% 85%  
429 0.9% 85%  
430 1.0% 84%  
431 1.1% 83%  
432 1.0% 82%  
433 1.1% 81%  
434 1.4% 80%  
435 3% 78%  
436 2% 75%  
437 2% 73%  
438 1.3% 71%  
439 3% 70%  
440 2% 67%  
441 3% 65%  
442 3% 62%  
443 2% 59%  
444 3% 57%  
445 3% 54%  
446 2% 51% Median
447 2% 49%  
448 2% 47%  
449 2% 45%  
450 2% 43%  
451 3% 41%  
452 1.2% 38%  
453 4% 36%  
454 2% 33%  
455 1.1% 31%  
456 0.9% 30%  
457 2% 29%  
458 1.4% 27%  
459 1.4% 26%  
460 2% 24%  
461 0.9% 23%  
462 2% 22%  
463 1.0% 19%  
464 1.3% 18%  
465 1.1% 17%  
466 0.8% 16%  
467 2% 15%  
468 0.8% 13%  
469 1.0% 12%  
470 1.1% 11%  
471 0.8% 10%  
472 0.9% 9%  
473 1.1% 9%  
474 0.7% 7%  
475 0.4% 7%  
476 0.5% 6%  
477 0.4% 6%  
478 0.5% 5%  
479 0.7% 5%  
480 0.3% 4%  
481 0.4% 4%  
482 0.4% 4%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.4% 2%  
487 0.2% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.1% 1.4%  
491 0.1% 1.3%  
492 0.1% 1.2%  
493 0.1% 1.1%  
494 0.1% 1.0%  
495 0.1% 0.9%  
496 0.1% 0.8%  
497 0.1% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.6%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.5%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.3% 99.7%  
389 0.3% 99.3%  
390 0% 99.0%  
391 0.1% 99.0%  
392 0.2% 98.9%  
393 0.4% 98.7%  
394 0.4% 98%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.1% 98%  
397 0.5% 98%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 0.4% 97%  
400 0.8% 96%  
401 0.6% 95%  
402 0.8% 95%  
403 0.6% 94%  
404 0.8% 93%  
405 0.7% 93%  
406 0.8% 92%  
407 0.5% 91%  
408 1.1% 91%  
409 0.9% 89%  
410 1.3% 89%  
411 1.0% 87%  
412 1.0% 86%  
413 0.9% 85%  
414 0.7% 84%  
415 1.0% 84%  
416 0.9% 83%  
417 2% 82%  
418 1.1% 80%  
419 2% 79%  
420 5% 76%  
421 4% 72%  
422 1.4% 68%  
423 3% 66%  
424 2% 63%  
425 4% 61%  
426 4% 57%  
427 3% 53% Median
428 3% 50%  
429 4% 47%  
430 3% 44%  
431 3% 40%  
432 2% 37%  
433 1.2% 35%  
434 2% 34%  
435 2% 32%  
436 2% 30%  
437 1.5% 28%  
438 2% 27%  
439 0.8% 25%  
440 1.5% 25%  
441 2% 23%  
442 2% 22%  
443 2% 20%  
444 2% 18%  
445 2% 16%  
446 0.9% 14%  
447 2% 13%  
448 1.4% 11%  
449 0.9% 10%  
450 1.3% 9%  
451 0.8% 8%  
452 1.3% 7%  
453 1.4% 6%  
454 0.7% 4%  
455 0.2% 4%  
456 0.5% 3%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.4% 2%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0.2% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 1.4%  
463 0.1% 1.2%  
464 0% 1.1%  
465 0.1% 1.1%  
466 0.1% 0.9%  
467 0.1% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0.1% 0.6%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.4%  
473 0.1% 0.4%  
474 0% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0.1% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.2% 99.2%  
382 0.3% 99.0%  
383 0.2% 98.7%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.3% 98%  
386 0.2% 98%  
387 0.5% 98%  
388 0.4% 97%  
389 0.4% 97%  
390 0.5% 96%  
391 0.4% 96%  
392 0.5% 95%  
393 0.9% 95%  
394 0.7% 94%  
395 0.5% 93%  
396 0.8% 93%  
397 0.8% 92%  
398 1.1% 91%  
399 1.1% 90%  
400 0.4% 89%  
401 2% 89%  
402 0.8% 87%  
403 0.9% 86%  
404 0.6% 85%  
405 1.3% 85%  
406 0.8% 83%  
407 1.5% 83%  
408 1.2% 81%  
409 3% 80%  
410 2% 77%  
411 2% 75%  
412 2% 73%  
413 4% 72%  
414 4% 67%  
415 2% 63%  
416 4% 61%  
417 3% 58%  
418 3% 55%  
419 2% 52%  
420 3% 50% Median
421 2% 47%  
422 2% 44%  
423 2% 42%  
424 4% 40%  
425 2% 35%  
426 1.4% 33%  
427 1.2% 32%  
428 2% 31%  
429 2% 29%  
430 2% 26%  
431 1.0% 25%  
432 1.1% 24%  
433 0.8% 23%  
434 2% 22%  
435 2% 20%  
436 1.3% 18%  
437 1.0% 17%  
438 3% 16%  
439 1.0% 13%  
440 1.0% 12%  
441 2% 11%  
442 1.4% 9%  
443 0.8% 8%  
444 0.9% 7%  
445 0.7% 6%  
446 1.2% 6%  
447 1.0% 4%  
448 0.4% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.2% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.2% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 1.4%  
456 0.1% 1.1%  
457 0.1% 1.1%  
458 0.1% 1.0%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.1% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.4%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.3%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.9%  
349 0.2% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.5%  
352 0.2% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.2%  
354 0.2% 99.1%  
355 0.1% 98.9%  
356 0.3% 98.7%  
357 0.3% 98%  
358 0.4% 98%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.2% 97%  
361 0.5% 97%  
362 0.5% 97%  
363 0.4% 96%  
364 0.6% 96%  
365 0.8% 95%  
366 0.3% 95%  
367 0.3% 94%  
368 0.6% 94%  
369 0.8% 93%  
370 0.5% 93%  
371 0.8% 92%  
372 0.3% 91%  
373 0.6% 91%  
374 0.6% 90%  
375 1.4% 90%  
376 0.6% 88%  
377 0.6% 88%  
378 0.6% 87%  
379 1.1% 87%  
380 0.5% 86%  
381 1.0% 85%  
382 0.9% 84%  
383 2% 83%  
384 1.2% 82%  
385 2% 80%  
386 1.3% 79%  
387 2% 77%  
388 3% 75%  
389 2% 72%  
390 2% 70%  
391 3% 68%  
392 2% 65%  
393 2% 63%  
394 4% 61%  
395 4% 58% Median
396 3% 54%  
397 3% 51%  
398 2% 48%  
399 1.5% 46%  
400 3% 45%  
401 2% 42%  
402 3% 40%  
403 2% 37%  
404 2% 35%  
405 2% 33%  
406 2% 31%  
407 1.2% 29%  
408 1.3% 28%  
409 2% 27%  
410 0.8% 25%  
411 2% 24%  
412 2% 22%  
413 0.8% 20%  
414 1.4% 19%  
415 1.0% 18%  
416 2% 17%  
417 0.8% 15%  
418 1.3% 14%  
419 0.7% 13%  
420 1.0% 12%  
421 0.9% 11%  
422 2% 10%  
423 0.5% 9%  
424 0.6% 8%  
425 0.6% 8%  
426 0.4% 7%  
427 0.4% 7%  
428 1.1% 6%  
429 0.4% 5%  
430 0.3% 5%  
431 0.3% 5%  
432 0.3% 4%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.4% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.3% 2%  
439 0.3% 2%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.1% 1.5%  
443 0.1% 1.3%  
444 0.1% 1.3%  
445 0.1% 1.1%  
446 0.1% 1.0%  
447 0.2% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.8%  
449 0.1% 0.7%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0% 0.5%  
453 0% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.4%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.3%  
458 0% 0.3%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.2% 99.5%  
343 0.1% 99.2%  
344 0.1% 99.2%  
345 0.4% 99.1%  
346 0.2% 98.7%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.4% 98%  
351 0.3% 97%  
352 0.5% 97%  
353 0.2% 97%  
354 0.5% 96%  
355 0.4% 96%  
356 0.4% 96%  
357 0.5% 95%  
358 1.0% 95%  
359 0.4% 94%  
360 0.4% 93%  
361 0.4% 93%  
362 0.7% 93%  
363 0.5% 92%  
364 0.9% 91%  
365 0.9% 90%  
366 0.5% 89%  
367 0.6% 89%  
368 1.1% 88%  
369 2% 87%  
370 0.3% 86%  
371 0.7% 85%  
372 1.3% 85%  
373 0.7% 83%  
374 0.9% 83%  
375 1.1% 82%  
376 1.4% 81%  
377 3% 79%  
378 2% 77%  
379 2% 75%  
380 2% 73%  
381 3% 71%  
382 2% 68%  
383 2% 66%  
384 3% 64%  
385 2% 61%  
386 2% 59%  
387 4% 57%  
388 2% 53% Median
389 2% 51%  
390 2% 49%  
391 2% 46%  
392 2% 44%  
393 3% 42%  
394 2% 40%  
395 4% 38%  
396 2% 35%  
397 1.4% 32%  
398 0.9% 31%  
399 2% 30%  
400 2% 28%  
401 1.4% 27%  
402 1.4% 25%  
403 1.2% 24%  
404 2% 23%  
405 0.9% 21%  
406 2% 20%  
407 1.3% 18%  
408 0.8% 17%  
409 2% 16%  
410 0.7% 14%  
411 0.9% 13%  
412 1.2% 12%  
413 1.1% 11%  
414 0.7% 10%  
415 1.0% 9%  
416 0.9% 8%  
417 0.5% 8%  
418 0.5% 7%  
419 0.4% 7%  
420 0.4% 6%  
421 0.8% 6%  
422 0.6% 5%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.4% 4%  
425 0.2% 4%  
426 0.3% 4%  
427 0.1% 3%  
428 0.4% 3%  
429 0.4% 3%  
430 0.3% 2%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.1% 1.5%  
435 0.1% 1.4%  
436 0.1% 1.3%  
437 0.2% 1.2%  
438 0.1% 1.0%  
439 0.1% 0.9%  
440 0.1% 0.9%  
441 0.1% 0.7%  
442 0% 0.6%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0.1% 0.5%  
445 0% 0.4%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.4%  
448 0% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0.1% 99.8%  
330 0.3% 99.7%  
331 0.3% 99.4%  
332 0% 99.1%  
333 0% 99.1%  
334 0.2% 99.0%  
335 0.4% 98.9%  
336 0.5% 98.5%  
337 0.2% 98%  
338 0.2% 98%  
339 0.5% 98%  
340 0.4% 97%  
341 0.3% 97%  
342 0.8% 96%  
343 0.5% 96%  
344 0.7% 95%  
345 0.7% 94%  
346 0.8% 94%  
347 0.6% 93%  
348 0.7% 92%  
349 0.6% 92%  
350 0.6% 91%  
351 1.3% 90%  
352 1.3% 89%  
353 0.7% 88%  
354 1.2% 87%  
355 1.2% 86%  
356 0.6% 85%  
357 0.8% 84%  
358 0.6% 83%  
359 1.3% 83%  
360 0.6% 81%  
361 3% 81%  
362 3% 78%  
363 4% 75%  
364 2% 70%  
365 3% 69%  
366 3% 66%  
367 4% 63%  
368 3% 59%  
369 3% 56% Median
370 3% 53%  
371 4% 50%  
372 2% 46%  
373 5% 44%  
374 2% 39%  
375 2% 37%  
376 2% 35%  
377 1.5% 33%  
378 1.3% 32%  
379 2% 31%  
380 2% 29%  
381 0.9% 26%  
382 1.5% 25%  
383 2% 24%  
384 1.4% 22%  
385 1.3% 21%  
386 2% 20%  
387 3% 18%  
388 1.3% 15%  
389 1.4% 14%  
390 2% 13%  
391 1.2% 11%  
392 0.8% 10%  
393 0.9% 9%  
394 1.1% 8%  
395 1.4% 7%  
396 1.1% 6%  
397 0.4% 5%  
398 0.3% 4%  
399 0.7% 4%  
400 0.5% 3%  
401 0.5% 3%  
402 0.1% 2%  
403 0.3% 2%  
404 0.3% 2%  
405 0.2% 2%  
406 0.1% 1.3%  
407 0.1% 1.3%  
408 0.1% 1.2%  
409 0.2% 1.1%  
410 0.1% 0.9%  
411 0.1% 0.8%  
412 0.1% 0.7%  
413 0% 0.6%  
414 0.1% 0.6%  
415 0.1% 0.5%  
416 0% 0.4%  
417 0% 0.4%  
418 0% 0.4%  
419 0.1% 0.3%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0% 0.2%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.2%  
425 0% 0.2%  
426 0% 0.2%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.9%  
317 0.1% 99.9%  
318 0.1% 99.8%  
319 0.1% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.6%  
321 0.1% 99.5%  
322 0.1% 99.4%  
323 0.2% 99.3%  
324 0.3% 99.1%  
325 0.1% 98.8%  
326 0.3% 98.6% Majority
327 0.3% 98%  
328 0.2% 98%  
329 0.5% 98%  
330 0.3% 97%  
331 0.4% 97%  
332 0.5% 97%  
333 0.5% 96%  
334 0.3% 96%  
335 1.0% 95%  
336 0.6% 94%  
337 0.6% 94%  
338 0.5% 93%  
339 1.0% 93%  
340 1.0% 92%  
341 1.1% 91%  
342 0.4% 90%  
343 1.3% 89%  
344 1.1% 88%  
345 1.1% 87%  
346 0.6% 86%  
347 1.1% 85%  
348 0.6% 84%  
349 1.3% 84%  
350 1.0% 82%  
351 3% 81%  
352 1.3% 79%  
353 2% 77%  
354 2% 75%  
355 4% 73%  
356 4% 69%  
357 2% 66%  
358 3% 63%  
359 3% 60%  
360 3% 57%  
361 3% 54%  
362 2% 52% Median
363 3% 49%  
364 3% 47%  
365 2% 44%  
366 5% 42%  
367 2% 37%  
368 1.4% 35%  
369 2% 34%  
370 2% 32%  
371 2% 30%  
372 2% 28%  
373 1.3% 26%  
374 1.3% 25%  
375 1.1% 24%  
376 2% 23%  
377 2% 21%  
378 1.4% 19%  
379 1.2% 18%  
380 2% 17%  
381 1.4% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 2% 12%  
384 1.1% 10%  
385 0.9% 9%  
386 1.1% 8%  
387 0.8% 7%  
388 0.9% 6%  
389 1.1% 6%  
390 0.7% 4%  
391 0.3% 4%  
392 0.4% 3%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.4% 3%  
395 0.3% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.2% 2%  
399 0.1% 1.3%  
400 0.1% 1.2%  
401 0.1% 1.1%  
402 0.1% 1.0%  
403 0.1% 0.9%  
404 0.1% 0.8%  
405 0.1% 0.6%  
406 0% 0.6%  
407 0.1% 0.5%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0% 0.4%  
410 0% 0.4%  
411 0% 0.4%  
412 0% 0.3%  
413 0% 0.3%  
414 0% 0.2%  
415 0% 0.2%  
416 0% 0.2%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.2%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.8%  
173 0% 99.8%  
174 0% 99.8%  
175 0% 99.8%  
176 0% 99.8%  
177 0% 99.7%  
178 0% 99.7%  
179 0% 99.7%  
180 0.1% 99.7%  
181 0% 99.6%  
182 0.1% 99.6%  
183 0% 99.5%  
184 0% 99.4%  
185 0.1% 99.4%  
186 0.1% 99.3%  
187 0.1% 99.2%  
188 0.1% 99.1%  
189 0.2% 99.0%  
190 0.1% 98.9%  
191 0.1% 98.8%  
192 0.1% 98.7%  
193 0.1% 98.6%  
194 0.2% 98.6%  
195 0.2% 98%  
196 0.1% 98%  
197 0.3% 98%  
198 0.2% 98%  
199 0.3% 98%  
200 0.5% 97%  
201 0.2% 97%  
202 0.2% 97%  
203 0.3% 96%  
204 0.5% 96%  
205 0.3% 96%  
206 0.2% 95%  
207 0.5% 95%  
208 0.8% 95%  
209 0.4% 94%  
210 0.4% 93%  
211 0.5% 93%  
212 1.3% 92%  
213 0.7% 91%  
214 1.1% 90%  
215 0.4% 89%  
216 1.1% 89%  
217 1.1% 88%  
218 1.3% 87%  
219 1.0% 85%  
220 1.0% 84%  
221 1.0% 83%  
222 2% 82%  
223 2% 81%  
224 0.8% 78%  
225 0.9% 77%  
226 1.0% 77%  
227 2% 75%  
228 2% 74%  
229 1.4% 72%  
230 2% 71%  
231 1.0% 69%  
232 2% 68%  
233 3% 66%  
234 3% 64%  
235 1.4% 60%  
236 3% 59%  
237 2% 56%  
238 2% 55%  
239 2% 53% Median
240 2% 51%  
241 2% 48%  
242 4% 47%  
243 3% 42%  
244 2% 40%  
245 3% 38%  
246 2% 35%  
247 2% 33%  
248 3% 32%  
249 2% 29%  
250 2% 27%  
251 2% 25%  
252 3% 23%  
253 1.3% 20%  
254 0.9% 19%  
255 1.0% 18%  
256 0.9% 17%  
257 0.9% 16%  
258 0.9% 15%  
259 0.5% 14%  
260 1.1% 14%  
261 1.2% 12%  
262 0.8% 11%  
263 0.6% 11%  
264 0.6% 10%  
265 0.9% 9%  
266 0.5% 8%  
267 0.6% 8%  
268 0.3% 7%  
269 0.4% 7%  
270 0.3% 6%  
271 1.1% 6%  
272 0.4% 5%  
273 0.3% 5%  
274 0.4% 4%  
275 0.5% 4%  
276 0.2% 3%  
277 0.5% 3%  
278 0.3% 3%  
279 0.4% 2%  
280 0.2% 2%  
281 0.1% 2%  
282 0.2% 2%  
283 0.2% 1.5%  
284 0.4% 1.2%  
285 0.1% 0.9%  
286 0.1% 0.8%  
287 0.2% 0.7%  
288 0.1% 0.5%  
289 0.1% 0.4%  
290 0.1% 0.3%  
291 0% 0.2%  
292 0.1% 0.2%  
293 0.1% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.8%  
166 0% 99.8%  
167 0% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0% 99.7%  
170 0% 99.7%  
171 0% 99.7%  
172 0% 99.7%  
173 0.1% 99.6%  
174 0% 99.6%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0% 99.5%  
177 0.1% 99.4%  
178 0.1% 99.4%  
179 0.1% 99.3%  
180 0.1% 99.2%  
181 0.1% 99.0%  
182 0.2% 99.0%  
183 0.1% 98.8%  
184 0.1% 98.7%  
185 0.1% 98.6%  
186 0.1% 98.5%  
187 0.2% 98%  
188 0.2% 98%  
189 0.2% 98%  
190 0.3% 98%  
191 0.2% 98%  
192 0.2% 97%  
193 0.5% 97%  
194 0.3% 97%  
195 0.2% 96%  
196 0.3% 96%  
197 0.4% 96%  
198 0.5% 95%  
199 0.3% 95%  
200 0.3% 95%  
201 0.8% 94%  
202 0.6% 93%  
203 0.4% 93%  
204 0.8% 92%  
205 1.1% 92%  
206 1.0% 90%  
207 1.1% 90%  
208 0.6% 88%  
209 1.1% 88%  
210 0.9% 87%  
211 2% 86%  
212 0.9% 84%  
213 0.8% 83%  
214 0.8% 82%  
215 2% 82%  
216 1.3% 79%  
217 1.2% 78%  
218 2% 77%  
219 0.9% 75%  
220 1.5% 74%  
221 2% 73%  
222 1.3% 71%  
223 3% 69%  
224 0.9% 67%  
225 3% 66%  
226 2% 63%  
227 2% 61%  
228 2% 59%  
229 3% 57%  
230 1.0% 54%  
231 2% 53%  
232 3% 51% Median
233 3% 48%  
234 4% 46%  
235 3% 41%  
236 2% 38%  
237 1.4% 36%  
238 3% 34%  
239 2% 31%  
240 2% 29%  
241 3% 28%  
242 3% 25%  
243 2% 22%  
244 1.4% 20%  
245 1.2% 19%  
246 1.4% 18%  
247 0.9% 16%  
248 0.9% 15%  
249 0.6% 15%  
250 0.9% 14%  
251 0.7% 13%  
252 0.7% 12%  
253 0.6% 12%  
254 1.2% 11%  
255 0.6% 10%  
256 0.8% 9%  
257 0.3% 8%  
258 0.6% 8%  
259 0.7% 8%  
260 0.5% 7%  
261 0.5% 6%  
262 0.4% 6%  
263 0.3% 6%  
264 0.7% 5%  
265 0.5% 5%  
266 0.4% 4%  
267 0.4% 4%  
268 0.4% 3%  
269 0.3% 3%  
270 0.4% 3%  
271 0.3% 2%  
272 0.3% 2%  
273 0.3% 2%  
274 0.1% 1.2%  
275 0.2% 1.1%  
276 0.1% 0.9%  
277 0.2% 0.8%  
278 0.1% 0.6%  
279 0% 0.4%  
280 0.2% 0.4%  
281 0.1% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.8%  
150 0% 99.8%  
151 0% 99.7%  
152 0% 99.7%  
153 0% 99.7%  
154 0% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.6%  
156 0% 99.5%  
157 0.1% 99.5%  
158 0.1% 99.4%  
159 0.1% 99.3%  
160 0.1% 99.2%  
161 0.1% 99.1%  
162 0.1% 99.0%  
163 0.1% 98.9%  
164 0.1% 98.8%  
165 0.2% 98.8%  
166 0.1% 98.6%  
167 0.3% 98.5%  
168 0.3% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.4% 98%  
171 0.3% 97%  
172 0.4% 97%  
173 0.7% 97%  
174 0.7% 96%  
175 1.4% 95%  
176 0.7% 94%  
177 1.0% 93%  
178 0.8% 92%  
179 1.1% 91%  
180 1.1% 90%  
181 2% 89%  
182 1.2% 87%  
183 1.2% 86%  
184 3% 85%  
185 1.4% 82%  
186 2% 80%  
187 2% 78%  
188 1.0% 77%  
189 0.8% 76%  
190 2% 75%  
191 2% 73%  
192 1.0% 71%  
193 2% 70%  
194 2% 69%  
195 2% 67%  
196 1.4% 65%  
197 2% 64%  
198 4% 61%  
199 4% 57%  
200 3% 54% Median
201 3% 51%  
202 3% 49%  
203 4% 45%  
204 4% 42%  
205 2% 38%  
206 3% 36%  
207 2% 32%  
208 3% 31%  
209 4% 27%  
210 2% 23%  
211 1.4% 21%  
212 2% 19%  
213 1.0% 18%  
214 0.7% 17%  
215 0.8% 16%  
216 1.0% 15%  
217 1.1% 14%  
218 1.1% 13%  
219 1.5% 12%  
220 0.5% 11%  
221 1.0% 10%  
222 0.8% 9%  
223 0.7% 9%  
224 0.6% 8%  
225 0.9% 7%  
226 0.6% 6%  
227 0.5% 6%  
228 0.7% 5%  
229 0.7% 4%  
230 0.4% 4%  
231 0.5% 3%  
232 0.4% 3%  
233 0.2% 2%  
234 0.3% 2%  
235 0.3% 2%  
236 0.4% 2%  
237 0.1% 1.2%  
238 0.1% 1.1%  
239 0.1% 1.0%  
240 0.3% 0.9%  
241 0.3% 0.6%  
242 0.1% 0.3%  
243 0.1% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0.1% 99.3%  
131 0.1% 99.2%  
132 0.1% 99.1%  
133 0.1% 99.0%  
134 0.1% 98.9%  
135 0.1% 98.8%  
136 0.1% 98.8%  
137 0.1% 98.7%  
138 0.1% 98.6%  
139 0.3% 98%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.4% 98%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.3% 97%  
145 0.2% 97%  
146 0.4% 97%  
147 0.5% 96%  
148 0.2% 96%  
149 0.2% 96%  
150 0.7% 95%  
151 0.5% 95%  
152 0.3% 94%  
153 0.6% 94%  
154 1.0% 93%  
155 1.0% 92%  
156 0.8% 91%  
157 0.8% 90%  
158 1.0% 90%  
159 0.9% 89%  
160 2% 88%  
161 1.0% 86%  
162 0.8% 85%  
163 0.8% 84%  
164 1.4% 83%  
165 2% 82%  
166 1.0% 80%  
167 1.2% 79%  
168 0.8% 77%  
169 2% 77%  
170 2% 75%  
171 1.2% 73%  
172 2% 72%  
173 0.9% 70%  
174 2% 69%  
175 2% 68%  
176 3% 66%  
177 2% 62%  
178 3% 61%  
179 2% 58%  
180 2% 56%  
181 2% 54% Median
182 2% 52%  
183 2% 50%  
184 3% 48%  
185 4% 45%  
186 2% 42%  
187 2% 39%  
188 3% 37%  
189 2% 35%  
190 3% 33%  
191 1.0% 30%  
192 2% 29%  
193 2% 26%  
194 3% 24%  
195 1.3% 21%  
196 1.0% 20%  
197 1.2% 19%  
198 1.1% 18%  
199 0.6% 16%  
200 1.1% 16%  
201 0.8% 15%  
202 0.9% 14%  
203 1.3% 13%  
204 0.8% 12%  
205 0.6% 11%  
206 0.5% 10%  
207 1.1% 10%  
208 0.5% 9%  
209 0.6% 8%  
210 0.5% 8%  
211 0.5% 7%  
212 0.3% 7%  
213 1.1% 6%  
214 0.4% 5%  
215 0.3% 5%  
216 0.5% 4%  
217 0.5% 4%  
218 0.2% 4%  
219 0.5% 3%  
220 0.3% 3%  
221 0.4% 3%  
222 0.3% 2%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.3% 1.3%  
227 0.1% 1.0%  
228 0.1% 0.9%  
229 0.2% 0.8%  
230 0.1% 0.5%  
231 0% 0.4%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0.1% 0.2%  
235 0.1% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.4%  
123 0.1% 99.2%  
124 0.1% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.0%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.9%  
128 0.1% 98.8%  
129 0.1% 98.7%  
130 0.1% 98.5%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.4% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.4% 96%  
140 0.5% 96%  
141 0.3% 95%  
142 0.3% 95%  
143 0.5% 95%  
144 0.8% 94%  
145 0.3% 94%  
146 0.7% 93%  
147 1.2% 93%  
148 0.8% 91%  
149 1.1% 91%  
150 0.8% 90%  
151 1.0% 89%  
152 1.1% 88%  
153 2% 87%  
154 1.3% 85%  
155 0.9% 84%  
156 0.6% 83%  
157 2% 82%  
158 1.0% 80%  
159 2% 79%  
160 1.3% 78%  
161 1.1% 76%  
162 1.5% 75%  
163 2% 74%  
164 0.9% 72%  
165 3% 71%  
166 1.0% 68%  
167 3% 67%  
168 2% 65%  
169 2% 63%  
170 2% 61%  
171 3% 59%  
172 1.0% 56%  
173 2% 55%  
174 3% 53% Median
175 2% 50%  
176 4% 48%  
177 3% 44%  
178 3% 41%  
179 2% 38%  
180 2% 36%  
181 2% 34%  
182 2% 31%  
183 3% 29%  
184 2% 26%  
185 2% 24%  
186 2% 22%  
187 1.5% 20%  
188 2% 19%  
189 0.9% 17%  
190 0.9% 16%  
191 0.9% 15%  
192 0.8% 14%  
193 0.8% 14%  
194 0.5% 13%  
195 0.7% 12%  
196 1.2% 12%  
197 0.7% 10%  
198 0.9% 10%  
199 0.3% 9%  
200 0.6% 8%  
201 0.7% 8%  
202 0.4% 7%  
203 0.6% 7%  
204 0.5% 6%  
205 0.3% 6%  
206 0.7% 5%  
207 0.5% 5%  
208 0.4% 4%  
209 0.4% 4%  
210 0.4% 3%  
211 0.2% 3%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.3% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.1% 1.3%  
217 0.3% 1.2%  
218 0.1% 1.0%  
219 0.2% 0.8%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.2% 0.4%  
223 0.1% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations