Opinion Poll by BMG Research, 27–29 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.4% 46.3–50.4% 45.7–51.0% 45.2–51.5% 44.3–52.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 30.9% 29.0–32.8% 28.5–33.4% 28.1–33.9% 27.2–34.8%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.6–11.3% 7.1–11.9%
Green Party 2.8% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.6–5.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.6–2.6%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 386 366–408 361–416 359–423 353–429
Conservative Party 365 220 196–244 187–249 180–252 170–259
Liberal Democrats 11 20 13–26 13–27 12–28 12–33
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scottish National Party 48 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.2% 99.7%  
354 0.7% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 98.8%  
356 0.3% 98.6%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.1% 98%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.6% 97%  
361 3% 97%  
362 3% 94%  
363 0.1% 92%  
364 0.1% 92%  
365 0.5% 92%  
366 2% 91%  
367 2% 89%  
368 1.2% 86%  
369 0.5% 85%  
370 2% 85%  
371 1.1% 82%  
372 0.9% 81%  
373 3% 80%  
374 2% 78%  
375 1.3% 75%  
376 4% 74%  
377 2% 70%  
378 2% 68%  
379 3% 67%  
380 0.6% 64%  
381 2% 63%  
382 4% 62%  
383 2% 58%  
384 2% 56%  
385 2% 54%  
386 2% 52% Median
387 0.6% 50%  
388 0.6% 49%  
389 4% 49%  
390 0.3% 45%  
391 0.7% 45%  
392 2% 44%  
393 9% 42%  
394 3% 33%  
395 0.8% 30%  
396 1.1% 29%  
397 2% 28%  
398 0.9% 26%  
399 4% 25%  
400 2% 20%  
401 2% 19%  
402 0.5% 16%  
403 2% 16%  
404 0% 14%  
405 1.0% 14%  
406 2% 13%  
407 0.4% 11%  
408 1.3% 10%  
409 0.1% 9%  
410 1.0% 9%  
411 0.2% 8%  
412 1.3% 8%  
413 0.4% 6%  
414 0.3% 6%  
415 0.2% 6%  
416 0.5% 5%  
417 0.8% 5%  
418 0% 4%  
419 1.3% 4%  
420 0% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.1% 3%  
423 0.5% 3%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.2% 1.3%  
427 0% 1.1%  
428 0.5% 1.1%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0% 0.4%  
432 0.1% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0.1% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.8%  
166 0% 99.8%  
167 0% 99.7%  
168 0% 99.7%  
169 0.1% 99.6%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.1% 99.5%  
172 0.1% 99.4%  
173 0.1% 99.2%  
174 0.2% 99.1%  
175 0.2% 98.9%  
176 0.2% 98.7%  
177 0.3% 98.5%  
178 0.2% 98%  
179 0.3% 98%  
180 0.3% 98%  
181 0.2% 97%  
182 0.3% 97%  
183 0.3% 97%  
184 0.4% 97%  
185 0.5% 96%  
186 0.5% 96%  
187 0.4% 95%  
188 0.4% 95%  
189 0.4% 94%  
190 0.6% 94%  
191 0.5% 93%  
192 0.6% 93%  
193 0.7% 92%  
194 0.6% 92%  
195 0.7% 91%  
196 0.9% 90%  
197 1.0% 89%  
198 1.0% 88%  
199 1.0% 87%  
200 1.1% 86%  
201 0.7% 85%  
202 2% 85%  
203 2% 83%  
204 2% 81%  
205 2% 79%  
206 2% 77%  
207 2% 76%  
208 1.2% 74%  
209 3% 73%  
210 3% 70%  
211 2% 67%  
212 2% 66%  
213 2% 63%  
214 2% 61%  
215 0.9% 59%  
216 2% 58%  
217 3% 56%  
218 0.9% 53%  
219 2% 52%  
220 3% 51% Median
221 2% 48%  
222 1.4% 46%  
223 2% 45%  
224 2% 42%  
225 2% 40%  
226 2% 39%  
227 2% 37%  
228 2% 36%  
229 2% 34%  
230 2% 32%  
231 2% 30%  
232 1.5% 28%  
233 1.2% 26%  
234 2% 25%  
235 1.5% 23%  
236 2% 21%  
237 2% 20%  
238 1.1% 18%  
239 1.3% 16%  
240 2% 15%  
241 0.8% 13%  
242 0.8% 13%  
243 2% 12%  
244 2% 10%  
245 0.7% 9%  
246 0.7% 8%  
247 0.9% 7%  
248 1.0% 6%  
249 0.6% 5%  
250 0.1% 5%  
251 1.1% 4%  
252 1.1% 3%  
253 0.5% 2%  
254 0.3% 2%  
255 0.1% 1.4%  
256 0.3% 1.3%  
257 0.2% 1.0%  
258 0.1% 0.8%  
259 0.3% 0.7%  
260 0.2% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 4% 99.9%  
13 15% 96%  
14 1.1% 81%  
15 0.1% 80%  
16 16% 80%  
17 1.0% 64%  
18 0.9% 63%  
19 0% 62%  
20 12% 62% Median
21 13% 50%  
22 3% 36%  
23 12% 34%  
24 9% 22%  
25 2% 13%  
26 3% 10%  
27 3% 7%  
28 2% 4%  
29 0.9% 2%  
30 0.1% 1.4%  
31 0.3% 1.3%  
32 0.4% 1.0%  
33 0.3% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.3%  
36 0% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 406 100% 382–430 377–439 374–446 367–456
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 406 100% 382–430 377–439 374–446 367–456
Labour Party 202 386 100% 366–408 361–416 359–423 353–429
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 386 100% 366–408 361–416 359–423 353–429
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 240 0% 218–260 210–265 203–267 197–273
Conservative Party 365 220 0% 196–244 187–249 180–252 170–259
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 220 0% 196–244 187–249 180–252 170–259

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.2% 99.8%  
367 0.3% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.3%  
369 0.2% 99.2%  
370 0.3% 99.0%  
371 0.2% 98.7%  
372 0.3% 98.6%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 1.1% 98%  
375 1.1% 97%  
376 0.2% 96%  
377 0.6% 95%  
378 1.0% 95%  
379 0.9% 94%  
380 0.7% 93%  
381 0.7% 92%  
382 2% 91%  
383 2% 90%  
384 0.8% 88%  
385 0.8% 87%  
386 2% 87%  
387 1.3% 85%  
388 1.1% 84%  
389 2% 82%  
390 2% 80%  
391 1.5% 79%  
392 2% 77%  
393 1.2% 75%  
394 1.5% 74%  
395 2% 72%  
396 2% 70%  
397 2% 68%  
398 2% 66%  
399 2% 64%  
400 2% 63%  
401 2% 61%  
402 2% 60%  
403 2% 58%  
404 1.4% 55%  
405 2% 54%  
406 3% 52% Median
407 2% 49%  
408 0.9% 48%  
409 3% 47%  
410 2% 44%  
411 0.9% 42%  
412 2% 41%  
413 2% 39%  
414 2% 37%  
415 2% 34%  
416 3% 33%  
417 3% 30%  
418 1.2% 27%  
419 2% 26%  
420 2% 24%  
421 2% 23%  
422 2% 21%  
423 2% 19%  
424 2% 17%  
425 0.7% 15%  
426 1.1% 15%  
427 1.0% 14%  
428 1.0% 13%  
429 1.0% 12%  
430 0.9% 11%  
431 0.7% 10%  
432 0.6% 9%  
433 0.7% 8%  
434 0.6% 8%  
435 0.5% 7%  
436 0.6% 7%  
437 0.4% 6%  
438 0.4% 6%  
439 0.4% 5%  
440 0.5% 5%  
441 0.5% 4%  
442 0.4% 4%  
443 0.3% 3%  
444 0.3% 3%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.3% 3%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.3% 2%  
450 0.2% 1.5%  
451 0.2% 1.3%  
452 0.2% 1.1%  
453 0.1% 0.9%  
454 0.1% 0.8%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.2% 99.8%  
367 0.3% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.3%  
369 0.2% 99.2%  
370 0.3% 99.0%  
371 0.1% 98.7%  
372 0.3% 98.6%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 1.1% 98%  
375 1.1% 97%  
376 0.1% 96%  
377 0.6% 95%  
378 1.0% 95%  
379 0.9% 94%  
380 0.7% 93%  
381 0.7% 92%  
382 2% 91%  
383 2% 90%  
384 0.8% 88%  
385 0.8% 87%  
386 2% 87%  
387 1.3% 85%  
388 1.1% 84%  
389 2% 82%  
390 2% 80%  
391 1.5% 79%  
392 2% 77%  
393 1.2% 75%  
394 1.5% 74%  
395 2% 72%  
396 2% 70%  
397 2% 68%  
398 2% 66%  
399 2% 64%  
400 2% 63%  
401 2% 61%  
402 2% 60%  
403 2% 58%  
404 1.4% 55%  
405 2% 54%  
406 3% 52% Median
407 2% 49%  
408 0.9% 48%  
409 3% 47%  
410 2% 44%  
411 0.9% 42%  
412 2% 41%  
413 2% 39%  
414 2% 37%  
415 2% 34%  
416 3% 33%  
417 3% 30%  
418 1.2% 27%  
419 2% 26%  
420 2% 24%  
421 2% 23%  
422 2% 21%  
423 2% 19%  
424 2% 17%  
425 0.7% 15%  
426 1.1% 15%  
427 1.0% 14%  
428 1.0% 13%  
429 1.0% 12%  
430 0.9% 11%  
431 0.7% 10%  
432 0.6% 9%  
433 0.7% 8%  
434 0.6% 8%  
435 0.5% 7%  
436 0.6% 7%  
437 0.4% 6%  
438 0.4% 6%  
439 0.4% 5%  
440 0.5% 5%  
441 0.5% 4%  
442 0.4% 4%  
443 0.3% 3%  
444 0.3% 3%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.3% 3%  
447 0.3% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.3% 2%  
450 0.2% 1.5%  
451 0.2% 1.3%  
452 0.2% 1.1%  
453 0.1% 0.9%  
454 0.1% 0.8%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.2% 99.7%  
354 0.7% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 98.8%  
356 0.3% 98.6%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.1% 98%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.6% 97%  
361 3% 97%  
362 3% 94%  
363 0.1% 92%  
364 0.1% 92%  
365 0.5% 92%  
366 2% 91%  
367 2% 89%  
368 1.2% 86%  
369 0.5% 85%  
370 2% 85%  
371 1.1% 82%  
372 0.9% 81%  
373 3% 80%  
374 2% 78%  
375 1.3% 75%  
376 4% 74%  
377 2% 70%  
378 2% 68%  
379 3% 67%  
380 0.6% 64%  
381 2% 63%  
382 4% 62%  
383 2% 58%  
384 2% 56%  
385 2% 54%  
386 2% 52% Median
387 0.6% 50%  
388 0.6% 49%  
389 4% 49%  
390 0.3% 45%  
391 0.7% 45%  
392 2% 44%  
393 9% 42%  
394 3% 33%  
395 0.8% 30%  
396 1.1% 29%  
397 2% 28%  
398 0.9% 26%  
399 4% 25%  
400 2% 20%  
401 2% 19%  
402 0.5% 16%  
403 2% 16%  
404 0% 14%  
405 1.0% 14%  
406 2% 13%  
407 0.4% 11%  
408 1.3% 10%  
409 0.1% 9%  
410 1.0% 9%  
411 0.2% 8%  
412 1.3% 8%  
413 0.4% 6%  
414 0.3% 6%  
415 0.2% 6%  
416 0.5% 5%  
417 0.8% 5%  
418 0% 4%  
419 1.3% 4%  
420 0% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.1% 3%  
423 0.5% 3%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.2% 1.3%  
427 0% 1.1%  
428 0.5% 1.1%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0% 0.4%  
432 0.1% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0.1% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.2% 99.7%  
354 0.7% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 98.8%  
356 0.3% 98.6%  
357 0.4% 98%  
358 0.1% 98%  
359 0.4% 98%  
360 0.6% 97%  
361 3% 97%  
362 3% 94%  
363 0.1% 92%  
364 0.1% 92%  
365 0.5% 92%  
366 2% 91%  
367 2% 89%  
368 1.2% 86%  
369 0.5% 85%  
370 2% 85%  
371 1.1% 82%  
372 0.9% 81%  
373 3% 80%  
374 2% 78%  
375 1.3% 75%  
376 4% 74%  
377 2% 70%  
378 2% 68%  
379 3% 67%  
380 0.6% 64%  
381 2% 63%  
382 4% 62%  
383 2% 58%  
384 2% 56%  
385 2% 54%  
386 2% 52% Median
387 0.6% 50%  
388 0.6% 49%  
389 4% 49%  
390 0.3% 45%  
391 0.7% 45%  
392 2% 44%  
393 9% 42%  
394 3% 33%  
395 0.8% 30%  
396 1.1% 29%  
397 2% 28%  
398 0.9% 26%  
399 4% 25%  
400 2% 20%  
401 2% 19%  
402 0.5% 16%  
403 2% 16%  
404 0% 14%  
405 1.0% 14%  
406 2% 13%  
407 0.4% 11%  
408 1.3% 10%  
409 0.1% 9%  
410 1.0% 9%  
411 0.2% 8%  
412 1.3% 8%  
413 0.4% 6%  
414 0.3% 6%  
415 0.2% 6%  
416 0.5% 5%  
417 0.8% 5%  
418 0% 4%  
419 1.3% 4%  
420 0% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.1% 3%  
423 0.5% 3%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.2% 1.3%  
427 0% 1.1%  
428 0.5% 1.1%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0% 0.4%  
432 0.1% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0.1% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 99.9%  
185 0% 99.9%  
186 0% 99.9%  
187 0% 99.9%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.8%  
193 0% 99.8%  
194 0.1% 99.7%  
195 0% 99.6%  
196 0.1% 99.6%  
197 0.1% 99.5%  
198 0.5% 99.4%  
199 0% 98.9%  
200 0.2% 98.9%  
201 0.4% 98.7%  
202 0.2% 98%  
203 0.5% 98%  
204 0.1% 97%  
205 0.2% 97%  
206 0% 97%  
207 1.3% 97%  
208 0% 96%  
209 0.8% 96%  
210 0.5% 95%  
211 0.2% 95%  
212 0.3% 94%  
213 0.4% 94%  
214 1.3% 94%  
215 0.2% 92%  
216 1.0% 92%  
217 0.1% 91%  
218 1.3% 91%  
219 0.4% 90%  
220 2% 89%  
221 1.0% 87%  
222 0% 86%  
223 2% 86%  
224 0.5% 84%  
225 2% 84%  
226 2% 81%  
227 4% 80%  
228 0.9% 75%  
229 2% 74%  
230 1.1% 72%  
231 0.8% 71%  
232 3% 70%  
233 9% 67%  
234 2% 58%  
235 0.7% 56%  
236 0.3% 55%  
237 4% 55%  
238 0.6% 51%  
239 0.6% 51%  
240 2% 50% Median
241 2% 48%  
242 2% 46%  
243 2% 44%  
244 4% 42%  
245 2% 38%  
246 0.6% 37%  
247 3% 36%  
248 2% 33%  
249 2% 32%  
250 4% 30%  
251 1.3% 26%  
252 2% 25%  
253 3% 22%  
254 0.9% 20%  
255 1.1% 19%  
256 2% 18%  
257 0.5% 15%  
258 1.2% 15%  
259 2% 14%  
260 2% 11%  
261 0.5% 9%  
262 0.1% 8%  
263 0.1% 8%  
264 3% 8%  
265 3% 6%  
266 0.6% 3%  
267 0.4% 3%  
268 0.1% 2%  
269 0.4% 2%  
270 0.3% 2%  
271 0.2% 1.4%  
272 0.7% 1.2%  
273 0.2% 0.5%  
274 0.1% 0.3%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.8%  
166 0% 99.8%  
167 0% 99.7%  
168 0% 99.7%  
169 0.1% 99.6%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.1% 99.5%  
172 0.1% 99.4%  
173 0.1% 99.2%  
174 0.2% 99.1%  
175 0.2% 98.9%  
176 0.2% 98.7%  
177 0.3% 98.5%  
178 0.2% 98%  
179 0.3% 98%  
180 0.3% 98%  
181 0.2% 97%  
182 0.3% 97%  
183 0.3% 97%  
184 0.4% 97%  
185 0.5% 96%  
186 0.5% 96%  
187 0.4% 95%  
188 0.4% 95%  
189 0.4% 94%  
190 0.6% 94%  
191 0.5% 93%  
192 0.6% 93%  
193 0.7% 92%  
194 0.6% 92%  
195 0.7% 91%  
196 0.9% 90%  
197 1.0% 89%  
198 1.0% 88%  
199 1.0% 87%  
200 1.1% 86%  
201 0.7% 85%  
202 2% 85%  
203 2% 83%  
204 2% 81%  
205 2% 79%  
206 2% 77%  
207 2% 76%  
208 1.2% 74%  
209 3% 73%  
210 3% 70%  
211 2% 67%  
212 2% 66%  
213 2% 63%  
214 2% 61%  
215 0.9% 59%  
216 2% 58%  
217 3% 56%  
218 0.9% 53%  
219 2% 52%  
220 3% 51% Median
221 2% 48%  
222 1.4% 46%  
223 2% 45%  
224 2% 42%  
225 2% 40%  
226 2% 39%  
227 2% 37%  
228 2% 36%  
229 2% 34%  
230 2% 32%  
231 2% 30%  
232 1.5% 28%  
233 1.2% 26%  
234 2% 25%  
235 1.5% 23%  
236 2% 21%  
237 2% 20%  
238 1.1% 18%  
239 1.3% 16%  
240 2% 15%  
241 0.8% 13%  
242 0.8% 13%  
243 2% 12%  
244 2% 10%  
245 0.7% 9%  
246 0.7% 8%  
247 0.9% 7%  
248 1.0% 6%  
249 0.6% 5%  
250 0.1% 5%  
251 1.1% 4%  
252 1.1% 3%  
253 0.5% 2%  
254 0.3% 2%  
255 0.1% 1.4%  
256 0.3% 1.3%  
257 0.2% 1.0%  
258 0.1% 0.8%  
259 0.3% 0.7%  
260 0.2% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
156 0% 100%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.8%  
166 0% 99.8%  
167 0% 99.7%  
168 0% 99.7%  
169 0.1% 99.6%  
170 0.1% 99.6%  
171 0.1% 99.5%  
172 0.1% 99.4%  
173 0.1% 99.2%  
174 0.2% 99.1%  
175 0.2% 98.9%  
176 0.2% 98.7%  
177 0.3% 98.5%  
178 0.2% 98%  
179 0.3% 98%  
180 0.3% 98%  
181 0.2% 97%  
182 0.3% 97%  
183 0.3% 97%  
184 0.4% 97%  
185 0.5% 96%  
186 0.5% 96%  
187 0.4% 95%  
188 0.4% 95%  
189 0.4% 94%  
190 0.6% 94%  
191 0.5% 93%  
192 0.6% 93%  
193 0.7% 92%  
194 0.6% 92%  
195 0.7% 91%  
196 0.9% 90%  
197 1.0% 89%  
198 1.0% 88%  
199 1.0% 87%  
200 1.1% 86%  
201 0.7% 85%  
202 2% 85%  
203 2% 83%  
204 2% 81%  
205 2% 79%  
206 2% 77%  
207 2% 76%  
208 1.2% 74%  
209 3% 73%  
210 3% 70%  
211 2% 67%  
212 2% 66%  
213 2% 63%  
214 2% 61%  
215 0.9% 59%  
216 2% 58%  
217 3% 56%  
218 0.9% 53%  
219 2% 52%  
220 3% 51% Median
221 2% 48%  
222 1.4% 46%  
223 2% 45%  
224 2% 42%  
225 2% 40%  
226 2% 39%  
227 2% 37%  
228 2% 36%  
229 2% 34%  
230 2% 32%  
231 2% 30%  
232 1.5% 28%  
233 1.2% 26%  
234 2% 25%  
235 1.5% 23%  
236 2% 21%  
237 2% 20%  
238 1.1% 18%  
239 1.3% 16%  
240 2% 15%  
241 0.8% 13%  
242 0.8% 13%  
243 2% 12%  
244 2% 10%  
245 0.7% 9%  
246 0.7% 8%  
247 0.9% 7%  
248 1.0% 6%  
249 0.6% 5%  
250 0.2% 5%  
251 1.1% 4%  
252 1.1% 3%  
253 0.5% 2%  
254 0.3% 2%  
255 0.2% 1.4%  
256 0.3% 1.3%  
257 0.2% 1.0%  
258 0.1% 0.8%  
259 0.3% 0.7%  
260 0.2% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations