Opinion Poll by Survation, 29 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.6% 47.7–51.6% 47.1–52.1% 46.6–52.6% 45.7–53.6%
Conservative Party 43.6% 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.2–30.7% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.1% 10.0–12.5% 9.7–12.8% 9.4–13.2% 8.9–13.8%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%
Brexit Party 2.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Green Party 2.8% 0.8% 0.6–1.3% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 379 359–399 351–406 348–413 338–429
Conservative Party 365 167 142–187 136–195 127–200 109–213
Liberal Democrats 11 25 18–36 18–38 17–40 14–47
Scottish National Party 48 56 49–58 43–58 41–58 38–58
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 3–7
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 0 0 0 0 0–1
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.9%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0% 99.7%  
334 0% 99.7%  
335 0% 99.7%  
336 0% 99.6%  
337 0.1% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.5%  
339 0.3% 99.4%  
340 0.2% 99.1%  
341 0.1% 98.9%  
342 0.2% 98.8%  
343 0.1% 98.6%  
344 0.1% 98%  
345 0.1% 98%  
346 0.5% 98%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 0.7% 98%  
349 0.5% 97%  
350 0.4% 96%  
351 1.3% 96%  
352 0.1% 95%  
353 0.1% 95%  
354 0.8% 95%  
355 0.3% 94%  
356 0.1% 93%  
357 0.7% 93%  
358 1.0% 93%  
359 3% 92%  
360 2% 89%  
361 2% 88%  
362 0.9% 86%  
363 1.3% 85%  
364 2% 84%  
365 1.1% 81%  
366 2% 80%  
367 5% 78%  
368 5% 73%  
369 2% 68%  
370 0.8% 66%  
371 1.4% 66%  
372 2% 64%  
373 3% 62%  
374 2% 60%  
375 3% 58%  
376 0.7% 54%  
377 2% 53%  
378 1.3% 52%  
379 1.4% 50% Median
380 2% 49%  
381 2% 47%  
382 1.1% 45%  
383 1.4% 44%  
384 5% 42%  
385 2% 38%  
386 2% 36%  
387 5% 34%  
388 2% 29%  
389 2% 27%  
390 1.3% 25%  
391 3% 24%  
392 2% 21%  
393 1.3% 18%  
394 1.0% 17%  
395 3% 16%  
396 0.6% 13%  
397 1.1% 12%  
398 0.4% 11%  
399 0.8% 11%  
400 1.3% 10%  
401 1.0% 9%  
402 0.9% 8%  
403 0.9% 7%  
404 0.2% 6%  
405 0.2% 6%  
406 0.7% 6%  
407 0.3% 5%  
408 0.2% 5%  
409 1.2% 4%  
410 0.1% 3%  
411 0.3% 3%  
412 0.3% 3%  
413 0.1% 3%  
414 0.5% 2%  
415 0.1% 2%  
416 0.1% 2%  
417 0.1% 2%  
418 0% 2%  
419 0.2% 2%  
420 0.1% 1.4%  
421 0.1% 1.4%  
422 0% 1.3%  
423 0.1% 1.3%  
424 0.1% 1.1%  
425 0% 1.1%  
426 0.3% 1.0%  
427 0% 0.8%  
428 0.2% 0.7%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0% 0.4%  
431 0.1% 0.4%  
432 0% 0.3%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0.2% 99.4%  
112 0.2% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0.1% 99.1%  
115 0.1% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.9%  
117 0.2% 98.9%  
118 0% 98.7%  
119 0.1% 98.6%  
120 0.1% 98.5%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.1% 97%  
129 0.1% 97%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.2% 97%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.2% 97%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.7% 96%  
136 1.1% 95%  
137 0.1% 94%  
138 1.3% 94%  
139 0.9% 93%  
140 2% 92%  
141 0.5% 90%  
142 0.9% 90%  
143 0.9% 89%  
144 0.6% 88%  
145 1.2% 88%  
146 0.8% 86%  
147 0.2% 86%  
148 0.6% 85%  
149 0.8% 85%  
150 0.6% 84%  
151 2% 83%  
152 5% 82%  
153 0.7% 77%  
154 1.3% 76%  
155 5% 75%  
156 2% 70%  
157 5% 68%  
158 2% 63%  
159 1.1% 61%  
160 2% 60%  
161 0.6% 58%  
162 0.8% 57%  
163 0.5% 56%  
164 1.0% 56%  
165 1.4% 55%  
166 1.3% 53%  
167 2% 52% Median
168 2% 50%  
169 1.3% 48%  
170 3% 47%  
171 2% 44%  
172 3% 43%  
173 5% 39%  
174 2% 35%  
175 4% 32%  
176 1.1% 28%  
177 1.1% 27%  
178 0.7% 26%  
179 0.3% 25%  
180 4% 25%  
181 0.7% 21%  
182 1.5% 21%  
183 3% 19%  
184 1.1% 17%  
185 2% 15%  
186 3% 13%  
187 2% 11%  
188 0.6% 9%  
189 0.2% 8%  
190 0.4% 8%  
191 1.2% 8%  
192 0.2% 7%  
193 0.2% 6%  
194 0.7% 6%  
195 1.1% 5%  
196 0.5% 4%  
197 0.2% 4%  
198 0.2% 4%  
199 0.5% 3%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.1% 2%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.1% 2%  
204 0.1% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.1% 1.2%  
207 0.1% 1.1%  
208 0.1% 1.0%  
209 0.1% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.8%  
211 0.2% 0.7%  
212 0% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0% 0.4%  
215 0% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0.8% 99.7%  
15 1.0% 98.9%  
16 0.2% 98%  
17 3% 98%  
18 5% 95%  
19 2% 90%  
20 5% 88%  
21 12% 84%  
22 9% 72%  
23 5% 63%  
24 5% 58%  
25 9% 53% Median
26 3% 43%  
27 5% 40%  
28 6% 35%  
29 2% 29%  
30 0.9% 27%  
31 4% 27%  
32 3% 22%  
33 2% 19%  
34 4% 17%  
35 2% 13%  
36 4% 11%  
37 2% 8%  
38 2% 6%  
39 0.6% 4%  
40 0.7% 3%  
41 0.5% 2%  
42 0.7% 2%  
43 0.2% 1.2%  
44 0.2% 1.0%  
45 0.1% 0.8%  
46 0.2% 0.7%  
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.8%  
36 0.2% 99.8%  
37 0% 99.6%  
38 0.3% 99.6%  
39 0.1% 99.3%  
40 0.9% 99.1%  
41 1.0% 98%  
42 0.9% 97%  
43 1.4% 96%  
44 0.9% 95%  
45 1.0% 94%  
46 0.8% 93%  
47 1.0% 92%  
48 0.8% 91% Last Result
49 1.3% 90%  
50 2% 89%  
51 2% 87%  
52 4% 85%  
53 4% 81%  
54 10% 77%  
55 8% 66%  
56 17% 58% Median
57 15% 41%  
58 26% 26%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 2% 99.9%  
4 13% 98% Last Result
5 80% 85% Median
6 4% 5%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Median
1 2% 2% Last Result
2 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru – Green Party 266 463 100% 443–488 435–494 430–503 417–521
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 463 100% 443–488 435–494 430–503 417–521
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 458 100% 438–484 430–489 425–498 412–516
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 437 100% 420–456 412–463 408–469 396–488
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 432 100% 415–451 407–458 403–464 391–483
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 408 100% 387–436 380–442 374–450 362–469
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 403 100% 382–431 374–437 369–445 357–464
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 384 100% 364–403 356–410 353–418 343–434
Labour Party 202 379 100% 359–399 351–406 348–413 338–429
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 227 0% 199–248 193–256 185–261 166–273
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 222 0% 194–243 188–250 180–256 161–268
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 193 0% 174–210 167–218 161–222 142–234
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 172 0% 146–192 141–200 132–205 114–218
Conservative Party 365 167 0% 142–187 136–195 127–200 109–213

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru – Green Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0.1% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0% 99.5%  
419 0.2% 99.4%  
420 0.1% 99.3%  
421 0.1% 99.2%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.1% 98.9%  
425 0.4% 98.8%  
426 0.1% 98%  
427 0.1% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.1% 98%  
430 0.5% 98%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.2% 97%  
433 0.2% 96%  
434 0.5% 96%  
435 1.1% 96%  
436 0.7% 95%  
437 0.2% 94%  
438 0.2% 94%  
439 1.2% 93%  
440 0.4% 92%  
441 0.2% 92%  
442 0.6% 92%  
443 2% 91%  
444 3% 89%  
445 2% 87%  
446 1.1% 85%  
447 3% 83%  
448 1.5% 81%  
449 0.7% 79%  
450 4% 79%  
451 0.3% 75%  
452 0.7% 75%  
453 1.1% 74%  
454 1.1% 73%  
455 4% 72%  
456 2% 68%  
457 5% 65%  
458 3% 61%  
459 2% 57%  
460 3% 56%  
461 1.3% 53%  
462 2% 52%  
463 2% 50%  
464 1.3% 48%  
465 1.4% 47% Median
466 1.0% 45%  
467 0.5% 44%  
468 0.8% 44%  
469 0.6% 43%  
470 2% 42%  
471 1.1% 40%  
472 2% 39%  
473 5% 37%  
474 2% 32%  
475 5% 30%  
476 1.3% 25%  
477 0.7% 24%  
478 5% 23%  
479 2% 18%  
480 0.6% 17%  
481 0.8% 16%  
482 0.6% 15%  
483 0.2% 15%  
484 0.8% 14%  
485 1.2% 14%  
486 0.6% 12%  
487 0.9% 12%  
488 0.9% 11%  
489 0.5% 10%  
490 2% 10%  
491 0.9% 8%  
492 1.3% 7%  
493 0.1% 6%  
494 1.1% 6%  
495 0.7% 5%  
496 0.2% 4%  
497 0.2% 4%  
498 0.4% 3%  
499 0.2% 3%  
500 0.1% 3%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.1% 3%  
503 0.3% 3%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0% 2%  
510 0.1% 2%  
511 0.1% 1.5%  
512 0% 1.4%  
513 0.2% 1.3%  
514 0% 1.1%  
515 0.1% 1.1%  
516 0.1% 1.0%  
517 0% 0.9%  
518 0.2% 0.9%  
519 0.2% 0.7%  
520 0% 0.6%  
521 0% 0.5%  
522 0.2% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0% 99.5%  
419 0.2% 99.4%  
420 0.1% 99.3%  
421 0.1% 99.2%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.1% 98.9%  
425 0.4% 98.8%  
426 0.1% 98%  
427 0.1% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.5% 98%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.2% 97%  
433 0.2% 96%  
434 0.5% 96%  
435 1.1% 96%  
436 0.7% 95%  
437 0.2% 94%  
438 0.2% 94%  
439 1.2% 93%  
440 0.3% 92%  
441 0.2% 92%  
442 0.6% 92%  
443 2% 91%  
444 3% 89%  
445 2% 87%  
446 1.1% 85%  
447 3% 83%  
448 1.3% 81%  
449 0.7% 79%  
450 4% 79%  
451 0.3% 75%  
452 0.7% 74%  
453 1.1% 74%  
454 1.0% 73%  
455 4% 72%  
456 2% 67%  
457 5% 65%  
458 3% 61%  
459 2% 57%  
460 3% 56%  
461 1.3% 53%  
462 2% 52%  
463 2% 50%  
464 1.3% 48%  
465 1.4% 47% Median
466 1.0% 45%  
467 0.5% 44%  
468 0.8% 44%  
469 0.6% 43%  
470 2% 42%  
471 1.1% 40%  
472 2% 39%  
473 5% 37%  
474 2% 32%  
475 5% 30%  
476 1.3% 25%  
477 0.9% 24%  
478 4% 23%  
479 2% 18%  
480 0.5% 17%  
481 0.8% 16%  
482 0.6% 15%  
483 0.2% 15%  
484 0.8% 14%  
485 1.3% 14%  
486 0.6% 12%  
487 0.9% 12%  
488 0.9% 11%  
489 0.5% 10%  
490 2% 10%  
491 0.9% 8%  
492 1.3% 7%  
493 0.2% 6%  
494 1.1% 6%  
495 0.7% 5%  
496 0.2% 4%  
497 0.2% 4%  
498 0.4% 3%  
499 0.2% 3%  
500 0.1% 3%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.1% 3%  
503 0.3% 3%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0% 2%  
510 0.1% 2%  
511 0.1% 1.5%  
512 0% 1.4%  
513 0.2% 1.3%  
514 0% 1.1%  
515 0.1% 1.1%  
516 0.1% 1.0%  
517 0% 0.9%  
518 0.2% 0.9%  
519 0.2% 0.7%  
520 0% 0.6%  
521 0% 0.5%  
522 0.2% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0% 99.5%  
414 0.2% 99.4%  
415 0.1% 99.3%  
416 0.1% 99.2%  
417 0% 99.1%  
418 0.1% 99.0%  
419 0.1% 98.9%  
420 0.4% 98.8%  
421 0.1% 98%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.6% 98%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.3% 96%  
429 0.6% 96%  
430 1.0% 96%  
431 0.7% 95%  
432 0.2% 94%  
433 0.2% 94%  
434 1.2% 93%  
435 0.3% 92%  
436 0.1% 92%  
437 0.6% 92%  
438 2% 91%  
439 3% 89%  
440 3% 87%  
441 0.7% 84%  
442 3% 83%  
443 1.4% 81%  
444 0.8% 79%  
445 0.8% 79%  
446 3% 78%  
447 0.6% 74%  
448 1.0% 74%  
449 1.1% 73%  
450 4% 72%  
451 2% 68%  
452 5% 66%  
453 3% 61%  
454 2% 57%  
455 3% 56%  
456 0.9% 53%  
457 2% 52%  
458 2% 50%  
459 1.5% 48%  
460 1.3% 47% Median
461 1.0% 45%  
462 0.5% 44%  
463 0.5% 44%  
464 0.6% 43%  
465 0.9% 43%  
466 2% 42%  
467 2% 39%  
468 5% 38%  
469 3% 33%  
470 4% 30%  
471 2% 26%  
472 1.0% 24%  
473 4% 23%  
474 2% 18%  
475 0.3% 16%  
476 0.7% 16%  
477 0.7% 15%  
478 0.2% 15%  
479 0.6% 14%  
480 1.0% 14%  
481 0.8% 13%  
482 0.8% 12%  
483 0.9% 11%  
484 0.8% 10%  
485 2% 10%  
486 0.9% 8%  
487 1.0% 7%  
488 0.5% 6%  
489 1.0% 6%  
490 0.8% 5%  
491 0.2% 4%  
492 0.2% 4%  
493 0.4% 3%  
494 0.1% 3%  
495 0.2% 3%  
496 0.1% 3%  
497 0% 3%  
498 0.3% 3%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0% 2%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0% 2%  
505 0.1% 2%  
506 0.1% 1.5%  
507 0.1% 1.4%  
508 0.2% 1.3%  
509 0% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 1.1%  
511 0.1% 1.0%  
512 0% 0.9%  
513 0.2% 0.9%  
514 0.2% 0.7%  
515 0% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0.2% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0% 99.5%  
398 0% 99.5%  
399 0.1% 99.4%  
400 0.2% 99.3%  
401 0.1% 99.1%  
402 0.2% 99.0%  
403 0.3% 98.8%  
404 0.1% 98%  
405 0.1% 98%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.4% 98%  
408 0.4% 98%  
409 0.4% 97%  
410 0.6% 97%  
411 0.5% 96%  
412 1.1% 96%  
413 0.3% 95%  
414 0.1% 94%  
415 0.4% 94%  
416 0.2% 94%  
417 0.8% 93%  
418 0.7% 93%  
419 0.5% 92%  
420 3% 91%  
421 2% 88%  
422 2% 87%  
423 3% 85%  
424 0.7% 82%  
425 4% 82%  
426 1.3% 78%  
427 4% 77%  
428 1.0% 73%  
429 5% 72%  
430 2% 67%  
431 1.1% 65%  
432 3% 64%  
433 1.2% 61%  
434 5% 60%  
435 0.5% 55%  
436 1.4% 54%  
437 4% 53%  
438 0.8% 49%  
439 1.2% 48%  
440 0.5% 47% Median
441 3% 46%  
442 0.6% 44%  
443 2% 43%  
444 3% 41%  
445 0.9% 38%  
446 4% 37%  
447 3% 34%  
448 5% 30%  
449 2% 25%  
450 2% 24%  
451 2% 22%  
452 3% 20%  
453 1.5% 17%  
454 4% 16%  
455 1.0% 12%  
456 2% 11%  
457 0.6% 9%  
458 0.9% 8%  
459 0.6% 7%  
460 0.3% 7%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.3% 6%  
463 0.8% 6%  
464 0.2% 5%  
465 0.7% 5%  
466 0.1% 4%  
467 0.2% 4%  
468 0.2% 4%  
469 1.0% 3%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.3% 2%  
472 0% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.2% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0% 1.4%  
477 0.2% 1.4%  
478 0% 1.2%  
479 0% 1.1%  
480 0% 1.1%  
481 0.2% 1.1%  
482 0% 1.0%  
483 0% 0.9%  
484 0% 0.9%  
485 0% 0.8%  
486 0.2% 0.8%  
487 0% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0% 0.3%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0% 99.5%  
393 0% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.4%  
395 0.2% 99.3%  
396 0.1% 99.1%  
397 0.2% 99.0%  
398 0.3% 98.8%  
399 0.1% 98%  
400 0.2% 98%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0.5% 98%  
403 0.6% 98%  
404 0.3% 97%  
405 0.6% 97%  
406 0.5% 96%  
407 1.2% 96%  
408 0.3% 94%  
409 0.2% 94%  
410 0.4% 94%  
411 0.2% 94%  
412 0.9% 93%  
413 0.7% 92%  
414 0.5% 92%  
415 3% 91%  
416 2% 88%  
417 1.5% 87%  
418 3% 85%  
419 1.0% 82%  
420 0.8% 82%  
421 5% 81%  
422 3% 76%  
423 1.0% 73%  
424 5% 72%  
425 2% 67%  
426 0.7% 64%  
427 3% 64%  
428 1.0% 61%  
429 5% 60%  
430 0.5% 55%  
431 1.4% 54%  
432 4% 53%  
433 0.7% 49%  
434 2% 48%  
435 0.4% 47% Median
436 2% 46%  
437 1.1% 44%  
438 2% 43%  
439 2% 41%  
440 0.9% 39%  
441 2% 38%  
442 5% 36%  
443 4% 30%  
444 2% 26%  
445 2% 24%  
446 2% 22%  
447 2% 20%  
448 2% 18%  
449 4% 16%  
450 0.8% 12%  
451 2% 11%  
452 0.6% 9%  
453 0.7% 8%  
454 0.5% 8%  
455 0.4% 7%  
456 0.5% 7%  
457 0.3% 6%  
458 1.0% 6%  
459 0.2% 5%  
460 0.4% 5%  
461 0.4% 4%  
462 0.1% 4%  
463 0.2% 4%  
464 1.1% 4%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.3% 2%  
467 0% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.1% 2%  
471 0% 1.4%  
472 0.2% 1.4%  
473 0% 1.2%  
474 0% 1.2%  
475 0% 1.1%  
476 0.2% 1.1%  
477 0% 1.0%  
478 0% 0.9%  
479 0.1% 0.9%  
480 0% 0.8%  
481 0.2% 0.8%  
482 0% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.5%  
484 0% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.4%  
486 0% 0.3%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0.1% 99.9%  
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.7%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0% 99.6%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0.1% 99.4%  
364 0.2% 99.3%  
365 0% 99.2%  
366 0% 99.1%  
367 0.2% 99.1%  
368 0.4% 98.9%  
369 0.1% 98%  
370 0.4% 98%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.2% 98%  
373 0% 98%  
374 0.2% 98%  
375 0.1% 97%  
376 0.4% 97%  
377 0.8% 97%  
378 0.9% 96%  
379 0.2% 95%  
380 0.5% 95%  
381 0.5% 95%  
382 0.3% 94%  
383 1.2% 94%  
384 0.3% 92%  
385 0.7% 92%  
386 0.6% 91%  
387 2% 91%  
388 2% 89%  
389 3% 87%  
390 2% 85%  
391 1.1% 83%  
392 0.9% 82%  
393 0.7% 81%  
394 0.4% 80%  
395 1.2% 80%  
396 4% 78%  
397 0.4% 74%  
398 0.5% 74%  
399 1.3% 73%  
400 2% 72%  
401 9% 70%  
402 1.1% 61%  
403 2% 60%  
404 2% 58%  
405 3% 56%  
406 0.4% 53%  
407 1.2% 53%  
408 2% 52%  
409 1.4% 50% Median
410 0.6% 48%  
411 0.9% 48%  
412 2% 47%  
413 2% 44%  
414 1.1% 42%  
415 0.6% 41%  
416 2% 41%  
417 5% 39%  
418 1.1% 34%  
419 1.0% 33%  
420 3% 32%  
421 4% 29%  
422 2% 24%  
423 2% 22%  
424 3% 21%  
425 0.3% 18%  
426 0.5% 18%  
427 1.1% 17%  
428 0.9% 16%  
429 0.4% 15%  
430 0.7% 15%  
431 0.8% 14%  
432 0.8% 13%  
433 0.5% 12%  
434 1.4% 12%  
435 0.4% 10%  
436 1.1% 10%  
437 0.8% 9%  
438 0.8% 8%  
439 0.6% 7%  
440 0.9% 7%  
441 0.5% 6%  
442 0.6% 5%  
443 0.2% 5%  
444 0.2% 4%  
445 0.5% 4%  
446 0.1% 4%  
447 0.4% 4%  
448 0.6% 3%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0% 2%  
458 0% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0% 1.5%  
462 0.2% 1.4%  
463 0.2% 1.3%  
464 0.2% 1.0%  
465 0.1% 0.9%  
466 0.2% 0.8%  
467 0% 0.6%  
468 0% 0.6%  
469 0.2% 0.5%  
470 0% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6%  
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.4%  
359 0.2% 99.3%  
360 0% 99.2%  
361 0.1% 99.2%  
362 0.2% 99.1%  
363 0.3% 98.9%  
364 0.1% 98.5%  
365 0.4% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.1% 98%  
369 0.2% 98%  
370 0.2% 97%  
371 0.4% 97%  
372 0.7% 97%  
373 0.9% 96%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.4% 95%  
376 0.5% 95%  
377 0.3% 94%  
378 1.2% 94%  
379 0.2% 92%  
380 0.7% 92%  
381 0.7% 92%  
382 2% 91%  
383 2% 89%  
384 3% 87%  
385 1.3% 84%  
386 1.2% 83%  
387 0.7% 82%  
388 0.8% 81%  
389 0.6% 80%  
390 1.1% 79%  
391 1.1% 78%  
392 3% 77%  
393 0.5% 74%  
394 1.4% 74%  
395 2% 72%  
396 9% 70%  
397 2% 61%  
398 1.3% 59%  
399 2% 58%  
400 3% 56%  
401 0.6% 53%  
402 1.4% 53%  
403 2% 51%  
404 1.5% 50% Median
405 0.6% 48%  
406 0.5% 47%  
407 1.4% 47%  
408 3% 46%  
409 1.0% 43%  
410 0.5% 42%  
411 2% 41%  
412 6% 39%  
413 1.1% 34%  
414 0.4% 33%  
415 3% 32%  
416 4% 29%  
417 2% 25%  
418 2% 23%  
419 2% 21%  
420 0.9% 18%  
421 0.5% 18%  
422 0.7% 17%  
423 1.3% 16%  
424 0.4% 15%  
425 0.6% 15%  
426 0.7% 14%  
427 1.1% 13%  
428 0.3% 12%  
429 1.4% 12%  
430 0.5% 11%  
431 1.0% 10%  
432 0.4% 9%  
433 1.3% 9%  
434 0.5% 7%  
435 0.8% 7%  
436 0.5% 6%  
437 0.7% 5%  
438 0.3% 5%  
439 0.2% 4%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.2% 4%  
442 0.4% 4%  
443 0.4% 3%  
444 0.2% 3%  
445 0.3% 3%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.1% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0% 2%  
451 0% 2%  
452 0% 2%  
453 0% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0% 1.5%  
457 0.2% 1.4%  
458 0.2% 1.3%  
459 0.2% 1.1%  
460 0.1% 0.9%  
461 0.2% 0.8%  
462 0% 0.6%  
463 0% 0.6%  
464 0.2% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.7%  
339 0% 99.7%  
340 0% 99.7%  
341 0% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.3% 99.4%  
345 0.2% 99.1%  
346 0.2% 98.9%  
347 0.1% 98.8%  
348 0.1% 98.6%  
349 0.2% 98%  
350 0% 98%  
351 0.5% 98%  
352 0.1% 98%  
353 0.6% 98%  
354 0.6% 97%  
355 0.3% 96%  
356 1.3% 96%  
357 0.1% 95%  
358 0.1% 95%  
359 0.8% 95%  
360 0.4% 94%  
361 0.1% 93%  
362 0.6% 93%  
363 1.2% 93%  
364 3% 92%  
365 2% 89%  
366 2% 87%  
367 1.2% 86%  
368 1.1% 85%  
369 2% 84%  
370 0.9% 81%  
371 5% 80%  
372 3% 75%  
373 4% 73%  
374 2% 68%  
375 1.0% 67%  
376 1.4% 66%  
377 2% 64%  
378 2% 62%  
379 3% 60%  
380 3% 57%  
381 0.9% 54%  
382 2% 53%  
383 0.9% 51%  
384 1.4% 50% Median
385 2% 49%  
386 2% 47%  
387 1.1% 45%  
388 3% 44%  
389 4% 41%  
390 1.1% 37%  
391 3% 36%  
392 4% 33%  
393 3% 29%  
394 2% 26%  
395 1.4% 24%  
396 2% 23%  
397 3% 21%  
398 1.4% 18%  
399 1.0% 17%  
400 3% 16%  
401 0.5% 13%  
402 1.2% 12%  
403 1.0% 11%  
404 0.4% 10%  
405 1.1% 10%  
406 1.0% 9%  
407 0.9% 8%  
408 0.8% 7%  
409 0.2% 6%  
410 0.7% 6%  
411 0.1% 5%  
412 0.3% 5%  
413 0.2% 5%  
414 1.2% 4%  
415 0.1% 3%  
416 0.4% 3%  
417 0.1% 3%  
418 0.1% 3%  
419 0.5% 2%  
420 0.1% 2%  
421 0.1% 2%  
422 0% 2%  
423 0% 2%  
424 0.2% 2%  
425 0.1% 1.4%  
426 0% 1.4%  
427 0% 1.3%  
428 0.1% 1.3%  
429 0.1% 1.1%  
430 0% 1.1%  
431 0.3% 1.0%  
432 0% 0.8%  
433 0.2% 0.7%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0.1% 99.9%  
332 0.1% 99.8%  
333 0% 99.7%  
334 0% 99.7%  
335 0% 99.7%  
336 0% 99.6%  
337 0.1% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.5%  
339 0.3% 99.4%  
340 0.2% 99.1%  
341 0.1% 98.9%  
342 0.2% 98.8%  
343 0.1% 98.6%  
344 0.1% 98%  
345 0.1% 98%  
346 0.5% 98%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 0.7% 98%  
349 0.5% 97%  
350 0.4% 96%  
351 1.3% 96%  
352 0.1% 95%  
353 0.1% 95%  
354 0.8% 95%  
355 0.3% 94%  
356 0.1% 93%  
357 0.7% 93%  
358 1.0% 93%  
359 3% 92%  
360 2% 89%  
361 2% 88%  
362 0.9% 86%  
363 1.3% 85%  
364 2% 84%  
365 1.1% 81%  
366 2% 80%  
367 5% 78%  
368 5% 73%  
369 2% 68%  
370 0.8% 66%  
371 1.4% 66%  
372 2% 64%  
373 3% 62%  
374 2% 60%  
375 3% 58%  
376 0.7% 54%  
377 2% 53%  
378 1.3% 52%  
379 1.4% 50% Median
380 2% 49%  
381 2% 47%  
382 1.1% 45%  
383 1.4% 44%  
384 5% 42%  
385 2% 38%  
386 2% 36%  
387 5% 34%  
388 2% 29%  
389 2% 27%  
390 1.3% 25%  
391 3% 24%  
392 2% 21%  
393 1.3% 18%  
394 1.0% 17%  
395 3% 16%  
396 0.6% 13%  
397 1.1% 12%  
398 0.4% 11%  
399 0.8% 11%  
400 1.3% 10%  
401 1.0% 9%  
402 0.9% 8%  
403 0.9% 7%  
404 0.2% 6%  
405 0.2% 6%  
406 0.7% 6%  
407 0.3% 5%  
408 0.2% 5%  
409 1.2% 4%  
410 0.1% 3%  
411 0.3% 3%  
412 0.3% 3%  
413 0.1% 3%  
414 0.5% 2%  
415 0.1% 2%  
416 0.1% 2%  
417 0.1% 2%  
418 0% 2%  
419 0.2% 2%  
420 0.1% 1.4%  
421 0.1% 1.4%  
422 0% 1.3%  
423 0.1% 1.3%  
424 0.1% 1.1%  
425 0% 1.1%  
426 0.3% 1.0%  
427 0% 0.8%  
428 0.2% 0.7%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0% 0.4%  
431 0.1% 0.4%  
432 0% 0.3%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0% 99.8%  
162 0% 99.8%  
163 0% 99.7%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0% 99.7%  
166 0.2% 99.7%  
167 0% 99.5%  
168 0% 99.4%  
169 0.2% 99.4%  
170 0.1% 99.2%  
171 0.2% 99.1%  
172 0.2% 98.9%  
173 0.2% 98.7%  
174 0% 98.6%  
175 0.1% 98.5%  
176 0.1% 98%  
177 0% 98%  
178 0% 98%  
179 0% 98%  
180 0% 98%  
181 0.1% 98%  
182 0.2% 98%  
183 0.1% 98%  
184 0.2% 98%  
185 0.3% 98%  
186 0.2% 97%  
187 0.4% 97%  
188 0.4% 97%  
189 0.2% 96%  
190 0.3% 96%  
191 0.2% 96%  
192 0.3% 96%  
193 0.7% 95%  
194 0.5% 95%  
195 0.8% 94%  
196 0.5% 93%  
197 1.3% 93%  
198 0.5% 91%  
199 0.9% 91%  
200 0.5% 90%  
201 1.4% 89%  
202 0.4% 88%  
203 1.0% 88%  
204 0.7% 87%  
205 0.6% 86%  
206 0.4% 85%  
207 1.2% 85%  
208 0.8% 84%  
209 0.5% 83%  
210 0.9% 82%  
211 2% 81%  
212 2% 79%  
213 2% 77%  
214 4% 75%  
215 3% 71%  
216 0.3% 68%  
217 1.1% 67%  
218 6% 66%  
219 2% 60%  
220 0.5% 59%  
221 1.0% 58%  
222 3% 57%  
223 1.4% 54%  
224 0.5% 53%  
225 0.6% 52%  
226 1.5% 52%  
227 2% 50%  
228 1.4% 49% Median
229 0.6% 47%  
230 3% 47%  
231 2% 44%  
232 1.3% 42%  
233 2% 41%  
234 9% 39%  
235 2% 30%  
236 1.5% 28%  
237 0.5% 26%  
238 3% 26%  
239 1.1% 23%  
240 1.0% 22%  
241 0.7% 21%  
242 0.8% 20%  
243 0.6% 19%  
244 1.2% 18%  
245 1.3% 17%  
246 3% 16%  
247 2% 13%  
248 2% 11%  
249 0.8% 9%  
250 0.7% 8%  
251 0.2% 8%  
252 1.2% 7%  
253 0.3% 6%  
254 0.5% 6%  
255 0.4% 5%  
256 0.3% 5%  
257 0.9% 5%  
258 0.7% 4%  
259 0.4% 3%  
260 0.2% 3%  
261 0.2% 3%  
262 0.2% 2%  
263 0.1% 2%  
264 0.2% 2%  
265 0.4% 2%  
266 0.1% 2%  
267 0.3% 1.5%  
268 0.2% 1.1%  
269 0% 0.9%  
270 0% 0.8%  
271 0.1% 0.8%  
272 0.1% 0.7%  
273 0.1% 0.6%  
274 0.1% 0.5%  
275 0.1% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.4%  
277 0% 0.3%  
278 0% 0.3%  
279 0.1% 0.2%  
280 0.1% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.8%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.7%  
159 0% 99.7%  
160 0% 99.7%  
161 0.2% 99.7%  
162 0% 99.5%  
163 0% 99.4%  
164 0.2% 99.4%  
165 0.1% 99.2%  
166 0.2% 99.1%  
167 0.2% 99.0%  
168 0.2% 98.7%  
169 0% 98.6%  
170 0.1% 98.5%  
171 0.1% 98%  
172 0% 98%  
173 0% 98%  
174 0.1% 98%  
175 0% 98%  
176 0.1% 98%  
177 0.2% 98%  
178 0.1% 98%  
179 0.2% 98%  
180 0.3% 98%  
181 0.1% 97%  
182 0.6% 97%  
183 0.4% 97%  
184 0.1% 96%  
185 0.5% 96%  
186 0.2% 96%  
187 0.2% 96%  
188 0.6% 95%  
189 0.5% 95%  
190 0.9% 94%  
191 0.6% 93%  
192 0.8% 93%  
193 0.9% 92%  
194 1.0% 91%  
195 0.4% 90%  
196 1.4% 90%  
197 0.5% 88%  
198 0.7% 88%  
199 0.8% 87%  
200 0.7% 86%  
201 0.4% 85%  
202 0.9% 85%  
203 1.1% 84%  
204 0.5% 83%  
205 0.4% 82%  
206 3% 82%  
207 2% 79%  
208 2% 78%  
209 4% 76%  
210 3% 71%  
211 1.0% 68%  
212 1.1% 67%  
213 5% 66%  
214 2% 61%  
215 0.5% 59%  
216 1.1% 59%  
217 2% 58%  
218 3% 56%  
219 0.9% 53%  
220 0.6% 52%  
221 1.4% 52%  
222 2% 50%  
223 1.2% 48% Median
224 0.5% 47%  
225 3% 47%  
226 2% 44%  
227 2% 42%  
228 1.2% 40%  
229 9% 39%  
230 2% 30%  
231 1.3% 28%  
232 0.5% 27%  
233 0.3% 26%  
234 4% 26%  
235 1.1% 22%  
236 0.5% 20%  
237 0.7% 20%  
238 0.8% 19%  
239 1.1% 18%  
240 2% 17%  
241 3% 15%  
242 2% 13%  
243 2% 11%  
244 0.6% 9%  
245 0.7% 9%  
246 0.3% 8%  
247 1.2% 7%  
248 0.3% 6%  
249 0.5% 6%  
250 0.5% 5%  
251 0.2% 5%  
252 0.8% 5%  
253 0.8% 4%  
254 0.4% 3%  
255 0.1% 3%  
256 0.2% 3%  
257 0.1% 2%  
258 0.1% 2%  
259 0.1% 2%  
260 0.4% 2%  
261 0.1% 2%  
262 0.4% 2%  
263 0.2% 1.1%  
264 0% 0.9%  
265 0% 0.9%  
266 0.2% 0.8%  
267 0.1% 0.7%  
268 0.1% 0.6%  
269 0.1% 0.5%  
270 0.1% 0.4%  
271 0.1% 0.4%  
272 0% 0.3%  
273 0% 0.3%  
274 0.1% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.6%  
143 0% 99.5%  
144 0.2% 99.4%  
145 0% 99.2%  
146 0% 99.2%  
147 0% 99.1%  
148 0% 99.1%  
149 0.2% 99.0%  
150 0% 98.9%  
151 0% 98.9%  
152 0% 98.9%  
153 0.2% 98.8%  
154 0% 98.6%  
155 0.1% 98.6%  
156 0.2% 98%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0% 98%  
159 0.3% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 1.0% 98%  
162 0.2% 97%  
163 0.2% 96%  
164 0.1% 96%  
165 0.7% 96%  
166 0.2% 95%  
167 0.9% 95%  
168 0.2% 94%  
169 0.5% 94%  
170 0.4% 94%  
171 0.6% 93%  
172 0.9% 93%  
173 0.6% 92%  
174 2% 91%  
175 1.0% 89%  
176 4% 88%  
177 1.5% 84%  
178 3% 83%  
179 2% 80%  
180 2% 78%  
181 2% 76%  
182 5% 75%  
183 3% 70%  
184 4% 66%  
185 1.0% 63%  
186 3% 62%  
187 2% 59%  
188 0.6% 57%  
189 3% 56%  
190 0.5% 54%  
191 1.2% 53%  
192 0.8% 52% Median
193 4% 51%  
194 1.4% 47%  
195 0.6% 46%  
196 5% 45%  
197 1.2% 40%  
198 3% 39%  
199 1.1% 36%  
200 2% 35%  
201 5% 33%  
202 1.1% 28%  
203 4% 27%  
204 1.2% 23%  
205 4% 22%  
206 0.6% 18%  
207 3% 18%  
208 2% 15%  
209 2% 13%  
210 3% 12%  
211 0.5% 9%  
212 0.7% 8%  
213 0.8% 7%  
214 0.2% 7%  
215 0.4% 6%  
216 0.2% 6%  
217 0.3% 6%  
218 1.2% 5%  
219 0.5% 4%  
220 0.6% 4%  
221 0.4% 3%  
222 0.5% 3%  
223 0.4% 2%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.1% 2%  
226 0.2% 2%  
227 0.3% 2%  
228 0.2% 1.2%  
229 0.1% 1.0%  
230 0.2% 0.9%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0% 0.6%  
233 0% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.7%  
113 0.2% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0.2% 99.4%  
117 0.2% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.1%  
119 0.1% 99.1%  
120 0.1% 99.0%  
121 0% 98.9%  
122 0.2% 98.9%  
123 0.1% 98.7%  
124 0.1% 98.6%  
125 0.1% 98.5%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.2% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0% 97%  
134 0.1% 97%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.4% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.2% 96%  
140 0.8% 96%  
141 1.0% 95%  
142 0.4% 94%  
143 1.0% 94%  
144 0.9% 93%  
145 2% 92%  
146 0.8% 90%  
147 0.9% 90%  
148 0.8% 89%  
149 0.8% 88%  
150 1.0% 87%  
151 0.6% 86%  
152 0.2% 86%  
153 0.7% 85%  
154 0.7% 85%  
155 0.4% 84%  
156 2% 84%  
157 4% 82%  
158 0.8% 77%  
159 2% 76%  
160 4% 74%  
161 3% 70%  
162 5% 67%  
163 2% 62%  
164 2% 61%  
165 0.9% 58%  
166 0.6% 57%  
167 0.5% 57%  
168 0.5% 56%  
169 1.0% 56%  
170 1.3% 55%  
171 1.4% 53%  
172 2% 52% Median
173 2% 50%  
174 1.0% 48%  
175 3% 47%  
176 2% 44%  
177 3% 42%  
178 5% 39%  
179 2% 34%  
180 4% 32%  
181 1.1% 28%  
182 0.9% 27%  
183 0.7% 26%  
184 3% 26%  
185 0.7% 22%  
186 0.8% 21%  
187 1.5% 21%  
188 3% 19%  
189 0.7% 17%  
190 3% 16%  
191 3% 13%  
192 2% 11%  
193 0.5% 9%  
194 0.1% 8%  
195 0.3% 8%  
196 1.2% 8%  
197 0.2% 7%  
198 0.2% 6%  
199 0.7% 6%  
200 1.0% 5%  
201 0.6% 4%  
202 0.3% 4%  
203 0.2% 4%  
204 0.3% 3%  
205 0.7% 3%  
206 0.2% 2%  
207 0.4% 2%  
208 0.1% 2%  
209 0.1% 2%  
210 0.4% 2%  
211 0.1% 1.2%  
212 0.1% 1.1%  
213 0% 1.0%  
214 0.1% 0.9%  
215 0.1% 0.8%  
216 0.2% 0.7%  
217 0% 0.6%  
218 0.1% 0.5%  
219 0.1% 0.4%  
220 0% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.2% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0.2% 99.4%  
112 0.2% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.1%  
114 0.1% 99.1%  
115 0.1% 99.0%  
116 0% 98.9%  
117 0.2% 98.9%  
118 0% 98.7%  
119 0.1% 98.6%  
120 0.1% 98.5%  
121 0% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.1% 97%  
129 0.1% 97%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.2% 97%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.2% 97%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.7% 96%  
136 1.1% 95%  
137 0.1% 94%  
138 1.3% 94%  
139 0.9% 93%  
140 2% 92%  
141 0.5% 90%  
142 0.9% 90%  
143 0.9% 89%  
144 0.6% 88%  
145 1.2% 88%  
146 0.8% 86%  
147 0.2% 86%  
148 0.6% 85%  
149 0.8% 85%  
150 0.6% 84%  
151 2% 83%  
152 5% 82%  
153 0.7% 77%  
154 1.3% 76%  
155 5% 75%  
156 2% 70%  
157 5% 68%  
158 2% 63%  
159 1.1% 61%  
160 2% 60%  
161 0.6% 58%  
162 0.8% 57%  
163 0.5% 56%  
164 1.0% 56%  
165 1.4% 55%  
166 1.3% 53%  
167 2% 52% Median
168 2% 50%  
169 1.3% 48%  
170 3% 47%  
171 2% 44%  
172 3% 43%  
173 5% 39%  
174 2% 35%  
175 4% 32%  
176 1.1% 28%  
177 1.1% 27%  
178 0.7% 26%  
179 0.3% 25%  
180 4% 25%  
181 0.7% 21%  
182 1.5% 21%  
183 3% 19%  
184 1.1% 17%  
185 2% 15%  
186 3% 13%  
187 2% 11%  
188 0.6% 9%  
189 0.2% 8%  
190 0.4% 8%  
191 1.2% 8%  
192 0.2% 7%  
193 0.2% 6%  
194 0.7% 6%  
195 1.1% 5%  
196 0.5% 4%  
197 0.2% 4%  
198 0.2% 4%  
199 0.5% 3%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.1% 2%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.1% 2%  
204 0.1% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.1% 1.2%  
207 0.1% 1.1%  
208 0.1% 1.0%  
209 0.1% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.8%  
211 0.2% 0.7%  
212 0% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0% 0.4%  
215 0% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations