Opinion Poll by Techne UK, 5–6 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.6% 47.0–50.2% 46.6–50.7% 46.2–51.1% 45.4–51.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.3% 24.9–27.8% 24.6–28.2% 24.2–28.5% 23.6–29.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.2% 9.2–11.2% 9.0–11.5% 8.8–11.7% 8.4–12.2%
Green Party 2.8% 4.8% 4.1–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 398 378–416 373–424 368–431 362–445
Conservative Party 365 155 135–176 128–181 119–185 104–193
Liberal Democrats 11 24 19–35 18–37 17–38 15–42
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 47 39–55 36–57 34–57 29–58

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0.3% 99.4%  
364 0.4% 99.2%  
365 0.3% 98.8%  
366 0.3% 98.5%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.4% 97%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.5% 97%  
372 0.5% 96%  
373 0.7% 96%  
374 0.9% 95%  
375 1.1% 94%  
376 0.9% 93%  
377 1.5% 92%  
378 1.3% 90%  
379 1.0% 89%  
380 1.5% 88%  
381 1.4% 87%  
382 1.1% 85%  
383 0.9% 84%  
384 1.3% 83%  
385 1.5% 82%  
386 1.1% 81%  
387 2% 79%  
388 2% 78%  
389 2% 76%  
390 2% 74%  
391 2% 72%  
392 3% 70%  
393 2% 67%  
394 4% 65%  
395 3% 61%  
396 5% 58%  
397 3% 53%  
398 3% 50% Median
399 4% 48%  
400 2% 44%  
401 2% 42%  
402 2% 40%  
403 2% 38%  
404 3% 36%  
405 3% 33%  
406 3% 29%  
407 2% 26%  
408 2% 24%  
409 3% 21%  
410 2% 19%  
411 2% 17%  
412 1.0% 15%  
413 2% 14%  
414 0.9% 12%  
415 1.0% 12%  
416 0.7% 11%  
417 0.9% 10%  
418 0.7% 9%  
419 0.7% 8%  
420 0.8% 8%  
421 0.6% 7%  
422 0.5% 6%  
423 0.5% 6%  
424 0.7% 5%  
425 0.3% 4%  
426 0.4% 4%  
427 0.4% 4%  
428 0.2% 3%  
429 0.3% 3%  
430 0.2% 3%  
431 0.2% 3%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.1% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.5%  
438 0.1% 1.3%  
439 0.1% 1.2%  
440 0.1% 1.1%  
441 0.1% 0.9%  
442 0.1% 0.8%  
443 0.1% 0.7%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.5%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0.1% 0.4%  
449 0.1% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.6%  
104 0.1% 99.5%  
105 0.1% 99.5%  
106 0.1% 99.4%  
107 0.1% 99.3%  
108 0.1% 99.2%  
109 0.1% 99.1%  
110 0.2% 99.0%  
111 0.1% 98.8%  
112 0.1% 98.7%  
113 0.2% 98.6%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.1% 98%  
116 0.2% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.2% 97%  
121 0.3% 97%  
122 0.2% 97%  
123 0.3% 97%  
124 0.3% 97%  
125 0.4% 96%  
126 0.4% 96%  
127 0.3% 95%  
128 0.5% 95%  
129 0.5% 95%  
130 0.6% 94%  
131 0.6% 93%  
132 0.5% 93%  
133 0.8% 92%  
134 0.9% 92%  
135 0.9% 91%  
136 0.9% 90%  
137 0.9% 89%  
138 0.9% 88%  
139 1.2% 87%  
140 1.3% 86%  
141 1.5% 85%  
142 2% 83%  
143 2% 81%  
144 2% 80%  
145 2% 77%  
146 2% 75%  
147 2% 73%  
148 2% 71%  
149 3% 69%  
150 3% 67%  
151 3% 64%  
152 3% 61%  
153 3% 59%  
154 4% 56%  
155 3% 51% Median
156 3% 48%  
157 2% 45%  
158 3% 43%  
159 2% 40%  
160 3% 38%  
161 2% 35%  
162 2% 33%  
163 2% 30%  
164 2% 28%  
165 2% 26%  
166 2% 24%  
167 2% 22%  
168 0.9% 20%  
169 2% 19%  
170 1.2% 17%  
171 1.0% 16%  
172 0.9% 15%  
173 2% 14%  
174 1.0% 13%  
175 1.1% 12%  
176 1.0% 11%  
177 1.2% 10%  
178 0.8% 8%  
179 1.0% 8%  
180 0.8% 7%  
181 1.0% 6%  
182 0.6% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.2%  
190 0.2% 1.0%  
191 0.2% 0.8%  
192 0.1% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 0.7% 99.6%  
16 0.5% 98.9%  
17 2% 98%  
18 4% 96%  
19 4% 92%  
20 6% 88%  
21 8% 82%  
22 9% 75%  
23 9% 65%  
24 7% 56% Median
25 5% 49%  
26 5% 44%  
27 5% 39%  
28 5% 34%  
29 4% 28%  
30 3% 24%  
31 3% 21%  
32 3% 19%  
33 3% 16%  
34 3% 13%  
35 3% 10%  
36 2% 8%  
37 2% 6%  
38 1.5% 4%  
39 0.8% 2%  
40 0.7% 2%  
41 0.3% 0.9%  
42 0.2% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.9% 1.2%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.1% 99.8%  
27 0.1% 99.7%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.1% 99.6%  
30 0.2% 99.5%  
31 0.1% 99.3%  
32 0.4% 99.2%  
33 0.1% 98.8%  
34 2% 98.7%  
35 0.3% 96%  
36 2% 96%  
37 0.6% 94%  
38 3% 93%  
39 2% 90%  
40 3% 88%  
41 4% 85%  
42 3% 81%  
43 6% 78%  
44 10% 72%  
45 4% 62%  
46 6% 58%  
47 4% 52% Median
48 4% 48% Last Result
49 3% 44%  
50 3% 41%  
51 5% 38%  
52 6% 33%  
53 7% 27%  
54 6% 20%  
55 5% 14%  
56 3% 8%  
57 4% 5%  
58 0.9% 0.9%  
59 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 471 100% 450–491 445–498 441–507 433–522
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 445 100% 427–461 423–468 419–477 412–489
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 423 100% 401–446 395–454 390–463 381–478
Labour Party 202 398 100% 378–416 373–424 368–431 362–445
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 203 0% 180–225 172–231 162–236 147–245
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 181 0% 165–199 158–203 149–207 137–214
Conservative Party 365 155 0% 135–176 128–181 119–185 104–193

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.1% 99.5%  
435 0.2% 99.4%  
436 0.2% 99.2%  
437 0.2% 99.0%  
438 0.3% 98.8%  
439 0.4% 98%  
440 0.4% 98%  
441 0.6% 98%  
442 0.5% 97%  
443 0.7% 96%  
444 0.6% 96%  
445 1.0% 95%  
446 0.8% 94%  
447 1.0% 93%  
448 0.8% 92%  
449 1.2% 92%  
450 1.0% 90%  
451 1.1% 89%  
452 1.0% 88%  
453 2% 87%  
454 0.9% 86%  
455 1.0% 85%  
456 1.2% 84%  
457 2% 83%  
458 0.9% 81%  
459 2% 80%  
460 2% 78%  
461 2% 76%  
462 2% 74%  
463 2% 72%  
464 2% 70%  
465 2% 67%  
466 3% 65%  
467 2% 62%  
468 3% 60%  
469 2% 57% Median
470 3% 55%  
471 3% 52%  
472 4% 49%  
473 3% 44%  
474 3% 41%  
475 3% 39%  
476 3% 36%  
477 3% 33%  
478 2% 31%  
479 2% 29%  
480 2% 27%  
481 2% 25%  
482 2% 23%  
483 2% 20%  
484 2% 18%  
485 1.5% 17%  
486 1.3% 15%  
487 1.2% 14%  
488 0.9% 13%  
489 1.0% 12%  
490 0.9% 11%  
491 0.9% 10%  
492 0.9% 9%  
493 0.8% 8%  
494 0.5% 8%  
495 0.6% 7%  
496 0.6% 7%  
497 0.5% 6%  
498 0.5% 5%  
499 0.3% 5%  
500 0.4% 5%  
501 0.4% 4%  
502 0.3% 4%  
503 0.3% 3%  
504 0.2% 3%  
505 0.3% 3%  
506 0.2% 3%  
507 0.1% 3%  
508 0.2% 2%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.1% 2%  
512 0.2% 2%  
513 0.2% 2%  
514 0.1% 1.4%  
515 0.1% 1.3%  
516 0.2% 1.2%  
517 0.1% 1.0%  
518 0.1% 0.9%  
519 0.1% 0.8%  
520 0.1% 0.7%  
521 0.1% 0.6%  
522 0.1% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0.1% 0.4%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.1% 99.5%  
414 0.2% 99.4%  
415 0.2% 99.2%  
416 0.3% 99.0%  
417 0.5% 98.7%  
418 0.7% 98%  
419 0.5% 98%  
420 0.5% 97%  
421 0.9% 97%  
422 0.7% 96%  
423 1.2% 95%  
424 1.0% 94%  
425 0.9% 93%  
426 1.0% 92%  
427 2% 91%  
428 0.8% 89%  
429 1.4% 88%  
430 2% 87%  
431 1.0% 85%  
432 0.8% 84%  
433 1.5% 83%  
434 2% 82%  
435 2% 80%  
436 1.4% 78%  
437 1.4% 77%  
438 2% 75%  
439 3% 73%  
440 3% 70%  
441 2% 67%  
442 5% 65%  
443 2% 60%  
444 3% 58%  
445 5% 55% Median
446 3% 50%  
447 4% 47%  
448 4% 43%  
449 5% 39%  
450 5% 34%  
451 2% 30%  
452 3% 28%  
453 2% 25%  
454 3% 23%  
455 2% 20%  
456 2% 18%  
457 1.4% 16%  
458 2% 15%  
459 1.3% 13%  
460 1.0% 12%  
461 0.9% 11%  
462 0.5% 10%  
463 0.8% 9%  
464 1.3% 9%  
465 1.0% 7%  
466 0.6% 6%  
467 0.3% 6%  
468 0.8% 5%  
469 0.5% 4%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.3% 4%  
472 0% 3%  
473 0.2% 3%  
474 0.2% 3%  
475 0.1% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.1% 3%  
478 0.4% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.2% 1.4%  
484 0.2% 1.1%  
485 0.1% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.1% 99.3%  
384 0.2% 99.2%  
385 0.2% 99.0%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.3% 98.6%  
388 0.3% 98%  
389 0.4% 98%  
390 0.5% 98%  
391 0.5% 97%  
392 0.6% 97%  
393 0.4% 96%  
394 0.4% 95%  
395 0.9% 95%  
396 0.6% 94%  
397 0.9% 94%  
398 0.6% 93%  
399 0.9% 92%  
400 1.1% 91%  
401 0.8% 90%  
402 0.9% 89%  
403 1.0% 88%  
404 1.1% 87%  
405 1.3% 86%  
406 1.5% 85%  
407 1.1% 83%  
408 2% 82%  
409 2% 81%  
410 1.4% 79%  
411 1.1% 78%  
412 2% 77%  
413 2% 74%  
414 2% 72%  
415 2% 70%  
416 2% 68%  
417 2% 66%  
418 2% 64%  
419 2% 62%  
420 2% 60%  
421 2% 57%  
422 3% 55% Median
423 2% 52%  
424 2% 50%  
425 2% 48%  
426 2% 45%  
427 3% 43%  
428 3% 40%  
429 3% 38%  
430 2% 35%  
431 2% 33%  
432 2% 31%  
433 1.4% 29%  
434 1.4% 27%  
435 2% 26%  
436 2% 24%  
437 1.2% 22%  
438 1.3% 20%  
439 2% 19%  
440 1.3% 17%  
441 1.0% 16%  
442 1.1% 15%  
443 0.9% 14%  
444 1.1% 13%  
445 1.1% 12%  
446 0.8% 11%  
447 0.7% 10%  
448 0.7% 9%  
449 0.7% 8%  
450 0.8% 8%  
451 0.5% 7%  
452 0.6% 6%  
453 0.7% 6%  
454 0.5% 5%  
455 0.3% 5%  
456 0.3% 4%  
457 0.3% 4%  
458 0.3% 4%  
459 0.2% 4%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.2% 3%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 0.1% 3%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.3% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.2% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.2% 1.4%  
471 0.1% 1.2%  
472 0.1% 1.1%  
473 0.1% 1.0%  
474 0.1% 0.9%  
475 0.1% 0.8%  
476 0.1% 0.7%  
477 0.1% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.6%  
479 0% 0.5%  
480 0% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.4%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.5%  
363 0.3% 99.4%  
364 0.4% 99.2%  
365 0.3% 98.8%  
366 0.3% 98.5%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.4% 97%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.5% 97%  
372 0.5% 96%  
373 0.7% 96%  
374 0.9% 95%  
375 1.1% 94%  
376 0.9% 93%  
377 1.5% 92%  
378 1.3% 90%  
379 1.0% 89%  
380 1.5% 88%  
381 1.4% 87%  
382 1.1% 85%  
383 0.9% 84%  
384 1.3% 83%  
385 1.5% 82%  
386 1.1% 81%  
387 2% 79%  
388 2% 78%  
389 2% 76%  
390 2% 74%  
391 2% 72%  
392 3% 70%  
393 2% 67%  
394 4% 65%  
395 3% 61%  
396 5% 58%  
397 3% 53%  
398 3% 50% Median
399 4% 48%  
400 2% 44%  
401 2% 42%  
402 2% 40%  
403 2% 38%  
404 3% 36%  
405 3% 33%  
406 3% 29%  
407 2% 26%  
408 2% 24%  
409 3% 21%  
410 2% 19%  
411 2% 17%  
412 1.0% 15%  
413 2% 14%  
414 0.9% 12%  
415 1.0% 12%  
416 0.7% 11%  
417 0.9% 10%  
418 0.7% 9%  
419 0.7% 8%  
420 0.8% 8%  
421 0.6% 7%  
422 0.5% 6%  
423 0.5% 6%  
424 0.7% 5%  
425 0.3% 4%  
426 0.4% 4%  
427 0.4% 4%  
428 0.2% 3%  
429 0.3% 3%  
430 0.2% 3%  
431 0.2% 3%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.1% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.1% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.5%  
438 0.1% 1.3%  
439 0.1% 1.2%  
440 0.1% 1.1%  
441 0.1% 0.9%  
442 0.1% 0.8%  
443 0.1% 0.7%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0.1% 0.5%  
447 0.1% 0.4%  
448 0.1% 0.4%  
449 0.1% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0.1% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.5%  
148 0.1% 99.5%  
149 0.1% 99.4%  
150 0.1% 99.3%  
151 0.1% 99.3%  
152 0.1% 99.2%  
153 0.1% 99.1%  
154 0.1% 98.9%  
155 0.1% 98.9%  
156 0.2% 98.7%  
157 0.1% 98.6%  
158 0.2% 98%  
159 0.1% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 0.2% 98%  
162 0.2% 98%  
163 0.1% 97%  
164 0.2% 97%  
165 0.2% 97%  
166 0.3% 97%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 0.3% 96%  
169 0.3% 96%  
170 0.3% 96%  
171 0.3% 96%  
172 0.5% 95%  
173 0.7% 95%  
174 0.6% 94%  
175 0.5% 94%  
176 0.8% 93%  
177 0.7% 92%  
178 0.7% 92%  
179 0.7% 91%  
180 0.8% 90%  
181 1.1% 89%  
182 1.1% 88%  
183 0.9% 87%  
184 1.1% 86%  
185 1.0% 85%  
186 1.3% 84%  
187 2% 83%  
188 1.3% 81%  
189 1.2% 80%  
190 2% 78%  
191 2% 76%  
192 1.4% 74%  
193 1.4% 73%  
194 2% 71%  
195 2% 69%  
196 2% 67%  
197 3% 65%  
198 3% 62%  
199 3% 60%  
200 2% 57%  
201 2% 55%  
202 2% 52% Median
203 2% 50%  
204 3% 48%  
205 2% 45%  
206 2% 43%  
207 2% 40%  
208 2% 38%  
209 2% 36%  
210 2% 34%  
211 2% 32%  
212 2% 30%  
213 2% 28%  
214 2% 25%  
215 1.1% 23%  
216 1.4% 22%  
217 2% 21%  
218 2% 19%  
219 1.1% 18%  
220 1.5% 17%  
221 1.3% 15%  
222 1.1% 14%  
223 1.0% 13%  
224 0.9% 12%  
225 0.8% 11%  
226 1.1% 10%  
227 0.9% 9%  
228 0.6% 8%  
229 0.9% 7%  
230 0.6% 6%  
231 0.9% 6%  
232 0.4% 5%  
233 0.4% 5%  
234 0.6% 4%  
235 0.5% 3%  
236 0.5% 3%  
237 0.4% 2%  
238 0.3% 2%  
239 0.3% 2%  
240 0.2% 1.4%  
241 0.2% 1.2%  
242 0.2% 1.0%  
243 0.1% 0.8%  
244 0.1% 0.7%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.5%  
247 0.1% 0.4%  
248 0.1% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.1% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 99.6%  
137 0.1% 99.5%  
138 0.1% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.4%  
140 0.1% 99.2%  
141 0.1% 99.1%  
142 0.2% 99.0%  
143 0.2% 98.8%  
144 0.3% 98.6%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.3% 98%  
149 0.1% 98%  
150 0.2% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.2% 97%  
153 0.2% 97%  
154 0% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.4% 96%  
157 0.5% 96%  
158 0.8% 96%  
159 0.4% 95%  
160 0.6% 94%  
161 1.0% 94%  
162 1.3% 93%  
163 0.8% 91%  
164 0.5% 91%  
165 0.9% 90%  
166 1.0% 89%  
167 1.3% 88%  
168 2% 87%  
169 1.4% 85%  
170 2% 84%  
171 2% 82%  
172 3% 80%  
173 2% 77%  
174 3% 75%  
175 2% 72%  
176 5% 70%  
177 5% 66%  
178 4% 61%  
179 4% 57% Median
180 3% 53%  
181 5% 50%  
182 3% 45%  
183 2% 42%  
184 5% 39%  
185 2% 35%  
186 3% 33%  
187 3% 29%  
188 2% 27%  
189 1.4% 25%  
190 1.4% 23%  
191 2% 22%  
192 2% 20%  
193 1.5% 18%  
194 0.8% 17%  
195 1.0% 16%  
196 2% 15%  
197 1.4% 13%  
198 0.8% 12%  
199 2% 11%  
200 1.0% 9%  
201 0.9% 8%  
202 1.0% 7%  
203 1.2% 6%  
204 0.7% 5%  
205 0.9% 4%  
206 0.5% 3%  
207 0.5% 3%  
208 0.7% 2%  
209 0.5% 2%  
210 0.3% 1.3%  
211 0.2% 1.0%  
212 0.2% 0.8%  
213 0.1% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0% 0.4%  
216 0% 0.4%  
217 0.1% 0.3%  
218 0.1% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.6%  
104 0.1% 99.5%  
105 0.1% 99.5%  
106 0.1% 99.4%  
107 0.1% 99.3%  
108 0.1% 99.2%  
109 0.1% 99.1%  
110 0.2% 99.0%  
111 0.1% 98.8%  
112 0.1% 98.7%  
113 0.2% 98.6%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.1% 98%  
116 0.2% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.2% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.2% 97%  
121 0.3% 97%  
122 0.2% 97%  
123 0.3% 97%  
124 0.3% 97%  
125 0.4% 96%  
126 0.4% 96%  
127 0.3% 95%  
128 0.5% 95%  
129 0.5% 95%  
130 0.6% 94%  
131 0.6% 93%  
132 0.5% 93%  
133 0.8% 92%  
134 0.9% 92%  
135 0.9% 91%  
136 0.9% 90%  
137 0.9% 89%  
138 0.9% 88%  
139 1.2% 87%  
140 1.3% 86%  
141 1.5% 85%  
142 2% 83%  
143 2% 81%  
144 2% 80%  
145 2% 77%  
146 2% 75%  
147 2% 73%  
148 2% 71%  
149 3% 69%  
150 3% 67%  
151 3% 64%  
152 3% 61%  
153 3% 59%  
154 4% 56%  
155 3% 51% Median
156 3% 48%  
157 2% 45%  
158 3% 43%  
159 2% 40%  
160 3% 38%  
161 2% 35%  
162 2% 33%  
163 2% 30%  
164 2% 28%  
165 2% 26%  
166 2% 24%  
167 2% 22%  
168 0.9% 20%  
169 2% 19%  
170 1.2% 17%  
171 1.0% 16%  
172 0.9% 15%  
173 2% 14%  
174 1.0% 13%  
175 1.1% 12%  
176 1.0% 11%  
177 1.2% 10%  
178 0.8% 8%  
179 1.0% 8%  
180 0.8% 7%  
181 1.0% 6%  
182 0.6% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.6% 3%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.2%  
190 0.2% 1.0%  
191 0.2% 0.8%  
192 0.1% 0.6%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.3%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations