Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 6–7 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 53.9% 51.8–55.9% 51.3–56.5% 50.8–57.0% 49.8–57.9%
Conservative Party 43.6% 27.5% 25.7–29.4% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.4% 24.0–31.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7% 2.8–6.2%
Green Party 2.8% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Brexit Party 2.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 409 391–444 384–453 377–461 370–477
Conservative Party 365 154 114–173 104–178 97–185 81–195
Liberal Democrats 11 20 14–27 10–33 7–33 6–39
Scottish National Party 48 46 36–55 34–56 32–57 22–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.3% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.3% 99.1%  
373 0.1% 98.9%  
374 0.7% 98.7%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.1% 98%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0% 97%  
380 0.1% 97%  
381 2% 97%  
382 0.1% 95%  
383 0.2% 95%  
384 0.2% 95%  
385 0.1% 95%  
386 0.3% 95%  
387 0.2% 95%  
388 1.3% 94%  
389 3% 93%  
390 0.3% 90%  
391 1.4% 90%  
392 0.7% 89%  
393 2% 88%  
394 0.5% 86%  
395 3% 86%  
396 0.3% 83%  
397 2% 83%  
398 1.1% 80%  
399 3% 79%  
400 0.6% 76%  
401 3% 76%  
402 7% 73%  
403 1.0% 66%  
404 8% 65%  
405 1.3% 57%  
406 1.2% 56%  
407 2% 55%  
408 1.3% 53%  
409 3% 52% Median
410 2% 49%  
411 0.8% 47%  
412 3% 46%  
413 0.9% 43%  
414 0.6% 42%  
415 0.2% 41%  
416 0.5% 41%  
417 8% 40%  
418 0.6% 33%  
419 1.4% 32%  
420 0.6% 31%  
421 2% 30%  
422 0.3% 28%  
423 0.3% 27%  
424 2% 27%  
425 1.0% 25%  
426 0.6% 24%  
427 2% 24%  
428 0.7% 22%  
429 2% 21%  
430 1.4% 20%  
431 0.4% 18%  
432 0.3% 18%  
433 0.8% 18%  
434 0.3% 17%  
435 0.8% 17%  
436 0.1% 16%  
437 2% 16%  
438 0.6% 13%  
439 1.2% 13%  
440 0.2% 12%  
441 0.1% 11%  
442 0.2% 11%  
443 0.3% 11%  
444 0.9% 11%  
445 0.4% 10%  
446 0.2% 9%  
447 0.5% 9%  
448 0.4% 9%  
449 1.4% 8%  
450 0.1% 7%  
451 0.7% 7%  
452 0.5% 6%  
453 1.4% 6%  
454 0.1% 4%  
455 0.1% 4%  
456 0.7% 4%  
457 0.1% 4%  
458 0.1% 4%  
459 0.4% 3%  
460 0% 3%  
461 1.0% 3%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.1% 1.4%  
467 0.1% 1.3%  
468 0.1% 1.2%  
469 0% 1.1%  
470 0.1% 1.0%  
471 0% 1.0%  
472 0.1% 0.9%  
473 0% 0.9%  
474 0.2% 0.8%  
475 0% 0.7%  
476 0% 0.7%  
477 0.3% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0% 99.4%  
83 0% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.4% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.8%  
90 0% 98.7%  
91 0% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.6%  
93 0.3% 98.6%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.1% 98%  
97 1.0% 98%  
98 0.1% 97%  
99 0.2% 97%  
100 0% 97%  
101 0.3% 97%  
102 0.1% 96%  
103 0.1% 96%  
104 2% 96%  
105 0.2% 94%  
106 0.4% 94%  
107 0.3% 94%  
108 0.4% 93%  
109 0.1% 93%  
110 0.1% 93%  
111 0.3% 93%  
112 0.5% 93%  
113 2% 92%  
114 2% 90%  
115 0.4% 88%  
116 0.3% 88%  
117 0.2% 88%  
118 0.7% 87%  
119 0.4% 87%  
120 0.8% 86%  
121 0.4% 86%  
122 0.1% 85%  
123 0.5% 85%  
124 0.6% 85%  
125 0.4% 84%  
126 0.2% 84%  
127 0.3% 83%  
128 0.3% 83%  
129 1.2% 83%  
130 0.5% 82%  
131 0.1% 81%  
132 0.6% 81%  
133 0.6% 80%  
134 0.3% 80%  
135 1.4% 79%  
136 3% 78%  
137 0.5% 76%  
138 0.5% 75%  
139 1.3% 74%  
140 0.6% 73%  
141 7% 73%  
142 1.1% 66%  
143 1.1% 65%  
144 0.2% 64%  
145 1.2% 63%  
146 0.8% 62%  
147 5% 62%  
148 0.6% 57%  
149 2% 56%  
150 0.6% 55%  
151 2% 54%  
152 0.4% 52%  
153 0.9% 52%  
154 10% 51% Median
155 3% 41%  
156 8% 38%  
157 0.3% 29%  
158 2% 29%  
159 2% 27%  
160 2% 25%  
161 2% 24%  
162 0.4% 21%  
163 0.5% 21%  
164 0.5% 21%  
165 3% 20%  
166 0.4% 17%  
167 0.2% 17%  
168 0.2% 17%  
169 0.8% 16%  
170 3% 16%  
171 2% 12%  
172 0.6% 11%  
173 3% 10%  
174 0.3% 7%  
175 0.4% 7%  
176 0.2% 6%  
177 1.1% 6%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 0.1% 4%  
180 0.5% 4%  
181 0.7% 4%  
182 0.1% 3%  
183 0.2% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.2% 3%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0% 2%  
189 0.1% 2%  
190 0.1% 1.5%  
191 0.3% 1.4%  
192 0.3% 1.1%  
193 0% 0.8%  
194 0% 0.8%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 2% 99.5%  
8 0.1% 97%  
9 0.1% 97%  
10 4% 97%  
11 0.3% 93% Last Result
12 0.4% 92%  
13 0% 92%  
14 8% 92%  
15 4% 84%  
16 4% 80%  
17 4% 76%  
18 18% 72%  
19 3% 54%  
20 9% 51% Median
21 7% 42%  
22 5% 35%  
23 9% 30%  
24 1.5% 22%  
25 4% 20%  
26 4% 16%  
27 3% 12%  
28 0.1% 9%  
29 0.7% 9%  
30 1.4% 8%  
31 0.9% 7%  
32 0.9% 6%  
33 3% 5%  
34 0.4% 2%  
35 0.3% 2%  
36 0.2% 2%  
37 0.7% 2%  
38 0.3% 0.9%  
39 0.2% 0.6%  
40 0% 0.3%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.2% 99.8%  
22 0.2% 99.6%  
23 0.2% 99.4%  
24 0.2% 99.2%  
25 0.2% 99.1%  
26 0.3% 98.9%  
27 0.4% 98.6%  
28 0.1% 98%  
29 0.3% 98%  
30 0.2% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 1.1% 98%  
33 0% 96%  
34 4% 96%  
35 0.1% 92%  
36 3% 92%  
37 3% 89%  
38 1.0% 86%  
39 4% 84%  
40 0.9% 81%  
41 2% 80%  
42 1.4% 78%  
43 3% 77%  
44 5% 73%  
45 12% 68%  
46 11% 57% Median
47 2% 45%  
48 11% 43% Last Result
49 0.8% 32%  
50 2% 32%  
51 0.9% 30%  
52 3% 29%  
53 7% 26%  
54 8% 20%  
55 4% 12%  
56 3% 7%  
57 3% 4%  
58 1.1% 1.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 99.9% 99.9% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 23% 84%  
2 18% 61% Median
3 32% 43%  
4 8% 11% Last Result
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 476 100% 457–516 452–526 445–533 435–549
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 475 100% 456–515 451–525 444–532 434–548
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 474 100% 455–515 449–523 442–530 431–546
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 457 100% 442–491 434–500 429–502 421–522
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 456 100% 440–489 433–497 427–501 418–520
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 430 100% 411–471 401–481 395–492 381–504
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 428 100% 408–469 399–479 392–491 380–502
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 411 100% 393–446 387–455 380–463 370–478
Labour Party 202 409 100% 391–444 384–453 377–461 370–477
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 201 0% 160–221 150–230 138–237 127–249
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 199 0% 158–218 148–228 137–234 125–248
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 172 0% 138–187 129–195 127–200 107–208
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 155 0% 114–174 106–180 99–187 83–198
Conservative Party 365 154 0% 114–173 104–178 97–185 81–195

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.2% 99.5%  
436 0% 99.3%  
437 0% 99.2%  
438 0.3% 99.2%  
439 0.3% 98.9%  
440 0.1% 98.6%  
441 0.1% 98.5%  
442 0% 98%  
443 0.4% 98%  
444 0.3% 98%  
445 0.2% 98%  
446 0.2% 97%  
447 0.2% 97%  
448 0.1% 97%  
449 0.7% 97%  
450 0.5% 96%  
451 0.1% 96%  
452 0.8% 96%  
453 1.1% 95%  
454 0.2% 94%  
455 0.4% 94%  
456 0.3% 93%  
457 3% 93%  
458 0.6% 90%  
459 2% 89%  
460 3% 88%  
461 0.8% 84%  
462 0.2% 84%  
463 0.2% 83%  
464 0.4% 83%  
465 3% 83%  
466 0.5% 80%  
467 0.5% 79%  
468 0.4% 79%  
469 2% 79%  
470 2% 76%  
471 2% 75%  
472 2% 73%  
473 0.3% 71%  
474 8% 71%  
475 3% 62%  
476 10% 59%  
477 0.9% 49%  
478 0.4% 48% Median
479 2% 48%  
480 0.6% 46%  
481 2% 45%  
482 0.6% 44%  
483 5% 43%  
484 0.8% 38%  
485 1.2% 38%  
486 0.2% 37%  
487 1.1% 36%  
488 1.1% 35%  
489 7% 34%  
490 0.6% 27%  
491 1.3% 27%  
492 0.5% 26%  
493 0.5% 25%  
494 3% 24%  
495 1.4% 22%  
496 0.3% 21%  
497 0.6% 20%  
498 0.6% 20%  
499 0.1% 19%  
500 0.5% 19%  
501 1.2% 18%  
502 0.3% 17%  
503 0.3% 17%  
504 0.2% 17%  
505 0.4% 16%  
506 0.6% 16%  
507 0.5% 15%  
508 0.1% 15%  
509 0.4% 15%  
510 0.8% 14%  
511 0.4% 14%  
512 0.7% 13%  
513 0.2% 13%  
514 0.3% 12%  
515 0.4% 12%  
516 2% 12%  
517 2% 10%  
518 0.5% 8%  
519 0.3% 7%  
520 0.1% 7%  
521 0.1% 7%  
522 0.4% 7%  
523 0.3% 7%  
524 0.4% 6%  
525 0.2% 6%  
526 2% 6%  
527 0.1% 4%  
528 0.1% 4%  
529 0.3% 4%  
530 0% 3%  
531 0.2% 3%  
532 0.1% 3%  
533 1.0% 3%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.3% 2%  
538 0.1% 1.4%  
539 0% 1.4%  
540 0% 1.3%  
541 0.1% 1.3%  
542 0.4% 1.2%  
543 0.1% 0.9%  
544 0% 0.8%  
545 0% 0.7%  
546 0% 0.7%  
547 0% 0.6%  
548 0% 0.6%  
549 0.2% 0.6%  
550 0.3% 0.4%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.2% 99.5%  
435 0% 99.3%  
436 0% 99.2%  
437 0.3% 99.2%  
438 0.3% 98.9%  
439 0.1% 98.6%  
440 0.1% 98.5%  
441 0% 98%  
442 0.4% 98%  
443 0.3% 98%  
444 0.2% 98%  
445 0.2% 97%  
446 0.2% 97%  
447 0.1% 97%  
448 0.7% 97%  
449 0.5% 96%  
450 0.1% 96%  
451 0.8% 96%  
452 1.1% 95%  
453 0.2% 94%  
454 0.4% 94%  
455 0.3% 93%  
456 3% 93%  
457 0.6% 90%  
458 2% 89%  
459 3% 88%  
460 0.8% 84%  
461 0.2% 84%  
462 0.2% 83%  
463 0.4% 83%  
464 3% 83%  
465 0.5% 80%  
466 0.5% 79%  
467 0.4% 79%  
468 2% 79%  
469 2% 76%  
470 2% 75%  
471 2% 73%  
472 0.3% 71%  
473 8% 71%  
474 3% 62%  
475 10% 59%  
476 0.9% 49%  
477 0.4% 48% Median
478 2% 48%  
479 0.6% 46%  
480 2% 45%  
481 0.6% 44%  
482 5% 43%  
483 0.8% 38%  
484 1.2% 38%  
485 0.2% 37%  
486 1.1% 36%  
487 1.1% 35%  
488 7% 34%  
489 0.6% 27%  
490 1.3% 27%  
491 0.5% 26%  
492 0.5% 25%  
493 3% 24%  
494 1.4% 22%  
495 0.3% 21%  
496 0.6% 20%  
497 0.6% 20%  
498 0.1% 19%  
499 0.5% 19%  
500 1.2% 18%  
501 0.3% 17%  
502 0.3% 17%  
503 0.2% 17%  
504 0.4% 16%  
505 0.6% 16%  
506 0.5% 15%  
507 0.1% 15%  
508 0.4% 15%  
509 0.8% 14%  
510 0.4% 14%  
511 0.7% 13%  
512 0.2% 13%  
513 0.3% 12%  
514 0.4% 12%  
515 2% 12%  
516 2% 10%  
517 0.5% 8%  
518 0.3% 7%  
519 0.1% 7%  
520 0.1% 7%  
521 0.4% 7%  
522 0.3% 7%  
523 0.4% 6%  
524 0.2% 6%  
525 2% 6%  
526 0.1% 4%  
527 0.1% 4%  
528 0.3% 4%  
529 0% 3%  
530 0.2% 3%  
531 0.1% 3%  
532 1.0% 3%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.3% 2%  
537 0.1% 1.4%  
538 0% 1.4%  
539 0% 1.3%  
540 0.1% 1.3%  
541 0.4% 1.2%  
542 0.1% 0.9%  
543 0% 0.8%  
544 0% 0.7%  
545 0% 0.7%  
546 0% 0.6%  
547 0% 0.6%  
548 0.2% 0.6%  
549 0.3% 0.4%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0.1% 99.7%  
430 0% 99.6%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0% 99.5%  
433 0.1% 99.5%  
434 0.5% 99.4%  
435 0.1% 98.8%  
436 0.1% 98.7%  
437 0.1% 98.7%  
438 0% 98.5%  
439 0.1% 98%  
440 0.1% 98%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.7% 98%  
443 0.2% 97%  
444 0% 97%  
445 0.4% 97%  
446 0.2% 97%  
447 0.2% 96%  
448 0.6% 96%  
449 1.0% 96%  
450 0.6% 95%  
451 0.4% 94%  
452 0.1% 94%  
453 1.1% 93%  
454 0.4% 92%  
455 4% 92%  
456 0.4% 88%  
457 1.5% 87%  
458 0.5% 86%  
459 2% 85%  
460 1.1% 83%  
461 0.9% 82%  
462 0.9% 81%  
463 1.0% 80%  
464 0.5% 79%  
465 0.7% 79%  
466 2% 78%  
467 2% 77%  
468 1.1% 75%  
469 2% 74%  
470 9% 72%  
471 2% 63%  
472 2% 61%  
473 4% 59%  
474 7% 54%  
475 0.5% 48% Median
476 0.7% 47%  
477 0.7% 46%  
478 2% 46%  
479 2% 44%  
480 0.6% 42%  
481 2% 42%  
482 2% 39%  
483 1.5% 37%  
484 0.9% 36%  
485 6% 35%  
486 0.6% 29%  
487 2% 28%  
488 0.6% 26%  
489 0.2% 25%  
490 0.8% 25%  
491 2% 25%  
492 2% 22%  
493 0.4% 20%  
494 0.3% 20%  
495 0.4% 20%  
496 1.1% 19%  
497 0.6% 18%  
498 0.2% 18%  
499 0.6% 17%  
500 0.1% 17%  
501 0.5% 17%  
502 0.3% 16%  
503 0.3% 16%  
504 0.5% 16%  
505 0.7% 15%  
506 0.1% 14%  
507 1.0% 14%  
508 0.4% 13%  
509 0.1% 13%  
510 0.6% 13%  
511 0.5% 12%  
512 0.3% 12%  
513 0.4% 12%  
514 0.3% 11%  
515 4% 11%  
516 0.1% 7%  
517 0% 7%  
518 0.3% 7%  
519 0.6% 7%  
520 0.1% 6%  
521 0.1% 6%  
522 0.2% 6%  
523 1.0% 6%  
524 0.3% 5%  
525 0.7% 4%  
526 0.1% 4%  
527 0.4% 4%  
528 0.1% 3%  
529 0.1% 3%  
530 0.9% 3%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0% 1.4%  
536 0.1% 1.4%  
537 0.1% 1.3%  
538 0% 1.3%  
539 0.1% 1.2%  
540 0% 1.2%  
541 0.3% 1.1%  
542 0.1% 0.8%  
543 0% 0.7%  
544 0% 0.6%  
545 0% 0.6%  
546 0.2% 0.6%  
547 0% 0.4%  
548 0.3% 0.4%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0.1% 99.9%  
417 0.1% 99.8%  
418 0% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.7%  
420 0% 99.6%  
421 0.2% 99.6%  
422 0.1% 99.4%  
423 0.2% 99.3%  
424 0.1% 99.1%  
425 0.2% 98.9%  
426 0.1% 98.7%  
427 0.8% 98.6%  
428 0.2% 98%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.9% 97%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.2% 96%  
433 0.1% 96%  
434 2% 96%  
435 0.1% 93%  
436 1.0% 93%  
437 0.2% 92%  
438 1.0% 92%  
439 0.2% 91%  
440 0.2% 91%  
441 0.2% 91%  
442 0.7% 90%  
443 2% 90%  
444 0.9% 88%  
445 3% 87%  
446 0.9% 84%  
447 0.8% 83%  
448 3% 82%  
449 2% 80%  
450 5% 78%  
451 0.9% 72%  
452 0.9% 72%  
453 2% 71%  
454 1.4% 69%  
455 11% 67%  
456 0.4% 57%  
457 9% 56% Median
458 3% 48%  
459 2% 45%  
460 0.6% 43%  
461 2% 42%  
462 3% 40%  
463 0.8% 37%  
464 0.4% 37%  
465 6% 36%  
466 0.3% 30%  
467 1.2% 30%  
468 3% 28%  
469 1.0% 26%  
470 1.1% 25%  
471 0.1% 24%  
472 1.1% 24%  
473 2% 22%  
474 0.5% 21%  
475 0.3% 20%  
476 0.5% 20%  
477 2% 20%  
478 0.5% 18%  
479 0% 18%  
480 1.4% 18%  
481 0.2% 16%  
482 0.4% 16%  
483 2% 16%  
484 0.2% 13%  
485 0.2% 13%  
486 0.3% 13%  
487 0.6% 12%  
488 0.5% 12%  
489 0.6% 11%  
490 0.4% 11%  
491 0.4% 10%  
492 0.1% 10%  
493 0.7% 10%  
494 0.3% 9%  
495 2% 9%  
496 0.2% 7%  
497 0.2% 7%  
498 0% 6%  
499 1.2% 6%  
500 0.8% 5%  
501 0.5% 4%  
502 1.4% 4%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.1% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.3% 2%  
509 0% 2%  
510 0% 1.5%  
511 0.1% 1.4%  
512 0% 1.4%  
513 0.1% 1.3%  
514 0.1% 1.3%  
515 0.1% 1.2%  
516 0.3% 1.1%  
517 0.1% 0.8%  
518 0.1% 0.7%  
519 0.1% 0.6%  
520 0% 0.5%  
521 0% 0.5%  
522 0.2% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0.2% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.9%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.6%  
419 0% 99.5%  
420 0.3% 99.4%  
421 0.1% 99.1%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.5% 98.8%  
425 0.1% 98%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 1.1% 98%  
428 0.4% 97%  
429 0.4% 96%  
430 0.4% 96%  
431 0.1% 96%  
432 0.4% 96%  
433 2% 95%  
434 0.9% 93%  
435 1.0% 92%  
436 0.1% 91%  
437 0.3% 91%  
438 0.1% 91%  
439 0.2% 91%  
440 0.8% 90%  
441 2% 90%  
442 1.5% 88%  
443 1.0% 86%  
444 1.5% 85%  
445 4% 84%  
446 1.1% 80%  
447 0.5% 79%  
448 5% 78%  
449 2% 73%  
450 1.2% 71%  
451 0.5% 70%  
452 8% 69%  
453 2% 61%  
454 2% 59%  
455 2% 56% Median
456 9% 54%  
457 2% 45%  
458 3% 43%  
459 0.5% 40%  
460 0.3% 40%  
461 3% 39%  
462 6% 37%  
463 0.7% 30%  
464 0.6% 30%  
465 2% 29%  
466 0.6% 27%  
467 1.1% 26%  
468 0.4% 25%  
469 1.4% 25%  
470 2% 24%  
471 0.7% 22%  
472 0.4% 21%  
473 0.2% 20%  
474 0.6% 20%  
475 2% 20%  
476 1.3% 18%  
477 0.1% 17%  
478 0.5% 17%  
479 0.5% 16%  
480 0.4% 16%  
481 0.5% 15%  
482 2% 15%  
483 0.4% 13%  
484 0.5% 12%  
485 0.2% 12%  
486 0.4% 12%  
487 0.5% 11%  
488 0.5% 11%  
489 0.5% 10%  
490 0.6% 10%  
491 0.3% 9%  
492 0.5% 9%  
493 0.6% 9%  
494 0.4% 8%  
495 1.3% 8%  
496 0.4% 6%  
497 1.4% 6%  
498 0.2% 4%  
499 0.2% 4%  
500 1.5% 4%  
501 0.3% 3%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0% 2%  
505 0.1% 2%  
506 0.2% 2%  
507 0% 2%  
508 0.4% 2%  
509 0.1% 1.4%  
510 0% 1.4%  
511 0.1% 1.3%  
512 0% 1.2%  
513 0.1% 1.2%  
514 0.2% 1.1%  
515 0.2% 0.9%  
516 0.1% 0.7%  
517 0% 0.6%  
518 0% 0.6%  
519 0% 0.5%  
520 0.1% 0.5%  
521 0% 0.4%  
522 0.1% 0.4%  
523 0.2% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0.2% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.6%  
381 0.2% 99.6%  
382 0% 99.5%  
383 0% 99.4%  
384 0% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.1% 99.2%  
387 0% 99.2%  
388 0.2% 99.1%  
389 0.4% 98.9%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.1% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.2% 98%  
395 0% 98%  
396 0.2% 97%  
397 0.2% 97%  
398 0.9% 97%  
399 0.8% 96%  
400 0.3% 95%  
401 0.3% 95%  
402 0.1% 95%  
403 0.3% 95%  
404 0.6% 94%  
405 0.2% 94%  
406 0.2% 94%  
407 0.2% 93%  
408 0.2% 93%  
409 1.0% 93%  
410 2% 92%  
411 0.9% 90%  
412 2% 89%  
413 3% 87%  
414 2% 84%  
415 0.3% 82%  
416 0.2% 82%  
417 0.8% 82%  
418 2% 81%  
419 3% 79%  
420 2% 76%  
421 6% 74%  
422 3% 69%  
423 0.8% 66%  
424 1.3% 65%  
425 9% 64%  
426 0.2% 55%  
427 1.0% 55%  
428 2% 54%  
429 2% 52%  
430 2% 51%  
431 0.2% 48% Median
432 0.6% 48%  
433 1.0% 48%  
434 0.9% 47%  
435 2% 46%  
436 2% 44%  
437 1.2% 42%  
438 1.4% 41%  
439 0.7% 39%  
440 0.6% 39%  
441 0.7% 38%  
442 0.4% 37%  
443 6% 37%  
444 1.2% 31%  
445 0.2% 30%  
446 0.1% 29%  
447 3% 29%  
448 2% 27%  
449 1.2% 25%  
450 2% 23%  
451 1.1% 21%  
452 0.1% 20%  
453 0.2% 20%  
454 0.3% 20%  
455 0.8% 20%  
456 0.1% 19%  
457 0.1% 19%  
458 0.5% 19%  
459 2% 18%  
460 0.3% 16%  
461 0.2% 16%  
462 1.0% 16%  
463 1.2% 15%  
464 0.2% 14%  
465 0.1% 14%  
466 0.9% 13%  
467 0.2% 13%  
468 0.6% 12%  
469 1.5% 12%  
470 0% 10%  
471 2% 10%  
472 0.3% 8%  
473 0.2% 8%  
474 0.3% 7%  
475 0.1% 7%  
476 0.2% 7%  
477 0.3% 7%  
478 0.1% 6%  
479 0.1% 6%  
480 0.5% 6%  
481 1.3% 6%  
482 0.3% 4%  
483 0.1% 4%  
484 0% 4%  
485 0.4% 4%  
486 0.2% 4%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.1% 3%  
490 0.1% 3%  
491 0.1% 3%  
492 0.5% 3%  
493 0.9% 2%  
494 0.2% 1.4%  
495 0% 1.2%  
496 0% 1.2%  
497 0% 1.1%  
498 0% 1.1%  
499 0% 1.1%  
500 0% 1.0%  
501 0% 1.0%  
502 0.2% 1.0%  
503 0.3% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0% 0.4%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.2% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.6%  
379 0% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0% 99.3%  
383 0% 99.3%  
384 0% 99.3%  
385 0.1% 99.3%  
386 0.3% 99.1%  
387 0.2% 98.8%  
388 0.3% 98.6%  
389 0.4% 98%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.1% 98%  
392 0.2% 98%  
393 0.1% 97%  
394 0% 97%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 0.9% 97%  
397 0.1% 96%  
398 0.5% 96%  
399 0.6% 95%  
400 0.2% 95%  
401 0.3% 95%  
402 0.6% 94%  
403 0.3% 94%  
404 0.1% 94%  
405 0.4% 93%  
406 1.2% 93%  
407 2% 92%  
408 0.5% 90%  
409 0.7% 90%  
410 0.3% 89%  
411 3% 89%  
412 0.6% 86%  
413 2% 85%  
414 2% 83%  
415 2% 82%  
416 2% 80%  
417 1.4% 77%  
418 2% 76%  
419 0.5% 74%  
420 8% 74%  
421 0.8% 65%  
422 8% 65%  
423 1.1% 56%  
424 0.5% 55%  
425 1.1% 55%  
426 2% 54%  
427 1.1% 52%  
428 0.7% 51%  
429 3% 50% Median
430 0.5% 47%  
431 0.3% 46%  
432 0.4% 46%  
433 3% 46%  
434 0.3% 43%  
435 0.5% 42%  
436 1.5% 42%  
437 1.1% 40%  
438 1.0% 39%  
439 0.8% 38%  
440 6% 37%  
441 0.3% 31%  
442 0.1% 31%  
443 0.2% 30%  
444 2% 30%  
445 2% 28%  
446 0.3% 26%  
447 1.2% 26%  
448 2% 25%  
449 1.0% 23%  
450 1.3% 22%  
451 0.7% 20%  
452 0% 20%  
453 0.8% 20%  
454 0.3% 19%  
455 0.4% 19%  
456 0.3% 18%  
457 0.5% 18%  
458 1.2% 17%  
459 2% 16%  
460 0.4% 14%  
461 0% 14%  
462 0.2% 14%  
463 1.0% 14%  
464 0.1% 13%  
465 0.7% 13%  
466 0.1% 12%  
467 0.1% 12%  
468 0.1% 12%  
469 2% 11%  
470 2% 10%  
471 0.1% 8%  
472 0.2% 7%  
473 0.4% 7%  
474 0.2% 7%  
475 0.1% 6%  
476 0.1% 6%  
477 0.1% 6%  
478 0.2% 6%  
479 1.1% 6%  
480 0.1% 5%  
481 0.8% 5%  
482 0.4% 4%  
483 0.1% 4%  
484 0% 3%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 0.3% 3%  
487 0% 3%  
488 0.1% 3%  
489 0.2% 3%  
490 0% 3%  
491 1.1% 3%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.1% 1.3%  
494 0.1% 1.2%  
495 0% 1.1%  
496 0% 1.1%  
497 0% 1.1%  
498 0% 1.0%  
499 0.1% 1.0%  
500 0.1% 0.9%  
501 0.1% 0.8%  
502 0.3% 0.7%  
503 0% 0.5%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.7%  
369 0% 99.7%  
370 0.2% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.4%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.1% 99.3%  
374 0.5% 99.2%  
375 0.4% 98.8%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.1% 98%  
378 0.1% 98%  
379 0.3% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.7% 97%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 1.0% 97%  
384 0.1% 96%  
385 0.2% 96%  
386 0.3% 95%  
387 0.3% 95%  
388 0.3% 95%  
389 0.3% 95%  
390 2% 94%  
391 1.0% 92%  
392 0.5% 91%  
393 2% 90%  
394 2% 89%  
395 0.5% 87%  
396 0.2% 87%  
397 3% 86%  
398 0.9% 83%  
399 2% 82%  
400 2% 80%  
401 0.6% 78%  
402 1.1% 77%  
403 6% 76%  
404 3% 70%  
405 1.3% 67%  
406 0.6% 66%  
407 9% 65%  
408 2% 56%  
409 0.5% 54%  
410 2% 53%  
411 2% 51% Median
412 2% 49%  
413 0.6% 47%  
414 2% 46%  
415 2% 44%  
416 0.8% 42%  
417 0.5% 42%  
418 1.4% 41%  
419 1.3% 40%  
420 6% 38%  
421 2% 32%  
422 1.5% 30%  
423 0.6% 28%  
424 1.1% 28%  
425 0.2% 26%  
426 0.8% 26%  
427 1.0% 25%  
428 0.5% 24%  
429 1.0% 24%  
430 2% 23%  
431 2% 21%  
432 0.3% 19%  
433 0.4% 19%  
434 0.6% 18%  
435 0.1% 18%  
436 1.3% 18%  
437 0.4% 16%  
438 2% 16%  
439 0.4% 14%  
440 0.7% 14%  
441 0.4% 13%  
442 0.3% 13%  
443 1.1% 12%  
444 0.2% 11%  
445 0.8% 11%  
446 0.5% 10%  
447 0.2% 10%  
448 0.2% 10%  
449 2% 9%  
450 0.3% 8%  
451 0.2% 7%  
452 0.1% 7%  
453 0.4% 7%  
454 0.6% 7%  
455 1.1% 6%  
456 0.8% 5%  
457 0.2% 4%  
458 0.1% 4%  
459 0.5% 4%  
460 0.1% 3%  
461 0.1% 3%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 1.0% 3%  
464 0% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0% 2%  
467 0.2% 2%  
468 0.2% 1.4%  
469 0.1% 1.2%  
470 0.1% 1.1%  
471 0% 1.1%  
472 0.1% 1.0%  
473 0% 1.0%  
474 0.1% 1.0%  
475 0.1% 0.8%  
476 0% 0.7%  
477 0% 0.7%  
478 0.2% 0.7%  
479 0.1% 0.4%  
480 0.2% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.3% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.3% 99.1%  
373 0.1% 98.9%  
374 0.7% 98.7%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.1% 98%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0% 97%  
380 0.1% 97%  
381 2% 97%  
382 0.1% 95%  
383 0.2% 95%  
384 0.2% 95%  
385 0.1% 95%  
386 0.3% 95%  
387 0.2% 95%  
388 1.3% 94%  
389 3% 93%  
390 0.3% 90%  
391 1.4% 90%  
392 0.7% 89%  
393 2% 88%  
394 0.5% 86%  
395 3% 86%  
396 0.3% 83%  
397 2% 83%  
398 1.1% 80%  
399 3% 79%  
400 0.6% 76%  
401 3% 76%  
402 7% 73%  
403 1.0% 66%  
404 8% 65%  
405 1.3% 57%  
406 1.2% 56%  
407 2% 55%  
408 1.3% 53%  
409 3% 52% Median
410 2% 49%  
411 0.8% 47%  
412 3% 46%  
413 0.9% 43%  
414 0.6% 42%  
415 0.2% 41%  
416 0.5% 41%  
417 8% 40%  
418 0.6% 33%  
419 1.4% 32%  
420 0.6% 31%  
421 2% 30%  
422 0.3% 28%  
423 0.3% 27%  
424 2% 27%  
425 1.0% 25%  
426 0.6% 24%  
427 2% 24%  
428 0.7% 22%  
429 2% 21%  
430 1.4% 20%  
431 0.4% 18%  
432 0.3% 18%  
433 0.8% 18%  
434 0.3% 17%  
435 0.8% 17%  
436 0.1% 16%  
437 2% 16%  
438 0.6% 13%  
439 1.2% 13%  
440 0.2% 12%  
441 0.1% 11%  
442 0.2% 11%  
443 0.3% 11%  
444 0.9% 11%  
445 0.4% 10%  
446 0.2% 9%  
447 0.5% 9%  
448 0.4% 9%  
449 1.4% 8%  
450 0.1% 7%  
451 0.7% 7%  
452 0.5% 6%  
453 1.4% 6%  
454 0.1% 4%  
455 0.1% 4%  
456 0.7% 4%  
457 0.1% 4%  
458 0.1% 4%  
459 0.4% 3%  
460 0% 3%  
461 1.0% 3%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.1% 1.4%  
467 0.1% 1.3%  
468 0.1% 1.2%  
469 0% 1.1%  
470 0.1% 1.0%  
471 0% 1.0%  
472 0.1% 0.9%  
473 0% 0.9%  
474 0.2% 0.8%  
475 0% 0.7%  
476 0% 0.7%  
477 0.3% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.7%  
126 0% 99.6%  
127 0.3% 99.5%  
128 0.1% 99.3%  
129 0.1% 99.2%  
130 0.1% 99.1%  
131 0% 99.0%  
132 0% 99.0%  
133 0% 98.9%  
134 0% 98.9%  
135 0.1% 98.9%  
136 0.1% 98.8%  
137 0.3% 98.7%  
138 1.1% 98%  
139 0% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.1% 97%  
142 0% 97%  
143 0.3% 97%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0% 97%  
146 0.1% 97%  
147 0.4% 96%  
148 0.8% 96%  
149 0.1% 95%  
150 1.1% 95%  
151 0.2% 94%  
152 0.2% 94%  
153 0.1% 94%  
154 0.1% 94%  
155 0.2% 94%  
156 0.4% 93%  
157 0.2% 93%  
158 0.1% 93%  
159 2% 92%  
160 2% 90%  
161 0.1% 89%  
162 0.1% 88%  
163 0.1% 88%  
164 0.7% 88%  
165 0.1% 87%  
166 1.0% 87%  
167 0.2% 86%  
168 0% 86%  
169 0.4% 86%  
170 2% 86%  
171 1.2% 84%  
172 0.5% 83%  
173 0.3% 82%  
174 0.4% 82%  
175 0.3% 81%  
176 0.8% 81%  
177 0% 80%  
178 0.7% 80%  
179 1.3% 80%  
180 1.0% 78%  
181 2% 77%  
182 1.2% 75%  
183 0.3% 74%  
184 2% 74%  
185 2% 72%  
186 0.2% 70%  
187 0.1% 70%  
188 0.3% 69%  
189 6% 69%  
190 0.8% 63%  
191 1.0% 62%  
192 1.1% 61%  
193 1.5% 60%  
194 0.5% 58%  
195 0.3% 58%  
196 3% 57%  
197 0.4% 54%  
198 0.3% 54%  
199 0.5% 54%  
200 3% 53%  
201 0.7% 50%  
202 1.1% 49% Median
203 2% 48%  
204 1.1% 46%  
205 0.5% 45%  
206 1.1% 45%  
207 8% 44%  
208 0.8% 35%  
209 8% 35%  
210 0.5% 26%  
211 2% 26%  
212 1.4% 24%  
213 2% 23%  
214 2% 20%  
215 2% 18%  
216 2% 17%  
217 0.6% 15%  
218 3% 14%  
219 0.3% 11%  
220 0.7% 11%  
221 0.5% 10%  
222 2% 10%  
223 1.2% 8%  
224 0.4% 7%  
225 0.1% 7%  
226 0.3% 6%  
227 0.6% 6%  
228 0.3% 6%  
229 0.2% 5%  
230 0.6% 5%  
231 0.5% 5%  
232 0.1% 4%  
233 0.9% 4%  
234 0.3% 3%  
235 0% 3%  
236 0.1% 3%  
237 0.2% 3%  
238 0.1% 2%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.3% 2%  
242 0.2% 1.4%  
243 0.3% 1.2%  
244 0.1% 0.9%  
245 0% 0.7%  
246 0% 0.7%  
247 0% 0.7%  
248 0.1% 0.7%  
249 0.1% 0.6%  
250 0% 0.5%  
251 0% 0.4%  
252 0.2% 0.4%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0.1% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0.2% 99.7%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0.3% 99.5%  
127 0.2% 99.2%  
128 0% 99.0%  
129 0% 99.0%  
130 0% 98.9%  
131 0% 98.9%  
132 0% 98.9%  
133 0% 98.9%  
134 0% 98.8%  
135 0.2% 98.8%  
136 0.9% 98.6%  
137 0.5% 98%  
138 0.1% 97%  
139 0.1% 97%  
140 0.1% 97%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.4% 96%  
145 0% 96%  
146 0.1% 96%  
147 0.3% 96%  
148 1.3% 96%  
149 0.5% 94%  
150 0.1% 94%  
151 0.1% 94%  
152 0.3% 94%  
153 0.2% 93%  
154 0.1% 93%  
155 0.3% 93%  
156 0.2% 93%  
157 0.3% 92%  
158 2% 92%  
159 0% 90%  
160 1.5% 90%  
161 0.6% 88%  
162 0.2% 88%  
163 0.9% 87%  
164 0.1% 87%  
165 0.2% 86%  
166 1.2% 86%  
167 1.0% 85%  
168 0.2% 84%  
169 0.3% 84%  
170 2% 84%  
171 0.5% 82%  
172 0.1% 81%  
173 0.1% 81%  
174 0.8% 81%  
175 0.3% 80%  
176 0.2% 80%  
177 0.1% 80%  
178 1.1% 80%  
179 2% 79%  
180 1.2% 77%  
181 2% 75%  
182 3% 73%  
183 0.1% 71%  
184 0.2% 71%  
185 1.2% 70%  
186 6% 69%  
187 0.4% 63%  
188 0.7% 63%  
189 0.6% 62%  
190 0.7% 61%  
191 1.4% 61%  
192 1.2% 59%  
193 2% 58%  
194 2% 56%  
195 0.9% 54%  
196 1.0% 53%  
197 0.6% 52%  
198 0.2% 52%  
199 2% 52%  
200 2% 49% Median
201 2% 48%  
202 1.0% 46%  
203 0.2% 45%  
204 9% 45%  
205 1.3% 36%  
206 0.8% 35%  
207 3% 34%  
208 6% 31%  
209 2% 26%  
210 3% 24%  
211 2% 21%  
212 0.8% 19%  
213 0.2% 18%  
214 0.3% 18%  
215 2% 18%  
216 3% 16%  
217 2% 13%  
218 0.9% 11%  
219 2% 10%  
220 1.0% 8%  
221 0.2% 7%  
222 0.2% 7%  
223 0.2% 7%  
224 0.2% 6%  
225 0.6% 6%  
226 0.3% 6%  
227 0.1% 5%  
228 0.3% 5%  
229 0.3% 5%  
230 0.8% 5%  
231 0.9% 4%  
232 0.2% 3%  
233 0.2% 3%  
234 0% 3%  
235 0.2% 2%  
236 0.2% 2%  
237 0.1% 2%  
238 0.3% 2%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.2% 1.1%  
242 0% 0.9%  
243 0.1% 0.8%  
244 0.1% 0.8%  
245 0% 0.6%  
246 0% 0.6%  
247 0% 0.6%  
248 0.2% 0.5%  
249 0% 0.4%  
250 0% 0.4%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0.2% 0.3%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.2% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.4%  
111 0.1% 99.4%  
112 0.1% 99.3%  
113 0.3% 99.2%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0% 98.8%  
116 0% 98.7%  
117 0% 98.7%  
118 0.1% 98.6%  
119 0% 98.6%  
120 0% 98.5%  
121 0.3% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 1.4% 98%  
128 0.5% 96%  
129 0.8% 96%  
130 1.2% 95%  
131 0% 94%  
132 0.2% 94%  
133 0.2% 93%  
134 2% 93%  
135 0.3% 91%  
136 0.7% 91%  
137 0.1% 90%  
138 0.4% 90%  
139 0.4% 90%  
140 0.6% 89%  
141 0.5% 89%  
142 0.6% 88%  
143 0.3% 88%  
144 0.2% 87%  
145 0.2% 87%  
146 2% 87%  
147 0.4% 84%  
148 0.2% 84%  
149 1.4% 84%  
150 0% 82%  
151 0.5% 82%  
152 2% 82%  
153 0.5% 80%  
154 0.3% 80%  
155 0.5% 80%  
156 2% 79%  
157 1.1% 78%  
158 0.1% 76%  
159 1.1% 76%  
160 1.0% 75%  
161 3% 74%  
162 1.2% 72%  
163 0.3% 70%  
164 6% 70%  
165 0.4% 64%  
166 0.8% 63%  
167 3% 63%  
168 2% 60%  
169 0.6% 58%  
170 2% 57%  
171 3% 55%  
172 9% 52%  
173 0.4% 44%  
174 11% 43% Median
175 1.4% 33%  
176 2% 31%  
177 0.9% 29%  
178 0.9% 28%  
179 5% 28%  
180 2% 22%  
181 3% 20%  
182 0.8% 18%  
183 0.9% 17%  
184 3% 16%  
185 0.9% 13%  
186 2% 12%  
187 0.7% 10%  
188 0.2% 10%  
189 0.2% 9%  
190 0.2% 9%  
191 1.0% 9%  
192 0.2% 8%  
193 1.0% 8%  
194 0.1% 7%  
195 2% 7%  
196 0.1% 4%  
197 0.2% 4%  
198 0.5% 4%  
199 0.9% 3%  
200 0.2% 3%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.8% 2%  
203 0.1% 1.4%  
204 0.2% 1.3%  
205 0.1% 1.1%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.6%  
83 0.2% 99.5%  
84 0% 99.4%  
85 0% 99.4%  
86 0% 99.4%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0.3% 99.2%  
89 0% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.8%  
91 0% 98.8%  
92 0.1% 98.7%  
93 0.1% 98.7%  
94 0% 98.6%  
95 0.3% 98.6%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.1% 98%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.9% 98%  
100 0.1% 97%  
101 0.1% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.1% 96%  
104 0.7% 96%  
105 0.3% 96%  
106 1.0% 95%  
107 0.2% 94%  
108 0.1% 94%  
109 0.1% 94%  
110 0.6% 94%  
111 0.3% 93%  
112 0% 93%  
113 0.1% 93%  
114 4% 93%  
115 0.3% 89%  
116 0.4% 89%  
117 0.3% 88%  
118 0.5% 88%  
119 0.6% 88%  
120 0.1% 87%  
121 0.4% 87%  
122 1.0% 87%  
123 0.1% 86%  
124 0.7% 86%  
125 0.5% 85%  
126 0.3% 84%  
127 0.3% 84%  
128 0.5% 84%  
129 0.1% 83%  
130 0.6% 83%  
131 0.2% 83%  
132 0.6% 82%  
133 1.1% 82%  
134 0.4% 81%  
135 0.3% 80%  
136 0.4% 80%  
137 2% 80%  
138 2% 78%  
139 0.8% 75%  
140 0.2% 75%  
141 0.6% 75%  
142 2% 74%  
143 0.6% 72%  
144 6% 71%  
145 0.9% 65%  
146 1.5% 64%  
147 2% 63%  
148 2% 61%  
149 0.6% 58%  
150 2% 58%  
151 2% 56%  
152 0.7% 54%  
153 0.7% 54%  
154 0.5% 53%  
155 7% 52%  
156 4% 46% Median
157 2% 41%  
158 2% 39%  
159 9% 37%  
160 2% 28%  
161 1.1% 26%  
162 2% 25%  
163 2% 23%  
164 0.7% 22%  
165 0.5% 21%  
166 1.0% 21%  
167 0.9% 20%  
168 0.9% 19%  
169 1.1% 18%  
170 2% 17%  
171 0.5% 15%  
172 1.5% 14%  
173 0.4% 13%  
174 4% 12%  
175 0.4% 8%  
176 1.1% 8%  
177 0.1% 7%  
178 0.4% 6%  
179 0.6% 6%  
180 1.0% 5%  
181 0.6% 4%  
182 0.2% 4%  
183 0.2% 4%  
184 0.4% 3%  
185 0% 3%  
186 0.2% 3%  
187 0.7% 3%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.1% 2%  
190 0.1% 2%  
191 0% 2%  
192 0.1% 1.5%  
193 0.1% 1.3%  
194 0.1% 1.3%  
195 0.5% 1.2%  
196 0.1% 0.6%  
197 0% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0% 99.4%  
83 0% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.3%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.4% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.8%  
90 0% 98.7%  
91 0% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.6%  
93 0.3% 98.6%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.1% 98%  
97 1.0% 98%  
98 0.1% 97%  
99 0.2% 97%  
100 0% 97%  
101 0.3% 97%  
102 0.1% 96%  
103 0.1% 96%  
104 2% 96%  
105 0.2% 94%  
106 0.4% 94%  
107 0.3% 94%  
108 0.4% 93%  
109 0.1% 93%  
110 0.1% 93%  
111 0.3% 93%  
112 0.5% 93%  
113 2% 92%  
114 2% 90%  
115 0.4% 88%  
116 0.3% 88%  
117 0.2% 88%  
118 0.7% 87%  
119 0.4% 87%  
120 0.8% 86%  
121 0.4% 86%  
122 0.1% 85%  
123 0.5% 85%  
124 0.6% 85%  
125 0.4% 84%  
126 0.2% 84%  
127 0.3% 83%  
128 0.3% 83%  
129 1.2% 83%  
130 0.5% 82%  
131 0.1% 81%  
132 0.6% 81%  
133 0.6% 80%  
134 0.3% 80%  
135 1.4% 79%  
136 3% 78%  
137 0.5% 76%  
138 0.5% 75%  
139 1.3% 74%  
140 0.6% 73%  
141 7% 73%  
142 1.1% 66%  
143 1.1% 65%  
144 0.2% 64%  
145 1.2% 63%  
146 0.8% 62%  
147 5% 62%  
148 0.6% 57%  
149 2% 56%  
150 0.6% 55%  
151 2% 54%  
152 0.4% 52%  
153 0.9% 52%  
154 10% 51% Median
155 3% 41%  
156 8% 38%  
157 0.3% 29%  
158 2% 29%  
159 2% 27%  
160 2% 25%  
161 2% 24%  
162 0.4% 21%  
163 0.5% 21%  
164 0.5% 21%  
165 3% 20%  
166 0.4% 17%  
167 0.2% 17%  
168 0.2% 17%  
169 0.8% 16%  
170 3% 16%  
171 2% 12%  
172 0.6% 11%  
173 3% 10%  
174 0.3% 7%  
175 0.4% 7%  
176 0.2% 6%  
177 1.1% 6%  
178 0.8% 5%  
179 0.1% 4%  
180 0.5% 4%  
181 0.7% 4%  
182 0.1% 3%  
183 0.2% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.2% 3%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0% 2%  
189 0.1% 2%  
190 0.1% 1.5%  
191 0.3% 1.4%  
192 0.3% 1.1%  
193 0% 0.8%  
194 0% 0.8%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations