Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 13–17 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 57.6% 55.6–59.5% 55.0–60.1% 54.5–60.6% 53.6–61.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.0% 22.4–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.5–26.8% 20.7–27.6%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Green Party 2.8% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Brexit Party 2.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 471 443–491 433–497 424–502 409–512
Conservative Party 365 94 73–124 67–132 61–143 52–159
Liberal Democrats 11 15 7–20 7–22 6–24 6–29
Scottish National Party 48 45 37–53 32–55 30–56 26–57
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.6%  
407 0% 99.6%  
408 0% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.2% 99.4%  
411 0.2% 99.3%  
412 0.1% 99.1%  
413 0% 99.0%  
414 0.1% 99.0%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.1% 98.8%  
417 0.1% 98.7%  
418 0.1% 98.6%  
419 0.2% 98.5%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.1% 98%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.1% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.2% 97%  
429 0.2% 97%  
430 0.1% 96%  
431 0.7% 96%  
432 0.2% 96%  
433 0.5% 95%  
434 0.3% 95%  
435 0.5% 95%  
436 0.6% 94%  
437 0.2% 94%  
438 0.5% 93%  
439 0.3% 93%  
440 0.6% 93%  
441 0.9% 92%  
442 0.5% 91%  
443 0.7% 91%  
444 1.3% 90%  
445 0.6% 89%  
446 0.9% 88%  
447 1.2% 87%  
448 0.9% 86%  
449 2% 85%  
450 0.8% 83%  
451 1.3% 83%  
452 1.2% 81%  
453 0.5% 80%  
454 2% 80%  
455 1.4% 78%  
456 2% 76%  
457 0.7% 74%  
458 2% 74%  
459 2% 72%  
460 1.3% 70%  
461 0.6% 69%  
462 1.1% 68%  
463 0.8% 67%  
464 1.3% 66%  
465 2% 65%  
466 2% 62%  
467 2% 60%  
468 3% 58%  
469 2% 56%  
470 3% 53%  
471 2% 51% Median
472 1.4% 49%  
473 2% 47%  
474 3% 45%  
475 3% 42%  
476 4% 39%  
477 2% 36%  
478 2% 34%  
479 2% 32%  
480 3% 29%  
481 2% 26%  
482 2% 25%  
483 2% 23%  
484 1.5% 21%  
485 1.4% 19%  
486 1.3% 18%  
487 2% 17%  
488 1.3% 15%  
489 1.2% 13%  
490 2% 12%  
491 0.8% 11%  
492 1.1% 10%  
493 1.2% 9%  
494 0.6% 8%  
495 1.0% 7%  
496 0.5% 6%  
497 0.5% 5%  
498 0.6% 5%  
499 0.6% 4%  
500 0.6% 4%  
501 0.3% 3%  
502 0.5% 3%  
503 0.3% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.2% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.4%  
508 0.1% 1.1%  
509 0.2% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.2% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 0.2% 99.4%  
54 0.2% 99.2%  
55 0.2% 99.0%  
56 0.2% 98.8%  
57 0.2% 98.7%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 0.2% 98%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.3% 97%  
63 0.5% 97%  
64 0.3% 97%  
65 0.6% 96%  
66 0.5% 96%  
67 0.6% 95%  
68 0.8% 95%  
69 0.7% 94%  
70 0.7% 93%  
71 0.5% 93%  
72 2% 92%  
73 0.8% 91%  
74 0.8% 90%  
75 2% 89%  
76 2% 87%  
77 2% 86%  
78 2% 84%  
79 1.4% 82%  
80 2% 81%  
81 1.5% 79%  
82 2% 78%  
83 2% 76%  
84 2% 74%  
85 2% 71%  
86 2% 69%  
87 4% 68%  
88 3% 64%  
89 1.0% 61%  
90 2% 60%  
91 2% 58%  
92 1.3% 56%  
93 3% 55%  
94 1.4% 51% Median
95 2% 50%  
96 4% 48%  
97 2% 44%  
98 1.4% 42%  
99 1.5% 40%  
100 2% 39%  
101 0.8% 37%  
102 1.3% 36%  
103 2% 35%  
104 0.3% 33%  
105 1.1% 33%  
106 2% 32%  
107 3% 30%  
108 2% 27%  
109 1.0% 26%  
110 2% 25%  
111 0.5% 23%  
112 3% 23%  
113 1.1% 20%  
114 0.4% 19%  
115 0.8% 18%  
116 0.7% 17%  
117 2% 17%  
118 1.1% 15%  
119 0.7% 14%  
120 0.6% 13%  
121 1.1% 13%  
122 0.8% 12%  
123 0.6% 11%  
124 0.7% 10%  
125 0.7% 9%  
126 0.9% 9%  
127 0.8% 8%  
128 0.3% 7%  
129 0.4% 7%  
130 0.6% 6%  
131 0.3% 6%  
132 0.3% 5%  
133 0.2% 5%  
134 0.2% 5%  
135 0.2% 5%  
136 0.3% 4%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.2% 4%  
139 0.1% 3%  
140 0.4% 3%  
141 0.2% 3%  
142 0.1% 3%  
143 0.2% 3%  
144 0.2% 2%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.1% 2%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0% 1.5%  
152 0.1% 1.4%  
153 0.3% 1.3%  
154 0.1% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.9%  
156 0.1% 0.8%  
157 0.1% 0.7%  
158 0% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 5% 99.8%  
7 14% 95%  
8 0.6% 81%  
9 1.4% 80%  
10 11% 79%  
11 1.2% 68% Last Result
12 0.5% 67%  
13 0.4% 66%  
14 10% 66%  
15 11% 56% Median
16 2% 45%  
17 12% 43%  
18 9% 30%  
19 8% 21%  
20 5% 13%  
21 3% 8%  
22 0.9% 5%  
23 0.9% 4%  
24 1.1% 3%  
25 0.7% 2%  
26 0.4% 2%  
27 0.3% 1.1%  
28 0.4% 0.9%  
29 0.2% 0.5%  
30 0.1% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.8%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.2% 99.5%  
27 0.4% 99.3%  
28 0.6% 98.9%  
29 0.7% 98%  
30 1.4% 98%  
31 0.4% 96%  
32 1.1% 96%  
33 1.0% 95%  
34 2% 94%  
35 1.0% 92%  
36 0.6% 91%  
37 3% 90%  
38 2% 87%  
39 10% 85%  
40 0.4% 75%  
41 8% 75%  
42 0.6% 67%  
43 13% 67%  
44 3% 53%  
45 7% 50% Median
46 15% 43%  
47 0.9% 28%  
48 7% 27% Last Result
49 0.1% 20%  
50 4% 20%  
51 1.3% 16%  
52 1.2% 15%  
53 5% 14%  
54 3% 8%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.9% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 99.8% 99.8% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 5% 99.7%  
4 20% 95% Last Result
5 73% 75% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 536 100% 506–555 498–561 487–567 471–576
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 535 100% 505–554 497–560 486–566 470–575
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 530 100% 501–549 492–555 481–561 465–571
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 522 100% 494–536 486–544 475–546 462–557
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 517 100% 489–531 481–539 470–542 457–552
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 490 100% 460–513 448–520 439–525 422–536
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 485 100% 455–508 443–515 434–521 417–532
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 476 100% 448–496 438–502 429–507 414–516
Labour Party 202 471 100% 443–491 433–497 424–502 409–512
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 143 0% 119–174 112–186 106–195 95–212
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 138 0% 114–169 108–181 102–190 91–207
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 107 0% 91–135 83–143 81–154 70–167
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 99 0% 78–128 72–137 66–148 56–164
Conservative Party 365 94 0% 73–124 67–132 61–143 52–159

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0.1% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0% 99.8%  
466 0% 99.8%  
467 0% 99.8%  
468 0.1% 99.7%  
469 0.1% 99.7%  
470 0.1% 99.6%  
471 0.1% 99.5%  
472 0% 99.5%  
473 0.1% 99.4%  
474 0.1% 99.3%  
475 0.2% 99.2%  
476 0.1% 99.1%  
477 0.3% 99.0%  
478 0.1% 98.7%  
479 0% 98.6%  
480 0.2% 98.5%  
481 0.1% 98%  
482 0.1% 98%  
483 0.1% 98%  
484 0.1% 98%  
485 0.2% 98%  
486 0.2% 98%  
487 0.2% 98%  
488 0.1% 97%  
489 0.2% 97%  
490 0.4% 97%  
491 0.1% 97%  
492 0.2% 97%  
493 0.4% 96%  
494 0.3% 96%  
495 0.2% 96%  
496 0.2% 95%  
497 0.2% 95%  
498 0.3% 95%  
499 0.3% 95%  
500 0.6% 94%  
501 0.4% 94%  
502 0.3% 93%  
503 0.8% 93%  
504 0.9% 92%  
505 0.7% 91%  
506 0.7% 91%  
507 0.6% 90%  
508 0.8% 89%  
509 1.1% 88%  
510 0.6% 87%  
511 0.7% 87%  
512 1.1% 86%  
513 2% 85%  
514 0.7% 83%  
515 0.8% 83%  
516 0.4% 82%  
517 1.1% 81%  
518 3% 80%  
519 0.5% 77%  
520 2% 77%  
521 1.0% 75%  
522 2% 74%  
523 3% 73%  
524 2% 70%  
525 1.1% 68%  
526 0.3% 67%  
527 2% 67%  
528 1.3% 65%  
529 0.8% 64%  
530 2% 63%  
531 1.5% 61%  
532 1.4% 60%  
533 2% 58%  
534 4% 56%  
535 2% 52%  
536 1.5% 50%  
537 4% 49% Median
538 1.0% 45%  
539 3% 44%  
540 2% 41%  
541 1.4% 39%  
542 4% 37%  
543 3% 33%  
544 3% 31%  
545 2% 28%  
546 3% 26%  
547 2% 23%  
548 1.1% 21%  
549 2% 20%  
550 2% 18%  
551 2% 16%  
552 2% 14%  
553 2% 13%  
554 0.8% 11%  
555 0.8% 10%  
556 2% 9%  
557 0.5% 8%  
558 0.7% 7%  
559 0.7% 7%  
560 0.8% 6%  
561 0.6% 5%  
562 0.5% 5%  
563 0.6% 4%  
564 0.3% 4%  
565 0.5% 3%  
566 0.3% 3%  
567 0.4% 3%  
568 0.3% 2%  
569 0.2% 2%  
570 0.1% 2%  
571 0.2% 2%  
572 0.2% 1.3%  
573 0.2% 1.2%  
574 0.2% 1.0%  
575 0.2% 0.8%  
576 0.1% 0.6%  
577 0.1% 0.5%  
578 0.1% 0.4%  
579 0.1% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0.1% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.8%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0% 99.8%  
466 0% 99.8%  
467 0.1% 99.7%  
468 0.1% 99.7%  
469 0.1% 99.6%  
470 0.1% 99.5%  
471 0% 99.5%  
472 0.1% 99.4%  
473 0.1% 99.3%  
474 0.2% 99.2%  
475 0.1% 99.1%  
476 0.3% 99.0%  
477 0.1% 98.7%  
478 0% 98.6%  
479 0.2% 98.5%  
480 0.1% 98%  
481 0.1% 98%  
482 0.1% 98%  
483 0.1% 98%  
484 0.2% 98%  
485 0.2% 98%  
486 0.2% 98%  
487 0.1% 97%  
488 0.2% 97%  
489 0.4% 97%  
490 0.1% 97%  
491 0.2% 97%  
492 0.4% 96%  
493 0.3% 96%  
494 0.2% 96%  
495 0.2% 95%  
496 0.2% 95%  
497 0.3% 95%  
498 0.3% 95%  
499 0.6% 94%  
500 0.4% 94%  
501 0.3% 93%  
502 0.8% 93%  
503 0.9% 92%  
504 0.7% 91%  
505 0.7% 91%  
506 0.6% 90%  
507 0.8% 89%  
508 1.1% 88%  
509 0.6% 87%  
510 0.7% 87%  
511 1.1% 86%  
512 2% 85%  
513 0.7% 83%  
514 0.8% 83%  
515 0.4% 82%  
516 1.1% 81%  
517 3% 80%  
518 0.5% 77%  
519 2% 77%  
520 1.0% 75%  
521 2% 74%  
522 3% 73%  
523 2% 70%  
524 1.1% 68%  
525 0.3% 67%  
526 2% 67%  
527 1.3% 65%  
528 0.8% 64%  
529 2% 63%  
530 1.5% 61%  
531 1.4% 60%  
532 2% 58%  
533 4% 56%  
534 2% 52%  
535 1.5% 50%  
536 4% 49% Median
537 1.0% 45%  
538 3% 44%  
539 2% 41%  
540 1.4% 39%  
541 4% 37%  
542 3% 33%  
543 3% 31%  
544 2% 28%  
545 3% 26%  
546 2% 23%  
547 1.1% 21%  
548 2% 20%  
549 2% 18%  
550 2% 16%  
551 2% 14%  
552 2% 13%  
553 0.8% 11%  
554 0.8% 10%  
555 2% 9%  
556 0.5% 8%  
557 0.7% 7%  
558 0.7% 7%  
559 0.8% 6%  
560 0.6% 5%  
561 0.5% 5%  
562 0.6% 4%  
563 0.3% 4%  
564 0.5% 3%  
565 0.3% 3%  
566 0.4% 3%  
567 0.3% 2%  
568 0.2% 2%  
569 0.1% 2%  
570 0.2% 2%  
571 0.2% 1.3%  
572 0.2% 1.2%  
573 0.2% 1.0%  
574 0.2% 0.8%  
575 0.1% 0.6%  
576 0.1% 0.5%  
577 0.1% 0.4%  
578 0.1% 0.3%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.8%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.7%  
464 0.1% 99.6%  
465 0.1% 99.6%  
466 0% 99.5%  
467 0.1% 99.4%  
468 0.1% 99.3%  
469 0.2% 99.2%  
470 0.1% 99.1%  
471 0.1% 99.0%  
472 0.3% 98.9%  
473 0.1% 98.6%  
474 0.1% 98.5%  
475 0.1% 98%  
476 0.2% 98%  
477 0.1% 98%  
478 0.1% 98%  
479 0.2% 98%  
480 0.2% 98%  
481 0.1% 98%  
482 0.1% 97%  
483 0.1% 97%  
484 0.4% 97%  
485 0.1% 97%  
486 0.2% 97%  
487 0.5% 96%  
488 0.3% 96%  
489 0.2% 96%  
490 0.2% 95%  
491 0.1% 95%  
492 0.3% 95%  
493 0.3% 95%  
494 0.6% 94%  
495 0.3% 94%  
496 0.4% 94%  
497 0.7% 93%  
498 0.9% 92%  
499 0.5% 92%  
500 0.6% 91%  
501 1.0% 90%  
502 0.7% 89%  
503 0.6% 89%  
504 1.1% 88%  
505 0.7% 87%  
506 1.1% 86%  
507 1.4% 85%  
508 0.8% 84%  
509 1.0% 83%  
510 0.4% 82%  
511 1.0% 81%  
512 3% 80%  
513 0.5% 78%  
514 2% 77%  
515 0.7% 75%  
516 2% 75%  
517 3% 73%  
518 2% 70%  
519 1.1% 68%  
520 0.6% 67%  
521 2% 67%  
522 0.9% 65%  
523 1.0% 64%  
524 1.1% 63%  
525 2% 62%  
526 1.4% 60%  
527 1.3% 58%  
528 3% 57%  
529 3% 54%  
530 2% 51%  
531 4% 49% Median
532 1.0% 45%  
533 3% 44%  
534 2% 41%  
535 2% 39%  
536 4% 38%  
537 2% 34%  
538 3% 32%  
539 2% 29%  
540 3% 27%  
541 2% 24%  
542 1.3% 22%  
543 1.2% 20%  
544 3% 19%  
545 2% 17%  
546 2% 15%  
547 1.4% 13%  
548 1.0% 11%  
549 0.8% 11%  
550 1.2% 10%  
551 0.9% 9%  
552 0.5% 8%  
553 0.8% 7%  
554 0.7% 6%  
555 0.7% 6%  
556 0.7% 5%  
557 0.5% 4%  
558 0.4% 4%  
559 0.4% 3%  
560 0.3% 3%  
561 0.5% 3%  
562 0.3% 2%  
563 0.2% 2%  
564 0.1% 2%  
565 0.2% 2%  
566 0.2% 1.4%  
567 0.1% 1.2%  
568 0.2% 1.1%  
569 0.2% 0.9%  
570 0.1% 0.7%  
571 0.1% 0.5%  
572 0.2% 0.4%  
573 0.1% 0.3%  
574 0% 0.2%  
575 0% 0.2%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0.1%  
580 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0.1% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0% 99.7%  
460 0.1% 99.7%  
461 0.1% 99.6%  
462 0.3% 99.5%  
463 0.1% 99.3%  
464 0% 99.2%  
465 0% 99.2%  
466 0.1% 99.2%  
467 0.1% 99.1%  
468 0.3% 99.0%  
469 0.3% 98.7%  
470 0.3% 98%  
471 0.1% 98%  
472 0.1% 98%  
473 0.2% 98%  
474 0.1% 98%  
475 0.1% 98%  
476 0% 97%  
477 0.2% 97%  
478 0.1% 97%  
479 0.4% 97%  
480 0% 97%  
481 0.1% 97%  
482 0.8% 97%  
483 0.4% 96%  
484 0.2% 95%  
485 0.2% 95%  
486 0.6% 95%  
487 0.2% 95%  
488 0.4% 94%  
489 0.1% 94%  
490 0.5% 94%  
491 0.3% 93%  
492 2% 93%  
493 1.1% 91%  
494 2% 90%  
495 0.7% 88%  
496 1.0% 88%  
497 1.0% 87%  
498 0% 86%  
499 0.1% 86%  
500 0.3% 86%  
501 1.4% 85%  
502 5% 84%  
503 0.3% 79%  
504 1.3% 79%  
505 2% 78%  
506 1.4% 76%  
507 4% 74%  
508 0.3% 70%  
509 1.2% 70%  
510 0.9% 69%  
511 0.4% 68%  
512 2% 67%  
513 0% 66%  
514 0.3% 66%  
515 2% 65%  
516 4% 64%  
517 0.5% 60%  
518 5% 59%  
519 3% 55%  
520 2% 52%  
521 0.3% 51% Median
522 4% 50%  
523 2% 47%  
524 6% 45%  
525 6% 39%  
526 4% 32%  
527 0.7% 28%  
528 0.9% 28%  
529 2% 27%  
530 3% 25%  
531 3% 22%  
532 2% 19%  
533 2% 16%  
534 1.3% 15%  
535 3% 14%  
536 2% 11%  
537 0.5% 8%  
538 0.5% 8%  
539 0.4% 7%  
540 0.7% 7%  
541 0.6% 6%  
542 0.5% 6%  
543 0.2% 5%  
544 0.8% 5%  
545 1.1% 4%  
546 0.7% 3%  
547 0.1% 2%  
548 0.3% 2%  
549 0.4% 2%  
550 0.4% 2%  
551 0.1% 1.3%  
552 0% 1.2%  
553 0.3% 1.2%  
554 0.1% 0.9%  
555 0.1% 0.8%  
556 0.1% 0.8%  
557 0.3% 0.6%  
558 0.1% 0.3%  
559 0.1% 0.2%  
560 0.1% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0.1% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.7%  
456 0.1% 99.6%  
457 0.2% 99.5%  
458 0.1% 99.3%  
459 0% 99.2%  
460 0% 99.2%  
461 0.1% 99.2%  
462 0.1% 99.1%  
463 0.3% 99.0%  
464 0.2% 98.7%  
465 0.4% 98.5%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.1% 98%  
468 0.2% 98%  
469 0.1% 98%  
470 0.1% 98%  
471 0.1% 97%  
472 0.2% 97%  
473 0.2% 97%  
474 0.3% 97%  
475 0.1% 97%  
476 0.2% 97%  
477 0.6% 97%  
478 0.4% 96%  
479 0.2% 96%  
480 0.2% 95%  
481 0.5% 95%  
482 0.2% 95%  
483 0.4% 94%  
484 0.2% 94%  
485 0.4% 94%  
486 0.4% 93%  
487 1.5% 93%  
488 0.9% 92%  
489 1.2% 91%  
490 2% 89%  
491 1.0% 88%  
492 0.8% 87%  
493 0.2% 86%  
494 0.1% 86%  
495 0.3% 86%  
496 1.0% 85%  
497 4% 84%  
498 0.8% 80%  
499 1.1% 79%  
500 2% 78%  
501 2% 76%  
502 4% 75%  
503 0.7% 71%  
504 1.5% 70%  
505 0.5% 69%  
506 0.9% 68%  
507 0.9% 67%  
508 0.6% 66%  
509 0.3% 66%  
510 2% 65%  
511 3% 64%  
512 0.7% 60%  
513 3% 60%  
514 5% 57%  
515 2% 53%  
516 0.4% 51% Median
517 3% 51%  
518 2% 47%  
519 5% 45%  
520 5% 40%  
521 5% 35%  
522 2% 30%  
523 0.7% 28%  
524 1.4% 27%  
525 2% 26%  
526 4% 23%  
527 2% 20%  
528 2% 17%  
529 2% 16%  
530 2% 14%  
531 3% 12%  
532 1.1% 9%  
533 0.5% 8%  
534 0.2% 8%  
535 0.7% 7%  
536 0.8% 7%  
537 0.5% 6%  
538 0.3% 5%  
539 0.6% 5%  
540 1.0% 5%  
541 0.8% 4%  
542 0.3% 3%  
543 0.3% 2%  
544 0.4% 2%  
545 0.4% 2%  
546 0.2% 1.5%  
547 0.1% 1.2%  
548 0.2% 1.2%  
549 0% 0.9%  
550 0.1% 0.9%  
551 0.1% 0.8%  
552 0.2% 0.7%  
553 0.1% 0.4%  
554 0.1% 0.3%  
555 0.1% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0% 99.8%  
418 0% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.7%  
420 0% 99.6%  
421 0.1% 99.6%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0% 99.4%  
424 0.1% 99.3%  
425 0% 99.3%  
426 0.2% 99.2%  
427 0.1% 99.1%  
428 0.1% 99.0%  
429 0.1% 98.9%  
430 0.2% 98.8%  
431 0% 98.7%  
432 0.1% 98.6%  
433 0.1% 98%  
434 0.1% 98%  
435 0.1% 98%  
436 0% 98%  
437 0.2% 98%  
438 0.2% 98%  
439 0.4% 98%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.1% 97%  
442 0.2% 97%  
443 0.4% 97%  
444 0.2% 97%  
445 0.2% 96%  
446 0.7% 96%  
447 0.3% 96%  
448 0.4% 95%  
449 0.2% 95%  
450 0.2% 95%  
451 0.1% 94%  
452 0.2% 94%  
453 0.3% 94%  
454 0.4% 94%  
455 0.6% 93%  
456 0.6% 93%  
457 0.4% 92%  
458 1.4% 92%  
459 0.4% 90%  
460 1.0% 90%  
461 0.6% 89%  
462 1.3% 88%  
463 1.0% 87%  
464 0.6% 86%  
465 0.5% 86%  
466 0.6% 85%  
467 1.2% 85%  
468 0.6% 83%  
469 1.3% 83%  
470 2% 81%  
471 0.8% 80%  
472 0.7% 79%  
473 0.7% 78%  
474 3% 77%  
475 2% 75%  
476 0.8% 73%  
477 1.4% 72%  
478 2% 71%  
479 2% 69%  
480 0.9% 68%  
481 0.9% 67%  
482 1.0% 66%  
483 2% 65%  
484 2% 63%  
485 2% 61%  
486 1.2% 59%  
487 2% 58%  
488 2% 56%  
489 3% 54%  
490 2% 52%  
491 3% 49% Median
492 3% 47%  
493 2% 44%  
494 2% 42%  
495 2% 40%  
496 1.3% 38%  
497 2% 36%  
498 4% 35%  
499 2% 31%  
500 2% 29%  
501 1.5% 27%  
502 2% 26%  
503 1.4% 23%  
504 2% 22%  
505 0.8% 20%  
506 1.5% 19%  
507 1.2% 18%  
508 2% 17%  
509 1.2% 15%  
510 1.0% 13%  
511 0.8% 12%  
512 1.1% 12%  
513 1.2% 10%  
514 0.8% 9%  
515 0.9% 8%  
516 0.9% 8%  
517 0.8% 7%  
518 0.3% 6%  
519 0.4% 6%  
520 0.4% 5%  
521 0.4% 5%  
522 0.6% 4%  
523 0.5% 4%  
524 0.3% 3%  
525 0.3% 3%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.2% 2%  
529 0.2% 2%  
530 0.2% 1.5%  
531 0.2% 1.3%  
532 0.1% 1.1%  
533 0.2% 1.0%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.6%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.4%  
420 0.1% 99.3%  
421 0.1% 99.2%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.1% 98.9%  
425 0% 98.8%  
426 0.2% 98.8%  
427 0.1% 98.6%  
428 0.1% 98%  
429 0.1% 98%  
430 0% 98%  
431 0.1% 98%  
432 0.1% 98%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.3% 98%  
435 0.2% 97%  
436 0.1% 97%  
437 0.1% 97%  
438 0.4% 97%  
439 0.2% 97%  
440 0.1% 96%  
441 0.8% 96%  
442 0.2% 96%  
443 0.5% 95%  
444 0.2% 95%  
445 0.2% 95%  
446 0.1% 94%  
447 0.2% 94%  
448 0.3% 94%  
449 0.4% 94%  
450 0.5% 93%  
451 0.7% 93%  
452 0.4% 92%  
453 0.8% 92%  
454 0.9% 91%  
455 0.9% 90%  
456 0.7% 89%  
457 0.8% 89%  
458 1.4% 88%  
459 0.6% 86%  
460 0.5% 86%  
461 0.4% 85%  
462 1.3% 85%  
463 0.4% 83%  
464 1.4% 83%  
465 2% 82%  
466 1.0% 80%  
467 0.7% 79%  
468 0.4% 78%  
469 3% 78%  
470 2% 75%  
471 0.9% 73%  
472 1.0% 72%  
473 2% 71%  
474 2% 70%  
475 0.8% 68%  
476 1.1% 67%  
477 0.7% 66%  
478 2% 65%  
479 2% 63%  
480 1.4% 61%  
481 2% 60%  
482 2% 58%  
483 1.4% 57%  
484 2% 55%  
485 4% 53%  
486 3% 50% Median
487 3% 47%  
488 1.5% 44%  
489 2% 43%  
490 2% 40%  
491 2% 38%  
492 1.2% 37%  
493 4% 35%  
494 2% 32%  
495 2% 30%  
496 2% 28%  
497 2% 26%  
498 2% 24%  
499 1.4% 22%  
500 1.3% 21%  
501 0.9% 19%  
502 1.5% 19%  
503 2% 17%  
504 1.0% 15%  
505 1.2% 14%  
506 1.1% 13%  
507 1.1% 12%  
508 1.2% 11%  
509 0.6% 9%  
510 0.9% 9%  
511 0.8% 8%  
512 0.8% 7%  
513 0.6% 6%  
514 0.4% 6%  
515 0.5% 5%  
516 0.5% 5%  
517 0.4% 4%  
518 0.6% 4%  
519 0.4% 3%  
520 0.3% 3%  
521 0.2% 3%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.2% 1.4%  
527 0.1% 1.2%  
528 0.3% 1.1%  
529 0.1% 0.8%  
530 0.1% 0.7%  
531 0.1% 0.6%  
532 0.1% 0.5%  
533 0.1% 0.4%  
534 0.1% 0.4%  
535 0.1% 0.3%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.6%  
412 0% 99.6%  
413 0.1% 99.6%  
414 0.1% 99.5%  
415 0.2% 99.4%  
416 0.1% 99.2%  
417 0.1% 99.1%  
418 0% 99.0%  
419 0.1% 99.0%  
420 0.1% 98.9%  
421 0.1% 98.8%  
422 0.1% 98.7%  
423 0.2% 98.6%  
424 0.1% 98%  
425 0.1% 98%  
426 0.1% 98%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.2% 98%  
429 0.3% 98%  
430 0.2% 97%  
431 0.1% 97%  
432 0.2% 97%  
433 0.1% 97%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.2% 96%  
436 0.7% 96%  
437 0.3% 96%  
438 0.5% 95%  
439 0.3% 95%  
440 0.5% 94%  
441 0.4% 94%  
442 0.3% 94%  
443 0.4% 93%  
444 0.5% 93%  
445 0.5% 92%  
446 0.8% 92%  
447 0.5% 91%  
448 1.1% 91%  
449 1.1% 89%  
450 0.5% 88%  
451 1.4% 88%  
452 0.6% 87%  
453 1.2% 86%  
454 2% 85%  
455 0.6% 83%  
456 2% 83%  
457 1.0% 81%  
458 0.5% 80%  
459 2% 80%  
460 0.9% 77%  
461 2% 76%  
462 0.7% 74%  
463 2% 73%  
464 2% 71%  
465 1.4% 70%  
466 0.6% 68%  
467 1.2% 68%  
468 1.3% 67%  
469 1.1% 65%  
470 3% 64%  
471 2% 61%  
472 1.4% 59%  
473 3% 58%  
474 3% 55%  
475 2% 52%  
476 2% 50% Median
477 1.5% 48%  
478 3% 47%  
479 3% 44%  
480 3% 41%  
481 3% 38%  
482 3% 35%  
483 2% 33%  
484 2% 31%  
485 3% 29%  
486 2% 26%  
487 2% 24%  
488 2% 22%  
489 2% 20%  
490 1.2% 19%  
491 2% 17%  
492 2% 16%  
493 1.1% 14%  
494 1.3% 13%  
495 1.2% 12%  
496 1.1% 10%  
497 1.0% 9%  
498 1.0% 8%  
499 0.6% 7%  
500 0.9% 7%  
501 0.6% 6%  
502 0.3% 5%  
503 0.8% 5%  
504 0.6% 4%  
505 0.4% 3%  
506 0.4% 3%  
507 0.6% 3%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0.3% 2%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.2% 1.5%  
512 0.2% 1.3%  
513 0.1% 1.1%  
514 0.2% 1.0%  
515 0.1% 0.7%  
516 0.2% 0.7%  
517 0.1% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.6%  
407 0% 99.6%  
408 0% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.2% 99.4%  
411 0.2% 99.3%  
412 0.1% 99.1%  
413 0% 99.0%  
414 0.1% 99.0%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.1% 98.8%  
417 0.1% 98.7%  
418 0.1% 98.6%  
419 0.2% 98.5%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.1% 98%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.1% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.2% 97%  
429 0.2% 97%  
430 0.1% 96%  
431 0.7% 96%  
432 0.2% 96%  
433 0.5% 95%  
434 0.3% 95%  
435 0.5% 95%  
436 0.6% 94%  
437 0.2% 94%  
438 0.5% 93%  
439 0.3% 93%  
440 0.6% 93%  
441 0.9% 92%  
442 0.5% 91%  
443 0.7% 91%  
444 1.3% 90%  
445 0.6% 89%  
446 0.9% 88%  
447 1.2% 87%  
448 0.9% 86%  
449 2% 85%  
450 0.8% 83%  
451 1.3% 83%  
452 1.2% 81%  
453 0.5% 80%  
454 2% 80%  
455 1.4% 78%  
456 2% 76%  
457 0.7% 74%  
458 2% 74%  
459 2% 72%  
460 1.3% 70%  
461 0.6% 69%  
462 1.1% 68%  
463 0.8% 67%  
464 1.3% 66%  
465 2% 65%  
466 2% 62%  
467 2% 60%  
468 3% 58%  
469 2% 56%  
470 3% 53%  
471 2% 51% Median
472 1.4% 49%  
473 2% 47%  
474 3% 45%  
475 3% 42%  
476 4% 39%  
477 2% 36%  
478 2% 34%  
479 2% 32%  
480 3% 29%  
481 2% 26%  
482 2% 25%  
483 2% 23%  
484 1.5% 21%  
485 1.4% 19%  
486 1.3% 18%  
487 2% 17%  
488 1.3% 15%  
489 1.2% 13%  
490 2% 12%  
491 0.8% 11%  
492 1.1% 10%  
493 1.2% 9%  
494 0.6% 8%  
495 1.0% 7%  
496 0.5% 6%  
497 0.5% 5%  
498 0.6% 5%  
499 0.6% 4%  
500 0.6% 4%  
501 0.3% 3%  
502 0.5% 3%  
503 0.3% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.2% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.4%  
508 0.1% 1.1%  
509 0.2% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.2% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 0.1% 99.5%  
97 0.1% 99.4%  
98 0.1% 99.3%  
99 0.3% 99.2%  
100 0.1% 98.9%  
101 0.2% 98.8%  
102 0.1% 98.6%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.4% 98%  
106 0.2% 98%  
107 0.3% 97%  
108 0.5% 97%  
109 0.5% 97%  
110 0.5% 96%  
111 0.5% 96%  
112 0.4% 95%  
113 0.5% 95%  
114 0.6% 94%  
115 0.7% 94%  
116 0.7% 93%  
117 0.9% 92%  
118 0.7% 91%  
119 0.9% 91%  
120 1.1% 90%  
121 1.2% 89%  
122 0.8% 88%  
123 1.3% 87%  
124 2% 85%  
125 1.4% 84%  
126 1.5% 82%  
127 1.1% 81%  
128 1.4% 80%  
129 1.2% 79%  
130 0.9% 77%  
131 3% 76%  
132 1.1% 73%  
133 2% 72%  
134 3% 70%  
135 3% 68%  
136 1.4% 65%  
137 1.1% 63%  
138 2% 62%  
139 1.5% 60%  
140 2% 59%  
141 2% 57%  
142 3% 55%  
143 3% 52%  
144 3% 49% Median
145 2% 46%  
146 2% 44%  
147 1.2% 43%  
148 1.5% 42%  
149 2% 40%  
150 2% 38%  
151 2% 36%  
152 0.7% 35%  
153 1.1% 34%  
154 0.8% 33%  
155 2% 32%  
156 2% 30%  
157 0.9% 29%  
158 0.9% 28%  
159 2% 27%  
160 3% 25%  
161 0.4% 22%  
162 0.7% 22%  
163 1.0% 21%  
164 2% 20%  
165 1.4% 18%  
166 0.4% 17%  
167 1.3% 17%  
168 0.4% 15%  
169 0.5% 15%  
170 0.6% 14%  
171 1.4% 14%  
172 0.8% 12%  
173 0.7% 11%  
174 0.9% 11%  
175 0.9% 10%  
176 0.8% 9%  
177 0.4% 8%  
178 0.7% 8%  
179 0.5% 7%  
180 0.4% 7%  
181 0.3% 6%  
182 0.2% 6%  
183 0.1% 6%  
184 0.2% 6%  
185 0.2% 5%  
186 0.5% 5%  
187 0.2% 5%  
188 0.8% 4%  
189 0.1% 4%  
190 0.2% 4%  
191 0.4% 3%  
192 0.1% 3%  
193 0.1% 3%  
194 0.2% 3%  
195 0.3% 3%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 0.1% 2%  
199 0% 2%  
200 0.1% 2%  
201 0.1% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.4%  
204 0% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 1.2%  
206 0.1% 1.1%  
207 0.1% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.8%  
210 0.1% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.1% 99.5%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.2% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 99.0%  
96 0.2% 98.9%  
97 0.2% 98.7%  
98 0.2% 98.5%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.3% 98%  
102 0.3% 98%  
103 0.3% 97%  
104 0.5% 97%  
105 0.7% 96%  
106 0.4% 96%  
107 0.4% 95%  
108 0.5% 95%  
109 0.3% 94%  
110 0.8% 94%  
111 0.8% 93%  
112 0.6% 93%  
113 1.1% 92%  
114 0.9% 91%  
115 1.1% 90%  
116 1.0% 89%  
117 0.9% 88%  
118 0.9% 87%  
119 2% 86%  
120 1.2% 84%  
121 1.4% 83%  
122 1.0% 82%  
123 2% 81%  
124 0.6% 79%  
125 1.3% 78%  
126 3% 77%  
127 1.5% 74%  
128 1.4% 73%  
129 3% 71%  
130 3% 68%  
131 0.7% 65%  
132 2% 64%  
133 2% 63%  
134 1.5% 60%  
135 1.5% 59%  
136 2% 58%  
137 3% 55%  
138 3% 52%  
139 2% 50% Median
140 3% 48%  
141 2% 45%  
142 1.2% 43%  
143 1.0% 42%  
144 2% 41%  
145 2% 39%  
146 2% 37%  
147 0.9% 35%  
148 0.8% 34%  
149 0.9% 33%  
150 2% 32%  
151 2% 31%  
152 1.4% 29%  
153 0.8% 28%  
154 2% 27%  
155 3% 25%  
156 0.7% 23%  
157 0.7% 22%  
158 0.8% 21%  
159 2% 20%  
160 1.3% 19%  
161 0.6% 17%  
162 1.2% 17%  
163 0.6% 15%  
164 0.5% 15%  
165 0.6% 14%  
166 1.0% 14%  
167 1.3% 13%  
168 0.6% 12%  
169 1.0% 11%  
170 0.4% 10%  
171 1.4% 10%  
172 0.4% 8%  
173 0.6% 8%  
174 0.6% 7%  
175 0.4% 7%  
176 0.3% 6%  
177 0.2% 6%  
178 0.1% 6%  
179 0.2% 6%  
180 0.2% 5%  
181 0.4% 5%  
182 0.3% 5%  
183 0.7% 4%  
184 0.2% 4%  
185 0.2% 4%  
186 0.4% 3%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.1% 3%  
189 0.2% 3%  
190 0.4% 3%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0% 2%  
194 0.1% 2%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 0% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.3%  
200 0.1% 1.2%  
201 0.1% 1.1%  
202 0.1% 1.0%  
203 0.2% 0.9%  
204 0% 0.8%  
205 0.1% 0.7%  
206 0% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.3% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.1% 99.2%  
73 0.1% 99.2%  
74 0.3% 99.1%  
75 0% 98.8%  
76 0.1% 98.8%  
77 0.4% 98.7%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 0.3% 98%  
80 0.1% 98%  
81 0.7% 98%  
82 1.1% 97%  
83 0.8% 96%  
84 0.2% 95%  
85 0.5% 95%  
86 0.6% 94%  
87 0.7% 94%  
88 0.4% 93%  
89 0.5% 93%  
90 0.5% 92%  
91 2% 92%  
92 3% 90%  
93 1.3% 86%  
94 1.4% 85%  
95 2% 84%  
96 2% 82%  
97 4% 80%  
98 2% 76%  
99 2% 74%  
100 0.6% 73%  
101 1.3% 72%  
102 3% 71%  
103 4% 68%  
104 4% 64%  
105 5% 60%  
106 3% 55%  
107 3% 52%  
108 0.4% 50%  
109 2% 49% Median
110 3% 48%  
111 5% 45%  
112 0.5% 40%  
113 4% 40%  
114 2% 36%  
115 0.3% 35%  
116 0.1% 34%  
117 2% 34%  
118 0.4% 33%  
119 0.9% 32%  
120 1.2% 31%  
121 0.3% 30%  
122 4% 30%  
123 1.4% 26%  
124 2% 24%  
125 1.3% 22%  
126 0.3% 21%  
127 5% 21%  
128 1.4% 16%  
129 0.3% 15%  
130 0.1% 14%  
131 0% 14%  
132 1.0% 14%  
133 1.0% 13%  
134 0.7% 12%  
135 2% 12%  
136 1.1% 10%  
137 2% 9%  
138 0.2% 7%  
139 0.5% 7%  
140 0.1% 6%  
141 0.4% 6%  
142 0.2% 6%  
143 0.6% 5%  
144 0.2% 5%  
145 0.2% 5%  
146 0.4% 5%  
147 0.8% 4%  
148 0.1% 3%  
149 0% 3%  
150 0.4% 3%  
151 0.1% 3%  
152 0.2% 3%  
153 0% 3%  
154 0.1% 3%  
155 0.1% 2%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.1% 2%  
158 0.1% 2%  
159 0.3% 2%  
160 0.3% 2%  
161 0.3% 1.3%  
162 0.1% 1.0%  
163 0.1% 0.9%  
164 0% 0.8%  
165 0% 0.8%  
166 0.1% 0.8%  
167 0.3% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0% 0.3%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0.1% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.2% 99.7%  
56 0.1% 99.6%  
57 0.1% 99.5%  
58 0.2% 99.3%  
59 0.2% 99.1%  
60 0.1% 98.9%  
61 0.2% 98.8%  
62 0.2% 98.6%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0.2% 98%  
65 0.3% 98%  
66 0.5% 98%  
67 0.3% 97%  
68 0.4% 97%  
69 0.4% 97%  
70 0.5% 96%  
71 0.7% 96%  
72 0.7% 95%  
73 0.7% 94%  
74 0.8% 94%  
75 0.5% 93%  
76 0.9% 92%  
77 1.2% 91%  
78 0.8% 90%  
79 0.9% 89%  
80 1.3% 89%  
81 2% 87%  
82 2% 85%  
83 2% 84%  
84 2% 82%  
85 0.9% 80%  
86 2% 79%  
87 2% 77%  
88 3% 75%  
89 1.3% 72%  
90 3% 71%  
91 2% 68%  
92 3% 67%  
93 2% 64%  
94 1.0% 61%  
95 2% 60%  
96 3% 58%  
97 1.3% 56%  
98 3% 54%  
99 2% 51% Median
100 3% 49%  
101 3% 46%  
102 1.2% 43%  
103 1.4% 42%  
104 2% 40%  
105 1.1% 38%  
106 1.0% 37%  
107 0.9% 36%  
108 2% 35%  
109 0.6% 33%  
110 1.1% 33%  
111 2% 32%  
112 3% 30%  
113 2% 27%  
114 0.7% 25%  
115 2% 25%  
116 0.5% 23%  
117 3% 22%  
118 1.0% 20%  
119 0.4% 19%  
120 1.0% 18%  
121 0.8% 17%  
122 1.4% 16%  
123 1.1% 15%  
124 0.7% 14%  
125 1.1% 13%  
126 0.6% 12%  
127 0.7% 11%  
128 1.0% 11%  
129 0.6% 10%  
130 0.5% 9%  
131 0.9% 8%  
132 0.7% 8%  
133 0.4% 7%  
134 0.3% 6%  
135 0.6% 6%  
136 0.3% 6%  
137 0.3% 5%  
138 0.1% 5%  
139 0.2% 5%  
140 0.2% 5%  
141 0.3% 4%  
142 0.5% 4%  
143 0.2% 4%  
144 0.1% 3%  
145 0.4% 3%  
146 0.1% 3%  
147 0.1% 3%  
148 0.1% 3%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0.1% 2%  
152 0.1% 2%  
153 0.2% 2%  
154 0.1% 2%  
155 0.1% 2%  
156 0.1% 1.5%  
157 0.3% 1.4%  
158 0.1% 1.1%  
159 0.1% 1.0%  
160 0.2% 0.9%  
161 0.1% 0.8%  
162 0.1% 0.7%  
163 0% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.8%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 0.2% 99.4%  
54 0.2% 99.2%  
55 0.2% 99.0%  
56 0.2% 98.8%  
57 0.2% 98.7%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 0.2% 98%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.3% 97%  
63 0.5% 97%  
64 0.3% 97%  
65 0.6% 96%  
66 0.5% 96%  
67 0.6% 95%  
68 0.8% 95%  
69 0.7% 94%  
70 0.7% 93%  
71 0.5% 93%  
72 2% 92%  
73 0.8% 91%  
74 0.8% 90%  
75 2% 89%  
76 2% 87%  
77 2% 86%  
78 2% 84%  
79 1.4% 82%  
80 2% 81%  
81 1.5% 79%  
82 2% 78%  
83 2% 76%  
84 2% 74%  
85 2% 71%  
86 2% 69%  
87 4% 68%  
88 3% 64%  
89 1.0% 61%  
90 2% 60%  
91 2% 58%  
92 1.3% 56%  
93 3% 55%  
94 1.4% 51% Median
95 2% 50%  
96 4% 48%  
97 2% 44%  
98 1.4% 42%  
99 1.5% 40%  
100 2% 39%  
101 0.8% 37%  
102 1.3% 36%  
103 2% 35%  
104 0.3% 33%  
105 1.1% 33%  
106 2% 32%  
107 3% 30%  
108 2% 27%  
109 1.0% 26%  
110 2% 25%  
111 0.5% 23%  
112 3% 23%  
113 1.1% 20%  
114 0.4% 19%  
115 0.8% 18%  
116 0.7% 17%  
117 2% 17%  
118 1.1% 15%  
119 0.7% 14%  
120 0.6% 13%  
121 1.1% 13%  
122 0.8% 12%  
123 0.6% 11%  
124 0.7% 10%  
125 0.7% 9%  
126 0.9% 9%  
127 0.8% 8%  
128 0.3% 7%  
129 0.4% 7%  
130 0.6% 6%  
131 0.3% 6%  
132 0.3% 5%  
133 0.2% 5%  
134 0.2% 5%  
135 0.2% 5%  
136 0.3% 4%  
137 0.4% 4%  
138 0.2% 4%  
139 0.1% 3%  
140 0.4% 3%  
141 0.2% 3%  
142 0.1% 3%  
143 0.2% 3%  
144 0.2% 2%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.1% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.1% 2%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0% 1.5%  
152 0.1% 1.4%  
153 0.3% 1.3%  
154 0.1% 1.0%  
155 0.2% 0.9%  
156 0.1% 0.8%  
157 0.1% 0.7%  
158 0% 0.6%  
159 0.1% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations