Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 25–26 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 53.2% 51.6–54.9% 51.2–55.3% 50.8–55.7% 50.0–56.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.0% 22.7–25.5% 22.3–25.9% 22.0–26.2% 21.4–26.9%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.4% 8.5–10.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.8%
Green Party 2.8% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 441 413–463 407–467 401–471 393–477
Conservative Party 365 104 78–135 74–142 71–148 63–156
Liberal Democrats 11 24 18–32 17–33 17–35 15–39
Scottish National Party 48 56 48–58 46–58 45–58 42–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.2% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.3%  
395 0.1% 99.2%  
396 0.2% 99.0%  
397 0.1% 98.8%  
398 0.5% 98.7%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.3% 98%  
402 0.4% 97%  
403 0.6% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.2% 96%  
406 0.5% 95%  
407 0.5% 95%  
408 1.1% 95%  
409 0.4% 93%  
410 2% 93%  
411 0.5% 91%  
412 0.7% 91%  
413 1.3% 90%  
414 0.3% 89%  
415 0.3% 89%  
416 0.3% 88%  
417 0.3% 88%  
418 0.2% 88%  
419 2% 87%  
420 0.4% 86%  
421 0.7% 85%  
422 0.7% 85%  
423 2% 84%  
424 1.3% 82%  
425 0.7% 80%  
426 0.5% 80%  
427 2% 79%  
428 1.4% 77%  
429 3% 76%  
430 1.1% 73%  
431 0.7% 72%  
432 3% 71%  
433 3% 68%  
434 3% 65%  
435 2% 62%  
436 0.9% 60%  
437 0.9% 59%  
438 2% 58%  
439 2% 57%  
440 3% 55%  
441 3% 52% Median
442 4% 49%  
443 3% 44%  
444 2% 41%  
445 2% 39%  
446 1.4% 37%  
447 1.0% 35%  
448 0.9% 34%  
449 2% 33%  
450 1.1% 31%  
451 0.9% 30%  
452 2% 29%  
453 2% 27%  
454 2% 25%  
455 3% 23%  
456 1.2% 20%  
457 0.9% 19%  
458 0.6% 18%  
459 2% 17%  
460 2% 16%  
461 1.1% 14%  
462 1.3% 13%  
463 2% 11%  
464 2% 9%  
465 1.1% 7%  
466 0.7% 6%  
467 0.8% 6%  
468 0.9% 5%  
469 0.4% 4%  
470 0.5% 3%  
471 0.5% 3%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.4% 2%  
474 0.5% 1.5%  
475 0.2% 1.0%  
476 0.2% 0.8%  
477 0.2% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.1% 99.4%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.2% 99.2%  
67 0.3% 99.0%  
68 0.2% 98.6%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.5% 97%  
73 0.6% 96%  
74 1.1% 96%  
75 0.8% 95%  
76 2% 94%  
77 1.3% 92%  
78 1.0% 91%  
79 1.0% 90%  
80 1.2% 89%  
81 1.1% 88%  
82 2% 86%  
83 0.7% 85%  
84 2% 84%  
85 0.7% 82%  
86 1.5% 81%  
87 1.2% 80%  
88 0.9% 78%  
89 1.3% 78%  
90 0.9% 76%  
91 3% 75%  
92 2% 73%  
93 1.3% 71%  
94 1.5% 70%  
95 0.4% 68%  
96 2% 68%  
97 2% 66%  
98 2% 63%  
99 2% 62%  
100 0.9% 60%  
101 3% 59%  
102 3% 56%  
103 2% 53%  
104 2% 51% Median
105 2% 49%  
106 1.2% 47%  
107 1.2% 46%  
108 2% 44%  
109 1.5% 43%  
110 3% 41%  
111 1.0% 38%  
112 2% 37%  
113 2% 36%  
114 3% 34%  
115 2% 31%  
116 3% 29%  
117 1.1% 27%  
118 1.3% 26%  
119 2% 24%  
120 1.0% 23%  
121 0.9% 22%  
122 2% 21%  
123 1.4% 19%  
124 0.7% 18%  
125 0.5% 17%  
126 1.5% 16%  
127 2% 15%  
128 0.3% 13%  
129 0.3% 13%  
130 0.8% 13%  
131 0.2% 12%  
132 0.3% 12%  
133 0.7% 11%  
134 0.6% 11%  
135 0.7% 10%  
136 0.7% 9%  
137 2% 9%  
138 0.3% 7%  
139 0.5% 7%  
140 0.5% 6%  
141 0.3% 6%  
142 0.7% 5%  
143 0.6% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 0.4% 4%  
146 0.4% 3%  
147 0.3% 3%  
148 0.6% 3%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 1.4%  
153 0.1% 1.2%  
154 0.2% 1.0%  
155 0.1% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.3% 99.9%  
15 1.0% 99.5%  
16 0.4% 98%  
17 3% 98%  
18 6% 95%  
19 8% 88%  
20 9% 80%  
21 10% 71%  
22 8% 61%  
23 2% 53%  
24 6% 51% Median
25 5% 45%  
26 10% 40%  
27 5% 30%  
28 3% 25%  
29 3% 22%  
30 2% 19%  
31 5% 17%  
32 5% 12%  
33 3% 7%  
34 2% 5%  
35 1.2% 3%  
36 0.8% 2%  
37 0.3% 1.1%  
38 0.2% 0.8%  
39 0.1% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.4%  
42 0% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 99.5%  
43 0.3% 99.4%  
44 0.6% 99.1%  
45 1.4% 98%  
46 3% 97%  
47 0.3% 94%  
48 4% 94% Last Result
49 0.6% 89%  
50 3% 89%  
51 1.3% 86%  
52 2% 84%  
53 8% 82%  
54 9% 74%  
55 14% 65%  
56 9% 51% Median
57 30% 42%  
58 12% 12%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.9%  
4 14% 97% Last Result
5 82% 83% Median
6 0.8% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 526 100% 495–550 488–554 482–557 474–565
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 525 100% 494–549 487–553 481–556 473–564
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 520 100% 490–544 482–548 477–551 468–559
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 501 100% 473–522 467–524 462–527 454–533
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 496 100% 468–517 462–520 457–522 449–528
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 471 100% 439–495 431–500 426–504 416–512
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 466 100% 435–490 426–496 421–499 411–508
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 446 100% 417–468 411–472 406–476 397–482
Labour Party 202 441 100% 413–463 407–467 401–471 393–477
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 163 0% 137–194 132–203 128–208 120–218
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 158 0% 132–190 127–198 123–203 115–213
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 128 0% 105–156 103–162 100–167 94–175
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 109 0% 83–139 79–147 76–152 68–161
Conservative Party 365 104 0% 78–135 74–142 71–148 63–156

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 100%  
464 0% 100%  
465 0% 100%  
466 0% 99.9%  
467 0% 99.9%  
468 0% 99.9%  
469 0.1% 99.9%  
470 0% 99.8%  
471 0.1% 99.8%  
472 0.1% 99.7%  
473 0.1% 99.6%  
474 0.2% 99.5%  
475 0.1% 99.3%  
476 0.2% 99.2%  
477 0.1% 99.0%  
478 0.2% 98.8%  
479 0.2% 98.6%  
480 0.2% 98%  
481 0.1% 98%  
482 0.6% 98%  
483 0.3% 97%  
484 0.4% 97%  
485 0.4% 97%  
486 0.6% 96%  
487 0.6% 96%  
488 0.7% 95%  
489 0.3% 95%  
490 0.5% 94%  
491 0.5% 94%  
492 0.3% 93%  
493 2% 93%  
494 0.7% 91%  
495 0.7% 91%  
496 0.6% 90%  
497 0.7% 89%  
498 0.3% 89%  
499 0.2% 88%  
500 0.8% 88%  
501 0.3% 87%  
502 0.3% 87%  
503 2% 87%  
504 1.5% 85%  
505 0.5% 84%  
506 0.7% 83%  
507 1.4% 82%  
508 2% 81%  
509 0.9% 79%  
510 1.0% 78%  
511 2% 77%  
512 1.3% 76%  
513 1.1% 74%  
514 2% 73%  
515 2% 71%  
516 3% 69%  
517 2% 66%  
518 2% 64%  
519 1.0% 63%  
520 3% 62%  
521 2% 59%  
522 2% 57%  
523 1.2% 56%  
524 1.2% 54%  
525 2% 53%  
526 3% 51%  
527 2% 49% Median
528 3% 47%  
529 4% 44%  
530 1.0% 40%  
531 2% 39%  
532 2% 38%  
533 3% 36%  
534 1.3% 33%  
535 1.1% 32%  
536 1.5% 31%  
537 2% 29%  
538 3% 27%  
539 0.6% 24%  
540 2% 24%  
541 1.5% 22%  
542 1.3% 21%  
543 1.0% 19%  
544 2% 18%  
545 0.8% 16%  
546 2% 16%  
547 1.1% 14%  
548 1.2% 13%  
549 1.1% 11%  
550 1.0% 10%  
551 1.3% 9%  
552 2% 8%  
553 0.8% 6%  
554 1.1% 5%  
555 0.6% 4%  
556 0.5% 4%  
557 0.8% 3%  
558 0.2% 2%  
559 0.5% 2%  
560 0.2% 2%  
561 0.3% 1.4%  
562 0.2% 1.0%  
563 0.2% 0.8%  
564 0.1% 0.7%  
565 0.2% 0.6%  
566 0.1% 0.4%  
567 0.1% 0.3%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.2%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 100%  
464 0% 100%  
465 0% 99.9%  
466 0% 99.9%  
467 0% 99.9%  
468 0.1% 99.9%  
469 0% 99.8%  
470 0.1% 99.8%  
471 0.1% 99.7%  
472 0.1% 99.6%  
473 0.2% 99.5%  
474 0.1% 99.3%  
475 0.2% 99.2%  
476 0.1% 99.0%  
477 0.2% 98.8%  
478 0.2% 98.6%  
479 0.2% 98%  
480 0.1% 98%  
481 0.6% 98%  
482 0.3% 97%  
483 0.4% 97%  
484 0.4% 97%  
485 0.6% 96%  
486 0.6% 96%  
487 0.7% 95%  
488 0.3% 95%  
489 0.5% 94%  
490 0.5% 94%  
491 0.3% 93%  
492 2% 93%  
493 0.7% 91%  
494 0.7% 91%  
495 0.6% 90%  
496 0.7% 89%  
497 0.3% 89%  
498 0.2% 88%  
499 0.8% 88%  
500 0.3% 87%  
501 0.3% 87%  
502 2% 87%  
503 1.5% 85%  
504 0.5% 84%  
505 0.7% 83%  
506 1.4% 82%  
507 2% 81%  
508 0.9% 79%  
509 1.0% 78%  
510 2% 77%  
511 1.3% 76%  
512 1.1% 74%  
513 2% 73%  
514 2% 71%  
515 3% 69%  
516 2% 66%  
517 2% 64%  
518 1.0% 63%  
519 3% 62%  
520 2% 59%  
521 2% 57%  
522 1.2% 56%  
523 1.2% 54%  
524 2% 53%  
525 3% 51%  
526 2% 49% Median
527 3% 47%  
528 4% 44%  
529 1.0% 40%  
530 2% 39%  
531 2% 38%  
532 3% 36%  
533 1.3% 33%  
534 1.1% 32%  
535 1.5% 31%  
536 2% 29%  
537 3% 27%  
538 0.6% 24%  
539 2% 24%  
540 1.5% 22%  
541 1.3% 21%  
542 1.0% 19%  
543 2% 18%  
544 0.8% 16%  
545 2% 16%  
546 1.1% 14%  
547 1.2% 13%  
548 1.1% 11%  
549 1.0% 10%  
550 1.3% 9%  
551 2% 8%  
552 0.8% 6%  
553 1.1% 5%  
554 0.6% 4%  
555 0.5% 4%  
556 0.8% 3%  
557 0.2% 2%  
558 0.5% 2%  
559 0.2% 2%  
560 0.3% 1.4%  
561 0.2% 1.0%  
562 0.2% 0.8%  
563 0.1% 0.7%  
564 0.2% 0.6%  
565 0.1% 0.4%  
566 0.1% 0.3%  
567 0% 0.2%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0.1% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0.1% 99.8%  
466 0.1% 99.7%  
467 0.1% 99.6%  
468 0.2% 99.5%  
469 0.1% 99.3%  
470 0.2% 99.2%  
471 0.1% 99.0%  
472 0.2% 98.9%  
473 0.3% 98.7%  
474 0.2% 98%  
475 0.1% 98%  
476 0.6% 98%  
477 0.2% 98%  
478 0.4% 97%  
479 0.4% 97%  
480 0.5% 96%  
481 0.5% 96%  
482 0.8% 95%  
483 0.2% 95%  
484 0.6% 94%  
485 0.5% 94%  
486 0.2% 93%  
487 2% 93%  
488 0.6% 91%  
489 0.5% 91%  
490 0.8% 90%  
491 0.6% 89%  
492 0.4% 89%  
493 0.3% 88%  
494 0.7% 88%  
495 0.3% 87%  
496 0.4% 87%  
497 2% 87%  
498 2% 85%  
499 0.4% 84%  
500 0.5% 83%  
501 0.9% 83%  
502 2% 82%  
503 0.8% 80%  
504 1.2% 79%  
505 2% 78%  
506 1.4% 76%  
507 1.0% 75%  
508 2% 74%  
509 2% 71%  
510 2% 69%  
511 3% 67%  
512 2% 64%  
513 1.1% 63%  
514 3% 62%  
515 1.4% 59%  
516 2% 58%  
517 1.4% 56%  
518 1.0% 54%  
519 2% 53%  
520 2% 52%  
521 2% 49% Median
522 3% 47%  
523 4% 44%  
524 1.1% 41%  
525 1.2% 40%  
526 2% 38%  
527 2% 36%  
528 2% 34%  
529 1.2% 32%  
530 1.4% 31%  
531 2% 30%  
532 3% 28%  
533 0.9% 25%  
534 2% 24%  
535 1.4% 22%  
536 1.4% 21%  
537 0.8% 20%  
538 2% 19%  
539 0.9% 17%  
540 1.3% 16%  
541 2% 14%  
542 1.1% 13%  
543 1.4% 12%  
544 0.7% 10%  
545 1.5% 10%  
546 2% 8%  
547 0.8% 6%  
548 1.2% 6%  
549 0.5% 4%  
550 0.6% 4%  
551 0.8% 3%  
552 0.2% 2%  
553 0.5% 2%  
554 0.2% 2%  
555 0.4% 1.4%  
556 0.1% 1.1%  
557 0.2% 0.9%  
558 0.1% 0.7%  
559 0.1% 0.6%  
560 0.1% 0.4%  
561 0.1% 0.3%  
562 0% 0.3%  
563 0% 0.2%  
564 0% 0.2%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0.1%  
567 0% 0.1%  
568 0% 0.1%  
569 0% 0.1%  
570 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0.2% 99.8%  
454 0.3% 99.6%  
455 0.2% 99.3%  
456 0% 99.1%  
457 0.2% 99.0%  
458 0.2% 98.9%  
459 0.4% 98.7%  
460 0.5% 98%  
461 0.3% 98%  
462 0.4% 98%  
463 0.4% 97%  
464 0.5% 97%  
465 0.2% 96%  
466 0.9% 96%  
467 0.3% 95%  
468 1.0% 95%  
469 0.9% 94%  
470 0.7% 93%  
471 0.1% 92%  
472 1.5% 92%  
473 2% 91%  
474 0.7% 88%  
475 0.4% 88%  
476 0.2% 87%  
477 0.3% 87%  
478 0.2% 87%  
479 0.2% 87%  
480 0% 86%  
481 1.3% 86%  
482 0.9% 85%  
483 0.9% 84%  
484 2% 83%  
485 2% 82%  
486 1.3% 79%  
487 1.4% 78%  
488 0.5% 77%  
489 1.1% 76%  
490 1.0% 75%  
491 4% 74%  
492 2% 70%  
493 3% 68%  
494 2% 64%  
495 3% 62%  
496 3% 59%  
497 1.0% 56%  
498 0.1% 55%  
499 0.4% 55%  
500 4% 55%  
501 3% 51%  
502 2% 47% Median
503 3% 45%  
504 6% 43%  
505 3% 36%  
506 2% 33%  
507 0.9% 31%  
508 0.2% 30%  
509 0.7% 30%  
510 0.5% 29%  
511 2% 29%  
512 2% 27%  
513 1.1% 25%  
514 3% 24%  
515 2% 21%  
516 2% 19%  
517 1.5% 18%  
518 2% 16%  
519 2% 15%  
520 1.4% 13%  
521 1.0% 12%  
522 2% 10%  
523 2% 8%  
524 2% 7%  
525 2% 5%  
526 0.5% 3%  
527 0.3% 3%  
528 0.4% 2%  
529 0.3% 2%  
530 0.5% 2%  
531 0.3% 1.1%  
532 0.2% 0.8%  
533 0.2% 0.6%  
534 0.2% 0.5%  
535 0.1% 0.3%  
536 0.1% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0.1% 99.8%  
448 0.2% 99.8%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.2% 99.3%  
451 0.1% 99.1%  
452 0.2% 99.0%  
453 0.2% 98.9%  
454 0.4% 98.7%  
455 0.5% 98%  
456 0.3% 98%  
457 0.4% 98%  
458 0.4% 97%  
459 0.4% 97%  
460 0.3% 96%  
461 0.9% 96%  
462 0.3% 95%  
463 0.8% 95%  
464 1.0% 94%  
465 0.5% 93%  
466 0.4% 93%  
467 1.4% 92%  
468 2% 91%  
469 1.2% 89%  
470 0.4% 88%  
471 0.2% 87%  
472 0.2% 87%  
473 0.3% 87%  
474 0.2% 87%  
475 0.1% 86%  
476 1.3% 86%  
477 0.7% 85%  
478 0.6% 84%  
479 1.5% 84%  
480 3% 82%  
481 1.3% 79%  
482 1.1% 78%  
483 0.5% 77%  
484 0.8% 76%  
485 1.5% 76%  
486 4% 74%  
487 3% 70%  
488 3% 68%  
489 2% 64%  
490 2% 63%  
491 4% 60%  
492 1.1% 57%  
493 0.4% 56%  
494 0.4% 55%  
495 4% 55%  
496 3% 51%  
497 2% 48% Median
498 3% 46%  
499 7% 43%  
500 3% 36%  
501 0.8% 33%  
502 2% 32%  
503 0.5% 31%  
504 0.7% 30%  
505 0.4% 30%  
506 2% 29%  
507 2% 27%  
508 1.2% 25%  
509 2% 24%  
510 2% 21%  
511 1.1% 20%  
512 2% 19%  
513 2% 17%  
514 2% 15%  
515 1.4% 13%  
516 0.9% 12%  
517 1.5% 11%  
518 2% 9%  
519 2% 7%  
520 1.5% 5%  
521 1.3% 4%  
522 0.4% 3%  
523 0.4% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.5% 2%  
526 0.4% 1.2%  
527 0.2% 0.9%  
528 0.2% 0.7%  
529 0.2% 0.5%  
530 0.1% 0.3%  
531 0.1% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0.1% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.3% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.1%  
420 0.1% 98.9%  
421 0.2% 98.9%  
422 0.2% 98.7%  
423 0.3% 98.5%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.7% 97%  
429 0.6% 96%  
430 0.8% 96%  
431 0.1% 95%  
432 0.4% 95%  
433 0.5% 95%  
434 0.4% 94%  
435 1.4% 94%  
436 0.5% 92%  
437 0.7% 92%  
438 0.4% 91%  
439 0.7% 91%  
440 0.4% 90%  
441 0.4% 90%  
442 0.5% 89%  
443 0.4% 89%  
444 1.0% 88%  
445 2% 87%  
446 0.4% 86%  
447 0.3% 85%  
448 0.3% 85%  
449 2% 85%  
450 2% 83%  
451 1.0% 81%  
452 1.2% 80%  
453 0.3% 79%  
454 0.4% 78%  
455 1.2% 78%  
456 3% 77%  
457 2% 74%  
458 2% 73%  
459 2% 71%  
460 2% 68%  
461 2% 66%  
462 1.0% 64%  
463 3% 63%  
464 1.0% 60%  
465 1.0% 59%  
466 1.2% 58%  
467 1.2% 57%  
468 2% 56%  
469 2% 54%  
470 2% 53% Median
471 4% 51%  
472 3% 47%  
473 0.9% 44%  
474 1.2% 43%  
475 2% 41%  
476 2% 40%  
477 2% 38%  
478 4% 37%  
479 2% 33%  
480 3% 31%  
481 1.1% 29%  
482 1.4% 28%  
483 2% 26%  
484 1.0% 25%  
485 2% 24%  
486 0.8% 22%  
487 2% 21%  
488 2% 20%  
489 1.0% 18%  
490 1.5% 17%  
491 1.2% 15%  
492 1.3% 14%  
493 1.5% 13%  
494 0.8% 11%  
495 1.2% 11%  
496 2% 9%  
497 0.6% 8%  
498 1.1% 7%  
499 0.7% 6%  
500 0.5% 5%  
501 0.6% 5%  
502 1.1% 4%  
503 0.5% 3%  
504 0.5% 3%  
505 0.5% 2%  
506 0.3% 2%  
507 0.3% 1.4%  
508 0.3% 1.2%  
509 0.1% 0.9%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.1% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.5%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.3% 99.4%  
414 0.1% 99.1%  
415 0.1% 99.0%  
416 0.2% 98.9%  
417 0.2% 98.7%  
418 0.3% 98.5%  
419 0.4% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.2% 97%  
423 0.7% 97%  
424 0.6% 97%  
425 0.8% 96%  
426 0.2% 95%  
427 0.3% 95%  
428 0.5% 95%  
429 0.5% 94%  
430 1.4% 94%  
431 0.4% 92%  
432 0.8% 92%  
433 0.2% 91%  
434 0.6% 91%  
435 0.5% 90%  
436 0.4% 90%  
437 0.4% 89%  
438 0.5% 89%  
439 1.0% 88%  
440 1.5% 87%  
441 0.3% 86%  
442 0.4% 86%  
443 0.2% 85%  
444 2% 85%  
445 2% 83%  
446 0.8% 81%  
447 0.9% 80%  
448 0.7% 79%  
449 0.5% 79%  
450 1.1% 78%  
451 2% 77%  
452 2% 75%  
453 2% 73%  
454 2% 71%  
455 2% 69%  
456 2% 67%  
457 0.7% 64%  
458 3% 64%  
459 1.0% 61%  
460 0.9% 60%  
461 1.4% 59%  
462 1.1% 57%  
463 1.4% 56%  
464 2% 55%  
465 2% 53% Median
466 4% 51%  
467 3% 47%  
468 0.8% 44%  
469 1.4% 43%  
470 1.1% 42%  
471 2% 41%  
472 2% 38%  
473 4% 37%  
474 1.3% 33%  
475 2% 32%  
476 1.3% 29%  
477 2% 28%  
478 1.3% 26%  
479 1.0% 25%  
480 2% 24%  
481 1.1% 23%  
482 1.5% 21%  
483 2% 20%  
484 1.4% 18%  
485 0.7% 17%  
486 2% 16%  
487 1.0% 14%  
488 2% 13%  
489 0.9% 12%  
490 1.0% 11%  
491 2% 10%  
492 0.8% 8%  
493 1.1% 7%  
494 0.5% 6%  
495 0.6% 6%  
496 0.5% 5%  
497 0.9% 4%  
498 0.8% 4%  
499 0.4% 3%  
500 0.6% 2%  
501 0.3% 2%  
502 0.2% 1.5%  
503 0.3% 1.2%  
504 0.1% 0.9%  
505 0.2% 0.8%  
506 0.1% 0.7%  
507 0.1% 0.6%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0.1% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0.1% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0.2% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.6%  
398 0.2% 99.5%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.2%  
401 0.3% 99.0%  
402 0.1% 98.8%  
403 0.5% 98.7%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.4% 98%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.3% 97%  
408 0.6% 97%  
409 0.6% 96%  
410 0.3% 96%  
411 0.5% 95%  
412 0.5% 95%  
413 1.1% 94%  
414 0.4% 93%  
415 2% 93%  
416 0.5% 91%  
417 0.6% 91%  
418 1.2% 90%  
419 0.4% 89%  
420 0.5% 88%  
421 0.1% 88%  
422 0.3% 88%  
423 0.2% 88%  
424 2% 87%  
425 0.5% 86%  
426 0.7% 85%  
427 1.4% 84%  
428 1.4% 83%  
429 1.3% 82%  
430 0.7% 80%  
431 0.5% 80%  
432 2% 79%  
433 1.5% 77%  
434 3% 76%  
435 0.8% 72%  
436 0.8% 71%  
437 3% 71%  
438 3% 67%  
439 3% 65%  
440 2% 62%  
441 0.7% 60%  
442 1.3% 59%  
443 1.4% 58%  
444 2% 56%  
445 3% 54%  
446 3% 51% Median
447 4% 48%  
448 3% 44%  
449 3% 41%  
450 2% 38%  
451 1.4% 37%  
452 1.2% 35%  
453 1.0% 34%  
454 3% 33%  
455 1.0% 30%  
456 0.6% 29%  
457 2% 29%  
458 2% 26%  
459 2% 24%  
460 2% 22%  
461 1.3% 20%  
462 1.0% 19%  
463 1.0% 18%  
464 1.2% 17%  
465 2% 15%  
466 1.2% 13%  
467 2% 12%  
468 2% 11%  
469 2% 9%  
470 0.7% 7%  
471 0.8% 6%  
472 0.9% 5%  
473 0.6% 4%  
474 0.6% 4%  
475 0.4% 3%  
476 0.7% 3%  
477 0.4% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.5% 1.5%  
480 0.2% 1.0%  
481 0.1% 0.7%  
482 0.2% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0.1% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.2% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.3%  
395 0.1% 99.2%  
396 0.2% 99.0%  
397 0.1% 98.8%  
398 0.5% 98.7%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.3% 98%  
402 0.4% 97%  
403 0.6% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.2% 96%  
406 0.5% 95%  
407 0.5% 95%  
408 1.1% 95%  
409 0.4% 93%  
410 2% 93%  
411 0.5% 91%  
412 0.7% 91%  
413 1.3% 90%  
414 0.3% 89%  
415 0.3% 89%  
416 0.3% 88%  
417 0.3% 88%  
418 0.2% 88%  
419 2% 87%  
420 0.4% 86%  
421 0.7% 85%  
422 0.7% 85%  
423 2% 84%  
424 1.3% 82%  
425 0.7% 80%  
426 0.5% 80%  
427 2% 79%  
428 1.4% 77%  
429 3% 76%  
430 1.1% 73%  
431 0.7% 72%  
432 3% 71%  
433 3% 68%  
434 3% 65%  
435 2% 62%  
436 0.9% 60%  
437 0.9% 59%  
438 2% 58%  
439 2% 57%  
440 3% 55%  
441 3% 52% Median
442 4% 49%  
443 3% 44%  
444 2% 41%  
445 2% 39%  
446 1.4% 37%  
447 1.0% 35%  
448 0.9% 34%  
449 2% 33%  
450 1.1% 31%  
451 0.9% 30%  
452 2% 29%  
453 2% 27%  
454 2% 25%  
455 3% 23%  
456 1.2% 20%  
457 0.9% 19%  
458 0.6% 18%  
459 2% 17%  
460 2% 16%  
461 1.1% 14%  
462 1.3% 13%  
463 2% 11%  
464 2% 9%  
465 1.1% 7%  
466 0.7% 6%  
467 0.8% 6%  
468 0.9% 5%  
469 0.4% 4%  
470 0.5% 3%  
471 0.5% 3%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.4% 2%  
474 0.5% 1.5%  
475 0.2% 1.0%  
476 0.2% 0.8%  
477 0.2% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.2% 99.3%  
123 0.1% 99.2%  
124 0.3% 99.1%  
125 0.2% 98.8%  
126 0.3% 98.5%  
127 0.6% 98%  
128 0.4% 98%  
129 0.8% 97%  
130 0.8% 96%  
131 0.6% 96%  
132 0.6% 95%  
133 0.4% 94%  
134 1.2% 94%  
135 0.7% 93%  
136 1.5% 92%  
137 0.9% 91%  
138 1.0% 90%  
139 2% 89%  
140 0.8% 87%  
141 2% 86%  
142 0.8% 84%  
143 0.5% 83%  
144 2% 83%  
145 1.3% 80%  
146 1.0% 79%  
147 1.0% 78%  
148 1.1% 77%  
149 2% 76%  
150 0.8% 74%  
151 1.2% 73%  
152 1.0% 72%  
153 2% 71%  
154 2% 69%  
155 1.0% 67%  
156 3% 66%  
157 3% 63%  
158 1.0% 60%  
159 2% 59%  
160 1.0% 58%  
161 1.1% 57%  
162 3% 56%  
163 4% 53%  
164 2% 49%  
165 2% 47% Median
166 1.4% 45%  
167 1.1% 44%  
168 1.4% 43%  
169 0.9% 41%  
170 1.0% 40%  
171 3% 39%  
172 0.7% 36%  
173 2% 36%  
174 2% 33%  
175 2% 31%  
176 2% 29%  
177 2% 27%  
178 2% 25%  
179 1.1% 23%  
180 0.5% 22%  
181 0.7% 21%  
182 0.9% 21%  
183 0.8% 20%  
184 2% 19%  
185 2% 17%  
186 0.2% 15%  
187 0.4% 15%  
188 0.3% 14%  
189 1.5% 14%  
190 1.0% 13%  
191 0.5% 12%  
192 0.4% 11%  
193 0.4% 11%  
194 0.5% 10%  
195 0.6% 10%  
196 0.2% 9%  
197 0.8% 9%  
198 0.4% 8%  
199 1.4% 8%  
200 0.5% 6%  
201 0.5% 6%  
202 0.3% 5%  
203 0.2% 5%  
204 0.8% 5%  
205 0.6% 4%  
206 0.7% 3%  
207 0.2% 3%  
208 0.2% 3%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.4% 2%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.2% 1.5%  
213 0.2% 1.3%  
214 0.1% 1.1%  
215 0.1% 1.0%  
216 0.3% 0.9%  
217 0.1% 0.6%  
218 0.1% 0.5%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.3%  
221 0.1% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.1% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.3%  
118 0.1% 99.2%  
119 0.3% 99.1%  
120 0.3% 98.8%  
121 0.3% 98.6%  
122 0.5% 98%  
123 0.5% 98%  
124 0.4% 97%  
125 1.1% 97%  
126 0.5% 96%  
127 0.6% 95%  
128 0.6% 95%  
129 1.2% 94%  
130 0.5% 93%  
131 2% 92%  
132 1.1% 91%  
133 0.9% 90%  
134 1.4% 89%  
135 1.1% 87%  
136 1.3% 86%  
137 1.3% 85%  
138 0.6% 84%  
139 2% 83%  
140 1.2% 81%  
141 1.3% 80%  
142 0.9% 78%  
143 0.7% 77%  
144 2% 77%  
145 0.8% 75%  
146 1.4% 74%  
147 1.0% 72%  
148 2% 71%  
149 2% 69%  
150 1.1% 67%  
151 3% 66%  
152 2% 63%  
153 2% 61%  
154 1.3% 59%  
155 1.2% 58%  
156 1.0% 57%  
157 3% 56%  
158 4% 53%  
159 2% 49%  
160 2% 47% Median
161 1.5% 46%  
162 1.2% 44%  
163 1.2% 43%  
164 1.0% 42%  
165 1.0% 41%  
166 3% 40%  
167 1.0% 37%  
168 2% 36%  
169 2% 34%  
170 2% 32%  
171 2% 29%  
172 2% 27%  
173 3% 26%  
174 1.2% 23%  
175 0.4% 22%  
176 0.3% 22%  
177 1.2% 21%  
178 1.0% 20%  
179 2% 19%  
180 2% 17%  
181 0.3% 15%  
182 0.3% 15%  
183 0.4% 15%  
184 2% 14%  
185 1.0% 13%  
186 0.4% 12%  
187 0.5% 11%  
188 0.4% 11%  
189 0.4% 10%  
190 0.7% 10%  
191 0.4% 9%  
192 0.7% 9%  
193 0.5% 8%  
194 1.4% 8%  
195 0.4% 6%  
196 0.5% 6%  
197 0.4% 5%  
198 0.1% 5%  
199 0.8% 5%  
200 0.6% 4%  
201 0.7% 4%  
202 0.2% 3%  
203 0.2% 3%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.2% 1.5%  
208 0.2% 1.3%  
209 0.1% 1.1%  
210 0.1% 1.1%  
211 0.3% 0.9%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.2% 99.7%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 0.2% 99.4%  
96 0.3% 99.2%  
97 0.5% 98.9%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 0.4% 98%  
100 0.3% 98%  
101 0.5% 97%  
102 2% 97%  
103 2% 95%  
104 1.3% 93%  
105 2% 92%  
106 1.2% 90%  
107 1.3% 89%  
108 1.2% 87%  
109 2% 86%  
110 2% 84%  
111 1.1% 83%  
112 1.1% 81%  
113 3% 80%  
114 2% 78%  
115 1.2% 76%  
116 0.5% 75%  
117 3% 74%  
118 0.8% 71%  
119 0.4% 70%  
120 0.3% 70%  
121 0.3% 70%  
122 2% 69%  
123 0.9% 68%  
124 5% 67%  
125 6% 61%  
126 1.3% 56%  
127 2% 54%  
128 3% 52% Median
129 4% 49%  
130 0.3% 45%  
131 0.1% 45%  
132 1.1% 45%  
133 3% 44%  
134 3% 40%  
135 2% 38%  
136 3% 36%  
137 2% 32%  
138 4% 30%  
139 1.0% 26%  
140 1.1% 25%  
141 0.5% 24%  
142 1.4% 23%  
143 1.3% 22%  
144 2% 21%  
145 2% 18%  
146 0.9% 17%  
147 0.9% 16%  
148 1.3% 15%  
149 0% 14%  
150 0.2% 14%  
151 0.2% 13%  
152 0.3% 13%  
153 0.2% 13%  
154 0.4% 13%  
155 0.7% 12%  
156 2% 12%  
157 1.5% 9%  
158 0.1% 8%  
159 0.7% 8%  
160 0.9% 7%  
161 1.0% 6%  
162 0.3% 5%  
163 0.9% 5%  
164 0.2% 4%  
165 0.5% 4%  
166 0.4% 3%  
167 0.4% 3%  
168 0.3% 2%  
169 0.5% 2%  
170 0.4% 2%  
171 0.2% 1.3%  
172 0.2% 1.1%  
173 0% 1.0%  
174 0.2% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.7%  
176 0.2% 0.4%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0.1% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.4%  
70 0.2% 99.3%  
71 0.1% 99.1%  
72 0.4% 98.9%  
73 0.2% 98.6%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 0.6% 97%  
78 0.5% 96%  
79 1.2% 96%  
80 0.8% 94%  
81 2% 94%  
82 1.5% 92%  
83 0.7% 90%  
84 1.3% 90%  
85 1.1% 88%  
86 2% 87%  
87 1.3% 86%  
88 0.6% 84%  
89 2% 84%  
90 0.6% 82%  
91 1.4% 81%  
92 1.3% 80%  
93 0.9% 78%  
94 1.3% 77%  
95 1.0% 76%  
96 3% 75%  
97 2% 72%  
98 1.4% 71%  
99 1.2% 69%  
100 1.2% 68%  
101 2% 67%  
102 2% 65%  
103 2% 63%  
104 1.3% 61%  
105 0.9% 60%  
106 4% 59%  
107 3% 55%  
108 2% 53%  
109 2% 51% Median
110 2% 48%  
111 1.0% 47%  
112 1.4% 46%  
113 2% 44%  
114 1.4% 42%  
115 3% 41%  
116 1.1% 38%  
117 2% 37%  
118 3% 36%  
119 2% 33%  
120 2% 31%  
121 2% 29%  
122 1.0% 26%  
123 1.4% 25%  
124 2% 24%  
125 1.2% 22%  
126 0.8% 21%  
127 2% 20%  
128 0.9% 18%  
129 0.5% 17%  
130 0.4% 17%  
131 2% 16%  
132 2% 15%  
133 0.4% 13%  
134 0.3% 13%  
135 0.7% 13%  
136 0.3% 12%  
137 0.4% 12%  
138 0.6% 11%  
139 0.8% 11%  
140 0.5% 10%  
141 0.6% 9%  
142 2% 9%  
143 0.2% 7%  
144 0.5% 7%  
145 0.6% 6%  
146 0.2% 6%  
147 0.8% 5%  
148 0.5% 5%  
149 0.5% 4%  
150 0.4% 4%  
151 0.4% 3%  
152 0.2% 3%  
153 0.6% 2%  
154 0.1% 2%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.2% 1.3%  
158 0.1% 1.1%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.1% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.7%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.1% 99.4%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.2% 99.2%  
67 0.3% 99.0%  
68 0.2% 98.6%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.5% 97%  
73 0.6% 96%  
74 1.1% 96%  
75 0.8% 95%  
76 2% 94%  
77 1.3% 92%  
78 1.0% 91%  
79 1.0% 90%  
80 1.2% 89%  
81 1.1% 88%  
82 2% 86%  
83 0.7% 85%  
84 2% 84%  
85 0.7% 82%  
86 1.5% 81%  
87 1.2% 80%  
88 0.9% 78%  
89 1.3% 78%  
90 0.9% 76%  
91 3% 75%  
92 2% 73%  
93 1.3% 71%  
94 1.5% 70%  
95 0.4% 68%  
96 2% 68%  
97 2% 66%  
98 2% 63%  
99 2% 62%  
100 0.9% 60%  
101 3% 59%  
102 3% 56%  
103 2% 53%  
104 2% 51% Median
105 2% 49%  
106 1.2% 47%  
107 1.2% 46%  
108 2% 44%  
109 1.5% 43%  
110 3% 41%  
111 1.0% 38%  
112 2% 37%  
113 2% 36%  
114 3% 34%  
115 2% 31%  
116 3% 29%  
117 1.1% 27%  
118 1.3% 26%  
119 2% 24%  
120 1.0% 23%  
121 0.9% 22%  
122 2% 21%  
123 1.4% 19%  
124 0.7% 18%  
125 0.5% 17%  
126 1.5% 16%  
127 2% 15%  
128 0.3% 13%  
129 0.3% 13%  
130 0.8% 13%  
131 0.2% 12%  
132 0.3% 12%  
133 0.7% 11%  
134 0.6% 11%  
135 0.7% 10%  
136 0.7% 9%  
137 2% 9%  
138 0.3% 7%  
139 0.5% 7%  
140 0.5% 6%  
141 0.3% 6%  
142 0.7% 5%  
143 0.6% 5%  
144 0.6% 4%  
145 0.4% 4%  
146 0.4% 3%  
147 0.3% 3%  
148 0.6% 3%  
149 0.1% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 1.4%  
153 0.1% 1.2%  
154 0.2% 1.0%  
155 0.1% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.7%  
157 0.1% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations