Opinion Poll by Omnisis, 27–28 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 54.3% 52.5–56.0% 52.0–56.5% 51.6–56.9% 50.7–57.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 25.6% 24.1–27.2% 23.7–27.6% 23.3–28.0% 22.6–28.8%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 7.2% 6.3–8.2% 6.1–8.4% 5.9–8.7% 5.5–9.2%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.1–5.3% 2.9–5.7%
Green Party 2.8% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 438 408–465 402–472 398–477 390–485
Conservative Party 365 130 103–160 94–166 88–170 81–177
Liberal Democrats 11 10 6–17 6–18 6–19 6–22
Scottish National Party 48 46 39–53 36–55 33–56 26–57
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.1% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.4%  
392 0.2% 99.2%  
393 0.1% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.9%  
395 0.4% 98.6%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.4% 97%  
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.5% 96%  
402 1.1% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.5% 94%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 1.0% 93%  
407 1.2% 92%  
408 1.5% 91%  
409 1.2% 89%  
410 0.7% 88%  
411 2% 87%  
412 0.8% 85%  
413 1.4% 85%  
414 0.9% 83%  
415 1.4% 82%  
416 1.4% 81%  
417 1.0% 79%  
418 0.7% 78%  
419 3% 78%  
420 1.2% 75%  
421 1.1% 74%  
422 2% 73%  
423 0.8% 71%  
424 2% 70%  
425 1.2% 68%  
426 0.7% 67%  
427 0.5% 66%  
428 1.0% 66%  
429 1.2% 65%  
430 1.1% 63%  
431 2% 62%  
432 0.7% 60%  
433 2% 60%  
434 1.1% 57%  
435 2% 56%  
436 2% 54%  
437 2% 53%  
438 1.1% 51% Median
439 1.2% 50%  
440 1.1% 49%  
441 2% 48%  
442 3% 45%  
443 1.3% 43%  
444 2% 41%  
445 2% 39%  
446 2% 37%  
447 2% 35%  
448 1.1% 33%  
449 2% 32%  
450 1.3% 30%  
451 2% 29%  
452 2% 27%  
453 1.1% 25%  
454 3% 24%  
455 1.0% 21%  
456 2% 20%  
457 2% 19%  
458 1.1% 17%  
459 1.0% 16%  
460 0.6% 14%  
461 1.1% 14%  
462 2% 13%  
463 0.5% 11%  
464 0.6% 11%  
465 0.7% 10%  
466 0.6% 10%  
467 0.8% 9%  
468 0.8% 8%  
469 0.6% 7%  
470 0.7% 7%  
471 0.8% 6%  
472 0.6% 5%  
473 0.6% 5%  
474 0.5% 4%  
475 0.4% 3%  
476 0.3% 3%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.6% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.5% 1.5%  
482 0.2% 1.0%  
483 0.2% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0.1% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.1% 99.4%  
83 0.2% 99.3%  
84 0.3% 99.1%  
85 0.3% 98.7%  
86 0.2% 98%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 0.3% 97%  
90 0.4% 97%  
91 0.4% 97%  
92 0.4% 96%  
93 0.3% 96%  
94 0.6% 96%  
95 0.4% 95%  
96 0.6% 95%  
97 0.7% 94%  
98 1.0% 93%  
99 0.4% 92%  
100 0.8% 92%  
101 0.5% 91%  
102 0.4% 90%  
103 0.6% 90%  
104 0.7% 89%  
105 1.0% 89%  
106 0.8% 88%  
107 1.4% 87%  
108 1.2% 86%  
109 1.1% 84%  
110 2% 83%  
111 0.5% 81%  
112 2% 81%  
113 1.0% 79%  
114 1.3% 78%  
115 2% 77%  
116 1.0% 75%  
117 3% 74%  
118 2% 71%  
119 1.2% 69%  
120 4% 68%  
121 2% 65%  
122 0.9% 63%  
123 0.6% 62%  
124 3% 61%  
125 1.2% 58%  
126 2% 57%  
127 2% 55%  
128 1.1% 53%  
129 2% 52%  
130 2% 50% Median
131 1.2% 48%  
132 2% 47%  
133 0.8% 45%  
134 2% 44%  
135 1.2% 42%  
136 2% 41%  
137 0.9% 39%  
138 1.0% 38%  
139 0.3% 37%  
140 2% 37%  
141 0.6% 35%  
142 1.3% 35%  
143 0.4% 33%  
144 2% 33%  
145 0.8% 31%  
146 1.1% 31%  
147 1.3% 30%  
148 0.9% 28%  
149 2% 27%  
150 0.9% 25%  
151 2% 25%  
152 2% 23%  
153 2% 20%  
154 1.5% 18%  
155 0.9% 17%  
156 2% 16%  
157 1.1% 14%  
158 0.5% 13%  
159 1.5% 13%  
160 1.4% 11%  
161 0.7% 10%  
162 1.0% 9%  
163 0.6% 8%  
164 1.2% 7%  
165 0.8% 6%  
166 0.7% 5%  
167 0.4% 5%  
168 0.7% 4%  
169 1.0% 4%  
170 0.7% 3%  
171 0.2% 2%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.3% 1.4%  
174 0.3% 1.1%  
175 0.1% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 0.1% 99.6%  
6 11% 99.5%  
7 28% 88%  
8 2% 60%  
9 0.2% 58%  
10 17% 58% Median
11 1.1% 41% Last Result
12 2% 40%  
13 0.1% 38%  
14 10% 38%  
15 10% 27%  
16 2% 18%  
17 6% 15%  
18 4% 9%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.5% 1.2%  
22 0.3% 0.7%  
23 0.1% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.8%  
26 0.2% 99.6%  
27 0.1% 99.4%  
28 0.2% 99.3%  
29 0.2% 99.1%  
30 0.5% 98.9%  
31 0.3% 98%  
32 0.6% 98%  
33 0.4% 98%  
34 0.8% 97%  
35 1.0% 96%  
36 0.8% 95%  
37 2% 95%  
38 1.3% 93%  
39 10% 91%  
40 1.0% 82%  
41 7% 81%  
42 1.0% 73%  
43 12% 72%  
44 3% 60%  
45 7% 58%  
46 19% 51% Median
47 0.7% 32%  
48 8% 31% Last Result
49 0.1% 23%  
50 4% 23%  
51 1.4% 19%  
52 2% 18%  
53 6% 16%  
54 4% 9%  
55 3% 5%  
56 1.1% 3%  
57 1.4% 2%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.9%  
4 16% 97% Last Result
5 80% 82% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 500 100% 470–527 464–535 460–540 453–547
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 499 100% 469–526 463–534 459–539 452–546
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 494 100% 464–522 458–529 454–535 447–542
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 488 100% 460–515 454–519 453–524 445–530
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 484 100% 455–510 450–515 448–519 440–525
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 454 100% 421–483 415–491 410–497 402–506
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 449 100% 416–479 411–487 405–492 397–501
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 443 100% 413–470 407–477 403–482 395–490
Labour Party 202 438 100% 408–465 402–472 398–477 390–485
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 180 0% 150–213 142–218 136–224 126–232
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 175 0% 146–208 137–214 131–219 121–227
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 141 0% 114–169 109–175 104–176 97–184
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 135 0% 107–165 99–171 93–175 85–182
Conservative Party 365 130 0% 103–160 94–166 88–170 81–177

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.8%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.6%  
453 0.2% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.4%  
455 0.1% 99.3%  
456 0.3% 99.2%  
457 0.3% 98.9%  
458 0.2% 98.6%  
459 0.2% 98%  
460 0.7% 98%  
461 1.0% 97%  
462 0.7% 96%  
463 0.4% 96%  
464 0.7% 95%  
465 0.8% 94%  
466 1.2% 94%  
467 0.6% 93%  
468 1.0% 92%  
469 0.7% 91%  
470 1.4% 90%  
471 1.5% 89%  
472 0.5% 87%  
473 1.1% 87%  
474 2% 86%  
475 0.9% 84%  
476 1.5% 83%  
477 2% 82%  
478 2% 80%  
479 2% 77%  
480 1.0% 75%  
481 2% 75%  
482 0.9% 73%  
483 1.3% 72%  
484 1.1% 70%  
485 0.8% 69%  
486 2% 69%  
487 0.4% 67%  
488 1.3% 67%  
489 0.6% 65%  
490 2% 65%  
491 0.3% 63%  
492 1.0% 63%  
493 0.9% 62%  
494 2% 61%  
495 1.2% 59%  
496 2% 58%  
497 0.8% 56%  
498 2% 55%  
499 1.2% 53%  
500 2% 52% Median
501 2% 50%  
502 1.1% 48%  
503 2% 47%  
504 2% 45%  
505 1.2% 43%  
506 3% 42%  
507 0.6% 39%  
508 0.9% 38%  
509 2% 37%  
510 4% 35%  
511 1.2% 32%  
512 2% 30%  
513 3% 29%  
514 1.0% 26%  
515 2% 25%  
516 1.3% 23%  
517 1.0% 22%  
518 2% 21%  
519 0.5% 19%  
520 2% 19%  
521 1.1% 17%  
522 1.2% 16%  
523 1.4% 14%  
524 0.8% 13%  
525 1.0% 12%  
526 0.7% 11%  
527 0.6% 11%  
528 0.5% 10%  
529 0.5% 10%  
530 0.9% 9%  
531 0.4% 8%  
532 1.1% 8%  
533 0.8% 7%  
534 0.7% 6%  
535 0.4% 5%  
536 0.5% 5%  
537 0.5% 4%  
538 0.3% 4%  
539 0.5% 3%  
540 0.5% 3%  
541 0.4% 2%  
542 0.4% 2%  
543 0.3% 2%  
544 0.4% 1.3%  
545 0.2% 0.9%  
546 0.1% 0.7%  
547 0.1% 0.6%  
548 0.1% 0.5%  
549 0.1% 0.4%  
550 0.1% 0.3%  
551 0.1% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.2%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.8%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0.1% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.7%  
451 0.1% 99.6%  
452 0.2% 99.6%  
453 0.1% 99.4%  
454 0.1% 99.3%  
455 0.3% 99.2%  
456 0.3% 98.9%  
457 0.2% 98.6%  
458 0.2% 98%  
459 0.7% 98%  
460 1.0% 97%  
461 0.7% 96%  
462 0.4% 96%  
463 0.7% 95%  
464 0.8% 94%  
465 1.2% 94%  
466 0.6% 93%  
467 1.0% 92%  
468 0.7% 91%  
469 1.4% 90%  
470 1.5% 89%  
471 0.5% 87%  
472 1.1% 87%  
473 2% 86%  
474 0.9% 84%  
475 1.5% 83%  
476 2% 82%  
477 2% 80%  
478 2% 77%  
479 0.9% 75%  
480 2% 75%  
481 0.9% 73%  
482 1.3% 72%  
483 1.1% 70%  
484 0.8% 69%  
485 2% 69%  
486 0.4% 67%  
487 1.3% 67%  
488 0.6% 65%  
489 2% 65%  
490 0.3% 63%  
491 1.0% 63%  
492 0.9% 62%  
493 2% 61%  
494 1.2% 59%  
495 2% 58%  
496 0.8% 56%  
497 2% 55%  
498 1.2% 53%  
499 2% 52% Median
500 2% 50%  
501 1.1% 48%  
502 2% 47%  
503 2% 45%  
504 1.2% 43%  
505 3% 42%  
506 0.6% 39%  
507 0.9% 38%  
508 2% 37%  
509 4% 35%  
510 1.2% 32%  
511 2% 30%  
512 3% 29%  
513 1.0% 26%  
514 2% 25%  
515 1.3% 23%  
516 1.0% 22%  
517 2% 21%  
518 0.5% 19%  
519 2% 19%  
520 1.1% 17%  
521 1.2% 16%  
522 1.4% 14%  
523 0.8% 13%  
524 1.0% 12%  
525 0.7% 11%  
526 0.6% 11%  
527 0.5% 10%  
528 0.5% 10%  
529 0.9% 9%  
530 0.4% 8%  
531 1.1% 8%  
532 0.8% 7%  
533 0.7% 6%  
534 0.4% 5%  
535 0.5% 5%  
536 0.5% 4%  
537 0.3% 4%  
538 0.5% 3%  
539 0.5% 3%  
540 0.4% 2%  
541 0.4% 2%  
542 0.3% 2%  
543 0.4% 1.3%  
544 0.2% 0.9%  
545 0.1% 0.7%  
546 0.1% 0.6%  
547 0.1% 0.5%  
548 0.1% 0.4%  
549 0.1% 0.3%  
550 0.1% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0% 99.8%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0% 99.7%  
446 0.1% 99.6%  
447 0.2% 99.6%  
448 0.1% 99.4%  
449 0.1% 99.3%  
450 0.3% 99.2%  
451 0.3% 98.9%  
452 0.2% 98.6%  
453 0.3% 98%  
454 0.7% 98%  
455 0.8% 97%  
456 0.9% 97%  
457 0.3% 96%  
458 0.8% 95%  
459 0.8% 95%  
460 1.0% 94%  
461 0.8% 93%  
462 0.9% 92%  
463 1.0% 91%  
464 1.2% 90%  
465 2% 89%  
466 0.6% 87%  
467 1.1% 87%  
468 2% 86%  
469 1.0% 84%  
470 1.5% 83%  
471 2% 82%  
472 2% 80%  
473 2% 78%  
474 1.1% 76%  
475 1.2% 75%  
476 2% 73%  
477 1.3% 72%  
478 1.0% 71%  
479 0.7% 70%  
480 1.4% 69%  
481 0.6% 67%  
482 2% 67%  
483 0.5% 65%  
484 1.3% 65%  
485 0.6% 64%  
486 0.8% 63%  
487 1.1% 62%  
488 1.0% 61%  
489 2% 60%  
490 1.2% 58%  
491 2% 56%  
492 0.6% 55%  
493 2% 54%  
494 2% 52% Median
495 2% 50%  
496 0.7% 48%  
497 2% 47%  
498 2% 45%  
499 1.3% 43%  
500 3% 42%  
501 0.8% 39%  
502 1.0% 38%  
503 2% 37%  
504 4% 36%  
505 1.1% 32%  
506 2% 31%  
507 3% 29%  
508 1.2% 26%  
509 2% 25%  
510 1.3% 24%  
511 1.0% 22%  
512 2% 21%  
513 0.8% 19%  
514 2% 19%  
515 1.0% 17%  
516 1.4% 16%  
517 1.3% 15%  
518 0.9% 13%  
519 0.5% 12%  
520 1.2% 12%  
521 0.6% 11%  
522 0.5% 10%  
523 0.6% 10%  
524 0.7% 9%  
525 0.4% 8%  
526 1.1% 8%  
527 0.8% 7%  
528 0.7% 6%  
529 0.5% 5%  
530 0.6% 5%  
531 0.5% 4%  
532 0.3% 4%  
533 0.6% 4%  
534 0.5% 3%  
535 0.4% 3%  
536 0.4% 2%  
537 0.3% 2%  
538 0.3% 1.4%  
539 0.2% 1.0%  
540 0.2% 0.8%  
541 0.1% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.5%  
543 0.1% 0.4%  
544 0.1% 0.3%  
545 0.1% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0.1% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0.1% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0.1% 99.7%  
444 0% 99.6%  
445 0.3% 99.6%  
446 0% 99.3%  
447 0.1% 99.2%  
448 0.4% 99.2%  
449 0.3% 98.8%  
450 0.3% 98%  
451 0.3% 98%  
452 0.1% 98%  
453 2% 98%  
454 0.8% 96%  
455 0.9% 95%  
456 0.3% 94%  
457 1.1% 94%  
458 2% 93%  
459 0.9% 91%  
460 1.2% 90%  
461 0.9% 89%  
462 2% 88%  
463 2% 86%  
464 0.9% 84%  
465 0.1% 83%  
466 1.3% 83%  
467 0.7% 82%  
468 3% 81%  
469 2% 78%  
470 3% 76%  
471 0.4% 72%  
472 1.3% 72%  
473 2% 71%  
474 0.9% 69%  
475 2% 68%  
476 0.7% 66%  
477 2% 65%  
478 0.3% 64%  
479 0.1% 63%  
480 0.1% 63%  
481 0.3% 63%  
482 2% 63%  
483 2% 61%  
484 0.9% 59%  
485 0.9% 58%  
486 2% 57%  
487 1.1% 55%  
488 5% 54%  
489 0.3% 49% Median
490 3% 49%  
491 0.3% 47%  
492 3% 46%  
493 3% 43%  
494 2% 41%  
495 4% 39%  
496 3% 35%  
497 1.2% 32%  
498 0% 31%  
499 0.1% 31%  
500 0.8% 31%  
501 2% 30%  
502 6% 28%  
503 0.8% 22%  
504 1.4% 21%  
505 4% 20%  
506 1.2% 16%  
507 2% 15%  
508 0% 13%  
509 0.8% 13%  
510 0% 12%  
511 0.1% 12%  
512 2% 12%  
513 0.1% 10%  
514 0.2% 10%  
515 1.3% 10%  
516 2% 9%  
517 0.3% 7%  
518 2% 7%  
519 0.3% 5%  
520 0.2% 5%  
521 0.3% 5%  
522 0.7% 4%  
523 0.6% 4%  
524 1.2% 3%  
525 0.7% 2%  
526 0.4% 1.2%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.7%  
529 0.1% 0.7%  
530 0.2% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0.1% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0.1% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.8%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0% 99.6%  
440 0.3% 99.6%  
441 0.1% 99.3%  
442 0.1% 99.3%  
443 0.3% 99.2%  
444 0.3% 98.8%  
445 0.3% 98%  
446 0.4% 98%  
447 0.1% 98%  
448 2% 98%  
449 0.9% 96%  
450 0.8% 95%  
451 0.6% 94%  
452 0.9% 94%  
453 1.5% 93%  
454 1.1% 91%  
455 1.0% 90%  
456 1.2% 89%  
457 2% 88%  
458 2% 86%  
459 1.0% 84%  
460 0.2% 83%  
461 1.2% 83%  
462 0.7% 82%  
463 3% 81%  
464 2% 78%  
465 3% 76%  
466 0.6% 73%  
467 2% 72%  
468 2% 71%  
469 0.7% 69%  
470 2% 68%  
471 0.8% 66%  
472 1.5% 65%  
473 0.3% 64%  
474 0.2% 63%  
475 0.1% 63%  
476 0.3% 63%  
477 1.5% 63%  
478 0.8% 61%  
479 2% 61%  
480 1.4% 59%  
481 2% 57%  
482 0.8% 56%  
483 4% 55%  
484 1.4% 51% Median
485 2% 49%  
486 1.1% 48%  
487 3% 46%  
488 3% 44%  
489 1.5% 41%  
490 4% 39%  
491 3% 35%  
492 1.3% 32%  
493 0.2% 31%  
494 0.1% 31%  
495 0.8% 31%  
496 2% 30%  
497 5% 28%  
498 1.3% 23%  
499 1.2% 22%  
500 3% 20%  
501 1.5% 17%  
502 2% 15%  
503 0.7% 14%  
504 0.3% 13%  
505 0.6% 13%  
506 0.1% 12%  
507 1.4% 12%  
508 0.2% 11%  
509 0.3% 10%  
510 0.9% 10%  
511 1.5% 9%  
512 0.6% 8%  
513 2% 7%  
514 0.6% 6%  
515 0.2% 5%  
516 0.4% 5%  
517 0.6% 4%  
518 0.6% 4%  
519 1.1% 3%  
520 0.7% 2%  
521 0.5% 1.4%  
522 0.2% 0.9%  
523 0.1% 0.8%  
524 0% 0.7%  
525 0.2% 0.6%  
526 0.1% 0.5%  
527 0.1% 0.3%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0.1% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0% 99.6%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0.1% 99.5%  
403 0.2% 99.5%  
404 0.1% 99.2%  
405 0.1% 99.1%  
406 0.2% 99.0%  
407 0.4% 98.8%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 0.4% 98%  
411 0.3% 97%  
412 0.4% 97%  
413 0.9% 97%  
414 0.5% 96%  
415 0.3% 95%  
416 0.4% 95%  
417 1.0% 95%  
418 0.8% 94%  
419 1.1% 93%  
420 1.1% 92%  
421 1.0% 91%  
422 1.0% 90%  
423 0.5% 89%  
424 0.5% 88%  
425 1.3% 88%  
426 1.1% 86%  
427 1.2% 85%  
428 2% 84%  
429 0.6% 82%  
430 0.9% 81%  
431 3% 81%  
432 0.7% 78%  
433 0.9% 77%  
434 2% 76%  
435 1.1% 74%  
436 2% 73%  
437 0.9% 71%  
438 0.5% 70%  
439 1.3% 70%  
440 1.0% 69%  
441 0.6% 68%  
442 2% 67%  
443 1.3% 65%  
444 1.3% 64%  
445 0.9% 63%  
446 2% 62%  
447 2% 60%  
448 2% 58%  
449 1.2% 57%  
450 0.9% 56%  
451 1.1% 55%  
452 1.4% 54%  
453 2% 52% Median
454 1.2% 50%  
455 2% 49%  
456 2% 48%  
457 1.4% 46%  
458 1.1% 45%  
459 3% 44%  
460 1.5% 41%  
461 0.6% 39%  
462 1.3% 38%  
463 3% 37%  
464 2% 34%  
465 1.1% 32%  
466 1.0% 31%  
467 2% 30%  
468 1.4% 28%  
469 2% 27%  
470 1.1% 25%  
471 2% 24%  
472 0.4% 22%  
473 1.2% 21%  
474 2% 20%  
475 0.9% 18%  
476 2% 17%  
477 0.8% 15%  
478 0.9% 15%  
479 0.9% 14%  
480 0.7% 13%  
481 1.1% 12%  
482 0.4% 11%  
483 0.8% 11%  
484 1.0% 10%  
485 0.3% 9%  
486 0.9% 8%  
487 0.6% 8%  
488 0.7% 7%  
489 0.4% 6%  
490 0.5% 6%  
491 0.5% 5%  
492 0.6% 5%  
493 0.5% 4%  
494 0.2% 4%  
495 0.5% 4%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.4% 3%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.3% 2%  
501 0.3% 2%  
502 0.1% 1.2%  
503 0.1% 1.0%  
504 0.2% 0.9%  
505 0.2% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.8%  
394 0.1% 99.7%  
395 0% 99.6%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.1% 99.5%  
398 0.2% 99.5%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.1%  
401 0.2% 99.0%  
402 0.4% 98.8%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.4% 98%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.4% 97%  
408 0.9% 97%  
409 0.4% 96%  
410 0.4% 95%  
411 0.4% 95%  
412 0.9% 95%  
413 0.9% 94%  
414 0.8% 93%  
415 1.4% 92%  
416 0.8% 91%  
417 1.2% 90%  
418 0.5% 89%  
419 0.5% 88%  
420 1.3% 88%  
421 1.2% 86%  
422 1.2% 85%  
423 2% 84%  
424 0.5% 82%  
425 1.0% 82%  
426 3% 81%  
427 0.7% 78%  
428 1.0% 77%  
429 1.5% 76%  
430 1.1% 74%  
431 2% 73%  
432 1.2% 72%  
433 0.5% 70%  
434 1.0% 70%  
435 1.0% 69%  
436 0.8% 68%  
437 1.2% 67%  
438 1.4% 66%  
439 1.5% 65%  
440 1.0% 63%  
441 2% 62%  
442 0.6% 60%  
443 3% 60%  
444 1.1% 57%  
445 1.1% 56%  
446 0.7% 55%  
447 2% 54%  
448 2% 53% Median
449 1.2% 51%  
450 1.4% 50%  
451 2% 48%  
452 2% 46%  
453 1.1% 45%  
454 3% 44%  
455 2% 41%  
456 0.7% 39%  
457 1.3% 39%  
458 3% 37%  
459 2% 35%  
460 1.2% 32%  
461 1.1% 31%  
462 2% 30%  
463 2% 28%  
464 2% 27%  
465 1.2% 25%  
466 2% 24%  
467 0.7% 22%  
468 0.8% 21%  
469 2% 21%  
470 0.8% 18%  
471 2% 17%  
472 1.1% 16%  
473 0.6% 15%  
474 1.0% 14%  
475 0.9% 13%  
476 0.6% 12%  
477 0.9% 12%  
478 0.6% 11%  
479 0.9% 10%  
480 0.7% 9%  
481 0.8% 9%  
482 0.6% 8%  
483 0.6% 7%  
484 0.6% 6%  
485 0.4% 6%  
486 0.4% 5%  
487 0.7% 5%  
488 0.6% 4%  
489 0.2% 4%  
490 0.4% 4%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.4% 3%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.4% 2%  
497 0.1% 1.2%  
498 0.1% 1.1%  
499 0.2% 1.0%  
500 0.1% 0.8%  
501 0.2% 0.7%  
502 0.1% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.5%  
396 0.2% 99.4%  
397 0.3% 99.2%  
398 0.1% 98.9%  
399 0.3% 98.9%  
400 0.4% 98.6%  
401 0.4% 98%  
402 0.3% 98%  
403 0.4% 98%  
404 0.4% 97%  
405 0.7% 97%  
406 0.5% 96%  
407 1.2% 96%  
408 0.3% 94%  
409 0.6% 94%  
410 1.0% 94%  
411 0.8% 93%  
412 2% 92%  
413 1.4% 90%  
414 1.2% 89%  
415 0.7% 88%  
416 2% 87%  
417 0.6% 85%  
418 1.5% 85%  
419 1.0% 83%  
420 1.4% 82%  
421 1.4% 81%  
422 1.0% 79%  
423 0.8% 78%  
424 3% 78%  
425 1.2% 75%  
426 1.4% 74%  
427 1.4% 72%  
428 1.1% 71%  
429 2% 70%  
430 1.0% 68%  
431 0.6% 67%  
432 0.8% 66%  
433 0.7% 65%  
434 2% 65%  
435 0.6% 63%  
436 2% 62%  
437 2% 60%  
438 1.3% 58%  
439 1.1% 57%  
440 2% 56%  
441 1.5% 54%  
442 2% 52%  
443 0.6% 50% Median
444 1.2% 49%  
445 1.4% 48%  
446 2% 47%  
447 3% 45%  
448 1.0% 42%  
449 2% 41%  
450 2% 39%  
451 2% 37%  
452 2% 35%  
453 1.1% 33%  
454 2% 32%  
455 1.3% 30%  
456 2% 29%  
457 2% 27%  
458 1.3% 25%  
459 3% 24%  
460 0.8% 21%  
461 2% 20%  
462 2% 18%  
463 1.2% 16%  
464 0.8% 15%  
465 0.6% 14%  
466 2% 14%  
467 0.8% 12%  
468 0.8% 11%  
469 0.3% 10%  
470 0.7% 10%  
471 0.5% 9%  
472 1.0% 9%  
473 0.7% 8%  
474 0.6% 7%  
475 0.6% 6%  
476 0.8% 6%  
477 0.7% 5%  
478 0.6% 4%  
479 0.4% 4%  
480 0.5% 3%  
481 0.3% 3%  
482 0.3% 3%  
483 0.5% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.4% 1.4%  
487 0.2% 1.0%  
488 0.2% 0.8%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.1% 99.5%  
391 0.2% 99.4%  
392 0.2% 99.2%  
393 0.1% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.9%  
395 0.4% 98.6%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.4% 97%  
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.5% 96%  
402 1.1% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.5% 94%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 1.0% 93%  
407 1.2% 92%  
408 1.5% 91%  
409 1.2% 89%  
410 0.7% 88%  
411 2% 87%  
412 0.8% 85%  
413 1.4% 85%  
414 0.9% 83%  
415 1.4% 82%  
416 1.4% 81%  
417 1.0% 79%  
418 0.7% 78%  
419 3% 78%  
420 1.2% 75%  
421 1.1% 74%  
422 2% 73%  
423 0.8% 71%  
424 2% 70%  
425 1.2% 68%  
426 0.7% 67%  
427 0.5% 66%  
428 1.0% 66%  
429 1.2% 65%  
430 1.1% 63%  
431 2% 62%  
432 0.7% 60%  
433 2% 60%  
434 1.1% 57%  
435 2% 56%  
436 2% 54%  
437 2% 53%  
438 1.1% 51% Median
439 1.2% 50%  
440 1.1% 49%  
441 2% 48%  
442 3% 45%  
443 1.3% 43%  
444 2% 41%  
445 2% 39%  
446 2% 37%  
447 2% 35%  
448 1.1% 33%  
449 2% 32%  
450 1.3% 30%  
451 2% 29%  
452 2% 27%  
453 1.1% 25%  
454 3% 24%  
455 1.0% 21%  
456 2% 20%  
457 2% 19%  
458 1.1% 17%  
459 1.0% 16%  
460 0.6% 14%  
461 1.1% 14%  
462 2% 13%  
463 0.5% 11%  
464 0.6% 11%  
465 0.7% 10%  
466 0.6% 10%  
467 0.8% 9%  
468 0.8% 8%  
469 0.6% 7%  
470 0.7% 7%  
471 0.8% 6%  
472 0.6% 5%  
473 0.6% 5%  
474 0.5% 4%  
475 0.4% 3%  
476 0.3% 3%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.6% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.5% 1.5%  
482 0.2% 1.0%  
483 0.2% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0.1% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0.1% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0.1% 99.5%  
127 0.1% 99.4%  
128 0.2% 99.3%  
129 0.2% 99.2%  
130 0.1% 99.0%  
131 0.2% 98.9%  
132 0.2% 98.7%  
133 0.4% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.5% 98%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.5% 97%  
139 0.3% 96%  
140 0.4% 96%  
141 0.4% 96%  
142 0.7% 95%  
143 0.2% 95%  
144 0.4% 94%  
145 0.7% 94%  
146 0.5% 93%  
147 0.8% 93%  
148 0.6% 92%  
149 0.7% 91%  
150 1.1% 91%  
151 0.4% 90%  
152 0.9% 89%  
153 0.7% 88%  
154 0.9% 88%  
155 1.0% 87%  
156 0.6% 86%  
157 1.1% 85%  
158 2% 84%  
159 0.8% 83%  
160 2% 82%  
161 0.8% 79%  
162 0.7% 79%  
163 1.5% 78%  
164 1.2% 76%  
165 2% 75%  
166 2% 73%  
167 2% 72%  
168 1.1% 70%  
169 1.2% 69%  
170 2% 68%  
171 3% 65%  
172 1.4% 63%  
173 0.7% 61%  
174 2% 61%  
175 3% 59%  
176 1.1% 56%  
177 2% 55%  
178 2% 54%  
179 1.4% 52%  
180 1.2% 50%  
181 2% 49% Median
182 2% 47%  
183 0.7% 46%  
184 1.1% 45%  
185 1.1% 44%  
186 3% 43%  
187 0.6% 40%  
188 2% 40%  
189 1.0% 38%  
190 1.5% 37%  
191 1.4% 35%  
192 1.2% 34%  
193 0.8% 33%  
194 1.0% 32%  
195 1.0% 31%  
196 0.5% 30%  
197 1.2% 30%  
198 2% 28%  
199 1.1% 27%  
200 1.5% 26%  
201 1.0% 24%  
202 0.7% 23%  
203 3% 22%  
204 1.0% 19%  
205 0.5% 18%  
206 2% 18%  
207 1.2% 16%  
208 1.2% 15%  
209 1.3% 14%  
210 0.5% 12%  
211 0.5% 12%  
212 1.2% 11%  
213 0.8% 10%  
214 1.4% 9%  
215 0.8% 8%  
216 0.9% 7%  
217 0.9% 6%  
218 0.4% 5%  
219 0.4% 5%  
220 0.4% 5%  
221 0.9% 4%  
222 0.4% 3%  
223 0.3% 3%  
224 0.4% 3%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.3% 2%  
227 0.4% 2%  
228 0.2% 1.2%  
229 0.1% 1.0%  
230 0.1% 0.9%  
231 0.2% 0.7%  
232 0.1% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0% 0.4%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.2% 99.4%  
124 0.2% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.0%  
126 0.2% 98.9%  
127 0.2% 98.7%  
128 0.4% 98.5%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.5% 98%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.5% 97%  
134 0.4% 97%  
135 0.3% 96%  
136 0.3% 96%  
137 0.7% 96%  
138 0.3% 95%  
139 0.4% 94%  
140 0.5% 94%  
141 0.6% 94%  
142 0.8% 93%  
143 0.7% 92%  
144 0.3% 91%  
145 1.2% 91%  
146 0.7% 90%  
147 0.4% 89%  
148 1.1% 89%  
149 0.7% 88%  
150 0.9% 87%  
151 0.9% 86%  
152 0.8% 85%  
153 2% 85%  
154 0.9% 83%  
155 2% 82%  
156 1.2% 80%  
157 0.4% 79%  
158 2% 78%  
159 1.1% 76%  
160 2% 75%  
161 1.4% 73%  
162 2% 72%  
163 1.0% 70%  
164 1.1% 69%  
165 2% 68%  
166 3% 66%  
167 1.3% 63%  
168 0.6% 62%  
169 1.5% 61%  
170 3% 59%  
171 1.1% 56%  
172 1.4% 55%  
173 2% 54%  
174 2% 52%  
175 1.2% 51%  
176 2% 50% Median
177 1.4% 48%  
178 1.1% 46%  
179 0.9% 45%  
180 1.2% 44%  
181 2% 43%  
182 2% 42%  
183 2% 40%  
184 0.9% 38%  
185 1.3% 37%  
186 1.3% 36%  
187 2% 35%  
188 0.6% 33%  
189 1.0% 32%  
190 1.3% 31%  
191 0.5% 30%  
192 0.9% 30%  
193 2% 29%  
194 1.1% 27%  
195 2% 26%  
196 0.9% 24%  
197 0.7% 23%  
198 3% 22%  
199 0.9% 19%  
200 0.6% 19%  
201 2% 18%  
202 1.2% 16%  
203 1.1% 15%  
204 1.3% 14%  
205 0.5% 12%  
206 0.5% 12%  
207 1.0% 11%  
208 1.0% 10%  
209 1.1% 9%  
210 1.1% 8%  
211 0.8% 7%  
212 1.0% 6%  
213 0.4% 5%  
214 0.3% 5%  
215 0.5% 5%  
216 0.9% 4%  
217 0.4% 3%  
218 0.3% 3%  
219 0.4% 3%  
220 0.2% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.4% 2%  
223 0.2% 1.2%  
224 0.1% 1.0%  
225 0.1% 0.9%  
226 0.2% 0.8%  
227 0.1% 0.5%  
228 0.1% 0.5%  
229 0% 0.4%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.8%  
97 0.2% 99.6%  
98 0% 99.4%  
99 0.1% 99.4%  
100 0% 99.3%  
101 0.4% 99.2%  
102 0.5% 98.8%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 0.8% 98%  
105 0.5% 97%  
106 0.5% 96%  
107 0.3% 96%  
108 0.3% 96%  
109 0.4% 95%  
110 0.5% 95%  
111 1.4% 94%  
112 0.5% 93%  
113 1.3% 92%  
114 1.3% 91%  
115 0.2% 90%  
116 0.1% 90%  
117 2% 89%  
118 0% 88%  
119 0% 88%  
120 0.8% 88%  
121 0% 87%  
122 2% 87%  
123 1.2% 85%  
124 4% 84%  
125 1.4% 80%  
126 0.8% 79%  
127 6% 78%  
128 2% 72%  
129 0.8% 70%  
130 0.1% 69%  
131 0% 69%  
132 1.2% 69%  
133 3% 68%  
134 4% 65%  
135 2% 61%  
136 3% 59%  
137 3% 57%  
138 0.3% 54%  
139 3% 53%  
140 0.3% 51% Median
141 5% 51%  
142 1.1% 46%  
143 2% 45%  
144 0.9% 43%  
145 0.9% 42%  
146 2% 41%  
147 2% 39%  
148 0.3% 37%  
149 0.1% 37%  
150 0.1% 37%  
151 0.3% 37%  
152 2% 36%  
153 0.7% 35%  
154 2% 34%  
155 0.9% 32%  
156 2% 31%  
157 1.3% 29%  
158 0.4% 28%  
159 3% 28%  
160 2% 24%  
161 3% 22%  
162 0.6% 19%  
163 1.3% 18%  
164 0.1% 17%  
165 0.9% 17%  
166 2% 16%  
167 2% 14%  
168 0.9% 12%  
169 1.2% 11%  
170 0.9% 10%  
171 2% 9%  
172 1.1% 7%  
173 0.3% 6%  
174 0.9% 6%  
175 0.8% 5%  
176 2% 4%  
177 0.1% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.4% 1.2%  
182 0.1% 0.8%  
183 0% 0.8%  
184 0.3% 0.7%  
185 0% 0.4%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.1% 99.5%  
87 0.2% 99.4%  
88 0.2% 99.2%  
89 0.3% 99.0%  
90 0.3% 98.7%  
91 0.3% 98%  
92 0.5% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.3% 97%  
95 0.4% 97%  
96 0.6% 97%  
97 0.4% 96%  
98 0.3% 96%  
99 0.7% 95%  
100 0.5% 95%  
101 0.6% 94%  
102 0.7% 94%  
103 1.0% 93%  
104 0.4% 92%  
105 0.7% 92%  
106 0.6% 91%  
107 0.5% 90%  
108 0.6% 90%  
109 1.2% 89%  
110 0.6% 88%  
111 0.9% 88%  
112 1.3% 87%  
113 1.4% 85%  
114 1.0% 84%  
115 2% 83%  
116 0.8% 81%  
117 2% 81%  
118 1.0% 79%  
119 1.3% 78%  
120 2% 76%  
121 1.2% 75%  
122 3% 74%  
123 2% 71%  
124 1.1% 69%  
125 4% 68%  
126 2% 64%  
127 1.0% 63%  
128 0.8% 62%  
129 3% 61%  
130 1.3% 58%  
131 2% 57%  
132 2% 55%  
133 0.7% 53%  
134 2% 52%  
135 2% 50% Median
136 2% 48%  
137 0.6% 46%  
138 2% 45%  
139 1.2% 44%  
140 2% 42%  
141 1.0% 40%  
142 1.1% 39%  
143 0.8% 38%  
144 0.6% 37%  
145 1.3% 36%  
146 0.5% 35%  
147 2% 35%  
148 0.6% 33%  
149 1.4% 33%  
150 0.7% 31%  
151 1.0% 30%  
152 1.3% 29%  
153 2% 28%  
154 1.2% 27%  
155 1.1% 25%  
156 2% 24%  
157 2% 22%  
158 2% 20%  
159 1.5% 18%  
160 1.0% 17%  
161 2% 16%  
162 1.1% 14%  
163 0.6% 13%  
164 2% 13%  
165 1.2% 11%  
166 1.0% 10%  
167 0.9% 9%  
168 0.8% 8%  
169 1.0% 7%  
170 0.8% 6%  
171 0.8% 5%  
172 0.3% 5%  
173 0.9% 4%  
174 0.8% 3%  
175 0.7% 3%  
176 0.3% 2%  
177 0.2% 2%  
178 0.3% 1.4%  
179 0.3% 1.1%  
180 0.1% 0.8%  
181 0.1% 0.7%  
182 0.2% 0.6%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.1% 99.4%  
83 0.2% 99.3%  
84 0.3% 99.1%  
85 0.3% 98.7%  
86 0.2% 98%  
87 0.5% 98%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 0.3% 97%  
90 0.4% 97%  
91 0.4% 97%  
92 0.4% 96%  
93 0.3% 96%  
94 0.6% 96%  
95 0.4% 95%  
96 0.6% 95%  
97 0.7% 94%  
98 1.0% 93%  
99 0.4% 92%  
100 0.8% 92%  
101 0.5% 91%  
102 0.4% 90%  
103 0.6% 90%  
104 0.7% 89%  
105 1.0% 89%  
106 0.8% 88%  
107 1.4% 87%  
108 1.2% 86%  
109 1.1% 84%  
110 2% 83%  
111 0.5% 81%  
112 2% 81%  
113 1.0% 79%  
114 1.3% 78%  
115 2% 77%  
116 1.0% 75%  
117 3% 74%  
118 2% 71%  
119 1.2% 69%  
120 4% 68%  
121 2% 65%  
122 0.9% 63%  
123 0.6% 62%  
124 3% 61%  
125 1.2% 58%  
126 2% 57%  
127 2% 55%  
128 1.1% 53%  
129 2% 52%  
130 2% 50% Median
131 1.2% 48%  
132 2% 47%  
133 0.8% 45%  
134 2% 44%  
135 1.2% 42%  
136 2% 41%  
137 0.9% 39%  
138 1.0% 38%  
139 0.3% 37%  
140 2% 37%  
141 0.6% 35%  
142 1.3% 35%  
143 0.4% 33%  
144 2% 33%  
145 0.8% 31%  
146 1.1% 31%  
147 1.3% 30%  
148 0.9% 28%  
149 2% 27%  
150 0.9% 25%  
151 2% 25%  
152 2% 23%  
153 2% 20%  
154 1.5% 18%  
155 0.9% 17%  
156 2% 16%  
157 1.1% 14%  
158 0.5% 13%  
159 1.5% 13%  
160 1.4% 11%  
161 0.7% 10%  
162 1.0% 9%  
163 0.6% 8%  
164 1.2% 7%  
165 0.8% 6%  
166 0.7% 5%  
167 0.4% 5%  
168 0.7% 4%  
169 1.0% 4%  
170 0.7% 3%  
171 0.2% 2%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.3% 1.4%  
174 0.3% 1.1%  
175 0.1% 0.8%  
176 0.1% 0.7%  
177 0.2% 0.6%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations