Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 28–31 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 52.8% 51.2–54.5% 50.7–54.9% 50.3–55.3% 49.5–56.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.9% 25.5–28.4% 25.1–28.8% 24.7–29.2% 24.1–29.9%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.3% 8.4–10.3% 8.2–10.6% 8.0–10.9% 7.5–11.4%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.6–4.9% 3.4–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.0–5.7%
Green Party 2.8% 3.3% 2.7–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.8% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 408 396–441 389–443 381–447 374–464
Conservative Party 365 147 118–163 115–169 108–176 93–186
Liberal Democrats 11 19 15–26 14–28 10–31 7–35
Scottish National Party 48 46 38–54 37–55 35–56 25–57
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–6
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0.1% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.2% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.6%  
373 0% 99.6%  
374 0.2% 99.5%  
375 0.2% 99.3%  
376 0.3% 99.1%  
377 0.4% 98.8%  
378 0% 98%  
379 0.1% 98%  
380 0.6% 98%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 0.2% 97%  
384 0.1% 97%  
385 1.3% 97%  
386 0.2% 96%  
387 0.1% 96%  
388 0.5% 96%  
389 0.9% 95%  
390 0.4% 94%  
391 0.6% 94%  
392 0.5% 93%  
393 1.4% 93%  
394 0.7% 91%  
395 0.6% 91%  
396 2% 90%  
397 0.2% 88%  
398 2% 87%  
399 6% 86%  
400 3% 79%  
401 1.3% 76%  
402 4% 75%  
403 3% 70%  
404 11% 67%  
405 3% 56%  
406 2% 53%  
407 2% 52%  
408 3% 50% Median
409 3% 47%  
410 1.2% 45%  
411 2% 43%  
412 1.1% 42%  
413 1.0% 40%  
414 0.5% 39%  
415 3% 39%  
416 0.7% 36%  
417 0.3% 36%  
418 1.2% 35%  
419 3% 34%  
420 2% 32%  
421 0.5% 29%  
422 0.7% 29%  
423 0.6% 28%  
424 2% 28%  
425 4% 26%  
426 0.6% 21%  
427 1.0% 21%  
428 0.4% 20%  
429 0.3% 19%  
430 0.7% 19%  
431 0.3% 18%  
432 0.3% 18%  
433 0.3% 18%  
434 0.1% 17%  
435 3% 17%  
436 0.8% 14%  
437 0.9% 13%  
438 0.4% 12%  
439 2% 12%  
440 0.1% 10%  
441 4% 10%  
442 0.4% 6%  
443 2% 6%  
444 0.7% 4%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.7% 4%  
447 0.4% 3%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.1% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.5%  
455 0.1% 1.3%  
456 0.1% 1.2%  
457 0% 1.1%  
458 0.2% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0% 0.5%  
464 0% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.5%  
466 0% 0.5%  
467 0.2% 0.4%  
468 0.1% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0% 99.4%  
95 0% 99.4%  
96 0.2% 99.4%  
97 0.1% 99.2%  
98 0.2% 99.1%  
99 0% 98.9%  
100 0% 98.8%  
101 0.1% 98.8%  
102 0.1% 98.7%  
103 0.1% 98.6%  
104 0.3% 98%  
105 0.1% 98%  
106 0.3% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.4% 98%  
109 0.2% 97%  
110 0.1% 97%  
111 0.2% 97%  
112 0.6% 97%  
113 0.2% 96%  
114 0.2% 96%  
115 1.2% 96%  
116 4% 94%  
117 0.3% 90%  
118 0.5% 90%  
119 0.7% 90%  
120 1.2% 89%  
121 0.3% 88%  
122 1.0% 87%  
123 0.4% 86%  
124 0.5% 86%  
125 1.1% 86%  
126 0.9% 84%  
127 3% 84%  
128 0.5% 81%  
129 0.6% 80%  
130 0.4% 80%  
131 0.2% 79%  
132 0.6% 79%  
133 1.1% 78%  
134 0.4% 77%  
135 0.9% 77%  
136 2% 76%  
137 0.3% 74%  
138 2% 74%  
139 2% 72%  
140 3% 70%  
141 3% 68%  
142 2% 64%  
143 3% 62%  
144 1.1% 59%  
145 0.4% 58%  
146 8% 58%  
147 2% 50% Median
148 2% 49%  
149 0.9% 47%  
150 3% 46%  
151 2% 43%  
152 2% 41%  
153 5% 40%  
154 2% 34%  
155 1.3% 32%  
156 3% 31%  
157 2% 28%  
158 3% 26%  
159 3% 23%  
160 3% 21%  
161 2% 17%  
162 0.9% 16%  
163 5% 15%  
164 1.2% 10%  
165 0.4% 9%  
166 1.2% 8%  
167 0.5% 7%  
168 0.1% 7%  
169 2% 6%  
170 0.3% 4%  
171 0.1% 4%  
172 0.3% 4%  
173 0.7% 4%  
174 0.2% 3%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.1% 3%  
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.1% 1.1%  
183 0.2% 1.1%  
184 0.3% 0.9%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.9% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.1%  
9 0% 99.0%  
10 2% 99.0%  
11 0.8% 97% Last Result
12 0.2% 97%  
13 0% 96%  
14 3% 96%  
15 6% 93%  
16 4% 87%  
17 11% 83%  
18 13% 72%  
19 9% 59% Median
20 10% 50%  
21 13% 40%  
22 6% 27%  
23 6% 21%  
24 3% 15%  
25 2% 12%  
26 3% 10%  
27 2% 7%  
28 1.5% 6%  
29 0.7% 4%  
30 0.3% 4%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.5% 2%  
33 0.3% 1.2%  
34 0.2% 0.9%  
35 0.3% 0.7%  
36 0.1% 0.4%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.6%  
26 0.1% 99.5%  
27 0% 99.4%  
28 0.1% 99.4%  
29 0.5% 99.3%  
30 0.2% 98.8%  
31 0.1% 98.6%  
32 0.4% 98.6%  
33 0% 98%  
34 0.5% 98%  
35 0.4% 98%  
36 2% 97%  
37 5% 96%  
38 2% 91%  
39 2% 88%  
40 2% 87%  
41 2% 85%  
42 4% 83%  
43 5% 79%  
44 12% 73%  
45 10% 62%  
46 6% 52% Median
47 0.8% 45%  
48 9% 44% Last Result
49 0.5% 35%  
50 4% 34%  
51 0.8% 30%  
52 2% 30%  
53 14% 27%  
54 5% 13%  
55 4% 8%  
56 1.4% 4%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 1.3% 99.9%  
4 16% 98.6% Last Result
5 81% 83% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 483 100% 467–512 461–515 454–522 444–537
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 482 100% 466–511 460–514 453–521 443–536
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 477 100% 461–506 455–509 448–517 438–531
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 462 100% 448–488 443–494 437–496 427–510
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 457 100% 443–483 439–489 432–491 422–506
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 433 100% 416–465 410–472 403–478 391–493
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 428 100% 411–460 405–467 398–473 386–489
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 412 100% 400–445 393–448 386–452 379–469
Labour Party 202 408 100% 396–441 389–443 381–447 374–464
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 201 0% 169–218 162–224 156–231 140–243
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 196 0% 164–213 157–219 151–226 135–238
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 167 0% 141–181 135–186 133–192 119–202
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 152 0% 123–168 120–174 112–181 98–191
Conservative Party 365 147 0% 118–163 115–169 108–176 93–186

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0% 99.7%  
443 0% 99.7%  
444 0.2% 99.6%  
445 0.2% 99.5%  
446 0.3% 99.3%  
447 0.2% 99.1%  
448 0.1% 98.9%  
449 0.4% 98.9%  
450 0% 98%  
451 0.1% 98%  
452 0.3% 98%  
453 0.4% 98%  
454 0.1% 98%  
455 0.3% 97%  
456 0.2% 97%  
457 0.7% 97%  
458 0.3% 96%  
459 0.1% 96%  
460 0.3% 96%  
461 2% 96%  
462 0.1% 94%  
463 0.5% 93%  
464 1.2% 93%  
465 0.4% 92%  
466 1.2% 91%  
467 5% 90%  
468 0.9% 85%  
469 2% 84%  
470 3% 83%  
471 3% 79%  
472 3% 77%  
473 2% 74%  
474 3% 72%  
475 1.3% 69%  
476 2% 68%  
477 5% 66%  
478 2% 60%  
479 2% 59% Median
480 3% 57%  
481 0.9% 54%  
482 2% 53%  
483 2% 51%  
484 8% 50%  
485 0.4% 42%  
486 1.1% 42%  
487 3% 41%  
488 2% 38%  
489 3% 36%  
490 3% 32%  
491 2% 30%  
492 2% 28%  
493 0.3% 26%  
494 2% 26%  
495 0.9% 24%  
496 0.4% 23%  
497 1.1% 23%  
498 0.6% 22%  
499 0.2% 21%  
500 0.4% 21%  
501 0.6% 20%  
502 0.5% 20%  
503 3% 19%  
504 0.9% 16%  
505 1.1% 16%  
506 0.5% 14%  
507 0.4% 14%  
508 1.0% 14%  
509 0.3% 13%  
510 1.2% 12%  
511 0.7% 11%  
512 0.5% 10%  
513 0.3% 10%  
514 4% 10%  
515 1.2% 6%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.2% 4%  
518 0.6% 4%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.1% 3%  
521 0.2% 3%  
522 0.4% 3%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.1% 2%  
528 0.1% 1.4%  
529 0.1% 1.3%  
530 0% 1.2%  
531 0% 1.2%  
532 0.2% 1.1%  
533 0.1% 0.9%  
534 0.2% 0.8%  
535 0% 0.6%  
536 0% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.6%  
538 0.2% 0.5%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0.1% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.8%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0% 99.7%  
442 0% 99.7%  
443 0.2% 99.6%  
444 0.2% 99.5%  
445 0.3% 99.3%  
446 0.2% 99.1%  
447 0.1% 98.9%  
448 0.4% 98.9%  
449 0% 98%  
450 0.1% 98%  
451 0.3% 98%  
452 0.4% 98%  
453 0.1% 98%  
454 0.3% 97%  
455 0.2% 97%  
456 0.7% 97%  
457 0.3% 96%  
458 0.1% 96%  
459 0.3% 96%  
460 2% 96%  
461 0.1% 94%  
462 0.5% 93%  
463 1.2% 93%  
464 0.4% 92%  
465 1.2% 91%  
466 5% 90%  
467 0.9% 85%  
468 2% 84%  
469 3% 83%  
470 3% 79%  
471 3% 77%  
472 2% 74%  
473 3% 72%  
474 1.3% 69%  
475 2% 68%  
476 5% 66%  
477 2% 60%  
478 2% 59% Median
479 3% 57%  
480 0.9% 54%  
481 2% 53%  
482 2% 51%  
483 8% 50%  
484 0.4% 42%  
485 1.1% 42%  
486 3% 41%  
487 2% 38%  
488 3% 36%  
489 3% 32%  
490 2% 30%  
491 2% 28%  
492 0.3% 26%  
493 2% 26%  
494 0.9% 24%  
495 0.4% 23%  
496 1.1% 23%  
497 0.6% 22%  
498 0.2% 21%  
499 0.4% 21%  
500 0.6% 20%  
501 0.5% 20%  
502 3% 19%  
503 0.9% 16%  
504 1.1% 16%  
505 0.5% 14%  
506 0.4% 14%  
507 1.0% 14%  
508 0.3% 13%  
509 1.2% 12%  
510 0.7% 11%  
511 0.5% 10%  
512 0.3% 10%  
513 4% 10%  
514 1.2% 6%  
515 0.2% 4%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.6% 4%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.1% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.4% 3%  
522 0.2% 2%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.3% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0.1% 1.4%  
528 0.1% 1.3%  
529 0% 1.2%  
530 0% 1.2%  
531 0.2% 1.1%  
532 0.1% 0.9%  
533 0.2% 0.8%  
534 0% 0.6%  
535 0% 0.6%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.2% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0% 99.7%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.2% 99.6%  
439 0.2% 99.5%  
440 0.2% 99.3%  
441 0.2% 99.1%  
442 0.1% 98.9%  
443 0.4% 98.9%  
444 0.1% 98%  
445 0.1% 98%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.2% 98%  
448 0.3% 98%  
449 0.3% 97%  
450 0.2% 97%  
451 0.7% 97%  
452 0.2% 96%  
453 0.1% 96%  
454 0.1% 96%  
455 2% 96%  
456 0.2% 94%  
457 0.3% 93%  
458 1.1% 93%  
459 0.7% 92%  
460 1.0% 91%  
461 5% 90%  
462 0.9% 85%  
463 2% 84%  
464 3% 83%  
465 2% 80%  
466 4% 77%  
467 1.0% 73%  
468 3% 72%  
469 2% 69%  
470 2% 68%  
471 2% 66%  
472 5% 64%  
473 1.3% 59% Median
474 3% 58%  
475 2% 55%  
476 1.3% 53%  
477 2% 52%  
478 8% 50%  
479 0.6% 42%  
480 1.0% 42%  
481 3% 41%  
482 2% 38%  
483 3% 36%  
484 2% 33%  
485 2% 31%  
486 2% 29%  
487 0.3% 26%  
488 2% 26%  
489 0.5% 24%  
490 0.6% 23%  
491 1.1% 23%  
492 0.7% 22%  
493 0.1% 21%  
494 0.2% 21%  
495 0.8% 21%  
496 0.2% 20%  
497 0.9% 20%  
498 3% 19%  
499 0.9% 16%  
500 0.7% 15%  
501 0.3% 14%  
502 0.6% 14%  
503 0.8% 13%  
504 1.3% 12%  
505 0.6% 11%  
506 0.4% 10%  
507 0.2% 10%  
508 4% 10%  
509 1.3% 6%  
510 0.2% 4%  
511 0.2% 4%  
512 0.4% 4%  
513 0.4% 4%  
514 0.1% 3%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.4% 3%  
517 0.2% 3%  
518 0.3% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.3% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.1% 1.4%  
523 0.1% 1.3%  
524 0% 1.2%  
525 0.1% 1.2%  
526 0.1% 1.1%  
527 0.3% 1.1%  
528 0.2% 0.8%  
529 0% 0.6%  
530 0% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.6%  
532 0.2% 0.5%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0.1% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.2% 99.8%  
427 0.3% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.3%  
429 0% 99.2%  
430 0.2% 99.2%  
431 0.2% 99.0%  
432 0.2% 98.8%  
433 0.2% 98.6%  
434 0.5% 98%  
435 0.1% 98%  
436 0.3% 98%  
437 0.1% 98%  
438 0.5% 97%  
439 0.2% 97%  
440 0.1% 97%  
441 0.3% 97%  
442 0.2% 96%  
443 1.2% 96%  
444 0.7% 95%  
445 2% 94%  
446 1.0% 92%  
447 0.7% 91%  
448 5% 91%  
449 1.4% 85%  
450 0.8% 84%  
451 3% 83%  
452 3% 80%  
453 9% 78%  
454 3% 69%  
455 1.3% 66%  
456 1.3% 64%  
457 2% 63%  
458 2% 61%  
459 3% 59% Median
460 2% 56%  
461 3% 55%  
462 9% 52%  
463 2% 43%  
464 0.7% 42%  
465 1.3% 41%  
466 3% 40%  
467 2% 36%  
468 2% 34%  
469 3% 32%  
470 0.8% 29%  
471 0.9% 28%  
472 2% 27%  
473 1.3% 25%  
474 2% 24%  
475 2% 22%  
476 0.3% 20%  
477 0.1% 20%  
478 0.3% 20%  
479 0.1% 20%  
480 0.1% 20%  
481 0.7% 19%  
482 4% 19%  
483 1.4% 15%  
484 0.5% 14%  
485 1.4% 13%  
486 0.8% 12%  
487 0.3% 11%  
488 1.4% 11%  
489 0.2% 9%  
490 0.4% 9%  
491 0.3% 9%  
492 0.8% 8%  
493 0.6% 8%  
494 4% 7%  
495 0.3% 3%  
496 0.4% 3%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0% 2%  
499 0% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0% 2%  
504 0.4% 2%  
505 0.2% 1.2%  
506 0.2% 1.0%  
507 0.1% 0.8%  
508 0.1% 0.7%  
509 0% 0.6%  
510 0.1% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.5%  
512 0.1% 0.4%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0.1% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0.3% 99.6%  
423 0.1% 99.3%  
424 0% 99.2%  
425 0.1% 99.2%  
426 0.3% 99.1%  
427 0.2% 98.8%  
428 0.2% 98.6%  
429 0.5% 98%  
430 0.1% 98%  
431 0.3% 98%  
432 0.1% 98%  
433 0.5% 97%  
434 0.2% 97%  
435 0.1% 97%  
436 0.2% 97%  
437 0.2% 96%  
438 1.0% 96%  
439 0.9% 95%  
440 1.2% 94%  
441 2% 93%  
442 0.8% 91%  
443 5% 91%  
444 1.4% 85%  
445 0.7% 84%  
446 3% 83%  
447 2% 80%  
448 8% 78%  
449 2% 69%  
450 3% 68%  
451 2% 65%  
452 2% 63%  
453 0.9% 61%  
454 4% 60% Median
455 1.2% 57%  
456 3% 55%  
457 9% 53%  
458 2% 44%  
459 0.7% 42%  
460 1.5% 41%  
461 3% 40%  
462 2% 36%  
463 3% 35%  
464 3% 32%  
465 1.2% 29%  
466 0.3% 28%  
467 2% 28%  
468 1.3% 25%  
469 2% 24%  
470 2% 22%  
471 0.5% 21%  
472 0.1% 20%  
473 0.1% 20%  
474 0.2% 20%  
475 0.1% 20%  
476 0.7% 19%  
477 1.0% 19%  
478 4% 18%  
479 0.7% 14%  
480 2% 14%  
481 0.6% 12%  
482 0.5% 11%  
483 1.3% 11%  
484 0.2% 9%  
485 0.4% 9%  
486 0.2% 9%  
487 0.9% 9%  
488 0.8% 8%  
489 4% 7%  
490 0.4% 3%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.3% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.3% 1.4%  
501 0.3% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.2% 0.8%  
504 0% 0.6%  
505 0.1% 0.6%  
506 0.1% 0.5%  
507 0.2% 0.4%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.7%  
391 0.2% 99.7%  
392 0% 99.5%  
393 0.1% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.4%  
395 0.1% 99.3%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.1% 99.1%  
398 0.3% 99.0%  
399 0.1% 98.7%  
400 0.4% 98.7%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0.2% 98%  
403 0.6% 98%  
404 0.4% 97%  
405 0.1% 97%  
406 0.4% 97%  
407 0.5% 96%  
408 0.2% 96%  
409 0.2% 96%  
410 0.9% 96%  
411 1.0% 95%  
412 1.0% 94%  
413 0.4% 93%  
414 0.7% 92%  
415 1.1% 92%  
416 0.9% 91%  
417 0.9% 90%  
418 2% 89%  
419 1.0% 87%  
420 0.9% 86%  
421 3% 85%  
422 5% 82%  
423 2% 77%  
424 3% 75%  
425 1.4% 72%  
426 2% 71%  
427 1.4% 69%  
428 3% 68%  
429 0.5% 64%  
430 7% 64%  
431 3% 57%  
432 3% 54% Median
433 1.5% 51%  
434 2% 50%  
435 4% 47%  
436 1.1% 43%  
437 0.6% 42%  
438 1.4% 41%  
439 1.2% 40%  
440 0.8% 39%  
441 2% 38%  
442 3% 36%  
443 0.3% 33%  
444 2% 33%  
445 2% 31%  
446 0.3% 30%  
447 1.0% 29%  
448 2% 28%  
449 2% 27%  
450 0.4% 25%  
451 0.5% 24%  
452 2% 24%  
453 0.7% 22%  
454 0.3% 21%  
455 0.7% 21%  
456 0.8% 20%  
457 0.5% 19%  
458 1.0% 19%  
459 3% 18%  
460 0.5% 15%  
461 1.2% 14%  
462 0.1% 13%  
463 0.5% 13%  
464 0.2% 12%  
465 3% 12%  
466 0.6% 9%  
467 0.8% 8%  
468 0.8% 7%  
469 0.3% 7%  
470 0.5% 6%  
471 0.2% 6%  
472 1.1% 6%  
473 0.3% 5%  
474 0.3% 4%  
475 1.0% 4%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.1% 3%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.4% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.3% 1.4%  
485 0% 1.1%  
486 0% 1.1%  
487 0.1% 1.0%  
488 0.1% 0.9%  
489 0.1% 0.8%  
490 0% 0.8%  
491 0.1% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.6%  
494 0% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.5%  
496 0% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0.1% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0.2% 99.7%  
387 0% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0% 99.4%  
390 0.1% 99.3%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.1% 99.1%  
393 0.3% 99.0%  
394 0.1% 98.8%  
395 0.4% 98.7%  
396 0% 98%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.5% 98%  
399 0.2% 97%  
400 0.4% 97%  
401 0.2% 97%  
402 0.5% 97%  
403 0.3% 96%  
404 0.2% 96%  
405 0.8% 96%  
406 0.9% 95%  
407 1.2% 94%  
408 0.3% 93%  
409 0.7% 92%  
410 1.2% 92%  
411 0.8% 91%  
412 1.1% 90%  
413 2% 89%  
414 1.1% 87%  
415 0.4% 86%  
416 2% 86%  
417 5% 83%  
418 3% 78%  
419 3% 75%  
420 1.4% 72%  
421 2% 71%  
422 0.8% 69%  
423 3% 68%  
424 0.9% 65%  
425 7% 64%  
426 1.1% 57%  
427 4% 56% Median
428 2% 51%  
429 2% 50%  
430 4% 48%  
431 1.3% 43%  
432 0.6% 42%  
433 1.2% 41%  
434 1.2% 40%  
435 1.0% 39%  
436 0.4% 38%  
437 4% 38%  
438 0.4% 33%  
439 0.9% 33%  
440 2% 32%  
441 0.3% 30%  
442 0.9% 29%  
443 2% 28%  
444 2% 27%  
445 0.4% 25%  
446 0.7% 25%  
447 2% 24%  
448 0.7% 22%  
449 0.2% 21%  
450 0.8% 21%  
451 0.3% 20%  
452 1.0% 20%  
453 1.0% 19%  
454 0.5% 18%  
455 3% 17%  
456 1.1% 14%  
457 0.2% 13%  
458 0.5% 13%  
459 0.2% 12%  
460 3% 12%  
461 0.9% 9%  
462 0.8% 8%  
463 0.8% 7%  
464 0.2% 7%  
465 0.5% 6%  
466 0.2% 6%  
467 0.9% 6%  
468 0.4% 5%  
469 0.3% 4%  
470 1.1% 4%  
471 0.2% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.2% 3%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.6% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.3% 1.5%  
480 0% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.1%  
482 0.1% 1.0%  
483 0.1% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.8%  
485 0% 0.8%  
486 0.1% 0.7%  
487 0% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0.1% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0.1% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.2% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.6%  
378 0% 99.6%  
379 0.2% 99.5%  
380 0.3% 99.3%  
381 0.3% 99.1%  
382 0.4% 98.8%  
383 0% 98%  
384 0.1% 98%  
385 0.6% 98%  
386 0.3% 98%  
387 0.1% 97%  
388 0.2% 97%  
389 0.4% 97%  
390 1.0% 97%  
391 0.2% 96%  
392 0.1% 96%  
393 0.5% 96%  
394 0.8% 95%  
395 0.4% 94%  
396 0.6% 94%  
397 1.1% 93%  
398 0.8% 92%  
399 0.9% 91%  
400 0.5% 90%  
401 2% 90%  
402 0.6% 88%  
403 3% 87%  
404 5% 84%  
405 3% 79%  
406 1.0% 76%  
407 6% 75%  
408 3% 69%  
409 12% 66%  
410 0.9% 54%  
411 2% 54%  
412 2% 52%  
413 3% 50% Median
414 2% 46%  
415 1.0% 44%  
416 2% 43%  
417 0.9% 41%  
418 1.1% 40%  
419 0.4% 39%  
420 2% 39%  
421 0.7% 36%  
422 0.8% 36%  
423 2% 35%  
424 1.2% 33%  
425 2% 32%  
426 0.4% 29%  
427 0.9% 29%  
428 0.5% 28%  
429 2% 27%  
430 4% 25%  
431 0.4% 21%  
432 0.8% 21%  
433 0.7% 20%  
434 0.3% 19%  
435 0.7% 19%  
436 0.2% 18%  
437 0.3% 18%  
438 0.3% 18%  
439 3% 17%  
440 0.7% 14%  
441 1.4% 14%  
442 0.3% 12%  
443 0.3% 12%  
444 2% 12%  
445 0.2% 10%  
446 4% 10%  
447 0.4% 6%  
448 1.5% 6%  
449 0.7% 4%  
450 0.2% 4%  
451 0.6% 3%  
452 0.5% 3%  
453 0.1% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.5%  
460 0.1% 1.3%  
461 0.1% 1.2%  
462 0.1% 1.1%  
463 0.1% 1.0%  
464 0.1% 0.9%  
465 0.2% 0.8%  
466 0% 0.6%  
467 0% 0.6%  
468 0% 0.5%  
469 0% 0.5%  
470 0% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.4%  
472 0.1% 0.4%  
473 0.1% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0.1% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.2% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.6%  
373 0% 99.6%  
374 0.2% 99.5%  
375 0.2% 99.3%  
376 0.3% 99.1%  
377 0.4% 98.8%  
378 0% 98%  
379 0.1% 98%  
380 0.6% 98%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 0.2% 97%  
384 0.1% 97%  
385 1.3% 97%  
386 0.2% 96%  
387 0.1% 96%  
388 0.5% 96%  
389 0.9% 95%  
390 0.4% 94%  
391 0.6% 94%  
392 0.5% 93%  
393 1.4% 93%  
394 0.7% 91%  
395 0.6% 91%  
396 2% 90%  
397 0.2% 88%  
398 2% 87%  
399 6% 86%  
400 3% 79%  
401 1.3% 76%  
402 4% 75%  
403 3% 70%  
404 11% 67%  
405 3% 56%  
406 2% 53%  
407 2% 52%  
408 3% 50% Median
409 3% 47%  
410 1.2% 45%  
411 2% 43%  
412 1.1% 42%  
413 1.0% 40%  
414 0.5% 39%  
415 3% 39%  
416 0.7% 36%  
417 0.3% 36%  
418 1.2% 35%  
419 3% 34%  
420 2% 32%  
421 0.5% 29%  
422 0.7% 29%  
423 0.6% 28%  
424 2% 28%  
425 4% 26%  
426 0.6% 21%  
427 1.0% 21%  
428 0.4% 20%  
429 0.3% 19%  
430 0.7% 19%  
431 0.3% 18%  
432 0.3% 18%  
433 0.3% 18%  
434 0.1% 17%  
435 3% 17%  
436 0.8% 14%  
437 0.9% 13%  
438 0.4% 12%  
439 2% 12%  
440 0.1% 10%  
441 4% 10%  
442 0.4% 6%  
443 2% 6%  
444 0.7% 4%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.7% 4%  
447 0.4% 3%  
448 0.3% 2%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.1% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.5%  
455 0.1% 1.3%  
456 0.1% 1.2%  
457 0% 1.1%  
458 0.2% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0% 0.5%  
464 0% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.5%  
466 0% 0.5%  
467 0.2% 0.4%  
468 0.1% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0.1% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0.1% 99.6%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.4%  
143 0.1% 99.3%  
144 0% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.1% 99.2%  
147 0.1% 99.1%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.3% 98.8%  
151 0.1% 98.5%  
152 0.1% 98%  
153 0.2% 98%  
154 0.6% 98%  
155 0.1% 98%  
156 0.2% 98%  
157 0.2% 97%  
158 0.2% 97%  
159 1.1% 97%  
160 0.3% 96%  
161 0.4% 96%  
162 0.9% 95%  
163 0.2% 94%  
164 0.5% 94%  
165 0.2% 94%  
166 0.8% 93%  
167 0.8% 93%  
168 0.9% 92%  
169 3% 91%  
170 0.2% 88%  
171 0.5% 88%  
172 0.2% 87%  
173 1.1% 87%  
174 3% 86%  
175 0.5% 83%  
176 1.0% 82%  
177 1.0% 81%  
178 0.3% 80%  
179 0.8% 80%  
180 0.2% 79%  
181 0.7% 79%  
182 2% 78%  
183 0.7% 76%  
184 0.4% 75%  
185 2% 75%  
186 2% 73%  
187 0.9% 72%  
188 0.3% 71%  
189 2% 70%  
190 0.9% 68%  
191 0.4% 67%  
192 4% 67%  
193 0.4% 62%  
194 1.0% 62%  
195 1.2% 61%  
196 1.2% 60%  
197 0.6% 59%  
198 1.3% 58% Median
199 4% 57%  
200 2% 52%  
201 2% 50%  
202 4% 49%  
203 1.1% 44%  
204 7% 43%  
205 0.9% 36%  
206 3% 35%  
207 0.8% 32%  
208 2% 31%  
209 1.4% 29%  
210 3% 28%  
211 3% 25%  
212 5% 22%  
213 2% 17%  
214 0.4% 14%  
215 1.1% 14%  
216 2% 13%  
217 1.1% 11%  
218 0.8% 10%  
219 1.2% 9%  
220 0.7% 8%  
221 0.3% 8%  
222 1.2% 7%  
223 0.9% 6%  
224 0.8% 5%  
225 0.2% 4%  
226 0.3% 4%  
227 0.5% 4%  
228 0.2% 3%  
229 0.4% 3%  
230 0.2% 3%  
231 0.5% 3%  
232 0.2% 2%  
233 0% 2%  
234 0.4% 2%  
235 0.1% 1.3%  
236 0.3% 1.2%  
237 0.1% 1.0%  
238 0.1% 0.9%  
239 0.1% 0.8%  
240 0% 0.7%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.5%  
243 0.2% 0.5%  
244 0% 0.3%  
245 0.1% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0.1% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.7%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0.1% 99.6%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.4%  
138 0.1% 99.3%  
139 0% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.2%  
141 0.1% 99.2%  
142 0.1% 99.1%  
143 0% 99.0%  
144 0% 98.9%  
145 0.3% 98.9%  
146 0.1% 98.6%  
147 0% 98%  
148 0.3% 98%  
149 0.4% 98%  
150 0.2% 98%  
151 0.1% 98%  
152 0.3% 97%  
153 0.2% 97%  
154 1.0% 97%  
155 0.3% 96%  
156 0.3% 96%  
157 1.1% 95%  
158 0.2% 94%  
159 0.5% 94%  
160 0.3% 94%  
161 0.8% 93%  
162 0.8% 93%  
163 0.6% 92%  
164 3% 91%  
165 0.2% 88%  
166 0.5% 88%  
167 0.1% 87%  
168 1.2% 87%  
169 0.5% 86%  
170 3% 85%  
171 1.0% 82%  
172 0.5% 81%  
173 0.8% 81%  
174 0.7% 80%  
175 0.3% 79%  
176 0.7% 79%  
177 2% 78%  
178 0.5% 76%  
179 0.4% 76%  
180 2% 75%  
181 2% 73%  
182 1.0% 72%  
183 0.3% 71%  
184 2% 70%  
185 2% 69%  
186 0.3% 67%  
187 3% 67%  
188 2% 64%  
189 0.8% 62%  
190 1.2% 61%  
191 1.4% 60%  
192 0.6% 59%  
193 1.1% 58% Median
194 4% 57%  
195 2% 53%  
196 1.5% 50%  
197 3% 49%  
198 3% 46%  
199 7% 43%  
200 0.5% 36%  
201 3% 36%  
202 1.4% 32%  
203 2% 31%  
204 1.4% 29%  
205 3% 28%  
206 2% 25%  
207 5% 23%  
208 3% 18%  
209 0.9% 15%  
210 1.0% 14%  
211 2% 13%  
212 0.9% 11%  
213 0.9% 10%  
214 1.1% 9%  
215 0.7% 8%  
216 0.4% 8%  
217 1.0% 7%  
218 1.0% 6%  
219 0.9% 5%  
220 0.2% 4%  
221 0.2% 4%  
222 0.5% 4%  
223 0.4% 4%  
224 0.1% 3%  
225 0.4% 3%  
226 0.6% 3%  
227 0.2% 2%  
228 0.1% 2%  
229 0.4% 2%  
230 0.1% 1.3%  
231 0.3% 1.3%  
232 0.1% 1.0%  
233 0.1% 0.9%  
234 0.1% 0.8%  
235 0.1% 0.7%  
236 0.1% 0.6%  
237 0% 0.5%  
238 0.2% 0.5%  
239 0% 0.3%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.4%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.2% 99.2%  
124 0.2% 99.0%  
125 0.4% 98.8%  
126 0% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0% 98%  
131 0% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.4% 98%  
134 0.3% 97%  
135 4% 97%  
136 0.6% 93%  
137 0.8% 92%  
138 0.3% 92%  
139 0.4% 91%  
140 0.2% 91%  
141 1.4% 91%  
142 0.3% 89%  
143 0.8% 89%  
144 1.4% 88%  
145 0.5% 87%  
146 1.4% 86%  
147 4% 85%  
148 0.7% 81%  
149 0.1% 81%  
150 0.1% 80%  
151 0.3% 80%  
152 0.1% 80%  
153 0.3% 80%  
154 2% 80%  
155 2% 78%  
156 1.3% 76%  
157 2% 75%  
158 0.9% 73%  
159 0.8% 72%  
160 3% 71%  
161 2% 68%  
162 2% 66%  
163 3% 64%  
164 1.3% 60%  
165 0.7% 59%  
166 2% 58% Median
167 9% 57%  
168 3% 48%  
169 2% 45%  
170 3% 44%  
171 2% 41%  
172 2% 39%  
173 1.3% 37%  
174 1.3% 36%  
175 3% 34%  
176 9% 31%  
177 3% 22%  
178 3% 20%  
179 0.8% 17%  
180 1.4% 16%  
181 5% 15%  
182 0.7% 9%  
183 1.0% 9%  
184 2% 8%  
185 0.7% 6%  
186 1.2% 5%  
187 0.2% 4%  
188 0.3% 4%  
189 0.1% 3%  
190 0.2% 3%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.1% 3%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.1% 2%  
195 0.5% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.2% 1.4%  
198 0.2% 1.2%  
199 0.2% 1.0%  
200 0% 0.8%  
201 0.1% 0.8%  
202 0.3% 0.7%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0.2% 99.7%  
98 0.1% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.4%  
100 0% 99.4%  
101 0.2% 99.4%  
102 0.3% 99.2%  
103 0.1% 98.9%  
104 0.1% 98.9%  
105 0% 98.8%  
106 0.1% 98.8%  
107 0.1% 98.7%  
108 0.1% 98.6%  
109 0.3% 98%  
110 0.2% 98%  
111 0.3% 98%  
112 0.2% 98%  
113 0.4% 97%  
114 0.2% 97%  
115 0.1% 97%  
116 0.4% 97%  
117 0.4% 96%  
118 0.2% 96%  
119 0.2% 96%  
120 1.3% 96%  
121 4% 94%  
122 0.2% 90%  
123 0.4% 90%  
124 0.6% 90%  
125 1.3% 89%  
126 0.8% 88%  
127 0.6% 87%  
128 0.3% 86%  
129 0.7% 86%  
130 0.9% 85%  
131 3% 84%  
132 0.9% 81%  
133 0.2% 80%  
134 0.8% 80%  
135 0.2% 79%  
136 0.1% 79%  
137 0.7% 79%  
138 1.1% 78%  
139 0.6% 77%  
140 0.5% 77%  
141 2% 76%  
142 0.3% 74%  
143 2% 74%  
144 2% 71%  
145 2% 69%  
146 3% 67%  
147 2% 64%  
148 3% 62%  
149 1.0% 59%  
150 0.6% 58%  
151 8% 58%  
152 2% 50% Median
153 1.3% 48%  
154 2% 47%  
155 3% 45%  
156 1.3% 42%  
157 5% 41%  
158 2% 36%  
159 2% 34%  
160 2% 32%  
161 3% 31%  
162 1.0% 28%  
163 4% 27%  
164 2% 23%  
165 3% 20%  
166 2% 17%  
167 0.9% 16%  
168 5% 15%  
169 1.0% 10%  
170 0.7% 9%  
171 1.1% 8%  
172 0.3% 7%  
173 0.2% 7%  
174 2% 6%  
175 0.1% 4%  
176 0.1% 4%  
177 0.2% 4%  
178 0.7% 4%  
179 0.2% 3%  
180 0.3% 3%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.2% 2%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.1% 2%  
185 0.1% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.1% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 1.1%  
189 0.2% 0.9%  
190 0.2% 0.7%  
191 0.2% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0% 0.3%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0% 99.4%  
95 0% 99.4%  
96 0.2% 99.4%  
97 0.1% 99.2%  
98 0.2% 99.1%  
99 0% 98.9%  
100 0% 98.8%  
101 0.1% 98.8%  
102 0.1% 98.7%  
103 0.1% 98.6%  
104 0.3% 98%  
105 0.1% 98%  
106 0.3% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.4% 98%  
109 0.2% 97%  
110 0.1% 97%  
111 0.2% 97%  
112 0.6% 97%  
113 0.2% 96%  
114 0.2% 96%  
115 1.2% 96%  
116 4% 94%  
117 0.3% 90%  
118 0.5% 90%  
119 0.7% 90%  
120 1.2% 89%  
121 0.3% 88%  
122 1.0% 87%  
123 0.4% 86%  
124 0.5% 86%  
125 1.1% 86%  
126 0.9% 84%  
127 3% 84%  
128 0.5% 81%  
129 0.6% 80%  
130 0.4% 80%  
131 0.2% 79%  
132 0.6% 79%  
133 1.1% 78%  
134 0.4% 77%  
135 0.9% 77%  
136 2% 76%  
137 0.3% 74%  
138 2% 74%  
139 2% 72%  
140 3% 70%  
141 3% 68%  
142 2% 64%  
143 3% 62%  
144 1.1% 59%  
145 0.4% 58%  
146 8% 58%  
147 2% 50% Median
148 2% 49%  
149 0.9% 47%  
150 3% 46%  
151 2% 43%  
152 2% 41%  
153 5% 40%  
154 2% 34%  
155 1.3% 32%  
156 3% 31%  
157 2% 28%  
158 3% 26%  
159 3% 23%  
160 3% 21%  
161 2% 17%  
162 0.9% 16%  
163 5% 15%  
164 1.2% 10%  
165 0.4% 9%  
166 1.2% 8%  
167 0.5% 7%  
168 0.1% 7%  
169 2% 6%  
170 0.3% 4%  
171 0.1% 4%  
172 0.3% 4%  
173 0.7% 4%  
174 0.2% 3%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.1% 3%  
177 0.4% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0% 2%  
181 0.4% 2%  
182 0.1% 1.1%  
183 0.2% 1.1%  
184 0.3% 0.9%  
185 0.2% 0.7%  
186 0.2% 0.5%  
187 0% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0.1% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations