Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 1–2 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 51.8% 50.2–53.4% 49.8–53.8% 49.4–54.2% 48.6–55.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.8% 23.5–26.2% 23.1–26.6% 22.8–27.0% 22.2–27.7%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.3% 8.5–10.3% 8.2–10.6% 8.0–10.9% 7.6–11.4%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.1% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.6% 1.8–3.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.5–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 430 404–456 398–464 394–470 387–476
Conservative Party 365 125 96–152 88–157 82–160 73–168
Liberal Democrats 11 22 18–32 17–34 15–36 14–39
Scottish National Party 48 46 39–54 36–55 34–57 29–57
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.6%  
387 0.2% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.2% 99.1%  
391 0.3% 98.9%  
392 0.4% 98.6%  
393 0.5% 98%  
394 0.7% 98%  
395 0.7% 97%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.5% 96%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 0.7% 95%  
400 0.9% 94%  
401 0.9% 93%  
402 1.4% 92%  
403 0.7% 91%  
404 1.2% 90%  
405 0.9% 89%  
406 1.4% 88%  
407 1.1% 87%  
408 0.7% 86%  
409 2% 85%  
410 1.1% 83%  
411 2% 82%  
412 1.2% 80%  
413 1.3% 78%  
414 3% 77%  
415 2% 74%  
416 2% 72%  
417 1.1% 70%  
418 2% 69%  
419 1.1% 67%  
420 1.4% 66%  
421 1.4% 65%  
422 4% 63%  
423 1.3% 59%  
424 0.9% 58%  
425 2% 57%  
426 1.3% 55%  
427 0.9% 53%  
428 1.1% 53%  
429 1.2% 52%  
430 2% 50% Median
431 2% 48%  
432 2% 46%  
433 1.2% 44%  
434 1.3% 43%  
435 3% 42%  
436 2% 39%  
437 1.3% 37%  
438 2% 36%  
439 2% 34%  
440 2% 32%  
441 2% 31%  
442 1.5% 28%  
443 3% 27%  
444 1.4% 24%  
445 1.0% 23%  
446 0.9% 22%  
447 1.4% 21%  
448 1.3% 20%  
449 1.4% 18%  
450 0.9% 17%  
451 1.2% 16%  
452 1.2% 15%  
453 2% 14%  
454 0.7% 12%  
455 1.0% 11%  
456 0.7% 10%  
457 0.3% 10%  
458 0.9% 9%  
459 0.9% 8%  
460 0.3% 8%  
461 1.0% 7%  
462 0.4% 6%  
463 0.5% 6%  
464 1.0% 5%  
465 0.3% 4%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.4% 4%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.1% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.6% 2%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.2%  
474 0.3% 1.0%  
475 0.1% 0.7%  
476 0.2% 0.6%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 99.5%  
75 0.1% 99.3%  
76 0.2% 99.2%  
77 0.2% 98.9%  
78 0.4% 98.8%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.2% 98%  
83 0.3% 97%  
84 0.4% 97%  
85 0.3% 97%  
86 0.5% 96%  
87 0.3% 96%  
88 0.8% 96%  
89 0.6% 95%  
90 0.5% 94%  
91 0.4% 94%  
92 0.5% 93%  
93 0.5% 93%  
94 0.3% 92%  
95 2% 92%  
96 0.7% 91%  
97 0.7% 90%  
98 1.5% 89%  
99 1.0% 88%  
100 0.4% 87%  
101 0.7% 86%  
102 1.0% 86%  
103 2% 85%  
104 1.1% 82%  
105 1.0% 81%  
106 1.5% 80%  
107 1.1% 79%  
108 2% 78%  
109 1.1% 76%  
110 2% 75%  
111 0.7% 73%  
112 2% 72%  
113 2% 71%  
114 2% 69%  
115 2% 67%  
116 3% 65%  
117 1.0% 62%  
118 2% 61%  
119 1.0% 59%  
120 2% 58%  
121 3% 56%  
122 2% 53%  
123 0.9% 52%  
124 0.9% 51%  
125 2% 50% Median
126 0.9% 48%  
127 2% 47%  
128 0.8% 46%  
129 1.1% 45%  
130 0.7% 44%  
131 1.0% 43%  
132 1.0% 42%  
133 0.6% 41%  
134 2% 40%  
135 3% 38%  
136 3% 36%  
137 1.1% 33%  
138 1.3% 32%  
139 2% 30%  
140 2% 28%  
141 2% 27%  
142 0.8% 24%  
143 3% 24%  
144 1.0% 21%  
145 1.4% 20%  
146 1.1% 19%  
147 2% 18%  
148 1.4% 16%  
149 1.4% 14%  
150 1.3% 13%  
151 1.3% 12%  
152 1.0% 10%  
153 0.7% 9%  
154 1.2% 9%  
155 1.3% 7%  
156 0.9% 6%  
157 0.9% 5%  
158 0.8% 4%  
159 0.6% 3%  
160 0.5% 3%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.2% 1.5%  
164 0.3% 1.3%  
165 0.1% 1.0%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.6%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0% 0.3%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
12 0% 99.6%  
13 0% 99.6%  
14 0.8% 99.6%  
15 2% 98.7%  
16 0.9% 97%  
17 5% 96%  
18 9% 91%  
19 7% 82%  
20 8% 74%  
21 11% 67%  
22 11% 56% Median
23 5% 45%  
24 4% 40%  
25 4% 35%  
26 5% 32%  
27 4% 26%  
28 5% 22%  
29 2% 17%  
30 3% 15%  
31 2% 12%  
32 2% 10%  
33 1.4% 9%  
34 3% 7%  
35 2% 4%  
36 0.7% 3%  
37 0.8% 2%  
38 0.3% 1.1%  
39 0.4% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.1% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.8%  
27 0.1% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.3% 99.6%  
30 0.2% 99.4%  
31 0.1% 99.1%  
32 0.5% 99.0%  
33 0.2% 98.5%  
34 1.1% 98%  
35 0.6% 97%  
36 2% 97%  
37 3% 95%  
38 2% 92%  
39 4% 91%  
40 2% 87%  
41 5% 85%  
42 5% 80%  
43 5% 76%  
44 8% 71%  
45 8% 63%  
46 11% 55% Median
47 4% 45%  
48 7% 41% Last Result
49 1.2% 34%  
50 3% 33%  
51 3% 29%  
52 3% 26%  
53 9% 24%  
54 6% 15%  
55 5% 9%  
56 2% 4%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.2%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.2% 100%  
4 11% 98.8% Last Result
5 86% 87% Median
6 1.3% 1.3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 505 100% 478–533 473–540 470–546 461–555
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 504 100% 477–532 472–539 469–545 460–554
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 500 100% 472–527 467–534 464–540 456–549
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 481 100% 457–504 453–512 450–518 443–524
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 476 100% 452–499 448–508 445–513 438–519
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 458 100% 429–488 422–496 418–502 409–512
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 453 100% 424–483 417–491 413–497 404–507
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 435 100% 409–461 403–469 399–474 392–481
Labour Party 202 430 100% 404–456 398–464 394–470 387–476
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 176 0% 145–205 136–212 131–216 120–225
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 171 0% 140–200 131–207 126–211 115–220
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 148 0% 124–172 115–176 110–179 103–186
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 129 0% 101–157 93–162 87–165 78–173
Conservative Party 365 125 0% 96–152 88–157 82–160 73–168

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0% 99.7%  
460 0% 99.7%  
461 0.2% 99.7%  
462 0.1% 99.5%  
463 0.1% 99.4%  
464 0.2% 99.3%  
465 0.1% 99.1%  
466 0.3% 99.0%  
467 0.2% 98.7%  
468 0.4% 98%  
469 0.3% 98%  
470 0.5% 98%  
471 0.6% 97%  
472 0.8% 97%  
473 0.9% 96%  
474 0.9% 95%  
475 1.3% 94%  
476 1.2% 93%  
477 0.7% 91%  
478 1.0% 91%  
479 1.3% 90%  
480 1.3% 88%  
481 1.4% 87%  
482 1.4% 86%  
483 2% 84%  
484 1.1% 82%  
485 1.4% 81%  
486 1.0% 80%  
487 3% 79%  
488 0.8% 76%  
489 2% 76%  
490 2% 73%  
491 2% 72%  
492 1.3% 70%  
493 1.1% 68%  
494 3% 67%  
495 3% 64%  
496 2% 62%  
497 0.6% 60%  
498 1.0% 59%  
499 1.0% 58%  
500 0.7% 57%  
501 1.1% 56%  
502 0.8% 55%  
503 2% 54%  
504 0.9% 53% Median
505 2% 52%  
506 0.9% 50%  
507 0.9% 49%  
508 2% 48%  
509 3% 47%  
510 2% 44%  
511 1.0% 42%  
512 2% 41%  
513 1.0% 39%  
514 3% 38%  
515 2% 35%  
516 2% 33%  
517 2% 31%  
518 2% 29%  
519 0.7% 28%  
520 2% 27%  
521 1.2% 25%  
522 2% 24%  
523 1.2% 22%  
524 2% 21%  
525 0.9% 20%  
526 2% 19%  
527 2% 17%  
528 1.1% 15%  
529 0.5% 14%  
530 0.3% 13%  
531 2% 13%  
532 1.1% 12%  
533 1.3% 10%  
534 1.1% 9%  
535 0.6% 8%  
536 0.4% 7%  
537 0.5% 7%  
538 0.5% 6%  
539 0.7% 6%  
540 0.8% 5%  
541 0.3% 4%  
542 0.5% 4%  
543 0.2% 4%  
544 0.5% 3%  
545 0.3% 3%  
546 0.2% 3%  
547 0.3% 2%  
548 0.3% 2%  
549 0.2% 2%  
550 0.4% 2%  
551 0.2% 1.2%  
552 0.2% 1.1%  
553 0.1% 0.8%  
554 0.2% 0.7%  
555 0.1% 0.5%  
556 0.1% 0.4%  
557 0.1% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0% 99.7%  
459 0% 99.7%  
460 0.2% 99.7%  
461 0.1% 99.5%  
462 0.1% 99.4%  
463 0.2% 99.3%  
464 0.1% 99.1%  
465 0.3% 99.0%  
466 0.2% 98.7%  
467 0.4% 98%  
468 0.3% 98%  
469 0.5% 98%  
470 0.6% 97%  
471 0.8% 97%  
472 0.9% 96%  
473 0.9% 95%  
474 1.3% 94%  
475 1.2% 93%  
476 0.7% 91%  
477 1.0% 91%  
478 1.3% 90%  
479 1.3% 88%  
480 1.4% 87%  
481 1.4% 86%  
482 2% 84%  
483 1.1% 82%  
484 1.4% 81%  
485 1.0% 80%  
486 3% 79%  
487 0.8% 76%  
488 2% 76%  
489 2% 73%  
490 2% 72%  
491 1.3% 70%  
492 1.1% 68%  
493 3% 67%  
494 3% 64%  
495 2% 62%  
496 0.6% 60%  
497 1.0% 59%  
498 1.0% 58%  
499 0.7% 57%  
500 1.1% 56%  
501 0.8% 55%  
502 2% 54%  
503 0.9% 53% Median
504 2% 52%  
505 0.9% 50%  
506 0.9% 49%  
507 2% 48%  
508 3% 47%  
509 2% 44%  
510 1.0% 42%  
511 2% 41%  
512 1.0% 39%  
513 3% 38%  
514 2% 35%  
515 2% 33%  
516 2% 31%  
517 2% 29%  
518 0.7% 28%  
519 2% 27%  
520 1.2% 25%  
521 2% 24%  
522 1.2% 22%  
523 2% 21%  
524 0.9% 20%  
525 2% 19%  
526 2% 17%  
527 1.2% 15%  
528 0.5% 14%  
529 0.3% 13%  
530 2% 13%  
531 1.1% 12%  
532 1.3% 10%  
533 1.1% 9%  
534 0.6% 8%  
535 0.4% 7%  
536 0.5% 7%  
537 0.5% 6%  
538 0.7% 6%  
539 0.7% 5%  
540 0.3% 4%  
541 0.5% 4%  
542 0.2% 4%  
543 0.5% 3%  
544 0.3% 3%  
545 0.2% 3%  
546 0.3% 2%  
547 0.3% 2%  
548 0.2% 2%  
549 0.4% 2%  
550 0.2% 1.2%  
551 0.2% 1.1%  
552 0.1% 0.8%  
553 0.2% 0.7%  
554 0.1% 0.5%  
555 0.1% 0.4%  
556 0.1% 0.3%  
557 0.1% 0.2%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.7%  
455 0.2% 99.7%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.1% 99.4%  
458 0.2% 99.3%  
459 0.1% 99.1%  
460 0.3% 99.0%  
461 0.2% 98.7%  
462 0.3% 98%  
463 0.3% 98%  
464 0.6% 98%  
465 0.5% 97%  
466 0.8% 97%  
467 1.0% 96%  
468 0.8% 95%  
469 1.4% 94%  
470 1.1% 93%  
471 0.8% 92%  
472 1.0% 91%  
473 1.3% 90%  
474 1.2% 89%  
475 1.4% 87%  
476 2% 86%  
477 2% 84%  
478 1.0% 83%  
479 0.8% 82%  
480 2% 81%  
481 3% 79%  
482 0.7% 76%  
483 2% 76%  
484 2% 74%  
485 2% 72%  
486 1.0% 70%  
487 1.3% 69%  
488 3% 67%  
489 3% 64%  
490 2% 62%  
491 0.7% 60%  
492 1.1% 59%  
493 1.0% 58%  
494 0.7% 57%  
495 1.3% 56%  
496 0.7% 55%  
497 2% 54%  
498 1.0% 53% Median
499 2% 52%  
500 1.3% 50%  
501 0.9% 49%  
502 1.3% 48%  
503 3% 47%  
504 2% 44%  
505 0.8% 42%  
506 2% 41%  
507 1.0% 39%  
508 3% 38%  
509 1.4% 35%  
510 2% 34%  
511 2% 31%  
512 1.5% 29%  
513 0.8% 28%  
514 2% 27%  
515 1.1% 25%  
516 2% 24%  
517 1.0% 22%  
518 1.4% 21%  
519 1.1% 20%  
520 2% 19%  
521 2% 17%  
522 1.3% 16%  
523 0.8% 14%  
524 0.3% 14%  
525 2% 13%  
526 1.1% 12%  
527 1.4% 11%  
528 1.1% 9%  
529 0.5% 8%  
530 0.5% 8%  
531 0.5% 7%  
532 0.6% 7%  
533 0.7% 6%  
534 0.7% 5%  
535 0.2% 4%  
536 0.6% 4%  
537 0.3% 4%  
538 0.3% 3%  
539 0.4% 3%  
540 0.2% 3%  
541 0.3% 2%  
542 0.2% 2%  
543 0.2% 2%  
544 0.4% 2%  
545 0.2% 1.3%  
546 0.2% 1.1%  
547 0.1% 0.8%  
548 0.2% 0.8%  
549 0.1% 0.5%  
550 0.1% 0.4%  
551 0.1% 0.3%  
552 0.1% 0.2%  
553 0% 0.2%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.8%  
438 0% 99.8%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0% 99.7%  
441 0.1% 99.7%  
442 0.1% 99.6%  
443 0.2% 99.5%  
444 0.1% 99.3%  
445 0.2% 99.2%  
446 0.2% 99.0%  
447 0.3% 98.8%  
448 0.3% 98%  
449 0.5% 98%  
450 0.7% 98%  
451 0.7% 97%  
452 0.8% 96%  
453 2% 95%  
454 0.7% 94%  
455 1.1% 93%  
456 1.0% 92%  
457 2% 91%  
458 1.5% 89%  
459 1.2% 88%  
460 2% 86%  
461 2% 84%  
462 2% 82%  
463 0.8% 81%  
464 2% 80%  
465 0.9% 78%  
466 3% 77%  
467 3% 75%  
468 2% 72%  
469 2% 70%  
470 1.4% 68%  
471 2% 66%  
472 4% 64%  
473 2% 60%  
474 0.6% 58%  
475 0.7% 57%  
476 1.1% 57%  
477 0.7% 56%  
478 0.4% 55%  
479 0.9% 55%  
480 2% 54%  
481 2% 51% Median
482 2% 50%  
483 2% 48%  
484 0.8% 46%  
485 2% 45%  
486 2% 44%  
487 2% 42%  
488 4% 40%  
489 2% 36%  
490 1.4% 34%  
491 1.5% 33%  
492 2% 31%  
493 3% 29%  
494 2% 26%  
495 2% 23%  
496 0.7% 21%  
497 0.5% 21%  
498 0.7% 20%  
499 1.2% 19%  
500 2% 18%  
501 2% 16%  
502 2% 14%  
503 2% 13%  
504 2% 11%  
505 1.2% 9%  
506 0.5% 8%  
507 0.3% 8%  
508 0.1% 7%  
509 0.5% 7%  
510 0.3% 7%  
511 0.3% 6%  
512 1.2% 6%  
513 0.5% 5%  
514 0.4% 4%  
515 0.6% 4%  
516 0.6% 3%  
517 0.3% 3%  
518 0.5% 3%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.3% 2%  
521 0.1% 1.5%  
522 0.5% 1.4%  
523 0.2% 0.8%  
524 0.3% 0.6%  
525 0.1% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.8%  
435 0% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.1% 99.6%  
438 0.2% 99.5%  
439 0.1% 99.4%  
440 0.2% 99.2%  
441 0.2% 99.0%  
442 0.3% 98.8%  
443 0.3% 98.5%  
444 0.5% 98%  
445 0.6% 98%  
446 0.7% 97%  
447 0.8% 96%  
448 2% 96%  
449 0.7% 94%  
450 1.2% 93%  
451 1.0% 92%  
452 2% 91%  
453 1.5% 89%  
454 1.2% 88%  
455 2% 87%  
456 2% 84%  
457 2% 83%  
458 0.9% 81%  
459 2% 80%  
460 1.0% 78%  
461 2% 77%  
462 3% 75%  
463 2% 72%  
464 2% 70%  
465 2% 68%  
466 2% 67%  
467 4% 64%  
468 2% 61%  
469 1.1% 59%  
470 0.8% 58%  
471 1.1% 57%  
472 0.6% 56%  
473 0.5% 55%  
474 0.9% 55%  
475 2% 54%  
476 2% 52% Median
477 1.2% 50%  
478 3% 49%  
479 0.8% 46%  
480 1.4% 45%  
481 2% 44%  
482 2% 42%  
483 4% 40%  
484 2% 36%  
485 2% 35%  
486 2% 33%  
487 2% 31%  
488 3% 29%  
489 3% 26%  
490 2% 24%  
491 0.9% 22%  
492 0.6% 21%  
493 0.7% 20%  
494 1.1% 20%  
495 2% 18%  
496 2% 17%  
497 2% 15%  
498 2% 13%  
499 2% 11%  
500 1.0% 9%  
501 0.8% 8%  
502 0.4% 8%  
503 0.1% 7%  
504 0.5% 7%  
505 0.2% 7%  
506 0.3% 6%  
507 1.1% 6%  
508 0.6% 5%  
509 0.3% 4%  
510 0.5% 4%  
511 0.7% 4%  
512 0.3% 3%  
513 0.6% 3%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0.5% 1.4%  
518 0.2% 0.9%  
519 0.3% 0.7%  
520 0.2% 0.4%  
521 0.1% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0.1% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.2% 99.2%  
414 0.3% 99.0%  
415 0.2% 98.7%  
416 0.4% 98.5%  
417 0.5% 98%  
418 0.5% 98%  
419 0.3% 97%  
420 0.8% 97%  
421 0.4% 96%  
422 1.0% 96%  
423 0.6% 95%  
424 0.6% 94%  
425 0.5% 94%  
426 0.7% 93%  
427 1.0% 92%  
428 1.3% 91%  
429 1.1% 90%  
430 0.7% 89%  
431 1.1% 88%  
432 1.0% 87%  
433 1.0% 86%  
434 2% 85%  
435 2% 83%  
436 1.5% 82%  
437 0.9% 80%  
438 1.4% 79%  
439 1.2% 78%  
440 2% 77%  
441 1.4% 75%  
442 2% 74%  
443 2% 72%  
444 0.7% 70%  
445 2% 69%  
446 1.1% 67%  
447 2% 66%  
448 1.2% 64%  
449 3% 63%  
450 2% 60%  
451 1.5% 58%  
452 1.1% 57%  
453 0.9% 56%  
454 1.2% 55%  
455 0.5% 54%  
456 2% 53%  
457 1.1% 51% Median
458 1.2% 50%  
459 1.4% 49%  
460 1.1% 47%  
461 2% 46%  
462 2% 45%  
463 2% 43%  
464 2% 41%  
465 1.3% 39%  
466 1.5% 37%  
467 2% 36%  
468 2% 34%  
469 0.9% 33%  
470 0.8% 32%  
471 2% 31%  
472 1.2% 29%  
473 2% 28%  
474 2% 26%  
475 0.6% 24%  
476 1.5% 24%  
477 1.2% 22%  
478 1.1% 21%  
479 2% 20%  
480 0.5% 18%  
481 2% 17%  
482 1.0% 16%  
483 1.1% 15%  
484 0.7% 13%  
485 0.5% 13%  
486 0.6% 12%  
487 0.9% 12%  
488 0.9% 11%  
489 1.2% 10%  
490 0.6% 9%  
491 0.8% 8%  
492 0.7% 7%  
493 0.4% 6%  
494 0.5% 6%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.8% 5%  
497 0.3% 4%  
498 0.3% 4%  
499 0.5% 4%  
500 0.5% 3%  
501 0.3% 3%  
502 0.2% 3%  
503 0.4% 2%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.3% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.3%  
508 0.1% 1.1%  
509 0.1% 1.0%  
510 0.2% 0.9%  
511 0.1% 0.7%  
512 0.2% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0.1% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0.1% 99.4%  
407 0.2% 99.3%  
408 0.1% 99.2%  
409 0.3% 99.0%  
410 0.2% 98.7%  
411 0.4% 98.6%  
412 0.4% 98%  
413 0.5% 98%  
414 0.3% 97%  
415 0.8% 97%  
416 0.4% 96%  
417 0.8% 96%  
418 0.7% 95%  
419 0.6% 94%  
420 0.4% 94%  
421 0.8% 93%  
422 1.0% 92%  
423 1.3% 91%  
424 0.9% 90%  
425 0.9% 89%  
426 1.2% 88%  
427 0.8% 87%  
428 1.1% 86%  
429 2% 85%  
430 1.5% 83%  
431 1.0% 82%  
432 2% 81%  
433 1.1% 79%  
434 2% 78%  
435 2% 77%  
436 2% 75%  
437 2% 74%  
438 2% 72%  
439 1.1% 70%  
440 1.4% 69%  
441 1.4% 68%  
442 2% 66%  
443 1.1% 64%  
444 3% 63%  
445 2% 60%  
446 2% 59%  
447 0.8% 57%  
448 1.0% 56%  
449 1.4% 55%  
450 0.5% 54%  
451 2% 53%  
452 1.0% 51% Median
453 2% 50%  
454 1.1% 49%  
455 1.3% 48%  
456 1.4% 46%  
457 2% 45%  
458 2% 43%  
459 2% 41%  
460 2% 39%  
461 2% 38%  
462 2% 36%  
463 2% 34%  
464 0.8% 33%  
465 0.8% 32%  
466 2% 31%  
467 1.0% 29%  
468 2% 28%  
469 2% 26%  
470 0.6% 24%  
471 2% 24%  
472 1.0% 22%  
473 1.3% 21%  
474 2% 20%  
475 0.4% 18%  
476 2% 18%  
477 1.3% 16%  
478 1.0% 15%  
479 0.8% 14%  
480 0.4% 13%  
481 0.7% 12%  
482 1.0% 12%  
483 0.8% 11%  
484 1.3% 10%  
485 0.6% 9%  
486 0.8% 8%  
487 0.7% 7%  
488 0.4% 6%  
489 0.5% 6%  
490 0.3% 6%  
491 0.9% 5%  
492 0.3% 4%  
493 0.3% 4%  
494 0.5% 4%  
495 0.5% 3%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.2% 3%  
498 0.4% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.3% 2%  
502 0.2% 1.3%  
503 0.2% 1.1%  
504 0.1% 1.0%  
505 0.1% 0.9%  
506 0.1% 0.7%  
507 0.2% 0.7%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0.1% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.6%  
392 0.2% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.4%  
394 0.2% 99.3%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.3% 98.9%  
397 0.4% 98.6%  
398 0.5% 98%  
399 0.7% 98%  
400 0.7% 97%  
401 0.5% 96%  
402 0.5% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.7% 95%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 0.9% 93%  
407 1.4% 92%  
408 0.6% 91%  
409 1.4% 90%  
410 0.9% 89%  
411 1.2% 88%  
412 1.1% 87%  
413 0.7% 86%  
414 2% 85%  
415 1.3% 83%  
416 2% 82%  
417 1.1% 79%  
418 2% 78%  
419 3% 77%  
420 3% 74%  
421 1.2% 72%  
422 1.4% 70%  
423 2% 69%  
424 1.1% 67%  
425 2% 66%  
426 0.8% 64%  
427 4% 63%  
428 2% 59%  
429 0.8% 58%  
430 3% 57%  
431 0.7% 54%  
432 0.9% 53%  
433 1.0% 53%  
434 1.4% 51%  
435 2% 50% Median
436 2% 48%  
437 2% 46%  
438 1.1% 44%  
439 1.4% 43%  
440 3% 42%  
441 2% 39%  
442 1.4% 37%  
443 2% 36%  
444 1.3% 33%  
445 1.4% 32%  
446 3% 30%  
447 1.2% 28%  
448 3% 27%  
449 1.4% 24%  
450 0.9% 23%  
451 1.1% 22%  
452 1.1% 21%  
453 1.3% 20%  
454 1.4% 18%  
455 1.1% 17%  
456 1.2% 16%  
457 1.1% 15%  
458 2% 13%  
459 0.9% 12%  
460 0.8% 11%  
461 0.6% 10%  
462 0.3% 10%  
463 1.1% 9%  
464 0.7% 8%  
465 0.3% 7%  
466 1.1% 7%  
467 0.4% 6%  
468 0.5% 6%  
469 1.0% 5%  
470 0.3% 4%  
471 0.5% 4%  
472 0.3% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.4% 3%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.7% 2%  
477 0.4% 2%  
478 0.2% 1.2%  
479 0.3% 1.0%  
480 0.1% 0.7%  
481 0.2% 0.6%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0.1% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.6%  
387 0.2% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.2% 99.1%  
391 0.3% 98.9%  
392 0.4% 98.6%  
393 0.5% 98%  
394 0.7% 98%  
395 0.7% 97%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.5% 96%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 0.7% 95%  
400 0.9% 94%  
401 0.9% 93%  
402 1.4% 92%  
403 0.7% 91%  
404 1.2% 90%  
405 0.9% 89%  
406 1.4% 88%  
407 1.1% 87%  
408 0.7% 86%  
409 2% 85%  
410 1.1% 83%  
411 2% 82%  
412 1.2% 80%  
413 1.3% 78%  
414 3% 77%  
415 2% 74%  
416 2% 72%  
417 1.1% 70%  
418 2% 69%  
419 1.1% 67%  
420 1.4% 66%  
421 1.4% 65%  
422 4% 63%  
423 1.3% 59%  
424 0.9% 58%  
425 2% 57%  
426 1.3% 55%  
427 0.9% 53%  
428 1.1% 53%  
429 1.2% 52%  
430 2% 50% Median
431 2% 48%  
432 2% 46%  
433 1.2% 44%  
434 1.3% 43%  
435 3% 42%  
436 2% 39%  
437 1.3% 37%  
438 2% 36%  
439 2% 34%  
440 2% 32%  
441 2% 31%  
442 1.5% 28%  
443 3% 27%  
444 1.4% 24%  
445 1.0% 23%  
446 0.9% 22%  
447 1.4% 21%  
448 1.3% 20%  
449 1.4% 18%  
450 0.9% 17%  
451 1.2% 16%  
452 1.2% 15%  
453 2% 14%  
454 0.7% 12%  
455 1.0% 11%  
456 0.7% 10%  
457 0.3% 10%  
458 0.9% 9%  
459 0.9% 8%  
460 0.3% 8%  
461 1.0% 7%  
462 0.4% 6%  
463 0.5% 6%  
464 1.0% 5%  
465 0.3% 4%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.4% 4%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.1% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.6% 2%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.2%  
474 0.3% 1.0%  
475 0.1% 0.7%  
476 0.2% 0.6%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
110 0% 100%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.1% 99.1%  
124 0.1% 99.0%  
125 0.2% 98.9%  
126 0.3% 98.7%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.4% 98%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.5% 97%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 0.9% 96%  
137 0.2% 95%  
138 0.2% 95%  
139 0.3% 94%  
140 1.0% 94%  
141 0.3% 93%  
142 0.5% 93%  
143 0.9% 92%  
144 0.9% 91%  
145 0.9% 91%  
146 1.1% 90%  
147 0.8% 89%  
148 0.6% 88%  
149 0.4% 87%  
150 0.7% 87%  
151 1.2% 86%  
152 2% 85%  
153 1.3% 83%  
154 0.8% 82%  
155 1.4% 81%  
156 1.3% 80%  
157 1.2% 79%  
158 1.3% 77%  
159 0.6% 76%  
160 2% 75%  
161 2% 74%  
162 0.9% 72%  
163 2% 71%  
164 0.8% 69%  
165 0.8% 68%  
166 1.5% 67%  
167 2% 66%  
168 2% 64%  
169 2% 62%  
170 2% 61%  
171 2% 59%  
172 2% 57%  
173 1.4% 55%  
174 1.3% 54%  
175 1.1% 52%  
176 2% 51% Median
177 1.0% 50%  
178 2% 49%  
179 0.5% 47%  
180 1.4% 46%  
181 1.0% 45%  
182 0.8% 44%  
183 2% 43%  
184 2% 41%  
185 3% 40%  
186 1.1% 37%  
187 2% 36%  
188 1.4% 34%  
189 1.4% 32%  
190 1.1% 31%  
191 2% 30%  
192 2% 28%  
193 2% 26%  
194 2% 25%  
195 2% 23%  
196 1.1% 22%  
197 2% 21%  
198 1.0% 19%  
199 1.5% 18%  
200 2% 17%  
201 1.1% 15%  
202 0.8% 14%  
203 1.2% 13%  
204 0.9% 12%  
205 0.9% 11%  
206 1.3% 10%  
207 1.0% 9%  
208 0.8% 8%  
209 0.4% 7%  
210 0.6% 6%  
211 0.7% 6%  
212 0.8% 5%  
213 0.4% 4%  
214 0.8% 4%  
215 0.3% 3%  
216 0.5% 3%  
217 0.4% 2%  
218 0.4% 2%  
219 0.2% 1.4%  
220 0.3% 1.3%  
221 0.1% 1.0%  
222 0.2% 0.8%  
223 0.1% 0.7%  
224 0.1% 0.6%  
225 0.1% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0% 0.3%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.1% 99.4%  
117 0.2% 99.3%  
118 0.1% 99.1%  
119 0.1% 99.1%  
120 0.2% 98.9%  
121 0.3% 98.7%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.4% 98%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.4% 97%  
128 0.6% 97%  
129 0.2% 96%  
130 0.4% 96%  
131 0.9% 96%  
132 0.2% 95%  
133 0.2% 95%  
134 0.2% 95%  
135 1.1% 94%  
136 0.3% 93%  
137 0.4% 93%  
138 1.1% 92%  
139 0.8% 91%  
140 0.7% 91%  
141 1.2% 90%  
142 0.8% 89%  
143 0.5% 88%  
144 0.5% 87%  
145 0.6% 87%  
146 1.4% 86%  
147 1.2% 85%  
148 2% 84%  
149 0.9% 82%  
150 1.4% 81%  
151 1.2% 80%  
152 1.4% 79%  
153 1.1% 77%  
154 0.6% 76%  
155 2% 76%  
156 2% 74%  
157 1.1% 72%  
158 2% 71%  
159 0.7% 69%  
160 0.9% 68%  
161 1.5% 67%  
162 2% 66%  
163 2% 64%  
164 1.3% 63%  
165 2% 61%  
166 2% 59%  
167 2% 57%  
168 2% 55%  
169 1.1% 54%  
170 1.4% 53%  
171 1.2% 51% Median
172 1.1% 50%  
173 2% 49%  
174 0.5% 47%  
175 1.2% 46%  
176 0.9% 45%  
177 1.2% 44%  
178 1.5% 43%  
179 2% 42%  
180 3% 40%  
181 1.2% 37%  
182 2% 36%  
183 1.1% 34%  
184 2% 33%  
185 0.8% 31%  
186 2% 30%  
187 2% 28%  
188 1.4% 26%  
189 2% 25%  
190 1.2% 23%  
191 1.4% 22%  
192 0.9% 21%  
193 1.5% 20%  
194 2% 18%  
195 2% 17%  
196 1.0% 15%  
197 0.9% 14%  
198 1.1% 13%  
199 0.7% 12%  
200 1.1% 11%  
201 1.3% 10%  
202 1.0% 9%  
203 0.7% 8%  
204 0.5% 7%  
205 0.6% 6%  
206 0.6% 6%  
207 1.0% 5%  
208 0.4% 4%  
209 0.8% 4%  
210 0.3% 3%  
211 0.5% 3%  
212 0.5% 2%  
213 0.4% 2%  
214 0.2% 1.5%  
215 0.3% 1.3%  
216 0.2% 1.0%  
217 0.1% 0.8%  
218 0.1% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.5%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0.1% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.3% 99.7%  
104 0.2% 99.4%  
105 0.5% 99.2%  
106 0.1% 98.6%  
107 0.3% 98.5%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.3% 98%  
110 0.5% 98%  
111 0.5% 97%  
112 0.7% 97%  
113 0.3% 96%  
114 0.3% 96%  
115 0.8% 95%  
116 0.9% 95%  
117 0.3% 94%  
118 0.2% 93%  
119 0.3% 93%  
120 0.3% 93%  
121 0.2% 93%  
122 0.4% 92%  
123 1.0% 92%  
124 2% 91%  
125 1.1% 89%  
126 1.4% 88%  
127 1.4% 87%  
128 3% 85%  
129 1.5% 83%  
130 0.9% 81%  
131 0.5% 80%  
132 0.6% 80%  
133 0.7% 79%  
134 2% 79%  
135 2% 76%  
136 3% 74%  
137 2% 71%  
138 1.5% 69%  
139 1.4% 67%  
140 2% 66%  
141 4% 64%  
142 2% 60%  
143 2% 58%  
144 2% 56%  
145 0.8% 55%  
146 2% 54%  
147 2% 52% Median
148 2% 50%  
149 2% 49%  
150 0.9% 46%  
151 0.4% 45%  
152 0.7% 45%  
153 1.1% 44%  
154 0.7% 43%  
155 0.6% 43%  
156 2% 42%  
157 4% 40%  
158 2% 36%  
159 1.4% 34%  
160 2% 32%  
161 2% 30%  
162 3% 28%  
163 3% 25%  
164 0.9% 23%  
165 2% 22%  
166 0.8% 20%  
167 2% 19%  
168 2% 18%  
169 2% 16%  
170 1.2% 14%  
171 1.5% 12%  
172 2% 11%  
173 1.0% 9%  
174 1.1% 8%  
175 0.7% 7%  
176 2% 6%  
177 0.8% 5%  
178 0.7% 4%  
179 0.7% 3%  
180 0.5% 2%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.2% 1.2%  
184 0.2% 1.0%  
185 0.1% 0.8%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.1% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.6%  
79 0.2% 99.5%  
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 0.2% 99.2%  
82 0.2% 98.9%  
83 0.4% 98.7%  
84 0.2% 98%  
85 0.2% 98%  
86 0.3% 98%  
87 0.2% 98%  
88 0.3% 97%  
89 0.4% 97%  
90 0.3% 97%  
91 0.5% 96%  
92 0.2% 96%  
93 0.7% 96%  
94 0.6% 95%  
95 0.5% 94%  
96 0.5% 94%  
97 0.4% 93%  
98 0.5% 93%  
99 0.3% 92%  
100 1.5% 92%  
101 0.8% 91%  
102 0.7% 90%  
103 1.4% 89%  
104 1.1% 88%  
105 0.4% 87%  
106 1.0% 86%  
107 1.1% 85%  
108 2% 84%  
109 1.2% 82%  
110 1.2% 81%  
111 1.4% 80%  
112 1.0% 78%  
113 2% 78%  
114 1.1% 76%  
115 2% 75%  
116 0.8% 73%  
117 1.5% 72%  
118 2% 71%  
119 2% 69%  
120 1.4% 66%  
121 3% 65%  
122 1.0% 62%  
123 2% 61%  
124 0.8% 59%  
125 2% 58%  
126 3% 56%  
127 1.3% 53%  
128 0.9% 52%  
129 1.3% 51%  
130 2% 50% Median
131 1.0% 48%  
132 2% 47%  
133 0.7% 46%  
134 1.3% 45%  
135 0.7% 44%  
136 1.0% 43%  
137 1.1% 42%  
138 0.7% 41%  
139 2% 40%  
140 3% 38%  
141 3% 36%  
142 1.3% 33%  
143 1.0% 31%  
144 2% 30%  
145 2% 28%  
146 2% 26%  
147 0.7% 24%  
148 3% 24%  
149 2% 21%  
150 0.8% 19%  
151 1.0% 18%  
152 2% 17%  
153 2% 16%  
154 1.4% 14%  
155 1.2% 13%  
156 1.3% 11%  
157 1.0% 10%  
158 0.8% 9%  
159 1.1% 8%  
160 1.4% 7%  
161 0.8% 6%  
162 1.0% 5%  
163 0.8% 4%  
164 0.5% 3%  
165 0.6% 3%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.2% 2%  
169 0.3% 1.3%  
170 0.1% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0.1% 0.6%  
174 0.2% 0.5%  
175 0% 0.3%  
176 0% 0.3%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0.1% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 99.5%  
75 0.1% 99.3%  
76 0.2% 99.2%  
77 0.2% 98.9%  
78 0.4% 98.8%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.2% 98%  
83 0.3% 97%  
84 0.4% 97%  
85 0.3% 97%  
86 0.5% 96%  
87 0.3% 96%  
88 0.8% 96%  
89 0.6% 95%  
90 0.5% 94%  
91 0.4% 94%  
92 0.5% 93%  
93 0.5% 93%  
94 0.3% 92%  
95 2% 92%  
96 0.7% 91%  
97 0.7% 90%  
98 1.5% 89%  
99 1.0% 88%  
100 0.4% 87%  
101 0.7% 86%  
102 1.0% 86%  
103 2% 85%  
104 1.1% 82%  
105 1.0% 81%  
106 1.5% 80%  
107 1.1% 79%  
108 2% 78%  
109 1.1% 76%  
110 2% 75%  
111 0.7% 73%  
112 2% 72%  
113 2% 71%  
114 2% 69%  
115 2% 67%  
116 3% 65%  
117 1.0% 62%  
118 2% 61%  
119 1.0% 59%  
120 2% 58%  
121 3% 56%  
122 2% 53%  
123 0.9% 52%  
124 0.9% 51%  
125 2% 50% Median
126 0.9% 48%  
127 2% 47%  
128 0.8% 46%  
129 1.1% 45%  
130 0.7% 44%  
131 1.0% 43%  
132 1.0% 42%  
133 0.6% 41%  
134 2% 40%  
135 3% 38%  
136 3% 36%  
137 1.1% 33%  
138 1.3% 32%  
139 2% 30%  
140 2% 28%  
141 2% 27%  
142 0.8% 24%  
143 3% 24%  
144 1.0% 21%  
145 1.4% 20%  
146 1.1% 19%  
147 2% 18%  
148 1.4% 16%  
149 1.4% 14%  
150 1.3% 13%  
151 1.3% 12%  
152 1.0% 10%  
153 0.7% 9%  
154 1.2% 9%  
155 1.3% 7%  
156 0.9% 6%  
157 0.9% 5%  
158 0.8% 4%  
159 0.6% 3%  
160 0.5% 3%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.2% 1.5%  
164 0.3% 1.3%  
165 0.1% 1.0%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.6%  
169 0.2% 0.5%  
170 0% 0.3%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations