Opinion Poll by Survation, 1–3 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 52.9% 50.9–54.9% 50.3–55.5% 49.8–56.0% 48.9–57.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 28.7% 26.9–30.5% 26.4–31.1% 25.9–31.5% 25.1–32.4%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Green Party 2.8% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Brexit Party 2.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 397 373–422 367–433 363–442 353–455
Conservative Party 365 170 145–193 134–198 124–202 110–214
Liberal Democrats 11 7 6–15 6–17 4–18 3–21
Scottish National Party 48 48 40–56 37–57 35–57 25–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–6 3–6 3–7
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0% 99.5%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.3%  
357 0.2% 99.2%  
358 0.3% 99.1%  
359 0.2% 98.8%  
360 0.3% 98.6%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 97%  
365 0.5% 97%  
366 0.7% 96%  
367 0.8% 96%  
368 0.4% 95%  
369 0.4% 95%  
370 0.4% 94%  
371 2% 94%  
372 0.9% 92%  
373 1.1% 91%  
374 0.4% 90%  
375 0.3% 89%  
376 0.8% 89%  
377 2% 88%  
378 2% 86%  
379 1.0% 84%  
380 2% 83%  
381 1.5% 82%  
382 0.6% 80%  
383 1.4% 79%  
384 0.9% 78%  
385 1.4% 77%  
386 2% 76%  
387 3% 74%  
388 2% 71%  
389 3% 69%  
390 0.9% 67%  
391 3% 66%  
392 2% 63%  
393 2% 61%  
394 1.5% 59%  
395 3% 58%  
396 3% 54%  
397 2% 52% Median
398 2% 50%  
399 2% 48%  
400 2% 46%  
401 3% 43%  
402 3% 40%  
403 3% 38%  
404 2% 35%  
405 3% 33%  
406 1.4% 30%  
407 0.6% 29%  
408 1.1% 28%  
409 3% 27%  
410 2% 24%  
411 2% 22%  
412 1.2% 20%  
413 0.5% 19%  
414 0.5% 18%  
415 2% 18%  
416 0.9% 16%  
417 2% 15%  
418 0.3% 13%  
419 2% 13%  
420 0.3% 12%  
421 0.5% 11%  
422 0.8% 11%  
423 1.0% 10%  
424 0.3% 9%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.7% 8%  
427 0.2% 7%  
428 0.3% 7%  
429 0.3% 7%  
430 0.1% 6%  
431 0.7% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.2% 5%  
434 0.3% 5%  
435 0.2% 5%  
436 0.1% 4%  
437 0.3% 4%  
438 0.1% 4%  
439 0.2% 4%  
440 0.1% 4%  
441 0.7% 4%  
442 0.5% 3%  
443 0% 2%  
444 0.5% 2%  
445 0.1% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.1% 1.5%  
448 0.2% 1.3%  
449 0.1% 1.2%  
450 0.1% 1.0%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 0.8%  
453 0% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0% 0.5%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.3%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.1% 99.1%  
117 0.1% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98.8%  
120 0.2% 98.6%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.1% 97%  
126 0.1% 97%  
127 0.1% 97%  
128 0.2% 97%  
129 0.6% 97%  
130 0.6% 96%  
131 0.2% 96%  
132 0.1% 95%  
133 0.1% 95%  
134 0.3% 95%  
135 0.3% 95%  
136 0.5% 95%  
137 0.3% 94%  
138 0.7% 94%  
139 0.3% 93%  
140 0.4% 93%  
141 0.6% 92%  
142 1.0% 92%  
143 0.2% 91%  
144 0.3% 91%  
145 0.5% 90%  
146 1.0% 90%  
147 0.6% 89%  
148 0.1% 88%  
149 2% 88%  
150 0.7% 86%  
151 1.5% 86%  
152 0.3% 84%  
153 2% 84%  
154 0.9% 82%  
155 2% 81%  
156 1.0% 79%  
157 1.0% 78%  
158 2% 77%  
159 1.1% 76%  
160 3% 75%  
161 2% 72%  
162 3% 69%  
163 1.4% 66%  
164 2% 65%  
165 2% 63%  
166 2% 61%  
167 1.0% 58%  
168 3% 57%  
169 3% 54%  
170 3% 51% Median
171 4% 48%  
172 1.4% 44%  
173 4% 42%  
174 2% 39%  
175 0.6% 37%  
176 3% 36%  
177 4% 34%  
178 4% 30%  
179 0.4% 26%  
180 0.8% 26%  
181 1.3% 25%  
182 0.5% 24%  
183 1.3% 23%  
184 2% 22%  
185 2% 20%  
186 0.9% 18%  
187 0.7% 17%  
188 0.6% 17%  
189 0.6% 16%  
190 1.0% 15%  
191 2% 14%  
192 1.4% 12%  
193 2% 11%  
194 0.3% 9%  
195 0.5% 9%  
196 0.7% 8%  
197 2% 7%  
198 0.6% 5%  
199 0.3% 4%  
200 0.3% 4%  
201 1.2% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.1% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.1% 2%  
207 0.1% 1.4%  
208 0.3% 1.3%  
209 0.1% 1.0%  
210 0.1% 0.9%  
211 0.1% 0.8%  
212 0% 0.7%  
213 0.1% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.4%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0.1% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.8% 99.8%  
4 2% 99.1%  
5 0.3% 97%  
6 29% 96%  
7 25% 68% Median
8 2% 43%  
9 0.7% 41%  
10 16% 40%  
11 1.4% 25% Last Result
12 2% 23%  
13 0.1% 21%  
14 8% 21%  
15 5% 13%  
16 1.3% 8%  
17 2% 6%  
18 2% 4%  
19 0.7% 2%  
20 0.7% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.9%  
22 0.2% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0% 99.8%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0% 99.8%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.2% 99.7%  
26 0.1% 99.5%  
27 0.1% 99.4%  
28 0% 99.3%  
29 0.1% 99.3%  
30 0.5% 99.1%  
31 0.3% 98.6%  
32 0.4% 98%  
33 0.2% 98%  
34 0.2% 98%  
35 0.6% 98%  
36 0.5% 97%  
37 2% 97%  
38 1.5% 95%  
39 3% 93%  
40 0.6% 90%  
41 1.3% 89%  
42 1.2% 88%  
43 12% 87%  
44 3% 75%  
45 6% 71%  
46 7% 65%  
47 0.4% 58%  
48 13% 58% Last Result, Median
49 0.4% 45%  
50 8% 45%  
51 2% 37%  
52 3% 35%  
53 5% 32%  
54 5% 27%  
55 11% 22%  
56 4% 11%  
57 5% 7%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 95% 95% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.8%  
4 14% 97% Last Result
5 78% 84% Median
6 5% 6%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 460 100% 437–485 432–496 428–506 416–520
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 459 100% 436–484 431–495 427–505 415–519
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 454 100% 431–479 426–490 422–500 410–514
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 451 100% 430–471 425–484 421–492 409–505
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 446 100% 425–466 419–480 416–487 404–500
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 411 100% 386–439 380–449 375–459 365–473
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 406 100% 381–434 375–444 370–454 360–469
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 402 100% 378–427 372–438 368–447 359–459
Labour Party 202 397 100% 373–422 367–433 363–442 353–455
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 223 0% 196–248 185–254 176–259 160–269
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 218 0% 191–243 180–249 171–254 156–264
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 178 0% 158–199 145–204 137–208 125–220
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 175 0% 150–198 139–203 129–207 115–219
Conservative Party 365 170 0% 145–193 134–198 124–202 110–214

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0.1% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.4%  
418 0% 99.3%  
419 0.1% 99.3%  
420 0.1% 99.2%  
421 0.1% 99.1%  
422 0.3% 99.0%  
423 0.1% 98.7%  
424 0.1% 98.6%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.1% 98%  
428 0.6% 98%  
429 1.2% 97%  
430 0.3% 96%  
431 0.3% 96%  
432 0.6% 96%  
433 2% 95%  
434 0.7% 93%  
435 0.5% 92%  
436 0.3% 91%  
437 2% 91%  
438 1.4% 89%  
439 2% 88%  
440 1.0% 86%  
441 0.6% 85%  
442 0.6% 84%  
443 0.7% 83%  
444 0.9% 83%  
445 2% 82%  
446 2% 80%  
447 1.3% 78%  
448 0.5% 77%  
449 1.3% 76%  
450 0.8% 75%  
451 0.4% 74%  
452 4% 74%  
453 4% 70%  
454 3% 66%  
455 0.6% 64%  
456 2% 63%  
457 4% 61%  
458 1.4% 58% Median
459 4% 56%  
460 3% 52%  
461 3% 49%  
462 3% 46%  
463 1.0% 43%  
464 2% 42%  
465 2% 39%  
466 2% 37%  
467 1.4% 35%  
468 3% 34%  
469 2% 31%  
470 3% 28%  
471 1.1% 25%  
472 2% 24%  
473 1.0% 23%  
474 1.0% 22%  
475 2% 21%  
476 0.9% 19%  
477 2% 18%  
478 0.3% 16%  
479 1.5% 16%  
480 0.7% 14%  
481 2% 14%  
482 0.1% 12%  
483 0.6% 12%  
484 1.0% 11%  
485 0.5% 10%  
486 0.3% 10%  
487 0.2% 9%  
488 1.0% 9%  
489 0.6% 8%  
490 0.4% 8%  
491 0.3% 7%  
492 0.7% 7%  
493 0.3% 6%  
494 0.5% 6%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.3% 5%  
497 0.1% 5%  
498 0.1% 5%  
499 0.2% 5%  
500 0.6% 4%  
501 0.6% 4%  
502 0.2% 3%  
503 0.1% 3%  
504 0.1% 3%  
505 0.1% 3%  
506 0.3% 3%  
507 0.4% 2%  
508 0.2% 2%  
509 0.1% 2%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.1% 1.4%  
512 0.1% 1.2%  
513 0.1% 1.1%  
514 0.1% 1.0%  
515 0.1% 0.9%  
516 0.1% 0.8%  
517 0.1% 0.7%  
518 0.1% 0.6%  
519 0% 0.6%  
520 0.1% 0.5%  
521 0.1% 0.5%  
522 0% 0.4%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0.1% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.4%  
417 0% 99.3%  
418 0.1% 99.3%  
419 0.1% 99.2%  
420 0.1% 99.1%  
421 0.3% 99.0%  
422 0.1% 98.7%  
423 0.1% 98.6%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.1% 98%  
427 0.6% 98%  
428 1.2% 97%  
429 0.3% 96%  
430 0.3% 96%  
431 0.6% 96%  
432 2% 95%  
433 0.7% 93%  
434 0.5% 92%  
435 0.3% 91%  
436 2% 91%  
437 1.4% 89%  
438 2% 88%  
439 1.0% 86%  
440 0.6% 85%  
441 0.6% 84%  
442 0.8% 83%  
443 0.7% 83%  
444 2% 82%  
445 2% 80%  
446 1.3% 78%  
447 0.5% 77%  
448 1.2% 76%  
449 0.9% 75%  
450 0.4% 74%  
451 4% 74%  
452 3% 70%  
453 3% 67%  
454 0.7% 64%  
455 2% 63%  
456 4% 61%  
457 1.3% 58% Median
458 4% 56%  
459 3% 53%  
460 3% 49%  
461 3% 46%  
462 1.3% 43%  
463 2% 42%  
464 2% 39%  
465 2% 37%  
466 1.4% 35%  
467 3% 34%  
468 2% 31%  
469 3% 29%  
470 1.2% 26%  
471 2% 24%  
472 1.0% 23%  
473 1.0% 22%  
474 2% 21%  
475 0.8% 19%  
476 2% 18%  
477 0.4% 16%  
478 1.5% 16%  
479 0.7% 14%  
480 2% 14%  
481 0.3% 12%  
482 0.6% 12%  
483 0.9% 11%  
484 0.5% 10%  
485 0.3% 10%  
486 0.2% 9%  
487 1.0% 9%  
488 0.6% 8%  
489 0.4% 8%  
490 0.2% 7%  
491 0.8% 7%  
492 0.2% 6%  
493 0.5% 6%  
494 0.2% 5%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.1% 5%  
497 0.2% 5%  
498 0.2% 5%  
499 0.6% 4%  
500 0.6% 4%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.2% 3%  
503 0.1% 3%  
504 0.1% 3%  
505 0.2% 3%  
506 0.4% 2%  
507 0.3% 2%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0.1% 1.4%  
511 0.1% 1.3%  
512 0.1% 1.1%  
513 0.1% 1.0%  
514 0.1% 0.9%  
515 0.1% 0.8%  
516 0.1% 0.7%  
517 0.1% 0.6%  
518 0% 0.6%  
519 0.1% 0.5%  
520 0.1% 0.5%  
521 0% 0.4%  
522 0% 0.3%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0% 99.4%  
412 0% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.3%  
414 0.1% 99.2%  
415 0.1% 99.1%  
416 0.3% 99.0%  
417 0.1% 98.7%  
418 0.1% 98.6%  
419 0.1% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.6% 98%  
423 1.0% 97%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.4% 96%  
426 0.6% 96%  
427 2% 95%  
428 0.4% 92%  
429 0.7% 92%  
430 0.3% 91%  
431 2% 91%  
432 1.2% 89%  
433 2% 88%  
434 1.2% 86%  
435 0.5% 85%  
436 0.7% 84%  
437 0.7% 83%  
438 0.9% 83%  
439 2% 82%  
440 2% 80%  
441 1.1% 78%  
442 0.7% 77%  
443 0.7% 76%  
444 1.3% 76%  
445 0.5% 74%  
446 4% 74%  
447 2% 70%  
448 3% 67%  
449 0.9% 64%  
450 0.9% 63%  
451 4% 62%  
452 1.2% 58% Median
453 4% 56%  
454 3% 53%  
455 3% 49%  
456 4% 47%  
457 1.2% 43%  
458 3% 42%  
459 0.8% 39%  
460 2% 38%  
461 2% 36%  
462 4% 34%  
463 2% 31%  
464 3% 29%  
465 1.2% 26%  
466 0.9% 25%  
467 2% 24%  
468 1.1% 22%  
469 2% 21%  
470 0.8% 19%  
471 2% 18%  
472 0.5% 16%  
473 1.5% 16%  
474 0.6% 14%  
475 2% 14%  
476 0.4% 12%  
477 0.4% 12%  
478 0.6% 11%  
479 0.7% 11%  
480 0.5% 10%  
481 0.2% 9%  
482 1.0% 9%  
483 0.6% 8%  
484 0.3% 8%  
485 0.2% 7%  
486 0.9% 7%  
487 0.2% 6%  
488 0.1% 6%  
489 0.5% 6%  
490 0.5% 5%  
491 0.1% 5%  
492 0.2% 5%  
493 0.2% 5%  
494 0.6% 4%  
495 0.7% 4%  
496 0.1% 3%  
497 0.1% 3%  
498 0.2% 3%  
499 0.1% 3%  
500 0.2% 3%  
501 0.4% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.2% 1.4%  
506 0.2% 1.3%  
507 0.1% 1.1%  
508 0.1% 1.0%  
509 0.1% 0.9%  
510 0% 0.8%  
511 0.1% 0.8%  
512 0% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.6%  
514 0.1% 0.5%  
515 0.1% 0.5%  
516 0% 0.4%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.3%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.1%  
414 0.2% 99.0%  
415 0.2% 98.8%  
416 0.1% 98.6%  
417 0.3% 98.6%  
418 0% 98%  
419 0.1% 98%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 2% 98%  
422 0.4% 96%  
423 0.4% 96%  
424 0.4% 95%  
425 0.2% 95%  
426 3% 95%  
427 0.6% 92%  
428 0.5% 91%  
429 0.3% 90%  
430 3% 90%  
431 2% 87%  
432 2% 86%  
433 0.3% 83%  
434 0.5% 83%  
435 0.1% 82%  
436 1.4% 82%  
437 0.4% 81%  
438 4% 81%  
439 1.2% 76%  
440 0.8% 75%  
441 0.5% 74%  
442 1.0% 74%  
443 0.7% 73%  
444 0.7% 72%  
445 8% 71%  
446 0.6% 63%  
447 3% 63%  
448 2% 60%  
449 2% 58%  
450 5% 56% Median
451 5% 50%  
452 0.7% 46%  
453 5% 45%  
454 4% 40%  
455 3% 36%  
456 0.2% 33%  
457 2% 33%  
458 2% 30%  
459 2% 29%  
460 2% 27%  
461 3% 24%  
462 2% 22%  
463 1.4% 20%  
464 0.4% 18%  
465 0.2% 18%  
466 2% 18%  
467 0.6% 16%  
468 3% 16%  
469 2% 13%  
470 0.4% 10%  
471 0.3% 10%  
472 0.3% 10%  
473 0.9% 10%  
474 0.5% 9%  
475 0.3% 8%  
476 0.8% 8%  
477 0.2% 7%  
478 0.2% 7%  
479 0.1% 7%  
480 0.4% 7%  
481 0.1% 6%  
482 0.4% 6%  
483 0.6% 6%  
484 0.2% 5%  
485 0.2% 5%  
486 0.3% 5%  
487 0.1% 5%  
488 0.4% 4%  
489 0.5% 4%  
490 0.6% 3%  
491 0% 3%  
492 0.7% 3%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.3%  
498 0% 1.0%  
499 0% 1.0%  
500 0.1% 1.0%  
501 0.1% 0.9%  
502 0.2% 0.8%  
503 0% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.6%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0.1% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.7%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0.1% 99.4%  
407 0.1% 99.3%  
408 0.2% 99.2%  
409 0.1% 99.0%  
410 0.2% 98.9%  
411 0.1% 98.6%  
412 0.2% 98.5%  
413 0.1% 98%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 2% 98%  
417 0.5% 96%  
418 0.5% 96%  
419 0.4% 95%  
420 0.4% 95%  
421 3% 95%  
422 0.8% 92%  
423 0.6% 91%  
424 0.4% 90%  
425 3% 90%  
426 2% 87%  
427 2% 86%  
428 0.6% 84%  
429 0.5% 83%  
430 0.3% 82%  
431 1.1% 82%  
432 0.6% 81%  
433 4% 80%  
434 1.1% 77%  
435 1.2% 75%  
436 0.4% 74%  
437 0.9% 74%  
438 0.9% 73%  
439 1.4% 72%  
440 6% 71%  
441 2% 65%  
442 3% 63%  
443 2% 60%  
444 3% 58%  
445 4% 55% Median
446 5% 51%  
447 1.1% 46%  
448 4% 45%  
449 4% 41%  
450 3% 37%  
451 0.9% 34%  
452 2% 33%  
453 2% 31%  
454 2% 29%  
455 2% 27%  
456 2% 25%  
457 3% 23%  
458 1.3% 20%  
459 0.8% 19%  
460 0.2% 18%  
461 2% 18%  
462 0.6% 16%  
463 3% 16%  
464 2% 13%  
465 0.8% 11%  
466 0.4% 10%  
467 0.3% 10%  
468 0.9% 10%  
469 0.7% 9%  
470 0.3% 8%  
471 0.8% 8%  
472 0.2% 7%  
473 0.1% 7%  
474 0.1% 7%  
475 0.4% 7%  
476 0.1% 6%  
477 0.2% 6%  
478 0.3% 6%  
479 0.5% 6%  
480 0.2% 5%  
481 0.3% 5%  
482 0.2% 5%  
483 0.3% 4%  
484 0.6% 4%  
485 0.6% 3%  
486 0.1% 3%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.3% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.2% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.3%  
493 0.1% 1.1%  
494 0% 1.0%  
495 0.1% 1.0%  
496 0% 0.9%  
497 0.2% 0.9%  
498 0.1% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0.1% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.6%  
362 0% 99.6%  
363 0% 99.6%  
364 0% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.5%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0.2% 99.3%  
369 0.3% 99.1%  
370 0.2% 98.8%  
371 0.3% 98.7%  
372 0.1% 98%  
373 0.4% 98%  
374 0.2% 98%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.7% 97%  
377 0.3% 97%  
378 1.0% 96%  
379 0.3% 95%  
380 0.2% 95%  
381 0.6% 95%  
382 2% 94%  
383 0.9% 93%  
384 0.9% 92%  
385 0.5% 91%  
386 0.6% 90%  
387 0.7% 90%  
388 0.8% 89%  
389 2% 88%  
390 2% 87%  
391 1.5% 85%  
392 1.0% 83%  
393 0.9% 82%  
394 1.0% 81%  
395 0.9% 80%  
396 2% 79%  
397 2% 78%  
398 3% 76%  
399 1.5% 73%  
400 3% 72%  
401 0.8% 69%  
402 0.6% 68%  
403 3% 67%  
404 1.1% 65%  
405 1.4% 64%  
406 3% 62%  
407 2% 60%  
408 3% 57%  
409 2% 55% Median
410 2% 52%  
411 2% 51%  
412 1.0% 49%  
413 2% 48%  
414 1.3% 46%  
415 2% 44%  
416 3% 42%  
417 2% 39%  
418 2% 37%  
419 1.3% 34%  
420 0.8% 33%  
421 2% 32%  
422 2% 31%  
423 3% 29%  
424 2% 26%  
425 0.8% 24%  
426 2% 23%  
427 1.2% 21%  
428 0.8% 20%  
429 1.1% 19%  
430 0.6% 18%  
431 0.4% 17%  
432 2% 17%  
433 0.3% 14%  
434 2% 14%  
435 0.9% 12%  
436 0.2% 11%  
437 0.5% 11%  
438 0.6% 11%  
439 0.6% 10%  
440 0.2% 9%  
441 0.1% 9%  
442 0.2% 9%  
443 1.0% 9%  
444 1.0% 8%  
445 1.0% 7%  
446 0.4% 6%  
447 0.3% 6%  
448 0.2% 5%  
449 0.3% 5%  
450 0.1% 5%  
451 0.2% 5%  
452 0.2% 5%  
453 0.2% 4%  
454 0.2% 4%  
455 0.1% 4%  
456 0.7% 4%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.1% 3%  
459 0.3% 3%  
460 0.3% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.2% 1.5%  
467 0.2% 1.2%  
468 0.1% 1.0%  
469 0.1% 0.9%  
470 0% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.8%  
472 0.1% 0.7%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.5%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.4%  
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.7%  
356 0% 99.6%  
357 0% 99.6%  
358 0% 99.6%  
359 0% 99.6%  
360 0.1% 99.5%  
361 0.1% 99.4%  
362 0.1% 99.4%  
363 0.2% 99.3%  
364 0.3% 99.1%  
365 0.2% 98.9%  
366 0.2% 98.6%  
367 0.1% 98%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.3% 98%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.3% 97%  
373 0.8% 96%  
374 0.6% 96%  
375 0.2% 95%  
376 0.7% 95%  
377 1.3% 94%  
378 0.7% 93%  
379 1.2% 92%  
380 0.6% 91%  
381 0.5% 90%  
382 0.9% 90%  
383 0.8% 89%  
384 1.1% 88%  
385 2% 87%  
386 1.4% 85%  
387 1.0% 83%  
388 0.9% 82%  
389 1.1% 82%  
390 1.0% 80%  
391 2% 79%  
392 2% 78%  
393 3% 76%  
394 2% 73%  
395 2% 72%  
396 1.1% 69%  
397 0.6% 68%  
398 2% 68%  
399 1.3% 65%  
400 2% 64%  
401 3% 62%  
402 1.5% 59%  
403 3% 58%  
404 2% 55% Median
405 2% 53%  
406 2% 51%  
407 0.6% 49%  
408 2% 48%  
409 1.2% 46%  
410 3% 45%  
411 3% 42%  
412 2% 39%  
413 2% 37%  
414 2% 35%  
415 1.3% 34%  
416 2% 32%  
417 2% 31%  
418 2% 29%  
419 3% 27%  
420 1.1% 24%  
421 2% 23%  
422 1.5% 21%  
423 0.9% 20%  
424 0.7% 19%  
425 0.7% 18%  
426 0.5% 18%  
427 3% 17%  
428 0.3% 14%  
429 2% 14%  
430 0.6% 12%  
431 0.6% 12%  
432 0.6% 11%  
433 0.6% 11%  
434 0.5% 10%  
435 0.2% 10%  
436 0.1% 9%  
437 0.2% 9%  
438 0.9% 9%  
439 1.1% 8%  
440 0.7% 7%  
441 0.6% 6%  
442 0.4% 6%  
443 0.2% 5%  
444 0.4% 5%  
445 0.1% 5%  
446 0.1% 5%  
447 0.2% 5%  
448 0.2% 4%  
449 0.2% 4%  
450 0.1% 4%  
451 0.7% 4%  
452 0.4% 3%  
453 0.2% 3%  
454 0.3% 3%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.1% 2%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.2% 1.5%  
462 0.1% 1.3%  
463 0.2% 1.1%  
464 0.1% 1.0%  
465 0% 0.9%  
466 0% 0.8%  
467 0.1% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0% 0.5%  
470 0% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.4%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0.1% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0.1% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.7%  
356 0.1% 99.6%  
357 0% 99.6%  
358 0% 99.5%  
359 0.1% 99.5%  
360 0.1% 99.4%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.2% 99.2%  
363 0.2% 99.0%  
364 0.2% 98.8%  
365 0.3% 98.6%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.3% 98%  
369 0.5% 97%  
370 0.5% 97%  
371 0.9% 96%  
372 0.7% 96%  
373 0.3% 95%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.6% 94%  
376 2% 94%  
377 1.2% 92%  
378 1.0% 91%  
379 0.4% 90%  
380 0.3% 89%  
381 0.7% 89%  
382 2% 88%  
383 2% 86%  
384 1.0% 84%  
385 2% 83%  
386 1.4% 81%  
387 1.1% 80%  
388 1.2% 79%  
389 0.7% 78%  
390 1.4% 77%  
391 2% 76%  
392 3% 74%  
393 2% 71%  
394 2% 69%  
395 1.0% 67%  
396 3% 66%  
397 2% 63%  
398 1.4% 60%  
399 2% 59%  
400 3% 58%  
401 3% 54%  
402 2% 51% Median
403 1.5% 49%  
404 3% 48%  
405 2% 45%  
406 3% 43%  
407 2% 40%  
408 3% 37%  
409 2% 35%  
410 3% 33%  
411 1.4% 30%  
412 0.4% 29%  
413 2% 28%  
414 2% 26%  
415 2% 24%  
416 2% 22%  
417 0.9% 20%  
418 0.5% 19%  
419 0.5% 18%  
420 2% 18%  
421 1.1% 16%  
422 1.3% 15%  
423 0.4% 13%  
424 2% 13%  
425 0.4% 11%  
426 0.3% 11%  
427 0.9% 11%  
428 1.0% 10%  
429 0.4% 9%  
430 0.7% 8%  
431 0.8% 8%  
432 0.2% 7%  
433 0.3% 7%  
434 0.3% 7%  
435 0.4% 6%  
436 0.4% 6%  
437 0.4% 5%  
438 0.2% 5%  
439 0.3% 5%  
440 0.2% 4%  
441 0.1% 4%  
442 0.3% 4%  
443 0.1% 4%  
444 0.2% 4%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.7% 3%  
447 0.5% 3%  
448 0.1% 2%  
449 0.4% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.2% 1.5%  
453 0.3% 1.3%  
454 0.1% 1.1%  
455 0% 1.0%  
456 0.1% 1.0%  
457 0.2% 0.8%  
458 0% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.6%  
460 0% 0.5%  
461 0.1% 0.5%  
462 0% 0.4%  
463 0% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0% 99.5%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.3%  
357 0.2% 99.2%  
358 0.3% 99.1%  
359 0.2% 98.8%  
360 0.3% 98.6%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 97%  
365 0.5% 97%  
366 0.7% 96%  
367 0.8% 96%  
368 0.4% 95%  
369 0.4% 95%  
370 0.4% 94%  
371 2% 94%  
372 0.9% 92%  
373 1.1% 91%  
374 0.4% 90%  
375 0.3% 89%  
376 0.8% 89%  
377 2% 88%  
378 2% 86%  
379 1.0% 84%  
380 2% 83%  
381 1.5% 82%  
382 0.6% 80%  
383 1.4% 79%  
384 0.9% 78%  
385 1.4% 77%  
386 2% 76%  
387 3% 74%  
388 2% 71%  
389 3% 69%  
390 0.9% 67%  
391 3% 66%  
392 2% 63%  
393 2% 61%  
394 1.5% 59%  
395 3% 58%  
396 3% 54%  
397 2% 52% Median
398 2% 50%  
399 2% 48%  
400 2% 46%  
401 3% 43%  
402 3% 40%  
403 3% 38%  
404 2% 35%  
405 3% 33%  
406 1.4% 30%  
407 0.6% 29%  
408 1.1% 28%  
409 3% 27%  
410 2% 24%  
411 2% 22%  
412 1.2% 20%  
413 0.5% 19%  
414 0.5% 18%  
415 2% 18%  
416 0.9% 16%  
417 2% 15%  
418 0.3% 13%  
419 2% 13%  
420 0.3% 12%  
421 0.5% 11%  
422 0.8% 11%  
423 1.0% 10%  
424 0.3% 9%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.7% 8%  
427 0.2% 7%  
428 0.3% 7%  
429 0.3% 7%  
430 0.1% 6%  
431 0.7% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.2% 5%  
434 0.3% 5%  
435 0.2% 5%  
436 0.1% 4%  
437 0.3% 4%  
438 0.1% 4%  
439 0.2% 4%  
440 0.1% 4%  
441 0.7% 4%  
442 0.5% 3%  
443 0% 2%  
444 0.5% 2%  
445 0.1% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.1% 1.5%  
448 0.2% 1.3%  
449 0.1% 1.2%  
450 0.1% 1.0%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 0.8%  
453 0% 0.7%  
454 0.1% 0.6%  
455 0% 0.5%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.3%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.8%  
152 0.1% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.7%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.6%  
157 0% 99.6%  
158 0% 99.6%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0% 99.5%  
161 0.1% 99.5%  
162 0.1% 99.4%  
163 0.1% 99.2%  
164 0% 99.2%  
165 0.1% 99.1%  
166 0.1% 99.0%  
167 0.1% 98.9%  
168 0.2% 98.8%  
169 0.1% 98.6%  
170 0.2% 98%  
171 0.1% 98%  
172 0.1% 98%  
173 0.2% 98%  
174 0.3% 98%  
175 0.2% 98%  
176 0.3% 98%  
177 0.4% 97%  
178 0.7% 97%  
179 0.1% 96%  
180 0.2% 96%  
181 0.2% 96%  
182 0.2% 96%  
183 0.1% 95%  
184 0.1% 95%  
185 0.3% 95%  
186 0.3% 95%  
187 0.4% 95%  
188 0.5% 94%  
189 0.7% 94%  
190 1.1% 93%  
191 0.7% 92%  
192 0.3% 91%  
193 0.1% 91%  
194 0.2% 91%  
195 0.5% 90%  
196 0.4% 90%  
197 0.8% 90%  
198 0.7% 89%  
199 0.5% 88%  
200 2% 88%  
201 0.3% 86%  
202 3% 86%  
203 0.4% 83%  
204 0.8% 83%  
205 0.7% 82%  
206 0.8% 81%  
207 2% 80%  
208 2% 79%  
209 1.0% 77%  
210 3% 76%  
211 2% 73%  
212 2% 71%  
213 2% 70%  
214 1.3% 68%  
215 2% 66%  
216 2% 65%  
217 2% 63%  
218 3% 61%  
219 3% 58%  
220 1.1% 55%  
221 2% 54%  
222 0.6% 52%  
223 2% 52% Median
224 2% 49%  
225 2% 47%  
226 3% 45%  
227 2% 42%  
228 3% 41%  
229 2% 38%  
230 1.5% 36%  
231 2% 35%  
232 0.6% 32%  
233 1.1% 32%  
234 2% 31%  
235 1.4% 28%  
236 3% 27%  
237 2% 24%  
238 1.4% 22%  
239 1.0% 21%  
240 1.2% 20%  
241 0.9% 18%  
242 1.0% 18%  
243 1.4% 17%  
244 2% 15%  
245 1.1% 13%  
246 0.8% 12%  
247 0.9% 11%  
248 0.6% 10%  
249 0.5% 10%  
250 1.2% 9%  
251 0.7% 8%  
252 1.3% 7%  
253 0.7% 6%  
254 0.2% 5%  
255 0.6% 5%  
256 0.8% 4%  
257 0.3% 4%  
258 0.6% 3%  
259 0.3% 3%  
260 0.3% 2%  
261 0.3% 2%  
262 0.1% 2%  
263 0.2% 2%  
264 0.2% 1.4%  
265 0.3% 1.1%  
266 0.2% 0.9%  
267 0% 0.7%  
268 0.1% 0.7%  
269 0.1% 0.6%  
270 0% 0.5%  
271 0% 0.4%  
272 0% 0.4%  
273 0% 0.4%  
274 0.1% 0.4%  
275 0.1% 0.3%  
276 0.1% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0.1% 99.8%  
150 0.1% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.6%  
152 0% 99.6%  
153 0% 99.6%  
154 0% 99.6%  
155 0% 99.5%  
156 0.1% 99.5%  
157 0.1% 99.4%  
158 0.1% 99.3%  
159 0% 99.2%  
160 0.1% 99.2%  
161 0.1% 99.1%  
162 0.2% 99.0%  
163 0.2% 98.8%  
164 0.1% 98.6%  
165 0.1% 98%  
166 0.1% 98%  
167 0.1% 98%  
168 0.1% 98%  
169 0.3% 98%  
170 0.2% 98%  
171 0.2% 98%  
172 0.4% 97%  
173 0.7% 97%  
174 0.1% 96%  
175 0.2% 96%  
176 0.2% 96%  
177 0.2% 96%  
178 0.1% 95%  
179 0.1% 95%  
180 0.3% 95%  
181 0.2% 95%  
182 0.3% 95%  
183 0.4% 94%  
184 1.0% 94%  
185 1.0% 93%  
186 0.9% 92%  
187 0.3% 91%  
188 0.1% 91%  
189 0.2% 91%  
190 0.5% 91%  
191 0.4% 90%  
192 0.8% 90%  
193 0.2% 89%  
194 0.9% 89%  
195 2% 88%  
196 0.3% 86%  
197 2% 86%  
198 0.3% 83%  
199 0.7% 83%  
200 1.1% 82%  
201 0.8% 81%  
202 1.3% 80%  
203 2% 79%  
204 0.8% 77%  
205 2% 76%  
206 2% 74%  
207 2% 72%  
208 2% 69%  
209 0.8% 68%  
210 1.1% 67%  
211 3% 66%  
212 2% 63%  
213 3% 61%  
214 3% 58%  
215 1.3% 56%  
216 2% 54%  
217 1.0% 53%  
218 2% 52% Median
219 2% 49%  
220 2% 48%  
221 2% 45%  
222 2% 43%  
223 3% 41%  
224 1.2% 38%  
225 1.3% 37%  
226 3% 35%  
227 0.6% 33%  
228 0.8% 32%  
229 3% 31%  
230 1.3% 28%  
231 3% 27%  
232 2% 24%  
233 1.4% 22%  
234 0.9% 21%  
235 1.1% 20%  
236 0.9% 19%  
237 1.0% 18%  
238 1.5% 17%  
239 2% 15%  
240 2% 13%  
241 0.8% 12%  
242 0.7% 11%  
243 0.6% 10%  
244 0.5% 10%  
245 1.0% 9%  
246 0.8% 8%  
247 2% 7%  
248 0.6% 6%  
249 0.2% 5%  
250 0.3% 5%  
251 1.0% 5%  
252 0.3% 4%  
253 0.6% 3%  
254 0.3% 3%  
255 0.2% 2%  
256 0.4% 2%  
257 0.1% 2%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.2% 1.3%  
260 0.3% 1.2%  
261 0.2% 0.9%  
262 0.1% 0.7%  
263 0.1% 0.7%  
264 0.1% 0.5%  
265 0% 0.5%  
266 0% 0.4%  
267 0% 0.4%  
268 0% 0.4%  
269 0.1% 0.4%  
270 0.1% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.2%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
111 0% 100%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0.1% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.4%  
127 0.2% 99.4%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0.1% 99.1%  
130 0% 99.0%  
131 0% 99.0%  
132 0.2% 99.0%  
133 0.3% 98.7%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.7% 98%  
138 0% 97%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 0.4% 97%  
141 0.5% 96%  
142 0.1% 96%  
143 0.4% 96%  
144 0.1% 95%  
145 0.2% 95%  
146 0.6% 95%  
147 0.4% 94%  
148 0.1% 94%  
149 0.3% 94%  
150 0.1% 93%  
151 0.1% 93%  
152 0.2% 93%  
153 0.6% 93%  
154 0.5% 92%  
155 0.5% 92%  
156 0.9% 91%  
157 0.3% 90%  
158 0.2% 90%  
159 0.4% 90%  
160 2% 90%  
161 3% 87%  
162 0.3% 84%  
163 2% 84%  
164 0.1% 82%  
165 0.4% 82%  
166 1.3% 82%  
167 2% 80%  
168 3% 78%  
169 2% 76%  
170 2% 74%  
171 2% 71%  
172 2% 70%  
173 0.2% 68%  
174 3% 67%  
175 4% 64%  
176 5% 60%  
177 0.6% 55% Median
178 5% 55%  
179 5% 50%  
180 2% 45%  
181 2% 42%  
182 3% 40%  
183 0.2% 37%  
184 8% 37%  
185 0.7% 29%  
186 0.8% 28%  
187 1.0% 27%  
188 0.5% 26%  
189 0.8% 26%  
190 1.1% 25%  
191 4% 24%  
192 0.2% 20%  
193 1.4% 19%  
194 0.2% 18%  
195 0.6% 18%  
196 0.2% 17%  
197 2% 17%  
198 2% 14%  
199 3% 13%  
200 0.3% 10%  
201 0.6% 10%  
202 0.6% 9%  
203 3% 9%  
204 0.3% 5%  
205 0.4% 5%  
206 0.4% 5%  
207 0.4% 4%  
208 2% 4%  
209 0.1% 2%  
210 0.1% 2%  
211 0% 2%  
212 0.3% 2%  
213 0.1% 1.4%  
214 0.2% 1.4%  
215 0.2% 1.2%  
216 0.1% 1.0%  
217 0.1% 0.9%  
218 0.1% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.7%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.3%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.1% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.4%  
118 0.1% 99.4%  
119 0% 99.2%  
120 0.1% 99.2%  
121 0.1% 99.1%  
122 0.1% 99.0%  
123 0.2% 98.9%  
124 0.2% 98.7%  
125 0.2% 98.6%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.4% 98%  
129 0.3% 98%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.2% 97%  
132 0.1% 97%  
133 0.2% 97%  
134 0.7% 97%  
135 0.6% 96%  
136 0.2% 96%  
137 0.2% 95%  
138 0.1% 95%  
139 0.5% 95%  
140 0.5% 95%  
141 0.2% 94%  
142 0.2% 94%  
143 0.7% 94%  
144 0.4% 93%  
145 0.3% 93%  
146 0.6% 92%  
147 1.0% 92%  
148 0.3% 91%  
149 0.4% 91%  
150 0.8% 90%  
151 0.6% 89%  
152 0.4% 89%  
153 0.2% 88%  
154 2% 88%  
155 0.6% 86%  
156 1.5% 86%  
157 0.4% 84%  
158 2% 84%  
159 1.0% 82%  
160 2% 81%  
161 1.0% 79%  
162 2% 78%  
163 0.9% 76%  
164 1.0% 75%  
165 3% 74%  
166 2% 71%  
167 4% 69%  
168 2% 66%  
169 3% 64%  
170 0.8% 62%  
171 3% 61%  
172 0.9% 58%  
173 4% 57%  
174 3% 54%  
175 3% 51% Median
176 4% 48%  
177 1.3% 44%  
178 4% 42%  
179 1.0% 38%  
180 0.8% 37%  
181 3% 36%  
182 3% 33%  
183 4% 30%  
184 0.5% 26%  
185 1.2% 26%  
186 0.8% 25%  
187 0.7% 24%  
188 1.1% 23%  
189 2% 22%  
190 2% 20%  
191 1.0% 18%  
192 0.7% 17%  
193 0.7% 17%  
194 0.6% 16%  
195 1.2% 15%  
196 2% 14%  
197 1.2% 12%  
198 2% 11%  
199 0.3% 9%  
200 0.6% 9%  
201 0.4% 8%  
202 2% 8%  
203 0.7% 5%  
204 0.4% 4%  
205 0.4% 4%  
206 1.0% 4%  
207 0.7% 3%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.1% 2%  
211 0.1% 2%  
212 0.1% 1.4%  
213 0.3% 1.3%  
214 0.1% 1.0%  
215 0.1% 0.9%  
216 0.1% 0.8%  
217 0% 0.7%  
218 0% 0.7%  
219 0.1% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.5%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0.1% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0.1% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.1% 99.1%  
117 0.1% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98.8%  
120 0.2% 98.6%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.4% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.1% 97%  
126 0.1% 97%  
127 0.1% 97%  
128 0.2% 97%  
129 0.6% 97%  
130 0.6% 96%  
131 0.2% 96%  
132 0.1% 95%  
133 0.1% 95%  
134 0.3% 95%  
135 0.3% 95%  
136 0.5% 95%  
137 0.3% 94%  
138 0.7% 94%  
139 0.3% 93%  
140 0.4% 93%  
141 0.6% 92%  
142 1.0% 92%  
143 0.2% 91%  
144 0.3% 91%  
145 0.5% 90%  
146 1.0% 90%  
147 0.6% 89%  
148 0.1% 88%  
149 2% 88%  
150 0.7% 86%  
151 1.5% 86%  
152 0.3% 84%  
153 2% 84%  
154 0.9% 82%  
155 2% 81%  
156 1.0% 79%  
157 1.0% 78%  
158 2% 77%  
159 1.1% 76%  
160 3% 75%  
161 2% 72%  
162 3% 69%  
163 1.4% 66%  
164 2% 65%  
165 2% 63%  
166 2% 61%  
167 1.0% 58%  
168 3% 57%  
169 3% 54%  
170 3% 51% Median
171 4% 48%  
172 1.4% 44%  
173 4% 42%  
174 2% 39%  
175 0.6% 37%  
176 3% 36%  
177 4% 34%  
178 4% 30%  
179 0.4% 26%  
180 0.8% 26%  
181 1.3% 25%  
182 0.5% 24%  
183 1.3% 23%  
184 2% 22%  
185 2% 20%  
186 0.9% 18%  
187 0.7% 17%  
188 0.6% 17%  
189 0.6% 16%  
190 1.0% 15%  
191 2% 14%  
192 1.4% 12%  
193 2% 11%  
194 0.3% 9%  
195 0.5% 9%  
196 0.7% 8%  
197 2% 7%  
198 0.6% 5%  
199 0.3% 4%  
200 0.3% 4%  
201 1.2% 4%  
202 0.6% 3%  
203 0.1% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.1% 2%  
207 0.1% 1.4%  
208 0.3% 1.3%  
209 0.1% 1.0%  
210 0.1% 0.9%  
211 0.1% 0.8%  
212 0% 0.7%  
213 0.1% 0.7%  
214 0.1% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.4%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0.1% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

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Calculations