Opinion Poll by Omnisis, 23–24 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 51.2% 49.3–53.2% 48.8–53.7% 48.3–54.2% 47.4–55.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.2% 24.6–27.9% 24.1–28.4% 23.7–28.9% 22.9–29.7%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.0% 7.9–11.3% 7.4–11.9%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.8–5.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.7–4.3%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 417 397–450 392–460 385–466 375–480
Conservative Party 365 151 115–170 106–177 99–184 81–195
Liberal Democrats 11 25 18–32 16–37 13–38 9–41
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 48 34 21–44 18–46 16–49 14–54
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–6 4–6 3–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.3%  
378 0.1% 99.2%  
379 0.2% 99.1%  
380 0.2% 98.9%  
381 0.1% 98.6%  
382 0.3% 98.6%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.3% 98%  
386 0.3% 97%  
387 0.3% 97%  
388 0.5% 97%  
389 0.4% 96%  
390 0.5% 96%  
391 0.3% 95%  
392 1.0% 95%  
393 0.3% 94%  
394 0.9% 94%  
395 1.1% 93%  
396 0.5% 92%  
397 2% 91%  
398 1.4% 90%  
399 0.5% 88%  
400 1.3% 88%  
401 2% 87%  
402 2% 85%  
403 0.7% 82%  
404 0.8% 82%  
405 2% 81%  
406 3% 79%  
407 2% 75%  
408 1.3% 73%  
409 4% 72%  
410 2% 68%  
411 2% 66%  
412 1.1% 63%  
413 3% 62%  
414 1.3% 59%  
415 4% 58%  
416 3% 54%  
417 3% 51% Median
418 3% 48%  
419 2% 45%  
420 2% 44%  
421 0.7% 41%  
422 2% 41%  
423 0.9% 38%  
424 2% 37%  
425 2% 36%  
426 2% 34%  
427 3% 32%  
428 2% 29%  
429 1.2% 27%  
430 0.9% 26%  
431 0.8% 25%  
432 0.9% 25%  
433 0.6% 24%  
434 1.2% 23%  
435 2% 22%  
436 0.7% 20%  
437 0.6% 20%  
438 1.1% 19%  
439 1.0% 18%  
440 0.5% 17%  
441 0.6% 17%  
442 1.1% 16%  
443 0.4% 15%  
444 0.4% 14%  
445 0.3% 14%  
446 0.8% 14%  
447 0.9% 13%  
448 0.9% 12%  
449 1.1% 11%  
450 0.6% 10%  
451 1.0% 9%  
452 0.4% 8%  
453 0.5% 8%  
454 0.4% 8%  
455 0.5% 7%  
456 0.5% 7%  
457 0.3% 6%  
458 0.4% 6%  
459 0.3% 5%  
460 0.4% 5%  
461 0.4% 5%  
462 0.7% 4%  
463 0.7% 4%  
464 0.2% 3%  
465 0.1% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.3% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.2% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.2% 1.5%  
473 0.1% 1.3%  
474 0.1% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.1%  
476 0.1% 1.1%  
477 0.2% 1.0%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0.1% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0% 99.5%  
83 0.1% 99.4%  
84 0.1% 99.3%  
85 0.1% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.2%  
87 0% 99.1%  
88 0.2% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.8%  
91 0.2% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.5%  
93 0.1% 98%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.1% 98%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.2% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.1% 97%  
101 0.2% 97%  
102 0.5% 97%  
103 0.4% 96%  
104 0.3% 96%  
105 0.4% 96%  
106 0.6% 95%  
107 0.4% 95%  
108 0.8% 94%  
109 0.4% 94%  
110 0.5% 93%  
111 0.2% 93%  
112 0.5% 92%  
113 0.3% 92%  
114 0.9% 92%  
115 0.8% 91%  
116 0.9% 90%  
117 1.3% 89%  
118 0.7% 88%  
119 0.6% 87%  
120 0.3% 86%  
121 0.4% 86%  
122 0.6% 86%  
123 1.0% 85%  
124 1.0% 84%  
125 0.7% 83%  
126 0.5% 82%  
127 1.4% 82%  
128 0.9% 81%  
129 0.9% 80%  
130 0.8% 79%  
131 0.6% 78%  
132 0.6% 77%  
133 0.9% 77%  
134 1.5% 76%  
135 1.0% 75%  
136 1.2% 74%  
137 1.5% 72%  
138 0.9% 71%  
139 0.8% 70%  
140 1.1% 69%  
141 3% 68%  
142 1.2% 65%  
143 0.7% 64%  
144 1.0% 63%  
145 3% 62%  
146 0.9% 59%  
147 0.8% 58%  
148 2% 57%  
149 3% 55%  
150 1.4% 52%  
151 2% 51% Median
152 4% 49%  
153 2% 45%  
154 3% 43%  
155 1.3% 40%  
156 3% 39%  
157 3% 36%  
158 3% 33%  
159 3% 30%  
160 2% 28%  
161 3% 26%  
162 1.2% 23%  
163 2% 21%  
164 2% 19%  
165 0.9% 17%  
166 2% 16%  
167 1.3% 15%  
168 1.0% 13%  
169 1.5% 12%  
170 2% 11%  
171 0.7% 9%  
172 0.5% 9%  
173 0.5% 8%  
174 0.9% 8%  
175 0.6% 7%  
176 0.6% 6%  
177 0.4% 5%  
178 0.2% 5%  
179 0.5% 5%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.6% 4%  
182 0.3% 3%  
183 0.3% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.2% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.3%  
190 0.1% 1.2%  
191 0.1% 1.1%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.7%  
9 0.2% 99.6%  
10 0.4% 99.4%  
11 0.5% 99.0% Last Result
12 0.8% 98%  
13 0.2% 98%  
14 0.8% 97%  
15 1.4% 97%  
16 2% 95%  
17 2% 93%  
18 3% 91%  
19 6% 88%  
20 7% 82%  
21 4% 76%  
22 7% 71%  
23 11% 64%  
24 3% 53%  
25 12% 50% Median
26 9% 38%  
27 4% 29%  
28 1.2% 25%  
29 1.5% 24%  
30 6% 22%  
31 4% 17%  
32 3% 12%  
33 0.7% 9%  
34 0.3% 8%  
35 2% 8%  
36 1.4% 6%  
37 3% 5%  
38 0.9% 3%  
39 0.6% 2%  
40 0.4% 1.0%  
41 0.2% 0.6%  
42 0.2% 0.4%  
43 0% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.2%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.1% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0.1% 99.6%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.6% 99.5%  
16 2% 98.9%  
17 1.3% 97%  
18 2% 96%  
19 1.0% 94%  
20 2% 93%  
21 3% 90%  
22 7% 87%  
23 2% 80%  
24 0.8% 78%  
25 2% 77%  
26 3% 75%  
27 4% 72%  
28 2% 68%  
29 5% 66%  
30 2% 61%  
31 1.1% 60%  
32 3% 58%  
33 1.3% 55%  
34 10% 54% Median
35 2% 44%  
36 7% 42%  
37 4% 35%  
38 4% 31%  
39 4% 27%  
40 3% 23%  
41 4% 21%  
42 3% 17%  
43 2% 14%  
44 4% 12%  
45 2% 9%  
46 2% 7%  
47 0.9% 4%  
48 0.8% 4% Last Result
49 0.3% 3%  
50 0.4% 2%  
51 0.3% 2%  
52 0.4% 2%  
53 0.7% 1.5%  
54 0.4% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 1.2%  
2 0.7% 0.9%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 2% 99.9%  
4 10% 98% Last Result
5 82% 88% Median
6 4% 5%  
7 0.6% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 479 100% 460–515 453–524 446–531 435–547
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 478 100% 459–514 452–523 445–530 434–546
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 473 100% 454–509 447–518 440–525 429–541
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 453 100% 438–488 432–496 426–503 417–516
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 446 100% 423–482 416–492 408–500 396–515
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 448 100% 433–483 427–491 421–498 412–511
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 441 100% 417–477 411–487 403–495 391–511
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 422 100% 402–454 397–465 390–471 380–485
Labour Party 202 417 100% 397–450 392–460 385–466 375–480
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 188 0% 152–211 142–218 133–226 117–238
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 183 0% 147–206 137–213 129–221 112–233
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 176 0% 141–191 133–197 126–203 111–212
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 156 0% 120–175 111–182 103–189 86–200
Conservative Party 365 151 0% 115–170 106–177 99–184 81–195

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.1% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.5%  
437 0.1% 99.4%  
438 0.2% 99.3%  
439 0.1% 99.1%  
440 0.1% 98.9%  
441 0.2% 98.8%  
442 0.2% 98.6%  
443 0.3% 98%  
444 0.2% 98%  
445 0.3% 98%  
446 0.2% 98%  
447 0.3% 97%  
448 0.3% 97%  
449 0.6% 97%  
450 0.3% 96%  
451 0.5% 96%  
452 0.2% 95%  
453 0.4% 95%  
454 0.6% 95%  
455 0.6% 94%  
456 0.9% 93%  
457 0.5% 92%  
458 0.5% 92%  
459 0.7% 91%  
460 2% 91%  
461 1.5% 89%  
462 1.0% 88%  
463 1.4% 87%  
464 2% 85%  
465 0.9% 84%  
466 2% 83%  
467 2% 81%  
468 1.2% 79%  
469 3% 77%  
470 2% 74%  
471 3% 72%  
472 3% 70%  
473 3% 67%  
474 3% 64%  
475 1.3% 61%  
476 3% 60%  
477 2% 57%  
478 4% 55%  
479 2% 51%  
480 1.4% 49%  
481 3% 48%  
482 2% 45% Median
483 0.8% 43%  
484 0.9% 42%  
485 3% 41%  
486 1.0% 38%  
487 0.7% 37%  
488 1.2% 36%  
489 3% 35%  
490 1.0% 32%  
491 0.8% 31%  
492 0.9% 30%  
493 1.4% 29%  
494 1.2% 28%  
495 1.0% 26%  
496 1.5% 25%  
497 0.9% 24%  
498 0.6% 23%  
499 0.5% 23%  
500 0.8% 22%  
501 0.9% 21%  
502 0.9% 20%  
503 1.4% 19%  
504 0.5% 18%  
505 0.7% 18%  
506 1.0% 17%  
507 0.9% 16%  
508 0.6% 15%  
509 0.4% 14%  
510 0.3% 14%  
511 0.6% 14%  
512 0.7% 13%  
513 1.3% 12%  
514 0.9% 11%  
515 0.9% 10%  
516 0.9% 9%  
517 0.3% 8%  
518 0.5% 8%  
519 0.2% 8%  
520 0.5% 7%  
521 0.5% 7%  
522 0.8% 6%  
523 0.4% 6%  
524 0.6% 5%  
525 0.4% 5%  
526 0.3% 4%  
527 0.5% 4%  
528 0.4% 3%  
529 0.2% 3%  
530 0.1% 3%  
531 0.3% 3%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.2% 2%  
538 0.1% 1.4%  
539 0.1% 1.3%  
540 0.1% 1.2%  
541 0.2% 1.1%  
542 0.1% 0.9%  
543 0.1% 0.8%  
544 0.1% 0.8%  
545 0.1% 0.7%  
546 0% 0.6%  
547 0.1% 0.6%  
548 0.1% 0.4%  
549 0.1% 0.4%  
550 0.1% 0.3%  
551 0% 0.3%  
552 0% 0.2%  
553 0% 0.2%  
554 0.1% 0.2%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.1% 99.5%  
436 0.1% 99.4%  
437 0.2% 99.3%  
438 0.1% 99.1%  
439 0.1% 98.9%  
440 0.2% 98.8%  
441 0.2% 98.6%  
442 0.3% 98%  
443 0.2% 98%  
444 0.3% 98%  
445 0.2% 98%  
446 0.3% 97%  
447 0.3% 97%  
448 0.6% 97%  
449 0.3% 96%  
450 0.5% 96%  
451 0.2% 95%  
452 0.5% 95%  
453 0.6% 95%  
454 0.6% 94%  
455 0.9% 93%  
456 0.5% 92%  
457 0.5% 92%  
458 0.7% 91%  
459 2% 91%  
460 1.5% 89%  
461 1.0% 88%  
462 1.4% 87%  
463 2% 85%  
464 0.9% 84%  
465 2% 83%  
466 2% 81%  
467 1.2% 79%  
468 3% 77%  
469 2% 74%  
470 3% 72%  
471 3% 70%  
472 3% 67%  
473 3% 64%  
474 1.3% 61%  
475 3% 60%  
476 2% 57%  
477 4% 55%  
478 2% 51%  
479 1.4% 49%  
480 3% 48%  
481 2% 45% Median
482 0.8% 43%  
483 0.9% 42%  
484 3% 41%  
485 1.0% 38%  
486 0.7% 37%  
487 1.2% 36%  
488 3% 35%  
489 1.0% 32%  
490 0.8% 31%  
491 0.9% 30%  
492 1.4% 29%  
493 1.2% 28%  
494 1.0% 26%  
495 1.5% 25%  
496 0.9% 24%  
497 0.6% 23%  
498 0.6% 23%  
499 0.8% 22%  
500 0.9% 21%  
501 0.9% 20%  
502 1.4% 19%  
503 0.5% 18%  
504 0.7% 18%  
505 1.0% 17%  
506 0.9% 16%  
507 0.6% 15%  
508 0.4% 14%  
509 0.3% 14%  
510 0.6% 14%  
511 0.7% 13%  
512 1.3% 12%  
513 0.9% 11%  
514 0.9% 10%  
515 0.9% 9%  
516 0.3% 8%  
517 0.5% 8%  
518 0.2% 8%  
519 0.5% 7%  
520 0.4% 7%  
521 0.8% 6%  
522 0.4% 6%  
523 0.6% 5%  
524 0.4% 5%  
525 0.3% 4%  
526 0.5% 4%  
527 0.4% 3%  
528 0.2% 3%  
529 0.1% 3%  
530 0.3% 3%  
531 0.2% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.2% 2%  
537 0.1% 1.4%  
538 0.1% 1.3%  
539 0.1% 1.2%  
540 0.2% 1.1%  
541 0.1% 0.9%  
542 0.1% 0.8%  
543 0.1% 0.8%  
544 0.1% 0.7%  
545 0% 0.6%  
546 0.1% 0.6%  
547 0.1% 0.4%  
548 0.1% 0.4%  
549 0.1% 0.3%  
550 0% 0.3%  
551 0% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.2%  
553 0.1% 0.2%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.8%  
425 0% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.1% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.6%  
429 0.1% 99.6%  
430 0.1% 99.5%  
431 0.1% 99.4%  
432 0.2% 99.3%  
433 0.1% 99.1%  
434 0.1% 98.9%  
435 0.2% 98.8%  
436 0.2% 98.6%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.2% 98%  
439 0.3% 98%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.4% 97%  
442 0.2% 97%  
443 0.7% 97%  
444 0.3% 96%  
445 0.2% 96%  
446 0.6% 96%  
447 0.4% 95%  
448 0.6% 95%  
449 0.6% 94%  
450 1.0% 93%  
451 0.4% 92%  
452 0.4% 92%  
453 0.9% 92%  
454 2% 91%  
455 1.4% 89%  
456 1.1% 88%  
457 1.3% 87%  
458 2% 85%  
459 1.1% 84%  
460 2% 83%  
461 3% 81%  
462 1.3% 79%  
463 3% 77%  
464 1.5% 74%  
465 3% 73%  
466 2% 70%  
467 3% 67%  
468 2% 64%  
469 2% 62%  
470 3% 60%  
471 1.3% 57%  
472 4% 56%  
473 2% 51%  
474 1.2% 49%  
475 3% 48%  
476 2% 45% Median
477 0.8% 43%  
478 1.0% 42%  
479 3% 41%  
480 1.2% 38%  
481 0.8% 37%  
482 1.1% 36%  
483 3% 35%  
484 1.3% 32%  
485 0.9% 31%  
486 1.1% 30%  
487 1.2% 29%  
488 1.3% 28%  
489 1.2% 27%  
490 1.4% 25%  
491 0.6% 24%  
492 0.5% 23%  
493 0.9% 23%  
494 0.9% 22%  
495 0.6% 21%  
496 1.0% 21%  
497 1.1% 20%  
498 0.9% 18%  
499 0.7% 18%  
500 0.6% 17%  
501 1.4% 16%  
502 0.5% 15%  
503 0.5% 14%  
504 0.3% 14%  
505 0.5% 14%  
506 0.7% 13%  
507 1.3% 12%  
508 0.8% 11%  
509 0.7% 10%  
510 1.1% 10%  
511 0.4% 8%  
512 0.4% 8%  
513 0.3% 8%  
514 0.4% 7%  
515 0.5% 7%  
516 0.7% 6%  
517 0.5% 6%  
518 0.6% 5%  
519 0.4% 5%  
520 0.2% 4%  
521 0.5% 4%  
522 0.5% 3%  
523 0.2% 3%  
524 0.2% 3%  
525 0.2% 3%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.2% 2%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.1% 2%  
531 0.2% 2%  
532 0.2% 1.4%  
533 0.1% 1.3%  
534 0.1% 1.2%  
535 0.2% 1.1%  
536 0.1% 0.9%  
537 0.1% 0.8%  
538 0.1% 0.8%  
539 0.1% 0.7%  
540 0% 0.6%  
541 0.1% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.5%  
543 0% 0.4%  
544 0.1% 0.3%  
545 0% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.2% 99.3%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 99.0%  
422 0.3% 98.8%  
423 0.3% 98.6%  
424 0.1% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.5% 98%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.8% 97%  
429 0.3% 96%  
430 0.5% 96%  
431 0.5% 96%  
432 0.6% 95%  
433 0.5% 94%  
434 0.9% 94%  
435 0.8% 93%  
436 1.1% 92%  
437 1.0% 91%  
438 1.0% 90%  
439 1.2% 89%  
440 3% 88%  
441 2% 85%  
442 0.8% 84%  
443 2% 83%  
444 2% 81%  
445 5% 79%  
446 2% 74%  
447 4% 72%  
448 4% 68%  
449 3% 64%  
450 3% 62%  
451 2% 59%  
452 4% 57%  
453 3% 52%  
454 3% 50%  
455 3% 46%  
456 2% 44% Median
457 2% 42%  
458 3% 40%  
459 1.0% 37%  
460 1.2% 36%  
461 2% 35%  
462 2% 33%  
463 1.4% 31%  
464 2% 30%  
465 1.2% 27%  
466 0.9% 26%  
467 0.6% 25%  
468 1.1% 25%  
469 1.4% 23%  
470 1.2% 22%  
471 0.6% 21%  
472 0.4% 20%  
473 0.8% 20%  
474 0.4% 19%  
475 0.5% 19%  
476 0.6% 18%  
477 0.9% 18%  
478 0.6% 17%  
479 0.4% 16%  
480 0.6% 16%  
481 0.6% 15%  
482 0.8% 15%  
483 0.6% 14%  
484 0.8% 13%  
485 1.0% 12%  
486 0.7% 11%  
487 0.3% 11%  
488 0.7% 10%  
489 0.5% 10%  
490 0.6% 9%  
491 0.9% 9%  
492 0.5% 8%  
493 0.8% 7%  
494 0.4% 6%  
495 0.6% 6%  
496 0.3% 5%  
497 0.3% 5%  
498 0.3% 5%  
499 0.8% 4%  
500 0.3% 4%  
501 0.2% 3%  
502 0.4% 3%  
503 0.4% 3%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.1% 1.4%  
509 0.1% 1.4%  
510 0.1% 1.3%  
511 0.2% 1.2%  
512 0.1% 1.0%  
513 0.1% 0.9%  
514 0.1% 0.8%  
515 0.1% 0.7%  
516 0.1% 0.6%  
517 0.1% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0.1% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.7%  
394 0% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.6%  
396 0.1% 99.5%  
397 0.1% 99.4%  
398 0.1% 99.4%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.2% 99.2%  
401 0.1% 99.0%  
402 0.2% 98.9%  
403 0.2% 98.7%  
404 0.1% 98.5%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.1% 98%  
407 0.4% 98%  
408 0.1% 98%  
409 0.5% 97%  
410 0.4% 97%  
411 0.3% 96%  
412 0.2% 96%  
413 0.3% 96%  
414 0.2% 96%  
415 0.4% 95%  
416 0.6% 95%  
417 0.7% 94%  
418 0.3% 94%  
419 1.2% 93%  
420 0.4% 92%  
421 1.2% 92%  
422 0.5% 91%  
423 0.5% 90%  
424 1.1% 90%  
425 1.0% 88%  
426 1.1% 87%  
427 0.8% 86%  
428 2% 86%  
429 1.2% 84%  
430 2% 83%  
431 1.1% 81%  
432 2% 80%  
433 1.0% 78%  
434 2% 77%  
435 1.4% 75%  
436 2% 74%  
437 2% 72%  
438 2% 70%  
439 2% 68%  
440 2% 66%  
441 2% 64%  
442 1.2% 62%  
443 3% 60%  
444 1.5% 57%  
445 4% 56%  
446 3% 52%  
447 1.2% 49% Median
448 1.0% 48%  
449 2% 47%  
450 2% 46%  
451 1.2% 44%  
452 1.2% 43%  
453 2% 41%  
454 1.3% 40%  
455 2% 38%  
456 1.5% 36%  
457 2% 34%  
458 2% 33%  
459 1.5% 31%  
460 0.9% 29%  
461 0.4% 28%  
462 0.8% 28%  
463 2% 27%  
464 2% 25%  
465 1.3% 24%  
466 1.1% 22%  
467 0.8% 21%  
468 0.9% 21%  
469 0.6% 20%  
470 1.1% 19%  
471 1.1% 18%  
472 0.5% 17%  
473 0.3% 16%  
474 0.6% 16%  
475 0.8% 15%  
476 1.0% 15%  
477 0.6% 14%  
478 0.3% 13%  
479 1.1% 13%  
480 0.9% 12%  
481 0.7% 11%  
482 0.4% 10%  
483 0.7% 10%  
484 0.9% 9%  
485 0.5% 8%  
486 0.3% 8%  
487 0.4% 7%  
488 0.5% 7%  
489 0.4% 7%  
490 0.6% 6%  
491 0.4% 5%  
492 0.3% 5%  
493 0.2% 5%  
494 0.4% 5%  
495 0.2% 4%  
496 0.3% 4%  
497 0.5% 4%  
498 0.2% 3%  
499 0.3% 3%  
500 0.2% 3%  
501 0.3% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.2% 2%  
508 0.1% 1.3%  
509 0.1% 1.2%  
510 0.1% 1.1%  
511 0.1% 1.0%  
512 0.1% 0.8%  
513 0.2% 0.8%  
514 0% 0.6%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.4%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.3%  
522 0% 0.3%  
523 0.1% 0.2%  
524 0.1% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.1% 99.5%  
414 0.2% 99.3%  
415 0.2% 99.2%  
416 0.2% 99.0%  
417 0.2% 98.8%  
418 0.3% 98.6%  
419 0.1% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.5% 98%  
422 0.3% 97%  
423 0.6% 97%  
424 0.7% 97%  
425 0.4% 96%  
426 0.5% 96%  
427 0.5% 95%  
428 0.6% 95%  
429 0.8% 94%  
430 0.7% 93%  
431 1.1% 92%  
432 1.0% 91%  
433 1.1% 90%  
434 1.2% 89%  
435 2% 88%  
436 1.5% 86%  
437 0.8% 84%  
438 2% 83%  
439 2% 81%  
440 4% 79%  
441 2% 74%  
442 4% 73%  
443 4% 68%  
444 3% 64%  
445 2% 62%  
446 2% 59%  
447 4% 57%  
448 3% 53%  
449 3% 50%  
450 3% 46%  
451 2% 44% Median
452 2% 42%  
453 3% 40%  
454 1.0% 37%  
455 1.4% 36%  
456 2% 35%  
457 2% 33%  
458 1.2% 31%  
459 2% 30%  
460 1.2% 27%  
461 1.0% 26%  
462 0.5% 25%  
463 1.1% 25%  
464 2% 24%  
465 1.0% 22%  
466 0.4% 21%  
467 0.6% 21%  
468 0.4% 20%  
469 0.9% 20%  
470 0.4% 19%  
471 0.6% 18%  
472 0.7% 18%  
473 0.9% 17%  
474 0.4% 16%  
475 0.4% 16%  
476 0.7% 15%  
477 0.6% 15%  
478 0.7% 14%  
479 0.9% 13%  
480 0.9% 12%  
481 0.5% 11%  
482 0.5% 11%  
483 0.7% 10%  
484 0.6% 10%  
485 0.6% 9%  
486 0.8% 9%  
487 0.6% 8%  
488 0.7% 7%  
489 0.4% 6%  
490 0.7% 6%  
491 0.4% 5%  
492 0.3% 5%  
493 0.3% 5%  
494 0.7% 4%  
495 0.3% 4%  
496 0.2% 3%  
497 0.4% 3%  
498 0.4% 3%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.3% 2%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.1% 1.5%  
504 0.1% 1.4%  
505 0.1% 1.3%  
506 0.2% 1.2%  
507 0.1% 1.0%  
508 0.1% 1.0%  
509 0.1% 0.8%  
510 0.1% 0.7%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.5%  
513 0.1% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.3%  
515 0.1% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0.1% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0% 99.6%  
390 0.1% 99.6%  
391 0.1% 99.5%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.1% 99.4%  
394 0.1% 99.3%  
395 0.2% 99.2%  
396 0.1% 99.0%  
397 0.2% 98.9%  
398 0.2% 98.7%  
399 0.1% 98.5%  
400 0.3% 98%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0.4% 98%  
403 0.1% 98%  
404 0.3% 97%  
405 0.6% 97%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.2% 96%  
408 0.3% 96%  
409 0.2% 96%  
410 0.4% 95%  
411 0.6% 95%  
412 0.7% 94%  
413 0.4% 94%  
414 1.2% 93%  
415 0.4% 92%  
416 1.2% 92%  
417 0.6% 91%  
418 0.3% 90%  
419 0.6% 90%  
420 2% 89%  
421 1.0% 88%  
422 0.9% 87%  
423 2% 86%  
424 1.2% 84%  
425 2% 83%  
426 1.1% 81%  
427 1.2% 80%  
428 1.2% 78%  
429 2% 77%  
430 1.3% 75%  
431 2% 74%  
432 2% 72%  
433 2% 70%  
434 2% 68%  
435 2% 66%  
436 2% 64%  
437 1.2% 62%  
438 3% 60%  
439 2% 57%  
440 4% 56%  
441 2% 52%  
442 1.3% 49% Median
443 0.9% 48%  
444 2% 47%  
445 2% 46%  
446 1.1% 44%  
447 2% 43%  
448 2% 41%  
449 1.2% 40%  
450 3% 39%  
451 2% 36%  
452 2% 34%  
453 2% 33%  
454 1.4% 31%  
455 0.5% 29%  
456 0.9% 29%  
457 0.5% 28%  
458 2% 27%  
459 2% 26%  
460 1.5% 24%  
461 0.6% 22%  
462 1.2% 22%  
463 0.8% 21%  
464 0.9% 20%  
465 1.0% 19%  
466 1.1% 18%  
467 0.6% 17%  
468 0.3% 16%  
469 0.6% 16%  
470 0.8% 15%  
471 0.9% 15%  
472 0.7% 14%  
473 0.3% 13%  
474 1.0% 13%  
475 0.9% 12%  
476 0.7% 11%  
477 0.4% 10%  
478 0.5% 10%  
479 1.0% 9%  
480 0.5% 8%  
481 0.2% 8%  
482 0.2% 7%  
483 0.7% 7%  
484 0.4% 7%  
485 0.6% 6%  
486 0.3% 6%  
487 0.3% 5%  
488 0.3% 5%  
489 0.4% 5%  
490 0.2% 4%  
491 0.2% 4%  
492 0.5% 4%  
493 0.2% 3%  
494 0.4% 3%  
495 0.2% 3%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.1% 1.3%  
504 0.1% 1.2%  
505 0.1% 1.1%  
506 0.1% 1.0%  
507 0.1% 0.8%  
508 0.2% 0.8%  
509 0% 0.6%  
510 0.1% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.5%  
512 0% 0.4%  
513 0% 0.4%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0.1% 0.2%  
519 0.1% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0.1% 99.2%  
384 0.2% 99.1%  
385 0.3% 98.9%  
386 0.1% 98.6%  
387 0.3% 98.6%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.4% 98%  
391 0.4% 97%  
392 0.4% 97%  
393 0.4% 97%  
394 0.4% 96%  
395 0.5% 96%  
396 0.2% 95%  
397 1.0% 95%  
398 0.3% 94%  
399 1.0% 94%  
400 1.1% 93%  
401 0.5% 92%  
402 2% 91%  
403 0.7% 89%  
404 0.6% 88%  
405 1.3% 88%  
406 2% 86%  
407 2% 85%  
408 0.8% 83%  
409 0.8% 82%  
410 2% 81%  
411 4% 79%  
412 2% 75%  
413 1.2% 73%  
414 4% 72%  
415 2% 68%  
416 2% 66%  
417 1.0% 63%  
418 3% 62%  
419 1.3% 59%  
420 5% 58%  
421 2% 53%  
422 3% 51% Median
423 4% 49%  
424 2% 45%  
425 2% 43%  
426 0.6% 41%  
427 2% 40%  
428 0.8% 38%  
429 2% 37%  
430 2% 35%  
431 1.3% 34%  
432 3% 32%  
433 2% 29%  
434 1.5% 27%  
435 0.7% 26%  
436 0.8% 25%  
437 1.0% 24%  
438 0.4% 23%  
439 1.3% 23%  
440 2% 22%  
441 0.5% 20%  
442 0.6% 19%  
443 0.9% 19%  
444 1.2% 18%  
445 0.2% 17%  
446 0.7% 16%  
447 1.1% 16%  
448 0.4% 15%  
449 0.4% 14%  
450 0.3% 14%  
451 0.9% 14%  
452 0.7% 13%  
453 0.9% 12%  
454 1.2% 11%  
455 0.7% 10%  
456 0.7% 9%  
457 0.4% 8%  
458 0.5% 8%  
459 0.4% 8%  
460 0.5% 7%  
461 0.6% 7%  
462 0.2% 6%  
463 0.5% 6%  
464 0.2% 5%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.5% 5%  
467 0.6% 4%  
468 0.8% 4%  
469 0.1% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.1% 3%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.1% 2%  
474 0.2% 2%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.2% 1.4%  
478 0.1% 1.3%  
479 0.1% 1.2%  
480 0.1% 1.1%  
481 0.1% 1.0%  
482 0.2% 1.0%  
483 0.1% 0.8%  
484 0.2% 0.7%  
485 0.1% 0.6%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0.1% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.3%  
378 0.1% 99.2%  
379 0.2% 99.1%  
380 0.2% 98.9%  
381 0.1% 98.6%  
382 0.3% 98.6%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.3% 98%  
386 0.3% 97%  
387 0.3% 97%  
388 0.5% 97%  
389 0.4% 96%  
390 0.5% 96%  
391 0.3% 95%  
392 1.0% 95%  
393 0.3% 94%  
394 0.9% 94%  
395 1.1% 93%  
396 0.5% 92%  
397 2% 91%  
398 1.4% 90%  
399 0.5% 88%  
400 1.3% 88%  
401 2% 87%  
402 2% 85%  
403 0.7% 82%  
404 0.8% 82%  
405 2% 81%  
406 3% 79%  
407 2% 75%  
408 1.3% 73%  
409 4% 72%  
410 2% 68%  
411 2% 66%  
412 1.1% 63%  
413 3% 62%  
414 1.3% 59%  
415 4% 58%  
416 3% 54%  
417 3% 51% Median
418 3% 48%  
419 2% 45%  
420 2% 44%  
421 0.7% 41%  
422 2% 41%  
423 0.9% 38%  
424 2% 37%  
425 2% 36%  
426 2% 34%  
427 3% 32%  
428 2% 29%  
429 1.2% 27%  
430 0.9% 26%  
431 0.8% 25%  
432 0.9% 25%  
433 0.6% 24%  
434 1.2% 23%  
435 2% 22%  
436 0.7% 20%  
437 0.6% 20%  
438 1.1% 19%  
439 1.0% 18%  
440 0.5% 17%  
441 0.6% 17%  
442 1.1% 16%  
443 0.4% 15%  
444 0.4% 14%  
445 0.3% 14%  
446 0.8% 14%  
447 0.9% 13%  
448 0.9% 12%  
449 1.1% 11%  
450 0.6% 10%  
451 1.0% 9%  
452 0.4% 8%  
453 0.5% 8%  
454 0.4% 8%  
455 0.5% 7%  
456 0.5% 7%  
457 0.3% 6%  
458 0.4% 6%  
459 0.3% 5%  
460 0.4% 5%  
461 0.4% 5%  
462 0.7% 4%  
463 0.7% 4%  
464 0.2% 3%  
465 0.1% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.3% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.2% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.2% 1.5%  
473 0.1% 1.3%  
474 0.1% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.1%  
476 0.1% 1.1%  
477 0.2% 1.0%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0.1% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.4%  
120 0.2% 99.4%  
121 0.1% 99.2%  
122 0.2% 99.2%  
123 0.1% 99.0%  
124 0.1% 98.9%  
125 0.1% 98.8%  
126 0.1% 98.7%  
127 0.1% 98.6%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.3% 98%  
134 0.2% 97%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.5% 97%  
138 0.3% 96%  
139 0.2% 96%  
140 0.3% 96%  
141 0.2% 95%  
142 0.3% 95%  
143 0.4% 95%  
144 0.6% 94%  
145 0.4% 94%  
146 0.7% 93%  
147 0.2% 93%  
148 0.3% 93%  
149 0.5% 92%  
150 1.0% 92%  
151 0.5% 91%  
152 0.4% 90%  
153 0.7% 90%  
154 0.9% 89%  
155 1.0% 88%  
156 0.3% 87%  
157 0.7% 87%  
158 0.9% 86%  
159 0.8% 85%  
160 0.6% 85%  
161 0.3% 84%  
162 0.6% 84%  
163 1.1% 83%  
164 1.0% 82%  
165 0.8% 81%  
166 0.8% 80%  
167 1.2% 79%  
168 0.6% 78%  
169 1.5% 78%  
170 2% 76%  
171 2% 74%  
172 0.5% 73%  
173 0.9% 72%  
174 0.5% 71%  
175 1.3% 71%  
176 2% 69%  
177 2% 67%  
178 2% 65%  
179 3% 64%  
180 1.1% 61%  
181 2% 60%  
182 2% 59%  
183 1.1% 57%  
184 2% 56%  
185 2% 54%  
186 0.9% 53%  
187 1.3% 52%  
188 2% 51%  
189 4% 48%  
190 1.5% 44% Median
191 3% 42%  
192 1.3% 39%  
193 2% 38%  
194 2% 36%  
195 2% 34%  
196 2% 32%  
197 2% 30%  
198 2% 28%  
199 1.3% 26%  
200 2% 25%  
201 1.3% 23%  
202 1.2% 22%  
203 1.1% 20%  
204 2% 19%  
205 1.2% 17%  
206 2% 16%  
207 0.9% 14%  
208 1.0% 13%  
209 2% 12%  
210 0.6% 11%  
211 0.3% 10%  
212 0.6% 10%  
213 1.2% 9%  
214 0.4% 8%  
215 1.2% 8%  
216 0.4% 7%  
217 0.7% 6%  
218 0.6% 6%  
219 0.4% 5%  
220 0.2% 4%  
221 0.3% 4%  
222 0.2% 4%  
223 0.3% 4%  
224 0.6% 3%  
225 0.3% 3%  
226 0.1% 3%  
227 0.4% 2%  
228 0.1% 2%  
229 0.3% 2%  
230 0.1% 2%  
231 0.2% 1.5%  
232 0.2% 1.2%  
233 0.1% 1.1%  
234 0.2% 1.0%  
235 0.1% 0.8%  
236 0.1% 0.7%  
237 0.1% 0.6%  
238 0.1% 0.5%  
239 0.1% 0.5%  
240 0% 0.4%  
241 0.1% 0.4%  
242 0% 0.3%  
243 0% 0.3%  
244 0.1% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0% 99.6%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.4%  
115 0.2% 99.4%  
116 0.1% 99.2%  
117 0.2% 99.2%  
118 0.1% 99.0%  
119 0.1% 98.9%  
120 0.1% 98.8%  
121 0.2% 98.7%  
122 0.1% 98.6%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.2% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.3% 98%  
129 0.2% 98%  
130 0.4% 97%  
131 0.3% 97%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.4% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.3% 96%  
136 0.2% 95%  
137 0.3% 95%  
138 0.4% 95%  
139 0.6% 94%  
140 0.4% 94%  
141 0.5% 93%  
142 0.4% 93%  
143 0.3% 93%  
144 0.5% 92%  
145 0.8% 92%  
146 0.7% 91%  
147 0.4% 90%  
148 0.7% 90%  
149 0.9% 89%  
150 1.1% 88%  
151 0.4% 87%  
152 0.6% 87%  
153 1.0% 86%  
154 0.8% 85%  
155 0.6% 85%  
156 0.3% 84%  
157 0.5% 84%  
158 1.1% 83%  
159 1.1% 82%  
160 0.6% 81%  
161 1.0% 80%  
162 0.8% 79%  
163 1.1% 79%  
164 1.3% 78%  
165 2% 76%  
166 2% 75%  
167 0.8% 73%  
168 0.4% 72%  
169 0.9% 72%  
170 1.5% 71%  
171 2% 69%  
172 2% 67%  
173 1.5% 65%  
174 2% 64%  
175 1.3% 62%  
176 2% 60%  
177 1.2% 59%  
178 1.2% 57%  
179 2% 56%  
180 2% 54%  
181 1.0% 53%  
182 1.2% 52%  
183 3% 51%  
184 4% 48%  
185 1.4% 44% Median
186 3% 43%  
187 1.3% 39%  
188 2% 38%  
189 2% 36%  
190 2% 34%  
191 2% 32%  
192 2% 30%  
193 2% 28%  
194 1.4% 26%  
195 2% 25%  
196 1.0% 23%  
197 2% 22%  
198 1.1% 20%  
199 2% 19%  
200 1.2% 17%  
201 2% 16%  
202 0.7% 14%  
203 1.1% 14%  
204 1.0% 13%  
205 1.2% 12%  
206 0.4% 10%  
207 0.5% 10%  
208 1.2% 9%  
209 0.4% 8%  
210 1.3% 8%  
211 0.3% 7%  
212 0.7% 6%  
213 0.6% 6%  
214 0.4% 5%  
215 0.2% 4%  
216 0.3% 4%  
217 0.2% 4%  
218 0.3% 4%  
219 0.4% 3%  
220 0.5% 3%  
221 0.1% 3%  
222 0.4% 2%  
223 0.1% 2%  
224 0.3% 2%  
225 0.1% 2%  
226 0.2% 1.5%  
227 0.2% 1.3%  
228 0.1% 1.1%  
229 0.2% 1.0%  
230 0.1% 0.8%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0.1% 0.6%  
233 0.1% 0.6%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0.1% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.1% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0.2% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.2%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.1% 99.0%  
117 0.2% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.8%  
119 0.1% 98.7%  
120 0.1% 98.6%  
121 0.1% 98.6%  
122 0.2% 98.5%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.4% 98%  
127 0.3% 97%  
128 0.2% 97%  
129 0.3% 97%  
130 0.8% 96%  
131 0.3% 96%  
132 0.3% 95%  
133 0.3% 95%  
134 0.6% 95%  
135 0.4% 94%  
136 0.9% 94%  
137 0.5% 93%  
138 0.9% 92%  
139 0.6% 91%  
140 0.5% 91%  
141 0.7% 90%  
142 0.3% 90%  
143 0.7% 89%  
144 0.9% 89%  
145 0.8% 88%  
146 0.6% 87%  
147 0.9% 86%  
148 0.6% 85%  
149 0.6% 85%  
150 0.4% 84%  
151 0.6% 84%  
152 0.9% 83%  
153 0.6% 82%  
154 0.5% 82%  
155 0.4% 81%  
156 0.8% 81%  
157 0.4% 80%  
158 0.6% 80%  
159 1.2% 79%  
160 1.3% 78%  
161 1.1% 77%  
162 0.6% 75%  
163 0.9% 75%  
164 1.2% 74%  
165 2% 73%  
166 1.3% 70%  
167 2% 69%  
168 2% 67%  
169 1.3% 65%  
170 1.0% 64%  
171 3% 63%  
172 2% 60%  
173 2% 58%  
174 3% 56%  
175 3% 54%  
176 3% 50% Median
177 4% 48%  
178 2% 43%  
179 3% 41%  
180 3% 38%  
181 4% 36%  
182 4% 32%  
183 2% 28%  
184 5% 26%  
185 2% 21%  
186 2% 19%  
187 0.8% 17%  
188 2% 16%  
189 2% 15%  
190 1.2% 12%  
191 1.0% 11%  
192 1.0% 10%  
193 1.1% 9%  
194 0.8% 8%  
195 0.9% 7%  
196 0.5% 6%  
197 0.6% 6%  
198 0.5% 5%  
199 0.5% 4%  
200 0.3% 4%  
201 0.8% 4%  
202 0.3% 3%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.1% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.2% 1.4%  
208 0.2% 1.2%  
209 0.2% 1.0%  
210 0.2% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.5%  
88 0.1% 99.4%  
89 0.1% 99.3%  
90 0.1% 99.3%  
91 0.1% 99.2%  
92 0% 99.1%  
93 0.2% 99.1%  
94 0.1% 98.9%  
95 0.1% 98.8%  
96 0.2% 98.7%  
97 0.1% 98.5%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.2% 98%  
102 0.3% 98%  
103 0.3% 98%  
104 0.1% 97%  
105 0.2% 97%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.5% 97%  
108 0.5% 96%  
109 0.2% 96%  
110 0.4% 96%  
111 0.6% 95%  
112 0.5% 95%  
113 0.7% 94%  
114 0.5% 94%  
115 0.4% 93%  
116 0.3% 93%  
117 0.4% 92%  
118 0.4% 92%  
119 1.1% 92%  
120 0.7% 90%  
121 0.8% 90%  
122 1.3% 89%  
123 0.7% 88%  
124 0.5% 87%  
125 0.3% 86%  
126 0.5% 86%  
127 0.5% 86%  
128 1.4% 85%  
129 0.6% 84%  
130 0.7% 83%  
131 0.9% 82%  
132 1.1% 82%  
133 1.0% 80%  
134 0.6% 79%  
135 0.9% 79%  
136 0.9% 78%  
137 0.5% 77%  
138 0.6% 77%  
139 1.4% 76%  
140 1.2% 75%  
141 1.3% 73%  
142 1.2% 72%  
143 1.1% 71%  
144 0.9% 70%  
145 1.3% 69%  
146 3% 68%  
147 1.1% 65%  
148 0.8% 64%  
149 1.2% 63%  
150 2% 62%  
151 1.0% 59%  
152 0.8% 58%  
153 2% 57%  
154 3% 55%  
155 1.2% 52%  
156 2% 51% Median
157 4% 49%  
158 1.2% 44%  
159 3% 43%  
160 2% 40%  
161 2% 38%  
162 3% 36%  
163 2% 33%  
164 3% 30%  
165 1.4% 27%  
166 3% 26%  
167 1.3% 23%  
168 3% 21%  
169 2% 19%  
170 1.1% 17%  
171 2% 16%  
172 1.3% 14%  
173 1.1% 13%  
174 1.4% 12%  
175 2% 11%  
176 0.8% 9%  
177 0.4% 8%  
178 0.4% 8%  
179 1.0% 8%  
180 0.6% 7%  
181 0.6% 6%  
182 0.4% 5%  
183 0.6% 5%  
184 0.2% 4%  
185 0.3% 4%  
186 0.7% 4%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.4% 3%  
189 0.3% 3%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.3%  
195 0.1% 1.2%  
196 0.1% 1.1%  
197 0.2% 0.9%  
198 0.1% 0.7%  
199 0.1% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0% 99.5%  
83 0.1% 99.4%  
84 0.1% 99.3%  
85 0.1% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.2%  
87 0% 99.1%  
88 0.2% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.8%  
91 0.2% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.5%  
93 0.1% 98%  
94 0.1% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.1% 98%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.2% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.1% 97%  
101 0.2% 97%  
102 0.5% 97%  
103 0.4% 96%  
104 0.3% 96%  
105 0.4% 96%  
106 0.6% 95%  
107 0.4% 95%  
108 0.8% 94%  
109 0.4% 94%  
110 0.5% 93%  
111 0.2% 93%  
112 0.5% 92%  
113 0.3% 92%  
114 0.9% 92%  
115 0.8% 91%  
116 0.9% 90%  
117 1.3% 89%  
118 0.7% 88%  
119 0.6% 87%  
120 0.3% 86%  
121 0.4% 86%  
122 0.6% 86%  
123 1.0% 85%  
124 1.0% 84%  
125 0.7% 83%  
126 0.5% 82%  
127 1.4% 82%  
128 0.9% 81%  
129 0.9% 80%  
130 0.8% 79%  
131 0.6% 78%  
132 0.6% 77%  
133 0.9% 77%  
134 1.5% 76%  
135 1.0% 75%  
136 1.2% 74%  
137 1.5% 72%  
138 0.9% 71%  
139 0.8% 70%  
140 1.1% 69%  
141 3% 68%  
142 1.2% 65%  
143 0.7% 64%  
144 1.0% 63%  
145 3% 62%  
146 0.9% 59%  
147 0.8% 58%  
148 2% 57%  
149 3% 55%  
150 1.4% 52%  
151 2% 51% Median
152 4% 49%  
153 2% 45%  
154 3% 43%  
155 1.3% 40%  
156 3% 39%  
157 3% 36%  
158 3% 33%  
159 3% 30%  
160 2% 28%  
161 3% 26%  
162 1.2% 23%  
163 2% 21%  
164 2% 19%  
165 0.9% 17%  
166 2% 16%  
167 1.3% 15%  
168 1.0% 13%  
169 1.5% 12%  
170 2% 11%  
171 0.7% 9%  
172 0.5% 9%  
173 0.5% 8%  
174 0.9% 8%  
175 0.6% 7%  
176 0.6% 6%  
177 0.4% 5%  
178 0.2% 5%  
179 0.5% 5%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.6% 4%  
182 0.3% 3%  
183 0.3% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.2% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.3%  
190 0.1% 1.2%  
191 0.1% 1.1%  
192 0.2% 0.9%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations