Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 29–30 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 50.6% 49.0–52.3% 48.5–52.7% 48.1–53.1% 47.3–53.9%
Conservative Party 43.6% 23.7% 22.4–25.1% 22.0–25.6% 21.6–25.9% 21.0–26.6%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.7% 8.8–10.7% 8.5–11.0% 8.3–11.3% 7.9–11.8%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.5–5.3% 3.4–5.4% 3.1–5.8%
Green Party 2.8% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 433 405–458 398–464 393–470 387–476
Conservative Party 365 112 84–143 77–150 72–154 64–162
Liberal Democrats 11 27 20–36 19–38 18–40 16–47
Scottish National Party 48 50 41–56 39–57 36–57 33–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Brexit Party 0 2 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–3
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–6 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.2% 99.4%  
389 0.3% 99.2%  
390 0.2% 98.9%  
391 0.3% 98.7%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.6% 98%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.6% 97%  
396 0.6% 96%  
397 0.3% 96%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 1.2% 95%  
400 0.6% 94%  
401 0.7% 93%  
402 0.6% 92%  
403 0.6% 92%  
404 0.8% 91%  
405 1.0% 90%  
406 2% 89%  
407 2% 88%  
408 2% 86%  
409 1.0% 84%  
410 2% 83%  
411 1.3% 81%  
412 0.8% 80%  
413 0.6% 79%  
414 0.8% 78%  
415 2% 77%  
416 0.9% 76%  
417 0.7% 75%  
418 2% 74%  
419 0.8% 72%  
420 0.8% 71%  
421 1.0% 70%  
422 2% 70%  
423 0.6% 67%  
424 0.8% 67%  
425 2% 66%  
426 0.5% 64%  
427 2% 64%  
428 1.4% 61%  
429 2% 60%  
430 1.3% 58%  
431 3% 57%  
432 2% 54%  
433 3% 52% Median
434 0.8% 50%  
435 1.4% 49%  
436 5% 48%  
437 2% 43%  
438 1.3% 40%  
439 2% 39%  
440 2% 37%  
441 3% 35%  
442 2% 32%  
443 1.1% 30%  
444 1.4% 29%  
445 1.3% 27%  
446 2% 26%  
447 0.8% 24%  
448 1.1% 23%  
449 2% 22%  
450 1.5% 20%  
451 1.3% 19%  
452 3% 18%  
453 0.9% 15%  
454 2% 14%  
455 1.1% 13%  
456 0.6% 11%  
457 0.6% 11%  
458 0.8% 10%  
459 0.7% 9%  
460 0.8% 9%  
461 0.8% 8%  
462 1.2% 7%  
463 0.6% 6%  
464 0.5% 5%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.7% 4%  
467 0.4% 4%  
468 0.2% 3%  
469 0.5% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.7% 2%  
472 0.2% 2%  
473 0.4% 1.5%  
474 0.2% 1.1%  
475 0.3% 0.9%  
476 0.2% 0.7%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.2%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 0.1% 99.5%  
66 0.1% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 0.1% 99.2%  
69 0.3% 99.0%  
70 0.3% 98.7%  
71 0.6% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 0.7% 97%  
75 0.4% 96%  
76 0.4% 96%  
77 0.7% 96%  
78 0.7% 95%  
79 0.4% 94%  
80 1.0% 94%  
81 0.7% 93%  
82 0.4% 92%  
83 1.3% 92%  
84 0.8% 90%  
85 0.7% 89%  
86 0.4% 89%  
87 0.6% 88%  
88 0.6% 88%  
89 1.3% 87%  
90 0.9% 86%  
91 1.3% 85%  
92 3% 84%  
93 2% 81%  
94 0.8% 79%  
95 2% 78%  
96 2% 77%  
97 1.2% 74%  
98 1.4% 73%  
99 2% 72%  
100 0.8% 70%  
101 3% 69%  
102 2% 66%  
103 1.5% 65%  
104 1.4% 63%  
105 1.4% 62%  
106 2% 60%  
107 1.1% 58%  
108 2% 57%  
109 2% 56%  
110 3% 54%  
111 0.6% 51%  
112 0.7% 51% Median
113 3% 50%  
114 2% 47%  
115 3% 45%  
116 1.4% 42%  
117 0.8% 41%  
118 1.4% 40%  
119 1.1% 39%  
120 1.0% 38%  
121 2% 37%  
122 1.2% 35%  
123 0.8% 33%  
124 1.2% 33%  
125 1.3% 31%  
126 1.4% 30%  
127 0.6% 29%  
128 0.4% 28%  
129 0.9% 28%  
130 1.4% 27%  
131 2% 26%  
132 1.2% 24%  
133 1.1% 23%  
134 0.7% 22%  
135 1.4% 21%  
136 2% 19%  
137 1.3% 17%  
138 0.6% 16%  
139 1.1% 15%  
140 1.4% 14%  
141 2% 13%  
142 0.6% 11%  
143 0.6% 10%  
144 0.5% 10%  
145 1.3% 9%  
146 0.6% 8%  
147 0.7% 7%  
148 0.7% 7%  
149 0.8% 6%  
150 0.7% 5%  
151 0.4% 4%  
152 0.8% 4%  
153 0.3% 3%  
154 0.5% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.2% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.1% 0.8%  
161 0.1% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.9%  
16 0.2% 99.6%  
17 1.0% 99.4%  
18 3% 98%  
19 3% 96%  
20 5% 92%  
21 6% 88%  
22 9% 82%  
23 4% 73%  
24 3% 69%  
25 5% 66%  
26 7% 61%  
27 5% 54% Median
28 6% 49%  
29 3% 43%  
30 3% 40%  
31 4% 37%  
32 5% 32%  
33 6% 27%  
34 5% 21%  
35 5% 16%  
36 3% 11%  
37 2% 8%  
38 2% 6%  
39 1.0% 4%  
40 0.6% 3%  
41 0.2% 2%  
42 0.5% 2%  
43 0.3% 2%  
44 0.2% 1.3%  
45 0.2% 1.1%  
46 0.3% 0.9%  
47 0.2% 0.7%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.1% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0.2% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.5%  
34 0.9% 99.5%  
35 0.4% 98.6%  
36 1.1% 98%  
37 0.7% 97%  
38 1.0% 96%  
39 1.5% 95%  
40 2% 94%  
41 3% 92%  
42 2% 89%  
43 3% 87%  
44 8% 84%  
45 5% 76%  
46 7% 71%  
47 4% 64%  
48 5% 60% Last Result
49 2% 55%  
50 5% 53% Median
51 3% 48%  
52 5% 45%  
53 10% 40%  
54 9% 30%  
55 8% 21%  
56 5% 13%  
57 7% 9%  
58 1.4% 1.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.2% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100% Last Result
1 7% 62%  
2 27% 55% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.7% 100%  
4 7% 99.3% Last Result
5 89% 93% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 517 100% 485–543 478–550 474–554 466–563
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 516 100% 484–542 477–549 473–553 465–562
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 510 100% 479–537 473–544 468–549 460–557
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 488 100% 460–510 454–516 450–521 445–526
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 483 100% 455–505 449–511 445–516 440–521
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 467 100% 434–494 426–502 420–507 412–518
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 462 100% 429–489 420–497 415–502 407–513
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 439 100% 410–463 403–469 398–475 392–481
Labour Party 202 433 100% 405–458 398–464 393–470 387–476
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 166 0% 137–199 129–207 124–211 112–220
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 161 0% 132–194 124–202 119–206 107–215
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 139 0% 115–167 109–173 105–176 101–182
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 117 0% 89–148 82–155 77–159 69–167
Conservative Party 365 112 0% 84–143 77–150 72–154 64–162

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0% 99.8%  
463 0.1% 99.8%  
464 0.1% 99.7%  
465 0.1% 99.6%  
466 0.1% 99.5%  
467 0.1% 99.5%  
468 0.2% 99.4%  
469 0.2% 99.2%  
470 0.2% 99.0%  
471 0.3% 98.8%  
472 0.4% 98%  
473 0.6% 98%  
474 0.3% 98%  
475 0.8% 97%  
476 0.4% 97%  
477 0.6% 96%  
478 0.6% 96%  
479 0.5% 95%  
480 0.7% 94%  
481 0.9% 94%  
482 0.4% 93%  
483 0.9% 92%  
484 0.5% 92%  
485 1.3% 91%  
486 1.4% 90%  
487 0.7% 88%  
488 1.3% 88%  
489 1.1% 86%  
490 1.4% 85%  
491 0.4% 84%  
492 2% 84%  
493 1.1% 81%  
494 1.3% 80%  
495 1.3% 79%  
496 1.1% 78%  
497 2% 76%  
498 0.8% 74%  
499 0.3% 74%  
500 0.7% 73%  
501 1.2% 73%  
502 1.2% 71%  
503 1.3% 70%  
504 0.9% 69%  
505 2% 68%  
506 2% 66%  
507 0.7% 65%  
508 0.8% 64%  
509 2% 63%  
510 0.8% 62%  
511 2% 61%  
512 2% 59%  
513 1.0% 58%  
514 2% 57%  
515 2% 54%  
516 2% 52% Median
517 3% 50%  
518 0.9% 47%  
519 1.1% 47%  
520 3% 45%  
521 2% 43%  
522 2% 40%  
523 1.1% 39%  
524 2% 37%  
525 3% 36%  
526 1.2% 33%  
527 2% 32%  
528 1.1% 30%  
529 2% 29%  
530 2% 27%  
531 2% 25%  
532 0.6% 23%  
533 2% 23%  
534 2% 21%  
535 2% 19%  
536 2% 17%  
537 1.2% 15%  
538 1.0% 14%  
539 0.9% 13%  
540 0.4% 12%  
541 0.8% 11%  
542 0.5% 11%  
543 1.1% 10%  
544 0.6% 9%  
545 0.9% 9%  
546 0.6% 8%  
547 0.6% 7%  
548 0.6% 6%  
549 0.5% 6%  
550 0.8% 5%  
551 0.7% 4%  
552 0.4% 4%  
553 0.2% 3%  
554 0.7% 3%  
555 0.3% 2%  
556 0.5% 2%  
557 0.4% 2%  
558 0.3% 1.3%  
559 0.1% 1.0%  
560 0.1% 0.8%  
561 0.1% 0.8%  
562 0.1% 0.7%  
563 0.1% 0.5%  
564 0.1% 0.4%  
565 0.1% 0.3%  
566 0.1% 0.2%  
567 0% 0.2%  
568 0% 0.1%  
569 0% 0.1%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.8%  
463 0.1% 99.7%  
464 0.1% 99.6%  
465 0.1% 99.5%  
466 0.1% 99.5%  
467 0.2% 99.4%  
468 0.2% 99.2%  
469 0.2% 99.0%  
470 0.3% 98.8%  
471 0.4% 98%  
472 0.6% 98%  
473 0.3% 98%  
474 0.8% 97%  
475 0.4% 97%  
476 0.6% 96%  
477 0.6% 96%  
478 0.5% 95%  
479 0.7% 94%  
480 0.9% 94%  
481 0.4% 93%  
482 0.9% 92%  
483 0.5% 92%  
484 1.3% 91%  
485 1.4% 90%  
486 0.7% 88%  
487 1.3% 88%  
488 1.1% 86%  
489 1.4% 85%  
490 0.4% 84%  
491 2% 84%  
492 1.1% 81%  
493 1.3% 80%  
494 1.3% 79%  
495 1.1% 78%  
496 2% 76%  
497 0.8% 74%  
498 0.3% 74%  
499 0.7% 73%  
500 1.2% 73%  
501 1.2% 71%  
502 1.3% 70%  
503 0.9% 69%  
504 2% 68%  
505 2% 66%  
506 0.7% 65%  
507 0.8% 64%  
508 2% 63%  
509 0.8% 62%  
510 2% 61%  
511 2% 59%  
512 1.0% 58%  
513 2% 57%  
514 2% 54%  
515 2% 52% Median
516 3% 50%  
517 0.9% 47%  
518 1.1% 47%  
519 3% 45%  
520 2% 43%  
521 2% 40%  
522 1.1% 39%  
523 2% 37%  
524 3% 36%  
525 1.2% 33%  
526 2% 32%  
527 1.1% 30%  
528 2% 29%  
529 2% 27%  
530 2% 25%  
531 0.6% 23%  
532 2% 23%  
533 2% 21%  
534 2% 19%  
535 2% 17%  
536 1.2% 15%  
537 1.0% 14%  
538 0.8% 13%  
539 0.4% 12%  
540 0.8% 11%  
541 0.5% 11%  
542 1.1% 10%  
543 0.6% 9%  
544 0.9% 9%  
545 0.6% 8%  
546 0.6% 7%  
547 0.6% 6%  
548 0.5% 6%  
549 0.8% 5%  
550 0.7% 4%  
551 0.4% 4%  
552 0.2% 3%  
553 0.7% 3%  
554 0.3% 2%  
555 0.5% 2%  
556 0.4% 2%  
557 0.3% 1.3%  
558 0.1% 1.0%  
559 0.1% 0.8%  
560 0.1% 0.8%  
561 0.1% 0.7%  
562 0.1% 0.5%  
563 0.1% 0.4%  
564 0.1% 0.3%  
565 0.1% 0.2%  
566 0% 0.2%  
567 0% 0.1%  
568 0% 0.1%  
569 0% 0.1%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0.1% 99.7%  
459 0.1% 99.6%  
460 0.1% 99.5%  
461 0.1% 99.5%  
462 0.2% 99.4%  
463 0.2% 99.2%  
464 0.2% 99.0%  
465 0.3% 98.8%  
466 0.4% 98.5%  
467 0.5% 98%  
468 0.3% 98%  
469 0.7% 97%  
470 0.4% 97%  
471 0.6% 96%  
472 0.5% 96%  
473 0.6% 95%  
474 0.7% 94%  
475 0.9% 94%  
476 0.3% 93%  
477 1.0% 93%  
478 0.5% 92%  
479 1.4% 91%  
480 1.3% 90%  
481 0.7% 88%  
482 1.3% 88%  
483 1.1% 86%  
484 1.4% 85%  
485 0.3% 84%  
486 2% 84%  
487 1.4% 81%  
488 1.3% 80%  
489 1.1% 79%  
490 0.9% 78%  
491 2% 77%  
492 0.9% 74%  
493 0.4% 74%  
494 0.6% 73%  
495 1.2% 73%  
496 1.2% 71%  
497 1.3% 70%  
498 0.9% 69%  
499 2% 68%  
500 2% 66%  
501 0.6% 65%  
502 0.8% 64%  
503 2% 64%  
504 0.8% 62%  
505 2% 61%  
506 1.5% 59%  
507 1.0% 57%  
508 2% 57%  
509 3% 55%  
510 2% 52% Median
511 2% 50%  
512 1.1% 48%  
513 1.1% 47%  
514 3% 45%  
515 2% 43%  
516 2% 40%  
517 1.1% 39%  
518 2% 37%  
519 2% 36%  
520 1.3% 33%  
521 2% 32%  
522 1.0% 30%  
523 2% 29%  
524 2% 27%  
525 1.1% 25%  
526 1.2% 24%  
527 2% 23%  
528 2% 21%  
529 2% 19%  
530 2% 17%  
531 1.2% 15%  
532 0.8% 14%  
533 1.0% 13%  
534 0.5% 12%  
535 0.8% 12%  
536 0.5% 11%  
537 1.0% 10%  
538 0.6% 9%  
539 0.9% 9%  
540 0.6% 8%  
541 0.5% 7%  
542 0.7% 6%  
543 0.5% 6%  
544 0.8% 5%  
545 0.8% 4%  
546 0.4% 4%  
547 0.2% 3%  
548 0.6% 3%  
549 0.4% 3%  
550 0.4% 2%  
551 0.4% 2%  
552 0.4% 1.4%  
553 0.1% 1.0%  
554 0.1% 0.9%  
555 0.1% 0.8%  
556 0.2% 0.7%  
557 0.1% 0.5%  
558 0.1% 0.4%  
559 0.1% 0.3%  
560 0.1% 0.2%  
561 0% 0.2%  
562 0% 0.2%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0.1%  
567 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0.1% 99.8%  
442 0.1% 99.7%  
443 0.1% 99.6%  
444 0.1% 99.6%  
445 0.2% 99.5%  
446 0.2% 99.3%  
447 0.2% 99.1%  
448 0.3% 99.0%  
449 0.5% 98.6%  
450 0.7% 98%  
451 0.6% 97%  
452 0.7% 97%  
453 0.5% 96%  
454 0.8% 96%  
455 0.7% 95%  
456 0.6% 94%  
457 1.0% 93%  
458 1.2% 92%  
459 1.2% 91%  
460 0.8% 90%  
461 0.6% 89%  
462 2% 89%  
463 1.0% 87%  
464 2% 86%  
465 0.6% 84%  
466 3% 84%  
467 2% 81%  
468 2% 79%  
469 2% 77%  
470 1.1% 75%  
471 1.0% 74%  
472 1.0% 73%  
473 0.6% 72%  
474 1.4% 71%  
475 1.0% 70%  
476 0.4% 69%  
477 0.5% 68%  
478 1.2% 68%  
479 0.6% 67%  
480 1.4% 66%  
481 1.3% 65%  
482 1.4% 64%  
483 2% 62%  
484 3% 61%  
485 1.1% 58%  
486 3% 57%  
487 2% 54%  
488 3% 52% Median
489 3% 49%  
490 3% 46%  
491 2% 44%  
492 4% 41%  
493 2% 38%  
494 2% 36%  
495 1.3% 34%  
496 0.9% 32%  
497 3% 32%  
498 2% 29%  
499 2% 27%  
500 3% 25%  
501 2% 22%  
502 2% 20%  
503 1.2% 18%  
504 2% 17%  
505 1.0% 15%  
506 0.5% 14%  
507 2% 14%  
508 0.9% 12%  
509 0.9% 11%  
510 0.6% 10%  
511 0.5% 10%  
512 0.8% 9%  
513 1.4% 8%  
514 0.7% 7%  
515 0.9% 6%  
516 0.8% 6%  
517 0.3% 5%  
518 0.6% 4%  
519 0.4% 4%  
520 0.7% 3%  
521 0.7% 3%  
522 0.7% 2%  
523 0.3% 1.3%  
524 0.3% 1.1%  
525 0.2% 0.8%  
526 0.2% 0.5%  
527 0.1% 0.4%  
528 0.1% 0.3%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.6%  
439 0.1% 99.6%  
440 0.2% 99.5%  
441 0.2% 99.3%  
442 0.2% 99.1%  
443 0.3% 98.9%  
444 0.5% 98.6%  
445 0.7% 98%  
446 0.6% 97%  
447 0.7% 97%  
448 0.5% 96%  
449 0.8% 96%  
450 0.7% 95%  
451 0.6% 94%  
452 1.0% 93%  
453 1.1% 92%  
454 1.1% 91%  
455 0.9% 90%  
456 0.7% 89%  
457 2% 89%  
458 1.0% 87%  
459 2% 86%  
460 0.8% 84%  
461 3% 84%  
462 2% 81%  
463 2% 79%  
464 2% 77%  
465 1.2% 75%  
466 0.7% 74%  
467 1.2% 73%  
468 0.6% 72%  
469 1.2% 71%  
470 1.3% 70%  
471 0.4% 69%  
472 0.5% 68%  
473 1.2% 68%  
474 0.5% 67%  
475 1.5% 66%  
476 1.4% 65%  
477 1.4% 64%  
478 1.3% 62%  
479 3% 61%  
480 1.1% 58%  
481 2% 57%  
482 3% 55%  
483 2% 52% Median
484 3% 49%  
485 3% 46%  
486 2% 44%  
487 4% 41%  
488 2% 38%  
489 2% 36%  
490 1.2% 34%  
491 0.9% 32%  
492 2% 32%  
493 2% 29%  
494 2% 27%  
495 3% 25%  
496 2% 23%  
497 2% 20%  
498 1.2% 19%  
499 2% 17%  
500 2% 16%  
501 0.4% 14%  
502 2% 14%  
503 0.9% 12%  
504 0.8% 11%  
505 0.7% 10%  
506 0.4% 10%  
507 0.9% 9%  
508 1.3% 8%  
509 0.7% 7%  
510 0.9% 6%  
511 0.8% 6%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.6% 4%  
514 0.5% 4%  
515 0.6% 3%  
516 0.8% 3%  
517 0.6% 2%  
518 0.3% 1.4%  
519 0.3% 1.1%  
520 0.2% 0.8%  
521 0.2% 0.6%  
522 0.1% 0.4%  
523 0.1% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.1% 99.4%  
414 0.3% 99.4%  
415 0.2% 99.1%  
416 0.2% 98.9%  
417 0.1% 98.7%  
418 0.4% 98.6%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.6% 98%  
421 0.6% 97%  
422 0.2% 97%  
423 0.7% 97%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.5% 96%  
426 0.6% 95%  
427 0.4% 94%  
428 0.4% 94%  
429 0.6% 94%  
430 0.3% 93%  
431 1.1% 93%  
432 0.5% 92%  
433 0.7% 91%  
434 2% 90%  
435 1.0% 89%  
436 1.0% 87%  
437 0.7% 86%  
438 2% 86%  
439 0.9% 84%  
440 2% 83%  
441 0.5% 81%  
442 0.4% 81%  
443 1.5% 80%  
444 0.6% 79%  
445 0.6% 78%  
446 1.2% 78%  
447 0.6% 76%  
448 2% 76%  
449 1.4% 74%  
450 0.8% 72%  
451 0.8% 71%  
452 1.0% 71%  
453 1.0% 70%  
454 2% 69%  
455 2% 67%  
456 2% 66%  
457 1.3% 64%  
458 1.4% 63%  
459 2% 61%  
460 0.9% 59%  
461 0.8% 58%  
462 2% 58%  
463 2% 56%  
464 0.9% 54%  
465 0.8% 53% Median
466 2% 53%  
467 2% 50%  
468 3% 48%  
469 1.4% 45%  
470 1.5% 44%  
471 1.3% 42%  
472 2% 41%  
473 1.0% 39%  
474 3% 38%  
475 2% 35%  
476 2% 34%  
477 1.3% 31%  
478 2% 30%  
479 2% 28%  
480 2% 27%  
481 0.6% 25%  
482 0.5% 25%  
483 2% 24%  
484 2% 23%  
485 2% 21%  
486 1.4% 19%  
487 0.9% 18%  
488 0.6% 17%  
489 1.2% 16%  
490 2% 15%  
491 1.2% 13%  
492 0.9% 12%  
493 1.1% 11%  
494 0.7% 10%  
495 0.5% 9%  
496 0.4% 9%  
497 0.8% 9%  
498 0.5% 8%  
499 0.4% 7%  
500 0.9% 7%  
501 0.8% 6%  
502 0.4% 5%  
503 0.5% 5%  
504 0.4% 4%  
505 1.0% 4%  
506 0.5% 3%  
507 0.1% 3%  
508 0.3% 2%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.2% 1.4%  
513 0.1% 1.2%  
514 0.1% 1.1%  
515 0.1% 1.0%  
516 0.2% 0.9%  
517 0% 0.7%  
518 0.2% 0.6%  
519 0% 0.4%  
520 0.1% 0.4%  
521 0% 0.3%  
522 0.1% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.5%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.3% 99.4%  
410 0.2% 99.1%  
411 0.2% 98.9%  
412 0.1% 98.7%  
413 0.3% 98.6%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.6% 98%  
416 0.7% 97%  
417 0.2% 97%  
418 0.7% 97%  
419 0.3% 96%  
420 0.6% 96%  
421 0.6% 95%  
422 0.4% 94%  
423 0.4% 94%  
424 0.6% 94%  
425 0.3% 93%  
426 1.2% 93%  
427 0.5% 92%  
428 0.7% 91%  
429 2% 90%  
430 1.1% 89%  
431 1.1% 88%  
432 0.7% 86%  
433 2% 86%  
434 0.8% 84%  
435 1.5% 83%  
436 0.5% 81%  
437 0.6% 81%  
438 1.2% 80%  
439 0.8% 79%  
440 0.5% 78%  
441 1.2% 78%  
442 0.6% 76%  
443 2% 76%  
444 1.3% 74%  
445 0.8% 72%  
446 0.9% 72%  
447 1.0% 71%  
448 1.0% 70%  
449 2% 69%  
450 2% 67%  
451 1.4% 66%  
452 1.4% 64%  
453 1.4% 63%  
454 2% 61%  
455 0.8% 59%  
456 1.1% 59%  
457 1.4% 57%  
458 2% 56%  
459 1.1% 55%  
460 0.9% 53% Median
461 2% 52%  
462 2% 50%  
463 3% 48%  
464 1.3% 45%  
465 2% 44%  
466 1.1% 42%  
467 2% 41%  
468 1.0% 39%  
469 3% 38%  
470 2% 35%  
471 3% 34%  
472 1.3% 31%  
473 1.4% 30%  
474 2% 28%  
475 2% 27%  
476 0.6% 25%  
477 0.5% 25%  
478 2% 24%  
479 2% 23%  
480 1.2% 21%  
481 2% 20%  
482 1.2% 18%  
483 0.6% 17%  
484 1.1% 16%  
485 2% 15%  
486 1.2% 13%  
487 0.9% 12%  
488 1.1% 11%  
489 0.6% 10%  
490 0.6% 9%  
491 0.4% 9%  
492 0.6% 8%  
493 0.6% 8%  
494 0.5% 7%  
495 0.8% 7%  
496 0.7% 6%  
497 0.5% 5%  
498 0.4% 5%  
499 0.4% 4%  
500 1.0% 4%  
501 0.5% 3%  
502 0.1% 3%  
503 0.3% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.2% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.4%  
508 0.1% 1.2%  
509 0.1% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 1.0%  
511 0.2% 0.9%  
512 0% 0.7%  
513 0.2% 0.6%  
514 0% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.4%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0.1% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.7%  
390 0% 99.6%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.4%  
394 0.3% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 98.9%  
396 0.3% 98.7%  
397 0.4% 98%  
398 0.7% 98%  
399 0.4% 97%  
400 0.6% 97%  
401 0.6% 96%  
402 0.4% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 1.2% 95%  
405 0.6% 94%  
406 0.7% 93%  
407 0.6% 92%  
408 0.6% 92%  
409 0.8% 91%  
410 0.9% 90%  
411 2% 89%  
412 2% 88%  
413 2% 86%  
414 1.0% 84%  
415 2% 83%  
416 2% 81%  
417 0.7% 80%  
418 0.7% 79%  
419 0.9% 78%  
420 2% 77%  
421 0.8% 76%  
422 0.8% 75%  
423 2% 74%  
424 0.9% 72%  
425 0.6% 71%  
426 1.0% 70%  
427 2% 70%  
428 0.6% 67%  
429 0.8% 66%  
430 2% 66%  
431 0.5% 64%  
432 2% 64%  
433 2% 61%  
434 1.2% 59%  
435 2% 58%  
436 2% 57%  
437 2% 54%  
438 2% 52% Median
439 0.9% 50%  
440 1.5% 49%  
441 5% 48%  
442 2% 43%  
443 2% 40%  
444 2% 39%  
445 2% 37%  
446 3% 35%  
447 2% 32%  
448 1.1% 30%  
449 1.5% 29%  
450 1.4% 27%  
451 2% 26%  
452 0.7% 24%  
453 1.2% 23%  
454 2% 22%  
455 1.3% 20%  
456 1.3% 19%  
457 3% 18%  
458 0.8% 15%  
459 2% 14%  
460 0.7% 12%  
461 0.6% 11%  
462 0.6% 11%  
463 0.9% 10%  
464 0.7% 9%  
465 0.7% 9%  
466 0.8% 8%  
467 1.2% 7%  
468 0.6% 6%  
469 0.5% 5%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 0.7% 4%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.5% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.6% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.3% 1.4%  
479 0.2% 1.1%  
480 0.2% 0.9%  
481 0.2% 0.7%  
482 0.1% 0.5%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.2%  
486 0.1% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.2% 99.4%  
389 0.3% 99.2%  
390 0.2% 98.9%  
391 0.3% 98.7%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.6% 98%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.6% 97%  
396 0.6% 96%  
397 0.3% 96%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 1.2% 95%  
400 0.6% 94%  
401 0.7% 93%  
402 0.6% 92%  
403 0.6% 92%  
404 0.8% 91%  
405 1.0% 90%  
406 2% 89%  
407 2% 88%  
408 2% 86%  
409 1.0% 84%  
410 2% 83%  
411 1.3% 81%  
412 0.8% 80%  
413 0.6% 79%  
414 0.8% 78%  
415 2% 77%  
416 0.9% 76%  
417 0.7% 75%  
418 2% 74%  
419 0.8% 72%  
420 0.8% 71%  
421 1.0% 70%  
422 2% 70%  
423 0.6% 67%  
424 0.8% 67%  
425 2% 66%  
426 0.5% 64%  
427 2% 64%  
428 1.4% 61%  
429 2% 60%  
430 1.3% 58%  
431 3% 57%  
432 2% 54%  
433 3% 52% Median
434 0.8% 50%  
435 1.4% 49%  
436 5% 48%  
437 2% 43%  
438 1.3% 40%  
439 2% 39%  
440 2% 37%  
441 3% 35%  
442 2% 32%  
443 1.1% 30%  
444 1.4% 29%  
445 1.3% 27%  
446 2% 26%  
447 0.8% 24%  
448 1.1% 23%  
449 2% 22%  
450 1.5% 20%  
451 1.3% 19%  
452 3% 18%  
453 0.9% 15%  
454 2% 14%  
455 1.1% 13%  
456 0.6% 11%  
457 0.6% 11%  
458 0.8% 10%  
459 0.7% 9%  
460 0.8% 9%  
461 0.8% 8%  
462 1.2% 7%  
463 0.6% 6%  
464 0.5% 5%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.7% 4%  
467 0.4% 4%  
468 0.2% 3%  
469 0.5% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.7% 2%  
472 0.2% 2%  
473 0.4% 1.5%  
474 0.2% 1.1%  
475 0.3% 0.9%  
476 0.2% 0.7%  
477 0.1% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.2%  
481 0.1% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0.1% 99.8%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.2% 99.6%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0.1% 99.4%  
115 0.2% 99.3%  
116 0.2% 99.1%  
117 0.1% 98.9%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98.7%  
120 0.2% 98.6%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.2% 97%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.8% 97%  
128 0.6% 96%  
129 1.0% 95%  
130 0.7% 94%  
131 0.8% 94%  
132 0.6% 93%  
133 0.5% 92%  
134 0.4% 92%  
135 0.5% 91%  
136 0.8% 91%  
137 1.0% 90%  
138 0.4% 89%  
139 0.7% 89%  
140 0.4% 88%  
141 0.5% 87%  
142 3% 87%  
143 0.7% 84%  
144 0.9% 84%  
145 1.5% 83%  
146 2% 81%  
147 2% 79%  
148 1.5% 77%  
149 0.7% 76%  
150 1.0% 75%  
151 2% 74%  
152 1.3% 72%  
153 1.4% 71%  
154 2% 70%  
155 2% 68%  
156 1.4% 66%  
157 1.2% 65%  
158 0.7% 63%  
159 1.1% 63%  
160 2% 62%  
161 2% 60%  
162 1.5% 58%  
163 1.2% 57%  
164 2% 55%  
165 2% 53%  
166 4% 52%  
167 2% 48% Median
168 3% 47%  
169 1.2% 44%  
170 0.6% 43%  
171 1.3% 42%  
172 2% 41%  
173 1.0% 39%  
174 2% 38%  
175 0.8% 37%  
176 1.4% 36%  
177 1.2% 35%  
178 1.1% 33%  
179 1.3% 32%  
180 1.1% 31%  
181 0.9% 30%  
182 0.7% 29%  
183 0.8% 28%  
184 1.4% 28%  
185 2% 26%  
186 2% 25%  
187 0.7% 23%  
188 1.0% 22%  
189 1.3% 21%  
190 0.5% 20%  
191 0.7% 19%  
192 2% 19%  
193 1.2% 17%  
194 2% 16%  
195 0.8% 14%  
196 0.6% 13%  
197 0.9% 13%  
198 0.8% 12%  
199 1.2% 11%  
200 1.0% 10%  
201 0.6% 9%  
202 0.4% 8%  
203 1.3% 8%  
204 0.4% 6%  
205 0.3% 6%  
206 0.7% 6%  
207 0.7% 5%  
208 0.6% 4%  
209 0.3% 4%  
210 0.4% 3%  
211 0.7% 3%  
212 0.3% 2%  
213 0.2% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.2% 2%  
216 0.3% 1.4%  
217 0.2% 1.1%  
218 0.2% 0.8%  
219 0.1% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0.1% 99.8%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.2% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0.1% 99.5%  
110 0.2% 99.3%  
111 0.2% 99.2%  
112 0.1% 99.0%  
113 0.1% 98.9%  
114 0.1% 98.7%  
115 0.2% 98.6%  
116 0.2% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.3% 98%  
120 0.2% 97%  
121 0.4% 97%  
122 0.8% 97%  
123 0.5% 96%  
124 1.0% 95%  
125 0.7% 94%  
126 0.8% 94%  
127 0.5% 93%  
128 0.6% 92%  
129 0.4% 92%  
130 0.5% 91%  
131 0.9% 91%  
132 1.0% 90%  
133 0.4% 89%  
134 0.8% 89%  
135 0.5% 88%  
136 0.5% 87%  
137 3% 87%  
138 0.7% 84%  
139 0.9% 84%  
140 1.4% 83%  
141 2% 81%  
142 2% 80%  
143 2% 78%  
144 0.8% 76%  
145 1.0% 75%  
146 2% 74%  
147 1.1% 72%  
148 1.5% 71%  
149 2% 70%  
150 2% 68%  
151 1.4% 66%  
152 1.4% 65%  
153 0.8% 63%  
154 1.1% 63%  
155 2% 62%  
156 2% 60%  
157 1.5% 58%  
158 1.1% 57%  
159 2% 55%  
160 2% 53%  
161 4% 52%  
162 2% 48% Median
163 3% 47%  
164 0.9% 44%  
165 0.9% 43%  
166 0.9% 42%  
167 2% 41%  
168 1.2% 40%  
169 2% 38%  
170 0.7% 37%  
171 1.4% 36%  
172 1.2% 35%  
173 1.1% 33%  
174 1.4% 32%  
175 1.1% 31%  
176 1.0% 30%  
177 0.7% 29%  
178 0.7% 28%  
179 2% 28%  
180 1.5% 26%  
181 2% 25%  
182 0.8% 23%  
183 0.8% 22%  
184 1.4% 21%  
185 0.5% 20%  
186 0.6% 19%  
187 1.5% 19%  
188 1.4% 17%  
189 2% 16%  
190 0.8% 14%  
191 0.5% 13%  
192 1.0% 13%  
193 0.8% 12%  
194 1.1% 11%  
195 1.0% 10%  
196 0.6% 9%  
197 0.4% 8%  
198 1.3% 8%  
199 0.4% 6%  
200 0.3% 6%  
201 0.6% 6%  
202 0.7% 5%  
203 0.6% 4%  
204 0.3% 4%  
205 0.4% 3%  
206 0.7% 3%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.2% 2%  
211 0.3% 1.4%  
212 0.2% 1.1%  
213 0.2% 0.9%  
214 0.1% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.4%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.2% 99.6%  
102 0.3% 99.4%  
103 0.4% 99.1%  
104 0.6% 98.7%  
105 0.8% 98%  
106 0.7% 97%  
107 0.7% 97%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.6% 96%  
110 0.6% 95%  
111 0.7% 94%  
112 1.1% 94%  
113 0.8% 93%  
114 1.1% 92%  
115 1.0% 91%  
116 1.1% 90%  
117 0.8% 89%  
118 0.5% 88%  
119 0.5% 87%  
120 1.3% 87%  
121 0.6% 86%  
122 2% 85%  
123 1.2% 84%  
124 3% 82%  
125 2% 79%  
126 2% 77%  
127 3% 76%  
128 2% 72%  
129 1.1% 70%  
130 1.1% 69%  
131 0.7% 68%  
132 3% 68%  
133 2% 65%  
134 2% 63%  
135 3% 61%  
136 2% 58%  
137 4% 56%  
138 1.2% 52%  
139 2% 51% Median
140 2% 49%  
141 3% 47%  
142 2% 44%  
143 1.3% 42%  
144 3% 41%  
145 0.9% 38%  
146 2% 37%  
147 1.5% 35%  
148 0.5% 34%  
149 0.6% 33%  
150 0.2% 33%  
151 1.0% 32%  
152 1.1% 31%  
153 0.5% 30%  
154 1.1% 30%  
155 0.8% 29%  
156 2% 28%  
157 1.3% 26%  
158 0.8% 25%  
159 2% 24%  
160 2% 22%  
161 2% 20%  
162 0.9% 17%  
163 2% 16%  
164 1.2% 14%  
165 1.2% 13%  
166 0.4% 12%  
167 2% 12%  
168 1.2% 10%  
169 0.5% 9%  
170 1.4% 8%  
171 0.8% 7%  
172 0.9% 6%  
173 0.4% 5%  
174 0.8% 5%  
175 0.5% 4%  
176 1.1% 3%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.6% 2%  
179 0.3% 1.4%  
180 0.2% 1.0%  
181 0.3% 0.9%  
182 0.1% 0.6%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0.1% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.1% 99.2%  
73 0.1% 99.1%  
74 0.3% 99.0%  
75 0.4% 98.7%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 0.2% 97%  
79 0.7% 97%  
80 0.4% 96%  
81 0.4% 96%  
82 0.8% 96%  
83 0.7% 95%  
84 0.4% 94%  
85 1.0% 94%  
86 0.7% 93%  
87 0.5% 92%  
88 1.3% 91%  
89 0.7% 90%  
90 0.7% 89%  
91 0.5% 89%  
92 0.7% 88%  
93 0.6% 88%  
94 1.2% 87%  
95 1.1% 86%  
96 1.0% 85%  
97 3% 84%  
98 2% 81%  
99 0.7% 79%  
100 2% 78%  
101 2% 76%  
102 2% 74%  
103 1.1% 73%  
104 2% 71%  
105 0.8% 70%  
106 3% 69%  
107 2% 66%  
108 1.4% 65%  
109 1.3% 63%  
110 2% 62%  
111 2% 60%  
112 1.1% 58%  
113 2% 57%  
114 2% 56%  
115 3% 54%  
116 0.6% 51%  
117 0.8% 51% Median
118 3% 50%  
119 2% 47%  
120 3% 45%  
121 1.2% 42%  
122 1.0% 41%  
123 1.4% 40%  
124 1.2% 39%  
125 1.3% 38%  
126 2% 36%  
127 1.1% 35%  
128 0.7% 33%  
129 1.2% 33%  
130 1.3% 32%  
131 1.5% 30%  
132 0.6% 29%  
133 0.4% 28%  
134 0.9% 28%  
135 1.4% 27%  
136 2% 26%  
137 1.1% 24%  
138 1.1% 23%  
139 0.7% 22%  
140 2% 21%  
141 2% 19%  
142 1.3% 17%  
143 0.8% 16%  
144 1.0% 15%  
145 1.4% 14%  
146 2% 13%  
147 0.6% 11%  
148 0.7% 10%  
149 0.6% 10%  
150 1.3% 9%  
151 0.6% 8%  
152 0.8% 7%  
153 0.7% 7%  
154 0.8% 6%  
155 0.7% 5%  
156 0.4% 4%  
157 0.8% 4%  
158 0.3% 3%  
159 0.5% 3%  
160 0.5% 2%  
161 0.2% 2%  
162 0.4% 2%  
163 0.2% 1.2%  
164 0.2% 1.0%  
165 0.1% 0.8%  
166 0.1% 0.6%  
167 0.1% 0.5%  
168 0.1% 0.4%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 99.7%  
64 0.1% 99.6%  
65 0.1% 99.5%  
66 0.1% 99.4%  
67 0.1% 99.2%  
68 0.1% 99.2%  
69 0.3% 99.0%  
70 0.3% 98.7%  
71 0.6% 98%  
72 0.4% 98%  
73 0.2% 97%  
74 0.7% 97%  
75 0.4% 96%  
76 0.4% 96%  
77 0.7% 96%  
78 0.7% 95%  
79 0.4% 94%  
80 1.0% 94%  
81 0.7% 93%  
82 0.4% 92%  
83 1.3% 92%  
84 0.8% 90%  
85 0.7% 89%  
86 0.4% 89%  
87 0.6% 88%  
88 0.6% 88%  
89 1.3% 87%  
90 0.9% 86%  
91 1.3% 85%  
92 3% 84%  
93 2% 81%  
94 0.8% 79%  
95 2% 78%  
96 2% 77%  
97 1.2% 74%  
98 1.4% 73%  
99 2% 72%  
100 0.8% 70%  
101 3% 69%  
102 2% 66%  
103 1.5% 65%  
104 1.4% 63%  
105 1.4% 62%  
106 2% 60%  
107 1.1% 58%  
108 2% 57%  
109 2% 56%  
110 3% 54%  
111 0.6% 51%  
112 0.7% 51% Median
113 3% 50%  
114 2% 47%  
115 3% 45%  
116 1.4% 42%  
117 0.8% 41%  
118 1.4% 40%  
119 1.1% 39%  
120 1.0% 38%  
121 2% 37%  
122 1.2% 35%  
123 0.8% 33%  
124 1.2% 33%  
125 1.3% 31%  
126 1.4% 30%  
127 0.6% 29%  
128 0.4% 28%  
129 0.9% 28%  
130 1.4% 27%  
131 2% 26%  
132 1.2% 24%  
133 1.1% 23%  
134 0.7% 22%  
135 1.4% 21%  
136 2% 19%  
137 1.3% 17%  
138 0.6% 16%  
139 1.1% 15%  
140 1.4% 14%  
141 2% 13%  
142 0.6% 11%  
143 0.6% 10%  
144 0.5% 10%  
145 1.3% 9%  
146 0.6% 8%  
147 0.7% 7%  
148 0.7% 7%  
149 0.8% 6%  
150 0.7% 5%  
151 0.4% 4%  
152 0.8% 4%  
153 0.3% 3%  
154 0.5% 3%  
155 0.5% 2%  
156 0.2% 2%  
157 0.4% 2%  
158 0.2% 1.2%  
159 0.2% 1.0%  
160 0.1% 0.8%  
161 0.1% 0.6%  
162 0.1% 0.5%  
163 0.1% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations