Opinion Poll by Omnisis, 22 December 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 53.2% 51.4–55.1% 50.8–55.6% 50.4–56.1% 49.5–57.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.1% 24.5–27.8% 24.1–28.3% 23.7–28.7% 22.9–29.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.5%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.5% 2.9–6.0%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.0–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 429 401–458 395–463 390–468 378–483
Conservative Party 365 139 111–167 106–174 99–177 85–192
Liberal Democrats 11 10 6–17 6–19 6–20 4–23
Scottish National Party 48 46 39–55 38–56 36–57 28–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0% 99.6%  
378 0% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.2%  
385 0.1% 99.1%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0.3% 98.9%  
388 0.3% 98.6%  
389 0.4% 98%  
390 0.5% 98%  
391 0.8% 97%  
392 0.5% 97%  
393 0.7% 96%  
394 0.5% 96%  
395 0.3% 95%  
396 0.3% 95%  
397 0.5% 94%  
398 0.4% 94%  
399 1.0% 93%  
400 1.4% 93%  
401 1.3% 91%  
402 2% 90%  
403 2% 88%  
404 2% 86%  
405 3% 84%  
406 2% 81%  
407 1.2% 79%  
408 2% 78%  
409 2% 76%  
410 1.2% 74%  
411 1.1% 72%  
412 3% 71%  
413 3% 69%  
414 1.3% 66%  
415 1.2% 65%  
416 0.9% 64%  
417 2% 63%  
418 1.0% 61%  
419 1.1% 60%  
420 1.0% 59%  
421 0.5% 58%  
422 1.1% 58%  
423 0.4% 57%  
424 1.4% 56%  
425 0.7% 55%  
426 0.5% 54%  
427 0.9% 54%  
428 1.3% 53%  
429 3% 51% Median
430 2% 49%  
431 3% 47%  
432 2% 44%  
433 2% 42%  
434 0.9% 41%  
435 3% 40%  
436 3% 37%  
437 2% 34%  
438 2% 32%  
439 2% 31%  
440 2% 28%  
441 2% 26%  
442 2% 24%  
443 0.7% 23%  
444 0.7% 22%  
445 1.0% 21%  
446 0.7% 20%  
447 0.4% 20%  
448 1.0% 19%  
449 0.8% 18%  
450 0.8% 17%  
451 0.4% 17%  
452 0.4% 16%  
453 1.2% 16%  
454 0.6% 15%  
455 0.7% 14%  
456 0.7% 13%  
457 2% 13%  
458 1.2% 11%  
459 2% 10%  
460 0.7% 8%  
461 1.2% 7%  
462 0.9% 6%  
463 0.7% 5%  
464 0.8% 5%  
465 0.6% 4%  
466 0.4% 3%  
467 0.2% 3%  
468 0.1% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.1% 2%  
472 0.1% 2%  
473 0.1% 2%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 1.5%  
477 0.2% 1.4%  
478 0.2% 1.2%  
479 0.2% 1.0%  
480 0.1% 0.8%  
481 0.1% 0.7%  
482 0.1% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.5%  
484 0.1% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.2% 99.5%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.8%  
91 0.1% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.6%  
93 0.1% 98.6%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.2% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.4% 97%  
101 0.1% 97%  
102 0.2% 97%  
103 0.4% 97%  
104 0.8% 96%  
105 0.5% 96%  
106 0.6% 95%  
107 1.2% 95%  
108 1.3% 93%  
109 1.2% 92%  
110 0.6% 91%  
111 1.1% 90%  
112 0.6% 89%  
113 0.4% 88%  
114 1.3% 88%  
115 0.6% 87%  
116 0.7% 86%  
117 1.2% 86%  
118 1.2% 84%  
119 0.4% 83%  
120 1.4% 83%  
121 0.8% 81%  
122 1.2% 81%  
123 0.5% 80%  
124 2% 79%  
125 1.2% 78%  
126 1.2% 76%  
127 2% 75%  
128 2% 73%  
129 3% 71%  
130 2% 69%  
131 1.0% 67%  
132 2% 66%  
133 2% 64%  
134 2% 62%  
135 1.1% 60%  
136 2% 59%  
137 3% 57%  
138 1.3% 53%  
139 3% 52% Median
140 0.7% 49%  
141 0.2% 48%  
142 0.6% 48%  
143 0.2% 48%  
144 0.3% 47%  
145 0.9% 47%  
146 2% 46%  
147 0.5% 44%  
148 1.0% 44%  
149 0.6% 43%  
150 1.3% 42%  
151 0.8% 41%  
152 1.1% 40%  
153 1.2% 39%  
154 0.8% 38%  
155 3% 37%  
156 1.4% 34%  
157 2% 33%  
158 1.1% 31%  
159 2% 29%  
160 2% 28%  
161 4% 26%  
162 3% 22%  
163 2% 19%  
164 3% 17%  
165 3% 14%  
166 1.1% 12%  
167 0.8% 11%  
168 0.9% 10%  
169 0.5% 9%  
170 0.6% 8%  
171 0.7% 8%  
172 0.7% 7%  
173 0.5% 6%  
174 1.5% 6%  
175 0.6% 4%  
176 0.5% 4%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.1% 1.2%  
182 0.1% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 1.0%  
184 0% 1.0%  
185 0% 0.9%  
186 0% 0.9%  
187 0% 0.9%  
188 0% 0.8%  
189 0% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.8%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.5% 99.9%  
5 0.1% 99.5%  
6 11% 99.4%  
7 27% 89%  
8 2% 62%  
9 0.2% 60%  
10 18% 60% Median
11 1.1% 42% Last Result
12 1.0% 41%  
13 0% 40%  
14 12% 40%  
15 9% 28%  
16 2% 18%  
17 7% 17%  
18 5% 10%  
19 2% 5%  
20 1.1% 3%  
21 0.8% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.1% 99.7%  
27 0.1% 99.6%  
28 0.1% 99.5%  
29 0.2% 99.4%  
30 0.2% 99.2%  
31 0.2% 99.1%  
32 0.4% 98.9%  
33 0.3% 98.5%  
34 0.3% 98%  
35 0.3% 98%  
36 0.8% 98%  
37 1.0% 97%  
38 1.0% 96%  
39 5% 95%  
40 0.9% 90%  
41 5% 89%  
42 0.5% 84%  
43 8% 83%  
44 2% 75%  
45 5% 73%  
46 18% 67% Median
47 0.8% 49%  
48 10% 48% Last Result
49 0.3% 39%  
50 5% 38%  
51 2% 34%  
52 4% 32%  
53 8% 28%  
54 6% 20%  
55 7% 13%  
56 2% 7%  
57 4% 5%  
58 0.7% 0.7%  
59 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.3%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 28% 71% Median
2 18% 43%  
3 19% 25%  
4 5% 6% Last Result
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 266 491 100% 463–519 456–524 453–530 438–543
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 490 100% 462–518 455–523 452–529 437–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 489 100% 461–517 453–522 450–528 435–541
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 477 100% 453–505 447–507 445–512 430–525
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 477 100% 451–504 445–506 443–511 428–524
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 440 100% 411–472 406–479 399–485 388–500
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 439 100% 410–471 404–478 398–484 385–499
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 430 100% 403–459 397–464 392–470 381–484
Labour Party 202 429 100% 401–458 395–463 390–468 378–483
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 190 0% 158–219 151–225 145–231 129–244
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 189 0% 157–218 150–223 144–230 128–241
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 152 0% 124–176 122–182 117–184 102–199
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 140 0% 112–168 107–176 101–179 86–194
Conservative Party 365 139 0% 111–167 106–174 99–177 85–192

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.9%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0.1% 99.5%  
440 0.1% 99.3%  
441 0% 99.2%  
442 0% 99.2%  
443 0% 99.2%  
444 0% 99.1%  
445 0% 99.1%  
446 0% 99.0%  
447 0.1% 99.0%  
448 0.1% 99.0%  
449 0.1% 98.9%  
450 0.3% 98.8%  
451 0.1% 98%  
452 0.5% 98%  
453 1.2% 98%  
454 0.5% 97%  
455 0.6% 96%  
456 1.5% 96%  
457 0.5% 94%  
458 0.7% 94%  
459 0.7% 93%  
460 0.6% 92%  
461 0.5% 92%  
462 0.9% 91%  
463 0.8% 90%  
464 1.1% 89%  
465 3% 88%  
466 3% 86%  
467 2% 83%  
468 3% 81%  
469 4% 78%  
470 2% 74%  
471 2% 72%  
472 1.1% 71%  
473 2% 69%  
474 1.4% 67%  
475 3% 66%  
476 0.8% 63%  
477 1.2% 62%  
478 1.1% 61%  
479 0.8% 60%  
480 1.3% 59%  
481 0.6% 58%  
482 1.0% 57%  
483 0.5% 56%  
484 2% 56%  
485 0.9% 54%  
486 0.3% 53%  
487 0.3% 53% Median
488 0.6% 52%  
489 0.2% 52%  
490 0.7% 52%  
491 3% 51%  
492 1.3% 48%  
493 3% 47%  
494 2% 43%  
495 1.1% 41%  
496 2% 40%  
497 2% 38%  
498 2% 36%  
499 1.0% 34%  
500 2% 33%  
501 3% 31%  
502 2% 29%  
503 2% 27%  
504 1.2% 25%  
505 1.2% 24%  
506 2% 22%  
507 0.5% 21%  
508 1.2% 20%  
509 0.8% 19%  
510 1.4% 19%  
511 0.4% 17%  
512 1.2% 17%  
513 1.2% 16%  
514 0.7% 14%  
515 0.6% 14%  
516 1.3% 13%  
517 0.4% 12%  
518 0.6% 12%  
519 1.1% 11%  
520 0.6% 10%  
521 1.2% 9%  
522 1.3% 8%  
523 1.2% 7%  
524 0.5% 5%  
525 0.5% 5%  
526 0.8% 4%  
527 0.4% 4%  
528 0.2% 3%  
529 0.1% 3%  
530 0.4% 3%  
531 0.2% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.2% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.1% 1.4%  
538 0% 1.4%  
539 0.2% 1.3%  
540 0.2% 1.2%  
541 0.1% 1.0%  
542 0.1% 0.8%  
543 0.3% 0.8%  
544 0.2% 0.5%  
545 0.1% 0.3%  
546 0.1% 0.2%  
547 0.1% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.9%  
434 0.1% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0.1% 99.5%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0.1% 99.3%  
440 0% 99.2%  
441 0% 99.2%  
442 0% 99.2%  
443 0% 99.1%  
444 0% 99.1%  
445 0% 99.0%  
446 0.1% 99.0%  
447 0.1% 99.0%  
448 0.1% 98.9%  
449 0.3% 98.8%  
450 0.1% 98%  
451 0.5% 98%  
452 1.2% 98%  
453 0.5% 97%  
454 0.6% 96%  
455 1.5% 96%  
456 0.5% 94%  
457 0.7% 94%  
458 0.7% 93%  
459 0.6% 92%  
460 0.5% 92%  
461 0.9% 91%  
462 0.8% 90%  
463 1.1% 89%  
464 3% 88%  
465 3% 86%  
466 2% 83%  
467 3% 81%  
468 4% 78%  
469 2% 74%  
470 2% 72%  
471 1.1% 71%  
472 2% 69%  
473 1.4% 67%  
474 3% 66%  
475 0.8% 63%  
476 1.2% 62%  
477 1.1% 61%  
478 0.8% 60%  
479 1.3% 59%  
480 0.6% 58%  
481 1.0% 57%  
482 0.5% 56%  
483 2% 56%  
484 0.9% 54%  
485 0.3% 53%  
486 0.3% 53% Median
487 0.6% 52%  
488 0.2% 52%  
489 0.7% 52%  
490 3% 51%  
491 1.3% 48%  
492 3% 47%  
493 2% 43%  
494 1.1% 41%  
495 2% 40%  
496 2% 38%  
497 2% 36%  
498 1.0% 34%  
499 2% 33%  
500 3% 31%  
501 2% 29%  
502 2% 27%  
503 1.2% 25%  
504 1.2% 24%  
505 2% 22%  
506 0.4% 21%  
507 1.2% 20%  
508 0.8% 19%  
509 1.4% 19%  
510 0.4% 17%  
511 1.2% 17%  
512 1.2% 16%  
513 0.7% 14%  
514 0.6% 14%  
515 1.3% 13%  
516 0.4% 12%  
517 0.6% 12%  
518 1.1% 11%  
519 0.6% 10%  
520 1.2% 9%  
521 1.3% 8%  
522 1.2% 7%  
523 0.5% 5%  
524 0.5% 5%  
525 0.8% 4%  
526 0.4% 4%  
527 0.2% 3%  
528 0.1% 3%  
529 0.4% 3%  
530 0.2% 2%  
531 0.2% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.1% 1.4%  
537 0% 1.4%  
538 0.2% 1.3%  
539 0.2% 1.2%  
540 0.1% 1.0%  
541 0.1% 0.8%  
542 0.3% 0.8%  
543 0.2% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.3%  
545 0.1% 0.2%  
546 0.1% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0.1% 99.9%  
432 0.1% 99.9%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0.1% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.4%  
437 0.1% 99.3%  
438 0.1% 99.2%  
439 0% 99.2%  
440 0% 99.1%  
441 0% 99.1%  
442 0% 99.1%  
443 0% 99.1%  
444 0% 99.0%  
445 0% 99.0%  
446 0.1% 99.0%  
447 0.1% 98.9%  
448 0.3% 98.8%  
449 0.5% 98%  
450 0.6% 98%  
451 0.9% 97%  
452 1.2% 96%  
453 0.9% 95%  
454 1.1% 94%  
455 0.6% 93%  
456 0.6% 93%  
457 0.3% 92%  
458 0.4% 92%  
459 0.6% 91%  
460 0.7% 91%  
461 1.2% 90%  
462 1.2% 89%  
463 3% 88%  
464 3% 85%  
465 4% 82%  
466 2% 78%  
467 3% 76%  
468 2% 73%  
469 1.2% 71%  
470 2% 70%  
471 2% 68%  
472 1.4% 66%  
473 1.3% 65%  
474 2% 63%  
475 0.9% 61%  
476 1.1% 60%  
477 1.1% 59%  
478 0.5% 58%  
479 0.8% 58%  
480 0.4% 57%  
481 0.9% 56%  
482 1.3% 56%  
483 2% 54%  
484 0.2% 53%  
485 0.2% 52% Median
486 0.2% 52%  
487 0.7% 52%  
488 0.7% 51%  
489 3% 51%  
490 3% 48%  
491 2% 45%  
492 2% 43%  
493 2% 41%  
494 2% 39%  
495 1.4% 37%  
496 3% 36%  
497 1.2% 33%  
498 1.4% 32%  
499 3% 31%  
500 2% 27%  
501 2% 26%  
502 0.7% 24%  
503 0.9% 23%  
504 2% 22%  
505 0.8% 20%  
506 0.7% 19%  
507 0.5% 19%  
508 1.3% 18%  
509 0.5% 17%  
510 0.7% 16%  
511 1.0% 16%  
512 0.9% 15%  
513 0.7% 14%  
514 0.7% 13%  
515 0.6% 12%  
516 0.6% 12%  
517 1.3% 11%  
518 0.8% 10%  
519 0.8% 9%  
520 2% 8%  
521 1.2% 6%  
522 0.4% 5%  
523 0.7% 5%  
524 0.5% 4%  
525 0.6% 4%  
526 0.2% 3%  
527 0.2% 3%  
528 0.4% 3%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.2% 2%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.1% 2%  
534 0.1% 2%  
535 0.1% 1.4%  
536 0% 1.3%  
537 0.2% 1.3%  
538 0.2% 1.1%  
539 0.1% 0.9%  
540 0.2% 0.9%  
541 0.2% 0.7%  
542 0.1% 0.5%  
543 0.1% 0.4%  
544 0.1% 0.2%  
545 0.1% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.1% 99.6%  
430 0.2% 99.6%  
431 0.1% 99.4%  
432 0.2% 99.3%  
433 0% 99.1%  
434 0.1% 99.1%  
435 0% 99.1%  
436 0% 99.1%  
437 0% 99.0%  
438 0% 99.0%  
439 0% 99.0%  
440 0.1% 98.9%  
441 0.1% 98.9%  
442 0.4% 98.8%  
443 0.1% 98%  
444 0.3% 98%  
445 2% 98%  
446 0.4% 96%  
447 0.7% 96%  
448 2% 95%  
449 1.0% 93%  
450 1.0% 92%  
451 0.4% 91%  
452 0.1% 90%  
453 0.5% 90%  
454 0.6% 90%  
455 2% 89%  
456 0.2% 87%  
457 4% 87%  
458 5% 83%  
459 4% 78%  
460 5% 74%  
461 3% 69%  
462 4% 66%  
463 2% 62%  
464 1.2% 60%  
465 0% 59%  
466 0.8% 59%  
467 0.2% 58%  
468 0.6% 58%  
469 0.2% 57%  
470 0.4% 57%  
471 0.1% 57%  
472 0.3% 57%  
473 1.2% 56%  
474 0.7% 55%  
475 0.5% 55%  
476 2% 54% Median
477 3% 52%  
478 0.2% 49%  
479 0.5% 49%  
480 0.2% 48%  
481 0.3% 48%  
482 4% 48%  
483 4% 44%  
484 2% 41%  
485 0.7% 39%  
486 8% 38%  
487 1.4% 30%  
488 5% 28%  
489 0.7% 23%  
490 2% 23%  
491 0.3% 20%  
492 1.3% 20%  
493 0.5% 19%  
494 0.3% 18%  
495 0.2% 18%  
496 0.1% 18%  
497 0.1% 18%  
498 0% 17%  
499 0% 17%  
500 0.1% 17%  
501 0.4% 17%  
502 3% 17%  
503 0.4% 14%  
504 3% 14%  
505 4% 11%  
506 1.2% 8%  
507 3% 6%  
508 0% 4%  
509 0.3% 4%  
510 0.1% 3%  
511 0.1% 3%  
512 1.0% 3%  
513 0% 2%  
514 0% 2%  
515 0.3% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0% 2%  
518 0% 2%  
519 0% 2%  
520 0% 2%  
521 0% 2%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.6% 1.5%  
525 0.6% 0.9%  
526 0.1% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.2% 99.7%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.2% 99.4%  
430 0.1% 99.2%  
431 0.1% 99.1%  
432 0% 99.1%  
433 0% 99.1%  
434 0% 99.0%  
435 0% 99.0%  
436 0% 99.0%  
437 0% 99.0%  
438 0% 99.0%  
439 0.1% 98.9%  
440 0.1% 98.9%  
441 0.2% 98.7%  
442 0.7% 98.6%  
443 0.6% 98%  
444 1.5% 97%  
445 1.4% 96%  
446 2% 94%  
447 1.3% 93%  
448 1.0% 92%  
449 0.3% 91%  
450 0.1% 90%  
451 0.1% 90%  
452 0.2% 90%  
453 0.5% 90%  
454 1.1% 89%  
455 2% 88%  
456 4% 86%  
457 6% 82%  
458 5% 76%  
459 5% 72%  
460 5% 67%  
461 2% 62%  
462 0.9% 60%  
463 0.9% 59%  
464 0.4% 58%  
465 0.3% 58%  
466 0.1% 57%  
467 0% 57%  
468 0.1% 57%  
469 0.3% 57%  
470 0.2% 57%  
471 0.3% 57%  
472 0.8% 56%  
473 0.9% 56%  
474 0.6% 55%  
475 2% 54% Median
476 2% 52%  
477 2% 51%  
478 0.3% 49%  
479 0.4% 49%  
480 1.4% 48%  
481 3% 47%  
482 4% 44%  
483 3% 41%  
484 3% 37%  
485 4% 34%  
486 5% 30%  
487 3% 25%  
488 2% 22%  
489 2% 20%  
490 0.8% 19%  
491 0.4% 18%  
492 0.1% 18%  
493 0% 18%  
494 0% 18%  
495 0.1% 18%  
496 0.1% 18%  
497 0% 17%  
498 0% 17%  
499 0.1% 17%  
500 0.5% 17%  
501 1.3% 17%  
502 2% 16%  
503 3% 14%  
504 4% 11%  
505 2% 8%  
506 1.1% 6%  
507 0.9% 4%  
508 0.2% 3%  
509 0.4% 3%  
510 0.4% 3%  
511 0.3% 3%  
512 0.2% 2%  
513 0.1% 2%  
514 0.1% 2%  
515 0% 2%  
516 0% 2%  
517 0% 2%  
518 0% 2%  
519 0% 2%  
520 0% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.5% 1.3%  
524 0.6% 0.8%  
525 0.2% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.6%  
387 0% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0% 99.5%  
390 0% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.4%  
392 0.1% 99.3%  
393 0.1% 99.2%  
394 0.2% 99.1%  
395 0.2% 98.9%  
396 0.2% 98.7%  
397 0.3% 98.6%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.6% 98%  
400 0.3% 97%  
401 0.4% 97%  
402 0.5% 97%  
403 0.3% 96%  
404 0.3% 96%  
405 0.3% 96%  
406 0.4% 95%  
407 0.9% 95%  
408 0.8% 94%  
409 1.1% 93%  
410 1.3% 92%  
411 2% 91%  
412 1.2% 89%  
413 1.3% 88%  
414 0.9% 86%  
415 3% 86%  
416 1.2% 83%  
417 2% 82%  
418 1.1% 80%  
419 1.4% 79%  
420 3% 78%  
421 1.1% 75%  
422 1.5% 74%  
423 2% 72%  
424 1.4% 71%  
425 1.4% 69%  
426 3% 68%  
427 2% 65%  
428 0.7% 64%  
429 2% 63%  
430 1.3% 61%  
431 0.8% 60%  
432 1.0% 59%  
433 0.4% 58%  
434 1.0% 58%  
435 1.3% 57%  
436 0.9% 56%  
437 1.1% 55%  
438 1.3% 54%  
439 2% 52%  
440 0.9% 51% Median
441 0.9% 50%  
442 2% 49%  
443 0.4% 47%  
444 3% 46%  
445 1.4% 43%  
446 2% 42%  
447 2% 40%  
448 0.9% 38%  
449 1.0% 37%  
450 4% 36%  
451 0.7% 32%  
452 1.3% 31%  
453 2% 30%  
454 1.2% 28%  
455 1.3% 27%  
456 1.1% 26%  
457 0.7% 24%  
458 1.0% 24%  
459 2% 23%  
460 0.5% 21%  
461 1.2% 21%  
462 1.3% 19%  
463 0.6% 18%  
464 0.5% 18%  
465 1.3% 17%  
466 0.7% 16%  
467 0.5% 15%  
468 0.8% 15%  
469 0.9% 14%  
470 0.7% 13%  
471 1.0% 12%  
472 1.3% 11%  
473 0.7% 10%  
474 1.2% 9%  
475 0.5% 8%  
476 0.9% 7%  
477 0.3% 6%  
478 0.5% 6%  
479 0.9% 6%  
480 0.5% 5%  
481 0.6% 4%  
482 0.6% 4%  
483 0.3% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.2% 2%  
488 0.1% 2%  
489 0.1% 2%  
490 0.2% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.5%  
493 0.1% 1.2%  
494 0.1% 1.2%  
495 0.1% 1.1%  
496 0.1% 1.0%  
497 0.1% 0.9%  
498 0.2% 0.8%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.7%  
382 0% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0% 99.5%  
387 0% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.1% 99.4%  
390 0.1% 99.3%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.1% 99.1%  
393 0.2% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.9%  
395 0.1% 98.6%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.4% 98%  
398 0.5% 98%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.4% 97%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.4% 96%  
403 0.4% 96%  
404 0.6% 95%  
405 0.6% 95%  
406 1.2% 94%  
407 0.6% 93%  
408 1.0% 92%  
409 1.0% 91%  
410 2% 90%  
411 1.1% 88%  
412 2% 87%  
413 0.5% 85%  
414 1.0% 85%  
415 3% 84%  
416 2% 81%  
417 1.0% 79%  
418 2% 78%  
419 2% 77%  
420 2% 74%  
421 1.3% 72%  
422 1.2% 71%  
423 2% 70%  
424 1.3% 68%  
425 2% 67%  
426 3% 65%  
427 1.1% 63%  
428 0.5% 62%  
429 1.3% 61%  
430 0.8% 60%  
431 1.0% 59%  
432 0.9% 58%  
433 0.5% 57%  
434 0.8% 56%  
435 2% 56%  
436 0.5% 54%  
437 1.2% 53%  
438 1.4% 52%  
439 1.2% 51% Median
440 0.8% 50%  
441 2% 49%  
442 2% 47%  
443 2% 45%  
444 3% 43%  
445 1.2% 41%  
446 0.8% 39%  
447 1.3% 38%  
448 2% 37%  
449 3% 36%  
450 3% 33%  
451 1.0% 30%  
452 2% 29%  
453 0.8% 27%  
454 1.4% 26%  
455 0.6% 25%  
456 2% 24%  
457 0.6% 22%  
458 0.9% 22%  
459 0.6% 21%  
460 2% 20%  
461 0.6% 18%  
462 0.6% 18%  
463 0.5% 17%  
464 0.6% 17%  
465 1.1% 16%  
466 0.7% 15%  
467 0.8% 14%  
468 0.6% 13%  
469 1.0% 13%  
470 0.5% 12%  
471 2% 11%  
472 1.1% 10%  
473 0.4% 9%  
474 0.9% 8%  
475 0.4% 7%  
476 0.8% 7%  
477 0.4% 6%  
478 0.9% 6%  
479 0.7% 5%  
480 0.5% 4%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0.5% 3%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.3% 3%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.1% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.1% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.4%  
492 0.1% 1.2%  
493 0% 1.1%  
494 0.2% 1.1%  
495 0.1% 0.9%  
496 0.1% 0.8%  
497 0.2% 0.7%  
498 0.1% 0.6%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0.1% 0.4%  
501 0.1% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.7%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0% 99.6%  
381 0% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.5%  
383 0% 99.4%  
384 0.1% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.3%  
386 0.1% 99.2%  
387 0.2% 99.1%  
388 0.2% 98.9%  
389 0.2% 98.7%  
390 0.4% 98%  
391 0.4% 98%  
392 0.6% 98%  
393 0.6% 97%  
394 0.7% 96%  
395 0.4% 96%  
396 0.3% 95%  
397 0.3% 95%  
398 0.3% 95%  
399 0.3% 94%  
400 0.7% 94%  
401 0.9% 93%  
402 2% 93%  
403 2% 91%  
404 2% 89%  
405 4% 87%  
406 1.5% 83%  
407 2% 82%  
408 2% 80%  
409 2% 78%  
410 2% 76%  
411 1.5% 75%  
412 2% 73%  
413 1.5% 71%  
414 1.1% 69%  
415 2% 68%  
416 2% 67%  
417 1.4% 65%  
418 0.8% 63%  
419 1.0% 63%  
420 1.5% 62%  
421 0.6% 60%  
422 1.3% 60%  
423 1.3% 58%  
424 0.7% 57%  
425 0.9% 56%  
426 0.8% 55%  
427 1.1% 55%  
428 0.7% 54%  
429 2% 53%  
430 2% 51% Median
431 2% 49%  
432 2% 47%  
433 2% 45%  
434 2% 43%  
435 1.2% 41%  
436 3% 40%  
437 2% 37%  
438 2% 35%  
439 2% 33%  
440 4% 32%  
441 1.2% 28%  
442 1.3% 27%  
443 0.9% 25%  
444 0.9% 25%  
445 1.5% 24%  
446 0.5% 22%  
447 1.3% 22%  
448 0.4% 20%  
449 1.2% 20%  
450 0.6% 19%  
451 0.8% 18%  
452 0.7% 17%  
453 0.7% 17%  
454 1.1% 16%  
455 0.5% 15%  
456 1.1% 14%  
457 0.7% 13%  
458 2% 13%  
459 2% 11%  
460 0.9% 9%  
461 1.1% 8%  
462 1.3% 7%  
463 0.4% 6%  
464 1.1% 5%  
465 0.5% 4%  
466 0.6% 4%  
467 0.1% 3%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.1% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.1% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.2% 1.4%  
479 0.2% 1.2%  
480 0.1% 1.0%  
481 0.2% 0.9%  
482 0.1% 0.7%  
483 0.1% 0.6%  
484 0.2% 0.5%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0.1% 0.3%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0.1% 99.9%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0% 99.6%  
378 0% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.2%  
385 0.1% 99.1%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0.3% 98.9%  
388 0.3% 98.6%  
389 0.4% 98%  
390 0.5% 98%  
391 0.8% 97%  
392 0.5% 97%  
393 0.7% 96%  
394 0.5% 96%  
395 0.3% 95%  
396 0.3% 95%  
397 0.5% 94%  
398 0.4% 94%  
399 1.0% 93%  
400 1.4% 93%  
401 1.3% 91%  
402 2% 90%  
403 2% 88%  
404 2% 86%  
405 3% 84%  
406 2% 81%  
407 1.2% 79%  
408 2% 78%  
409 2% 76%  
410 1.2% 74%  
411 1.1% 72%  
412 3% 71%  
413 3% 69%  
414 1.3% 66%  
415 1.2% 65%  
416 0.9% 64%  
417 2% 63%  
418 1.0% 61%  
419 1.1% 60%  
420 1.0% 59%  
421 0.5% 58%  
422 1.1% 58%  
423 0.4% 57%  
424 1.4% 56%  
425 0.7% 55%  
426 0.5% 54%  
427 0.9% 54%  
428 1.3% 53%  
429 3% 51% Median
430 2% 49%  
431 3% 47%  
432 2% 44%  
433 2% 42%  
434 0.9% 41%  
435 3% 40%  
436 3% 37%  
437 2% 34%  
438 2% 32%  
439 2% 31%  
440 2% 28%  
441 2% 26%  
442 2% 24%  
443 0.7% 23%  
444 0.7% 22%  
445 1.0% 21%  
446 0.7% 20%  
447 0.4% 20%  
448 1.0% 19%  
449 0.8% 18%  
450 0.8% 17%  
451 0.4% 17%  
452 0.4% 16%  
453 1.2% 16%  
454 0.6% 15%  
455 0.7% 14%  
456 0.7% 13%  
457 2% 13%  
458 1.2% 11%  
459 2% 10%  
460 0.7% 8%  
461 1.2% 7%  
462 0.9% 6%  
463 0.7% 5%  
464 0.8% 5%  
465 0.6% 4%  
466 0.4% 3%  
467 0.2% 3%  
468 0.1% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.1% 2%  
472 0.1% 2%  
473 0.1% 2%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 1.5%  
477 0.2% 1.4%  
478 0.2% 1.2%  
479 0.2% 1.0%  
480 0.1% 0.8%  
481 0.1% 0.7%  
482 0.1% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.5%  
484 0.1% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.6%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.1% 99.5%  
131 0.1% 99.3%  
132 0.1% 99.2%  
133 0.1% 99.1%  
134 0.1% 99.0%  
135 0.1% 98.9%  
136 0% 98.8%  
137 0.2% 98.8%  
138 0.1% 98.6%  
139 0.2% 98.5%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.2% 98%  
145 0.3% 98%  
146 0.2% 97%  
147 0.6% 97%  
148 0.2% 97%  
149 0.5% 96%  
150 0.7% 96%  
151 0.9% 95%  
152 0.4% 94%  
153 0.8% 94%  
154 0.4% 93%  
155 1.0% 93%  
156 0.3% 92%  
157 1.1% 91%  
158 2% 90%  
159 0.5% 89%  
160 1.0% 88%  
161 0.6% 87%  
162 0.8% 87%  
163 0.8% 86%  
164 1.0% 85%  
165 0.6% 84%  
166 0.5% 83%  
167 0.6% 83%  
168 0.6% 82%  
169 2% 82%  
170 0.6% 80%  
171 0.9% 79%  
172 0.7% 78%  
173 2% 78%  
174 0.6% 76%  
175 1.4% 75%  
176 0.8% 74%  
177 2% 73%  
178 1.0% 71%  
179 3% 70%  
180 3% 67%  
181 2% 64%  
182 1.3% 63%  
183 0.8% 62%  
184 1.2% 61%  
185 3% 59%  
186 2% 57% Median
187 2% 55%  
188 2% 53%  
189 0.8% 51%  
190 1.2% 50%  
191 1.4% 49%  
192 1.2% 48%  
193 0.5% 47%  
194 2% 46%  
195 0.8% 44%  
196 0.5% 44%  
197 0.9% 43%  
198 1.0% 42%  
199 0.8% 41%  
200 1.3% 40%  
201 0.5% 39%  
202 1.1% 38%  
203 3% 37%  
204 2% 35%  
205 1.3% 33%  
206 2% 32%  
207 1.2% 30%  
208 1.3% 29%  
209 2% 28%  
210 2% 26%  
211 2% 23%  
212 1.0% 22%  
213 2% 21%  
214 3% 19%  
215 1.0% 16%  
216 0.5% 15%  
217 2% 15%  
218 1.1% 13%  
219 2% 12%  
220 1.0% 10%  
221 0.9% 9%  
222 0.6% 8%  
223 1.2% 7%  
224 0.6% 6%  
225 0.6% 5%  
226 0.4% 5%  
227 0.4% 4%  
228 0.3% 4%  
229 0.4% 4%  
230 0.5% 3%  
231 0.5% 3%  
232 0.4% 2%  
233 0.3% 2%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.3% 1.4%  
236 0.2% 1.1%  
237 0.1% 1.0%  
238 0.1% 0.9%  
239 0.1% 0.8%  
240 0% 0.7%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0% 0.6%  
243 0% 0.5%  
244 0.1% 0.5%  
245 0% 0.4%  
246 0.1% 0.4%  
247 0% 0.3%  
248 0.1% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.2% 99.3%  
131 0.1% 99.2%  
132 0.1% 99.0%  
133 0.1% 99.0%  
134 0.1% 98.9%  
135 0.1% 98.8%  
136 0.1% 98.8%  
137 0.2% 98.6%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.2% 98%  
143 0.2% 98%  
144 0.2% 98%  
145 0.2% 97%  
146 0.3% 97%  
147 0.6% 97%  
148 0.6% 96%  
149 0.5% 96%  
150 0.9% 95%  
151 0.4% 94%  
152 0.4% 94%  
153 0.9% 93%  
154 0.5% 93%  
155 1.2% 92%  
156 0.8% 91%  
157 1.3% 90%  
158 1.0% 89%  
159 0.7% 88%  
160 0.9% 87%  
161 0.8% 86%  
162 0.5% 85%  
163 0.7% 85%  
164 1.3% 84%  
165 0.5% 83%  
166 0.6% 82%  
167 1.3% 82%  
168 1.2% 81%  
169 0.5% 79%  
170 2% 79%  
171 1.0% 77%  
172 0.7% 76%  
173 1.1% 76%  
174 1.3% 74%  
175 1.2% 73%  
176 2% 72%  
177 1.3% 70%  
178 0.8% 69%  
179 4% 68%  
180 1.0% 64%  
181 0.9% 63%  
182 2% 62%  
183 1.5% 60%  
184 1.4% 58%  
185 3% 57% Median
186 0.4% 53%  
187 2% 53%  
188 0.9% 51%  
189 0.9% 50%  
190 2% 49%  
191 1.3% 48%  
192 1.1% 46%  
193 1.0% 45%  
194 1.2% 44%  
195 1.0% 43%  
196 0.4% 42%  
197 1.0% 42%  
198 0.8% 41%  
199 1.3% 40%  
200 2% 39%  
201 0.7% 37%  
202 2% 36%  
203 3% 35%  
204 1.4% 32%  
205 1.4% 31%  
206 2% 29%  
207 1.5% 28%  
208 1.1% 26%  
209 3% 25%  
210 1.4% 22%  
211 1.1% 21%  
212 2% 20%  
213 1.2% 18%  
214 3% 17%  
215 0.9% 14%  
216 1.3% 14%  
217 1.2% 12%  
218 2% 11%  
219 1.3% 9%  
220 1.1% 8%  
221 0.8% 7%  
222 0.8% 6%  
223 0.4% 5%  
224 0.3% 5%  
225 0.3% 4%  
226 0.3% 4%  
227 0.5% 4%  
228 0.4% 3%  
229 0.3% 3%  
230 0.6% 3%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.3% 2%  
233 0.2% 1.4%  
234 0.2% 1.3%  
235 0.2% 1.1%  
236 0.1% 0.9%  
237 0.1% 0.8%  
238 0.1% 0.7%  
239 0% 0.6%  
240 0% 0.6%  
241 0.1% 0.5%  
242 0% 0.5%  
243 0% 0.4%  
244 0% 0.4%  
245 0.1% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.3%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0.1% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0.1% 99.9%  
102 0.4% 99.8%  
103 0.4% 99.3%  
104 0.3% 98.9%  
105 0.3% 98.6%  
106 0.1% 98%  
107 0% 98%  
108 0% 98%  
109 0% 98%  
110 0% 98%  
111 0% 98%  
112 0% 98%  
113 0.2% 98%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.9% 98%  
118 0.1% 97%  
119 0.1% 97%  
120 0.3% 97%  
121 0.1% 96%  
122 3% 96%  
123 1.2% 94%  
124 4% 92%  
125 3% 89%  
126 0.4% 86%  
127 3% 86%  
128 0.3% 83%  
129 0% 83%  
130 0% 83%  
131 0% 83%  
132 0.1% 83%  
133 0.2% 82%  
134 0.2% 82%  
135 0.3% 82%  
136 0.5% 82%  
137 1.3% 81%  
138 0.3% 80%  
139 2% 80%  
140 0.7% 77%  
141 5% 77%  
142 1.4% 72%  
143 8% 70%  
144 0.7% 62%  
145 2% 61%  
146 4% 59%  
147 4% 56%  
148 0.3% 52%  
149 0.2% 52% Median
150 0.5% 52%  
151 0.2% 51%  
152 3% 51%  
153 2% 48%  
154 0.5% 46%  
155 0.7% 45%  
156 1.2% 45%  
157 0.3% 44%  
158 0% 43%  
159 0.3% 43%  
160 0.2% 43%  
161 0.6% 43%  
162 0.2% 42%  
163 0.8% 42%  
164 0% 41%  
165 1.2% 41%  
166 2% 40%  
167 4% 38%  
168 3% 34%  
169 5% 31%  
170 4% 26%  
171 5% 22%  
172 4% 17%  
173 0.2% 13%  
174 2% 13%  
175 0.7% 11%  
176 0.5% 10%  
177 0% 10%  
178 0.4% 10%  
179 1.0% 9%  
180 1.0% 8%  
181 2% 7%  
182 0.7% 5%  
183 0.4% 4%  
184 2% 4%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.1% 2%  
187 0.4% 2%  
188 0.1% 1.2%  
189 0.1% 1.1%  
190 0% 1.1%  
191 0% 1.0%  
192 0% 1.0%  
193 0% 1.0%  
194 0% 0.9%  
195 0.1% 0.9%  
196 0% 0.9%  
197 0.2% 0.9%  
198 0.1% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.6%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.2% 99.6%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.1% 99.0%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0% 98.7%  
93 0.1% 98.7%  
94 0.1% 98.6%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.1% 98%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.2% 97%  
103 0.2% 97%  
104 0.5% 97%  
105 0.6% 96%  
106 0.7% 96%  
107 0.4% 95%  
108 1.2% 95%  
109 2% 94%  
110 0.8% 92%  
111 0.8% 91%  
112 1.3% 90%  
113 0.6% 89%  
114 0.6% 88%  
115 0.7% 88%  
116 0.7% 87%  
117 0.9% 86%  
118 1.0% 85%  
119 0.7% 84%  
120 0.5% 84%  
121 1.3% 83%  
122 0.5% 82%  
123 0.7% 81%  
124 0.8% 81%  
125 2% 80%  
126 0.9% 78%  
127 0.7% 77%  
128 2% 76%  
129 2% 74%  
130 3% 73%  
131 1.4% 69%  
132 1.2% 68%  
133 3% 67%  
134 1.4% 64%  
135 2% 63%  
136 2% 61%  
137 2% 59%  
138 2% 57%  
139 3% 55%  
140 3% 52% Median
141 0.7% 49%  
142 0.7% 49%  
143 0.2% 48%  
144 0.2% 48%  
145 0.2% 48%  
146 2% 47%  
147 1.3% 46%  
148 0.9% 44%  
149 0.4% 44%  
150 0.8% 43%  
151 0.5% 42%  
152 1.1% 42%  
153 1.1% 41%  
154 0.9% 40%  
155 2% 39%  
156 1.3% 37%  
157 1.4% 35%  
158 2% 34%  
159 2% 32%  
160 1.2% 30%  
161 2% 29%  
162 3% 27%  
163 2% 24%  
164 4% 22%  
165 3% 18%  
166 3% 15%  
167 1.2% 12%  
168 1.3% 11%  
169 0.8% 10%  
170 0.6% 9%  
171 0.4% 9%  
172 0.3% 8%  
173 0.6% 8%  
174 0.6% 7%  
175 1.1% 7%  
176 0.9% 6%  
177 1.2% 5%  
178 0.9% 4%  
179 0.6% 3%  
180 0.5% 2%  
181 0.3% 2%  
182 0.1% 1.2%  
183 0.1% 1.1%  
184 0% 1.0%  
185 0% 1.0%  
186 0% 1.0%  
187 0% 0.9%  
188 0% 0.9%  
189 0% 0.9%  
190 0% 0.9%  
191 0.1% 0.8%  
192 0.1% 0.8%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0.1% 0.3%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.2% 99.5%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.1%  
89 0.1% 98.9%  
90 0.1% 98.8%  
91 0.1% 98.7%  
92 0.1% 98.6%  
93 0.1% 98.6%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.2% 98%  
98 0.2% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.4% 97%  
101 0.1% 97%  
102 0.2% 97%  
103 0.4% 97%  
104 0.8% 96%  
105 0.5% 96%  
106 0.6% 95%  
107 1.2% 95%  
108 1.3% 93%  
109 1.2% 92%  
110 0.6% 91%  
111 1.1% 90%  
112 0.6% 89%  
113 0.4% 88%  
114 1.3% 88%  
115 0.6% 87%  
116 0.7% 86%  
117 1.2% 86%  
118 1.2% 84%  
119 0.4% 83%  
120 1.4% 83%  
121 0.8% 81%  
122 1.2% 81%  
123 0.5% 80%  
124 2% 79%  
125 1.2% 78%  
126 1.2% 76%  
127 2% 75%  
128 2% 73%  
129 3% 71%  
130 2% 69%  
131 1.0% 67%  
132 2% 66%  
133 2% 64%  
134 2% 62%  
135 1.1% 60%  
136 2% 59%  
137 3% 57%  
138 1.3% 53%  
139 3% 52% Median
140 0.7% 49%  
141 0.2% 48%  
142 0.6% 48%  
143 0.2% 48%  
144 0.3% 47%  
145 0.9% 47%  
146 2% 46%  
147 0.5% 44%  
148 1.0% 44%  
149 0.6% 43%  
150 1.3% 42%  
151 0.8% 41%  
152 1.1% 40%  
153 1.2% 39%  
154 0.8% 38%  
155 3% 37%  
156 1.4% 34%  
157 2% 33%  
158 1.1% 31%  
159 2% 29%  
160 2% 28%  
161 4% 26%  
162 3% 22%  
163 2% 19%  
164 3% 17%  
165 3% 14%  
166 1.1% 12%  
167 0.8% 11%  
168 0.9% 10%  
169 0.5% 9%  
170 0.6% 8%  
171 0.7% 8%  
172 0.7% 7%  
173 0.5% 6%  
174 1.5% 6%  
175 0.6% 4%  
176 0.5% 4%  
177 1.2% 3%  
178 0.5% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.1% 1.2%  
182 0.1% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 1.0%  
184 0% 1.0%  
185 0% 0.9%  
186 0% 0.9%  
187 0% 0.9%  
188 0% 0.8%  
189 0% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.8%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0.1% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations