Opinion Poll by PeoplePolling for GB News, 15 February 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 50.4% 48.5–52.4% 47.9–52.9% 47.4–53.4% 46.5–54.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 22.1% 20.5–23.7% 20.1–24.2% 19.7–24.6% 19.0–25.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
Green Party 2.8% 6.6% 5.7–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 5.3% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 448 419–470 408–474 401–480 391–489
Conservative Party 365 95 71–129 66–141 61–149 50–159
Liberal Democrats 11 21 17–32 15–34 14–36 10–43
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
Scottish National Party 48 57 53–58 48–58 46–58 43–58
Brexit Party 0 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–3

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.4%  
394 0.1% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.3% 98.9%  
397 0.2% 98.6%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.2% 98%  
401 0.4% 98%  
402 0.4% 97%  
403 0.2% 97%  
404 0.2% 97%  
405 0.4% 96%  
406 0.5% 96%  
407 0.5% 96%  
408 0.6% 95%  
409 0.6% 95%  
410 0.4% 94%  
411 0.5% 94%  
412 0.9% 93%  
413 0.3% 92%  
414 0.3% 92%  
415 0.7% 92%  
416 0.2% 91%  
417 0.3% 91%  
418 0.2% 90%  
419 0.4% 90%  
420 0.6% 90%  
421 0.3% 89%  
422 0.6% 89%  
423 0.6% 88%  
424 0.5% 88%  
425 1.0% 87%  
426 1.0% 86%  
427 1.3% 85%  
428 0.8% 84%  
429 1.0% 83%  
430 1.1% 82%  
431 2% 81%  
432 2% 80%  
433 2% 78%  
434 2% 76%  
435 2% 74%  
436 0.9% 72%  
437 0.8% 71%  
438 2% 70%  
439 2% 69%  
440 2% 67%  
441 2% 64%  
442 2% 62%  
443 2% 60%  
444 2% 58%  
445 2% 56%  
446 1.3% 54%  
447 1.4% 52%  
448 1.5% 51% Median
449 1.0% 49%  
450 1.3% 48%  
451 0.8% 47%  
452 1.0% 46%  
453 2% 45%  
454 2% 43%  
455 2% 41%  
456 2% 39%  
457 2% 37%  
458 2% 35%  
459 2% 33%  
460 2% 31%  
461 3% 29%  
462 2% 26%  
463 3% 24%  
464 2% 22%  
465 2% 19%  
466 2% 17%  
467 2% 15%  
468 1.5% 14%  
469 2% 12%  
470 2% 10%  
471 0.9% 9%  
472 0.9% 8%  
473 1.2% 7%  
474 0.8% 6%  
475 0.6% 5%  
476 0.5% 4%  
477 0.5% 4%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.4% 3%  
480 0.5% 3%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.3%  
485 0.2% 1.1%  
486 0.2% 0.9%  
487 0.2% 0.8%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0% 99.7%  
48 0% 99.6%  
49 0% 99.6%  
50 0.1% 99.5%  
51 0.1% 99.5%  
52 0.1% 99.4%  
53 0.1% 99.3%  
54 0.2% 99.1%  
55 0.2% 99.0%  
56 0.2% 98.8%  
57 0.2% 98.6%  
58 0.2% 98%  
59 0.2% 98%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.4% 97%  
63 0.4% 97%  
64 0.5% 97%  
65 0.8% 96%  
66 0.7% 95%  
67 0.7% 95%  
68 0.7% 94%  
69 1.2% 93%  
70 0.9% 92%  
71 2% 91%  
72 2% 90%  
73 1.3% 88%  
74 1.3% 87%  
75 2% 85%  
76 2% 84%  
77 2% 82%  
78 2% 80%  
79 1.5% 78%  
80 1.4% 77%  
81 1.4% 75%  
82 2% 74%  
83 2% 72%  
84 2% 69%  
85 2% 67%  
86 2% 65%  
87 1.4% 63%  
88 2% 62%  
89 1.3% 60%  
90 2% 59%  
91 2% 57%  
92 2% 55%  
93 1.1% 53%  
94 2% 52%  
95 2% 50% Median
96 0.8% 48%  
97 2% 48%  
98 0.9% 46%  
99 1.3% 45%  
100 2% 44%  
101 2% 42%  
102 2% 40%  
103 1.5% 38%  
104 2% 36%  
105 2% 35%  
106 2% 33%  
107 2% 31%  
108 1.2% 29%  
109 0.9% 28%  
110 1.2% 27%  
111 1.4% 26%  
112 1.3% 25%  
113 2% 23%  
114 0.9% 22%  
115 1.1% 21%  
116 1.2% 20%  
117 0.9% 18%  
118 0.8% 17%  
119 1.1% 17%  
120 0.9% 16%  
121 0.6% 15%  
122 0.6% 14%  
123 0.9% 13%  
124 0.4% 13%  
125 0.7% 12%  
126 0.5% 11%  
127 0.5% 11%  
128 0.3% 10%  
129 0.2% 10%  
130 0.5% 10%  
131 0.5% 9%  
132 0.4% 9%  
133 0.5% 9%  
134 0.4% 8%  
135 0.5% 8%  
136 0.3% 7%  
137 0.3% 7%  
138 0.6% 7%  
139 0.5% 6%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.4% 5%  
142 0.4% 5%  
143 0.2% 4%  
144 0.4% 4%  
145 0.4% 4%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.3% 3%  
148 0.2% 3%  
149 0.3% 3%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.2% 1.5%  
154 0.2% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 1.1%  
156 0.1% 1.0%  
157 0.1% 0.8%  
158 0.1% 0.7%  
159 0.1% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 0% 99.6%  
9 0% 99.6%  
10 1.0% 99.6%  
11 0.1% 98.6% Last Result
12 0.1% 98.5%  
13 0% 98%  
14 2% 98%  
15 3% 97%  
16 1.1% 94%  
17 5% 93%  
18 10% 87%  
19 11% 77%  
20 9% 67%  
21 9% 57% Median
22 4% 48%  
23 3% 44%  
24 4% 40%  
25 6% 36%  
26 6% 30%  
27 3% 24%  
28 2% 21%  
29 2% 19%  
30 3% 17%  
31 3% 14%  
32 3% 11%  
33 2% 8%  
34 2% 6%  
35 1.2% 4%  
36 1.0% 3%  
37 0.3% 2%  
38 0.3% 2%  
39 0.3% 1.4%  
40 0.2% 1.1%  
41 0.1% 0.9%  
42 0.1% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.7%  
44 0.2% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 11% 100% Last Result
2 46% 89% Median
3 43% 44%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 99.7%  
43 0.3% 99.6%  
44 0.3% 99.3%  
45 0.6% 99.0%  
46 2% 98%  
47 0.3% 97%  
48 2% 96% Last Result
49 0.1% 94%  
50 2% 94%  
51 0.6% 92%  
52 1.3% 92%  
53 6% 91%  
54 6% 85%  
55 11% 79%  
56 7% 68%  
57 27% 61% Median
58 34% 34%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 10%  
2 6% 8%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 528 100% 495–551 483–557 476–562 465–573
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 503 100% 474–525 465–529 458–532 449–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 472 100% 439–496 427–502 419–508 408–520
Labour Party 202 448 100% 419–470 408–474 401–480 391–489
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 151 0% 126–185 120–197 115–205 103–216
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 120 0% 98–150 94–160 91–166 81–175
Conservative Party 365 95 0% 71–129 66–141 61–149 50–159

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.7%  
464 0.1% 99.6%  
465 0.1% 99.5%  
466 0.1% 99.4%  
467 0.1% 99.3%  
468 0.1% 99.2%  
469 0.1% 99.1%  
470 0.2% 98.9%  
471 0.2% 98.8%  
472 0.2% 98.6%  
473 0.2% 98%  
474 0.3% 98%  
475 0.2% 98%  
476 0.3% 98%  
477 0.2% 97%  
478 0.3% 97%  
479 0.4% 97%  
480 0.3% 96%  
481 0.4% 96%  
482 0.3% 96%  
483 0.5% 95%  
484 0.3% 95%  
485 0.6% 95%  
486 0.6% 94%  
487 0.4% 94%  
488 0.4% 93%  
489 0.4% 93%  
490 0.4% 92%  
491 0.4% 92%  
492 0.5% 91%  
493 0.4% 91%  
494 0.4% 91%  
495 0.5% 90%  
496 0.3% 90%  
497 0.6% 89%  
498 0.4% 89%  
499 0.7% 88%  
500 0.4% 88%  
501 0.9% 87%  
502 1.2% 86%  
503 0.5% 85%  
504 1.1% 85%  
505 0.9% 84%  
506 1.3% 83%  
507 1.3% 81%  
508 1.0% 80%  
509 1.3% 79%  
510 2% 78%  
511 2% 76%  
512 1.0% 74%  
513 1.1% 73%  
514 1.1% 72%  
515 2% 71%  
516 2% 69%  
517 1.1% 67%  
518 2% 66%  
519 2% 64%  
520 2% 63%  
521 2% 61%  
522 2% 59%  
523 1.4% 57%  
524 1.0% 56%  
525 2% 55%  
526 1.3% 53% Median
527 1.1% 52%  
528 2% 51%  
529 1.1% 49%  
530 2% 48%  
531 1.4% 46%  
532 2% 44%  
533 2% 42%  
534 1.3% 40%  
535 1.3% 39%  
536 2% 37%  
537 2% 36%  
538 2% 34%  
539 2% 32%  
540 2% 30%  
541 2% 28%  
542 2% 26%  
543 1.3% 24%  
544 2% 23%  
545 2% 21%  
546 2% 19%  
547 2% 17%  
548 1.1% 15%  
549 1.1% 14%  
550 1.4% 13%  
551 2% 11%  
552 1.2% 10%  
553 1.2% 9%  
554 0.8% 7%  
555 0.7% 7%  
556 0.8% 6%  
557 0.6% 5%  
558 0.8% 4%  
559 0.5% 4%  
560 0.4% 3%  
561 0.4% 3%  
562 0.4% 3%  
563 0.2% 2%  
564 0.2% 2%  
565 0.2% 2%  
566 0.2% 1.5%  
567 0.1% 1.3%  
568 0.2% 1.2%  
569 0.1% 1.0%  
570 0.1% 0.8%  
571 0.1% 0.7%  
572 0.1% 0.6%  
573 0.1% 0.5%  
574 0% 0.4%  
575 0% 0.4%  
576 0% 0.3%  
577 0.1% 0.3%  
578 0% 0.3%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.6%  
449 0.2% 99.6%  
450 0.2% 99.4%  
451 0.2% 99.2%  
452 0.1% 99.0%  
453 0.2% 98.9%  
454 0.2% 98.7%  
455 0.3% 98%  
456 0.3% 98%  
457 0.3% 98%  
458 0.4% 98%  
459 0.4% 97%  
460 0.3% 97%  
461 0.2% 97%  
462 0.3% 96%  
463 0.5% 96%  
464 0.5% 96%  
465 0.7% 95%  
466 0.7% 94%  
467 0.3% 94%  
468 0.4% 93%  
469 0.8% 93%  
470 0.7% 92%  
471 0.4% 91%  
472 0.6% 91%  
473 0.3% 90%  
474 0.2% 90%  
475 0.2% 90%  
476 0.3% 90%  
477 0.4% 89%  
478 0.4% 89%  
479 0.7% 89%  
480 0.6% 88%  
481 0.7% 87%  
482 0.6% 87%  
483 1.4% 86%  
484 1.2% 85%  
485 0.9% 83%  
486 1.0% 82%  
487 1.1% 81%  
488 1.5% 80%  
489 2% 79%  
490 2% 77%  
491 3% 75%  
492 2% 72%  
493 0.9% 70%  
494 0.4% 69%  
495 1.1% 69%  
496 1.5% 68%  
497 3% 66%  
498 3% 63%  
499 2% 60%  
500 3% 58%  
501 3% 56%  
502 2% 53%  
503 2% 51%  
504 0.5% 49%  
505 0.6% 49% Median
506 0.9% 48%  
507 1.1% 47%  
508 1.1% 46%  
509 1.5% 45%  
510 2% 43%  
511 2% 42%  
512 3% 39%  
513 3% 37%  
514 2% 34%  
515 2% 32%  
516 2% 31%  
517 2% 29%  
518 3% 27%  
519 3% 24%  
520 3% 21%  
521 3% 17%  
522 1.3% 14%  
523 1.2% 13%  
524 1.1% 12%  
525 1.4% 10%  
526 1.5% 9%  
527 1.5% 8%  
528 0.8% 6%  
529 0.7% 5%  
530 1.1% 5%  
531 0.7% 3%  
532 0.4% 3%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0.1% 2%  
536 0.3% 2%  
537 0.2% 1.4%  
538 0.2% 1.3%  
539 0.2% 1.1%  
540 0.2% 1.0%  
541 0.2% 0.8%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.4%  
544 0% 0.4%  
545 0.1% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.3%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.4%  
410 0.1% 99.4%  
411 0.1% 99.2%  
412 0.1% 99.1%  
413 0.2% 99.0%  
414 0.2% 98.8%  
415 0.2% 98.6%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.3% 97%  
422 0.4% 97%  
423 0.2% 97%  
424 0.3% 96%  
425 0.5% 96%  
426 0.3% 95%  
427 0.5% 95%  
428 0.5% 95%  
429 0.4% 94%  
430 0.4% 94%  
431 0.3% 93%  
432 0.6% 93%  
433 0.4% 93%  
434 0.5% 92%  
435 0.3% 92%  
436 0.5% 91%  
437 0.2% 91%  
438 0.5% 91%  
439 0.5% 90%  
440 0.6% 90%  
441 0.5% 89%  
442 0.5% 89%  
443 0.6% 88%  
444 0.8% 88%  
445 0.8% 87%  
446 0.9% 86%  
447 0.7% 85%  
448 1.0% 84%  
449 1.2% 83%  
450 1.1% 82%  
451 1.0% 81%  
452 1.5% 80%  
453 2% 79%  
454 1.5% 77%  
455 1.0% 76%  
456 1.0% 74%  
457 1.5% 74%  
458 1.5% 72%  
459 2% 71%  
460 1.1% 69%  
461 1.2% 68%  
462 2% 66%  
463 2% 64%  
464 1.5% 63%  
465 2% 61%  
466 2% 59%  
467 1.1% 57%  
468 2% 56%  
469 1.4% 55% Median
470 1.2% 53%  
471 2% 52%  
472 1.3% 50%  
473 1.2% 49%  
474 2% 48%  
475 2% 46%  
476 1.4% 44%  
477 1.3% 43%  
478 2% 41%  
479 2% 39%  
480 1.3% 38%  
481 2% 36%  
482 2% 34%  
483 1.4% 32%  
484 2% 31%  
485 2% 29%  
486 2% 27%  
487 2% 25%  
488 2% 23%  
489 2% 22%  
490 2% 20%  
491 1.5% 18%  
492 1.4% 17%  
493 2% 15%  
494 2% 14%  
495 1.2% 12%  
496 1.2% 11%  
497 0.7% 10%  
498 1.2% 9%  
499 1.2% 8%  
500 0.6% 7%  
501 0.8% 6%  
502 0.6% 5%  
503 0.4% 5%  
504 0.6% 4%  
505 0.5% 4%  
506 0.5% 3%  
507 0.2% 3%  
508 0.3% 3%  
509 0.3% 2%  
510 0.3% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.2% 1.5%  
513 0.2% 1.3%  
514 0.1% 1.1%  
515 0.1% 1.0%  
516 0.2% 0.9%  
517 0.1% 0.7%  
518 0.1% 0.6%  
519 0.1% 0.6%  
520 0.1% 0.5%  
521 0.1% 0.4%  
522 0.1% 0.4%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0.1% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.4%  
394 0.1% 99.2%  
395 0.2% 99.1%  
396 0.3% 98.9%  
397 0.2% 98.6%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.2% 98%  
401 0.4% 98%  
402 0.4% 97%  
403 0.2% 97%  
404 0.2% 97%  
405 0.4% 96%  
406 0.5% 96%  
407 0.5% 96%  
408 0.6% 95%  
409 0.6% 95%  
410 0.4% 94%  
411 0.5% 94%  
412 0.9% 93%  
413 0.3% 92%  
414 0.3% 92%  
415 0.7% 92%  
416 0.2% 91%  
417 0.3% 91%  
418 0.2% 90%  
419 0.4% 90%  
420 0.6% 90%  
421 0.3% 89%  
422 0.6% 89%  
423 0.6% 88%  
424 0.5% 88%  
425 1.0% 87%  
426 1.0% 86%  
427 1.3% 85%  
428 0.8% 84%  
429 1.0% 83%  
430 1.1% 82%  
431 2% 81%  
432 2% 80%  
433 2% 78%  
434 2% 76%  
435 2% 74%  
436 0.9% 72%  
437 0.8% 71%  
438 2% 70%  
439 2% 69%  
440 2% 67%  
441 2% 64%  
442 2% 62%  
443 2% 60%  
444 2% 58%  
445 2% 56%  
446 1.3% 54%  
447 1.4% 52%  
448 1.5% 51% Median
449 1.0% 49%  
450 1.3% 48%  
451 0.8% 47%  
452 1.0% 46%  
453 2% 45%  
454 2% 43%  
455 2% 41%  
456 2% 39%  
457 2% 37%  
458 2% 35%  
459 2% 33%  
460 2% 31%  
461 3% 29%  
462 2% 26%  
463 3% 24%  
464 2% 22%  
465 2% 19%  
466 2% 17%  
467 2% 15%  
468 1.5% 14%  
469 2% 12%  
470 2% 10%  
471 0.9% 9%  
472 0.9% 8%  
473 1.2% 7%  
474 0.8% 6%  
475 0.6% 5%  
476 0.5% 4%  
477 0.5% 4%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.4% 3%  
480 0.5% 3%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.3%  
485 0.2% 1.1%  
486 0.2% 0.9%  
487 0.2% 0.8%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0.1% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.7%  
102 0.1% 99.6%  
103 0.1% 99.5%  
104 0.1% 99.5%  
105 0.1% 99.4%  
106 0.1% 99.3%  
107 0.1% 99.2%  
108 0.1% 99.1%  
109 0.1% 99.0%  
110 0.2% 98.9%  
111 0.2% 98.6%  
112 0.3% 98%  
113 0.3% 98%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.3% 98%  
116 0.3% 97%  
117 0.4% 97%  
118 0.6% 97%  
119 0.6% 96%  
120 0.6% 96%  
121 0.7% 95%  
122 0.7% 94%  
123 0.6% 94%  
124 1.2% 93%  
125 1.0% 92%  
126 0.9% 91%  
127 1.3% 90%  
128 1.4% 89%  
129 2% 87%  
130 2% 86%  
131 2% 84%  
132 2% 82%  
133 2% 81%  
134 2% 79%  
135 2% 78%  
136 2% 76%  
137 1.4% 74%  
138 2% 72%  
139 1.4% 70%  
140 2% 69%  
141 3% 67%  
142 2% 65%  
143 1.3% 63%  
144 2% 62%  
145 2% 60%  
146 2% 58%  
147 0.9% 56%  
148 2% 56%  
149 2% 53%  
150 1.1% 51%  
151 1.1% 50%  
152 2% 49% Median
153 1.5% 47%  
154 2% 46%  
155 1.4% 44%  
156 1.2% 43%  
157 2% 42%  
158 2% 40%  
159 2% 38%  
160 2% 36%  
161 1.4% 35%  
162 1.4% 33%  
163 2% 32%  
164 1.2% 30%  
165 2% 29%  
166 0.8% 27%  
167 1.1% 26%  
168 1.3% 25%  
169 0.8% 24%  
170 2% 23%  
171 1.3% 21%  
172 0.9% 20%  
173 1.2% 19%  
174 1.2% 18%  
175 0.8% 17%  
176 0.6% 16%  
177 0.9% 15%  
178 0.8% 14%  
179 0.6% 13%  
180 0.7% 13%  
181 0.6% 12%  
182 0.5% 12%  
183 0.3% 11%  
184 0.4% 11%  
185 0.5% 10%  
186 0.5% 10%  
187 0.4% 9%  
188 0.4% 9%  
189 0.4% 9%  
190 0.3% 8%  
191 0.4% 8%  
192 0.6% 7%  
193 0.3% 7%  
194 0.3% 7%  
195 0.4% 6%  
196 0.5% 6%  
197 0.5% 5%  
198 0.3% 5%  
199 0.4% 5%  
200 0.4% 4%  
201 0.3% 4%  
202 0.4% 4%  
203 0.3% 3%  
204 0.3% 3%  
205 0.2% 3%  
206 0.2% 2%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.2% 1.5%  
211 0.2% 1.3%  
212 0.1% 1.1%  
213 0.1% 0.9%  
214 0.1% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0% 99.7%  
80 0% 99.6%  
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 0.2% 99.4%  
83 0.2% 99.2%  
84 0.2% 99.0%  
85 0.1% 98.8%  
86 0.2% 98.7%  
87 0.2% 98%  
88 0.2% 98%  
89 0.3% 98%  
90 0.3% 98%  
91 0.4% 98%  
92 1.0% 97%  
93 1.1% 96%  
94 0.7% 95%  
95 0.8% 94%  
96 2% 94%  
97 2% 92%  
98 1.0% 90%  
99 1.4% 89%  
100 0.6% 88%  
101 2% 87%  
102 3% 85%  
103 4% 82%  
104 3% 77%  
105 4% 75%  
106 1.1% 71%  
107 2% 70%  
108 1.0% 69%  
109 3% 68%  
110 1.2% 64%  
111 3% 63%  
112 3% 60%  
113 1.3% 57%  
114 0.7% 56%  
115 2% 55%  
116 1.2% 53% Median
117 0.5% 52%  
118 0.6% 51%  
119 0.3% 51%  
120 3% 51%  
121 2% 48%  
122 3% 46%  
123 3% 43%  
124 2% 41%  
125 4% 39%  
126 3% 35%  
127 1.5% 32%  
128 0.2% 31%  
129 0.1% 31%  
130 0.8% 31%  
131 3% 30%  
132 3% 27%  
133 2% 24%  
134 2% 22%  
135 1.2% 21%  
136 0.6% 19%  
137 1.0% 19%  
138 1.3% 18%  
139 0.9% 16%  
140 0.9% 16%  
141 1.2% 15%  
142 0.7% 14%  
143 0.7% 13%  
144 0.5% 12%  
145 0.5% 12%  
146 0.5% 11%  
147 0.2% 11%  
148 0.1% 10%  
149 0.3% 10%  
150 0.3% 10%  
151 0.6% 10%  
152 0.3% 9%  
153 0.5% 9%  
154 0.4% 8%  
155 0.8% 8%  
156 0.6% 7%  
157 0.2% 6%  
158 0.4% 6%  
159 0.7% 6%  
160 0.8% 5%  
161 0.3% 4%  
162 0.3% 4%  
163 0.1% 4%  
164 0.3% 4%  
165 0.3% 3%  
166 0.5% 3%  
167 0.3% 2%  
168 0.2% 2%  
169 0.3% 2%  
170 0.2% 2%  
171 0.3% 1.4%  
172 0.1% 1.1%  
173 0.1% 1.0%  
174 0.2% 0.9%  
175 0.3% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0% 0.2%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0% 99.7%  
48 0% 99.6%  
49 0% 99.6%  
50 0.1% 99.5%  
51 0.1% 99.5%  
52 0.1% 99.4%  
53 0.1% 99.3%  
54 0.2% 99.1%  
55 0.2% 99.0%  
56 0.2% 98.8%  
57 0.2% 98.6%  
58 0.2% 98%  
59 0.2% 98%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.4% 97%  
63 0.4% 97%  
64 0.5% 97%  
65 0.8% 96%  
66 0.7% 95%  
67 0.7% 95%  
68 0.7% 94%  
69 1.2% 93%  
70 0.9% 92%  
71 2% 91%  
72 2% 90%  
73 1.3% 88%  
74 1.3% 87%  
75 2% 85%  
76 2% 84%  
77 2% 82%  
78 2% 80%  
79 1.5% 78%  
80 1.4% 77%  
81 1.4% 75%  
82 2% 74%  
83 2% 72%  
84 2% 69%  
85 2% 67%  
86 2% 65%  
87 1.4% 63%  
88 2% 62%  
89 1.3% 60%  
90 2% 59%  
91 2% 57%  
92 2% 55%  
93 1.1% 53%  
94 2% 52%  
95 2% 50% Median
96 0.8% 48%  
97 2% 48%  
98 0.9% 46%  
99 1.3% 45%  
100 2% 44%  
101 2% 42%  
102 2% 40%  
103 1.5% 38%  
104 2% 36%  
105 2% 35%  
106 2% 33%  
107 2% 31%  
108 1.2% 29%  
109 0.9% 28%  
110 1.2% 27%  
111 1.4% 26%  
112 1.3% 25%  
113 2% 23%  
114 0.9% 22%  
115 1.1% 21%  
116 1.2% 20%  
117 0.9% 18%  
118 0.8% 17%  
119 1.1% 17%  
120 0.9% 16%  
121 0.6% 15%  
122 0.6% 14%  
123 0.9% 13%  
124 0.4% 13%  
125 0.7% 12%  
126 0.5% 11%  
127 0.5% 11%  
128 0.3% 10%  
129 0.2% 10%  
130 0.5% 10%  
131 0.5% 9%  
132 0.4% 9%  
133 0.5% 9%  
134 0.4% 8%  
135 0.5% 8%  
136 0.3% 7%  
137 0.3% 7%  
138 0.6% 7%  
139 0.5% 6%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.4% 5%  
142 0.4% 5%  
143 0.2% 4%  
144 0.4% 4%  
145 0.4% 4%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.3% 3%  
148 0.2% 3%  
149 0.3% 3%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.2% 1.5%  
154 0.2% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 1.1%  
156 0.1% 1.0%  
157 0.1% 0.8%  
158 0.1% 0.7%  
159 0.1% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations