Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 21–22 February 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.9% 47.4–50.4% 47.0–50.8% 46.7–51.2% 45.9–51.9%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.5% 23.2–25.8% 22.9–26.2% 22.6–26.5% 22.0–27.1%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.6% 8.7–10.5% 8.5–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.4%
Green Party 2.8% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.4%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 410 393–437 388–443 385–449 374–458
Conservative Party 365 137 107–156 101–160 95–164 84–175
Liberal Democrats 11 24 19–33 18–35 17–36 15–40
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 52 43–56 41–57 39–57 34–58
Brexit Party 0 0 0–2 0–3 0–3 0–3
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.5%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.3%  
378 0.1% 99.2%  
379 0.1% 99.1%  
380 0.2% 99.0%  
381 0.2% 98.8%  
382 0.3% 98.6%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.6% 98%  
386 0.9% 97%  
387 0.6% 96%  
388 0.8% 96%  
389 0.8% 95%  
390 0.8% 94%  
391 2% 93%  
392 0.9% 92%  
393 2% 91%  
394 1.2% 88%  
395 1.4% 87%  
396 2% 86%  
397 3% 84%  
398 2% 81%  
399 1.4% 79%  
400 2% 77%  
401 5% 75%  
402 2% 70%  
403 2% 68%  
404 2% 66%  
405 0.9% 64%  
406 3% 63%  
407 3% 60%  
408 2% 57%  
409 4% 55%  
410 2% 52% Median
411 2% 50%  
412 3% 48%  
413 3% 45%  
414 0.7% 42%  
415 3% 41%  
416 1.2% 38%  
417 2% 37%  
418 2% 35%  
419 0.6% 33%  
420 2% 32%  
421 1.2% 31%  
422 0.7% 30%  
423 0.7% 29%  
424 2% 28%  
425 2% 26%  
426 1.0% 24%  
427 1.3% 23%  
428 2% 22%  
429 0.2% 20%  
430 3% 20%  
431 1.1% 17%  
432 1.4% 16%  
433 1.3% 15%  
434 2% 14%  
435 1.0% 12%  
436 0.4% 11%  
437 1.0% 11%  
438 1.4% 10%  
439 1.1% 8%  
440 0.6% 7%  
441 0.7% 6%  
442 0.4% 6%  
443 0.7% 5%  
444 1.0% 5%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.3% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.5% 2%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.1% 1.3%  
454 0.2% 1.1%  
455 0.2% 0.9%  
456 0.1% 0.7%  
457 0.1% 0.6%  
458 0.1% 0.6%  
459 0.1% 0.5%  
460 0.1% 0.4%  
461 0% 0.3%  
462 0.1% 0.3%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.7%  
82 0% 99.6%  
83 0.1% 99.6%  
84 0.1% 99.5%  
85 0.1% 99.4%  
86 0% 99.4%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 99.1%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0.3% 98.7%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.4% 98%  
96 0.4% 97%  
97 0.3% 97%  
98 0.5% 97%  
99 0.5% 96%  
100 0.4% 96%  
101 0.6% 95%  
102 1.1% 95%  
103 0.3% 94%  
104 0.5% 93%  
105 0.5% 93%  
106 1.3% 92%  
107 2% 91%  
108 0.7% 89%  
109 0.4% 89%  
110 1.2% 88%  
111 0.9% 87%  
112 0.9% 86%  
113 0.5% 85%  
114 2% 85%  
115 1.1% 83%  
116 1.0% 82%  
117 0.5% 81%  
118 2% 81%  
119 0.8% 79%  
120 1.3% 78%  
121 1.3% 77%  
122 1.4% 75%  
123 2% 74%  
124 1.1% 72%  
125 0.7% 71%  
126 0.9% 70%  
127 2% 70%  
128 1.0% 67%  
129 2% 66%  
130 2% 64%  
131 1.1% 62%  
132 0.9% 61%  
133 2% 60%  
134 4% 59%  
135 1.3% 55%  
136 2% 53%  
137 1.1% 51% Median
138 3% 50%  
139 3% 47%  
140 1.4% 44%  
141 2% 43%  
142 2% 41%  
143 3% 38%  
144 1.3% 35%  
145 1.2% 34%  
146 4% 33%  
147 2% 29%  
148 3% 27%  
149 2% 24%  
150 2% 22%  
151 3% 20%  
152 1.1% 18%  
153 2% 17%  
154 3% 15%  
155 2% 12%  
156 1.3% 10%  
157 1.0% 9%  
158 1.2% 8%  
159 1.3% 7%  
160 0.5% 5%  
161 0.6% 5%  
162 0.8% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.3% 3%  
165 0.2% 2%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.2% 2%  
168 0.3% 2%  
169 0.2% 1.3%  
170 0.2% 1.1%  
171 0.1% 0.9%  
172 0.1% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.7%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0.5% 99.8%  
16 0.2% 99.3%  
17 2% 99.0%  
18 5% 97%  
19 3% 92%  
20 7% 89%  
21 11% 81%  
22 10% 71%  
23 5% 61%  
24 7% 56% Median
25 5% 49%  
26 8% 44%  
27 4% 36%  
28 5% 31%  
29 4% 27%  
30 4% 23%  
31 2% 19%  
32 4% 17%  
33 5% 13%  
34 2% 8%  
35 2% 6%  
36 1.4% 4%  
37 0.7% 2%  
38 0.5% 2%  
39 0.4% 1.0%  
40 0.2% 0.6%  
41 0.1% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 48% 100% Last Result
2 39% 52% Median
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.8%  
35 0.1% 99.4%  
36 0.5% 99.2%  
37 0.4% 98.7%  
38 0.8% 98%  
39 0.9% 98%  
40 0.8% 97%  
41 2% 96%  
42 2% 94%  
43 4% 92%  
44 6% 88%  
45 6% 82%  
46 6% 75%  
47 4% 70%  
48 4% 66% Last Result
49 4% 62%  
50 3% 58%  
51 3% 55%  
52 6% 51% Median
53 11% 45%  
54 10% 34%  
55 11% 25%  
56 5% 14%  
57 8% 9%  
58 1.4% 1.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 32%  
2 19% 26%  
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 7% 99.7% Last Result
5 91% 93% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 492 100% 474–521 469–527 465–532 454–544
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 491 100% 472–519 467–525 463–530 452–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 486 100% 467–515 462–520 458–525 447–537
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 465 100% 450–491 446–495 442–500 433–511
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 460 100% 445–486 441–490 437–495 428–506
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 440 100% 420–470 414–478 410–484 399–495
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 435 100% 415–465 410–473 405–479 394–490
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 415 100% 398–442 393–448 390–454 379–463
Labour Party 202 410 100% 393–437 388–443 385–449 374–458
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 192 0% 162–213 154–218 148–222 135–233
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 188 0% 157–208 149–213 143–217 131–228
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 163 0% 136–178 132–181 126–185 115–195
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 142 0% 112–161 106–165 100–169 89–180
Conservative Party 365 137 0% 107–156 101–160 95–164 84–175

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0.1% 99.9%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.1% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0% 99.4%  
456 0.1% 99.4%  
457 0.1% 99.3%  
458 0.1% 99.2%  
459 0.2% 99.1%  
460 0.3% 99.0%  
461 0.3% 98.7%  
462 0.4% 98%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.2% 98%  
465 0.3% 98%  
466 0.3% 97%  
467 0.7% 97%  
468 1.1% 96%  
469 0.7% 95%  
470 1.1% 95%  
471 1.2% 93%  
472 0.7% 92%  
473 1.0% 91%  
474 1.3% 90%  
475 2% 89%  
476 4% 87%  
477 2% 83%  
478 0.9% 82%  
479 2% 81%  
480 1.3% 78%  
481 2% 77%  
482 3% 75%  
483 2% 72%  
484 4% 70%  
485 1.5% 66%  
486 3% 65%  
487 4% 62%  
488 0.9% 59%  
489 2% 58%  
490 1.1% 56%  
491 2% 54%  
492 3% 52%  
493 1.1% 49% Median
494 3% 48%  
495 3% 45%  
496 4% 43%  
497 0.8% 39%  
498 0.9% 39%  
499 1.3% 38%  
500 2% 36%  
501 1.3% 34%  
502 1.1% 33%  
503 2% 32%  
504 1.0% 30%  
505 0.9% 29%  
506 0.7% 28%  
507 2% 27%  
508 2% 26%  
509 2% 24%  
510 1.2% 22%  
511 0.6% 21%  
512 2% 21%  
513 1.4% 19%  
514 2% 17%  
515 1.0% 16%  
516 1.1% 15%  
517 0.5% 14%  
518 1.1% 13%  
519 1.0% 12%  
520 0.7% 11%  
521 0.7% 10%  
522 1.5% 10%  
523 1.2% 8%  
524 0.5% 7%  
525 0.8% 7%  
526 0.5% 6%  
527 0.8% 5%  
528 0.6% 5%  
529 0.3% 4%  
530 0.6% 4%  
531 0.3% 3%  
532 0.4% 3%  
533 0.4% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.4% 2%  
536 0.2% 1.4%  
537 0.2% 1.2%  
538 0.2% 1.1%  
539 0.1% 0.9%  
540 0.1% 0.8%  
541 0.1% 0.7%  
542 0% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.6%  
544 0.1% 0.5%  
545 0.1% 0.5%  
546 0% 0.4%  
547 0% 0.3%  
548 0.1% 0.3%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0.1% 99.8%  
450 0.1% 99.7%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.6%  
453 0.1% 99.5%  
454 0.1% 99.4%  
455 0.1% 99.3%  
456 0.1% 99.3%  
457 0.1% 99.1%  
458 0.1% 99.0%  
459 0.3% 98.9%  
460 0.3% 98.6%  
461 0.4% 98%  
462 0.2% 98%  
463 0.3% 98%  
464 0.4% 97%  
465 0.6% 97%  
466 0.7% 96%  
467 0.9% 96%  
468 0.7% 95%  
469 1.1% 94%  
470 1.4% 93%  
471 0.9% 92%  
472 1.0% 91%  
473 2% 90%  
474 3% 88%  
475 3% 85%  
476 1.5% 82%  
477 1.5% 81%  
478 2% 79%  
479 2% 78%  
480 3% 76%  
481 2% 73%  
482 2% 71%  
483 3% 68%  
484 2% 65%  
485 3% 63%  
486 3% 61%  
487 2% 58%  
488 1.4% 56%  
489 2% 55%  
490 2% 53%  
491 3% 51% Median
492 2% 48%  
493 3% 46%  
494 3% 44%  
495 1.4% 40%  
496 0.8% 39%  
497 0.8% 38%  
498 2% 37%  
499 2% 35%  
500 1.1% 33%  
501 1.2% 32%  
502 2% 31%  
503 1.2% 29%  
504 0.5% 28%  
505 2% 28%  
506 1.5% 26%  
507 1.0% 24%  
508 2% 23%  
509 1.2% 22%  
510 1.2% 20%  
511 2% 19%  
512 1.0% 18%  
513 2% 17%  
514 1.0% 15%  
515 0.7% 14%  
516 1.0% 13%  
517 0.8% 12%  
518 1.1% 12%  
519 0.5% 10%  
520 2% 10%  
521 0.8% 8%  
522 0.9% 8%  
523 0.7% 7%  
524 0.4% 6%  
525 0.8% 6%  
526 0.7% 5%  
527 0.4% 4%  
528 0.2% 4%  
529 0.6% 3%  
530 0.4% 3%  
531 0.3% 2%  
532 0.4% 2%  
533 0.3% 2%  
534 0.2% 1.5%  
535 0.1% 1.3%  
536 0.2% 1.1%  
537 0.1% 0.9%  
538 0.1% 0.8%  
539 0.1% 0.7%  
540 0% 0.7%  
541 0.1% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0% 0.4%  
545 0% 0.4%  
546 0.1% 0.3%  
547 0.1% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0.1% 99.7%  
446 0.1% 99.6%  
447 0.1% 99.6%  
448 0.1% 99.5%  
449 0.1% 99.4%  
450 0.1% 99.3%  
451 0.1% 99.3%  
452 0.1% 99.1%  
453 0.1% 99.0%  
454 0.3% 98.9%  
455 0.3% 98.6%  
456 0.4% 98%  
457 0.2% 98%  
458 0.3% 98%  
459 0.4% 97%  
460 0.6% 97%  
461 0.7% 96%  
462 0.8% 96%  
463 0.8% 95%  
464 1.1% 94%  
465 1.4% 93%  
466 0.9% 92%  
467 0.9% 91%  
468 2% 90%  
469 3% 88%  
470 2% 85%  
471 2% 83%  
472 2% 81%  
473 2% 79%  
474 2% 77%  
475 3% 76%  
476 2% 73%  
477 2% 71%  
478 3% 68%  
479 2% 65%  
480 3% 64%  
481 3% 61%  
482 2% 58%  
483 1.4% 56%  
484 2% 55%  
485 1.4% 53%  
486 3% 51% Median
487 2% 48%  
488 3% 47%  
489 3% 44%  
490 2% 41%  
491 0.9% 39%  
492 0.8% 38%  
493 2% 37%  
494 2% 36%  
495 1.2% 33%  
496 1.1% 32%  
497 2% 31%  
498 1.1% 29%  
499 0.6% 28%  
500 2% 28%  
501 1.3% 26%  
502 1.1% 24%  
503 2% 23%  
504 1.2% 22%  
505 1.2% 20%  
506 2% 19%  
507 0.9% 18%  
508 2% 17%  
509 0.9% 15%  
510 0.7% 14%  
511 1.0% 13%  
512 0.7% 12%  
513 1.1% 12%  
514 0.5% 11%  
515 2% 10%  
516 0.8% 8%  
517 0.9% 8%  
518 0.7% 7%  
519 0.3% 6%  
520 0.8% 6%  
521 0.7% 5%  
522 0.5% 4%  
523 0.2% 4%  
524 0.6% 4%  
525 0.4% 3%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.3% 2%  
528 0.4% 2%  
529 0.2% 2%  
530 0.1% 1.3%  
531 0.2% 1.1%  
532 0.1% 0.9%  
533 0.1% 0.8%  
534 0.1% 0.7%  
535 0.1% 0.7%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.6%  
538 0.1% 0.5%  
539 0% 0.4%  
540 0% 0.4%  
541 0.1% 0.3%  
542 0.1% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0.1% 99.9%  
429 0.1% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0% 99.6%  
432 0% 99.6%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.3% 99.5%  
435 0.1% 99.2%  
436 0.1% 99.1%  
437 0.2% 99.0%  
438 0.1% 98.8%  
439 0.1% 98.7%  
440 0.3% 98.7%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.8% 98%  
443 0.6% 97%  
444 0.7% 97%  
445 0.5% 96%  
446 1.1% 96%  
447 1.2% 95%  
448 1.5% 93%  
449 2% 92%  
450 1.4% 90%  
451 2% 89%  
452 4% 87%  
453 4% 83%  
454 0.8% 79%  
455 1.1% 78%  
456 2% 77%  
457 4% 76%  
458 5% 71%  
459 3% 66%  
460 2% 64%  
461 2% 62%  
462 2% 60%  
463 2% 58%  
464 3% 56%  
465 3% 53%  
466 3% 49%  
467 1.0% 46% Median
468 4% 45%  
469 2% 42%  
470 1.1% 40%  
471 3% 39%  
472 4% 36%  
473 1.5% 32%  
474 0.6% 30%  
475 1.4% 30%  
476 2% 28%  
477 0.3% 27%  
478 0.3% 26%  
479 0.9% 26%  
480 0.5% 25%  
481 0.5% 25%  
482 0.8% 24%  
483 0.8% 23%  
484 3% 23%  
485 3% 19%  
486 2% 16%  
487 2% 14%  
488 0.6% 13%  
489 0.4% 12%  
490 0.8% 12%  
491 1.2% 11%  
492 2% 10%  
493 1.3% 7%  
494 1.0% 6%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.4% 5%  
497 0.1% 4%  
498 0.7% 4%  
499 0.4% 4%  
500 0.9% 3%  
501 0.6% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0.1% 1.4%  
504 0.2% 1.3%  
505 0.2% 1.1%  
506 0.1% 0.9%  
507 0.1% 0.8%  
508 0.1% 0.8%  
509 0.1% 0.7%  
510 0.1% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.5%  
512 0.1% 0.4%  
513 0% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.3%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0.1% 0.2%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0.1% 99.9%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0% 99.6%  
427 0% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.6%  
429 0.3% 99.5%  
430 0.1% 99.2%  
431 0.1% 99.1%  
432 0.2% 99.0%  
433 0.1% 98.8%  
434 0.1% 98.7%  
435 0.3% 98.6%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.8% 98%  
438 0.6% 97%  
439 0.7% 97%  
440 0.5% 96%  
441 1.1% 96%  
442 1.3% 95%  
443 1.3% 93%  
444 2% 92%  
445 1.4% 90%  
446 2% 89%  
447 4% 87%  
448 4% 83%  
449 1.1% 79%  
450 1.2% 78%  
451 2% 77%  
452 4% 75%  
453 5% 71%  
454 3% 67%  
455 2% 64%  
456 2% 62%  
457 2% 60%  
458 2% 58%  
459 2% 56%  
460 4% 53%  
461 3% 50%  
462 0.9% 46% Median
463 4% 45%  
464 2% 42%  
465 1.1% 40%  
466 3% 39%  
467 4% 36%  
468 2% 32%  
469 0.7% 31%  
470 1.4% 30%  
471 2% 28%  
472 0.3% 27%  
473 0.3% 26%  
474 0.9% 26%  
475 0.5% 25%  
476 0.5% 25%  
477 0.8% 24%  
478 0.9% 23%  
479 3% 23%  
480 3% 19%  
481 2% 16%  
482 2% 14%  
483 0.6% 13%  
484 0.5% 12%  
485 0.6% 12%  
486 1.4% 11%  
487 2% 10%  
488 1.4% 8%  
489 1.0% 6%  
490 0.3% 5%  
491 0.4% 5%  
492 0.1% 4%  
493 0.7% 4%  
494 0.3% 4%  
495 0.9% 3%  
496 0.6% 2%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.2% 1.3%  
500 0.2% 1.1%  
501 0.1% 1.0%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.6%  
506 0.1% 0.5%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.3%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.1% 99.5%  
401 0.1% 99.4%  
402 0.1% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.3%  
404 0.2% 99.2%  
405 0.1% 98.9%  
406 0.3% 98.8%  
407 0.2% 98.5%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.3% 98%  
411 0.5% 97%  
412 0.7% 97%  
413 0.5% 96%  
414 0.7% 96%  
415 0.4% 95%  
416 1.0% 94%  
417 1.1% 93%  
418 1.0% 92%  
419 1.2% 91%  
420 2% 90%  
421 0.8% 89%  
422 2% 88%  
423 1.4% 86%  
424 2% 85%  
425 2% 83%  
426 2% 81%  
427 2% 80%  
428 2% 77%  
429 2% 75%  
430 3% 74%  
431 1.4% 70%  
432 2% 69%  
433 2% 67%  
434 2% 64%  
435 2% 62%  
436 0.9% 61%  
437 3% 60%  
438 3% 57%  
439 2% 54% Median
440 3% 52%  
441 2% 49%  
442 1.3% 48%  
443 2% 47%  
444 3% 45%  
445 1.5% 42%  
446 2% 41%  
447 1.0% 39%  
448 1.3% 38%  
449 2% 37%  
450 2% 35%  
451 2% 33%  
452 0.6% 32%  
453 1.2% 31%  
454 2% 30%  
455 0.8% 27%  
456 2% 27%  
457 0.7% 24%  
458 0.9% 24%  
459 0.8% 23%  
460 2% 22%  
461 1.1% 20%  
462 1.4% 19%  
463 1.1% 18%  
464 0.9% 16%  
465 1.2% 15%  
466 1.4% 14%  
467 0.8% 13%  
468 1.0% 12%  
469 0.7% 11%  
470 1.0% 10%  
471 0.6% 9%  
472 0.9% 9%  
473 0.4% 8%  
474 0.4% 7%  
475 0.4% 7%  
476 0.5% 7%  
477 1.2% 6%  
478 0.4% 5%  
479 0.5% 5%  
480 0.5% 4%  
481 0.4% 4%  
482 0.3% 3%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.5% 3%  
485 0.4% 2%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.2% 2%  
488 0.3% 1.5%  
489 0.1% 1.2%  
490 0.1% 1.1%  
491 0.1% 1.0%  
492 0.2% 0.9%  
493 0.1% 0.7%  
494 0.1% 0.6%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.4%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.5%  
396 0.1% 99.4%  
397 0.1% 99.4%  
398 0.1% 99.3%  
399 0.2% 99.2%  
400 0.1% 98.9%  
401 0.3% 98.8%  
402 0.2% 98.5%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.4% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.6% 97%  
407 0.7% 97%  
408 0.5% 96%  
409 0.6% 96%  
410 0.5% 95%  
411 1.0% 94%  
412 1.0% 93%  
413 1.1% 92%  
414 1.3% 91%  
415 1.4% 90%  
416 0.9% 89%  
417 2% 88%  
418 1.4% 86%  
419 2% 85%  
420 2% 83%  
421 2% 81%  
422 2% 80%  
423 2% 77%  
424 2% 75%  
425 3% 74%  
426 2% 71%  
427 2% 69%  
428 2% 67%  
429 2% 64%  
430 2% 62%  
431 0.8% 61%  
432 3% 60%  
433 3% 57%  
434 2% 54% Median
435 3% 52%  
436 2% 50%  
437 1.4% 48%  
438 1.5% 47%  
439 3% 45%  
440 1.5% 42%  
441 2% 41%  
442 1.0% 39%  
443 1.0% 38%  
444 2% 37%  
445 2% 35%  
446 1.0% 33%  
447 1.2% 32%  
448 1.2% 31%  
449 2% 30%  
450 0.9% 28%  
451 2% 27%  
452 0.9% 24%  
453 0.9% 24%  
454 0.8% 23%  
455 2% 22%  
456 1.2% 20%  
457 1.4% 19%  
458 1.2% 18%  
459 0.8% 16%  
460 1.3% 16%  
461 1.5% 14%  
462 0.8% 13%  
463 1.0% 12%  
464 0.7% 11%  
465 1.0% 10%  
466 0.5% 9%  
467 0.8% 9%  
468 0.6% 8%  
469 0.4% 7%  
470 0.4% 7%  
471 0.5% 7%  
472 1.2% 6%  
473 0.4% 5%  
474 0.5% 5%  
475 0.5% 4%  
476 0.4% 4%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.5% 3%  
480 0.4% 2%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.3% 1.5%  
484 0.1% 1.2%  
485 0.1% 1.1%  
486 0.1% 1.0%  
487 0.2% 0.9%  
488 0.1% 0.7%  
489 0% 0.6%  
490 0.1% 0.6%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.4%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0.1% 99.2%  
384 0.1% 99.1%  
385 0.2% 99.0%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.3% 98.6%  
388 0.3% 98%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.6% 98%  
391 0.9% 97%  
392 0.6% 96%  
393 0.7% 96%  
394 0.9% 95%  
395 0.8% 94%  
396 2% 93%  
397 0.8% 91%  
398 2% 91%  
399 1.2% 88%  
400 1.4% 87%  
401 2% 86%  
402 3% 84%  
403 2% 81%  
404 1.4% 79%  
405 3% 77%  
406 5% 75%  
407 3% 70%  
408 2% 67%  
409 2% 66%  
410 0.8% 64%  
411 3% 63%  
412 3% 60%  
413 2% 57%  
414 4% 55%  
415 2% 51% Median
416 2% 50%  
417 3% 48%  
418 3% 45%  
419 1.0% 42%  
420 3% 41%  
421 0.9% 38%  
422 2% 37%  
423 2% 35%  
424 0.9% 33%  
425 2% 32%  
426 0.7% 30%  
427 0.7% 29%  
428 0.7% 29%  
429 2% 28%  
430 2% 26%  
431 0.9% 24%  
432 1.3% 23%  
433 2% 22%  
434 0.3% 20%  
435 3% 20%  
436 1.0% 17%  
437 2% 16%  
438 1.4% 15%  
439 1.3% 13%  
440 1.1% 12%  
441 0.4% 11%  
442 1.1% 11%  
443 1.4% 10%  
444 1.1% 8%  
445 0.7% 7%  
446 0.5% 6%  
447 0.4% 6%  
448 0.8% 5%  
449 1.0% 5%  
450 0.2% 4%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.2% 3%  
453 0.4% 3%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.5% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.3% 2%  
458 0.1% 1.3%  
459 0.2% 1.1%  
460 0.2% 0.9%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.6%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0.1% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.5%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.3%  
378 0.1% 99.2%  
379 0.1% 99.1%  
380 0.2% 99.0%  
381 0.2% 98.8%  
382 0.3% 98.6%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.6% 98%  
386 0.9% 97%  
387 0.6% 96%  
388 0.8% 96%  
389 0.8% 95%  
390 0.8% 94%  
391 2% 93%  
392 0.9% 92%  
393 2% 91%  
394 1.2% 88%  
395 1.4% 87%  
396 2% 86%  
397 3% 84%  
398 2% 81%  
399 1.4% 79%  
400 2% 77%  
401 5% 75%  
402 2% 70%  
403 2% 68%  
404 2% 66%  
405 0.9% 64%  
406 3% 63%  
407 3% 60%  
408 2% 57%  
409 4% 55%  
410 2% 52% Median
411 2% 50%  
412 3% 48%  
413 3% 45%  
414 0.7% 42%  
415 3% 41%  
416 1.2% 38%  
417 2% 37%  
418 2% 35%  
419 0.6% 33%  
420 2% 32%  
421 1.2% 31%  
422 0.7% 30%  
423 0.7% 29%  
424 2% 28%  
425 2% 26%  
426 1.0% 24%  
427 1.3% 23%  
428 2% 22%  
429 0.2% 20%  
430 3% 20%  
431 1.1% 17%  
432 1.4% 16%  
433 1.3% 15%  
434 2% 14%  
435 1.0% 12%  
436 0.4% 11%  
437 1.0% 11%  
438 1.4% 10%  
439 1.1% 8%  
440 0.6% 7%  
441 0.7% 6%  
442 0.4% 6%  
443 0.7% 5%  
444 1.0% 5%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.3% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.5% 2%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.1% 1.3%  
454 0.2% 1.1%  
455 0.2% 0.9%  
456 0.1% 0.7%  
457 0.1% 0.6%  
458 0.1% 0.6%  
459 0.1% 0.5%  
460 0.1% 0.4%  
461 0% 0.3%  
462 0.1% 0.3%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.7%  
134 0.1% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.4%  
138 0.1% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.1%  
141 0.1% 99.0%  
142 0.2% 98.9%  
143 0.1% 98.7%  
144 0.4% 98.6%  
145 0.1% 98%  
146 0.3% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.1% 97%  
150 0.5% 97%  
151 0.4% 96%  
152 0.3% 96%  
153 0.4% 96%  
154 0.3% 95%  
155 1.4% 95%  
156 0.5% 93%  
157 0.3% 93%  
158 0.4% 93%  
159 0.6% 92%  
160 0.9% 92%  
161 0.5% 91%  
162 1.0% 90%  
163 0.5% 89%  
164 1.0% 89%  
165 1.2% 88%  
166 1.4% 87%  
167 0.9% 85%  
168 0.8% 84%  
169 1.0% 83%  
170 0.6% 82%  
171 0.6% 82%  
172 2% 81%  
173 2% 79%  
174 0.9% 77%  
175 0.8% 76%  
176 0.7% 76%  
177 2% 75%  
178 2% 73%  
179 0.7% 71%  
180 2% 70%  
181 2% 69%  
182 1.1% 67%  
183 2% 66%  
184 1.5% 64%  
185 2% 63%  
186 1.4% 61%  
187 1.1% 60%  
188 1.1% 59%  
189 3% 58%  
190 1.4% 55%  
191 1.4% 53%  
192 2% 52%  
193 4% 50%  
194 2% 46% Median
195 2% 44%  
196 2% 42%  
197 2% 41%  
198 1.2% 38%  
199 2% 37%  
200 2% 35%  
201 2% 33%  
202 2% 31%  
203 4% 29%  
204 2% 26%  
205 1.3% 23%  
206 3% 22%  
207 1.3% 19%  
208 2% 18%  
209 2% 16%  
210 2% 15%  
211 1.5% 13%  
212 0.7% 11%  
213 1.0% 11%  
214 1.1% 10%  
215 2% 9%  
216 0.8% 7%  
217 0.7% 6%  
218 0.9% 6%  
219 0.7% 5%  
220 0.6% 4%  
221 0.6% 3%  
222 0.4% 3%  
223 0.3% 2%  
224 0.3% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.3% 2%  
227 0.2% 1.3%  
228 0.2% 1.1%  
229 0.1% 0.9%  
230 0.1% 0.8%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0.1% 0.6%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0% 99.6%  
130 0.1% 99.6%  
131 0.1% 99.5%  
132 0.1% 99.4%  
133 0.1% 99.4%  
134 0.1% 99.3%  
135 0.1% 99.2%  
136 0.1% 99.0%  
137 0.2% 98.9%  
138 0.1% 98.7%  
139 0.3% 98.6%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.4% 98%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.6% 98%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0.4% 97%  
146 0.5% 96%  
147 0.3% 96%  
148 0.5% 96%  
149 0.2% 95%  
150 1.4% 95%  
151 0.5% 94%  
152 0.3% 93%  
153 0.4% 93%  
154 0.6% 92%  
155 0.8% 92%  
156 0.6% 91%  
157 1.0% 90%  
158 0.5% 89%  
159 1.1% 89%  
160 1.1% 88%  
161 2% 87%  
162 0.7% 85%  
163 0.8% 84%  
164 1.0% 84%  
165 0.7% 83%  
166 0.5% 82%  
167 2% 81%  
168 2% 79%  
169 0.9% 77%  
170 0.9% 77%  
171 0.6% 76%  
172 2% 75%  
173 2% 73%  
174 0.7% 71%  
175 1.5% 70%  
176 1.2% 69%  
177 1.4% 68%  
178 2% 66%  
179 1.4% 64%  
180 1.3% 63%  
181 2% 62%  
182 1.2% 60%  
183 1.2% 59%  
184 3% 58%  
185 2% 55%  
186 1.4% 53%  
187 2% 52%  
188 4% 50%  
189 2% 46% Median
190 2% 44%  
191 2% 42%  
192 2% 41%  
193 1.2% 38%  
194 2% 37%  
195 2% 35%  
196 2% 33%  
197 2% 31%  
198 4% 29%  
199 2% 26%  
200 1.4% 23%  
201 3% 22%  
202 1.3% 19%  
203 2% 18%  
204 2% 16%  
205 2% 15%  
206 1.4% 13%  
207 0.8% 12%  
208 1.0% 11%  
209 1.0% 10%  
210 2% 9%  
211 0.8% 7%  
212 0.7% 6%  
213 0.9% 6%  
214 0.6% 5%  
215 0.6% 4%  
216 0.6% 3%  
217 0.4% 3%  
218 0.3% 2%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.2% 2%  
221 0.4% 2%  
222 0.2% 1.2%  
223 0.2% 1.1%  
224 0.1% 0.9%  
225 0.1% 0.8%  
226 0.1% 0.7%  
227 0.1% 0.6%  
228 0.1% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.5%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.3%  
233 0% 0.3%  
234 0.1% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0.1% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.4%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0.1% 99.2%  
120 0.1% 99.2%  
121 0.2% 99.1%  
122 0.1% 98.9%  
123 0.2% 98.8%  
124 0.4% 98.6%  
125 0.3% 98%  
126 0.6% 98%  
127 1.0% 97%  
128 0.5% 96%  
129 0.3% 96%  
130 0.1% 95%  
131 0.1% 95%  
132 2% 95%  
133 0.5% 93%  
134 1.1% 93%  
135 1.2% 92%  
136 0.9% 90%  
137 0.9% 90%  
138 1.1% 89%  
139 0.7% 88%  
140 2% 87%  
141 1.4% 85%  
142 2% 84%  
143 2% 82%  
144 3% 80%  
145 0.9% 77%  
146 1.3% 76%  
147 0.5% 75%  
148 0.4% 74%  
149 0.3% 74%  
150 0.7% 74%  
151 0.6% 73%  
152 1.2% 72%  
153 0.7% 71%  
154 1.0% 71%  
155 4% 70%  
156 2% 66%  
157 3% 64%  
158 1.4% 61%  
159 2% 60%  
160 3% 58%  
161 3% 55% Median
162 2% 52%  
163 5% 51%  
164 1.2% 46%  
165 3% 45%  
166 2% 42%  
167 3% 40%  
168 2% 37%  
169 2% 34%  
170 3% 32%  
171 4% 29%  
172 3% 25%  
173 1.2% 23%  
174 2% 21%  
175 2% 20%  
176 5% 17%  
177 2% 12%  
178 1.2% 10%  
179 2% 9%  
180 2% 7%  
181 0.9% 6%  
182 0.5% 5%  
183 0.6% 4%  
184 0.8% 4%  
185 0.7% 3%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.1% 1.4%  
189 0.1% 1.3%  
190 0.1% 1.2%  
191 0.2% 1.2%  
192 0.2% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.8%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.6%  
89 0.1% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.4%  
91 0% 99.4%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.1%  
95 0.2% 99.0%  
96 0.2% 98.9%  
97 0.3% 98.7%  
98 0.4% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.4% 97%  
102 0.3% 97%  
103 0.5% 97%  
104 0.5% 96%  
105 0.3% 96%  
106 0.7% 95%  
107 1.0% 95%  
108 0.5% 94%  
109 0.3% 93%  
110 0.5% 93%  
111 1.3% 92%  
112 2% 91%  
113 0.7% 89%  
114 0.4% 89%  
115 1.1% 88%  
116 1.0% 87%  
117 0.9% 86%  
118 0.6% 85%  
119 1.5% 85%  
120 1.1% 83%  
121 1.0% 82%  
122 0.5% 81%  
123 2% 81%  
124 0.8% 79%  
125 1.5% 78%  
126 1.2% 77%  
127 1.5% 75%  
128 2% 74%  
129 1.1% 72%  
130 0.9% 71%  
131 0.7% 70%  
132 2% 69%  
133 1.0% 67%  
134 2% 66%  
135 1.5% 64%  
136 1.1% 62%  
137 0.9% 61%  
138 2% 60%  
139 4% 59%  
140 1.1% 54%  
141 3% 53%  
142 1.0% 51% Median
143 3% 50%  
144 3% 47%  
145 1.4% 44%  
146 2% 43%  
147 2% 41%  
148 3% 38%  
149 1.3% 35%  
150 1.1% 34%  
151 4% 33%  
152 2% 29%  
153 3% 27%  
154 2% 24%  
155 1.3% 22%  
156 3% 20%  
157 1.2% 18%  
158 2% 16%  
159 3% 15%  
160 2% 12%  
161 1.4% 10%  
162 0.9% 9%  
163 1.2% 8%  
164 1.3% 7%  
165 0.5% 5%  
166 0.7% 5%  
167 0.8% 4%  
168 0.6% 3%  
169 0.3% 3%  
170 0.2% 2%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.3% 2%  
174 0.2% 1.3%  
175 0.1% 1.1%  
176 0.2% 0.9%  
177 0.1% 0.8%  
178 0.1% 0.7%  
179 0.1% 0.6%  
180 0% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.7%  
82 0% 99.6%  
83 0.1% 99.6%  
84 0.1% 99.5%  
85 0.1% 99.4%  
86 0% 99.4%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 99.1%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0.3% 98.7%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.4% 98%  
96 0.4% 97%  
97 0.3% 97%  
98 0.5% 97%  
99 0.5% 96%  
100 0.4% 96%  
101 0.6% 95%  
102 1.1% 95%  
103 0.3% 94%  
104 0.5% 93%  
105 0.5% 93%  
106 1.3% 92%  
107 2% 91%  
108 0.7% 89%  
109 0.4% 89%  
110 1.2% 88%  
111 0.9% 87%  
112 0.9% 86%  
113 0.5% 85%  
114 2% 85%  
115 1.1% 83%  
116 1.0% 82%  
117 0.5% 81%  
118 2% 81%  
119 0.8% 79%  
120 1.3% 78%  
121 1.3% 77%  
122 1.4% 75%  
123 2% 74%  
124 1.1% 72%  
125 0.7% 71%  
126 0.9% 70%  
127 2% 70%  
128 1.0% 67%  
129 2% 66%  
130 2% 64%  
131 1.1% 62%  
132 0.9% 61%  
133 2% 60%  
134 4% 59%  
135 1.3% 55%  
136 2% 53%  
137 1.1% 51% Median
138 3% 50%  
139 3% 47%  
140 1.4% 44%  
141 2% 43%  
142 2% 41%  
143 3% 38%  
144 1.3% 35%  
145 1.2% 34%  
146 4% 33%  
147 2% 29%  
148 3% 27%  
149 2% 24%  
150 2% 22%  
151 3% 20%  
152 1.1% 18%  
153 2% 17%  
154 3% 15%  
155 2% 12%  
156 1.3% 10%  
157 1.0% 9%  
158 1.2% 8%  
159 1.3% 7%  
160 0.5% 5%  
161 0.6% 5%  
162 0.8% 4%  
163 0.7% 3%  
164 0.3% 3%  
165 0.2% 2%  
166 0.3% 2%  
167 0.2% 2%  
168 0.3% 2%  
169 0.2% 1.3%  
170 0.2% 1.1%  
171 0.1% 0.9%  
172 0.1% 0.8%  
173 0.1% 0.7%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.5%  
177 0.1% 0.4%  
178 0.1% 0.3%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations