Opinion Poll by Find Out Now for Daily Telegraph, 1–3 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 50.6% 48.9–52.3% 48.4–52.8% 48.0–53.2% 47.2–54.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.4% 24.9–27.9% 24.5–28.4% 24.2–28.7% 23.5–29.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.5% 8.5–10.5% 8.3–10.9% 8.0–11.1% 7.6–11.6%
Green Party 2.8% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.2% 3.6–6.6%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.0–5.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 403 386–429 378–439 373–444 365–456
Conservative Party 365 152 124–169 115–177 108–182 96–191
Liberal Democrats 11 21 17–28 15–32 14–34 10–38
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 48 40–56 38–57 36–57 30–58
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–6 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.2% 99.4%  
367 0.2% 99.2%  
368 0.1% 99.0%  
369 0.3% 98.9%  
370 0.2% 98.7%  
371 0.2% 98%  
372 0.4% 98%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.2% 97%  
375 0.4% 97%  
376 0.9% 97%  
377 0.5% 96%  
378 0.5% 95%  
379 0.5% 95%  
380 0.4% 94%  
381 0.8% 94%  
382 0.4% 93%  
383 1.3% 93%  
384 0.7% 92%  
385 0.7% 91%  
386 1.1% 90%  
387 2% 89%  
388 2% 87%  
389 2% 85%  
390 1.0% 84%  
391 2% 83%  
392 3% 81%  
393 3% 78%  
394 2% 75%  
395 2% 73%  
396 2% 71%  
397 2% 68%  
398 3% 66%  
399 4% 64%  
400 2% 60%  
401 3% 58%  
402 4% 55%  
403 3% 51% Median
404 4% 49%  
405 2% 45%  
406 5% 43%  
407 2% 39%  
408 2% 37%  
409 2% 35%  
410 1.2% 34%  
411 3% 33%  
412 1.3% 30%  
413 2% 29%  
414 1.5% 26%  
415 1.3% 25%  
416 2% 23%  
417 2% 21%  
418 1.1% 19%  
419 0.9% 18%  
420 1.1% 17%  
421 1.4% 16%  
422 0.6% 15%  
423 0.8% 14%  
424 0.8% 13%  
425 1.3% 13%  
426 0.5% 11%  
427 0.3% 11%  
428 0.4% 11%  
429 0.4% 10%  
430 0.7% 10%  
431 0.4% 9%  
432 0.7% 9%  
433 0.4% 8%  
434 0.5% 8%  
435 0.4% 7%  
436 0.8% 7%  
437 0.6% 6%  
438 0.3% 5%  
439 0.8% 5%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.7% 4%  
442 0.4% 3%  
443 0.2% 3%  
444 0.4% 3%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.2% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 1.4%  
450 0.2% 1.2%  
451 0.2% 1.1%  
452 0.1% 0.9%  
453 0.1% 0.8%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.5%  
96 0.1% 99.5%  
97 0.1% 99.4%  
98 0.2% 99.3%  
99 0.1% 99.1%  
100 0.1% 99.0%  
101 0% 98.9%  
102 0.1% 98.9%  
103 0.1% 98.8%  
104 0.4% 98.7%  
105 0.1% 98%  
106 0.1% 98%  
107 0.3% 98%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.1% 97%  
110 0.3% 97%  
111 0.7% 97%  
112 0.3% 96%  
113 0.3% 96%  
114 0.2% 96%  
115 0.9% 96%  
116 0.3% 95%  
117 0.8% 94%  
118 0.9% 94%  
119 0.7% 93%  
120 0.3% 92%  
121 0.1% 92%  
122 0.3% 92%  
123 1.2% 91%  
124 0.4% 90%  
125 0.3% 90%  
126 0.4% 90%  
127 0.6% 89%  
128 0.5% 88%  
129 2% 88%  
130 1.3% 86%  
131 0.8% 85%  
132 0.2% 84%  
133 0.8% 84%  
134 0.6% 83%  
135 1.4% 83%  
136 0.9% 81%  
137 1.3% 80%  
138 1.5% 79%  
139 0.7% 78%  
140 2% 77%  
141 2% 74%  
142 0.9% 73%  
143 2% 72%  
144 1.5% 70%  
145 2% 68%  
146 2% 67%  
147 5% 65%  
148 1.5% 60%  
149 2% 59%  
150 3% 56%  
151 2% 53%  
152 3% 52% Median
153 2% 49%  
154 6% 46%  
155 2% 41%  
156 2% 39%  
157 2% 38%  
158 5% 35%  
159 3% 31%  
160 2% 28%  
161 3% 26%  
162 3% 23%  
163 2% 20%  
164 2% 18%  
165 2% 16%  
166 1.2% 14%  
167 1.3% 13%  
168 1.1% 12%  
169 1.3% 11%  
170 0.8% 9%  
171 0.7% 9%  
172 0.4% 8%  
173 0.7% 8%  
174 0.5% 7%  
175 0.3% 6%  
176 0.9% 6%  
177 0.3% 5%  
178 1.0% 5%  
179 0.6% 4%  
180 0.4% 3%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.4% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.1% 1.3%  
187 0.2% 1.2%  
188 0.2% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.6%  
10 1.1% 99.6%  
11 0.2% 98.5% Last Result
12 0.2% 98%  
13 0% 98%  
14 2% 98%  
15 4% 96%  
16 2% 92%  
17 9% 90%  
18 12% 81%  
19 7% 69%  
20 11% 63%  
21 10% 51% Median
22 11% 42%  
23 6% 31%  
24 4% 25%  
25 3% 21%  
26 4% 18%  
27 3% 14%  
28 3% 11%  
29 0.9% 9%  
30 0.8% 8%  
31 1.3% 7%  
32 2% 6%  
33 1.3% 4%  
34 0.6% 3%  
35 0.7% 2%  
36 0.5% 1.4%  
37 0.3% 0.9%  
38 0.2% 0.5%  
39 0.1% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 2% 3%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 0.1% 99.8%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.2% 99.7%  
30 0.2% 99.5%  
31 0% 99.3%  
32 0.2% 99.3%  
33 0.1% 99.1%  
34 1.1% 99.0%  
35 0.2% 98%  
36 1.3% 98%  
37 1.1% 96%  
38 1.2% 95%  
39 2% 94%  
40 2% 92%  
41 5% 89%  
42 3% 85%  
43 2% 82%  
44 8% 79%  
45 7% 72%  
46 7% 65%  
47 4% 58%  
48 6% 54% Last Result, Median
49 1.1% 48%  
50 6% 47%  
51 2% 41%  
52 4% 40%  
53 10% 36%  
54 7% 26%  
55 9% 19%  
56 4% 10%  
57 5% 7%  
58 1.3% 1.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.1% 100%  
4 8% 98.9% Last Result
5 88% 91% Median
6 2% 3%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 478 100% 461–506 453–515 448–522 439–533
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 477 100% 460–505 452–514 447–520 438–532
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 472 100% 455–500 447–509 442–516 433–528
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 456 100% 441–482 434–488 430–494 422–504
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 451 100% 436–477 429–483 425–489 417–500
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 429 100% 409–458 401–468 396–474 385–490
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 424 100% 404–453 396–463 391–470 380–485
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 408 100% 391–434 383–444 378–448 370–461
Labour Party 202 403 100% 386–429 378–439 373–444 365–456
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 205 0% 176–225 166–233 159–238 144–249
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 200 0% 171–220 161–228 155–233 139–244
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 173 0% 147–188 141–195 135–199 124–207
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 157 0% 129–174 120–182 113–187 100–196
Conservative Party 365 152 0% 124–169 115–177 108–182 96–191

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.6%  
440 0.1% 99.4%  
441 0.2% 99.4%  
442 0.2% 99.2%  
443 0.2% 99.0%  
444 0.1% 98.8%  
445 0.3% 98.7%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.3% 98%  
448 0.4% 98%  
449 0.3% 97%  
450 0.4% 97%  
451 0.6% 97%  
452 1.0% 96%  
453 0.3% 95%  
454 0.9% 95%  
455 0.3% 94%  
456 0.5% 94%  
457 0.7% 93%  
458 0.4% 92%  
459 0.7% 92%  
460 0.8% 91%  
461 1.3% 91%  
462 1.1% 89%  
463 1.3% 88%  
464 1.2% 87%  
465 2% 86%  
466 2% 84%  
467 2% 82%  
468 3% 80%  
469 3% 77%  
470 2% 74%  
471 3% 72%  
472 5% 69%  
473 2% 65%  
474 2% 62%  
475 2% 61%  
476 6% 59%  
477 2% 54%  
478 3% 51% Median
479 2% 48%  
480 3% 47%  
481 2% 44%  
482 1.5% 41%  
483 5% 40%  
484 2% 35%  
485 2% 33%  
486 1.5% 32%  
487 2% 30%  
488 0.9% 28%  
489 2% 27%  
490 2% 26%  
491 0.7% 23%  
492 1.5% 22%  
493 1.3% 21%  
494 0.9% 20%  
495 1.4% 19%  
496 0.6% 17%  
497 0.8% 17%  
498 0.2% 16%  
499 0.8% 16%  
500 1.3% 15%  
501 2% 14%  
502 0.5% 12%  
503 0.6% 12%  
504 0.4% 11%  
505 0.3% 10%  
506 0.4% 10%  
507 1.2% 10%  
508 0.3% 9%  
509 0.1% 8%  
510 0.3% 8%  
511 0.7% 8%  
512 0.9% 7%  
513 0.8% 6%  
514 0.3% 6%  
515 0.9% 5%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.3% 4%  
518 0.3% 4%  
519 0.7% 4%  
520 0.3% 3%  
521 0.1% 3%  
522 0.2% 3%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.4% 2%  
527 0.1% 1.3%  
528 0.1% 1.2%  
529 0% 1.1%  
530 0.1% 1.1%  
531 0.1% 1.0%  
532 0.2% 0.9%  
533 0.2% 0.7%  
534 0% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0.1% 0.4%  
537 0% 0.3%  
538 0.1% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0.1% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.8%  
435 0% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.8%  
437 0.1% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.6%  
439 0.1% 99.4%  
440 0.2% 99.4%  
441 0.2% 99.2%  
442 0.2% 99.0%  
443 0.1% 98.8%  
444 0.3% 98.7%  
445 0.3% 98%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.4% 98%  
448 0.3% 97%  
449 0.4% 97%  
450 0.6% 97%  
451 1.0% 96%  
452 0.3% 95%  
453 0.9% 95%  
454 0.3% 94%  
455 0.5% 94%  
456 0.7% 93%  
457 0.3% 92%  
458 0.7% 92%  
459 0.7% 91%  
460 1.3% 91%  
461 1.2% 89%  
462 1.3% 88%  
463 1.2% 87%  
464 2% 86%  
465 2% 84%  
466 2% 82%  
467 3% 80%  
468 3% 77%  
469 2% 74%  
470 3% 72%  
471 4% 69%  
472 2% 65%  
473 2% 62%  
474 2% 61%  
475 6% 59%  
476 2% 53%  
477 3% 51% Median
478 2% 48%  
479 3% 47%  
480 2% 44%  
481 2% 41%  
482 5% 40%  
483 2% 35%  
484 1.4% 33%  
485 1.5% 32%  
486 2% 30%  
487 0.9% 28%  
488 2% 27%  
489 2% 25%  
490 0.7% 23%  
491 1.5% 22%  
492 1.3% 21%  
493 0.9% 20%  
494 2% 19%  
495 0.5% 17%  
496 0.8% 17%  
497 0.2% 16%  
498 0.9% 16%  
499 1.3% 15%  
500 2% 14%  
501 0.5% 12%  
502 0.6% 11%  
503 0.5% 11%  
504 0.3% 10%  
505 0.4% 10%  
506 1.2% 10%  
507 0.3% 9%  
508 0.1% 8%  
509 0.3% 8%  
510 0.8% 8%  
511 0.9% 7%  
512 0.7% 6%  
513 0.3% 6%  
514 0.9% 5%  
515 0.2% 4%  
516 0.3% 4%  
517 0.3% 4%  
518 0.6% 4%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.1% 3%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.4% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.2%  
527 0.1% 1.1%  
528 0% 1.1%  
529 0.1% 1.0%  
530 0.1% 1.0%  
531 0.2% 0.9%  
532 0.2% 0.7%  
533 0% 0.5%  
534 0.1% 0.5%  
535 0.1% 0.4%  
536 0% 0.3%  
537 0.1% 0.3%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0.1% 0.2%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.6%  
434 0.1% 99.5%  
435 0.2% 99.4%  
436 0.2% 99.2%  
437 0.2% 99.0%  
438 0.2% 98.8%  
439 0.3% 98.7%  
440 0.2% 98%  
441 0.4% 98%  
442 0.4% 98%  
443 0.2% 97%  
444 0.4% 97%  
445 0.5% 97%  
446 1.1% 96%  
447 0.4% 95%  
448 0.8% 95%  
449 0.4% 94%  
450 0.5% 94%  
451 0.7% 93%  
452 0.4% 92%  
453 0.6% 92%  
454 0.7% 91%  
455 1.3% 91%  
456 1.3% 90%  
457 1.4% 88%  
458 1.2% 87%  
459 2% 86%  
460 2% 84%  
461 3% 82%  
462 2% 80%  
463 3% 77%  
464 2% 74%  
465 3% 72%  
466 4% 69%  
467 2% 65%  
468 2% 63%  
469 1.4% 61%  
470 6% 59%  
471 2% 54%  
472 3% 51% Median
473 1.3% 48%  
474 3% 47%  
475 2% 44%  
476 2% 41%  
477 5% 40%  
478 2% 35%  
479 1.3% 33%  
480 1.4% 32%  
481 2% 30%  
482 0.8% 28%  
483 2% 28%  
484 2% 26%  
485 0.8% 23%  
486 1.1% 22%  
487 2% 21%  
488 1.0% 20%  
489 2% 19%  
490 0.5% 17%  
491 0.7% 17%  
492 0.3% 16%  
493 0.7% 16%  
494 1.4% 15%  
495 2% 14%  
496 0.5% 12%  
497 0.7% 12%  
498 0.4% 11%  
499 0.3% 10%  
500 0.4% 10%  
501 1.2% 10%  
502 0.4% 9%  
503 0.1% 8%  
504 0.1% 8%  
505 0.9% 8%  
506 0.8% 7%  
507 0.7% 6%  
508 0.4% 6%  
509 0.9% 5%  
510 0.2% 4%  
511 0.2% 4%  
512 0.3% 4%  
513 0.6% 4%  
514 0.3% 3%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.3% 2%  
518 0.1% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.4% 2%  
521 0.1% 1.3%  
522 0.1% 1.2%  
523 0.1% 1.1%  
524 0% 1.0%  
525 0.1% 1.0%  
526 0.1% 0.9%  
527 0.2% 0.7%  
528 0% 0.5%  
529 0.1% 0.5%  
530 0.1% 0.4%  
531 0% 0.3%  
532 0% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.8%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0.2% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.2% 99.4%  
424 0.1% 99.2%  
425 0.3% 99.1%  
426 0.5% 98.8%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.3% 98%  
430 0.6% 98%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 1.0% 96%  
433 0.3% 95%  
434 1.0% 95%  
435 0.4% 94%  
436 0.7% 94%  
437 0.3% 93%  
438 0.4% 93%  
439 0.8% 92%  
440 0.8% 92%  
441 0.9% 91%  
442 2% 90%  
443 2% 88%  
444 2% 86%  
445 2% 84%  
446 0.9% 83%  
447 1.2% 82%  
448 6% 81%  
449 3% 75%  
450 3% 72%  
451 5% 70%  
452 3% 65%  
453 5% 62%  
454 5% 57%  
455 2% 53%  
456 2% 51% Median
457 4% 49%  
458 2% 45%  
459 3% 43%  
460 2% 40%  
461 5% 38%  
462 2% 33%  
463 3% 31%  
464 2% 28%  
465 0.8% 26%  
466 1.2% 26%  
467 2% 24%  
468 2% 23%  
469 3% 21%  
470 0.9% 18%  
471 0.6% 17%  
472 1.2% 16%  
473 2% 15%  
474 0.1% 13%  
475 0% 13%  
476 0.2% 13%  
477 0.5% 12%  
478 0.6% 12%  
479 0.2% 11%  
480 0.6% 11%  
481 0.5% 11%  
482 0.1% 10%  
483 0.4% 10%  
484 1.0% 10%  
485 1.1% 8%  
486 0.2% 7%  
487 1.3% 7%  
488 1.0% 6%  
489 0.2% 5%  
490 0.3% 5%  
491 0.8% 4%  
492 0.3% 4%  
493 0.3% 3%  
494 0.7% 3%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.4% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 1.5%  
499 0.1% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.2%  
501 0.1% 1.1%  
502 0.2% 1.0%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.2% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.2% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.2%  
420 0.2% 99.1%  
421 0.5% 98.8%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.1% 98%  
425 0.8% 98%  
426 0.5% 97%  
427 1.0% 96%  
428 0.3% 95%  
429 1.0% 95%  
430 0.3% 94%  
431 0.7% 94%  
432 0.5% 93%  
433 0.4% 93%  
434 0.8% 92%  
435 0.8% 92%  
436 1.0% 91%  
437 2% 90%  
438 2% 88%  
439 2% 86%  
440 1.3% 84%  
441 1.0% 83%  
442 1.2% 82%  
443 5% 81%  
444 3% 75%  
445 3% 72%  
446 4% 70%  
447 3% 65%  
448 5% 62%  
449 4% 57%  
450 2% 53%  
451 2% 51% Median
452 4% 49%  
453 2% 45%  
454 3% 43%  
455 2% 40%  
456 5% 38%  
457 2% 33%  
458 2% 31%  
459 2% 29%  
460 1.1% 27%  
461 1.0% 26%  
462 2% 25%  
463 2% 23%  
464 3% 21%  
465 1.1% 18%  
466 0.6% 17%  
467 1.1% 16%  
468 2% 15%  
469 0.5% 13%  
470 0.1% 13%  
471 0.1% 13%  
472 0.6% 13%  
473 0.4% 12%  
474 0.3% 11%  
475 0.6% 11%  
476 0.5% 11%  
477 0.1% 10%  
478 0.5% 10%  
479 1.0% 9%  
480 1.1% 9%  
481 0.2% 7%  
482 1.1% 7%  
483 1.2% 6%  
484 0.2% 5%  
485 0.3% 5%  
486 0.8% 4%  
487 0.4% 4%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.7% 3%  
490 0.4% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.1% 1.5%  
494 0.2% 1.4%  
495 0.1% 1.2%  
496 0.1% 1.1%  
497 0.1% 1.0%  
498 0.2% 0.9%  
499 0.2% 0.7%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.5%  
387 0.1% 99.4%  
388 0.2% 99.2%  
389 0.1% 99.1%  
390 0.2% 99.0%  
391 0.1% 98.8%  
392 0.1% 98.7%  
393 0.3% 98.6%  
394 0.2% 98%  
395 0.2% 98%  
396 0.5% 98%  
397 0.4% 97%  
398 1.0% 97%  
399 0.3% 96%  
400 0.7% 96%  
401 0.2% 95%  
402 0.5% 95%  
403 0.3% 94%  
404 0.6% 94%  
405 0.6% 93%  
406 0.7% 93%  
407 0.5% 92%  
408 0.9% 92%  
409 1.0% 91%  
410 0.8% 90%  
411 0.5% 89%  
412 3% 88%  
413 0.7% 86%  
414 3% 85%  
415 2% 82%  
416 2% 80%  
417 2% 77%  
418 2% 75%  
419 1.0% 73%  
420 1.1% 72%  
421 2% 71%  
422 2% 69%  
423 2% 66%  
424 2% 64%  
425 3% 62%  
426 2% 59%  
427 3% 58%  
428 2% 54%  
429 4% 52% Median
430 4% 48%  
431 2% 44%  
432 2% 42%  
433 2% 41%  
434 1.4% 39%  
435 1.3% 37%  
436 1.3% 36%  
437 2% 35%  
438 1.1% 33%  
439 2% 31%  
440 1.1% 30%  
441 2% 29%  
442 2% 26%  
443 2% 25%  
444 1.3% 23%  
445 1.0% 22%  
446 2% 21%  
447 1.4% 19%  
448 1.0% 18%  
449 0.7% 17%  
450 1.2% 16%  
451 0.7% 15%  
452 0.7% 14%  
453 0.9% 14%  
454 0.3% 13%  
455 0.7% 12%  
456 0.9% 12%  
457 0.4% 11%  
458 0.7% 10%  
459 0.6% 10%  
460 0.2% 9%  
461 0.6% 9%  
462 0.6% 8%  
463 0.4% 8%  
464 0.4% 7%  
465 0.6% 7%  
466 0.4% 6%  
467 0.7% 6%  
468 0.4% 5%  
469 0.4% 5%  
470 0.3% 4%  
471 0.9% 4%  
472 0.4% 3%  
473 0.2% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.1% 1.4%  
482 0.2% 1.4%  
483 0.1% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.1%  
485 0.1% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.9%  
487 0.1% 0.8%  
488 0.2% 0.7%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.2% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.1%  
385 0.2% 99.0%  
386 0.1% 98.8%  
387 0.1% 98.7%  
388 0.3% 98.6%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.5% 98%  
392 0.4% 97%  
393 0.8% 97%  
394 0.5% 96%  
395 0.7% 96%  
396 0.2% 95%  
397 0.5% 95%  
398 0.3% 94%  
399 0.6% 94%  
400 0.6% 93%  
401 0.7% 93%  
402 0.6% 92%  
403 0.8% 92%  
404 1.0% 91%  
405 0.9% 90%  
406 0.5% 89%  
407 3% 88%  
408 0.7% 86%  
409 3% 85%  
410 2% 82%  
411 2% 80%  
412 2% 77%  
413 2% 76%  
414 1.0% 73%  
415 1.2% 72%  
416 2% 71%  
417 3% 69%  
418 2% 66%  
419 2% 64%  
420 2% 62%  
421 2% 60%  
422 4% 58%  
423 2% 54%  
424 4% 52% Median
425 4% 48%  
426 2% 44%  
427 2% 43%  
428 2% 41%  
429 1.4% 39%  
430 1.3% 37%  
431 1.1% 36%  
432 2% 35%  
433 1.1% 33%  
434 1.4% 32%  
435 1.2% 30%  
436 2% 29%  
437 2% 27%  
438 1.4% 25%  
439 2% 24%  
440 1.0% 22%  
441 2% 21%  
442 1.2% 19%  
443 1.2% 18%  
444 0.5% 17%  
445 1.3% 16%  
446 0.7% 15%  
447 0.8% 14%  
448 0.8% 14%  
449 0.3% 13%  
450 0.6% 12%  
451 0.8% 12%  
452 0.5% 11%  
453 0.7% 10%  
454 0.6% 10%  
455 0.2% 9%  
456 0.6% 9%  
457 0.6% 8%  
458 0.3% 8%  
459 0.4% 7%  
460 0.6% 7%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.7% 6%  
463 0.4% 5%  
464 0.3% 5%  
465 0.3% 4%  
466 1.0% 4%  
467 0.4% 3%  
468 0.1% 3%  
469 0.2% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.1% 2%  
472 0.2% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 1.5%  
477 0.2% 1.4%  
478 0.1% 1.2%  
479 0.1% 1.1%  
480 0.1% 1.0%  
481 0.1% 0.9%  
482 0% 0.9%  
483 0.2% 0.8%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.1% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.4%  
372 0.2% 99.2%  
373 0.1% 99.0%  
374 0.2% 98.9%  
375 0.3% 98.7%  
376 0.2% 98%  
377 0.5% 98%  
378 0.4% 98%  
379 0.2% 97%  
380 0.4% 97%  
381 0.8% 97%  
382 0.6% 96%  
383 0.4% 95%  
384 0.6% 95%  
385 0.3% 94%  
386 0.8% 94%  
387 0.4% 93%  
388 2% 93%  
389 0.4% 91%  
390 0.8% 91%  
391 1.0% 90%  
392 2% 89%  
393 2% 87%  
394 2% 85%  
395 1.1% 84%  
396 2% 82%  
397 3% 81%  
398 3% 78%  
399 3% 75%  
400 2% 73%  
401 2% 70%  
402 2% 68%  
403 3% 66%  
404 4% 64%  
405 2% 60%  
406 3% 58%  
407 4% 55%  
408 3% 51% Median
409 4% 48%  
410 2% 45%  
411 5% 43%  
412 1.4% 38%  
413 2% 37%  
414 2% 35%  
415 1.2% 34%  
416 3% 32%  
417 1.1% 30%  
418 2% 28%  
419 2% 26%  
420 2% 25%  
421 2% 23%  
422 1.5% 21%  
423 1.2% 19%  
424 0.8% 18%  
425 2% 17%  
426 0.8% 16%  
427 0.8% 15%  
428 0.8% 14%  
429 0.8% 13%  
430 1.2% 13%  
431 0.5% 11%  
432 0.3% 11%  
433 0.4% 11%  
434 0.5% 10%  
435 0.6% 10%  
436 0.5% 9%  
437 0.6% 9%  
438 0.3% 8%  
439 0.5% 8%  
440 0.4% 7%  
441 0.8% 7%  
442 0.6% 6%  
443 0.3% 5%  
444 0.8% 5%  
445 0.3% 4%  
446 0.8% 4%  
447 0.4% 3%  
448 0.3% 3%  
449 0.3% 2%  
450 0.3% 2%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.1% 1.5%  
454 0.2% 1.3%  
455 0.1% 1.2%  
456 0.2% 1.0%  
457 0.1% 0.9%  
458 0.1% 0.8%  
459 0.1% 0.7%  
460 0.1% 0.6%  
461 0% 0.5%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.2% 99.4%  
367 0.2% 99.2%  
368 0.1% 99.0%  
369 0.3% 98.9%  
370 0.2% 98.7%  
371 0.2% 98%  
372 0.4% 98%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.2% 97%  
375 0.4% 97%  
376 0.9% 97%  
377 0.5% 96%  
378 0.5% 95%  
379 0.5% 95%  
380 0.4% 94%  
381 0.8% 94%  
382 0.4% 93%  
383 1.3% 93%  
384 0.7% 92%  
385 0.7% 91%  
386 1.1% 90%  
387 2% 89%  
388 2% 87%  
389 2% 85%  
390 1.0% 84%  
391 2% 83%  
392 3% 81%  
393 3% 78%  
394 2% 75%  
395 2% 73%  
396 2% 71%  
397 2% 68%  
398 3% 66%  
399 4% 64%  
400 2% 60%  
401 3% 58%  
402 4% 55%  
403 3% 51% Median
404 4% 49%  
405 2% 45%  
406 5% 43%  
407 2% 39%  
408 2% 37%  
409 2% 35%  
410 1.2% 34%  
411 3% 33%  
412 1.3% 30%  
413 2% 29%  
414 1.5% 26%  
415 1.3% 25%  
416 2% 23%  
417 2% 21%  
418 1.1% 19%  
419 0.9% 18%  
420 1.1% 17%  
421 1.4% 16%  
422 0.6% 15%  
423 0.8% 14%  
424 0.8% 13%  
425 1.3% 13%  
426 0.5% 11%  
427 0.3% 11%  
428 0.4% 11%  
429 0.4% 10%  
430 0.7% 10%  
431 0.4% 9%  
432 0.7% 9%  
433 0.4% 8%  
434 0.5% 8%  
435 0.4% 7%  
436 0.8% 7%  
437 0.6% 6%  
438 0.3% 5%  
439 0.8% 5%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.7% 4%  
442 0.4% 3%  
443 0.2% 3%  
444 0.4% 3%  
445 0.3% 2%  
446 0.2% 2%  
447 0.2% 2%  
448 0.2% 2%  
449 0.1% 1.4%  
450 0.2% 1.2%  
451 0.2% 1.1%  
452 0.1% 0.9%  
453 0.1% 0.8%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.2%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.5%  
145 0.1% 99.4%  
146 0.2% 99.4%  
147 0% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.1%  
149 0.1% 99.1%  
150 0.1% 99.0%  
151 0.1% 98.9%  
152 0.1% 98.7%  
153 0.1% 98.6%  
154 0.2% 98.5%  
155 0.1% 98%  
156 0.1% 98%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.1% 98%  
159 0.3% 98%  
160 0.2% 97%  
161 0.1% 97%  
162 0.4% 97%  
163 1.0% 97%  
164 0.4% 96%  
165 0.3% 95%  
166 0.4% 95%  
167 0.7% 95%  
168 0.4% 94%  
169 0.6% 94%  
170 0.4% 93%  
171 0.3% 93%  
172 0.6% 92%  
173 0.7% 92%  
174 0.2% 91%  
175 0.6% 91%  
176 0.7% 90%  
177 0.6% 89%  
178 0.6% 89%  
179 0.6% 88%  
180 0.3% 88%  
181 0.8% 87%  
182 0.8% 86%  
183 0.8% 86%  
184 1.2% 85%  
185 0.5% 84%  
186 1.2% 83%  
187 1.2% 82%  
188 2% 81%  
189 1.0% 79%  
190 2% 78%  
191 1.4% 76%  
192 2% 75%  
193 2% 73%  
194 1.2% 71%  
195 1.4% 70%  
196 1.2% 68%  
197 2% 67%  
198 1.1% 65%  
199 1.3% 64%  
200 1.3% 62%  
201 2% 61%  
202 2% 59%  
203 2% 57%  
204 4% 56%  
205 4% 51% Median
206 2% 48%  
207 4% 46%  
208 2% 42%  
209 2% 40%  
210 2% 38%  
211 2% 36%  
212 3% 34%  
213 2% 31%  
214 1.2% 29%  
215 1.0% 27%  
216 2% 26%  
217 2% 24%  
218 2% 23%  
219 2% 20%  
220 3% 18%  
221 0.7% 15%  
222 3% 14%  
223 0.5% 12%  
224 0.9% 11%  
225 1.0% 10%  
226 0.8% 9%  
227 0.5% 8%  
228 0.7% 8%  
229 0.6% 7%  
230 0.6% 7%  
231 0.3% 6%  
232 0.5% 6%  
233 0.2% 5%  
234 0.7% 5%  
235 0.5% 4%  
236 0.8% 4%  
237 0.4% 3%  
238 0.5% 3%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.2% 2%  
241 0.3% 2%  
242 0.1% 1.4%  
243 0.1% 1.3%  
244 0.2% 1.2%  
245 0.1% 1.0%  
246 0.2% 0.9%  
247 0.1% 0.7%  
248 0.1% 0.6%  
249 0.1% 0.5%  
250 0.1% 0.4%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0.1% 0.3%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.7%  
137 0.1% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0.1% 99.5%  
140 0.1% 99.4%  
141 0.1% 99.4%  
142 0.1% 99.2%  
143 0.1% 99.1%  
144 0.1% 99.1%  
145 0.1% 99.0%  
146 0.1% 98.9%  
147 0.1% 98.8%  
148 0.1% 98.6%  
149 0.2% 98.6%  
150 0.1% 98%  
151 0.1% 98%  
152 0.2% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.3% 98%  
156 0.1% 97%  
157 0.4% 97%  
158 0.9% 97%  
159 0.4% 96%  
160 0.3% 95%  
161 0.4% 95%  
162 0.7% 95%  
163 0.4% 94%  
164 0.6% 94%  
165 0.4% 93%  
166 0.3% 93%  
167 0.6% 92%  
168 0.7% 92%  
169 0.2% 91%  
170 0.6% 91%  
171 0.7% 90%  
172 0.5% 90%  
173 0.8% 89%  
174 0.7% 88%  
175 0.3% 88%  
176 0.9% 87%  
177 0.7% 86%  
178 0.8% 86%  
179 1.1% 85%  
180 0.6% 84%  
181 1.0% 83%  
182 1.4% 82%  
183 2% 81%  
184 1.1% 79%  
185 1.3% 78%  
186 2% 77%  
187 2% 75%  
188 2% 74%  
189 1.1% 71%  
190 2% 70%  
191 1.2% 68%  
192 2% 67%  
193 1.3% 65%  
194 1.3% 64%  
195 1.3% 62%  
196 2% 61%  
197 2% 59%  
198 2% 58%  
199 4% 56%  
200 4% 52% Median
201 2% 48%  
202 4% 46%  
203 2% 42%  
204 3% 41%  
205 2% 38%  
206 2% 36%  
207 2% 34%  
208 2% 31%  
209 1.1% 29%  
210 1.1% 28%  
211 2% 27%  
212 2% 25%  
213 2% 23%  
214 2% 20%  
215 3% 18%  
216 0.7% 15%  
217 3% 14%  
218 0.5% 12%  
219 0.8% 11%  
220 0.9% 10%  
221 0.9% 9%  
222 0.5% 8%  
223 0.7% 8%  
224 0.7% 7%  
225 0.6% 7%  
226 0.3% 6%  
227 0.5% 6%  
228 0.2% 5%  
229 0.7% 5%  
230 0.3% 4%  
231 1.0% 4%  
232 0.4% 3%  
233 0.5% 3%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.2% 2%  
236 0.3% 2%  
237 0.1% 1.4%  
238 0.1% 1.3%  
239 0.2% 1.2%  
240 0.1% 1.0%  
241 0.2% 0.9%  
242 0.1% 0.8%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0.1% 0.5%  
245 0.1% 0.4%  
246 0.1% 0.3%  
247 0.1% 0.3%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0.1% 99.6%  
124 0.2% 99.5%  
125 0.1% 99.4%  
126 0.1% 99.3%  
127 0.2% 99.1%  
128 0.2% 99.0%  
129 0.1% 98.8%  
130 0.1% 98.7%  
131 0.1% 98.6%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.5% 98%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 0.7% 98%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.3% 97%  
138 0.8% 96%  
139 0.3% 96%  
140 0.3% 95%  
141 0.9% 95%  
142 1.3% 94%  
143 0.3% 93%  
144 1.1% 93%  
145 1.0% 91%  
146 0.5% 90%  
147 0.1% 90%  
148 0.5% 90%  
149 0.5% 89%  
150 0.2% 89%  
151 0.6% 89%  
152 0.5% 88%  
153 0.2% 88%  
154 0% 87%  
155 0.2% 87%  
156 2% 87%  
157 1.2% 85%  
158 0.6% 84%  
159 0.9% 83%  
160 3% 82%  
161 2% 79%  
162 2% 77%  
163 1.2% 76%  
164 0.9% 74%  
165 2% 74%  
166 3% 72%  
167 2% 69%  
168 5% 67%  
169 2% 62%  
170 3% 60%  
171 2% 57%  
172 4% 55%  
173 2% 51% Median
174 2% 49%  
175 5% 47%  
176 5% 43%  
177 3% 38%  
178 5% 35%  
179 3% 30%  
180 3% 28%  
181 6% 25%  
182 1.2% 19%  
183 0.9% 18%  
184 2% 17%  
185 2% 16%  
186 2% 14%  
187 2% 12%  
188 0.9% 10%  
189 0.8% 9%  
190 0.8% 8%  
191 0.4% 8%  
192 0.3% 7%  
193 0.7% 7%  
194 0.3% 6%  
195 1.0% 6%  
196 0.3% 5%  
197 1.0% 5%  
198 0.5% 4%  
199 0.6% 3%  
200 0.3% 2%  
201 0.4% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.5% 2%  
204 0.3% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 0.9%  
206 0.2% 0.8%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.2% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0.1% 99.6%  
99 0.1% 99.6%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.2% 99.4%  
103 0.1% 99.2%  
104 0.1% 99.1%  
105 0% 99.0%  
106 0.1% 98.9%  
107 0.1% 98.9%  
108 0.1% 98.8%  
109 0.4% 98.7%  
110 0.2% 98%  
111 0.2% 98%  
112 0.3% 98%  
113 0.2% 98%  
114 0.2% 97%  
115 0.3% 97%  
116 0.7% 97%  
117 0.3% 96%  
118 0.3% 96%  
119 0.2% 96%  
120 0.9% 96%  
121 0.3% 95%  
122 0.8% 94%  
123 0.8% 94%  
124 0.8% 93%  
125 0.1% 92%  
126 0.1% 92%  
127 0.4% 92%  
128 1.1% 91%  
129 0.4% 90%  
130 0.3% 90%  
131 0.4% 90%  
132 0.7% 89%  
133 0.5% 88%  
134 2% 88%  
135 1.4% 86%  
136 0.7% 85%  
137 0.4% 84%  
138 0.7% 84%  
139 0.6% 83%  
140 1.4% 83%  
141 1.0% 81%  
142 2% 80%  
143 1.1% 79%  
144 0.8% 78%  
145 2% 77%  
146 2% 74%  
147 0.9% 72%  
148 2% 72%  
149 1.4% 70%  
150 1.4% 68%  
151 2% 67%  
152 5% 65%  
153 1.4% 60%  
154 2% 59%  
155 3% 56%  
156 1.5% 53%  
157 3% 52% Median
158 2% 49%  
159 6% 46%  
160 1.4% 41%  
161 2% 39%  
162 2% 37%  
163 4% 35%  
164 3% 31%  
165 2% 28%  
166 3% 26%  
167 2% 23%  
168 3% 20%  
169 2% 18%  
170 2% 16%  
171 1.2% 14%  
172 1.4% 13%  
173 1.3% 12%  
174 1.3% 10%  
175 0.7% 9%  
176 0.6% 9%  
177 0.4% 8%  
178 0.7% 8%  
179 0.5% 7%  
180 0.4% 6%  
181 0.8% 6%  
182 0.4% 5%  
183 1.1% 5%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.4% 3%  
186 0.2% 3%  
187 0.4% 3%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.2% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.2% 1.3%  
192 0.2% 1.2%  
193 0.2% 1.0%  
194 0.2% 0.8%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.5%  
96 0.1% 99.5%  
97 0.1% 99.4%  
98 0.2% 99.3%  
99 0.1% 99.1%  
100 0.1% 99.0%  
101 0% 98.9%  
102 0.1% 98.9%  
103 0.1% 98.8%  
104 0.4% 98.7%  
105 0.1% 98%  
106 0.1% 98%  
107 0.3% 98%  
108 0.2% 98%  
109 0.1% 97%  
110 0.3% 97%  
111 0.7% 97%  
112 0.3% 96%  
113 0.3% 96%  
114 0.2% 96%  
115 0.9% 96%  
116 0.3% 95%  
117 0.8% 94%  
118 0.9% 94%  
119 0.7% 93%  
120 0.3% 92%  
121 0.1% 92%  
122 0.3% 92%  
123 1.2% 91%  
124 0.4% 90%  
125 0.3% 90%  
126 0.4% 90%  
127 0.6% 89%  
128 0.5% 88%  
129 2% 88%  
130 1.3% 86%  
131 0.8% 85%  
132 0.2% 84%  
133 0.8% 84%  
134 0.6% 83%  
135 1.4% 83%  
136 0.9% 81%  
137 1.3% 80%  
138 1.5% 79%  
139 0.7% 78%  
140 2% 77%  
141 2% 74%  
142 0.9% 73%  
143 2% 72%  
144 1.5% 70%  
145 2% 68%  
146 2% 67%  
147 5% 65%  
148 1.5% 60%  
149 2% 59%  
150 3% 56%  
151 2% 53%  
152 3% 52% Median
153 2% 49%  
154 6% 46%  
155 2% 41%  
156 2% 39%  
157 2% 38%  
158 5% 35%  
159 3% 31%  
160 2% 28%  
161 3% 26%  
162 3% 23%  
163 2% 20%  
164 2% 18%  
165 2% 16%  
166 1.2% 14%  
167 1.3% 13%  
168 1.1% 12%  
169 1.3% 11%  
170 0.8% 9%  
171 0.7% 9%  
172 0.4% 8%  
173 0.7% 8%  
174 0.5% 7%  
175 0.3% 6%  
176 0.9% 6%  
177 0.3% 5%  
178 1.0% 5%  
179 0.6% 4%  
180 0.4% 3%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.4% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.1% 1.3%  
187 0.2% 1.2%  
188 0.2% 1.0%  
189 0.2% 0.8%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.6%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations