Opinion Poll by Omnisis, 28–29 March 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 51.7% 49.9–53.5% 49.4–54.0% 48.9–54.4% 48.1–55.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 27.9% 26.3–29.5% 25.9–30.0% 25.5–30.4% 24.8–31.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.3% 8.4–10.5% 8.1–10.8% 7.8–11.1% 7.4–11.6%
Green Party 2.8% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.4–4.0% 2.3–4.2% 2.1–4.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.7–4.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 409 388–429 381–438 377–450 368–459
Conservative Party 365 163 141–185 131–191 122–196 108–205
Liberal Democrats 11 22 15–27 12–29 10–31 7–37
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 48 33 20–44 18–46 16–48 13–53
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.5%  
370 0.1% 99.4%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.3% 99.1%  
373 0.3% 98.8%  
374 0.2% 98.5%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.8% 98%  
378 0.3% 97%  
379 0.7% 97%  
380 0.3% 96%  
381 0.7% 96%  
382 0.7% 95%  
383 0.4% 94%  
384 0.7% 94%  
385 0.9% 93%  
386 0.7% 92%  
387 1.3% 91%  
388 1.2% 90%  
389 0.4% 89%  
390 2% 88%  
391 0.5% 86%  
392 2% 86%  
393 0.7% 84%  
394 2% 83%  
395 1.3% 81%  
396 0.4% 80%  
397 1.4% 79%  
398 3% 78%  
399 3% 75%  
400 3% 72%  
401 1.3% 69%  
402 2% 68%  
403 1.3% 66%  
404 2% 64%  
405 2% 62%  
406 4% 60%  
407 2% 57%  
408 3% 55%  
409 2% 52% Median
410 4% 49%  
411 2% 45%  
412 3% 43%  
413 2% 40%  
414 2% 38%  
415 3% 36%  
416 1.3% 32%  
417 2% 31%  
418 2% 28%  
419 4% 26%  
420 2% 22%  
421 2% 21%  
422 2% 18%  
423 1.1% 17%  
424 1.1% 16%  
425 2% 15%  
426 0.9% 12%  
427 0.8% 11%  
428 0.4% 11%  
429 1.0% 10%  
430 0.7% 9%  
431 0.2% 8%  
432 0.9% 8%  
433 0.4% 7%  
434 0.4% 7%  
435 0.6% 7%  
436 0.3% 6%  
437 0.4% 6%  
438 0.6% 5%  
439 0.2% 5%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.1% 4%  
442 0.2% 4%  
443 0.3% 4%  
444 0.2% 4%  
445 0.1% 3%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.5% 3%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.2%  
455 0.1% 1.0%  
456 0.1% 0.9%  
457 0% 0.8%  
458 0.1% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.6%  
460 0.1% 0.5%  
461 0.1% 0.4%  
462 0% 0.4%  
463 0.1% 0.3%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.1% 99.6%  
109 0.1% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.4%  
111 0.2% 99.3%  
112 0.1% 99.2%  
113 0.1% 99.0%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.1% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.7%  
117 0.3% 98.6%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.3% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.1% 97%  
124 0.4% 97%  
125 0.1% 97%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.3% 96%  
128 0.2% 96%  
129 0.2% 96%  
130 0.2% 95%  
131 0.3% 95%  
132 0.2% 95%  
133 0.3% 95%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 1.2% 94%  
136 0.4% 93%  
137 0.2% 93%  
138 0.3% 92%  
139 0.8% 92%  
140 0.5% 91%  
141 1.0% 91%  
142 0.8% 90%  
143 0.6% 89%  
144 1.1% 88%  
145 0.5% 87%  
146 0.8% 87%  
147 1.3% 86%  
148 2% 84%  
149 1.0% 82%  
150 2% 81%  
151 3% 79%  
152 2% 76%  
153 2% 74%  
154 2% 73%  
155 1.3% 71%  
156 3% 70%  
157 5% 67%  
158 3% 62%  
159 2% 59%  
160 2% 57%  
161 3% 55%  
162 2% 52%  
163 3% 50% Median
164 3% 47%  
165 1.5% 44%  
166 3% 42%  
167 3% 39%  
168 2% 36%  
169 2% 34%  
170 2% 32%  
171 1.2% 30%  
172 3% 29%  
173 2% 26%  
174 1.4% 24%  
175 2% 22%  
176 0.7% 20%  
177 1.2% 19%  
178 1.0% 18%  
179 1.5% 17%  
180 1.3% 16%  
181 2% 14%  
182 0.5% 13%  
183 1.0% 12%  
184 1.2% 11%  
185 0.9% 10%  
186 0.9% 9%  
187 1.0% 8%  
188 0.7% 7%  
189 0.4% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.5% 5%  
192 0.7% 5%  
193 0.9% 4%  
194 0.3% 3%  
195 0.3% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.5% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.4%  
201 0.2% 1.1%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.8% 99.9%  
8 0.5% 99.1%  
9 0.7% 98.6%  
10 0.8% 98%  
11 1.0% 97% Last Result
12 2% 96%  
13 0.7% 94%  
14 2% 94%  
15 4% 91%  
16 3% 87%  
17 9% 85%  
18 4% 75%  
19 6% 71%  
20 7% 66%  
21 6% 59%  
22 15% 53% Median
23 11% 37%  
24 3% 26%  
25 5% 23%  
26 5% 17%  
27 7% 13%  
28 0.5% 6%  
29 0.8% 5%  
30 1.1% 5%  
31 1.1% 3%  
32 0.4% 2%  
33 0.4% 2%  
34 0.1% 2%  
35 0.6% 1.4%  
36 0.2% 0.9%  
37 0.3% 0.6%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.2% 99.7%  
12 0% 99.5%  
13 0.2% 99.5%  
14 0.1% 99.3%  
15 0.6% 99.2%  
16 1.4% 98.6%  
17 2% 97%  
18 2% 95%  
19 2% 93%  
20 3% 91%  
21 5% 88%  
22 3% 83%  
23 2% 80%  
24 5% 77%  
25 2% 73%  
26 3% 70%  
27 4% 67%  
28 2% 64%  
29 3% 62%  
30 3% 59%  
31 2% 56%  
32 5% 55%  
33 2% 50% Median
34 5% 49%  
35 5% 44%  
36 4% 39%  
37 6% 35%  
38 3% 29%  
39 5% 26%  
40 2% 21%  
41 5% 20%  
42 3% 15%  
43 2% 12%  
44 3% 10%  
45 2% 8%  
46 2% 5%  
47 0.3% 3%  
48 0.9% 3% Last Result
49 0.1% 2%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.2% 1.2%  
52 0.2% 1.1%  
53 0.4% 0.8%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.5%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 3% 99.8%  
4 13% 97% Last Result
5 82% 85% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 467 100% 445–489 439–499 434–508 425–522
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 466 100% 444–488 438–498 433–507 424–521
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 462 100% 440–483 433–493 428–503 419–516
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 446 100% 425–464 419–474 415–480 406–493
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 435 100% 411–458 404–467 397–480 387–491
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 430 100% 406–453 399–462 392–476 382–487
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 441 100% 420–459 415–469 410–475 402–488
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 414 100% 393–434 386–443 382–454 373–464
Labour Party 202 409 100% 388–429 381–438 377–450 368–459
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 199 0% 176–223 167–230 153–237 142–247
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 194 0% 171–218 162–225 149–232 138–242
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 183 0% 165–204 155–210 149–214 136–223
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 167 0% 146–189 136–196 126–201 113–210
Conservative Party 365 163 0% 141–185 131–191 122–196 108–205

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.8%  
419 0% 99.8%  
420 0% 99.7%  
421 0% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0% 99.6%  
424 0% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.5%  
426 0.1% 99.4%  
427 0.1% 99.3%  
428 0.1% 99.2%  
429 0.2% 99.0%  
430 0.2% 98.9%  
431 0.4% 98.6%  
432 0.2% 98%  
433 0.5% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.3% 97%  
436 0.3% 97%  
437 0.9% 97%  
438 0.7% 96%  
439 0.5% 95%  
440 0.7% 95%  
441 0.5% 94%  
442 0.7% 93%  
443 1.0% 93%  
444 0.9% 92%  
445 0.9% 91%  
446 1.2% 90%  
447 1.0% 89%  
448 0.5% 88%  
449 2% 87%  
450 1.3% 86%  
451 1.5% 84%  
452 1.0% 83%  
453 1.2% 82%  
454 0.7% 81%  
455 2% 80%  
456 1.4% 78%  
457 2% 76%  
458 3% 74%  
459 1.2% 71%  
460 2% 70%  
461 2% 68%  
462 2% 66%  
463 3% 64%  
464 3% 61%  
465 1.5% 58%  
466 3% 56%  
467 3% 53%  
468 2% 50%  
469 3% 48%  
470 2% 45% Median
471 2% 43%  
472 3% 41%  
473 5% 38%  
474 3% 33%  
475 1.3% 30%  
476 2% 29%  
477 1.5% 27%  
478 2% 26%  
479 3% 24%  
480 2% 21%  
481 0.9% 19%  
482 2% 18%  
483 1.3% 15%  
484 0.8% 14%  
485 0.5% 13%  
486 1.1% 13%  
487 0.6% 12%  
488 0.8% 11%  
489 1.0% 10%  
490 0.5% 9%  
491 0.8% 9%  
492 0.3% 8%  
493 0.2% 8%  
494 0.4% 7%  
495 1.2% 7%  
496 0.2% 6%  
497 0.3% 6%  
498 0.2% 5%  
499 0.3% 5%  
500 0.2% 5%  
501 0.2% 5%  
502 0.2% 4%  
503 0.3% 4%  
504 0.4% 4%  
505 0.1% 3%  
506 0.4% 3%  
507 0.1% 3%  
508 0.4% 3%  
509 0.1% 2%  
510 0.3% 2%  
511 0.1% 2%  
512 0.3% 2%  
513 0.3% 2%  
514 0.1% 1.4%  
515 0.1% 1.3%  
516 0.1% 1.2%  
517 0.1% 1.1%  
518 0.1% 1.0%  
519 0.2% 0.8%  
520 0.1% 0.7%  
521 0.1% 0.6%  
522 0.1% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0.1% 0.4%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.8%  
418 0% 99.8%  
419 0% 99.7%  
420 0% 99.7%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0% 99.6%  
423 0% 99.6%  
424 0.1% 99.5%  
425 0.1% 99.4%  
426 0.1% 99.3%  
427 0.1% 99.2%  
428 0.2% 99.0%  
429 0.2% 98.9%  
430 0.4% 98.6%  
431 0.2% 98%  
432 0.5% 98%  
433 0.4% 98%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.3% 97%  
436 0.9% 97%  
437 0.7% 96%  
438 0.5% 95%  
439 0.7% 95%  
440 0.5% 94%  
441 0.7% 93%  
442 1.0% 93%  
443 0.9% 92%  
444 0.9% 91%  
445 1.2% 90%  
446 1.0% 89%  
447 0.5% 88%  
448 2% 87%  
449 1.3% 86%  
450 1.5% 84%  
451 1.0% 83%  
452 1.2% 82%  
453 0.7% 81%  
454 2% 80%  
455 1.4% 78%  
456 2% 76%  
457 3% 74%  
458 1.2% 71%  
459 2% 70%  
460 2% 68%  
461 2% 66%  
462 3% 64%  
463 3% 61%  
464 1.5% 58%  
465 3% 56%  
466 3% 53%  
467 2% 50%  
468 3% 48%  
469 2% 45% Median
470 2% 43%  
471 3% 41%  
472 5% 38%  
473 3% 33%  
474 1.3% 30%  
475 2% 29%  
476 1.5% 27%  
477 2% 26%  
478 3% 24%  
479 2% 21%  
480 0.9% 19%  
481 2% 18%  
482 1.3% 15%  
483 0.8% 14%  
484 0.5% 13%  
485 1.1% 13%  
486 0.6% 12%  
487 0.8% 11%  
488 1.0% 10%  
489 0.5% 9%  
490 0.8% 9%  
491 0.3% 8%  
492 0.2% 8%  
493 0.4% 7%  
494 1.2% 7%  
495 0.2% 6%  
496 0.3% 6%  
497 0.2% 5%  
498 0.3% 5%  
499 0.2% 5%  
500 0.2% 5%  
501 0.2% 4%  
502 0.3% 4%  
503 0.4% 4%  
504 0.1% 3%  
505 0.4% 3%  
506 0.1% 3%  
507 0.4% 3%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0.3% 2%  
510 0.1% 2%  
511 0.3% 2%  
512 0.3% 2%  
513 0.1% 1.4%  
514 0.1% 1.3%  
515 0.1% 1.2%  
516 0.1% 1.1%  
517 0.1% 1.0%  
518 0.2% 0.8%  
519 0.1% 0.7%  
520 0.1% 0.6%  
521 0.1% 0.5%  
522 0.1% 0.4%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0.1% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.7%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0% 99.6%  
418 0% 99.6%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.2% 99.4%  
421 0.1% 99.3%  
422 0.1% 99.2%  
423 0.2% 99.1%  
424 0.2% 98.9%  
425 0.4% 98.6%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.5% 98%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.4% 97%  
430 0.3% 97%  
431 0.9% 97%  
432 0.7% 96%  
433 0.4% 95%  
434 0.7% 95%  
435 0.5% 94%  
436 0.6% 93%  
437 1.0% 93%  
438 0.9% 92%  
439 0.6% 91%  
440 1.3% 90%  
441 1.2% 89%  
442 0.5% 88%  
443 2% 87%  
444 1.2% 86%  
445 2% 85%  
446 1.1% 83%  
447 0.6% 82%  
448 1.1% 81%  
449 2% 80%  
450 1.4% 78%  
451 3% 76%  
452 3% 74%  
453 1.2% 71%  
454 2% 70%  
455 2% 68%  
456 2% 66%  
457 2% 64%  
458 4% 62%  
459 1.5% 58%  
460 3% 57%  
461 3% 53%  
462 2% 50%  
463 3% 49%  
464 3% 46% Median
465 2% 43%  
466 3% 41%  
467 5% 38%  
468 3% 33%  
469 1.0% 30%  
470 2% 29%  
471 2% 28%  
472 0.8% 26%  
473 4% 25%  
474 2% 21%  
475 0.8% 19%  
476 2% 18%  
477 1.3% 16%  
478 1.2% 15%  
479 0.8% 14%  
480 1.1% 13%  
481 0.7% 12%  
482 0.7% 11%  
483 1.0% 10%  
484 0.6% 9%  
485 0.8% 9%  
486 0.3% 8%  
487 0.3% 8%  
488 0.4% 7%  
489 1.0% 7%  
490 0.5% 6%  
491 0.3% 6%  
492 0.2% 5%  
493 0.2% 5%  
494 0.3% 5%  
495 0.2% 5%  
496 0.2% 4%  
497 0.3% 4%  
498 0.4% 4%  
499 0.1% 3%  
500 0.5% 3%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.4% 3%  
503 0.1% 3%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.1% 2%  
506 0.3% 2%  
507 0.1% 2%  
508 0.3% 2%  
509 0.1% 1.3%  
510 0.1% 1.2%  
511 0.1% 1.1%  
512 0.1% 1.0%  
513 0.1% 0.8%  
514 0.1% 0.7%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.4%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.6%  
407 0.1% 99.5%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.1% 99.4%  
410 0.1% 99.3%  
411 0.2% 99.1%  
412 0.2% 99.0%  
413 0.2% 98.8%  
414 0.2% 98.6%  
415 1.5% 98%  
416 0.4% 97%  
417 0.4% 96%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.7% 96%  
420 0.6% 95%  
421 0.8% 94%  
422 0.8% 93%  
423 0.6% 93%  
424 1.0% 92%  
425 2% 91%  
426 0.9% 90%  
427 0.6% 89%  
428 0.2% 88%  
429 0.3% 88%  
430 1.1% 88%  
431 2% 87%  
432 2% 85%  
433 2% 83%  
434 4% 81%  
435 2% 77%  
436 3% 75%  
437 3% 71%  
438 1.3% 68%  
439 0.7% 67%  
440 1.3% 66%  
441 2% 65%  
442 2% 63%  
443 3% 61%  
444 3% 58%  
445 5% 55%  
446 3% 50%  
447 2% 47% Median
448 2% 46%  
449 3% 44%  
450 6% 41%  
451 4% 35%  
452 6% 31%  
453 3% 25%  
454 0.8% 22%  
455 0.7% 22%  
456 0.8% 21%  
457 0.8% 20%  
458 1.2% 19%  
459 2% 18%  
460 3% 16%  
461 2% 13%  
462 0.8% 11%  
463 0.6% 11%  
464 0.6% 10%  
465 0.8% 9%  
466 0.3% 9%  
467 0.2% 8%  
468 0.5% 8%  
469 0.6% 8%  
470 0.8% 7%  
471 0.8% 6%  
472 0.2% 6%  
473 0.3% 5%  
474 0.4% 5%  
475 0.2% 5%  
476 0.2% 5%  
477 0.2% 4%  
478 0.5% 4%  
479 0.5% 4%  
480 0.7% 3%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0% 2%  
484 0.1% 2%  
485 0.1% 2%  
486 0.1% 2%  
487 0.1% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.2% 1.4%  
490 0.3% 1.2%  
491 0.3% 0.9%  
492 0.1% 0.7%  
493 0.1% 0.5%  
494 0% 0.5%  
495 0% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0.1% 0.2%  
502 0.1% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.1% 99.4%  
390 0.1% 99.3%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.1% 99.1%  
393 0.3% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.7%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.6% 98%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.2% 97%  
399 0.7% 97%  
400 0.3% 96%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.4% 96%  
403 0.2% 95%  
404 0.7% 95%  
405 0.7% 94%  
406 0.6% 94%  
407 0.4% 93%  
408 0.8% 93%  
409 0.6% 92%  
410 1.4% 91%  
411 0.5% 90%  
412 0.5% 90%  
413 1.1% 89%  
414 2% 88%  
415 1.0% 86%  
416 1.4% 85%  
417 2% 84%  
418 1.1% 82%  
419 1.1% 81%  
420 2% 79%  
421 1.3% 77%  
422 1.4% 76%  
423 2% 75%  
424 1.4% 73%  
425 2% 71%  
426 2% 69%  
427 2% 67%  
428 1.3% 65%  
429 2% 64%  
430 2% 62%  
431 1.2% 60%  
432 2% 59%  
433 3% 57%  
434 2% 54%  
435 3% 52%  
436 4% 49% Median
437 2% 45%  
438 1.1% 43%  
439 3% 42%  
440 3% 39%  
441 2% 36%  
442 2% 34%  
443 1.3% 32%  
444 3% 31%  
445 0.9% 28%  
446 2% 27%  
447 1.5% 25%  
448 0.5% 23%  
449 3% 23%  
450 0.8% 20%  
451 2% 19%  
452 1.4% 17%  
453 2% 15%  
454 0.6% 14%  
455 1.0% 13%  
456 1.1% 12%  
457 0.6% 11%  
458 1.0% 10%  
459 0.7% 9%  
460 0.5% 9%  
461 0.5% 8%  
462 0.3% 7%  
463 0.5% 7%  
464 0.5% 7%  
465 0.4% 6%  
466 0.4% 6%  
467 0.6% 5%  
468 0.2% 5%  
469 0.1% 5%  
470 0.3% 5%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.1% 4%  
474 0.1% 4%  
475 0.3% 4%  
476 0.1% 3%  
477 0.1% 3%  
478 0.1% 3%  
479 0.3% 3%  
480 0.3% 3%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.4% 2%  
485 0.1% 1.2%  
486 0.1% 1.0%  
487 0% 0.9%  
488 0.1% 0.9%  
489 0.1% 0.8%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0.2% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.5%  
493 0.1% 0.4%  
494 0% 0.4%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.1% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.1% 99.2%  
387 0.1% 99.1%  
388 0.3% 99.0%  
389 0.3% 98.7%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.5% 98%  
392 0.2% 98%  
393 0.3% 97%  
394 0.6% 97%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.3% 96%  
398 0.3% 96%  
399 0.7% 95%  
400 0.6% 95%  
401 0.6% 94%  
402 0.3% 93%  
403 0.8% 93%  
404 0.6% 92%  
405 1.4% 92%  
406 0.6% 90%  
407 0.5% 90%  
408 1.1% 89%  
409 2% 88%  
410 1.0% 86%  
411 1.3% 85%  
412 2% 84%  
413 1.1% 82%  
414 0.9% 81%  
415 2% 80%  
416 1.4% 78%  
417 1.4% 76%  
418 0.7% 75%  
419 3% 74%  
420 2% 72%  
421 2% 70%  
422 2% 68%  
423 1.3% 65%  
424 2% 64%  
425 2% 62%  
426 1.2% 60%  
427 2% 59%  
428 3% 57%  
429 2% 54%  
430 3% 52%  
431 4% 49% Median
432 2% 45%  
433 1.0% 43%  
434 2% 42%  
435 3% 39%  
436 2% 37%  
437 2% 35%  
438 2% 33%  
439 2% 31%  
440 2% 29%  
441 2% 28%  
442 2% 25%  
443 0.7% 24%  
444 3% 23%  
445 0.9% 20%  
446 2% 19%  
447 1.4% 17%  
448 2% 15%  
449 0.6% 14%  
450 1.0% 13%  
451 1.0% 12%  
452 0.6% 11%  
453 1.0% 10%  
454 0.7% 9%  
455 0.5% 9%  
456 0.4% 8%  
457 0.5% 8%  
458 0.4% 7%  
459 0.5% 7%  
460 0.4% 6%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.7% 6%  
463 0.1% 5%  
464 0.1% 5%  
465 0.2% 5%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.3% 4%  
468 0.2% 4%  
469 0.1% 4%  
470 0.1% 4%  
471 0.3% 3%  
472 0.1% 3%  
473 0.1% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.3% 3%  
477 0.4% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.4% 2%  
480 0.1% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.1%  
482 0% 1.0%  
483 0.1% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.8%  
485 0.1% 0.8%  
486 0.2% 0.7%  
487 0.1% 0.5%  
488 0% 0.4%  
489 0.1% 0.4%  
490 0% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0.1% 99.5%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.1% 99.4%  
405 0.1% 99.3%  
406 0.1% 99.1%  
407 0.2% 99.0%  
408 0.2% 98.8%  
409 0.2% 98.6%  
410 2% 98%  
411 0.4% 97%  
412 0.4% 96%  
413 0.4% 96%  
414 0.5% 96%  
415 0.7% 95%  
416 0.8% 94%  
417 0.6% 94%  
418 0.8% 93%  
419 0.8% 92%  
420 2% 91%  
421 1.1% 90%  
422 0.5% 89%  
423 0.2% 88%  
424 0.3% 88%  
425 0.6% 88%  
426 2% 87%  
427 2% 85%  
428 2% 83%  
429 4% 81%  
430 2% 77%  
431 4% 75%  
432 3% 71%  
433 1.2% 68%  
434 0.6% 67%  
435 1.1% 66%  
436 2% 65%  
437 2% 63%  
438 3% 62%  
439 3% 58%  
440 4% 56%  
441 4% 51%  
442 2% 48% Median
443 2% 46%  
444 3% 44%  
445 6% 41%  
446 4% 36%  
447 6% 31%  
448 3% 26%  
449 1.0% 23%  
450 0.7% 22%  
451 0.7% 21%  
452 0.5% 20%  
453 1.2% 20%  
454 2% 19%  
455 2% 17%  
456 3% 15%  
457 1.0% 12%  
458 0.6% 11%  
459 0.6% 10%  
460 0.9% 10%  
461 0.2% 9%  
462 0.1% 8%  
463 0.4% 8%  
464 0.7% 8%  
465 0.7% 7%  
466 0.5% 6%  
467 0.5% 6%  
468 0.3% 5%  
469 0.4% 5%  
470 0.1% 5%  
471 0.2% 5%  
472 0.2% 4%  
473 0.5% 4%  
474 0.5% 4%  
475 0.7% 3%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.5%  
485 0.2% 1.3%  
486 0.3% 1.2%  
487 0.3% 0.8%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0% 0.5%  
490 0% 0.4%  
491 0% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0.1% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0.1% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0% 99.7%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.6%  
374 0.1% 99.5%  
375 0.2% 99.4%  
376 0.2% 99.3%  
377 0.3% 99.0%  
378 0.3% 98.8%  
379 0.1% 98%  
380 0.4% 98%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.9% 98%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 0.3% 96%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.8% 95%  
388 0.3% 94%  
389 0.8% 94%  
390 0.7% 93%  
391 0.8% 92%  
392 1.2% 91%  
393 1.5% 90%  
394 0.3% 89%  
395 2% 88%  
396 0.6% 86%  
397 2% 86%  
398 0.8% 84%  
399 2% 83%  
400 1.3% 81%  
401 0.4% 80%  
402 2% 79%  
403 3% 78%  
404 3% 75%  
405 3% 72%  
406 2% 69%  
407 2% 67%  
408 1.2% 65%  
409 2% 64%  
410 2% 62%  
411 4% 60%  
412 2% 56%  
413 3% 55%  
414 2% 52% Median
415 4% 49%  
416 2% 45%  
417 3% 43%  
418 2% 39%  
419 2% 37%  
420 3% 35%  
421 1.4% 32%  
422 2% 30%  
423 3% 28%  
424 3% 25%  
425 2% 22%  
426 2% 20%  
427 1.3% 18%  
428 1.0% 17%  
429 1.2% 16%  
430 2% 14%  
431 1.0% 12%  
432 0.6% 11%  
433 0.3% 11%  
434 1.0% 10%  
435 0.7% 9%  
436 0.3% 8%  
437 0.9% 8%  
438 0.3% 7%  
439 0.6% 7%  
440 0.4% 6%  
441 0.3% 6%  
442 0.3% 6%  
443 0.6% 5%  
444 0.3% 5%  
445 0.2% 4%  
446 0.2% 4%  
447 0.3% 4%  
448 0.1% 4%  
449 0.2% 4%  
450 0.2% 3%  
451 0.1% 3%  
452 0.1% 3%  
453 0.3% 3%  
454 0.3% 3%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.4% 2%  
458 0.3% 1.5%  
459 0.2% 1.2%  
460 0.1% 1.0%  
461 0.1% 0.9%  
462 0.1% 0.8%  
463 0.1% 0.7%  
464 0.1% 0.6%  
465 0.1% 0.5%  
466 0.1% 0.4%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.5%  
370 0.1% 99.4%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.3% 99.1%  
373 0.3% 98.8%  
374 0.2% 98.5%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.4% 98%  
377 0.8% 98%  
378 0.3% 97%  
379 0.7% 97%  
380 0.3% 96%  
381 0.7% 96%  
382 0.7% 95%  
383 0.4% 94%  
384 0.7% 94%  
385 0.9% 93%  
386 0.7% 92%  
387 1.3% 91%  
388 1.2% 90%  
389 0.4% 89%  
390 2% 88%  
391 0.5% 86%  
392 2% 86%  
393 0.7% 84%  
394 2% 83%  
395 1.3% 81%  
396 0.4% 80%  
397 1.4% 79%  
398 3% 78%  
399 3% 75%  
400 3% 72%  
401 1.3% 69%  
402 2% 68%  
403 1.3% 66%  
404 2% 64%  
405 2% 62%  
406 4% 60%  
407 2% 57%  
408 3% 55%  
409 2% 52% Median
410 4% 49%  
411 2% 45%  
412 3% 43%  
413 2% 40%  
414 2% 38%  
415 3% 36%  
416 1.3% 32%  
417 2% 31%  
418 2% 28%  
419 4% 26%  
420 2% 22%  
421 2% 21%  
422 2% 18%  
423 1.1% 17%  
424 1.1% 16%  
425 2% 15%  
426 0.9% 12%  
427 0.8% 11%  
428 0.4% 11%  
429 1.0% 10%  
430 0.7% 9%  
431 0.2% 8%  
432 0.9% 8%  
433 0.4% 7%  
434 0.4% 7%  
435 0.6% 7%  
436 0.3% 6%  
437 0.4% 6%  
438 0.6% 5%  
439 0.2% 5%  
440 0.3% 4%  
441 0.1% 4%  
442 0.2% 4%  
443 0.3% 4%  
444 0.2% 4%  
445 0.1% 3%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.5% 3%  
451 0.2% 2%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.2% 1.2%  
455 0.1% 1.0%  
456 0.1% 0.9%  
457 0% 0.8%  
458 0.1% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.6%  
460 0.1% 0.5%  
461 0.1% 0.4%  
462 0% 0.4%  
463 0.1% 0.3%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.6%  
142 0.1% 99.6%  
143 0.2% 99.5%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.1% 99.2%  
147 0% 99.1%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.4% 98.8%  
151 0.2% 98%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.2% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.1% 97%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.1% 97%  
160 0.1% 96%  
161 0.2% 96%  
162 0.3% 96%  
163 0.4% 96%  
164 0.2% 96%  
165 0.1% 95%  
166 0.1% 95%  
167 0.7% 95%  
168 0.5% 94%  
169 0.4% 94%  
170 0.5% 94%  
171 0.4% 93%  
172 0.5% 93%  
173 0.4% 92%  
174 0.5% 92%  
175 0.7% 91%  
176 1.0% 91%  
177 0.6% 90%  
178 1.0% 89%  
179 1.0% 88%  
180 0.6% 87%  
181 2% 86%  
182 1.4% 85%  
183 2% 83%  
184 0.9% 81%  
185 3% 80%  
186 0.7% 77%  
187 2% 76%  
188 2% 75%  
189 2% 72%  
190 2% 71%  
191 2% 69%  
192 2% 67%  
193 2% 65%  
194 3% 63%  
195 2% 61%  
196 1.0% 58%  
197 2% 57%  
198 4% 55%  
199 3% 51%  
200 2% 48%  
201 3% 46% Median
202 2% 43%  
203 1.2% 41%  
204 2% 40%  
205 2% 38%  
206 1.3% 36%  
207 2% 35%  
208 2% 32%  
209 2% 30%  
210 3% 28%  
211 0.7% 26%  
212 1.4% 25%  
213 1.4% 24%  
214 2% 22%  
215 0.8% 20%  
216 1.1% 19%  
217 2% 18%  
218 1.3% 16%  
219 1.0% 15%  
220 2% 14%  
221 1.1% 12%  
222 0.5% 11%  
223 0.6% 10%  
224 1.4% 10%  
225 0.6% 8%  
226 0.8% 8%  
227 0.3% 7%  
228 0.6% 7%  
229 0.6% 6%  
230 0.7% 5%  
231 0.3% 5%  
232 0.3% 4%  
233 0.4% 4%  
234 0.3% 4%  
235 0.6% 3%  
236 0.3% 3%  
237 0.2% 3%  
238 0.5% 2%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.3% 2%  
241 0.3% 1.3%  
242 0.1% 1.0%  
243 0.1% 0.9%  
244 0.1% 0.8%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.6%  
247 0.1% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.4%  
249 0.1% 0.4%  
250 0% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0.1% 99.6%  
137 0.1% 99.6%  
138 0.2% 99.5%  
139 0.1% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.3%  
141 0.1% 99.2%  
142 0% 99.1%  
143 0.1% 99.1%  
144 0.1% 99.0%  
145 0.4% 98.8%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.3% 98%  
148 0.3% 98%  
149 0.3% 98%  
150 0.3% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.1% 97%  
153 0.1% 97%  
154 0.3% 97%  
155 0.1% 96%  
156 0.1% 96%  
157 0.3% 96%  
158 0.2% 96%  
159 0.3% 96%  
160 0.1% 95%  
161 0.1% 95%  
162 0.6% 95%  
163 0.4% 95%  
164 0.4% 94%  
165 0.5% 94%  
166 0.5% 93%  
167 0.3% 93%  
168 0.5% 93%  
169 0.5% 92%  
170 0.7% 91%  
171 1.0% 91%  
172 0.6% 90%  
173 1.1% 89%  
174 1.0% 88%  
175 0.6% 87%  
176 2% 86%  
177 1.4% 85%  
178 2% 83%  
179 0.8% 81%  
180 3% 80%  
181 0.5% 77%  
182 1.5% 77%  
183 2% 75%  
184 1.0% 73%  
185 3% 72%  
186 1.3% 69%  
187 2% 68%  
188 2% 66%  
189 3% 64%  
190 3% 61%  
191 1.1% 58%  
192 2% 57%  
193 4% 55%  
194 3% 51%  
195 2% 48%  
196 3% 46% Median
197 2% 43%  
198 1.2% 41%  
199 2% 40%  
200 2% 38%  
201 1.3% 36%  
202 2% 35%  
203 2% 33%  
204 2% 31%  
205 1.4% 29%  
206 2% 27%  
207 1.4% 25%  
208 1.3% 24%  
209 2% 23%  
210 1.1% 21%  
211 1.1% 19%  
212 2% 18%  
213 1.4% 16%  
214 1.0% 15%  
215 2% 14%  
216 1.1% 12%  
217 0.5% 11%  
218 0.5% 10%  
219 1.4% 10%  
220 0.6% 9%  
221 0.8% 8%  
222 0.4% 7%  
223 0.6% 7%  
224 0.7% 6%  
225 0.7% 5%  
226 0.2% 5%  
227 0.4% 5%  
228 0.4% 4%  
229 0.3% 4%  
230 0.7% 4%  
231 0.2% 3%  
232 0.2% 3%  
233 0.6% 2%  
234 0.3% 2%  
235 0.3% 2%  
236 0.3% 1.3%  
237 0.1% 1.0%  
238 0.1% 0.9%  
239 0.1% 0.8%  
240 0.1% 0.7%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0.1% 0.5%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.3%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.5%  
138 0.3% 99.3%  
139 0.3% 99.1%  
140 0.2% 98.8%  
141 0.2% 98.6%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 0.1% 98%  
146 0% 98%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 0.7% 98%  
150 0.5% 97%  
151 0.5% 96%  
152 0.2% 96%  
153 0.2% 96%  
154 0.2% 95%  
155 0.4% 95%  
156 0.3% 95%  
157 0.2% 95%  
158 0.8% 94%  
159 0.8% 94%  
160 0.6% 93%  
161 0.5% 92%  
162 0.2% 92%  
163 0.3% 92%  
164 0.8% 91%  
165 0.6% 91%  
166 0.6% 90%  
167 0.8% 89%  
168 2% 89%  
169 3% 87%  
170 2% 84%  
171 1.2% 82%  
172 0.8% 81%  
173 0.8% 80%  
174 0.7% 79%  
175 0.8% 78%  
176 3% 77%  
177 6% 75%  
178 4% 69%  
179 6% 65%  
180 3% 59%  
181 2% 56%  
182 2% 54%  
183 3% 53%  
184 5% 50%  
185 3% 45% Median
186 3% 42%  
187 2% 39%  
188 2% 37%  
189 1.3% 35%  
190 0.7% 34%  
191 1.2% 33%  
192 3% 32%  
193 3% 29%  
194 2% 25%  
195 4% 23%  
196 2% 19%  
197 2% 17%  
198 2% 15%  
199 1.1% 13%  
200 0.2% 12%  
201 0.2% 12%  
202 0.6% 12%  
203 0.9% 11%  
204 2% 10%  
205 1.0% 9%  
206 0.6% 8%  
207 0.8% 7%  
208 0.8% 6%  
209 0.6% 6%  
210 0.7% 5%  
211 0.4% 4%  
212 0.4% 4%  
213 0.4% 4%  
214 1.5% 3%  
215 0.2% 2%  
216 0.2% 1.4%  
217 0.2% 1.2%  
218 0.2% 1.0%  
219 0.1% 0.9%  
220 0.1% 0.7%  
221 0.1% 0.6%  
222 0.1% 0.6%  
223 0.1% 0.5%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.1% 99.5%  
115 0.1% 99.4%  
116 0.1% 99.3%  
117 0.1% 99.2%  
118 0.1% 99.0%  
119 0.1% 98.9%  
120 0.1% 98.8%  
121 0.3% 98.7%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.4% 97%  
128 0.1% 97%  
129 0.5% 97%  
130 0.1% 97%  
131 0.4% 97%  
132 0.3% 96%  
133 0.2% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.3% 95%  
136 0.2% 95%  
137 0.2% 95%  
138 0.3% 95%  
139 0.5% 94%  
140 1.0% 94%  
141 0.4% 93%  
142 0.3% 93%  
143 0.3% 92%  
144 0.8% 92%  
145 0.6% 91%  
146 1.0% 91%  
147 0.7% 90%  
148 0.7% 89%  
149 1.1% 88%  
150 0.8% 87%  
151 1.2% 86%  
152 1.3% 85%  
153 2% 84%  
154 0.8% 82%  
155 2% 81%  
156 4% 79%  
157 0.8% 75%  
158 2% 74%  
159 2% 72%  
160 1.0% 71%  
161 3% 70%  
162 5% 67%  
163 3% 62%  
164 2% 59%  
165 2% 57%  
166 3% 54%  
167 2% 51%  
168 3% 50% Median
169 3% 47%  
170 2% 43%  
171 4% 42%  
172 2% 38%  
173 2% 36%  
174 2% 34%  
175 2% 32%  
176 1.2% 30%  
177 2% 29%  
178 3% 26%  
179 1.4% 24%  
180 2% 22%  
181 1.1% 20%  
182 0.6% 19%  
183 1.1% 18%  
184 2% 17%  
185 1.2% 15%  
186 2% 14%  
187 0.5% 13%  
188 1.2% 12%  
189 1.3% 11%  
190 0.6% 10%  
191 0.9% 9%  
192 1.0% 8%  
193 0.6% 7%  
194 0.5% 7%  
195 0.7% 6%  
196 0.4% 5%  
197 0.7% 5%  
198 0.9% 4%  
199 0.3% 3%  
200 0.4% 3%  
201 0.3% 3%  
202 0.5% 2%  
203 0.2% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.2% 1.4%  
206 0.2% 1.1%  
207 0.1% 0.9%  
208 0.1% 0.8%  
209 0.2% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.4%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0.1% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0.1% 99.6%  
109 0.1% 99.5%  
110 0.1% 99.4%  
111 0.2% 99.3%  
112 0.1% 99.2%  
113 0.1% 99.0%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.1% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.7%  
117 0.3% 98.6%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.3% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.1% 97%  
124 0.4% 97%  
125 0.1% 97%  
126 0.4% 97%  
127 0.3% 96%  
128 0.2% 96%  
129 0.2% 96%  
130 0.2% 95%  
131 0.3% 95%  
132 0.2% 95%  
133 0.3% 95%  
134 0.2% 94%  
135 1.2% 94%  
136 0.4% 93%  
137 0.2% 93%  
138 0.3% 92%  
139 0.8% 92%  
140 0.5% 91%  
141 1.0% 91%  
142 0.8% 90%  
143 0.6% 89%  
144 1.1% 88%  
145 0.5% 87%  
146 0.8% 87%  
147 1.3% 86%  
148 2% 84%  
149 1.0% 82%  
150 2% 81%  
151 3% 79%  
152 2% 76%  
153 2% 74%  
154 2% 73%  
155 1.3% 71%  
156 3% 70%  
157 5% 67%  
158 3% 62%  
159 2% 59%  
160 2% 57%  
161 3% 55%  
162 2% 52%  
163 3% 50% Median
164 3% 47%  
165 1.5% 44%  
166 3% 42%  
167 3% 39%  
168 2% 36%  
169 2% 34%  
170 2% 32%  
171 1.2% 30%  
172 3% 29%  
173 2% 26%  
174 1.4% 24%  
175 2% 22%  
176 0.7% 20%  
177 1.2% 19%  
178 1.0% 18%  
179 1.5% 17%  
180 1.3% 16%  
181 2% 14%  
182 0.5% 13%  
183 1.0% 12%  
184 1.2% 11%  
185 0.9% 10%  
186 0.9% 9%  
187 1.0% 8%  
188 0.7% 7%  
189 0.4% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.5% 5%  
192 0.7% 5%  
193 0.9% 4%  
194 0.3% 3%  
195 0.3% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.5% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.4% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.4%  
201 0.2% 1.1%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

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Calculations