Opinion Poll by Omnisis, 8–9 June 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.2% 47.4–51.0% 46.9–51.5% 46.4–52.0% 45.5–52.9%
Conservative Party 43.6% 28.3% 26.7–30.0% 26.2–30.4% 25.8–30.8% 25.1–31.7%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.5% 9.4–11.7% 9.2–12.0% 8.9–12.3% 8.4–12.9%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.9–5.8%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 395 373–416 367–421 362–426 351–440
Conservative Party 365 171 150–194 142–200 136–206 122–217
Liberal Democrats 11 26 20–35 18–38 17–39 12–42
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 48 34 21–44 18–47 17–51 12–55
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0–2

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.5%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.2% 99.2%  
355 0.1% 99.1%  
356 0.2% 98.9%  
357 0.3% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98%  
359 0.2% 98%  
360 0.2% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.7% 96%  
366 0.3% 96%  
367 0.5% 95%  
368 0.9% 95%  
369 0.5% 94%  
370 0.5% 93%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 1.2% 92%  
373 1.1% 91%  
374 1.1% 90%  
375 1.3% 89%  
376 1.2% 88%  
377 1.3% 86%  
378 2% 85%  
379 2% 83%  
380 2% 81%  
381 1.3% 79%  
382 2% 78%  
383 2% 76%  
384 2% 74%  
385 1.4% 72%  
386 3% 70%  
387 2% 68%  
388 2% 66%  
389 2% 64%  
390 2% 61%  
391 2% 59%  
392 2% 57%  
393 2% 56%  
394 3% 54%  
395 1.3% 50% Median
396 2% 49%  
397 2% 47%  
398 2% 45%  
399 3% 43%  
400 2% 40%  
401 2% 38%  
402 2% 36%  
403 2% 34%  
404 2% 32%  
405 2% 30%  
406 2% 27%  
407 3% 25%  
408 2% 23%  
409 2% 20%  
410 1.3% 19%  
411 2% 18%  
412 2% 15%  
413 1.4% 14%  
414 1.3% 12%  
415 1.0% 11%  
416 1.1% 10%  
417 1.3% 9%  
418 0.8% 8%  
419 0.7% 7%  
420 1.1% 6%  
421 0.6% 5%  
422 0.5% 5%  
423 0.7% 4%  
424 0.4% 4%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.4% 3%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.1% 1.4%  
433 0.2% 1.3%  
434 0.1% 1.1%  
435 0.1% 1.0%  
436 0.2% 0.9%  
437 0.1% 0.8%  
438 0.1% 0.7%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0% 0.5%  
442 0% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.5%  
124 0.1% 99.4%  
125 0.1% 99.3%  
126 0.1% 99.2%  
127 0.1% 99.1%  
128 0.2% 99.1%  
129 0.2% 98.9%  
130 0.1% 98.7%  
131 0.2% 98.6%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 0.5% 97%  
138 0.3% 97%  
139 0.5% 96%  
140 0.4% 96%  
141 0.5% 96%  
142 0.6% 95%  
143 0.5% 94%  
144 0.7% 94%  
145 0.7% 93%  
146 0.5% 93%  
147 0.5% 92%  
148 0.8% 92%  
149 0.8% 91%  
150 0.7% 90%  
151 0.6% 89%  
152 0.9% 89%  
153 1.1% 88%  
154 2% 87%  
155 1.4% 85%  
156 1.3% 84%  
157 2% 82%  
158 2% 81%  
159 2% 79%  
160 2% 76%  
161 2% 74%  
162 2% 72%  
163 2% 70%  
164 3% 68%  
165 2% 65%  
166 3% 63%  
167 2% 59%  
168 2% 57%  
169 3% 55%  
170 2% 53%  
171 2% 51% Median
172 2% 49%  
173 2% 47%  
174 2% 44%  
175 2% 42%  
176 2% 40%  
177 2% 38%  
178 2% 36%  
179 2% 34%  
180 1.2% 32%  
181 2% 31%  
182 2% 28%  
183 2% 27%  
184 1.2% 25%  
185 2% 24%  
186 2% 22%  
187 1.5% 21%  
188 2% 19%  
189 1.4% 18%  
190 1.1% 16%  
191 2% 15%  
192 1.3% 14%  
193 0.9% 12%  
194 2% 11%  
195 1.2% 10%  
196 0.6% 8%  
197 1.0% 8%  
198 0.5% 7%  
199 0.6% 6%  
200 0.7% 6%  
201 0.5% 5%  
202 0.6% 4%  
203 0.4% 4%  
204 0.4% 3%  
205 0.5% 3%  
206 0.3% 3%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.2% 1.4%  
211 0.1% 1.2%  
212 0.2% 1.0%  
213 0.1% 0.9%  
214 0.1% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.3%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
12 0.2% 99.6%  
13 0.1% 99.4%  
14 0.2% 99.3%  
15 0.6% 99.1%  
16 0.8% 98.6%  
17 1.4% 98%  
18 1.5% 96%  
19 3% 95%  
20 4% 92%  
21 3% 87%  
22 7% 84%  
23 9% 77%  
24 5% 68%  
25 9% 62%  
26 11% 53% Median
27 10% 42%  
28 3% 33%  
29 3% 29%  
30 4% 27%  
31 4% 23%  
32 4% 19%  
33 2% 14%  
34 2% 12%  
35 1.0% 11%  
36 2% 10%  
37 2% 8%  
38 2% 5%  
39 0.9% 3%  
40 1.0% 2%  
41 0.5% 1.2%  
42 0.3% 0.7%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0% 0.3%  
45 0% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.2% 99.7%  
12 0.1% 99.5%  
13 0.1% 99.5%  
14 0.1% 99.4%  
15 0.6% 99.3%  
16 1.0% 98.7%  
17 2% 98%  
18 2% 96%  
19 2% 94%  
20 2% 92%  
21 3% 90%  
22 2% 87%  
23 3% 85%  
24 2% 82%  
25 1.4% 80%  
26 4% 79%  
27 2% 74%  
28 0.9% 72%  
29 3% 71%  
30 2% 68%  
31 5% 66%  
32 5% 61%  
33 2% 56%  
34 10% 55% Median
35 2% 45%  
36 5% 43%  
37 2% 37%  
38 6% 35%  
39 3% 29%  
40 4% 26%  
41 4% 23%  
42 3% 19%  
43 4% 16%  
44 3% 12%  
45 2% 9%  
46 2% 7%  
47 0.8% 6%  
48 0.8% 5% Last Result
49 0.6% 4%  
50 0.5% 4%  
51 0.7% 3%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.9%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.3%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 2%  
2 1.0% 1.2%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 455 100% 432–476 426–484 420–490 409–504
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 422 100% 396–445 390–453 384–460 372–474
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 428 100% 409–447 402–452 397–457 387–471
Labour Party 202 395 100% 373–416 367–421 362–426 351–440
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 204 0% 181–230 173–236 166–242 152–254
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 198 0% 179–217 174–224 169–229 155–239
Conservative Party 365 171 0% 150–194 142–200 136–206 122–217

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.2%  
414 0.2% 99.1%  
415 0.2% 98.9%  
416 0.2% 98.8%  
417 0.3% 98.6%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.3% 98%  
420 0.3% 98%  
421 0.5% 97%  
422 0.4% 97%  
423 0.4% 97%  
424 0.6% 96%  
425 0.5% 96%  
426 0.7% 95%  
427 0.6% 94%  
428 0.5% 94%  
429 1.0% 93%  
430 0.7% 92%  
431 1.3% 92%  
432 2% 90%  
433 0.8% 89%  
434 1.4% 88%  
435 2% 86%  
436 1.1% 85%  
437 1.3% 84%  
438 2% 82%  
439 2% 81%  
440 2% 79%  
441 1.5% 78%  
442 1.2% 76%  
443 2% 75%  
444 2% 73%  
445 2% 71%  
446 1.2% 69%  
447 2% 68%  
448 2% 66%  
449 2% 64%  
450 2% 62%  
451 2% 60%  
452 2% 58%  
453 2% 56%  
454 2% 53%  
455 2% 51% Median
456 2% 49%  
457 3% 47%  
458 2% 45%  
459 2% 42%  
460 3% 40%  
461 2% 37%  
462 3% 35%  
463 2% 32%  
464 2% 30%  
465 2% 28%  
466 2% 26%  
467 2% 24%  
468 2% 21%  
469 2% 19%  
470 1.4% 18%  
471 1.4% 16%  
472 2% 15%  
473 1.1% 13%  
474 0.9% 12%  
475 0.6% 11%  
476 0.7% 11%  
477 0.8% 10%  
478 0.8% 9%  
479 0.5% 8%  
480 0.5% 8%  
481 0.7% 7%  
482 0.6% 7%  
483 0.5% 6%  
484 0.6% 6%  
485 0.5% 5%  
486 0.4% 4%  
487 0.5% 4%  
488 0.3% 4%  
489 0.5% 3%  
490 0.3% 3%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.4% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.1% 1.4%  
497 0.2% 1.3%  
498 0.2% 1.1%  
499 0.1% 0.9%  
500 0.1% 0.9%  
501 0.1% 0.8%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0% 0.4%  
507 0% 0.4%  
508 0% 0.4%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.7%  
369 0% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0.1% 99.5%  
373 0.1% 99.4%  
374 0.1% 99.3%  
375 0.1% 99.2%  
376 0.2% 99.2%  
377 0.1% 98.9%  
378 0.1% 98.8%  
379 0.2% 98.7%  
380 0.2% 98.5%  
381 0.2% 98%  
382 0.3% 98%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.3% 98%  
385 0.3% 97%  
386 0.3% 97%  
387 0.6% 97%  
388 0.5% 96%  
389 0.4% 95%  
390 0.5% 95%  
391 0.8% 95%  
392 0.8% 94%  
393 0.6% 93%  
394 1.1% 92%  
395 0.9% 91%  
396 0.7% 90%  
397 0.8% 90%  
398 1.2% 89%  
399 0.7% 88%  
400 1.2% 87%  
401 1.3% 86%  
402 2% 85%  
403 1.4% 83%  
404 1.2% 82%  
405 1.2% 80%  
406 2% 79%  
407 1.3% 77%  
408 1.1% 76%  
409 2% 75%  
410 1.1% 73%  
411 2% 72%  
412 2% 70%  
413 2% 67%  
414 2% 66%  
415 2% 64%  
416 2% 62%  
417 2% 60%  
418 2% 58%  
419 2% 56%  
420 2% 54%  
421 2% 52% Median
422 2% 50%  
423 2% 48%  
424 2% 46%  
425 2% 44%  
426 3% 42%  
427 2% 39%  
428 2% 37%  
429 2% 35%  
430 2% 33%  
431 2% 31%  
432 2% 30%  
433 3% 28%  
434 2% 25%  
435 2% 24%  
436 1.1% 22%  
437 1.2% 21%  
438 2% 20%  
439 1.3% 18%  
440 1.2% 16%  
441 1.5% 15%  
442 1.0% 14%  
443 0.9% 13%  
444 1.3% 12%  
445 1.0% 11%  
446 0.7% 10%  
447 0.8% 9%  
448 0.8% 8%  
449 0.8% 7%  
450 0.3% 7%  
451 0.5% 6%  
452 0.3% 6%  
453 0.6% 5%  
454 0.4% 5%  
455 0.4% 4%  
456 0.5% 4%  
457 0.3% 4%  
458 0.3% 3%  
459 0.3% 3%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.1% 1.5%  
466 0.1% 1.4%  
467 0.1% 1.2%  
468 0.1% 1.1%  
469 0.2% 1.0%  
470 0.1% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.8%  
472 0.1% 0.7%  
473 0.1% 0.6%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.1% 99.4%  
390 0.1% 99.2%  
391 0.2% 99.1%  
392 0.3% 98.9%  
393 0.2% 98.7%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.2% 98%  
396 0.4% 98%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.5% 96%  
401 0.7% 96%  
402 0.3% 95%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.4% 94%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 1.0% 93%  
407 1.0% 92%  
408 1.1% 91%  
409 1.0% 90%  
410 2% 89%  
411 1.1% 87%  
412 2% 86%  
413 2% 84%  
414 2% 83%  
415 2% 81%  
416 2% 79%  
417 3% 77%  
418 3% 74%  
419 2% 71%  
420 2% 69%  
421 2% 67%  
422 2% 65%  
423 2% 62%  
424 2% 60%  
425 3% 58%  
426 2% 56%  
427 2% 54%  
428 3% 52%  
429 1.5% 49% Median
430 2% 47%  
431 2% 45%  
432 2% 43%  
433 2% 41%  
434 2% 39%  
435 2% 37%  
436 2% 34%  
437 4% 33%  
438 2% 29%  
439 2% 27%  
440 3% 25%  
441 2% 22%  
442 3% 20%  
443 2% 17%  
444 2% 15%  
445 2% 14%  
446 1.3% 11%  
447 1.2% 10%  
448 1.3% 9%  
449 1.0% 8%  
450 0.7% 7%  
451 0.7% 6%  
452 0.7% 5%  
453 0.6% 4%  
454 0.4% 4%  
455 0.4% 3%  
456 0.3% 3%  
457 0.3% 3%  
458 0.3% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.3% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.1% 1.3%  
464 0.1% 1.2%  
465 0.2% 1.0%  
466 0.1% 0.9%  
467 0.1% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0% 0.6%  
470 0% 0.6%  
471 0% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.7%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.6%  
351 0.1% 99.5%  
352 0.1% 99.4%  
353 0.1% 99.3%  
354 0.2% 99.2%  
355 0.1% 99.1%  
356 0.2% 98.9%  
357 0.3% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98%  
359 0.2% 98%  
360 0.2% 98%  
361 0.4% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.7% 96%  
366 0.3% 96%  
367 0.5% 95%  
368 0.9% 95%  
369 0.5% 94%  
370 0.5% 93%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 1.2% 92%  
373 1.1% 91%  
374 1.1% 90%  
375 1.3% 89%  
376 1.2% 88%  
377 1.3% 86%  
378 2% 85%  
379 2% 83%  
380 2% 81%  
381 1.3% 79%  
382 2% 78%  
383 2% 76%  
384 2% 74%  
385 1.4% 72%  
386 3% 70%  
387 2% 68%  
388 2% 66%  
389 2% 64%  
390 2% 61%  
391 2% 59%  
392 2% 57%  
393 2% 56%  
394 3% 54%  
395 1.3% 50% Median
396 2% 49%  
397 2% 47%  
398 2% 45%  
399 3% 43%  
400 2% 40%  
401 2% 38%  
402 2% 36%  
403 2% 34%  
404 2% 32%  
405 2% 30%  
406 2% 27%  
407 3% 25%  
408 2% 23%  
409 2% 20%  
410 1.3% 19%  
411 2% 18%  
412 2% 15%  
413 1.4% 14%  
414 1.3% 12%  
415 1.0% 11%  
416 1.1% 10%  
417 1.3% 9%  
418 0.8% 8%  
419 0.7% 7%  
420 1.1% 6%  
421 0.6% 5%  
422 0.5% 5%  
423 0.7% 4%  
424 0.4% 4%  
425 0.3% 3%  
426 0.4% 3%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.1% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.1% 1.4%  
433 0.2% 1.3%  
434 0.1% 1.1%  
435 0.1% 1.0%  
436 0.2% 0.9%  
437 0.1% 0.8%  
438 0.1% 0.7%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0% 0.5%  
442 0% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.4%  
444 0% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.3%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0.1% 99.6%  
151 0% 99.6%  
152 0.1% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.5%  
154 0.1% 99.4%  
155 0.1% 99.3%  
156 0.1% 99.2%  
157 0.2% 99.2%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 98.9%  
160 0.1% 98.8%  
161 0.1% 98.6%  
162 0.2% 98.5%  
163 0.1% 98%  
164 0.2% 98%  
165 0.3% 98%  
166 0.3% 98%  
167 0.3% 97%  
168 0.3% 97%  
169 0.3% 97%  
170 0.5% 96%  
171 0.4% 96%  
172 0.4% 96%  
173 0.6% 95%  
174 0.3% 95%  
175 0.5% 94%  
176 0.3% 94%  
177 0.8% 93%  
178 0.8% 93%  
179 0.8% 92%  
180 0.7% 91%  
181 1.0% 90%  
182 1.3% 89%  
183 0.9% 88%  
184 1.0% 87%  
185 1.5% 86%  
186 1.2% 85%  
187 1.3% 84%  
188 2% 82%  
189 1.2% 80%  
190 1.2% 79%  
191 2% 78%  
192 2% 76%  
193 3% 74%  
194 2% 72%  
195 2% 70%  
196 2% 69%  
197 2% 67%  
198 2% 65%  
199 2% 63%  
200 3% 61%  
201 2% 58%  
202 2% 56%  
203 2% 54%  
204 2% 52%  
205 2% 50% Median
206 2% 48%  
207 2% 46%  
208 2% 44%  
209 2% 42%  
210 2% 40%  
211 2% 38%  
212 2% 36%  
213 2% 34%  
214 2% 32%  
215 2% 30%  
216 1.1% 28%  
217 2% 27%  
218 1.1% 25%  
219 1.3% 24%  
220 2% 23%  
221 1.2% 21%  
222 1.2% 20%  
223 1.4% 18%  
224 2% 17%  
225 1.3% 15%  
226 1.2% 14%  
227 0.7% 13%  
228 1.1% 12%  
229 0.8% 11%  
230 0.7% 10%  
231 0.9% 10%  
232 1.1% 9%  
233 0.6% 8%  
234 0.8% 7%  
235 0.8% 6%  
236 0.5% 5%  
237 0.4% 5%  
238 0.6% 5%  
239 0.6% 4%  
240 0.3% 3%  
241 0.3% 3%  
242 0.3% 3%  
243 0.3% 2%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.2% 2%  
246 0.2% 2%  
247 0.2% 1.5%  
248 0.1% 1.3%  
249 0.1% 1.1%  
250 0.2% 1.1%  
251 0.1% 0.8%  
252 0.1% 0.7%  
253 0.1% 0.7%  
254 0.1% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.5%  
256 0.1% 0.4%  
257 0% 0.4%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0% 0.3%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.8%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.6%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0% 99.5%  
154 0% 99.5%  
155 0% 99.5%  
156 0% 99.5%  
157 0% 99.4%  
158 0.1% 99.4%  
159 0.1% 99.3%  
160 0.1% 99.2%  
161 0.2% 99.1%  
162 0.1% 99.0%  
163 0.1% 98.8%  
164 0.2% 98.7%  
165 0.2% 98%  
166 0.3% 98%  
167 0.2% 98%  
168 0.3% 98%  
169 0.3% 98%  
170 0.3% 97%  
171 0.4% 97%  
172 0.4% 97%  
173 0.6% 96%  
174 0.7% 96%  
175 0.7% 95%  
176 0.7% 94%  
177 1.0% 93%  
178 1.3% 92%  
179 1.2% 91%  
180 1.3% 90%  
181 2% 89%  
182 2% 86%  
183 2% 85%  
184 3% 83%  
185 2% 80%  
186 3% 78%  
187 2% 75%  
188 2% 73%  
189 4% 71%  
190 2% 67%  
191 2% 66%  
192 2% 63%  
193 2% 61%  
194 2% 59%  
195 2% 57%  
196 2% 55%  
197 1.5% 53% Median
198 3% 51%  
199 2% 48%  
200 2% 46%  
201 3% 44%  
202 2% 42%  
203 2% 40%  
204 2% 37%  
205 2% 35%  
206 2% 33%  
207 2% 31%  
208 3% 28%  
209 3% 26%  
210 2% 23%  
211 2% 21%  
212 2% 19%  
213 2% 17%  
214 2% 16%  
215 1.2% 14%  
216 2% 13%  
217 1.0% 11%  
218 1.1% 10%  
219 0.9% 9%  
220 1.0% 8%  
221 0.9% 7%  
222 0.4% 6%  
223 0.4% 6%  
224 0.3% 5%  
225 0.7% 5%  
226 0.5% 4%  
227 0.5% 4%  
228 0.5% 3%  
229 0.2% 3%  
230 0.4% 2%  
231 0.2% 2%  
232 0.3% 2%  
233 0.2% 2%  
234 0.3% 1.3%  
235 0.2% 1.0%  
236 0.1% 0.9%  
237 0.1% 0.7%  
238 0.1% 0.6%  
239 0.1% 0.5%  
240 0.1% 0.4%  
241 0.1% 0.3%  
242 0% 0.3%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0.1% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.5%  
124 0.1% 99.4%  
125 0.1% 99.3%  
126 0.1% 99.2%  
127 0.1% 99.1%  
128 0.2% 99.1%  
129 0.2% 98.9%  
130 0.1% 98.7%  
131 0.2% 98.6%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 0.5% 97%  
138 0.3% 97%  
139 0.5% 96%  
140 0.4% 96%  
141 0.5% 96%  
142 0.6% 95%  
143 0.5% 94%  
144 0.7% 94%  
145 0.7% 93%  
146 0.5% 93%  
147 0.5% 92%  
148 0.8% 92%  
149 0.8% 91%  
150 0.7% 90%  
151 0.6% 89%  
152 0.9% 89%  
153 1.1% 88%  
154 2% 87%  
155 1.4% 85%  
156 1.3% 84%  
157 2% 82%  
158 2% 81%  
159 2% 79%  
160 2% 76%  
161 2% 74%  
162 2% 72%  
163 2% 70%  
164 3% 68%  
165 2% 65%  
166 3% 63%  
167 2% 59%  
168 2% 57%  
169 3% 55%  
170 2% 53%  
171 2% 51% Median
172 2% 49%  
173 2% 47%  
174 2% 44%  
175 2% 42%  
176 2% 40%  
177 2% 38%  
178 2% 36%  
179 2% 34%  
180 1.2% 32%  
181 2% 31%  
182 2% 28%  
183 2% 27%  
184 1.2% 25%  
185 2% 24%  
186 2% 22%  
187 1.5% 21%  
188 2% 19%  
189 1.4% 18%  
190 1.1% 16%  
191 2% 15%  
192 1.3% 14%  
193 0.9% 12%  
194 2% 11%  
195 1.2% 10%  
196 0.6% 8%  
197 1.0% 8%  
198 0.5% 7%  
199 0.6% 6%  
200 0.7% 6%  
201 0.5% 5%  
202 0.6% 4%  
203 0.4% 4%  
204 0.4% 3%  
205 0.5% 3%  
206 0.3% 3%  
207 0.3% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.2% 1.4%  
211 0.1% 1.2%  
212 0.2% 1.0%  
213 0.1% 0.9%  
214 0.1% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.3%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations