Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 11–15 September 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.9% 48.4–51.4% 48.0–51.8% 47.7–52.1% 47.0–52.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.4% 23.2–25.7% 22.8–26.1% 22.6–26.4% 22.0–27.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.6% 9.8–11.6% 9.5–11.9% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.6%
Green Party 2.8% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.9–7.0% 4.6–7.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.3% 3.7–4.9% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.3% 2.2–3.5% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.2% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 416 400–444 394–449 390–453 383–463
Conservative Party 365 126 98–148 90–152 83–154 73–162
Liberal Democrats 11 34 25–39 22–41 21–46 19–50
Green Party 1 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 49 42–55 38–57 38–57 34–58
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0% 99.6%  
383 0.3% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0.3% 99.2%  
386 0% 98.9%  
387 0.3% 98.8%  
388 0.1% 98.5%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.7% 98%  
391 1.2% 97%  
392 0.4% 96%  
393 0.3% 96%  
394 1.3% 96%  
395 1.1% 94%  
396 1.5% 93%  
397 0.7% 92%  
398 0.5% 91%  
399 0.4% 91%  
400 0.7% 90%  
401 2% 89%  
402 7% 88%  
403 3% 81%  
404 4% 78%  
405 0.9% 74%  
406 3% 73%  
407 0.8% 70%  
408 1.1% 69%  
409 0.7% 68%  
410 1.4% 68%  
411 2% 66%  
412 2% 64%  
413 9% 62%  
414 0.6% 53%  
415 2% 52%  
416 2% 50% Median
417 0.5% 48%  
418 0.5% 48%  
419 1.4% 47%  
420 2% 46%  
421 0.4% 44%  
422 1.5% 44%  
423 1.3% 42%  
424 1.0% 41%  
425 2% 40%  
426 3% 38%  
427 2% 35%  
428 3% 33%  
429 1.0% 30%  
430 0.3% 29%  
431 0.6% 29%  
432 1.1% 28%  
433 3% 27%  
434 0.9% 24%  
435 0.8% 23%  
436 2% 22%  
437 1.3% 21%  
438 1.2% 19%  
439 0.7% 18%  
440 0.6% 17%  
441 0.8% 17%  
442 1.3% 16%  
443 0.8% 15%  
444 7% 14%  
445 0.5% 7%  
446 0.4% 6%  
447 0.2% 6%  
448 0.1% 5%  
449 0.6% 5%  
450 0.3% 5%  
451 0.4% 4%  
452 0.4% 4%  
453 1.4% 4%  
454 0.4% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.1% 2%  
458 0.1% 1.5%  
459 0.1% 1.4%  
460 0.1% 1.3%  
461 0.3% 1.2%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.4% 0.8%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0.1% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0% 99.6%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 0.1% 99.2%  
75 0% 99.1%  
76 0.1% 99.1%  
77 0.1% 99.0%  
78 0.4% 98.9%  
79 0.1% 98.6%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.1% 98%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 0.1% 97%  
85 0% 97%  
86 0.1% 97%  
87 0.1% 97%  
88 0.2% 97%  
89 2% 97%  
90 0.3% 95%  
91 0.3% 95%  
92 1.3% 95%  
93 0.5% 93%  
94 0.5% 93%  
95 0.9% 92%  
96 0.8% 91%  
97 0.2% 91%  
98 4% 90%  
99 3% 86%  
100 0.7% 83%  
101 0.5% 82%  
102 0.9% 82%  
103 0.8% 81%  
104 2% 80%  
105 1.3% 78%  
106 1.2% 76%  
107 1.2% 75%  
108 3% 74%  
109 2% 72%  
110 0.5% 69%  
111 0.5% 69%  
112 3% 68%  
113 2% 65%  
114 1.0% 63%  
115 0.7% 62%  
116 0.8% 61%  
117 0.1% 60%  
118 0.3% 60%  
119 0.7% 60%  
120 0.9% 59%  
121 0.6% 58%  
122 1.2% 58%  
123 0.9% 57%  
124 3% 56%  
125 2% 53%  
126 1.1% 50% Median
127 2% 49%  
128 1.0% 48%  
129 1.0% 46%  
130 3% 45%  
131 2% 43%  
132 1.3% 41%  
133 2% 39%  
134 9% 38%  
135 0.8% 28%  
136 3% 28%  
137 5% 25%  
138 0.7% 20%  
139 1.0% 19%  
140 1.0% 18%  
141 2% 17%  
142 1.3% 16%  
143 0.9% 14%  
144 0.9% 14%  
145 0.6% 13%  
146 1.1% 12%  
147 0.5% 11%  
148 2% 10%  
149 3% 9%  
150 1.0% 6%  
151 0.2% 5%  
152 1.2% 5%  
153 0.6% 4%  
154 1.1% 3%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.2% 1.5%  
159 0.2% 1.2%  
160 0.1% 1.0%  
161 0.2% 0.9%  
162 0.1% 0.6%  
163 0% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.5% 99.8%  
20 0.8% 99.3%  
21 1.2% 98.5%  
22 3% 97%  
23 1.1% 94%  
24 3% 93%  
25 4% 90%  
26 2% 86%  
27 6% 84%  
28 6% 78%  
29 3% 72%  
30 3% 69%  
31 3% 66%  
32 5% 63%  
33 6% 58%  
34 7% 52% Median
35 7% 45%  
36 10% 37%  
37 8% 27%  
38 8% 19%  
39 2% 11%  
40 2% 9%  
41 3% 8%  
42 0.6% 5%  
43 0.3% 4%  
44 0.6% 4%  
45 0.4% 3%  
46 0.5% 3%  
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.3% 2%  
49 0.5% 1.2%  
50 0.5% 0.7%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 48% 100% Last Result
2 43% 52% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 1.2% 99.8%  
35 0% 98.6%  
36 0.9% 98.5%  
37 0.1% 98%  
38 3% 98%  
39 0.9% 95%  
40 1.0% 94%  
41 2% 93%  
42 6% 90%  
43 6% 84%  
44 8% 78%  
45 1.3% 70%  
46 7% 69%  
47 4% 62%  
48 4% 58% Last Result
49 8% 55% Median
50 0.5% 47%  
51 8% 46%  
52 10% 38%  
53 9% 28%  
54 4% 19%  
55 5% 15%  
56 4% 10%  
57 5% 6%  
58 0.9% 0.9%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.2%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 5% 99.5% Last Result
5 93% 95% Median
6 1.2% 1.3%  
7 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 504 100% 482–531 478–538 476–545 468–555
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 503 100% 481–529 477–536 475–543 467–553
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 498 100% 476–524 472–531 470–538 462–548
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 469 100% 452–494 450–500 447–503 440–512
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 464 100% 447–489 445–496 442–498 435–508
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 453 100% 433–487 427–491 421–496 413–508
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 448 100% 428–482 422–486 416–491 408–503
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 421 100% 405–449 399–454 395–458 388–468
Labour Party 202 416 100% 400–444 394–449 390–453 383–463
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 180 0% 145–200 140–206 136–213 123–221
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 176 0% 140–195 135–202 131–208 118–216
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 160 0% 134–177 127–179 124–181 114–189
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 131 0% 103–153 95–157 88–159 78–167
Conservative Party 365 126 0% 98–148 90–152 83–154 73–162

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0.1% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0% 99.8%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0% 99.8%  
463 0% 99.8%  
464 0% 99.7%  
465 0.1% 99.7%  
466 0.1% 99.6%  
467 0% 99.6%  
468 0.1% 99.5%  
469 0.2% 99.4%  
470 0.1% 99.1%  
471 0.2% 99.0%  
472 0.2% 98.8%  
473 0.2% 98.5%  
474 0.3% 98%  
475 0.2% 98%  
476 1.1% 98%  
477 0.6% 97%  
478 1.2% 96%  
479 0.2% 95%  
480 1.0% 95%  
481 3% 94%  
482 2% 91%  
483 0.5% 90%  
484 1.1% 89%  
485 0.7% 88%  
486 0.9% 87%  
487 0.9% 86%  
488 1.3% 86%  
489 2% 84%  
490 1.0% 83%  
491 1.0% 82%  
492 0.7% 81%  
493 5% 80%  
494 3% 75%  
495 0.8% 72%  
496 9% 72%  
497 2% 62%  
498 1.3% 61%  
499 2% 59%  
500 3% 57%  
501 1.0% 55%  
502 1.0% 53%  
503 2% 52%  
504 1.1% 51%  
505 2% 50%  
506 3% 47% Median
507 0.9% 44%  
508 1.2% 43%  
509 0.6% 42%  
510 0.9% 42%  
511 0.7% 41%  
512 0.3% 40%  
513 0.1% 40%  
514 0.8% 40%  
515 0.7% 39%  
516 1.0% 38%  
517 2% 37%  
518 3% 35%  
519 0.5% 32%  
520 0.6% 31%  
521 3% 31%  
522 2% 28%  
523 1.5% 26%  
524 0.9% 24%  
525 3% 23%  
526 0.3% 20%  
527 1.2% 20%  
528 0.8% 18%  
529 0.6% 18%  
530 3% 17%  
531 4% 14%  
532 0.8% 10%  
533 0.9% 9%  
534 0.7% 8%  
535 0.5% 7%  
536 1.3% 7%  
537 0.4% 6%  
538 0.3% 5%  
539 2% 5%  
540 0.3% 3%  
541 0.1% 3%  
542 0.1% 3%  
543 0% 3%  
544 0.1% 3%  
545 0.4% 3%  
546 0.1% 2%  
547 0.3% 2%  
548 0.3% 2%  
549 0.1% 2%  
550 0.4% 1.4%  
551 0.1% 1.1%  
552 0.1% 1.0%  
553 0% 0.9%  
554 0.1% 0.9%  
555 0.3% 0.8%  
556 0% 0.5%  
557 0.1% 0.4%  
558 0.1% 0.3%  
559 0.1% 0.3%  
560 0% 0.2%  
561 0% 0.2%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0.1% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.8%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0% 99.8%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.8%  
462 0.1% 99.8%  
463 0% 99.7%  
464 0.1% 99.7%  
465 0% 99.6%  
466 0% 99.6%  
467 0.2% 99.5%  
468 0.2% 99.4%  
469 0.1% 99.1%  
470 0.4% 99.0%  
471 0.3% 98.6%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 0.2% 98%  
474 0.4% 98%  
475 1.4% 98%  
476 0.2% 96%  
477 0.9% 96%  
478 0.3% 95%  
479 1.1% 95%  
480 3% 93%  
481 2% 91%  
482 0.3% 89%  
483 1.4% 89%  
484 0.8% 87%  
485 1.2% 87%  
486 1.0% 86%  
487 1.3% 85%  
488 1.4% 83%  
489 0.7% 82%  
490 0.9% 81%  
491 0.6% 80%  
492 4% 80%  
493 3% 75%  
494 6% 72%  
495 5% 66%  
496 1.1% 61%  
497 2% 60%  
498 2% 57%  
499 1.1% 55%  
500 2% 54%  
501 0.8% 52%  
502 0.5% 51%  
503 2% 51%  
504 4% 49% Median
505 1.0% 45%  
506 0.9% 44%  
507 1.0% 43%  
508 0.8% 42%  
509 0.5% 41%  
510 0.8% 41%  
511 0.1% 40%  
512 0.5% 40%  
513 1.0% 39%  
514 0.4% 38%  
515 0.7% 38%  
516 5% 37%  
517 0.4% 32%  
518 0.8% 32%  
519 2% 31%  
520 3% 29%  
521 1.4% 25%  
522 0.6% 24%  
523 3% 23%  
524 0.6% 20%  
525 0.5% 19%  
526 0.9% 19%  
527 0.8% 18%  
528 0.9% 17%  
529 7% 16%  
530 0.4% 10%  
531 1.1% 9%  
532 0.5% 8%  
533 0.6% 8%  
534 1.1% 7%  
535 0.6% 6%  
536 0.5% 5%  
537 0.5% 5%  
538 1.4% 4%  
539 0.1% 3%  
540 0.1% 3%  
541 0.1% 3%  
542 0.1% 3%  
543 0.4% 3%  
544 0.1% 2%  
545 0.4% 2%  
546 0.2% 2%  
547 0.1% 2%  
548 0.4% 1.5%  
549 0% 1.1%  
550 0.1% 1.1%  
551 0% 0.9%  
552 0% 0.9%  
553 0.4% 0.9%  
554 0% 0.5%  
555 0.1% 0.5%  
556 0.1% 0.4%  
557 0% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0.1% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.8%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0.1% 99.8%  
458 0% 99.7%  
459 0% 99.7%  
460 0.1% 99.6%  
461 0% 99.5%  
462 0.1% 99.5%  
463 0.3% 99.4%  
464 0.1% 99.1%  
465 0.3% 99.0%  
466 0.3% 98.7%  
467 0.2% 98%  
468 0.2% 98%  
469 0.4% 98%  
470 1.3% 98%  
471 0.3% 96%  
472 1.0% 96%  
473 0.3% 95%  
474 0.9% 95%  
475 3% 94%  
476 2% 91%  
477 0.2% 89%  
478 1.4% 89%  
479 0.8% 88%  
480 1.2% 87%  
481 1.0% 86%  
482 1.3% 85%  
483 1.4% 83%  
484 0.6% 82%  
485 0.9% 81%  
486 0.5% 80%  
487 4% 80%  
488 3% 75%  
489 6% 72%  
490 6% 66%  
491 1.0% 61%  
492 2% 60%  
493 2% 57%  
494 1.2% 55%  
495 2% 54%  
496 0.6% 52%  
497 0.6% 51%  
498 2% 51%  
499 4% 49% Median
500 1.4% 45%  
501 0.9% 44%  
502 1.0% 43%  
503 0.6% 42%  
504 0.9% 41%  
505 0.5% 40%  
506 0.1% 40%  
507 0.5% 40%  
508 0.8% 39%  
509 0.5% 38%  
510 0.7% 38%  
511 5% 37%  
512 0.3% 32%  
513 0.6% 32%  
514 2% 31%  
515 3% 29%  
516 2% 26%  
517 0.8% 24%  
518 3% 23%  
519 0.4% 20%  
520 0.6% 20%  
521 0.9% 19%  
522 0.8% 18%  
523 0.8% 17%  
524 7% 16%  
525 0.5% 10%  
526 1.0% 9%  
527 0.5% 8%  
528 0.5% 8%  
529 1.1% 7%  
530 0.4% 6%  
531 0.8% 6%  
532 0.5% 5%  
533 1.4% 4%  
534 0.1% 3%  
535 0.1% 3%  
536 0.1% 3%  
537 0.1% 3%  
538 0.4% 3%  
539 0% 2%  
540 0.3% 2%  
541 0.2% 2%  
542 0.1% 2%  
543 0.4% 2%  
544 0% 1.1%  
545 0.1% 1.1%  
546 0% 0.9%  
547 0% 0.9%  
548 0.4% 0.9%  
549 0% 0.5%  
550 0.1% 0.5%  
551 0.1% 0.4%  
552 0% 0.3%  
553 0% 0.3%  
554 0.1% 0.2%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0.1% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.8%  
435 0.1% 99.8%  
436 0.1% 99.7%  
437 0% 99.7%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.6%  
440 0.1% 99.5%  
441 0.2% 99.4%  
442 0.1% 99.2%  
443 0.3% 99.1%  
444 0.3% 98.9%  
445 0.4% 98.6%  
446 0.2% 98%  
447 0.5% 98%  
448 0.9% 97%  
449 1.1% 97%  
450 1.3% 96%  
451 3% 94%  
452 2% 91%  
453 2% 89%  
454 0.6% 87%  
455 1.0% 87%  
456 0.9% 86%  
457 2% 85%  
458 7% 83%  
459 4% 77%  
460 2% 73%  
461 1.0% 70%  
462 0.6% 69%  
463 2% 69%  
464 7% 67%  
465 0.9% 60%  
466 2% 59%  
467 4% 58%  
468 2% 53%  
469 2% 51%  
470 2% 49% Median
471 2% 47%  
472 2% 46%  
473 0.8% 44%  
474 1.1% 43%  
475 0.7% 42%  
476 1.1% 41%  
477 0.2% 40%  
478 0.8% 40%  
479 0.5% 39%  
480 1.0% 39%  
481 0.6% 38%  
482 0.5% 37%  
483 5% 37%  
484 0.6% 31%  
485 3% 31%  
486 2% 28%  
487 2% 26%  
488 0.3% 24%  
489 2% 24%  
490 0.6% 22%  
491 8% 21%  
492 0.9% 13%  
493 2% 12%  
494 0.8% 10%  
495 0.4% 9%  
496 0.8% 9%  
497 0.6% 8%  
498 0.3% 8%  
499 1.3% 7%  
500 0.9% 6%  
501 2% 5%  
502 0.9% 3%  
503 0.3% 3%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.1% 2%  
508 0.4% 2%  
509 0.1% 1.4%  
510 0.3% 1.3%  
511 0.1% 1.0%  
512 0.4% 0.9%  
513 0% 0.5%  
514 0% 0.5%  
515 0.1% 0.4%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0.1% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0.1% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.8%  
431 0% 99.7%  
432 0% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.1% 99.5%  
436 0.2% 99.4%  
437 0.1% 99.2%  
438 0.2% 99.1%  
439 0.3% 98.9%  
440 0.3% 98.6%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.5% 98%  
443 0.8% 97%  
444 1.2% 97%  
445 1.3% 96%  
446 3% 94%  
447 1.5% 91%  
448 2% 89%  
449 0.5% 87%  
450 1.1% 87%  
451 0.9% 86%  
452 2% 85%  
453 6% 83%  
454 4% 77%  
455 2% 73%  
456 1.0% 70%  
457 0.6% 70%  
458 2% 69%  
459 7% 67%  
460 0.8% 60%  
461 2% 59%  
462 4% 58%  
463 3% 53%  
464 2% 51%  
465 2% 49% Median
466 2% 47%  
467 1.1% 46%  
468 1.1% 44%  
469 1.5% 43%  
470 0.4% 42%  
471 1.1% 41%  
472 0.2% 40%  
473 0.8% 40%  
474 0.5% 39%  
475 0.9% 39%  
476 0.7% 38%  
477 0.4% 37%  
478 5% 37%  
479 0.9% 32%  
480 2% 31%  
481 2% 28%  
482 2% 26%  
483 0.4% 24%  
484 2% 24%  
485 0.6% 22%  
486 8% 21%  
487 0.7% 13%  
488 2% 13%  
489 0.8% 10%  
490 0.5% 9%  
491 0.8% 9%  
492 0.5% 8%  
493 0.4% 8%  
494 1.1% 7%  
495 0.8% 6%  
496 2% 5%  
497 0.9% 3%  
498 0.3% 3%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.4% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.4%  
505 0.3% 1.4%  
506 0.1% 1.0%  
507 0.4% 0.9%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0.1% 0.4%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0.1% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0.1% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0.1% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0% 99.7%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.1% 99.5%  
414 0.3% 99.5%  
415 0.2% 99.1%  
416 0% 98.9%  
417 0.1% 98.8%  
418 0.4% 98.7%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.5% 98%  
422 1.0% 97%  
423 0.4% 96%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.2% 96%  
426 0.3% 95%  
427 0.4% 95%  
428 0.8% 95%  
429 0.7% 94%  
430 0.3% 93%  
431 1.1% 93%  
432 1.0% 92%  
433 1.3% 91%  
434 1.2% 89%  
435 0.9% 88%  
436 2% 87%  
437 0.5% 85%  
438 2% 84%  
439 0.7% 82%  
440 2% 82%  
441 0.5% 80%  
442 3% 80%  
443 2% 77%  
444 3% 75%  
445 5% 72%  
446 4% 67%  
447 2% 63%  
448 3% 61%  
449 1.3% 58%  
450 3% 56%  
451 2% 53%  
452 1.0% 51%  
453 0.5% 50%  
454 2% 50%  
455 0.9% 48% Median
456 0.3% 47%  
457 1.1% 47%  
458 1.1% 46%  
459 0.4% 45%  
460 1.1% 44%  
461 0.7% 43%  
462 1.3% 42%  
463 4% 41%  
464 2% 37%  
465 1.0% 35%  
466 2% 34%  
467 1.1% 32%  
468 2% 31%  
469 0.9% 28%  
470 0.8% 28%  
471 2% 27%  
472 1.4% 25%  
473 0.6% 23%  
474 0.7% 23%  
475 0.4% 22%  
476 0.5% 22%  
477 0.9% 21%  
478 0.8% 20%  
479 1.3% 19%  
480 2% 18%  
481 0.3% 17%  
482 0.9% 16%  
483 0.7% 15%  
484 0.3% 15%  
485 3% 14%  
486 0.4% 11%  
487 4% 11%  
488 0.4% 7%  
489 0.4% 6%  
490 0.4% 6%  
491 0.6% 6%  
492 0.8% 5%  
493 0.2% 4%  
494 0.5% 4%  
495 0.8% 4%  
496 0.4% 3%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.7% 1.5%  
505 0.1% 0.8%  
506 0.1% 0.7%  
507 0% 0.6%  
508 0.2% 0.6%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.7%  
404 0% 99.7%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.3% 99.5%  
410 0.2% 99.1%  
411 0.1% 98.9%  
412 0.1% 98.8%  
413 0.4% 98.7%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.1% 98%  
416 0.5% 98%  
417 0.9% 97%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.4% 96%  
420 0.2% 96%  
421 0.3% 95%  
422 0.2% 95%  
423 0.9% 95%  
424 0.7% 94%  
425 0.4% 93%  
426 1.2% 93%  
427 0.9% 92%  
428 1.4% 91%  
429 1.3% 89%  
430 0.8% 88%  
431 2% 87%  
432 0.5% 85%  
433 2% 84%  
434 0.7% 82%  
435 1.5% 82%  
436 0.5% 80%  
437 3% 80%  
438 2% 77%  
439 3% 75%  
440 5% 72%  
441 4% 67%  
442 2% 63%  
443 3% 61%  
444 0.9% 58%  
445 4% 57%  
446 2% 53%  
447 1.1% 51%  
448 0.3% 50%  
449 2% 50%  
450 0.9% 48% Median
451 0.3% 47%  
452 1.1% 47%  
453 0.9% 46%  
454 0.4% 45%  
455 1.2% 44%  
456 0.7% 43%  
457 1.2% 42%  
458 5% 41%  
459 1.5% 36%  
460 1.0% 35%  
461 2% 34%  
462 1.2% 32%  
463 2% 31%  
464 0.9% 29%  
465 0.6% 28%  
466 2% 27%  
467 1.4% 25%  
468 0.5% 23%  
469 0.7% 23%  
470 0.4% 22%  
471 0.7% 22%  
472 0.5% 21%  
473 1.0% 20%  
474 1.0% 19%  
475 2% 18%  
476 0.4% 17%  
477 0.8% 16%  
478 0.8% 15%  
479 0.3% 15%  
480 3% 14%  
481 0.4% 11%  
482 4% 11%  
483 0.4% 7%  
484 0.5% 6%  
485 0.3% 6%  
486 0.7% 6%  
487 0.8% 5%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0.5% 4%  
490 0.8% 4%  
491 0.3% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0% 2%  
499 0.7% 1.5%  
500 0.1% 0.8%  
501 0.1% 0.7%  
502 0% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.4%  
506 0.1% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.7%  
387 0% 99.6%  
388 0.3% 99.6%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.3% 99.1%  
391 0% 98.9%  
392 0.3% 98.8%  
393 0.1% 98.5%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.7% 98%  
396 1.2% 97%  
397 0.4% 96%  
398 0.2% 96%  
399 1.3% 96%  
400 1.1% 94%  
401 2% 93%  
402 0.7% 92%  
403 0.5% 91%  
404 0.4% 91%  
405 0.7% 90%  
406 2% 89%  
407 7% 88%  
408 3% 81%  
409 4% 78%  
410 0.9% 74%  
411 3% 73%  
412 0.7% 70%  
413 1.1% 69%  
414 0.7% 68%  
415 1.5% 68%  
416 2% 66%  
417 2% 64%  
418 9% 62%  
419 0.6% 53%  
420 2% 52%  
421 2% 50% Median
422 0.5% 48%  
423 0.5% 48%  
424 1.5% 47%  
425 2% 46%  
426 0.3% 44%  
427 2% 44%  
428 0.9% 42%  
429 1.4% 41%  
430 2% 40%  
431 3% 38%  
432 2% 35%  
433 3% 33%  
434 0.8% 30%  
435 0.3% 29%  
436 0.7% 29%  
437 1.0% 28%  
438 3% 27%  
439 1.0% 24%  
440 1.1% 23%  
441 1.4% 22%  
442 1.1% 20%  
443 1.4% 19%  
444 0.9% 18%  
445 0.4% 17%  
446 0.8% 17%  
447 1.3% 16%  
448 1.1% 15%  
449 7% 14%  
450 0.5% 6%  
451 0.4% 6%  
452 0.1% 6%  
453 0.1% 5%  
454 0.6% 5%  
455 0.3% 5%  
456 0.5% 4%  
457 0.3% 4%  
458 1.4% 4%  
459 0.4% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.1% 1.4%  
464 0.1% 1.4%  
465 0.1% 1.3%  
466 0.3% 1.2%  
467 0.1% 0.9%  
468 0.4% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0.1% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0% 99.6%  
383 0.3% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0.3% 99.2%  
386 0% 98.9%  
387 0.3% 98.8%  
388 0.1% 98.5%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.7% 98%  
391 1.2% 97%  
392 0.4% 96%  
393 0.3% 96%  
394 1.3% 96%  
395 1.1% 94%  
396 1.5% 93%  
397 0.7% 92%  
398 0.5% 91%  
399 0.4% 91%  
400 0.7% 90%  
401 2% 89%  
402 7% 88%  
403 3% 81%  
404 4% 78%  
405 0.9% 74%  
406 3% 73%  
407 0.8% 70%  
408 1.1% 69%  
409 0.7% 68%  
410 1.4% 68%  
411 2% 66%  
412 2% 64%  
413 9% 62%  
414 0.6% 53%  
415 2% 52%  
416 2% 50% Median
417 0.5% 48%  
418 0.5% 48%  
419 1.4% 47%  
420 2% 46%  
421 0.4% 44%  
422 1.5% 44%  
423 1.3% 42%  
424 1.0% 41%  
425 2% 40%  
426 3% 38%  
427 2% 35%  
428 3% 33%  
429 1.0% 30%  
430 0.3% 29%  
431 0.6% 29%  
432 1.1% 28%  
433 3% 27%  
434 0.9% 24%  
435 0.8% 23%  
436 2% 22%  
437 1.3% 21%  
438 1.2% 19%  
439 0.7% 18%  
440 0.6% 17%  
441 0.8% 17%  
442 1.3% 16%  
443 0.8% 15%  
444 7% 14%  
445 0.5% 7%  
446 0.4% 6%  
447 0.2% 6%  
448 0.1% 5%  
449 0.6% 5%  
450 0.3% 5%  
451 0.4% 4%  
452 0.4% 4%  
453 1.4% 4%  
454 0.4% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.1% 2%  
457 0.1% 2%  
458 0.1% 1.5%  
459 0.1% 1.4%  
460 0.1% 1.3%  
461 0.3% 1.2%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.4% 0.8%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0.1% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0.1% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
107 0% 100%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.6%  
123 0.1% 99.6%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.1% 99.4%  
126 0.1% 99.3%  
127 0.7% 99.2%  
128 0% 98.5%  
129 0.1% 98.5%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 1.0% 97%  
138 0.3% 96%  
139 0.9% 96%  
140 0.3% 95%  
141 0.6% 95%  
142 0.2% 94%  
143 0.2% 94%  
144 0.3% 94%  
145 4% 94%  
146 0.4% 89%  
147 0.8% 89%  
148 2% 88%  
149 1.1% 86%  
150 0.5% 85%  
151 0.8% 84%  
152 0.8% 83%  
153 1.3% 83%  
154 1.4% 81%  
155 0.7% 80%  
156 0.5% 79%  
157 0.5% 79%  
158 0.2% 78%  
159 0.4% 78%  
160 2% 78%  
161 2% 76%  
162 1.1% 74%  
163 0.6% 73%  
164 0.7% 72%  
165 3% 71%  
166 0.2% 69%  
167 2% 68%  
168 1.2% 67%  
169 2% 66%  
170 3% 64%  
171 2% 61%  
172 1.1% 59%  
173 1.2% 57%  
174 0.8% 56%  
175 1.0% 55%  
176 1.0% 54%  
177 0.3% 53%  
178 0.8% 53%  
179 0.7% 52%  
180 2% 52% Median
181 1.1% 50%  
182 2% 49%  
183 3% 47%  
184 0.5% 43%  
185 4% 43%  
186 1.3% 39%  
187 0.4% 38%  
188 9% 37%  
189 0.3% 28%  
190 4% 28%  
191 0.9% 24%  
192 3% 23%  
193 0.9% 20%  
194 1.5% 19%  
195 1.1% 18%  
196 2% 17%  
197 0.3% 15%  
198 3% 15%  
199 1.1% 12%  
200 0.8% 11%  
201 1.5% 10%  
202 0.7% 8%  
203 0.8% 8%  
204 0.8% 7%  
205 0.3% 6%  
206 1.0% 6%  
207 0.2% 5%  
208 0.2% 5%  
209 0.2% 4%  
210 0.5% 4%  
211 0.4% 4%  
212 0.8% 3%  
213 0.6% 3%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.2% 2%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.1% 1.2%  
218 0% 1.1%  
219 0.2% 1.1%  
220 0.3% 0.8%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0.1% 0.5%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0.1% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0.1% 99.3%  
122 0.6% 99.2%  
123 0.1% 98.6%  
124 0.1% 98.5%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.2% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.2% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.4% 98%  
132 1.0% 97%  
133 0.3% 96%  
134 0.9% 96%  
135 0.2% 95%  
136 0.7% 95%  
137 0.2% 94%  
138 0.1% 94%  
139 0.3% 94%  
140 4% 94%  
141 0.4% 89%  
142 0.9% 89%  
143 2% 88%  
144 1.0% 86%  
145 0.4% 85%  
146 0.8% 84%  
147 0.6% 83%  
148 1.4% 83%  
149 1.3% 81%  
150 1.2% 80%  
151 0.3% 79%  
152 0.4% 79%  
153 0.2% 78%  
154 0.4% 78%  
155 1.5% 78%  
156 2% 76%  
157 1.1% 74%  
158 0.7% 73%  
159 0.5% 72%  
160 3% 72%  
161 0.2% 69%  
162 2% 68%  
163 1.2% 67%  
164 2% 66%  
165 3% 64%  
166 2% 60%  
167 1.2% 59%  
168 1.2% 57%  
169 0.7% 56%  
170 1.0% 56%  
171 1.2% 55%  
172 0.3% 53%  
173 0.8% 53%  
174 0.8% 52%  
175 1.5% 52% Median
176 1.4% 50%  
177 2% 49%  
178 3% 47%  
179 0.5% 44%  
180 4% 43%  
181 1.3% 39%  
182 0.4% 38%  
183 9% 37%  
184 0.3% 28%  
185 4% 28%  
186 1.0% 24%  
187 3% 23%  
188 1.0% 20%  
189 1.5% 19%  
190 1.1% 18%  
191 2% 17%  
192 0.3% 15%  
193 3% 15%  
194 1.1% 12%  
195 0.8% 11%  
196 1.4% 10%  
197 0.8% 8%  
198 0.8% 8%  
199 0.7% 7%  
200 0.2% 6%  
201 1.0% 6%  
202 0.3% 5%  
203 0.2% 5%  
204 0.2% 5%  
205 0.6% 4%  
206 0.4% 4%  
207 0.8% 3%  
208 0.6% 3%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.3% 2%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.1% 1.2%  
213 0% 1.1%  
214 0.2% 1.1%  
215 0.3% 0.9%  
216 0.1% 0.5%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0.1% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0.1% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0.1% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.4% 99.5%  
115 0.1% 99.1%  
116 0.2% 99.0%  
117 0.2% 98.8%  
118 0.3% 98.6%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.2% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 1.0% 98%  
125 0.3% 97%  
126 1.1% 96%  
127 2% 95%  
128 0.8% 94%  
129 0.6% 93%  
130 0.8% 92%  
131 0.4% 91%  
132 0.3% 91%  
133 0.6% 91%  
134 0.8% 90%  
135 2% 89%  
136 5% 87%  
137 3% 82%  
138 2% 79%  
139 1.4% 77%  
140 0.5% 76%  
141 2% 75%  
142 3% 74%  
143 0.9% 71%  
144 2% 70%  
145 3% 68%  
146 2% 65%  
147 0.7% 63%  
148 0.7% 62%  
149 0.7% 62%  
150 0.9% 61%  
151 0.5% 60%  
152 0.7% 60%  
153 0.7% 59%  
154 0.6% 58%  
155 2% 58%  
156 0.9% 56%  
157 2% 55%  
158 1.2% 53%  
159 1.2% 52%  
160 3% 50% Median
161 4% 48%  
162 2% 44%  
163 2% 41%  
164 3% 39%  
165 4% 36%  
166 2% 33%  
167 0.9% 31%  
168 2% 30%  
169 0.9% 27%  
170 6% 26%  
171 4% 20%  
172 1.1% 16%  
173 1.0% 15%  
174 0.6% 14%  
175 0.7% 13%  
176 2% 12%  
177 2% 10%  
178 3% 8%  
179 1.1% 5%  
180 1.1% 4%  
181 0.9% 3%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.4% 2%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.2% 1.2%  
186 0.4% 1.0%  
187 0% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.6%  
189 0.1% 0.5%  
190 0% 0.4%  
191 0.1% 0.4%  
192 0% 0.3%  
193 0% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.1% 99.7%  
77 0% 99.5%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 0.1% 99.2%  
80 0% 99.1%  
81 0.1% 99.1%  
82 0.1% 99.0%  
83 0.4% 98.9%  
84 0.1% 98.5%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 0.3% 98%  
87 0.1% 98%  
88 0.4% 98%  
89 0.1% 97%  
90 0% 97%  
91 0.1% 97%  
92 0.1% 97%  
93 0.3% 97%  
94 2% 97%  
95 0.3% 95%  
96 0.5% 95%  
97 1.1% 94%  
98 0.4% 93%  
99 0.5% 93%  
100 0.9% 92%  
101 0.8% 91%  
102 0.2% 91%  
103 4% 90%  
104 3% 86%  
105 0.7% 83%  
106 0.5% 82%  
107 0.9% 82%  
108 0.8% 81%  
109 2% 80%  
110 1.3% 78%  
111 1.5% 77%  
112 1.1% 75%  
113 2% 74%  
114 2% 71%  
115 0.4% 69%  
116 0.6% 69%  
117 3% 68%  
118 2% 65%  
119 0.9% 63%  
120 0.9% 62%  
121 0.6% 61%  
122 0.2% 60%  
123 0.3% 60%  
124 0.5% 60%  
125 1.1% 59%  
126 0.6% 58%  
127 2% 58%  
128 0.5% 56%  
129 3% 56%  
130 2% 53%  
131 1.1% 50% Median
132 2% 49%  
133 0.9% 47%  
134 1.1% 47%  
135 3% 45%  
136 2% 43%  
137 1.3% 41%  
138 2% 39%  
139 9% 38%  
140 0.7% 28%  
141 3% 28%  
142 5% 24%  
143 0.6% 20%  
144 1.0% 19%  
145 0.9% 18%  
146 2% 17%  
147 1.4% 16%  
148 0.9% 14%  
149 0.9% 13%  
150 0.7% 13%  
151 1.1% 12%  
152 0.4% 11%  
153 2% 10%  
154 3% 9%  
155 0.8% 6%  
156 0.2% 5%  
157 1.2% 5%  
158 0.6% 4%  
159 1.0% 3%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.2% 2%  
163 0.3% 1.5%  
164 0.2% 1.2%  
165 0.1% 1.0%  
166 0.3% 0.8%  
167 0.1% 0.6%  
168 0% 0.5%  
169 0.1% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0.1% 0.1%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0% 99.6%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 0.1% 99.2%  
75 0% 99.1%  
76 0.1% 99.1%  
77 0.1% 99.0%  
78 0.4% 98.9%  
79 0.1% 98.6%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.1% 98%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 0.1% 97%  
85 0% 97%  
86 0.1% 97%  
87 0.1% 97%  
88 0.2% 97%  
89 2% 97%  
90 0.3% 95%  
91 0.3% 95%  
92 1.3% 95%  
93 0.5% 93%  
94 0.5% 93%  
95 0.9% 92%  
96 0.8% 91%  
97 0.2% 91%  
98 4% 90%  
99 3% 86%  
100 0.7% 83%  
101 0.5% 82%  
102 0.9% 82%  
103 0.8% 81%  
104 2% 80%  
105 1.3% 78%  
106 1.2% 76%  
107 1.2% 75%  
108 3% 74%  
109 2% 72%  
110 0.5% 69%  
111 0.5% 69%  
112 3% 68%  
113 2% 65%  
114 1.0% 63%  
115 0.7% 62%  
116 0.8% 61%  
117 0.1% 60%  
118 0.3% 60%  
119 0.7% 60%  
120 0.9% 59%  
121 0.6% 58%  
122 1.2% 58%  
123 0.9% 57%  
124 3% 56%  
125 2% 53%  
126 1.1% 50% Median
127 2% 49%  
128 1.0% 48%  
129 1.0% 46%  
130 3% 45%  
131 2% 43%  
132 1.3% 41%  
133 2% 39%  
134 9% 38%  
135 0.8% 28%  
136 3% 28%  
137 5% 25%  
138 0.7% 20%  
139 1.0% 19%  
140 1.0% 18%  
141 2% 17%  
142 1.3% 16%  
143 0.9% 14%  
144 0.9% 14%  
145 0.6% 13%  
146 1.1% 12%  
147 0.5% 11%  
148 2% 10%  
149 3% 9%  
150 1.0% 6%  
151 0.2% 5%  
152 1.2% 5%  
153 0.6% 4%  
154 1.1% 3%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.2% 1.5%  
159 0.2% 1.2%  
160 0.1% 1.0%  
161 0.2% 0.9%  
162 0.1% 0.6%  
163 0% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0.1% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations